Opinion polling for the 2026 Victorian state election
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In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.
Graphical summary
Voting intention
Legislative Assembly
2026
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote[a] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ONP | |||
| 2 May | The Liberals retain Nepean in the 2026 Nepean state by-election | ||||||||||
| 22–24 April | Roy Morgan[1] | 1,707 | 25.5% | 24% | 13.5% | 24.5% | 8.5% | 4% | 51% | 49% | N/a |
| 53.5% | N/a | 46.5% | |||||||||
| N/a | 59% | 41% | |||||||||
| Mar – Apr | Resolve[2][3] | 1,047 | 27% | 29% | 10% | 21% | 13% | N/a | N/a | N/a | |
| 19–23 Mar | Freshwater[4][5][6] | 1,062 | 27% | 30% | 14% | 20% | 9% | 48% | 52% | N/a | |
| 18–27 Feb | Redbridge/Accent[7] | 2,165 | 25% | 28% | 13% | 24% | 10% | 48% | 52% | N/a | |
| 53% | N/a | 47% | |||||||||
| 19–23 Feb | Freshwater[8][9] | 1,030 | 28% | 27% | 13% | 23% | 9% | 50% | 50% | N/a | |
| 13–16 Feb | Roy Morgan[10][11] | 2,462 | 25.5% | 21.5% | 13.5% | 26.5% | 9% | 4% | 52% | 48% | N/a |
| 52.5% | N/a | 47.5% | |||||||||
| N/a | 56% | 44% | |||||||||
| 12–16 Jan & 8–14 Feb |
Resolve[12] | 1,100 | 28% | 30% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 11% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 1–10 Feb | DemosAU[13][14] | 1,274 | 23% | 29% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 47% | 53% | N/a | |
| 26 Nov 2022 | 2022 election[15] | 37.0% | 34.5% | 11.5% | 0.3% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 55% | 45% | — | |
2025
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
| 24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 | Redbridge/Accent[16][17] | 1,021 | 31% | 40% | 12% | 6% | 11%[b] | 50% | 50% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Resolve[18][19] | 1,000 | 28% | 39% | 12% | 9% | 11% | N/a | N/a |
| 21–24 Nov 2025 | Freshwater[20][21] | 1,220 | 30% | 37% | 15% | N/a | 18% | 50% | 50% |
| 18–20 Nov 2025 | Newspoll[22] | 1,030 | 28% | 36% | 14% | N/a | 22% | 49% | 51% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | ||||||||
| 14–17 Nov 2025 | Freshwater[23][24] | 1,217 | 30% | 37% | 15% | N/a | 18% | 49% | 51% |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | 1,016 | 26% | 37% | 15% | N/a | 22% | 49% | 51% |
| 8–14 Oct 2025 | Redbridge/Accent[27] | 1,501 | 32% | 37% | 13% | N/a | 18% | 52% | 48% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Resolve[28] | 1,000 | 30% | 33% | 12% | 10% | 15% | N/a | N/a |
| 3–11 Sep 2025 | Redbridge[29] | 2005 | 32% | 37% | 13% | N/a | 18% | 52% | 48% |
| 2–9 Sep 2025 | DemosAU[30][31] | 1327 | 26% | 38% | 15% | N/a | 21% | 49% | 51% |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Resolve[32] | 1000 | 32% | 33% | 12% | 9% | 13% | N/a | N/a |
| 23–30 Jun 2025 | Newspoll[33] | 1000 | 35% | 35% | 12% | N/a | 18% | 53% | 47% |
| 19–30 Jun 2025 | Redbridge[34] | 1183 | 33% | 38% | 14% | N/a | 15% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025 | Redbridge[35][36] | 2,013 | 29% | 41% | 13% | N/a | 17% | 49% | 51% |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Resolve[37] | 1000 | 24% | 41% | 14% | 14% | 7% | N/a | N/a |
| 17–21 Mar 2025 | DemosAU[38] | 1,006 | 25% | 39% | 15% | N/a | 21% | 48% | 52% |
| Dec 2024 – Jan 2025 | Resolve[39] | 1,124 | 22% | 42% | 13% | 17% | 6% | N/a | N/a |
| 26 Nov 2022 | 2022 election[15] | 37.0% | 34.5% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 11.6%[c] | 55% | 45% | |
2024
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
| Dec 2024 – Jan 2025 | Resolve[39] | 1,124 | 22% | 42% | 13% | 17% | 6% | N/a | N/a |
| 27 Dec 2024 | Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | ||||||||
| 6–20 Nov 2024 | Redbridge[40][41] | 920 | 30% | 43% | 14% | N/a | 13% | 49% | 51% |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Resolve[42] | 1,000 | 28% | 38% | 13% | 14% | 7% | N/a | N/a |
| 26 Sep – 3 Oct 2024 | Redbridge[43][44] | 1,516 | 30% | 40% | 12% | N/a | 18% | 49% | 51% |
| 18 Sep 2024 | Redbridge[45] | 1,500 | 30% | 40% | 12% | N/a | 17% | 50% | 50% |
| 7 Sep 2024 | Resolve[46] | 1,054 | 27% | 37% | 14% | 15% | 7% | N/a | N/a |
| 6–29 Aug 2024 | Wolf & Smith[47][48] | 2,024 | 28% | 40% | 14% | 15% | 3% | 48% | 52% |
| 5 Aug 2024 | Redbridge[49] | 1,514 | 31% | 40% | 12% | N/a | 17% | 50% | 50% |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Resolve[50] | 1,000 | 27% | 37% | 15% | 15% | 6% | N/a | N/a |
| 7 Jun 2024 | Redbridge[51] | 1,000 | 35% | 38% | 14% | N/a | 13% | 55% | 45% |
| 19 May 2024 | Resolve[52] | 1,000 | 28% | 37% | 13% | 16% | 6% | N/a | N/a |
| 24 Mar 2024 | Resolve[53] | 1,100 | 33% | 35% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| 14–20 Mar 2024 | Redbridge[54] | 1,559 | 36% | 38% | 10% | N/a | 16% | 54% | 46% |
| 26 Nov 2022 | 2022 election[15] | 37.0% | 34.5% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 11.6%[d] | 55% | 45% | |
2023
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ||||
| LIB | NAT | |||||||||
| 2–12 Dec 2023 | Redbridge[55][56] | 2,000 | 37% | 36% | 13% | N/a | 14% | 55.9% | 44.1% | |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Resolve[57] | 1,100 | 37% | 31% | 11% | 14% | 6% | N/a | N/a | |
| Sep–Oct 2023 | Resolve[58] | 1,100 | 39% | 32% | 12% | 10% | 7% | N/a | N/a | |
| 27 Sep 2023 | Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier | |||||||||
| 31 Aug – 14 Sep 2023 | Redbridge[59] | 3,001 | 37% | 34% | 13% | N/a | 16% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
| Jul–Aug 2023 | Resolve[60] | 1,100 | 39% | 28% | 13% | 13% | 7% | N/a | N/a | |
| 19–20 Jul 2023 | Roy Morgan[61] | 1,046 | 33% | 35.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.5%[e] | 53% | 47% | |
| May–Jun 2023 | Resolve[62] | 1,003 | 41% | 23% | 3% | 15% | 12% | 6% | N/a | N/a |
| 17–22 May 2023 | Roy Morgan[63] | 2,095 | 42% | 28.5% | 12.5% | 9% | 8%[f] | 61.5% | 38.5% | |
| 19–22 Apr 2023 | Resolve[64] | 1,609 | 42% | 30% | 10% | 12% | 5% | N/a | N/a | |
| 15–18 Feb 2023 | Resolve[65] | 825 | 41% | 30% | 13% | 13% | 4% | N/a | N/a | |
| 8 Dec 2022 | John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | |||||||||
| 26 Nov 2022 | 2022 election[15] | 37.0% | 34.5% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 11.6%[g] | 55% | 45% | ||
Legislative Council
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | LCV | DLP | LBT | SFF | ONP | FFP | AJP | VS | OTH | |||
| 1–10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | 1,274 | 19% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 20% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4%[h] |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | 1,016 | 21% | 30% | 14% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 6%[i] |
| 26 Nov 2022 | 2022 election | 33.0% | 29.4% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 8.0% | |
Leadership polling
Preferred premier
Allan vs Wilson
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Party leaders | Net | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan | Wilson | Don't know | ||||||
| 22–24 Apr 2026 | Roy Morgan[1] | 1,707 | 42% | 53% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Mar–Apr 2026 | Resolve[2] | 1,047 | 20% | 39% | 41% | 19% | ||
| 19–23 Mar 2026 | Freshwater[4] | 1,062 | 31% | 47% | 22% | 16% | ||
| 19–23 Feb 2026 | Freshwater[8] | 1,030 | 30% | 46% | 24% | 16% | ||
| 13–16 Feb 2026 | Roy Morgan[10][11] | 2,462 | 42.5% | 51% | 6.5% | 8.5% | ||
| Jan–Feb 2026 | Resolve[12] | 1,100 | 20% | 39% | 41% | 19% | ||
| 1–10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | 1,274 | 31% | 40% | 29% | 9% | ||
| 7 Dec 2025 | Resolve[18] | 1,000 | 24% | 41% | 35% | 17% | ||
| 21–24 Nov 2025 | Freshwater[20][21] | 1,220 | 31% | 47% | 22% | 16% | ||
| 18–20 Nov 2025 | Newspoll[22] | 1,030 | 33% | 47% | 20% | 14% | ||
| 18 Nov 2025 | Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | |||||||
Allan vs Battin
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Party leaders | Net | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan | Battin | Don't know | ||||
| 14–17 Nov 2025 | Freshwater[23][24] | 1,217 | 34% | 45% | 21% | 11% |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | 1,016 | 32% | 40% | 28% | 8% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Resolve[28] | 1,000 | 27% | 33% | 40% | 6% |
| 2–9 Sep 2025 | DemosAU[30][31] | 1,327 | 32% | 37% | 31% | 5% |
| 23–30 Jun 2025 | Newspoll[33] | 1,000 | 36% | 41% | 23% | 5% |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Resolve[37] | 1,000 | 23% | 36% | 41% | 13% |
| 17–21 Mar 2025 | DemosAU[38] | 1,006 | 30% | 43% | 27% | 13% |
| Dec 2024 – Jan 2025 | Resolve[39] | 1,124 | 27% | 36% | 37% | 9% |
| 27 Dec 2024 | Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | |||||
Allan vs Pesutto
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Party leaders | Net | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan | Pesutto | Don't know | ||||
| 10 Nov 2024 | Resolve[42] | 1,000 | 29% | 30% | 41% | 1% |
| 7 Sep 2024 | Resolve[46] | 1,054 | 30% | 29% | 41% | 1% |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Resolve[50] | 1,000 | 31% | 28% | 41% | 3% |
| 19 May 2024 | Resolve[52] | 1,000 | 31% | 26% | 43% | 5% |
| 24 Mar 2024 | Resolve[53] | 1,100 | 34% | 25% | 41% | 9% |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Resolve[57] | 1,100 | 34% | 22% | 44% | 12% |
| Sep–Oct 2023 | Resolve[58] | 1,100 | 38% | 19% | 43% | 19% |
| 27 Sep 2023 | Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier | |||||
Andrews vs Pesutto
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Party leaders | Net | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrews | Pesutto | Don't know | ||||
| Jul–Aug 2023 | Resolve[60] | 1,100 | 41% | 32% | 27% | 9% |
| 19–20 Jul 2023 | Roy Morgan[61] | 1,046 | 52.5% | 47.5% | N/a | 5% |
| May un 2023 | Resolve[62] | 1,003 | 49% | 26% | 25% | 23% |
| 17–22 May 2023 | Roy Morgan[63] | 2,095 | 64% | 36% | N/a | 28% |
| 19–22 Apr 2023 | Resolve[64] | 1,609 | 49% | 28% | 23% | 21% |
| 15–18 Feb 2023 | Resolve[65] | 825 | 50% | 26% | 24% | 24% |
| 8 Dec 2022 | John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | |||||
Leadership approval
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Allan | Wilson | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos. | Neg. | DK | Net | Pos. | Neg. | DK | Net | |||
| 22–24 Apr 2026 | Roy Morgan[1] | 1,707 | 32.5% | 66.5% | 1% | -34% | 48.5% | 48.5% | 3% | - |
| 19–23 Mar 2026 | Freshwater[4] | 1,062 | 22% | 55% | 23% | -33% | 32% | 14% | 54% | +18% |
| 19–23 Feb 2026 | Freshwater[8] | 1,030 | N/a | N/a | N/a | -33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | +15% |
| 13–16 Feb 2026 | Roy Morgan[10][11] | 2,462 | 30.5% | 67.5% | 2% | -37% | 53% | 42.5% | 4.5% | 10.5% |
| 1–10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | 1,274 | 16% | 53% | 31% | -37% | 27% | 24% | 49% | +3% |
| 18–20 Nov 2025 | Newspoll[22] | 1,000 | 26% | 68% | 6% | -42% | 32% | 31% | 37% | +1% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | |||||||||
| Allan | Battin | |||||||||
| 14–17 Nov 2025 | Freshwater[23][24] | 1,217 | N/a | N/a | N/a | -28% | N/a | N/a | N/a | +15% |
| 23–30 Jun 2025 | Newspoll[33] | 1,000 | 30% | 61% | 9% | -31% | 35% | 40% | 25% | -5% |
| 24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025 | Redbridge[35] | 2,013 | 16% | 51% | 33% | -35% | 27% | 16% | 57% | +11% |
| 12–13 Mar 2025 | JWS Research[66] | N/a | 21% | 54% | 25% | −33% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 27 Dec 2024 | Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | |||||||||
| Allan | Pesutto | |||||||||
| 2–12 Dec 2023 | Redbridge[56] | 2,000 | 24% | 30% | 46% | −6% | 16% | 29% | 55% | −13% |
| 27 Sep 2023 | Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier | |||||||||
| Andrews | Pesutto | |||||||||
| 19–20 Jul 2023 | Roy Morgan[61] | 1,046 | 45% | 55% | N/a | -10% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 17–22 May 2023 | Roy Morgan[63] | 2,095 | 52.5% | 47.5% | N/a | +5% | 46.5% | 53.5% | N/a | -7% |
| 8 Dec 2022 | John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | |||||||||
Sub-state results
Inner Melbourne
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
| 1–10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | N/a | 23% | 28% | 23% | 15% | N/a | 11% | N/a | N/a |
| 24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 | Redbridge/Accent[16][17] | N/a | 30% | 41% | 14% | N/a | 7% | 8%[j] | 50% | 50% |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | N/a | 27% | 31% | 25% | N/a | N/a | 17% | 57% | 43% |
| 2–9 Sep 2025 | DemosAU[30][31] | N/a | 27% | 36% | 19% | N/a | N/a | 18% | 52% | 48% |
| 6–20 Nov 2024 | Redbridge[40][41] | N/a | 28% | 41% | 17% | N/a | N/a | 14% | 49% | 51% |
Outer Melbourne
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
| 1–10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | N/a | 24% | 32% | 13% | 21% | N/a | 10% | N/a | N/a |
| 24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 | Redbridge/Accent[16][17] | N/a | 34% | 38% | 11% | N/a | 6% | 11%[k] | 51% | 49% |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | N/a | 27% | 40% | 11% | N/a | N/a | 22% | 46% | 54% |
| 2–9 Sep 2025 | DemosAU[30][31] | N/a | 25% | 39% | 14% | N/a | N/a | 21% | 47% | 53% |
| 6–20 Nov 2024 | Redbridge[40][41] | N/a | 31% | 42% | 15% | N/a | N/a | 12% | 50% | 50% |
Melbourne
Provincial
Rural
Regional/Rural
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ONP | |||
| 13–16 Feb 2026 | Roy Morgan[10][11] | N/a | 23.5% | 21% | 8.5% | 34.5% | 9.5% | 3% | 46% | 54% | N/a |
| 44% | N/a | 56% | |||||||||
| N/a | 48.5% | 51.5% | |||||||||
| 1 – 10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | N/a | 21% | 23% | 9% | 30% | N/a | 17% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | N/a | 22% | 39% | 10% | N/a | N/a | 29% | 43% | 57% | N/a |
| 2–9 Sep 2025 | DemosAU[30][31] | N/a | 28% | 36% | 11% | N/a | N/a | 26% | 48% | 52% | N/a |
| 6–20 Nov 2024 | Redbridge[40][41] | N/a | 31% | 45% | 8% | N/a | N/a | 16% | 46% | 54% | N/a |
Subpopulation results
By gender
Women
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ONP | |||
| 13–16 Feb 2026 | Roy Morgan[10][11] | N/a | 28.5% | 19.5% | 16% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 58.5% | 41.5% | N/a |
| 60.5% | N/a | 39.5% | |||||||||
| N/a | 59.5% | 40.5% | |||||||||
| 1 – 10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | N/a | 22% | 28% | 18% | 21% | N/a | 11% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Resolve[18] | N/a | 28% | 36% | 16% | N/a | 10% | 10% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 | Redbridge/Accent[16][17] | N/a | 28% | 37% | 14% | N/a | 7% | 14%[n] | 51% | 49% | N/a |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | N/a | 24% | 36% | 19% | N/a | N/a | 21% | 50% | 50% | N/a |
| 8–14 Oct 2025 | Redbridge[27] | N/a | 30% | 36% | 14% | N/a | N/a | 20% | 52% | 48% | N/a |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Resolve[28] | N/a | 27% | 32% | 13% | N/a | 11% | 17% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 2–9 Sep 2025 | DemosAU[30][31] | N/a | 26% | 33% | 19% | N/a | N/a | 23% | 52% | 48% | N/a |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Resolve[32] | N/a | 32% | 28% | 16% | N/a | 10% | 14% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 6–20 Nov 2024 | Redbridge[40][41] | N/a | 28% | 42% | 16% | N/a | N/a | 14% | 49% | 51% | N/a |
Men
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ONP | |||
| 13–16 Feb 2026 | Roy Morgan[10][11] | N/a | 23% | 24.5% | 11% | 30.5% | 7% | 4% | 45% | 55% | N/a |
| 44.5% | N/a | 55.5% | |||||||||
| N/a | 52.5% | 47.5% | |||||||||
| 1–10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | N/a | 25% | 30% | 12% | 21% | N/a | 12% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Resolve[18] | N/a | 29% | 43% | 9% | N/a | 8% | 11% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 | Redbridge/Accent[16][17] | N/a | 33% | 42% | 11% | N/a | 5% | 9%[o] | 49% | 51% | N/a |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | N/a | 28% | 39% | 11% | N/a | N/a | 22% | 47% | 53% | N/a |
| 8–14 Oct 2025 | Redbridge[27] | N/a | 35% | 41% | 11% | N/a | N/a | 13% | 51% | 49% | N/a |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Resolve[28] | N/a | 34% | 34% | 10% | N/a | 9% | 13% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 2–9 Sep 2025 | DemosAU[30][31] | N/a | 27% | 43% | 11% | N/a | N/a | 20% | 44% | 56% | N/a |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Resolve[32] | N/a | 31% | 39% | 8% | N/a | 9% | 13% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 6–20 Nov 2024 | Redbridge[40][41] | N/a | 32% | 43% | 12% | N/a | N/a | 13% | 49% | 51% | N/a |
By age
18–34
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | ONP | |||
| 13–16 Feb 2026 | Roy Morgan[10][11] | N/a | 28.5% | 20% | 14.5% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 56.5% | 43.5% | N/a |
| 55.5% | N/a | 44.5% | |||||||||
| N/a | 56.5% | 43.5% | |||||||||
| 1–10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | N/a | 26% | 21% | 35% | 9% | N/a | 9% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Resolve[18] | N/a | 28% | 37% | 20% | N/a | 7% | 7% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | N/a | 30% | 23% | 31% | N/a | N/a | 16% | 65% | 35% | N/a |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Resolve[28] | N/a | 39% | 20% | 20% | N/a | 13% | 9% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Resolve[32] | N/a | 39% | 20% | 25% | N/a | 10% | 6% | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 6–20 Nov 2024 | Redbridge[40][41] | N/a | 31% | 26% | 29% | N/a | N/a | 14% | 64% | 36% | N/a |
35–54
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
| 1–10 Feb 2026 | DemosAU[13][14] | N/a | 23% | 26% | 14% | 23% | N/a | 14% | N/a | N/a |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Resolve[18] | N/a | 30% | 32% | 13% | N/a | 10% | 14% | N/a | N/a |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[25][26] | N/a | 27% | 34% | 19% | N/a | N/a | 20% | 53% | 47% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Resolve[28] | N/a | 30% | 29% | 14% | N/a | 11% | 17% | N/a | N/a |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Resolve[32] | N/a | 35% | 27% | 12% | N/a | 10% | 16% | N/a | N/a |
55–64
65+
By generation
Generation Z
Millennials
Generation X
Baby boomers
Individual seat polling
Notes
- Some polling findings include projections of a three-party-preferred vote.
- 0.3% ONP
- 0.3% ONP
- 1% for Legalise Cannabis, 1% for Animal Justice and 6.5% for other parties.
- 1.5% for Legalise Cannabis, 1.5% for Animal Justice and 5% for other parties.
- 0.3% ONP
- 2% for Reform AU, 1% for Sustainable Australia, 1% for the Freedom Party and 0% for the New Democrats.[13][14]
- 2% for Companions and Pets, 2% for Sustainable Australia, 1% for the Freedom Party and 1% for the New Democrats.[25][26]

