2022 Minnesota Attorney General election

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2022 Minnesota Attorney General election

 2018
November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08)
2026 
 
Nominee Keith Ellison Jim Schultz
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 1,254,371 1,233,556
Percentage 50.37% 49.53%

Ellison:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Schultz:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

Attorney General before election

Keith Ellison
Democratic (DFL)

Elected Attorney General

Keith Ellison
Democratic (DFL)

The 2022 Minnesota Attorney General election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the attorney general of the U.S. state of Minnesota. Incumbent DFLer Keith Ellison narrowly won (50.37% to 49.53%) reelection to a second term against Republican challenger Jim Schultz.

This attorney general election marked the fourteenth in a row won by the DFL. Schultz improved over 2018 Republican nominee Doug Wardlow in rural counties, but Ellison's increased margins in the Twin Cities metropolitan area were too much to overcome.[1] It was the closest attorney general race in the state since 1956, and the second-closest ever.[2]

History and nature of the office

Minnesota's attorney general is the chief legal officer of the state, tasked with representing over 100 state agencies in legal proceedings.[3] The attorney general also enforces some consumer protection regulations, such as anti-trust laws. While most cases the office undertakes are civil in nature, the attorney general may assist counties with complex criminal cases.[4]

Prior to the 2022 election, Minnesota Republicans had not won the attorney general's office since 1966 when Douglas Head won the office, and Republicans had only held the office for four years since 1954.[5] The office has also been a launching pad for candidates to run for the governorship; every Minnesota attorney general since Head has gone on to run for governor.

Synopsis of Ellison's tenure

In 2018, then-U.S. Representative Keith Ellison was elected to replace retiring fellow DFLer Lori Swanson, who ran unsuccessfully for governor. Ellison was the first Black person elected to statewide office in Minnesota, and the first Muslim elected to any statewide office in the United States.

As Attorney General, Ellison played a key role in the state's prosecution of Derek Chauvin[6] and pushed for policing reforms in the aftermath of the murder of George Floyd.[7] Ellison's role greatly increased his influence and notoriety nationally and internationally.[8][9]

Ellison also led his office's legal actions against businesses which violated COVID-19-related restrictions. This included both businesses which opened for in-person service in violation of public health orders,[10] and some which engaged in illegal price gouging.[11]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Ellison announced that he would run for reelection on November 15, 2021.[12] Bill Dahn, a perennial candidate, also ran.

Only Ellison sought the DFL endorsement at the party's May 2022 convention. He won endorsement unanimously[13] and went on to win the primary convincingly.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Bill Dahn, perennial candidate[14]

Results

Results by county:
  Ellison
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90-100%
Democratic (DFL) primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Keith Ellison (incumbent) 378,367 89.35
Democratic (DFL) Bill Dahn 45,110 10.65
Total votes 423,477 100.00

Republican primary

The first Republican to enter the race was MyPillow General Counsel and 2018 Republican nominee Doug Wardlow on February 16, 2021.[16] Wardlow announced his run in a video on Twitter, blaming Ellison for unrest in the Twin Cities following the murder of George Floyd.

Former State Representative Dennis Smith of Maple Grove announced his run for attorney general on June 7, 2021.[17] In a campaign video, he emphasized his desire to promote trust in the attorney general's office and depoliticize the office.

A month later on July 6, 2021, Lynne Torgerson, a lawyer from Minneapolis, announced her run.[18] She called COVID-19 restrictions "destructive" and accused Ellison of "threatening Minnesotans’ freedoms and rights."

Private lawyer Jim Schultz of Minnetonka announced his run for the office on December 9, 2021. It was Schultz's first run for office, and his campaign was chaired by former Minnesota Republican Party Chair Ron Eibensteiner.[19]

The final major candidate to enter the race was former state legislator, and Hennepin County commissioner, and Washington County judge Tad Jude.[20] He announced his run for attorney general on January 31, 2022.

Candidates

Nominee

  • Jim Schultz, business lawyer (endorsed by state party)[21][22]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew at convention

Endorsements

Tad Jude

State legislators

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Sharon
Anderson
Jim
Schultz
Doug
Wardlow
Undecided
Change Research[34] Jun. 3–8, 2022 – (LV) 4.0% 19.6% 19.4% 57.0%[b]

Debate

A debate was held on March 31 at the Providence Academy Performing Arts Center. Jude, Schultz and Wardlow were in attendance.

Results

Results by county:
  Schultz
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60-70%
  Wardlow
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Schultz 163,944 52.51
Republican Doug Wardlow 108,537 34.76
Republican Sharon Anderson 39,723 12.72
Total votes 312,204 100.00

Independents

Candidates

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Tossup November 3, 2022
Elections Daily[38] Leans R (flip) November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Keith Ellison (DFL)

Presidents

Vice Presidents

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governors

Lieutenant Governors

State Attorneys General

State Senators

State Representatives

County Attorneys

County Commissioners

Mayors

Other politicians

Organizations

Labor unions

Others

Jim Schultz (R)

Organizations

Labor unions

Local officials

Newspapers

Declined to endorse

Newspapers

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Keith
Ellison (DFL)
Jim
Schultz (R)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[108][A] Oct. 26 – 30, 2022 836 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 49% 9%
St. Cloud State[109] Oct. 10 – 30, 2022 235 (A) ± 8% 52% 40% 8%
Trafalgar Group (R)[110][B] Oct. 17 – 19, 2022 1,091 (LV) ± 2.9% 45.3% 50.2% 4.5%
Embold Research[111][C] Oct. 10 – 14, 2022 1,585 (LV) ± 2.6% 46.6% 47.1% 6.3%[c]
SurveyUSA[112][A] Sep. 30 – Oct. 3, 2022 604 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 43% 13%
Trafalgar Group (R)[113][D] Sep. 14, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 45.7% 49.3% 4.9%
Mason-Dixon[114][E] Sep. 12 – 14, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46.4% 44.9% 8.8%
SurveyUSA[115][A] Aug. 30 – Sep. 4, 2022 562 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 40% 14%
Change Research[34][C] Jun. 3 – 8, 2022 1,551 (LV) ± 2.6% 44.2% 44.9% 10.9%[d]
Hypothetical polling

Keith Ellison vs. Doug Wardlow

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Keith
Ellison (DFL)
Doug
Wardlow (R)
Undecided
Change Research[34][C] Jun. 3 – 8, 2022 1,551 (LV) ± 2.6% 44.3% 43.9% 11.8%[e]

Results

2022 Minnesota Attorney General election[116]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic (DFL) Keith Ellison (incumbent) 1,254,371 50.37% +1.41%
Republican Jim Schultz 1,233,556 49.53% +4.45%
Write-in 2,374 0.10% -0.14%
Total votes 2,490,301 100.0% N/A
Democratic (DFL) hold

By county

County Keith Ellison
DFL
Jim Schultz
GOP
Write-in Margin Total votes
% # % # % # % #
Aitkin 33.48% 2,808 66.51% 5,579 0.01% 1 -33.04% -2,771 8,388
Anoka 44.98% 69,825 54.93% 85,278 0.09% 146 -9.95% -15,453 155,249
Becker 32.31% 4,738 67.64% 9,917 0.05% 7 -35.32% -5,179 14,662
Beltrami 44.72% 8,048 55.15% 9,924 0.13% 24 -10.42% -1,876 17,996
Benton 31.01% 5,045 68.88% 11,205 0.11% 18 -37.87% -6,160 16,268
Big Stone 34.25% 825 65.67% 1,582 0.08% 2 -31.42% -757 2,409
Blue Earth 50.37% 13,203 49.55% 12,988 0.08% 20 0.82% 215 26,211
Brown 31.58% 3,641 68.34% 7,878 0.08% 9 -36.75% -4,237 11,528
Carlton 48.53% 7,670 51.35% 8,116 0.13% 20 -2.82% -446 15,806
Carver 42.35% 22,774 57.58% 30,962 0.06% 34 -15.23% -8,188 53,770
Cass 32.12% 4,871 67.82% 10,285 0.06% 9 -35.70% -5,414 15,165
Chippewa 32.97% 1,620 67.01% 3,292 0.02% 1 -34.03% -1,672 4,913
Chisago 33.64% 8,642 66.31% 17,034 0.05% 13 -32.67% -8,392 25,689
Clay 50.08% 11,025 49.83% 10,971 0.09% 20 0.25% 54 22,016
Clearwater 24.45% 863 75.50% 2,665 0.06% 2 -51.05% -1,802 3,530
Cook 65.95% 2,109 34.05% 1,089 0.00% 0 31.89% 1,020 3,198
Cottonwood 29.12% 1,336 70.84% 3,250 0.04% 2 -41.72% -1,914 4,588
Crow Wing 33.13% 10,742 66.81% 21,663 0.06% 21 -33.68% -10,921 32,426
Dakota 52.80% 105,095 47.10% 93,750 0.10% 206 5.70% 11,345 199,051
Dodge 33.34% 3,104 66.63% 6,203 0.02% 2 -33.29% -3,099 9,309
Douglas 31.19% 6,103 68.75% 13,453 0.06% 12 -37.56% -7,350 19,568
Faribault 32.02% 1,919 67.90% 4,069 0.08% 5 -35.88% -2,150 5,993
Fillmore 38.84% 3,649 61.08% 5,738 0.09% 8 -22.24% -2,089 9,395
Freeborn 39.90% 5,164 60.07% 7,774 0.03% 4 -20.17% -2,610 12,942
Goodhue 40.92% 9,384 58.98% 13,525 0.10% 22 -18.06% -4,141 22,931
Grant 35.63% 1,044 64.23% 1,882 0.14% 4 -28.60% -838 2,930
Hennepin 68.09% 388,811 31.79% 181,512 0.12% 683 36.30% 207,299 571,006
Houston 41.21% 3,568 58.78% 5,089 0.01% 1 -17.57% -1,521 8,658
Hubbard 33.51% 3,556 66.40% 7,046 0.09% 10 -32.89% -3,490 10,612
Isanti 29.60% 5,554 70.33% 13,197 0.07% 14 -40.73% -7,643 18,765
Itasca 40.48% 8,586 59.45% 12,610 0.07% 14 -18.97% -4,024 21,210
Jackson 28.89% 1,306 71.06% 3,212 0.04% 2 -42.17% -1,906 4,520
Kanabec 30.77% 2,190 69.19% 4,924 0.04% 3 -38.42% -2,734 7,117
Kandiyohi 34.13% 6,186 65.84% 11,935 0.03% 6 -31.72% -5,749 18,127
Kittson 36.22% 681 63.67% 1,197 0.11% 2 -27.45% -516 1,880
Koochiching 37.24% 1,937 62.72% 3,262 0.04% 2 -25.48% -1,325 5,201
Lac qui Parle 34.97% 1,091 65.00% 2,028 0.03% 1 -30.03% -937 3,120
Lake 50.97% 2,870 48.93% 2,755 0.11% 6 2.04% 115 5,631
Lake of the Woods 24.35% 439 75.54% 1,362 0.11% 2 -51.19% -923 1,803
Le Sueur 32.68% 4,287 67.24% 8,820 0.08% 10 -34.56% -4,533 13,117
Lincoln 31.14% 752 68.74% 1,660 0.12% 3 -37.60% -908 2,415
Lyon 33.18% 3,231 66.76% 6,501 0.06% 6 -33.58% -3,270 9,738
Mahnomen 40.75% 661 59.19% 960 0.06% 1 -18.43% -299 1,622
Marshall 25.16% 1,004 74.77% 2,984 0.08% 3 -49.61% -1,980 3,991
Martin 29.17% 2,425 70.82% 5,888 0.01% 1 -41.65% -3,463 8,314
McLeod 29.78% 4,871 70.15% 11,475 0.07% 11 -40.37% -6,604 16,357
Meeker 28.06% 3,020 71.82% 7,729 0.11% 12 -43.76% -4,709 10,761
Mille Lacs 29.96% 3,305 69.91% 7,711 0.13% 14 -39.95% -4,406 11,030
Morrison 22.00% 3,377 77.96% 11,968 0.04% 6 -55.96% -8,591 15,351
Mower 46.37% 6,490 53.58% 7,499 0.04% 6 -7.21% -1,009 13,995
Murray 28.35% 1,097 71.55% 2,769 0.10% 4 -43.20% -1,672 3,870
Nicollet 50.01% 7,582 49.87% 7,562 0.12% 18 0.13% 20 15,162
Nobles 31.15% 1,874 68.74% 4,136 0.12% 7 -37.59% -2,262 6,017
Norman 39.82% 980 60.06% 1,478 0.12% 3 -20.24% -498 2,461
Olmsted 53.27% 35,986 46.69% 31,540 0.04% 29 6.58% 4,446 67,555
Otter Tail 30.87% 8,744 69.04% 19,557 0.10% 28 -38.17% -10,813 28,329
Pennington 33.51% 1,807 66.44% 3,583 0.06% 3 -32.93% -1,776 5,393
Pine 33.26% 4,103 66.64% 8,220 0.10% 12 -33.38% -4,117 12,335
Pipestone 24.04% 900 75.88% 2,841 0.08% 3 -51.84% -1,941 3,744
Polk 31.09% 3,357 68.86% 7,436 0.05% 5 -37.78% -4,079 10,798
Pope 34.39% 1,940 65.54% 3,697 0.07% 4 -31.15% -1,757 5,641
Ramsey 70.11% 150,907 29.74% 64,014 0.15% 320 40.37% 86,893 215,241
Red Lake 31.33% 489 68.55% 1,070 0.13% 2 -37.22% -581 1,561
Redwood 26.14% 1,673 73.79% 4,722 0.06% 4 -47.65% -3,049 6,399
Renville 29.55% 1,847 70.42% 4,402 0.03% 2 -40.87% -2,555 6,251
Rice 48.97% 13,817 50.96% 14,377 0.07% 19 -1.98% -560 28,213
Rock 27.86% 1,141 72.06% 2,951 0.07% 3 -44.20% -1,810 4,095
Roseau 23.52% 1,514 76.48% 4,922 0.00% 0 -52.95% -3,408 6,436
Scott 42.24% 28,455 57.67% 38,853 0.09% 62 -15.43% -10,398 67,370
Sherburne 31.19% 12,898 68.76% 28,430 0.05% 20 -37.56% -15,532 41,348
Sibley 27.45% 1,798 72.52% 4,751 0.03% 2 -45.08% -2,953 6,551
St. Louis 56.83% 52,488 43.03% 39,740 0.14% 128 13.80% 12,748 92,356
Stearns 35.68% 23,247 64.24% 41,857 0.08% 53 -28.56% -18,610 65,157
Steele 37.29% 6,114 62.67% 10,275 0.04% 6 -25.38% -4,161 16,395
Stevens 36.52% 1,460 63.41% 2,535 0.08% 3 -26.89% -1,075 3,998
Swift 34.61% 1,342 65.28% 2,531 0.10% 4 -30.67% -1,189 3,877
Todd 24.22% 2,617 75.70% 8,178 0.07% 8 -51.48% -5,561 10,803
Traverse 33.03% 507 66.78% 1,025 0.20% 3 -33.75% -518 1,535
Wabasha 35.76% 3,804 64.20% 6,830 0.04% 4 -28.45% -3,026 10,638
Wadena 25.12% 1,492 74.83% 4,444 0.05% 3 -49.71% -2,952 5,939
Waseca 32.71% 2,716 67.23% 5,582 0.06% 5 -34.52% -2,866 8,303
Washington 50.70% 65,723 49.23% 63,810 0.07% 95 1.48% 1,913 129,628
Watonwan 35.93% 1,382 63.99% 2,461 0.08% 3 -28.06% -1,079 3,846
Wilkin 28.04% 714 71.84% 1,829 0.12% 3 -43.79% -1,115 2,546
Winona 47.89% 9,704 52.03% 10,543 0.08% 16 -4.14% -839 20,263
Wright 32.60% 21,397 67.31% 44,184 0.09% 59 -34.72% -22,787 65,640
Yellow Medicine 30.22% 1,310 69.78% 3,025 0.00% 0 -39.56% -1,715 4,335
Totals50.37%1,254,37149.53%1,233,5560.10%2,3740.84%20,8152,490,301
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Schultz won five of eight congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[117]

District Ellison Schultz Representative
1st 43% 57% Brad Finstad
2nd 49.7% 50.2% Angie Craig
3rd 56% 44% Dean Phillips
4th 66% 34% Betty McCollum
5th 80% 20% Ilhan Omar
6th 38% 62% Tom Emmer
7th 31% 69% Michelle Fischbach
8th 42% 57% Pete Stauber

See also

Notes

References

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