2022 Iowa gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2022 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds won election to a second full term, defeating Democratic nominee Deidre DeJear with 58.0%.[1]
_(cropped).jpg)
 | ||||||||||||||||||||
November 8, 2022
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 55.06%  6.09pp | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Reynolds: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% DeJear: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
_(closer_crop).jpg)
First elected as lieutenant governor in 2010, Reynolds assumed the governorship on May 24, 2017, following the resignation of Governor Terry Branstad to become the U.S. ambassador to China. She was elected in her own right in 2018 in what was considered a minor upset before dramatically increasing her vote share in 2022.[2]
Reynolds flipped seven counties that had voted Democratic in the previous gubernatorial election: Black Hawk, Clinton, Des Moines, Dubuque, Jefferson, Lee, and Scott.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kim Reynolds, incumbent governor[3]
Declined
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kim Reynolds (incumbent) | 185,293 | 99.03% | |
| Write-in | 1,808 | 0.97% | ||
| Total votes | 187,101 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Deidre DeJear, small business owner and nominee for Secretary of State of Iowa in 2018[6]
Withdrew
Declined
- Cindy Axne, U.S. representative for Iowa's 3rd congressional district (ran for re-election)[9]
- Abby Finkenauer, former U.S. representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district (ran for U.S. Senate)[10][11][12]
- Rob Sand, Iowa state auditor (ran for re-election)[13][14][15]
Endorsements
Deidre DeJear
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Deidre DeJear | 145,555 | 99.45% | |
| Write-in | 801 | 0.55% | ||
| Total votes | 146,356 | 100.00% | ||
Minor parties and independents
Libertarian Party
Nominee
- Rick Stewart, Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, Secretary of Agriculture of Iowa in 2018, and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014.[18][19] Marco Battaglia of Des Moines was Stewart's running mate.[20]
Independents
Declared
- Robert Bond[21]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid R | July 26, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Solid R | July 22, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | June 29, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Solid R | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Likely R | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
| 538[28] | Solid R | July 31, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[29] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Kim Reynolds (R)
Executive branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations (2018–2019) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[30]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[31]
U.S. senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[32]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa (2015–present)[33]
- Chuck Grassley, U.S. senator from Iowa (1981–present)[33]
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida (2019–present)[34]
U.S. representatives
- Ashley Hinson, U.S. representative from Iowa's 1st congressional district (2021–2023)[33]
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks, U.S. representative from Iowa's 2nd congressional district (2021–2023)[34]
State legislators
- Chris Cournoyer, state senator from the 49th district (2019–2023)[35]
- Norlin Mommsen, state representative from the 97th district (2015–2023)[35]
- Zach Nunn, state senator from the 15th district (2019–2023) and Republican nominee for Iowa's 3rd congressional district in 2022[33]
Organizations
- Iowa Farm Bureau[36]
- Maggie's List[37][31]
- National Right to Life Committee[38]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[39][38]
- Susan B. Anthony List[38]
Newspapers
Deidre DeJear (D)
State legislators
- David Maxwell, state representative from the 76th district (2013–2023) (Republican)[41]
Individuals
- Fred Hubbell, businessman and nominee for governor in 2018[42]
Organizations
- The Collective PAC[43]
- EMILY's List[44]
- Iowa Citizens for Community Improvement Action Fund[45]
- Iowa Unity Coalition[46]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[47]
- One Iowa Action[48]
Labor unions
Newspapers
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Deidre DeJear (D) |
Undecided [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[53] | March 2 – October 19, 2022 | October 20, 2022 | 52.6% | 36.6% | 10.8% | Reynolds +15.9 |
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kim Reynolds (R) |
Deidre DeJear (D) |
Rick Stewart (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[54] | October 31 – November 3, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 37% | 4% | 2%[c] | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[55][A] | October 26–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 38% | – | – | 5% |
| Civiqs[56] | October 22–25, 2022 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 54% | 42% | – | 2%[d] | 1% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[57][B] | October 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 39% | – | – | 5% |
| Selzer & Co.[58] | October 9–12, 2022 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 35% | 4% | 4%[e] | 4% |
| Emerson College[59] | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 36% | 1% | 2%[f] | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[60][A] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[61][A] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 41% | – | – | 3% |
| Selzer & Co.[62] | July 10–13, 2022 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 31% | 5% | 5% | 9% |
| Selzer & Co.[63] | February 28 – March 2, 2022 | 612 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 1%[g] | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[64][A] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 38% | – | – | 7% |
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key:
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Kim Reynolds | Deidre DeJear | |||||
| 2 | October 18, 2022 | Local ABC 5 | Youtube | P | P | |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |
|
709,198 | 58.04% | +7.78% | |
| Democratic |
|
482,950 | 39.53% | −8.00% | |
| Libertarian |
|
28,998 | 2.37% | +0.84% | |
| Write-in | 718 | 0.06% | +0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 1,220,864 | 100.00% | |||
| Turnout | 1,230,416 | 55.06% | |||
| Registered electors | 2,234,666 | ||||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Black Hawk (largest city: Waterloo)
- Clinton (largest city: Clinton)
- Des Moines (largest city: Burlington)
- Dubuque (largest city: Dubuque)
- Jefferson (largest city: Fairfield)
- Lee (largest city: Fort Madison)
- Scott (largest city: Davenport)
By congressional district
Reynolds won all four congressional districts.[66]
| District | Reynolds | DeJear | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 55% | 43% | Mariannette Miller-Meeks |
| 2nd | 57% | 41% | Ashley Hinson |
| 3rd | 53% | 44% | Cindy Axne (117th Congress) |
| Zach Nunn (118th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 69% | 29% | Randy Feenstra |
See also
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Someone else" with 1%; "Don't want to tell" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Would not vote" (volunteered answer) with 1%
Partisan clients