2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
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November 3, 2020
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| Turnout | 61.16%  [1] | ||||||||||||||||
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  Armstrong: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Raknerud: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Kelly Armstrong, who was elected with 60.2% of the vote in 2018.[2] He was re-elected in 2020 and won 5 counties he lost in 2018.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kelly Armstrong, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) | 99,582 | 99.54% | |
| Republican | Write-in | 461 | 0.46% | |
| Total votes | 100,043 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic-NPL primary
Candidates
Declared
- Zach Raknerud, retail manager and Democratic-NPL nominee for District 5 of the North Dakota House of Representatives in 2018[4]
- Roland Riemers, perennial candidate, winner of the 1996 North Dakota Democratic primary[5]
Endorsements
Zach Raknerud
Labor unions
Organizations
- DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare[7]
- North Dakota Democratic-Nonpartisan League Party[8]
Primary results
Zachary Raknerud
- 80–85%65–70%60–65%55–60%50–55%35–40%
Roland Riemers
- 75–80%60–65%55–60%50–55%40–45%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic–NPL | Zach Raknerud | 21,394 | 62.03% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Roland Riemers | 12,747 | 36.96% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Write-in | 346 | 1.00% | |
| Total votes | 34,487 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Steven Peterson[9]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Steven Peterson | 729 | 78.47% | |
| Libertarian | Write-in | 200 | 22.36% | |
| Total votes | 929 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[14] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[15] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kelly Armstrong (incumbent) | 245,229 | 68.96% | +8.76% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Zach Raknerud | 97,970 | 27.55% | −8.02% | |
| Libertarian | Steven Peterson | 12,024 | 3.38% | N/A | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 375 | 0.11% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 355,598 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County | Kelly Armstrong Republican |
Zach Raknerud Democratic–NPL |
All others | Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 1,010 | 80.4% | 213 | 17.0% | 33 | 2.6% | 797 | 63.4% | 1,256 |
| Barnes | 3,737 | 68.3% | 1,562 | 28.6% | 172 | 3.2% | 2,175 | 39.7% | 5,471 |
| Benson | 1,138 | 58.8% | 738 | 38.2% | 58 | 3.0% | 400 | 20.6% | 1,934 |
| Billings | 554 | 87.4% | 64 | 10.1% | 16 | 2.5% | 490 | 77.3% | 634 |
| Bottineau | 2,646 | 77.3% | 692 | 20.2% | 84 | 2.5% | 1,954 | 57.1% | 3,422 |
| Bowman | 1,413 | 85.9% | 195 | 11.9% | 37 | 2.3% | 1,218 | 74.0% | 1,645 |
| Burke | 977 | 86.2% | 140 | 12.3% | 17 | 1.5% | 837 | 73.9% | 1,134 |
| Burleigh | 36,122 | 72.4% | 12,111 | 24.3% | 1,643 | 3.3% | 24,011 | 48.1% | 49,876 |
| Cass | 46,877 | 55.5% | 34,055 | 40.3% | 3,603 | 4.3% | 12,822 | 15.2% | 84,535 |
| Cavalier | 1,548 | 77.7% | 400 | 20.1% | 44 | 2.3% | 1,148 | 57.6% | 1,992 |
| Dickey | 1,796 | 74.7% | 532 | 22.1% | 77 | 3.3% | 1,264 | 52.6% | 2,405 |
| Divide | 913 | 76.6% | 242 | 20.3% | 37 | 3.1% | 671 | 56.3% | 1,192 |
| Dunn | 1,948 | 83.6% | 319 | 13.7% | 62 | 2.7% | 1,629 | 69.9% | 2,329 |
| Eddy | 874 | 70.1% | 336 | 27.0% | 36 | 2.9% | 538 | 43.1% | 1,246 |
| Emmons | 1,736 | 87.7% | 207 | 10.5% | 37 | 1.9% | 1,529 | 77.2% | 1,980 |
| Foster | 1,391 | 79.6% | 318 | 18.2% | 38 | 2.2% | 1,073 | 61.4% | 1,747 |
| Golden Valley | 871 | 86.5% | 114 | 11.3% | 22 | 2.2% | 757 | 75.2% | 1,007 |
| Grand Forks | 18,427 | 61.0% | 10,746 | 35.6% | 1,038 | 3.5% | 7,681 | 25.4% | 30,211 |
| Grant | 1,163 | 84.3% | 189 | 13.7% | 27 | 2.0% | 974 | 70.6% | 1,379 |
| Griggs | 941 | 76.7% | 260 | 21.2% | 26 | 2.1% | 681 | 55.5% | 1,227 |
| Hettinger | 1,126 | 86.5% | 149 | 11.5% | 26 | 2.0% | 977 | 75.0% | 1,301 |
| Kidder | 1,217 | 83.6% | 212 | 14.6% | 27 | 1.9% | 1,005 | 69.0% | 1,456 |
| LaMoure | 1,695 | 77.2% | 437 | 19.9% | 63 | 2.8% | 1,258 | 57.3% | 2,195 |
| Logan | 914 | 86.6% | 113 | 10.7% | 28 | 2.7% | 801 | 75.9% | 1,055 |
| McHenry | 2,358 | 79.1% | 554 | 18.6% | 69 | 2.4% | 1,804 | 60.5% | 2,981 |
| McIntosh | 1,191 | 82.4% | 220 | 15.2% | 34 | 2.4% | 971 | 67.2% | 1,445 |
| McKenzie | 4,395 | 82.7% | 719 | 13.5% | 201 | 3.8% | 3,676 | 69.2% | 5,315 |
| McLean | 4,220 | 77.1% | 1,119 | 20.4% | 137 | 2.5% | 3,101 | 66.7% | 5,476 |
| Mercer | 3,871 | 83.5% | 668 | 14.4% | 98 | 2.1% | 3,203 | 69.1% | 4,637 |
| Morton | 12,382 | 75.8% | 3,375 | 20.6% | 587 | 3.6% | 9,007 | 55.2% | 16,344 |
| Mountrail | 2,819 | 68.8% | 1,154 | 28.2% | 125 | 3.1% | 1,665 | 40.6% | 4,098 |
| Nelson | 1,195 | 68.6% | 495 | 28.4% | 53 | 3.1% | 1,665 | 40.2% | 4,098 |
| Oliver | 906 | 85.9% | 121 | 11.5% | 28 | 2.7% | 785 | 74.4% | 1,055 |
| Pembina | 2,518 | 76.7% | 685 | 20.9% | 81 | 2.4% | 1,833 | 55.8% | 3,284 |
| Pierce | 1,633 | 78.0% | 411 | 19.6% | 49 | 2.3% | 1,222 | 57.6% | 2,093 |
| Ramsey | 3,786 | 71.1% | 1,362 | 25.6% | 175 | 3.3% | 2,424 | 45.5% | 5,323 |
| Ransom | 1,492 | 61.8% | 818 | 33.9% | 105 | 4.3% | 674 | 27.9% | 2,415 |
| Renville | 1,073 | 81.8% | 194 | 14.8% | 44 | 3.4% | 879 | 67.0% | 1,311 |
| Richland | 5,276 | 68.7% | 2,124 | 27.7% | 276 | 3.6% | 3,152 | 41.0% | 7,676 |
| Rolette | 1,344 | 36.0% | 2,292 | 61.3% | 102 | 2.8% | -948 | -25.3% | 3,738 |
| Sargent | 1,295 | 63.9% | 674 | 33.2% | 59 | 2.9% | 621 | 30.7% | 2,028 |
| Sheridan | 684 | 85.1% | 103 | 12.8% | 17 | 2.1% | 581 | 72.3% | 804 |
| Sioux | 294 | 25.1% | 728 | 62.1% | 150 | 12.8% | -434 | -37.1% | 1,172 |
| Slope | 377 | 89.5% | 37 | 8.8% | 7 | 1.7% | 340 | 80.7% | 421 |
| Stark | 12,408 | 83.5% | 1,981 | 13.3% | 463 | 3.1% | 10,427 | 70.2% | 14,852 |
| Steele | 704 | 65.6% | 344 | 32.1% | 25 | 2.3% | 360 | 33.5% | 1,073 |
| Stutsman | 7,005 | 73.0% | 2,252 | 23.5% | 342 | 3.6% | 4,753 | 49.5% | 9,599 |
| Towner | 866 | 75.0% | 271 | 23.5% | 18 | 1.6% | 595 | 51.5% | 1,155 |
| Traill | 2,709 | 66.1% | 1,275 | 31.1% | 115 | 2.8% | 1,434 | 35.0% | 4,099 |
| Walsh | 3,485 | 74.3% | 1,082 | 23.1% | 122 | 2.6% | 2,403 | 51.2% | 4,689 |
| Ward | 20,465 | 73.4% | 6,320 | 22.7% | 1,100 | 3.9% | 14,145 | 50.7% | 27,885 |
| Wells | 1,910 | 81.2% | 386 | 16.4% | 55 | 2.3% | 1,524 | 64.8% | 2,351 |
| Williams | 11,534 | 82.9% | 1,862 | 13.4% | 511 | 3.6% | 9,672 | 69.5% | 13,907 |
| Totals | 245,229 | 69.0% | 97,970 | 27.6% | 12,399 | 3.5% | 147,259 | 41.4% | 355,598 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cass (largest city: Fargo)
- Grand Forks (largest city: Grand Forks)
- Benson (largest CDP: Fort Totten)
- Ransom (largest city: Lisbon)
- Steele (largest city: Finley)
