2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Quick facts All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...
2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
← 2018
November 3, 2020
2022 →
All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 6 2
Seats won 6 2
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 1,723,982 1,172,135
Percentage 57.98% 39.42%
Swing Increase 2.95% Decrease 3.09%
Close

The primaries were held on August 4, 2020.[1]

Overview

More information District, Republican ...
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 159,94018.96%249,08778.78%7,1442.26%316,171100.0%Democratic hold
District 2233,15751.89%204,54045.52%11,6512.59%449,348100.0%Republican hold
District 3282,86669.44%116,09528.50%8,3872.06%407,348100.0%Republican hold
District 4245,24767.59%107,63529.66%9,9542.74%362,836100.0%Republican hold
District 5135,93438.57%207,18058.79%9,3162.64%352,430100.0%Democratic hold
District 6258,70967.06%118,92630.83%8,1442.11%385,779100.0%Republican hold
District 7254,31868.87%98,11126.57%16,8544.56%369,283100.0%Republican hold
District 8253,81176.86%70,56121.37%5,8541.77%330,226100.0%Republican hold
Total1,723,98257.98%1,172,13539.42%77,3042.60%2,973,421100.0%
Close
Popular vote
Republican
 
 57.98%
Democratic
 
 39.42%
Other
 
 2.60%
House seats
Republican
 
 75.00%
Democratic
 
 25.00%

District 1

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 Missouri's 1st congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Cori Bush Anthony Rogers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 249,087 59,940
Percentage 78.8% 19.0%
Bush:      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Lacy Clay
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Cori Bush
Democratic

Close
See also: Missouri's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is of the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent was Democrat Lacy Clay, who was re-elected with 80.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Katherine Bruckner, candidate for MO-91 in 2008[3]
  • Cori Bush, civil rights activist, candidate for Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[4]
  • Lacy Clay, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Lacy Clay

Federal officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers and media

Cori Bush

U.S. senators

State officials

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Katherine
Bruckner		 Cori
Bush		 Lacy
Clay		 Undecided
Data for Progress[21][A] August 1–3, 2020 250 (LV) – 7% 42% 42% 9%
Close

Primary results

County results
Bush
  50–60%
Clay
  40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cori Bush 73,274 48.5
Democratic Lacy Clay (incumbent) 68,887 45.6
Democratic Katherine Bruckner 8,850 5.9
Total votes 151,011 100.0
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Winnie Heartstrong, activist[23]
  • Anthony Rogers, radio show host[3]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Anthony Rogers 6,979 61.5
Republican Winnie Heartstrong 4,367 38.5
Total votes 11,346 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Alex Furman 337 100.0
Total votes 337 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe D June 7, 2020
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Cori
Bush (D)		 Anthony
Rodgers (R)		 Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 152 (LV) – 61% 26% 7% 7%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Missouri's 1st congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cori Bush 249,087 78.8
Republican Anthony Rogers 59,940 19.0
Libertarian Alex Furman 6,766 2.1
Independent Martin Baker (write-in) 378 0.1
Total votes 316,171 100.0
Democratic hold
Close

District 2

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Ann Wagner Jill Schupp
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 233,157 204,540
Percentage 51.9% 45.5%
Wagner:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Ann Wagner
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Ann Wagner
Republican

Close
See also: Missouri's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent was Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ann Wagner (incumbent) 63,686 100.0
Total votes 63,686 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Endorsements

Jill Schupp

U.S. presidents

U.S. vice presidents

Newspapers

Organizations

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jill Schupp 103,164 100.0
Total votes 103,164 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Martin Schulte 737 100.0
Total votes 737 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Tossup August 6, 2020
Inside Elections[48] Tilt D (flip) October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean R November 2, 2020
Politico[49] Tossup October 11, 2020
Daily Kos[50] Tossup August 31, 2020
RCP[51] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Lean D (flip) June 7, 2020
538[52] Lean R October 30, 2020
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Ann
Wagner (R)		 Jill
Schupp (D)		 Other Undecided
Change Research[53] October 29 – November 2, 2020 597 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 46% 5%[b] 2%
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 115 (LV) – 42% 51% 3% 4%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[54] September 10–14, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 49% <1% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[55][B] August 13–14, 2020 925 (V) – 42% 45% – 14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[56] February 19–20, 2020 1,360 (LV) ± 2.6% 50% 40% – 10%
Close
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[54] September 10–14, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 48% 5%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Missouri's 2nd congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ann Wagner (incumbent) 233,157 51.9
Democratic Jill Schupp 204,540 45.5
Libertarian Martin Schulte 11,647 2.6
Write-in 4 0.0
Total votes 449,348 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 3

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Blaine Luetkemeyer Megan Rezabek
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 282,866 116,095
Percentage 69.4% 28.5%
Luetkemeyer:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Blaine Luetkemeyer
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Blaine Luetkemeyer
Republican

Close
See also: Missouri's 3rd congressional district

The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent was Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. representative
  • Jeffrey Nowak, former marine[57]
  • Lynette Trares, Missouri State Department of Health and Senior Services employee[57]
  • Brandon Wilkinson, truck driver[57][58]
  • Adela Wisdom, anti-prohibition activist[57]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) 80,627 74.8
Republican Brandon Wilkinson 15,901 14.8
Republican Lynette Trares 4,197 3.9
Republican Jeffrey Nowak 3,517 3.3
Republican Adela Wisdom 3,485 3.2
Total votes 107,727 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Megan Rezabek 27,826 66.8
Democratic Dennis Oglesby 13,801 33.2
Total votes 41,627 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Leonard J. Steinman II 627 100.0
Total votes 627 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Blaine
Luetkemeyer (R)		 Megan
Rezabek (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 106 (LV) – 64% 29% 1% 6%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Missouri's 3rd congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) 282,866 69.4
Democratic Megan Rezabek 116,095 28.5
Libertarian Leonard J. Steinman II 8,344 2.1
Write-in 43 0.0
Total votes 407,348 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 4

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 Missouri's 4th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Vicky Hartzler Lindsey Simmons
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 245,247 107,635
Percentage 67.6% 29.7%
Hartzler:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Simmons:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Vicky Hartzler
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Vicky Hartzler
Republican

Close
See also: Missouri's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent was Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was re-elected with 64.8% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) 80,652 76.6
Republican Neal Gist 24,646 23.4
Total votes 105,298 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Lindsey Simmons, attorney[63]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lindsey Simmons 38,339 100.0
Total votes 38,339 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Steven K. Koonse, retiree and Libertarian candidate for Missouri's 4th congressional district in 2018[64]
  • Robert Smith, small business owner[64]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Steven K. Koonse 357 53.0
Libertarian Robert E. Smith 316 47.0
Total votes 673 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020
Close

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Vicky
Hartzler (R)		 Lindsey
Simmons (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 92 (LV) – 53% 37% 6% 5%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Missouri's 4th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) 245,247 67.6
Democratic Lindsey Simmons 107,635 29.7
Libertarian Steven K. Koonse 9,954 2.7
Total votes 362,836 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 5

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 Missouri's 5th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Emanuel Cleaver Ryan Derks
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 207,180 135,934
Percentage 58.8% 38.6%
Cleaver:      50–60%      60–70%
Derks:      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic

Close
See also: Missouri's 5th congressional district

The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent was Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 61.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) 75,040 85.3
Democratic Maite Salazar 12,923 14.7
Total votes 87,963 100.0
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Derks 13,832 34.0
Republican Jerry W. Barham 12,880 31.7
Republican Clay Chastain 7,519 18.5
Republican Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward 2,381 5.8
Republican R.H. Hess 2,207 5.4
Republican Richonda Oaks 1,872 4.6
Total votes 40,691 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Robin Dominick 542 100.0
Total votes 542 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe D June 7, 2020
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Emmanuel
Cleaver (D)		 Ryan
Derks (R)		 Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 135 (LV) – 59% 26% 1% 7%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Missouri's 5th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) 207,180 58.8
Republican Ryan Derks 135,934 38.6
Libertarian Robin Dominick 9,272 2.6
Write-in 44 0.0
Total votes 352,430 100.0
Democratic hold
Close

District 6

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 Missouri's 6th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Sam Graves Gena Ross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 258,709 118,926
Percentage 67.1% 30.8%
Graves:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Sam Graves
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Sam Graves
Republican

Close
See also: Missouri's 6th congressional district

The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent was Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 65.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. representative
  • Chris Ryan, perennial candidate[74]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Graves (incumbent) 81,584 79.7
Republican Chris Ryan 20,826 20.3
Total votes 102,410 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Ramona Farris, consultant[74]
  • Henry Martin, U.S. Army veteran[74]
  • Gena L. Ross, college professor[74]
  • Donald Robert Sartain[74]
  • Charles West, Clark County school board member[74]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gena L. Ross 14,503 32.8
Democratic Ramona Farris 11,882 26.9
Democratic Henry Martin 9,393 21.3
Democratic Charles West 6,951 15.7
Democratic Donald Robert Sartain 1,447 3.3
Total votes 44,176 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jim Higgins 431 100.0
Total votes 431 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020
Close

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Sam
Graves (R)		 Gena
Ross (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 98 (LV) – 58% 36% 1% 6%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Missouri's 6th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Graves (incumbent) 258,709 67.1
Democratic Gena Ross 118,926 30.8
Libertarian Jim Higgins 8,144 2.1
Total votes 385,779 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 7

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 Missouri's 7th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Billy Long Teresa Montseny
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 254,318 98,111
Percentage 68.9% 26.6%
U.S. Representative before election

Billy Long
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Billy Long
Republican

Close
See also: Missouri's 7th congressional district

The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent was Republican Billy Long, who was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Steve Chetnik, manufacturing worker[76][77]
  • Eric Harleman, businessman[76]
  • Camille Lombardi-Olive, perennial candidate[76]
  • Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative[76]
  • Kevin VanStory, real estate broker[76]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Billy Long (incumbent) 69,407 66.1
Republican Eric Harleman 11,696 11.1
Republican Kevin VanStory 10,486 10.0
Republican Steve Chetnik 7,407 7.1
Republican Camille Lombardi-Olive 5,969 5.7
Total votes 104,965 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Teresa Montseny, historian (dropped out)[76][78]

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Montseny 30,568 100.0
Total votes 30,568 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Kevin Craig 508 100.0
Total votes 508 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020
Close

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Billy
Long (R)		 Teresa
Montseny (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 142 (LV) – 57% 32% 2% 10%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Missouri's 7th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Billy Long (incumbent) 254,318 68.9
Democratic Teresa Montseny 98,111 26.6
Libertarian Kevin Craig 15,573 4.2
Independent Audrey Richards (write-in) 1,279 0.3
Write-in 2 0.0
Total votes 369,283 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 8

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 Missouri's 8th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Jason Smith Kathy Ellis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 253,811 70,561
Percentage 76.9% 21.4%
Smith:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Jason Smith
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Jason Smith
Republican

Close
See also: Missouri's 8th congressional district

The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent was Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 73.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Smith (incumbent) 114,074 100.0
Total votes 114,074 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathryn Ellis 20,354 100.0
Total votes 20,354 100.0
Close

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Libertarian primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Tom Schmitz 265 100.0
Total votes 265 100.0
Close

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[29] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[31] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[32] Safe R June 7, 2020
Close

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Jason
Smith (R)		 Kathy
Ellis (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov[33] September 24 – October 7, 2020 96 (LV) – 72% 22% 5% 2%
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Missouri's 8th congressional district, 2020[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Smith (incumbent) 253,811 76.9
Democratic Kathy Ellis 70,561 21.4
Libertarian Tom Schmitz 5,854 1.8
Total votes 330,226 100.0
Republican hold
Close

Notes

  1. [a]
    Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. [b]
    "Don't recall" and Schulte (L) with 2%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%

Partisan clients

  1. [A]
    Poll released after the primary in August
  2. [B]
    Poll conducted for the House Majority Pac.

References

External links

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