2014 United States Senate election in New Mexico
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The 2014 United States Senate election in New Mexico was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Udall won reelection to a second term.
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November 4, 2014
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  Udall: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Weh: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Udall (incumbent) | 113,502 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 113,502 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- David Clements, assistant district attorney and former chairman of the Doña Ana County Republican Party[3][4]
- Allen Weh, businessman, former chairman of the New Mexico Republican Party and candidate for governor of New Mexico in 2010[5]
Declined
- Robert Aragon, former state representative (running for state auditor)[6][7]
- Jon Barela, secretary of the New Mexico Economic Development Department and nominee for New Mexico's 1st congressional district in 2010[8]
- Richard J. Berry, mayor of Albuquerque[6][8]
- Gary Johnson, former governor of New Mexico and Libertarian Party nominee for president of the United States in 2012[9]
- John Sanchez, lieutenant governor of New Mexico (running for re-election)[8][10]
- Heather Wilson, former U.S. representative, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[11]
Allen Weh
Individuals
- Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas
- Richard J. Berry, mayor of Albuquerque, New Mexico
Results
Weh
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Clements
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Allen Weh | 41,566 | 63.0% | |
| Republican | David Clements | 24,413 | 37.0% | |
| Total votes | 65,979 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 30, 2014 - YouTube
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[15] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[16] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Udall (D) |
Allen Weh (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[17] | March 20–23, 2014 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 33% | — | 14% |
| Rasmussen[18] | July 21–22, 2014 | 860 | ± 4% | 54% | 33% | 3% | 10% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[19] | July 5–24, 2014 | 930 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 44% | 2% | 4% |
| Research & Polling Inc.[20] | August 12–14, 2014 | 606 | ± 4% | 53% | 35% | — | 11% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[21] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,096 | ± 4% | 54% | 36% | 2% | 8% |
| Research & Polling Inc.[22] | September 9–11, 2014 | 603 | ± 4% | 51% | 38% | — | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | September 22–23, 2014 | 830 | ± 4% | 52% | 39% | — | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[24] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,093 | ± 4% | 53% | 35% | 2% | 10% |
| Gravis Marketing[25] | September 27 – October 1, 2014 | 727 | ± 4% | 53% | 36% | — | 11% |
| Vox Populi Polling[26] | October 20–22, 2014 | 614 | ± 3.95% | 51% | 45% | — | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[24] | October 16–23, 2014 | 962 | ± 6% | 52% | 36% | 1% | 11% |
| Research & Polling Inc.[27] | October 21–23, 2014 | 614 | ± 4% | 50% | 43% | — | 8% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Udall (D) |
David Clements (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[17] | March 20–23, 2014 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 55% | 33% | — | 12% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Udall (incumbent) | 286,409 | 55.56% | −5.77% | |
| Republican | Allen Weh | 229,097 | 44.44% | +5.77% | |
| Total votes | 515,506 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Udall won two of three congressional districts.[29]
| District | Udall | Weh | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 56.69% | 43.31% | Michelle Lujan Grisham |
| 2nd | 46.98% | 53.02% | Steve Pearce |
| 3rd | 61.31% | 38.69% | Ben Ray Luján |