2020 United States Senate election in Oregon

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The 2020 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2020 United States Senate election in Oregon

 2014
November 3, 2020
2026 
 
Nominee Jeff Merkley Jo Rae Perkins
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,321,047 912,814
Percentage 56.91% 39.32%

Merkley:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Perkins:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data

U.S. senator before election

Jeff Merkley
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Jeff Merkley
Democratic

Close

Incumbent Democratic senator Jeff Merkley won reelection to a third term in office. Although this Senate seat was largely expected to be one of the safest for the Democrats, the race received national attention due to the Republican nominee Jo Rae Perkins's promotion of the unfounded QAnon conspiracy theory. Furthermore, Perkins flipped five counties that Merkley had won in 2014 (though only by pluralities in the cases of Jackson, Polk and Yamhill).[1] That said, Merkley overperformed Democrat Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election by about a point and a half.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Michael David, activist and ethnographer[4]

Endorsements

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeff Merkley (incumbent) 564,878 98.71%
Democratic Write-in 7,386 1.29%
Total votes 572,264 100.0%
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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Jo Rae Perkins

State representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  Rae Perkins—50–60%
  Rae Perkins—40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jo Rae Perkins 178,004 49.23%
Republican Paul J. Romero, Jr. 109,783 30.36%
Republican Robert Schwartz 40,196 11.12%
Republican John Verbeek 29,382 8.13%
Republican Write-in 4,250 1.17%
Total votes 361,615 100.0%
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Other candidates

Pacific Green Party

Nominee

Endorsements

Ibra Taher

Individuals

Organizations

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Gary Dye, former refinery operator and engineer[28][29][3]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Solid D October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[31] Safe D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Safe D November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[33] Safe D October 30, 2020
Politico[34] Safe D November 2, 2020
RCP[35] Safe D October 23, 2020
DDHQ[36] Safe D November 3, 2020
538[37] Safe D November 2, 2020
Economist[38] Safe D November 2, 2020
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Additional general election endorsements

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jeff
Merkley (D)
Jo Rae
Perkins (R)
Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos[58] September 26–29, 2020 944 (LV) ± 3.5% 55% 35% 5%[b] 5%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2020 United States Senate election in Oregon[59]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Jeff Merkley (incumbent) 1,321,047 56.91% +1.18%
Republican Jo Rae Perkins 912,814 39.32% +2.45%
Libertarian Gary Dye 42,747 1.84% −1.23%
Pacific Green Ibrahim Taher 42,239 1.82% −0.40%
Write-in 2,402 0.10% –0.35%
Total votes 2,321,249 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold
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By county

More information By county, County ...
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By congressional district

Merkley won four of five congressional districts.[60]

More information District, Merkley ...
District Merkley Perkins Representative
1st 62% 34% Suzanne Bonamici
2nd 43% 53% Cliff Bentz
3rd 73% 22% Earl Blumenauer
4th 52% 44% Peter DeFazio
5th 53% 43% Kurt Schrader
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Notes

General

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Dye (L) and Taher (G) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%

References

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