Opinion polling for the 2026 Japanese general election

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In the run up to the 2026 Japanese general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2024 Japanese general election, held on 27 October, to the election day.

The following table shows the pollsters who conduct opinion polls in Japan.

Pollster Method Database
ANN RDD https://www.tv-asahi.co.jp/hst/poll/
Asahi RDD https://www.asahi.com/yoron/database/
Jiji Press Personal interview https://www.jiji.com/jc/v7?id=2025jijiyoron
JNN RDD https://newsdig.tbs.co.jp/list/search?fulltext=JNN世論調査
Kyodo News[a] RDD https://www.chunichi.co.jp/digican/shuin2024_yoron
Mainichi D-survey[b] https://mainichi.jp/opinion-research
SSRC https://ssrc.jp/research/
NHK RDD https://www.nhk.or.jp/senkyo/shijiritsu/
Nikkei RDD https://vdata.nikkei.com/newsgraphics/cabinet-approval-rating/
TV Tokyo https://txbiz.tv-tokyo.co.jp/search/detail?search_word=テレ東･日経世論調査
Sankei RDD https://www.sankei.com/politics/poll/
FNN https://www.fnn.jp/subcategory/opinion_poll
Senkyo.com RDD/Online[c] https://go2senkyo.com/research/
Yomiuri RDD https://www.yomiuri.co.jp/election/yoron-chosa/
NNN https://www.ntv.co.jp/yoron/

Party identification

2026

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CRA Ishin DPP Reiwa JCP Sansei CPJ SDP Mirai Others No party Und./
no ans.		 Lead
CDP Komei
8 Feb Election results 55.7%[d] 36.7 18.2 8.6 9.7 2.9 4.4 7.4 2.5 1.3 6.7 1.4[e] – 18.5
6–7 Feb Kyodo News[f][1] 1,054 43.7 12[g] 7.5 6.6 1.1 3.9 5.1 2.1 0.5 3.2 1.9[h] 9.8 2.6 31.7
2–4 Feb Senkyo.com/JX[2] 1,051 26.2 11.2 6.2 5.1 1.7 3.6 3.8 1.7 1.1 2.1 1.8[i] 35.6 – 9.4
31 Jan – 1 Feb Kyodo News[f][3] 1,048 42.3 15.8[j] 3.8 6 2 1.4 6.1 1.5 0.9 3.3 0.5[k] 11.9 4.5 26.5
31 Jan – 1 Feb JNN[4] 1,038 34.7 9.3[l] 3.9 5.1 1.4 2.2 4 0.8 0 1.2 0.5[m] 29.5 7.4 5.2
30 Jan – 1 Feb NHK[f][5] 2,521 35.7 11.6[n] 3.7 4.1 1.1 2.1 3.5 1 0.6 1.1 0.4[o] 27.2 8 8.5
24–25 Jan Sankei/FNN[6][7] 1,013 36 8.6[p] 3.8 3.5 1.6 2.3 3.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 – 29.8 9.4 6.2
24–25 Jan ANN[8] 1,027 36.1 15.3[q] 5.2 6.3 1.7 2.7 4.4 0.9 0.5 1 1 20.9 4.1 15.2
24–25 Jan Mainichi/SSRC[9][10] 2,048 27 15[r] 4 7 1 2 4 1 1 3 – 35 – 8
24–25 Jan Kyodo News[f][11] 1,062 38.7 12.9[s] 5.4 9.9 1.8 2.7 4.7 1 0.7 2.1 0.6[t] 15.3 4.2 23.4
23–25 Jan NHK[f][12] 1,564 35.9 11.9[u] 3.3 4.4 0.7 2.6 3.5 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.1 25.7 10.1 10.2
23–25 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo[13][14] 977 42 11[v] 5 7 1 1 6 1 0 2 – 19 3 23
23–25 Jan Yomiuri/NNN[15][16] 1,034 35 7[w] 3 6 1 2 4 1 1 1 1 31 5 4
23 Jan Sanae Takaichi dissolves the House of Representatives. A general election is called for 8 February 2026.[17]
17–18 Jan Asahi[18] 1,228 29 10[x] 3 5 1 2 4 1 0 0 – 37 8 8
17–18 Jan Senkyo.com/JX[19] 1,043 27.4 12.2 4.8 6.1 2.5 4.1 5 1.9 0.4 1.1 1.2 33.4 – 6
15 Jan CDP and Komeito agree to contest the general election together as a new party, the Centrist Reform Alliance.[20]
10–12 Jan NHK[21] 1,213 32.2 7 2.6 3.7 4.6 1 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.3 37 5.3 4.8
9–12 Jan Jiji Press[22] 1,170 22.5 4.2 2.5 2.3 3.6 0.9 1.1 3.4 1.1 0.1 0.2 – 55.2 2.9 32.7
10–11 Jan JNN[23] 1,015 29.7 5 2.8 5 6.3 1.2 1.1 3.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.3 40.3 3.5 10.6

2025

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin DPP Komei Reiwa JCP Sansei CPJ SDP Mirai Others No party Und./
no ans.		 Lead
20–21 Dec Sankei/FNN[24][25] 1,021 30.6 4.5 3.8 5.7 2.4 1.2 2.3 5.1 1.3 0.3 0.2 – 39 3.6 8.4
20–21 Dec Asahi[26] 1,195 30 5 4 7 2 1 2 5 1 0 1 – 36 6 6
20–21 Dec Mainichi/SSRC[27][28] 1,907 27 7 5 7 2 2 2 5 2 1 1 – 40 – 13
20–21 Dec Kyodo News[29] 1,040 31.1 7.8 8 7.8 2.5 2.2 3.4 4.4 1.4 0.8 2.5 1.7[y] 24.3 2.1 6.8
19–21 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo[30][31] 916 37 7 7 9 3 2 1 5 1 0 0 – 23 5 14
19–21 Dec Yomiuri/NNN[32][33] 1,034 30 4 4 7 3 2 1 4 1 0 0 – 41 3 11
13–14 Dec ANN[34] 1,040 36.7 9.9 6.6 6.5 3.9 2.5 3 3.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.6 22.3 2.8 14.4
13–14 Dec Senkyo.com/JX[35] 1,036 26.4 7.9 5 4.4 5.1 1.5 4.3 5 2.2 0.9 1.5 2.9 33 – 6.6
5–8 Dec Jiji Press[36] 1,132 20.9 4 3.6 3.4 3.6 0.7 0.9 3 0.9 0.2 0.4 – 55.1 3.3 34.2
6–7 Dec JNN[37] 1,021 29.5 6.3 5 4.1 2.7 1.5 1.8 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 39.5 2.9 10
5–7 Dec NHK[38] 1,192 30.6 6 2.5 2.9 3.4 1.3 1.9 3.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 41.4 5.1 10.8
28–30 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo[39][40] 1,006 41 6 5 6 3 3 2 7 1 1 1 – 22 2 19
22–23 Nov Sankei/FNN[41][42] 1,020 27.6 5.3 3.8 4 3 1.7 2 4.5 1 0.3 0.2 – 41 5.6 13.4
22–23 Nov Mainichi/SSRC[43][44] 1,985 25 9 6 6 3 2 3 5 2 0 1 – 38 – 13
21–23 Nov Yomiuri/NNN[45][46] 1,054 32 5 4 4 4 2 2 5 0 0 0 – 40 3 8
15–16 Nov Asahi[47] 1,215 29 5 3 4 4 1 2 5 1 1 0 – 39 6 10
15–16 Nov ANN[48] 1,058 42 7.1 4.8 5.1 4.1 2.3 3.3 4.1 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.9 22.6 1.8 19.4
15–16 Nov Senkyo.com/JX[49] 1,003 25.5 7.8 5.9 5.1 3.9 2.9 2.3 5.6 2.5 1.2 1 1.5 34.9 – 9.4
15–16 Nov Kyodo News[50] 1,046 30 8.3 7.4 8.8 3.1 3.2 3.7 7.3 0.9 0.6 1.2 0.8[z] 23 1.7 7
7–10 Nov Jiji Press[51] 1,182 21.8 3.6 2.9 3.5 3.2 1.8 0.9 4 0.9 0 0.6 – 54.4 2.4 32.6
7–9 Nov NHK[52] 1,213 30.7 7.2 3.3 3.5 2.6 0.9 2.6 3.4 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 38.7 5.4 8
1–2 Nov JNN[53] 1,013 28.9 5.5 3.9 3.6 3.2 1.8 2.8 4.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 41 3.5 12.1
25–26 Oct Sankei/FNN[54][55] 1,021 28.1 6.3 5.7 4.6 2.7 2.7 1.2 5 1.1 0.7 0.6 – 38.4 2.9 10.3
25–26 Oct Asahi[56] 1,342 30 5 5 6 2 2 2 4 1 0 0 – 36 7 6
25–26 Oct ANN[57] 1,058 37.4 9 7.4 6.2 3.8 2.4 2.4 3.5 0.9 0.8 0.6 1.5 21.5 2.5 15.9
25–26 Oct Mainichi/SSRC[58][59] 2,045 26 7 8 5 2 2 2 5 2 1 2 – 39 – 13
24–26 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo[60][61] 1,059 36 7 9 6 4 2 2 6 1 0 1 – 22 3 14
21–22 Oct Yomiuri/NNN[62][63] 1,057 32 6 5 5 4 1 1 7 1 1 1 1 34 3 2
21–22 Oct Kyodo News[64] 1,053 31.4 8.4 8.3 8.8 3.8 3.1 3.1 6.8 2.4 1.1 1 0.5[aa] 19.8 1.5 11.6
21 Oct Sanae Takaichi succeeds Shigeru Ishiba as Prime Minister of Japan. The Takaichi Cabinet is formed.
20 Oct The LDP and Ishin agree to sign a confidence and supply agreement.
11–13 Oct NHK[65] 1,205 27.4 5.6 1.7 4.8 3.2 1.2 2.6 4.5 0.7 0.2 0.4 – 41 6.6 13.6
10–13 Oct Jiji Press[66] 1,164 19.7 4.2 1.8 3.8 2.8 1.5 0.9 4.8 0.9 0.6 0.7 – 56.1 2.2 36.4
11–12 Oct Senkyo.com/JX[67] 1,013 23.4 9.9 3.3 7.5 4.6 2.9 3.3 7.1 2.3 0.7 0.9 0.6 33.7 – 10.3
10 Oct Komeito leaves the governing minority coalition.
4–6 Oct Kyodo News[68] 1,061 33.8 8.8 5.1 9.6 4.3 1.9 3.1 8.1 2.5 0.9 0.6 0.6[ab] 18 2.7 15.8
4–5 Oct JNN[69] 1,036 27.9 5.8 3.6 7.6 2 1.8 2.2 5.8 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 36.7 4.3 8.8
4 Oct Sanae Takaichi is elected President of the LDP.
27–28 Sep ANN[70] 1,025 33.2 7.7 3.2 7.5 3.5 2.7 3.6 7.8 1.1 1.2 0 1.1 23.2 4.1 10
26–28 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo[71][72] 915 31 7 4 9 3 3 4 10 1 1 0 – 24 3 7
20–21 Sep Sankei/FNN[73][74] 1,018 27.9 6.3 3.4 6.5 2.5 2.9 2.1 8.3 1.2 0.2 0.9 – 33.6 4.2 5.7
20–21 Sep Asahi[75] 1,176 26 5 2 7 2 2 2 8 1 1 0 – 38 6 12
20–21 Sep Mainichi/SSRC[76][77] 1,972 19 9 4 10 2 3 2 8 2 1 1 1 38 – 19
12–15 Sep Jiji Press[78] 1,162 17.1 5.3 2 3.4 3 1.4 1.8 5.9 1.6 0 0.6 – 54.5 3.4 37.4
13–14 Sep Senkyo.com/JX[79] 995 27.9 10.9 3.9 3.6 3.6 2 4.2 7.4 2 1.2 0.5 – 32.7 – 4.8
13–14 Sep Yomiuri/NNN[80][81] 1,043 27 5 2 9 3 3 2 8 1 1 0 – 35 4 8
11–12 Sep Kyodo News[82] 1,040 23.5 10.2 4.2 10.5 2.2 3.8 3.6 10.9 3.5 0.8 2.3 0.5[ac] 21.3 2.7 2.2
7 Sep Shigeru Ishiba announces he will resign as President of the LDP. The 2025 LDP presidential election is scheduled for 4 October 2025.
6–7 Sep Kyodo News[83] 1,045 23.4 7.6 6.2 9.8 4.8 4.9 3.8 11.6 2.4 0.6 2.7 0.9[ad] 19.1 2.2 4.3
6–7 Sep JNN[84] 1,030 23.3 6.5 4.7 6.8 3.2 2.7 2.4 8.5 2.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 32.7 4.9 9.4
5–7 Sep NHK[85] 1,186 27.9 5 3.6 5.7 3.1 1.7 2.9 6.3 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.6 34.8 5.4 6.9
29–31 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo[86][87] 955 28 7 6 11 3 4 2 11 2 0 1 – 20 5 8
23–24 Aug Sankei/FNN[88][89] 1,022 22.2 5.2 4 9.3 4.2 3.9 2.8 9.9 2.4 0.3 1 0.8 30.7 3.3 8.5
23–24 Aug ANN[90] 1,012 29.7 8.2 5.5 9.3 3.7 3 3.5 8.5 2.1 1.2 0.6 1.6 20.7 2.6 9
23–24 Aug Mainichi/SSRC[91][92] 2,046 17 10 4 9 2 3 2 9 2 1 2 – 38 1 21
23–24 Aug Kyodo News[93] 1,056 22.5 10.4 7.3 10.4 3.2 6.3 3.8 11.2 2.2 1.3 3 0.8[ae] 14.6 3 7.9
22–24 Aug Yomiuri/NNN[94][95] 991 23 7 4 9 4 3 2 12 2 0 1 – 32 2 9
16–17 Aug Asahi[96] 1,211 20 5 4 10 3 3 3 9 2 0 1 1 35 4 15
16–17 Aug Senkyo.com/JX[97] 1,000 28 14.3 4.6 4.3 5.6 2.6 5.7 5.5 2.2 1.1 1 – 25.1 – 2.9
9–11 Aug NHK[98] 1,137 29.4 6.9 3.2 7.1 2.9 2.4 3.4 6.8 1.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 29.6 5.5 0.2
8–11 Aug Jiji Press[99] 1,138 15.7 5.5 2.4 6.8 3.7 1.5 1.8 7.6 1.6 0.5 0.6 – 50 2.3 34.3
8 Aug Fumitake Fujita succeed Seiji Maehara as co-leader of Ishin.[100]
2–3 Aug JNN[101] 1,003 20.4 6.9 2.7 8.7 4 3.1 2.1 10.2 1.8 0.3 1.6 1 33.2 4 12.8
26–27 Jul Sankei/FNN[102][103] 1,030 21 6.8 2.6 13.9 4 3.7 2.4 9.8 2.3 0.9 1.5 0.5 27.3 3.4 6.3
26–27 Jul Asahi[104] 1,250 20 7 4 8 4 3 3 10 2 1 1 1 30 6 10
26–27 Jul ANN[105] 1,020 31.6 10.7 4.5 7.1 4.3 3.6 3.1 10.7 1.5 0.5 0.9 0.7 16.6 4.1 15
26–27 Jul Mainichi/SSRC[106][107] 2,045 19 9 4 12 3 4 2 8 3 1 2 1 33 – 14
25–27 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo[108][109] 937 24 9 5 12 3 4 2 13 3 1 2 – 17 5 7
21–22 Jul Kyodo News[110] 1,049 20.7 10.8 5.2 15.1 4.6 4.3 3.7 11.8 2.7 1.3 4.1 0.8[af] 12.3 2.6 8.4
21–22 Jul Yomiuri/NNN[111][112] 1,043 19 8 3 11 4 3 2 12 1 0 2 1 29 5 10
20 Jul HoC election 58.51%[d] 21.6 12.5 7.4 12.9 8.8 6.6 4.8 12.5 5 2.1 2.6 3.2 – 8.7
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin DPFP Komei Reiwa JCP Sansei CPJ SDP Others No party Und./
no ans.		 Lead
11–14 Jul Jiji Press[113] 1,180 16.4 5.5 1.5 3.1 3.1 2.1 1.6 4.7 1.1 0.3 – 54.9 5.7 38.5
12–13 Jul Senkyo.com/JX[114] 991 30.8 15.3 3.5 4.1 4.1 2.1 4.3 5.3 2.1 1.9 0.1[ag] 26.1 0.3 4.7
11–13 Jul NHK[f][115] 1,913 24 7.8 3.1 4.9 3.5 2.8 3 5.9 1.4 0.7 0.7 33.7 8.6 9.7
5–6 Jul ANN[116] 1,048 30.2 10.4 4.5 6.4 5.2 3.3 4.4 6.6 1.1 0.5 2.4[ah] 19.8 5.2 10.4
5–6 Jul Kyodo News[f][117] 1,253 21.9 9.1 4.8 10.3 4.9 4.1 3 9.2 2.5 0.9 1.5 18.2 9.6 3.7
5–6 Jul JNN[118] 1,010 20.8 6.3 4.1 5.9 3.9 3.2 1.7 6.2 1.1 0.8 0.8 40 5.2 19.2
4–6 Jul NHK[f][119] 1,913 28.1 8.5 2.3 5.1 3 3.2 3.1 4.2 1 0.5 0.6[ai] 30.1 10.4 2
3–4 Jul Asahi[120] 11,164 19 7 3 6 3 3 3 5
28–29 Jun Kyodo News[f][121] 1,254 25.5 11.4 4.3 8.1 3.7 3.7 2.8 8.4 1.3 0.8 0.9[aj] 19.6 9.5 5.9
28–29 Jun Mainichi/SSRC[122][123] 2,050 19 9 4 9 2 4 2 6 1 1 1 42 – 23
27–29 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo[124][125] 775 31 10 4 10 4 4 3 7 1 1 1 22 3 9
27–29 Jun Yomiuri/NNN[126][127] 1,061 23 6 2 5 3 2 3 5 1 0 1 43 6 20
27–29 Jun NHK[f][128] 1,816 27 8.4 2.1 5.8 3.8 2 2.9 3.1 0.8 0.7 0.3 32.4 10.8 5.4
21–22 Jun ANN[129] 1,031 31.1 9.7 3.1 6.4 3.5 5.8 4.1 3.6 0.9 0.6 2.3[ak] 23.7 5.2 7.4
21–22 Jun Kyodo News[130] 1,050 29.7 9.2 4.8 9.9 4.4 5.6 3.1 3.7 2.9 1.9 0.3[al] 21.1 3.4 8.6
13–16 Jun Jiji Press[131] 1,162 18.9 4.4 1.6 3.4 2.8 1.5 1.4 2.5 0.7 0.4 – 58.2 4.2 39.3
14–15 Jun Sankei/FNN[132][133] 1,027 24.7 6.8 2.7 7.9 3.3 3.5 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.3 0.5 36.7 6.5 12
14–15 Jun Asahi[134] 1,256 23 7 2 6 3 4 2 3 1 0 1 40 8 17
14–15 Jun Senkyo.com/JX[135] 990 29.4 13.7 2.8 4.6 3.6 2.1 4.4 2.6 1.9 1 0.3[am] 33.3 0.3 3.9
14–15 Jun Kyodo News[136] 1,049 27.7 7.9 4.9 10.6 4.4 3.7 2.8 4.8 1.4 1 1.2[an] 27.6 2 0.1
7–8 Jun ANN[137] 1,025 32.2 10.4 4.6 7.5 4.5 3.6 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.8 1 25.8 3.7 6.4
6–8 Jun NHK[138] 1,201 31.6 5.8 2.5 5.4 3.2 1.7 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.8[ao] 37.8 6.1 6.2
31 May – 1 Jun JNN[139] 1,056 24.3 8.2 2.3 6.8 2.9 3.1 2.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.9 42.2 4.2 17.9
24–25 May Kyodo News[140] 1,064 28.4 12.1 6.5 14.1 4.5 4.7 2.6 2.4 0.9 0.5 1.2[ap] 19.4 2.7 9
23–25 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo[141][142] 892 28 9 6 11 5 5 2 3 1 0 – 27 4 1
16–19 May Jiji Press[143] 1,176 17.2 4.4 2.3 5.7 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 – 58.5 3.5 41.3
17–18 May Sankei/FNN[144][145] 1,025 24.8 6.2 3.6 8.4 3.5 3.7 3.4 1.3 1 0.4 0.2 37.2 6.4 12.4
17–18 May Asahi[146] 1,209 24 7 2 8 3 3 2 2 1 0 – 40 8 16
17–18 May Senkyo.com/JX[147] 986 27 13.5 3.5 7.4 4 1.6 4.3 2.5 2.4 1.1 0.2[aq] 32.3 – 5.3
17–18 May Kyodo News[148] 1,064 25 12.1 4.9 13.2 4.7 6.5 3.9 2.6 1.5 1.1 0.5[ar] 21.2 2.8 3.8
17–18 May Mainichi/SSRC[149][150] 2,045 16 9 4 13 2 5 2 2 2 1 – 42 2 26
16–18 May Yomiuri/NNN[151][152] 1,072 25 6 2 11 2 4 1 1 1 0 – 41 4 16
10–11 May ANN[153] 1,016 33.8 9.8 3.4 11.7 3.3 4.6 2.9 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.9 24.6 3 9.2
9–11 May NHK[154] 1,216 26.4 7.6 2.6 7.2 3.7 2.5 2.6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 38.2 6.1 11.8
3–4 May JNN[155] 1,026 23.5 5.6 4.3 10.2 4 3.5 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 36.7 6.9 13.2
19–21 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo[156][157] 799 31 10 4 14 3 4 2 1 1 1 – 25 4 6
19–20 Apr Sankei/FNN[158][159] 1,015 22.9 7.6 2.8 11.4 2.6 3.7 2.5 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.7 39.4 3.6 16.5
19–20 Apr Asahi[160] 1,240 23 7 3 12 3 3 2 1 1 0 1 37 7 14
19–20 Apr ANN[161] 1,030 34.8 11 3.4 11.4 2.8 3.5 3.8 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 21.7 3.8 13.1
11–14 Apr Jiji Press[162] 1,140 17.4 3.8 3.1 5.4 3 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 – 58.2 3.5 40.8
12–13 Apr Senkyo.com/JX[163] 995 27.7 12.9 3.7 7.7 3.2 3.2 4.6 1.5 1 1.3 0.1[as] 33 – 5.3
12–13 Apr Kyodo News[164] 1,051 25.8 11.9 4.9 18.4 4.2 4.8 3.4 1 1.9 0.7 0.2[at] 20.1 2.7 5.7
12–13 Apr Mainichi/SSRC[165][166] 2,040 18 10 3 15 3 5 2 0 0 0 – 41 3 23
11–13 Apr Yomiuri/NNN[167][168] 1,026 28 6 2 13 3 3 2 1 1 0 – 37 4 9
11–13 Apr NHK[169] 1,120 29.7 5.8 2.4 7.9 3.8 2.6 2.1 1 0.6 0.4 0.1[au] 36.9 6.6 7.2
5–6 Apr JNN[170] 1,031 23.9 8.4 2.9 10.7 2.8 4.6 2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.5 39.7 2.5 15.8
22–23 Mar Sankei/FNN[171][172] 1,013 20.8 6.9 3.4 11.1 2.7 5.2 2.2 1.3 1 0.4 – 40.6 4.4 19.8
22–23 Mar ANN[173] 1,025 29.4 11.8 5.7 11.4 3.9 4.2 3.5 0.6 1.1 0.6 1 22.9 3.9 6.5
22–23 Mar Kyodo News[174] 1,046 27.7 11.1 5.4 12.9 3.8 7 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.8 0.3[av] 23 2.8 4.7
21–23 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo[175][176] 847 32 10 7 13 2 5 2 1 1 0 – 22 4 10
15–16 Mar Senkyo.com/JX[177] 998 26.7 14.2 3.3 9.6 3.3 2.8 4.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 – 31.4 – 4.7
15–16 Mar Asahi[178] 1,137 23 7 3 11 3 3 1 1 1 0 – 38 9 15
15–16 Mar Mainichi/SSRC[179][180] 2,047 19 11 4 16 2 5 1 1 1 0 – 39 1 20
14–16 Mar Yomiuri/NNN[181][182] 1,023 26 6 3 12 2 3 1 0 1 0 – 40 5 14
7–10 Mar Jiji Press[183] 1,186 17.9 4.2 2.4 8 3.5 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.9 0.3 – 54.8 4.3 36.9
7–9 Mar NHK[184] 1,225 29.2 7.5 3 8.4 2.9 2.8 1.8 1 1.1 0.2 0.4 35.7 6 6.5
1–2 Mar JNN[185] 1,027 25.6 5.6 3.6 10.9 2.7 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 39 4.9 13.4
22–23 Feb Sankei/FNN[186][187] 1,028 26.4 6.9 5.7 9.8 2.7 5.2 2.1 1 0.5 0.3 – 35.3 4.1 8.9
22–23 Feb ANN[188] 1,034 33.2 11.5 4.7 8.8 5.2 5.1 3.3 1.1 0.4 1.1 0.6 21.7 3.1 11.5
21–23 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo[189][190] 847 30 11 6 13 4 6 2 0 1 0 – 21 5 9
15–16 Feb Senkyo.com/JX[191] 1,004 27.5 15.1 4.8 5.9 3.7 2.7 4.5 0.9 1.8 1.2 0.2[aw] 31.8 – 4.3
15–16 Feb Asahi[192] 1,111 25 7 2 10 3 4 2 1 1 0 – 36 9 11
15–16 Feb Kyodo News[193] 1,063 30.6 10.4 7.6 10.8 3.2 7.3 2.3 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.4[ax] 18.5 5.3 12.1
15–16 Feb Mainichi/SSRC[194][195] 2,043 18 10 5 14 3 5 2 0 0 0 – 39 4 21
14–16 Feb Yomiuri/NNN[196][197] 1,033 26 8 3 8 3 4 2 0 0 0 1 39 4 13
7–9 Feb NHK[198] 1,212 31.3 9.2 3.2 6.8 3.5 2.1 2.2 0.5 1 0.8 0.2[ay] 32.8 6.5 1.5
6–9 Feb Jiji Press[199] 1,126 17.9 5.4 2 6.1 3.8 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.4 – 56 3.4 38.1
1–2 Feb JNN[200] 1,010 24.7 6.4 3.1 8.1 3.4 4.2 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.4 41.9 4.6 17.2
25–26 Jan ANN[201] 1,030 35.3 10.9 4.6 9.3 3.8 4.5 3.1 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.8 22.5 3 12.8
25–26 Jan Kyodo News[202] 1,064 29.6 10.7 5.4 14.4 4.4 4.6 3.7 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.8[az] 19.3 3.8 10.3
24–26 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo[203][204] 946 33 10 6 14 3 4 2 1 1 0 – 20 6 13
18–19 Jan Sankei/FNN[205][206] 1,005 29.4 10.1 2.5 7.2 2.8 3.5 2.2 0.8 1.1 0.3 – 37 3.1 7.6
18–19 Jan Asahi[207] 1,103 23 7 3 12 4 3 3 1 0 0 – 37 7 14
18–19 Jan Mainichi/SSRC[208][209] 2,042 20 11 5 15 2 4 2 1 2 0 – 38 – 18
17–19 Jan Yomiuri/NNN[210][211] 1,015 28 5 3 13 4 4 2 1 1 0 – 34 4 6
11–13 Jan NHK[212] 1,211 30.5 8.1 3.6 6.4 2.7 2.1 1.3 0.3 1.1 0.3 0.3[ba] 37.8 5.4 7.3
10–13 Jan Jiji Press[213] 1,180 17.3 5.1 2.8 6.6 3.6 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 – 57.3 3.1 40
11–12 Jan Senkyo.com/JX[214] 996 26.8 17 4.8 5.7 4.1 3.2 6 0.7 1.8 0.7 0.1[bb] 29 – 2.2
4–5 Jan JNN[215] 1,018 26.2 8.2 2.5 11 3.2 3.6 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.4 – 37.4 3.4 11.2

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin DPFP Komei Reiwa JCP Sansei CPJ SDP Others No party Und./
no ans.		 Lead
20–22 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo[216][217] 774 32 9 5 14 3 3 3 1 1 1 – 24 3 8
14–15 Dec Senkyo.com/JX[218] 996 26.8 17.2 4.8 5.7 2.9 1.8 3.8 1 2.5 1.3 0.2[bc] 31.9 – 5.1
14–15 Dec Sankei/FNN[219][220] 1,020 28.1 9 3.2 11.3 2.4 2.8 3.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 – 36.9 1 8.8
14–15 Dec Asahi[221] 1,049 24 9 4 11 3 2 2 1 1 0 1 35 7 11
14–15 Dec Kyodo News[222] 1,056 29.1 11.3 5 12.6 2.3 5 2.7 1.8 2.1 0.6 1.2[bd] 22.5 3.8 6.6
14–15 Dec Mainichi/SSRC[223][224] 2,045 20 11 5 13 2 4 2 1 2 0 – 38 2 18
13–15 Dec Yomiuri/NNN[225][226] 1,018 24 8 4 12 5 3 2 0 0 0 – 36 4 12
6–9 Dec Jiji Press[227] 1,152 19.1 6.7 2.5 5.7 4.3 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 – 54.6 2.4 35.5
6–9 Dec NHK[228] 1,224 28.7 8.7 3.4 7.9 2.5 1.6 2.7 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.1 35.6 6.7 6.9
7–8 Dec ANN[229] 1,017 35.2 13.9 5.2 10.6 2.4 2.4 3.2 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.9 19.8 4.1 15.4
30 Nov – 1 Dec JNN[230] 1,003 28.2 8.5 4 8.8 3.3 2.9 2.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.6 35.6 4 7.4
1 Dec Hirofumi Yoshimura and Seiji Maehara succeed Nobuyuki Baba as co-leaders of Ishin.[231]
23–24 Nov Mainichi/SSRC[232][233] 1,919 21 12 5 13 3 4 2 1 2 1 – 38 – 17
16–17 Nov Kyodo News[234] 1,021 30.5 15.1 4.4 9 3.9 6.9 2.5 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.6[be] 20.9 1.8 9.6
16–17 Nov Senkyo.com/JX[235] 1,003 26.9 16 4.3 5.6 4.2 2.5 5.1 1 1.7 0.9 – 31.9 – 5
15–17 Nov NHK[236] 1,213 30.1 11.4 3.6 7.4 3.8 1.4 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 31.6 6.1 1.5
15–17 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo[237][238] 800 30 16 5 11 4 4 5 2 1 1 – 19 2 11
11–12 Nov Yomiuri/NNN[239][240] 1,054 30 11 3 10 3 4 2 1 1 0 – 30 4 Tie
11 Nov The Second Ishiba Cabinet is formed.
8–11 Nov Jiji Press[241] 1,190 20 7.5 2.6 5.5 4.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 – 52.7 3.3 32.7
9–10 Nov ANN[242] 1,025 36.6 15.8 4.1 8.9 4.8 2.8 3.7 1 1.4 0.4 0.6 15.8 4.2 20.8
9 Nov Tetsuo Saito succeeds Keiichi Ishii as President of Komeito.[243]
2–3 Nov Sankei/FNN[244][245] 1,012 25.8 13.7 5.3 10.1 3.7 2.8 3.5 3 1.6 0.4 – 28.3 1.8 2.5
2–3 Nov Asahi[246] 980 26 13 2 10 3 3 2 1 1 0 – 29 10 3
1–2 Nov JNN[247] 1,020 24.6 12.8 4 9.1 3.7 3.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.2 31.8 5.8 7.2
28–29 Oct Yomiuri/NNN[248][249] 1,068 25 14 5 7 4 4 3 2 1 1 – 31 3 6
28–29 Oct Kyodo News[250] 1,063 31.8 20.3 5.3 9.8 3.4 6.7 2.1 1.7 1.7 0.6 – 15 1.6 11.5
27 Oct Election results 53.84%[d] 26.7 21.2 9.4 11.3 10.9 7 6.2 3.4 2.1 1.7 – – – 5.5

Voting intention (proportional vote)

2026

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CRA Ishin DPFP Reiwa JCP Sansei CPJ SDP Mirai Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
8 Feb Election results 55.7%[d] 36.7 18.2 8.6 9.7 2.9 4.4 7.4 2.5 1.3 6.7 1.4[bf] – 18.5
6–7 Feb Kyodo News[f][1] 1,054 37.4 11.2 7.1 6.2 1.7 3.8 4.9 1.2 0.4 4.5 1.7[bg] 18.5[bh] 1.4 18.9
2–4 Feb Senkyo.com/JX[2] 1,051 37.9 17.8 8.6 8.3 2.2 5.3 4.8 2.1 1.4 4.6 1.6[bi] 5.5 – 20.1
31 Jan – 1 Feb Kyodo News[f][3] 1,048 36.1 13.9 5.4 5.7 0.9 1.5 5.6 1 1.4 4.4 1.5[bj] 22.1[bk] 0.5 14
31 Jan – 1 Feb JNN[4] 1,038 32 10 6 6 2 4 6 1 0 4 2[bl] 24 3 8
24–25 Jan Sankei/FNN[6][7] 1,013 33.8 10.3 4.8 5.1 1.5 2 3.8 0.8 0.5 1.3 – 31 5.1 2.8
24–25 Jan ANN[8] 1,027 31.5 14.7 4.9 5.6 1.3 2.4 2.9 1 0.3 1.1 0.8 33.4[bm] 1.9
24–25 Jan Mainichi/SSRC[9][10] 2,048 24 14 4 7 2 2 4 1 1 3 – 36 – 12
24–25 Jan Kyodo News[f][11] 1,062 29.2 11.9 5.5 8.4 1.8 2 4.3 1 0.9 2.5 0.3[bn] 30.5[bo] 1.7 1.3
23–25 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo[13][14] 977 40 13 7 9 2 2 7 1 0 2 – 10 5 27
23–25 Jan Yomiuri/NNN[15][16] 1,034 36 9 7 9 2 4 5 2 1 3 – 16 6 20
23 Jan Sanae Takaichi dissolves the House of Representatives. A general election is called for 8 February 2026.[17]
17–18 Jan Asahi[18] 1,228 34 9 10 10 4 3 7 2 1 2 2 16 18
17–18 Jan Senkyo.com/JX[19] 1,043 37 17.9 5.3 9.1 3.5 4.9 6.7 1.9 0.7 1.5 1.9 9.6 – 19.1
15 Jan CDP and Komeito agree to contest the general election together as a new party, the Centrist Reform Alliance.[20]

2025

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin DPFP Komei Reiwa JCP Sansei CPJ SDP Mirai Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
13–14 Dec Senkyo.com/JX[35] 1,036 37.1 10.9 9 7.1 4.8 3.1 4.4 7.7 2.4 0.2 1.3 2 9.9 – 26.2
15–16 Nov Asahi[47] 1,215 34 9 8 8 5 3 3 7 2 1 1 – 19 15
15–16 Nov Senkyo.com/JX[49] 1,003 35.8 11.4 8 9.1 4.8 3.6 2.7 7.5 2.6 0.8 1.6 2 10.3 – 24.4
25–26 Oct Asahi[56] 1,342 32 9 10 9 4 5 3 7 3 1 3 – 14 18
11–12 Oct Senkyo.com/JX[67] 1,013 26.9 12.5 6.4 9.5 5.6 3.1 4.5 8.5 2.6 0.9 2.1 1.4 16.1 – 10.8
20–21 Sep Asahi[75] 1,176 26 11 5 11 4 5 3 10 3 1 2 – 19 7
13–14 Sep Senkyo.com/JX[79] 995 27.8 15.4 6.6 6 4.4 3.9 5.6 9.5 3.1 1.4 1.3 1.8 13 0.2 12.4
16–17 Aug Senkyo.com/JX[97] 1,000 28.2 15.8 6.3 8.3 6.5 3.8 7.4 7.1 2.7 1.2 1 2.1 9.6 – 12.4
20 Jul HoC election 58.51%[d] 21.6 12.5 7.4 12.9 8.8 6.6 4.8 12.5 5 2.1 2.6 3.2 – 8.7
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin DPFP Komei Reiwa JCP Sansei CPJ SDP Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
12–13 Jul Senkyo.com/JX[114] 991 28.6 19.5 6.3 5.5 5.8 3.6 5.2 8.4 3.1 2.6 2.5 8.9 – 9.1
5–6 Jul ANN[116] 1,048 23.6 11 4.2 5.4 5.6 2.4 4.1 6.2 1.4 0.4 1.7[bp] 19 14.9 4.6
5–6 Jul Kyodo News[f][117] 1,253 18.2 6.6 3.4 6.8 5 3.7 2.5 8.1 2.5 0.9 0.7 40.8[bq] 0.8 22.6
5–6 Jul JNN[118] 1,010 25 12 6 8 5 6 3 9 2 1 5 19 6
28–29 Jun Kyodo News[f][121] 1,254 17.9 9.8 2.5 6.4 3.6 3.4 2.7 5.8 1.1 0.8 0.6[br] 44.4[bs] 1 24.5
28–29 Jun Mainichi/SSRC[122][123] 2,050 18 11 4 10 3 4 3 7 2 1 1 36 – 18
27–29 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo[124][125] 775 29 12 6 12 5 5 3 7 2 1 – 12 8 17
27–29 Jun Yomiuri/NNN[126][127] 1,061 24 11 5 9 5 4 5 6 1 0 1 23 8 1
26–27 Jun Agricultural News[251] 35 13.5 1 5.8 1.7 3.3 3.9 1.4 1 1.3 0.7 30.7 0.7 4.3
21–22 Jun ANN[129] 1,031 22 10.7 3.4 7.5 4.2 5.1 4.2 3.3 0.9 0.6 0.8[bt] 37.3[bu] 15.3
21–22 Jun Kyodo News[130] 1,050 26.7 11.1 4.8 10.6 5.1 6.8 3.1 4.3 1.8 1.6 0.4[bv] 23.7 3
13–16 Jun Jiji Press[131] 1,162 24.5 8.3 4.4 6 4 3.1 2.2 3.5 0.7 0.5 – 42.8 18.3
14–15 Jun Sankei/FNN[132][133] 1,027 24.5 9.6 3.8 8.8 4.1 4.1 3 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.7 36.4[bw] 11.9
14–15 Jun Asahi[134] 1,256 26 12 7 10 5 7 4 4 1 1 2 21 5
14–15 Jun Senkyo.com/JX[135] 990 30.4 18.8 5.6 7.4 4.7 3.8 5.9 3.1 3.2 1.1 1.8[bx] 14.1 – 11.6
14–15 Jun Kyodo News[136] 1,049 25.9 9.2 5.1 11.5 3.7 4.3 3.2 4.3 2 1.1 1.3[by] 28.4 2.5
7–8 Jun ANN[137] 1,025 26.2 9.8 4.6 6.9 5.1 2.9 3.4 2.3 0.7 0.5 1 36.4[bz] 10.2
24–25 May Kyodo News[140] 1,064 28.6 13.6 6.3 14.3 4.4 5.2 2.3 2.6 1.6 1 0.7[ca] 19.4 9.2
23–25 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo[141][142] 892 26 12 7 12 5 7 2 3 2 0 – 14 8 12
16–19 May Jiji Press[143] 1,176 19.7 9.4 4.1 11.2 4.4 3.7 1.7 2 0.9 0.7 – 42.2 22.5
17–18 May Sankei/FNN[144][145] 1,025 23.5 8.3 3.8 11.4 4.4 4.1 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.7 37.4[cb] 13.9
17–18 May Asahi[146] 1,209 26 13 6 13 5 7 4 3 2 1 3 17 9
17–18 May Senkyo.com/JX[147] 986 25.8 19.2 6 10.9 5.5 3 6 2.1 2.6 1.3 2.1[cc] 15.4 – 6.6
17–18 May Kyodo News[148] 1,064 20.2 14.2 6 12.4 5.7 5.9 3.8 2.4 1.2 1.3 0.7[cd] 26.2 6
17–18 May Mainichi/SSRC[149][150] 2,045 15 10 4 14 3 5 3 3 2 1 1 41 – 25
16–18 May Yomiuri/NNN[151][152] 1,072 26 10 6 14 4 7 2 2 1 1 – 22 5 4
10–11 May ANN[153] 1,016 25.8 8.9 2.9 10.6 4 3.9 2.7 0.8 1 0.8 1 37.6[ce] 11.8
3–4 May JNN[155] 1,026 26 11 9 15 6 7 3 2 1 1 4 16 10
19–21 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo[156][157] 799 29 14 6 15 4 6 3 1 2 1 – 12 7 14
19–20 Apr Sankei/FNN[158][159] 1,015 23.7 8.8 3.8 13.3 2.9 2.9 2.8 1.7 1 0.6 0.9 37.8[cf] 14.1
19–20 Apr Asahi[160] 1,240 23 12 7 17 4 7 5 2 1 1 2 19 4
19–20 Apr ANN[161] 1,030 27.2 10.6 3.6 11.8 3.5 3 3.4 0.5 0.9 1.6 1.1 32.9[cg] 5.7
11–14 Apr Jiji Press[252] 1,140 20.6 7.8 4.9 10.6 4.3 5.6 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.6 – 41.3 20.7
12–13 Apr Senkyo.com/JX[163] 995 25.3 16.6 7.9 11.6 5 4.5 6.6 1.6 1.4 1.1 3.5[ch] 14.8 – 8.7
12–13 Apr Kyodo News[164] 1,051 24.6 12.3 3.9 18.5 3.9 4.1 3.2 1 1.7 0.8 – 26 1.4
12–13 Apr Mainichi/SSRC[165][166] 2,040 16 11 4 16 3 5 3 1 1 1 – 38 – 22
11–13 Apr Yomiuri/NNN[167][168] 1,026 27 10 5 15 4 6 4 1 2 0 – 19 7 8
22–23 Mar Sankei/FNN[171][172] 1,013 19.3 8.5 3.2 12 2.6 5.3 2.6 1 0.9 0.4 – 44.2[ci] 24.9
22–23 Mar ANN[173] 1,025 24.1 11.1 4.6 11.2 3.2 3.6 3.9 0.5 1.3 0.3 0.5 35.7[cj] 11.6
22–23 Mar Kyodo News[174] 1,046 24.3 12.5 6.4 13.4 4.1 7.3 3.6 1.2 0.3 1.1 0.4[ck] 25.4 1.1
21–23 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo[175][176] 847 29 13 9 14 3 8 3 1 1 0 1 11 8 18
15–16 Mar Senkyo.com/JX[177] 998 23.7 20.6 6.2 13.9 4.4 3.4 6.8 1.2 1.7 1.3 2.4[cl] 14.2 – 3.1
15–16 Mar Asahi[178] 1,137 24 12 7 17 5 7 3 1 2 1 3 19 5
15–16 Mar Mainichi/SSRC[179][180] 2,047 16 13 5 17 2 5 2 1 1 0 1 38 – 21
14–16 Mar Yomiuri/NNN[181][182] 1,023 25 11 6 17 4 5 3 1 1 0 – 20 6 5
22–23 Feb ANN[188] 1,034 23.6 10.7 6.2 9.6 5.2 3.7 3.6 1 0.4 0.8 0.8 34.4[cm] 10.8
21–23 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo[189][190] 847 29 13 7 14 4 8 3 1 1 0 1[cn] 10 9 15
15–16 Feb Senkyo.com/JX[191] 1,004 25.7 20.8 8.3 9.8 4.2 4.6 5.6 0.6 2.2 1.5 2.3[co] 14.5 – 4.9
15–16 Feb Asahi[192] 1,111 26 11 5 16 5 9 4 2 2 1 1 18 8
15–16 Feb Kyodo News[193] 1,063 24.9 11.3 6.8 11.5 3.5 5.9 2.5 1.8 1.9 0.5 0.7[cp] 28.7 3.8
15–16 Feb Mainichi/SSRC[194][195] 2,043 16 11 5 15 3 5 2 0 2 0 – 38 3 22
6–9 Feb Jiji Press[253] 1,126 22 9.7 3.6 10.2 5.1 3.5 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.4 – 40.2 18.2
25–26 Jan Kyodo News[202] 1,064 26 12.9 5.8 14.9 3.8 4.4 4.1 1 1.4 0.3 0.4[cq] 25 1
24–26 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo[203][204] 946 32 13 8 15 3 5 3 2 2 1 – 11 8 17
18–19 Jan Asahi[207] 1,103 25 15 8 15 6 6 3 1 1 2 2 16 9
18–19 Jan Mainichi/SSRC[208][209] 2,042 17 14 6 16 2 4 2 1 2 0 1 35 – 18
11–12 Jan Senkyo.com/JX[214] 996 27 21.2 8 8.8 4.5 4.2 7 1.3 2.2 0.8 2[cr] 12.9 – 5.8

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin DPFP Komei Reiwa JCP Sansei CPJ SDP Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
14–15 Dec Senkyo.com/JX[218] 996 23.8 22.7 9.1 10.3 4.5 2.7 5.3 1.5 2 1.5 1.3[cs] 15.2 – 1.1
16–17 Nov Senkyo.com/JX[235] 1,003 26.3 21 7.8 10.8 5.3 2.7 6.4 1.9 2.6 0.7 2.1[ct] 12.5 – 5.3
27 Oct Election results 53.84%[d] 26.7 21.2 9.4 11.3 10.9 7 6.2 3.4 2.1 1.7 0[cu] – 5.5

Voting intention (district vote)

2026

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Government Opposition None/Und. No ans. Lead
8 Feb Election results 55.7%[d] 55.9 44.1 – 11.8
31 Jan – 1 Feb Kyodo News[f][3] 1,048 44.0 26.5 27.2 2.3 16.8
24–25 Jan Kyodo News[f][11] 1,062 40.0 22.8 34.9 2.3 17.2

2025

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Government Opposition Others None/Und. No ans. Lead
5–6 Jul Kyodo News[f][117] 1,253 20.5 36.6 – 41.8 1.1 5.2
28–29 Jun Kyodo News[f][121] 1,254 19.9 32.6 – 46.3 1.2 13.7

Preferred coalition

2026

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP–Ishin–led coalition LDP–Ishin with other parties Opposition–led coalition Others Und./
no ans.
24–25 Jan ANN[8] 1,027 54 – 28 – 18
23–25 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo[13][14] 977 67 – 19[cv] 8[cw] 7
23–25 Jan Yomiuri/NNN[15][16] 1,034 59[cx] – 22 – 19

2025

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP–Ishin–led coalition LDP–Ishin with other parties Opposition–led coalition Others Und./
no ans.
6–7 Dec JNN[37] 1,021 27 35 13 15[cy] 10
21–22 Oct Yomiuri/NNN[62][63] 1,057 58[cz] – 26 – 16
20 Oct The LDP and Ishin agree to sign a confidence and supply agreement.
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP–Komei–led coalition LDP–Komei with other parties Opposition–led coalition[da] Others Und./
no ans.
10 Oct Komeito leaves the governing minority coalition.
4–6 Oct Kyodo News[68] 1,061 12.6 40 10.5 32.4[db] 4.5
4 Oct Sanae Takaichi is elected President of the LDP.
20–21 Sep Sankei/FNN[88][89] 1,018 15.6 46.9[dc] 28.7 – 8.8
20–21 Sep Mainichi/SSRC[76][77] 1,972 46 26 10 – 17
12–15 Sep Jiji Press[78] 1,162 16.5 39[dd] 15.3 – 29.2
11–12 Sep Kyodo News[82] 1,040 11.6 33.9 12.4 36.6[de] 5.5
5–7 Sep NHK[85] 1,186 43.7 24 16.7 0.7 14.9
29–31 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo[86][87] 955 34[df] 28[dg] 23 – 15
23–24 Aug Sankei/FNN[88][89] 1,022 14.3 48.3[dh] 33.1 – 4.3
23–24 Aug Mainichi/SSRC[91][92] 2,046 43 16 12 – 28
9–11 Aug NHK[98] 1,137 43.7[di] 25.5 18.1 0.6 12
8–11 Aug Jiji Press[254] 1,138 16.4 35.8[dj] 20.9 – 26.9
2–3 Aug JNN[101] 1,003 39 – 49 – 12
26–27 Jul Sankei/FNN[102][103] 1,030 13.9 46.3[dk] 34.1 – 5.7
26–27 Jul Asahi[104] 1,250 56 21 –
26–27 Jul ANN[105] 1,020 44 – 38 – 18
26–27 Jul Mainichi/SSRC[106][107] 2,045 13 26[dl] 19 6 36
25–27 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo[108][109] 937 31[dm] 29[dn] 24 – 16
21–22 Jul Kyodo News[110] 1,049 13.1 28 17.5 36.3[do] 5.1
21–22 Jul Yomiuri/NNN[111][112] 1,043 35 – 47 – 18
5–6 Jul Kyodo News[f][117] 1,253 15 31.2 17.6 29.8[dp] 6.4
5–6 Jul JNN[dq][118] 1,010 36 – 55 – 9
28–29 Jun Kyodo News[f][121] 1,254 17.1 30.7 16 30.1[dr] 6.1
28–29 Jun Mainichi/SSRC[122][123] 2,050 13 26 24 – 36
27–29 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo[124][125] 775 32[ds] 25[dt] 25 2 17
13–16 Jun Jiji Press[dq][255] 1,162 37.3 – 34.3 – 28.4
14–15 Jun Sankei/FNN[132][133] 1,027 17.4 41.9[du] 32.6 – 8.1
14–15 Jun Asahi[134] 1,256 33 – 51 – 16
7–8 Jun ANN[137] 1,025 44 – 40 – 16
31 May – 1 Jun JNN[139] 1,056 43 – 41 – 16
23–25 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo[141][142] 892 33[dv] 26[dw] 22 2 17
16–19 May Jiji Press[256] 1,176 20 28.2[dx] 21.4 – 30.4
17–18 May Sankei/FNN[dy][144][145] 1,025 38 – 53.7 – 8.3
17–18 May Asahi[146] 1,209 17 49 22 – 12
16–18 May Yomiuri/NNN[151][152] 1,072 36 – 48 – 15
10–11 May ANN[153] 1,016 43 – 41 – 16
3–4 May JNN[dq][155] 1,026 39 – 49 – 12
19–20 Apr Sankei/FNN[158][159] 1,015 13.9 48.3 30.2 – 7.6
19–20 Apr ANN[161] 1,030 43 – 40 – 17
12–13 Apr Mainichi/SSRC[165][166] 2,040 9 25[dz] 22 10 34
11–13 Apr Yomiuri/NNN[167][168] 1,026 40 – 42 – 18
5–6 Apr JNN[170] 1,031 20 38 29 – 13
14–16 Mar Yomiuri/NNN[181][182] 1,023 36 – 46 – 18
18–19 Jan Asahi[207] 1,103 34 – 51 – 15
17–19 Jan Yomiuri/NNN[210][211] 1,015 41 – 40 – 19

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP–Komei–led coalition LDP–Komei with other parties CDP–led coalition[ea] Others Und./
no ans.
13–15 Dec Yomiuri/NNN[225][226] 1,018 41 – 41 – 18
15–17 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo[237][238] 800 72[eb] 30 13 1 14
11–12 Nov Yomiuri/NNN[239][240] 1,054 44 – 37 – 19
8–11 Nov Jiji Press[241] 1,190 40.7 – 32.7 – 26.6
9–10 Nov ANN[242] 1,025 50 – 34 – 17
2–3 Nov Sankei/FNN[244][245] 1,012 30.5 30.2 31.1 – 8.2
2–3 Nov Asahi[246] 980 43 – 32 – 25
1–2 Nov JNN[247] 1,020 44 – 41 – 15
28–29 Oct Yomiuri/NNN[248][249] 1,068 43 – 40 – 17
28–29 Oct Kyodo News[250] 1,063 18.1 19.3 24.6 31.6[ec] 6.4

Seat projections

Color key:   Exit poll

Seat projections from analysts (district seats + proportional representation)
Fieldwork date Publication/
Newspapers		 Sample size Analysts LDP CRA Ishin DPFP Reiwa JCP Genyu Sansei CPJ SDP Mirai Ind./
Oth.		 Gov. Opp. Gov.
Majority
8 Feb 2026 Election results – – 316
(249+67)		 49
(7+42)		 36
(20+16)		 28
(8+20)		 1
(0+1)		 4
(0+4)		 1
(1+0)		 15
(0+15)		 0 0 11
(0+11)		 4
(4+0)		 352 113 +119
8 Feb 2026 FNN exit poll[257] – – 292–329 36–66 30–38 22–33 0–3 2–7 1–2 10–16 0–2 0–1 8–13 6 324–365 79–143 +91–132
8 Feb 2026 ANN exit poll[258] – – 313 44 35 30 3 5 2 15 0 0 12 6 348 117 +115
8 Feb 2026 TV Tokyo exit poll[259][better source needed] – – 314 50 35 30 0 3 2 14 0 0 9 8 349 116 +116
8 Feb 2026 NNN exit poll[260] – – 305 54 36 32 1 5 2 13 0 0 9 8 341 124 +108
8 Feb 2026 NHK exit poll[261] – – 274–328 37–91 28–38 18–35 0–2 3–8 0–3 5–14 0–1 0 7–13 3–8 302–366 73–175 +69–133
8 Feb 2026 JNN exit poll[262] – – 321 50 35 29 0 3 2 11 0 0 8 6 356 109 +123
3–5 Feb 2026 Mainichi/JNN[263][264] ? – 238–330 55–130 25–38 16–28 0–2 2–9 1–3 5–14 0–5 0 2–8 3–8 263–368 84–207 +30–135
3–5 Feb 2026 Nikkei[265] ? – ≥233
3–5 Feb 2026 Yomiuri[266] 356,593 – >261 <100 ~34 <27 <9 <8 1 ~10 1 0 ~10 ~6 >295 <170 +62
31 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Asahi[267] ? – 292
(220+72)		 74
(32+42)		 32
(19+13)		 29
(9+20)		 4
(0+4)		 7
(1+6)		 1
(1+0)		 11
(0+11)		 0
(0+0)		 0
(0+0)		 8
(0+8)		 7
(7+0)		 324 141 +91
28–29 Jan 2026 Mainichi/JNN[268][269] 248,714 – 208–296 84–161 29–37 21–33 0 2–7 1–2 7–15 0 0 3–8 5–9 237–333 123–235 +4–100
28 Jan 2026 Shūkan Bunshun[270] – Masashi Kubota 205[ed]
(135+70)		 167
(120+47)		 29
(14+15)		 27
(11+16)		 6
(0+6)		 6
(1+5)		 2
(2+0)		 15
(0+15)		 1
(0+1)		 0 1
(0+1)		 6
(6+0)		 234 231 +1
27–28 Jan 2026 Nikkei[271] ? – ≥233
27–28 Jan 2026 Yomiuri[272] 296,268 – >261 ~100 ~34 ~27 <9 <8 1–2 ~10 1 0 ~10 ~6 >295 <170 +62
20 Jan 2026 Asahi TV News – Kijimae Yamamoto 232 124 33 35 7 5 0 19 3 0 1 6 265 200 +32
15 Dec 2025 Weekly Gendai[273] – – 211[ee]
(146+65)		 163[ef]
(104+59)		 33
(21+12)		 30
(10+20)		 7
(0+7)		 7
(0+7)		 1
(1+0)		 6
(0+6)		 0
(0+0)		 0
(0+0)		 – 7
(7+0)		 244 221 +11
12 Nov 2025 Shūkan Bunshun[274] – Masashi Kubota 241
(168+73)		 122[eg]
(83+39)		 32
(17+15)		 26
(9+17)		 6
(0+6)		 6
(1+5)		 – 19
(0+19)		 1
(0+1)		 0
(0+0)		 1
(0+1)		 11
(11+0)		 273 192 +40
27 Oct 2024 2024 election results – – 191
(132+59)		 172[eh]
(108+64)		 38
(23+15)		 28
(11+17)		 9
(0+9)		 8
(1+7)		 – 3
(0+3)		 3
(1+2)		 1
(1+0)		 – 12
(12+0)		 237[ei] 228 +4

Preferred prime minister

After LDP presidential election

2025

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Takaichi
LDP		 Noda
CDP		 Fujita
Ishin		 Tamaki
DPFP		 Others NOT/
UD/NA
11–12 Oct Senkyo.com/JX[67] 1,013 48.5 – – 20.4 – 31.1
4–5 Oct JNN[69] 1,036 65 11 1 7 – 16

LDP presidential election

(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Liberal Democratic Party supporters)

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Sanae
Takaichi		 Shinjirō
Koizumi		 Yoshimasa
Hayashi		 Takayuki
Kobayashi		 Toshimitsu
Motegi		 Others NOT/
UD/NA
4 Oct Election results (626,555) (40.05) (28.59) (20.89) (5.15) (5.32) – –
29–30 Sep NTV/JX[275] (1,210) (35) (28) (23) (5) (4) – (5)
27–28 Sep ANN[276] 1,025
(340)		 31
(24)		 33
(41)		 14
(16)		 3
(3)		 5
(4)		 – 14
(12)
27–28 Sep Yomiuri[277] 3,143[ej]
(519)[ek]		 25
(28)		 40
(41)		 16
(13)		 5
(8)		 4
(4)		 – 10
(6)
27–28 Sep Kyodo News[278] (1,044) (34.4) (29.3) (19.5) (3.8) (5.2) – (7.8)
26–28 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo[71][279][72] 915
(284)		 34
(28)		 25
(33)		 14
(20)		 4
(3)		 5
(6)		 – 18
(9)
23–24 Sep NTV/JX[280] (1,108) (34) (28) (17) (5) (4) – (12)
20–21 Sep Sankei/FNN[281][282] 1,018
(284)		 28.3
(22.5)		 25.7
(35.2)		 11.1
(18.6)		 4
(4)		 3.8
(5.3)		 – 27
(14.4)
20–21 Sep Asahi[283] 1,176
(306)		 28
(24)		 24
(41)		 9
(10)		 5
(3)		 4
(8)		 – 30[el]
(14)[em]
20–21 Sep Mainichi/SSRC[284][285] 1,972
(375)		 25
(22)		 21
(40)		 10
(11)		 2
(5)		 3
(5)		 4 34
(17)
19–20 Sep NTV/JX[286] (1,010) (28) (32) (15) (7) (5) – (14)
13–14 Sep Senkyo.com/JX[287] 995 23.4 26.7 14.1 3.8 6.5 – 25.4

Before the LDP presidential election

2025

(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Liberal Democratic Party supporters)

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP Ishin DPFP Others NOT/
UD/NA
Shigeru
Ishiba		 Sanae
Takaichi		 Shinjirō
Koizumi		 Yoshimasa
Hayashi		 Takayuki
Kobayashi		 Toshimitsu
Motegi		 Yōko
Kamikawa		 Taro
Kono		 Katsunobu
Katō		 Yoshihiko
Noda		 Seiji
Maehara		 Yuichiro
Tamaki
12–15 Sep Jiji Press[78] 1,162
(199)		 – 21
(19.7)		 23.8
(31.8)		 5.9
(7.6)		 3.1
(3.5)		 5.9
(11.1)		 1.4 2.8 0.9 – – – – 35.2
(26.3)
13–14 Sep Yomiuri/NNN[80][81] 1,043
(282)		 – 29
(28)		 25
(33)		 6
(8)		 3
(5)		 7
(6)		 2 7
(9)		 1 – – – 0 22[en]
(11)
11–12 Sep Kyodo News[82] 1,040
(245)		 – 28
(15.7)		 22.5
(36)		 11.4
(14.9)		 3.6
(2.8)		 6.1
(8.6)		 3.8
(2.7)		 6.1
(7.3)		 0.4
(0.7)		 – – – 0.3 17.8
(11.3)
7 Sep Shigeru Ishiba announces he will resign as President of the LDP. The 2025 LDP presidential election is scheduled for 4 October 2025.
6–7 Sep Kyodo News[83] 1,045 9.9 26.7 19.4 4 3.4 4.3 4.4 8.3 1.3 – – – 0.2 18.1
6–7 Sep JNN[84] 1,030 8.6 19.3 19.3 2.2 0.9 0.9 1.8 4.9 0.6 3.2 – 5.8 20.4[eo] 12.1
29–31 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo[86][87] 955 8 23 22 4 3 1 – 4 – 4 – 7 4[ep] 20
23–24 Aug Sankei/FNN[88][89] 1,022
(227)		 14.4
(29)		 23
(17)		 20.9
(24.9)		 2.7 1.8 1.2 1.6 5.1 0.3 – – – 2.3[eq] 26.7
(29.1)
23–24 Aug ANN[90] 1,012 5 22 27 5 2 1 2 6 1 – – – 16 13
23–24 Aug Mainichi/SSRC[91][92] 2,046 21 14 9 2 2 – – – – 4 – 6 9[er] 33
23–24 Aug Kyodo News[93] 1,056 13.1 24.5 20.1 4.9 4.2 3.3 2.8 9.4 1.4 – – – 0.2 16.1
22–24 Aug Yomiuri/NNN[94][95] 991 14 24 21 2 4 1 1 6 1 – – – 1[es] 23[et]
16–17 Aug Senkyo.com/JX[97] 1,000 28.9 17.3 15.9 5.9 2.5 0.7 – 2.3 0.1 – – – 7.1 19.3
8–11 Aug Jiji Press[288] 1,138
(179)		 11.3
(24.6)		 15.9
(19.6)		 14.6
(21.2)		 2.1 – – – 3.3 – 2.8 – 5.7 – 44.3
(34.6)
8 Aug Fumitake Fujita succeeds Seiji Maehara as co-leader of Ishin.[100]
2–3 Aug JNN[101] 1,003 11.1 16.7 20.4 3.4 1.7 1.1 2.3 5.2 0.8 3.8 0.5 4.4 18.1 10.5
26–27 Jul Sankei/FNN[102][103] 1,030 9.4 22.4 16 4.1 1.5 1 1.8 4.1 0.6 4.2 1.2 6.8 – 26.9[eu]
26–27 Jul ANN[105] 1,020 13 20 23 5 4 2 1 6 0 – – – 10 16
26–27 Jul Mainichi/SSRC[106][107] 2,045 20 15 8 2 2 – – – – 5 – 8 8[ev] 32[ew]
25–27 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo[108][109] 937 6 20 20 5 2 2 – 4 – 5 1 9 5[ex] 21
21–22 Jul Yomiuri/NNN[111][112] 1,043 8 26 22 2 3 2 2 7 1 – – – 2[ey] 25[ez]
14–15 Jun Sankei/FNN[132][133] 1,027 7.9 16.4 20.7 2.4 1.3 1.2 1 4.2 0.4 6.8 0.2 4.1 – 33.4[fa]
14–15 Jun Senkyo.com/JX[135] 990 15.4 15.6 19.9 6 – – – 2.5 – 6.5 1 2.5 13.1 17.6
24–25 May Kyodo News[140] 1,064 7.3 21.5 15.9 2.6 3 1.1 4.6 5.1 1.4 5.4 0.5 9.3 0.6 21.7
17–18 May Sankei/FNN[144][145] 1,025 7.7 18.9 15.2 1.5 1.9 1.9 2 4.6 0.4 5.5 0.6 5.9 – 33.8[fb]
17–18 May Asahi[146] 1,209 21 – – – – – – – – 11 3 12 – 53[fc]

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Ishiba
LDP		 Noda
CDP		 Baba
Ishin		 Tamaki
DPFP		 Saito
Komei		 Yamamoto
Reiwa		 Tamura
JCP		 Others NOT/
UD/NA
9–10 Nov ANN[242] 1,025 37 15 1 9 1 5 1 20 13
2–3 Nov Sankei/FNN[244][245] 1,012 46.1 17.4 2.7 10.2 – – – – 23.6
1–2 Nov JNN[247] 1,020 50 35 – – – – – – 15

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Sanae Takaichi

Approval Polling for the Takaichi Cabinet.
Approval Polling for the Takaichi Cabinet.

2026

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
2–8 Feb Morning Consult N/A 56 33 11 23
6–7 Feb Kyodo News[f][1] 1,054 63.3 23 13.7 40.3
2–4 Feb Senkyo.com/JX[2] 1,051 60.3[fd] 26.6[fe] 13.1 33.7
31 Jan – 1 Feb Kyodo News[f][3] 1,048 63.6 25.6 10.8 38
31 Jan – 1 Feb JNN[4] 1,038 69.9 26.5 3.6 43.4
30 Jan – 1 Feb NHK[f][5] 2,521 58.4 26.3 15.2 32.1
24–25 Jan Sankei/FNN[6][7] 1,013 70.8 23.4 5.8 47.4
24–25 Jan ANN[8] 1,027 57.6 25.3 17.1 32.3
24–25 Jan Mainichi/SSRC[9][10] 2,048 57 29 14 28
24–25 Jan Kyodo News[f][11] 1,062 63.1 25 11.9 38.1
23–25 Jan NHK[f][12] 1,564 58.8 26.3 14.9 32.5
23–25 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo[13][14] 977 67 26 7 41
23–25 Jan Yomiuri/NNN[15][16] 1,034 69 23 8 46
23 Jan Sanae Takaichi dissolves the House of Representatives. A general election is called for 8 February 2026.[17]
17–18 Jan Asahi[18] 1,228 67 23 10 44
17–18 Jan Senkyo.com/JX[19] 1,043 63.4[ff] 21.7[fg] 14.9 41.7
10–12 Jan NHK[21] 1,213 61.9 21 17.1 40.9
9–12 Jan Jiji Press[22] 1,170 61 15.1 23.9 45.9
10–11 Jan JNN[23] 1,015 78.1 18.6 3.3 59.5
29 Dec – 4 Jan Morning Consult N/A 63 24 12 39

2025

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
20–21 Dec Sankei/FNN[24][25] 1,021 75.9 18.9 5.2 57
20–21 Dec Asahi[26] 1,195 68 19 13 49
20–21 Dec Mainichi/SSRC[27][28] 1,907 67 22 11 45
20–21 Dec Kyodo News[29] 1,040 67.5 20.4 12.1 47.1
19–21 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo[39][40] 916 75 18 7 57
19–21 Dec Yomiuri/NNN[32][33] 1,034 73 14 13 59
13–14 Dec ANN[34] 1,040 63 19.4 17.6 43.6
13–14 Dec Senkyo.com/JX[35] 1,036 70.1[fh] 17.2[fi] 12.7 52.9
8–14 Dec Morning Consult N/A 61 26 13 35
5–8 Dec Jiji Press[36] 1,132 59.9 13.6 26.5 46.3
6–7 Dec JNN[37] 1,021 75.8 20.7 3.5 55.1
5–7 Dec NHK[38] 1,102 64.3 18.9 16.9 45.4
28–30 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo[39][40] 1,006 75 18 7 57
22–23 Nov Sankei/FNN[41][42] 1,020 75.2 19.6 5.2 55.6
22–23 Nov Mainichi/SSRC[43][44] 1,985 65 23 12 42
21–23 Nov Yomiuri/NNN[45][46] 1,054 72 17 11 55
15–16 Nov Asahi[47] 1,215 69 17 14 52
15–16 Nov ANN[48] 1,058 67.5 15.4 17.1 50.4
15–16 Nov Senkyo.com/JX[49] 1,003 66.3[fj] 18.1[fk] 15.7 48.2
15–16 Nov Kyodo News[50] 1,046 69.9 16.5 13.6 53.4
6–12 Nov Morning Consult N/A 62 23 15 39
7–10 Nov Jiji Press[51] 1182 63.8 10.8 25.4 53
7–9 Nov NHK[52] 1,213 65.6 15.3 19.1 46.5
1–2 Nov JNN[53] 1,013 82 14.3 3.7 67.7
25–26 Oct Sankei/FNN[54][55] 1,021 75.4 19.1 5.5 56.3
25–26 Oct Asahi[56] 1,342 68 19 13 49
25–26 Oct ANN[57] 1,058 58.7 21.8 19.4 36.9
25–26 Oct Mainichi/SSRC[58][59] 2,045 65 22 13 43
24–26 Oct Nikkei/TV Tokyo[60][61] 1,059 74 19 6 55
21–22 Oct Yomiuri/NNN[62][63] 1,057 71 18 11 53
21–22 Oct Kyodo News[64] 1,053 64.4 23.2 12.4 41.2
21 Oct Sanae Takaichi succeeds Shigeru Ishiba as Prime Minister of Japan. The Takaichi Cabinet is formed.
11–13 Oct NHK[65] 1,205 52.3[fl] 43.6[fm] 4.1 8.7
10–13 Oct Jiji Press[66] 1,164 43.8 23 33.3 10.5
11–12 Oct Senkyo.com/JX[67] 1,013 50.2[fn] 30.4[fo] 19.5 19.8
4–6 Oct Kyodo News[68] 1,061 68.4 25.5 6.1 42.9
4–5 Oct JNN[69] 1,036 66 26 8 40
4 Oct Sanae Takaichi is elected President of the LDP.

Shigeru Ishiba

Approval Polling for the Ishiba Cabinet.
Approval Polling for the Ishiba Cabinet.

2025

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
21 Oct Sanae Takaichi succeeds Shigeru Ishiba as Prime Minister of Japan. The Takaichi Cabinet is formed.
10–13 Oct Jiji Press[66] 1,164 25.1 48.2 26.7 21.5
11–12 Oct Senkyo.com/JX[67] 1,013 32.5[fp] 42.6[fq] 24.9 10.1
1–7 Oct Morning Consult N/A 28 56 17 28
4–5 Oct JNN[69] 1,036 43.7 53 3.3 9.3
4 Oct Sanae Takaichi is elected President of the LDP.
27–28 Sep ANN[70] 1,025 34.3 47.1 18.6 12.8
26–28 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo[71][72] 915 37 57 6 20
20–21 Sep Sankei/FNN[88][89] 1,018 37.9 56 6.1 18.1
20–21 Sep Mainichi/SSRC[76][77] 1,972 31 53 15 22
12–15 Sep Jiji Press[289] 1,162 27.7 48.3 24 20.6
13–14 Sep Senkyo.com/JX[79] 995 41.9[fr] 34.3[fs] 23.8 7.6
13–14 Sep Yomiuri/NNN[80][81] 1,043 34 54 12 20
11–12 Sep Kyodo News[82] 1,040 34.5 51.4 14.1 16.9
7 Sep Shigeru Ishiba announces he will resign as President of the LDP.
6–7 Sep Kyodo News[83] 1,045 32.7 51.6 15.7 18.9
6–7 Sep JNN[84] 1,030 37.7 59.4 2.9 21.7
5–7 Sep NHK[85] 1,186 39.2 42.2 18.5 3
2–8 Sep Morning Consult N/A 25.5 57.9 16.6 32.4
29–31 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo[86][87] 955 42 53 5 11
23–24 Aug Sankei/FNN[88][89] 1,022 38.8 57.1 4.1 18.3
23–24 Aug ANN[90] 1,012 34.1 46.9 19 12.8
23–24 Aug Mainichi/SSRC[91][92] 2,046 33 53 14 20
23–24 Aug Kyodo News[93] 1,056 35.4 49.8 14.8 14.4
22–24 Aug Yomiuri/NNN[94][95] 991 39 50 11 11
16–17 Aug Asahi[96] 1,211 36 50 14 14
16–17 Aug Senkyo.com/JX[97] 1,000 45.8[ft] 32.8[fu] 21.4 13
9–11 Aug NHK[98] 1,137 38.1 45.2 16.7 7.1
8–11 Aug Jiji Press[99] 1,138 27.3 49.6 23.1 22.3
3–9 Aug Morning Consult N/A 23 62 15 39
2–3 Aug JNN[101] 1,003 36.8 60.5 2.7 23.7
26–27 Jul Sankei/FNN[102][103] 1,030 34.6 60.3 5.1 25.7
26–27 Jul Asahi[104] 1,250 29 56 15 27
26–27 Jul ANN[105] 1,020 31.6 50.2 18.2 18.6
26–27 Jul Mainichi/SSRC[106][107] 2,045 29 59 13 30
25–27 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo[108][109] 937 32 61 7 29
21–22 Jul Kyodo News[110] 1,049 22.9 65.8 11.3 42.9
21–22 Jul Yomiuri/NNN[111][112] 1,043 22 67 11 45
20 Jul 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election
11–14 Jul Jiji Press[113] 1,180 20.8 55 24.2 30.8
12–13 Jul Senkyo.com/JX[114] 991 35.5[fv] 39.4[fw] 25 3.9
11–13 Jul NHK[f][115] 1,913 30.7 52.5 16.8 21.8
4–10 Jul Morning Consult N/A 23.3 61.7 15 38.4
5–6 Jul ANN[116] 1,048 29.1 51 19.9 21.9
5–6 Jul Kyodo News[f][117] 1,253 25.4 62.6 12 37.2
5–6 Jul JNN[118] 1,010 32.8 63.6 3.6 30.8
4–6 Jul NHK[f][119] 1,913 30.9 50.3 18.8 19.4
3–4 Jul Asahi[120] 11,164 24 57 19 33
28–29 Jun Kyodo News[f][121] 1,254 32.4 57.8 9.8 25.4
28–29 Jun Mainichi/SSRC[122][123] 2,050 24 61 15 37
27–29 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo[124][125] 775 37 57 6 20
27–29 Jun Yomiuri/NNN[126][127] 1,061 32 53 15 21
27–29 Jun NHK[f][128] 1,816 33.8 46 20.2 12.2
26–27 Jun Agricultural News[251] 47.7 52 0.3 4.3
21–22 Jun ANN[129] 1,031 29.1 49.6 21.3 20.5
21–22 Jun Kyodo News[130] 1,050 32.5 50.9 16.6 18.4
13–16 Jun Jiji Press[255] 1,162 27 48.4 24.6 21.4
14–15 Jun Sankei/FNN[132][133] 1,027 38.2 57.4 4.4 19.2
14–15 Jun Asahi[134] 1,256 32 52 16 20
14–15 Jun Senkyo.com/JX[135] 990 38.3[fx] 38.6[fy] 23 0.3
14–15 Jun Kyodo News[136] 1,049 37 48.4 14.6 11.4
3–9 Jun Morning Consult N/A 22.5 63.2 14.3 40.7
7–8 Jun ANN[137] 1,025 34.4 46.4 19.2 12
6–8 Jun NHK[138] 1,201 39.1 41.8 19.2 2.7
31 May – 1 Jun JNN[139] 1,056 34.6 62 3.4 27.4
24–25 May Kyodo News[140] 1,064 31.7 52.6 15.7 20.9
23–25 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo[141][142] 892 34 60 6 26
16–19 May Jiji Press[143] 1,176 20.9 52.9 26.2 26.7
17–18 May Sankei/FNN[144][145] 1,025 32.9 61 6.1 28.1
17–18 May Asahi[146] 1,209 33 56 11 23
17–18 May Senkyo.com/JX[147] 986 33.1[fz] 39.3[ga] 27.5 6.2
17–18 May Kyodo News[148] 1,064 27.4 55.1 17.5 27.7
17–18 May Mainichi/SSRC[149][150] 2,045 22 62 16 40
16–18 May Yomiuri/NNN[151][152] 1,072 31 56 13 25
10–11 May ANN[153] 1,016 27.6 48.7 23.8 21.1
9–11 May NHK[154] 1,216 33.4 48.1 18.5 14.7
2–8 May Morning Consult N/A 20.4 63.9 15.7 43.5
3–4 May JNN[155] 1,026 33.3 62.1 4.6 28.8
19–21 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo[156][157] 799 33 60 6 27
19–20 Apr Sankei/FNN[158][159] 1,015 33.3 61.5 5.1 28.2
19–20 Apr Asahi[160] 1,240 30 56 14 26
19–20 Apr ANN[161] 1,030 31.4 47.4 21.2 16
11–14 Apr Jiji Press[162] 1,140 23.1 51.2 25.7 25.5
12–13 Apr Senkyo.com/JX[163] 995 31.4[gb] 39[gc] 29.5 7.6
12–13 Apr Kyodo News[164] 1,051 32.6 53.8 13.6 21.2
12–13 Apr Mainichi/SSRC[165][166] 2,040 24 61 15 37
11–13 Apr Yomiuri/NNN[167][168] 1,026 31 54 15 23
11–13 Apr NHK[169] 1,120 35.3 45.2 19.6 9.9
1–7 Apr Morning Consult N/A 18.8 66.1 15.1 47.3
5–6 Apr JNN[170] 1,031 30.6 66.1 3.3 35.5
22–23 Mar Sankei/FNN[171][172] 1,013 30.4 63 6.6 32,6
22–23 Mar ANN[173] 1,025 29.2 52.2 18.5 23
22–23 Mar Kyodo News[174] 1,046 27.6 57.8 14.6 30.2
21–23 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo[175][176] 847 35 59 6 24
15–16 Mar Senkyo.com/JX[177] 998 30[gd] 43.9[ge] 26 13.9
15–16 Mar Asahi[178] 1,137 26 59 15 33
15–16 Mar Mainichi/SSRC[179][180] 2,047 23 64 13 41
14–16 Mar Yomiuri/NNN[181][182] 1,023 31 58 11 27
7–10 Mar Jiji Press[183] 1,186 27.9 44.1 28 16.2
7–9 Mar NHK[184] 1,225 36.2 44.8 19 8.6
27 Feb – 5 Mar Morning Consult N/A 24.6 56.8 18.6 32.2
1–2 Mar JNN[185] 1,027 38.4 57.7 3.9 19.3
22–23 Feb Sankei/FNN[186][187] 1,028 44.3 50.1 5.6 5.8
22–23 Feb ANN[188] 1,034 37.5 41.1 21.3 3.6
21–23 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo[189][190] 847 40 52 8 12
15–16 Feb Senkyo.com/JX[191] 1,004 40.6[gf] 31.1[gg] 28.4 9.5
15–16 Feb Asahi[192] 1,111 40 44 16 4
15–16 Feb Kyodo News[193] 1,063 39.6 41.8 18.6 2.2
15–16 Feb Mainichi/SSRC[194][195] 2,043 30 54 16 24
14–16 Feb Yomiuri/NNN[196][197] 1,033 39 43 18 4
7–9 Feb NHK[198] 1,212 43.8 34.6 21.6 9.2
6–9 Feb Jiji Press[199] 1,126 28.5 40.1 31.4 8.6
1–2 Feb JNN[200] 1,010 37.1 59.7 3.2 22.6
21–27 Jan Morning Consult N/A 24.6 54 21.4 29.4
25–26 Jan ANN[201] 1,030 36.2 41.3 22.5 5.1
25–26 Jan Kyodo News[202] 1,064 35.7 49.2 15.1 13.5
24–26 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo[203][204] 946 43 50 7 7
18–19 Jan Sankei/FNN[205][206] 1,005 43.5 48.7 7.8 5.2
18–19 Jan Asahi[207] 1,103 33 51 16 18
18–19 Jan Mainichi/SSRC[208][209] 2,042 28 53 19 25
17–19 Jan Yomiuri/NNN[210][211] 1,015 40 46 14 6
11–13 Jan NHK[212] 1,211 38.7 39.8 21.5 1.1
10–13 Jan Jiji Press[213] 1,180 28.2 40.3 31.5 8.8
11–12 Jan Senkyo.com/JX[214] 996 36[gh] 33.9[gi] 30.1 2.1
2–8 Jan Morning Consult N/A 24.5 54 21.5 29.5
4–5 Jan JNN[215] 1,018 41.4 55.2 3.4 13.8

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
20–22 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo[216][217] 774 41 51 8 10
14–15 Dec Senkyo.com/JX[218] 996 34.4[gj] 35.9[gk] 29.7 1.5
14–15 Dec Sankei/FNN[219][220] 1,020 45.9 47.7 6.4 1.8
14–15 Dec Asahi[221] 1,049 36 43 21 7
14–15 Dec Mainichi/SSRC[223][224] 2,045 30 53 17 23
14–15 Dec Kyodo News[222] 1,056 36.5 43.1 20.4 6.6
13–15 Dec Yomiuri/NNN[225][226] 1,018 39 48 13 9
6–9 Dec Jiji Press[227] 1,152 26.8 41.3 31.9 9.4
6–9 Dec NHK[228] 1,224 37.7 38.3 24 0.6
7–8 Dec ANN[229] 1,017 38.5 39.8 21.6 1.3
26 Nov – 2 Dec Morning Consult N/A 24.4 53.5 22.1 29.1
30 Nov – 1 Dec JNN[230] 1,003 42.1 52.4 5.5 10.3
23–24 Nov Mainichi/SSRC[232][233] 1,919 31 50 20 19
16–17 Nov Kyodo News[234] 1,021 40 38.8 21.2 1.2
16–17 Nov Senkyo.com/JX[235] 1,003 39.7[gl] 29.9[gm] 30.5 9.8
15–17 Nov NHK[236] 1,213 40.8 37 22.2 3.8
15–17 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo[237][238] 800 46 46 8 Tie
11–12 Nov Yomiuri/NNN[239][240] 1,054 43 42 15 1
11 Nov The Second Ishiba Cabinet is formed.
8–11 Nov Jiji Press[241] 1,190 28.7 38.3 33 5.3
9–10 Nov ANN[242] 1,025 38.3 37.3 24.4 1
29 Oct – 4 Nov Morning Consult N/A 23 53.4 23.6 29.8
2–3 Nov Sankei/FNN[244][245] 1,012 43.8 49.8 6.4 6
2–3 Nov Asahi[246] 980 34 47 19 13
1–2 Nov JNN[247] 1,020 38.9 57.3 3.8 18.4
28–29 Oct Yomiuri/NNN[248][249] 1,068 34 51 15 17
28–29 Oct Kyodo News[250] 1,063 32.1 52.2 15.7 20.1

See also

Notes

References

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