2022 South Carolina gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2022 South Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of South Carolina. Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster ran for re-election for a second full term in office and secured the Republican nomination in the June 14 primary. Joe Cunningham, former United States representative from South Carolina's 1st congressional district, was the Democratic nominee.[1] McMaster won the general election with 58% of the vote — a 4.08% improvement over his 2018 margin.
.jpg)
 | ||||||||||||||||||||
November 8, 2022
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 50.86%  | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||
   McMaster: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Cunningham: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
McMaster became the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win Calhoun County since 1994, and the first to win Clarendon County and Dillon County since 1990. This election marks the largest gubernatorial victory in the state since 1990, when incumbent Republican Carroll Campbell won his re-election bid by a margin of 41.7%.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Henry McMaster, incumbent governor[2]
- Running mate: Pamela Evette, incumbent lieutenant governor[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Harrison "Trucker Bob" Musselwhite, trucker and chairman of Legislate Liaison Committee for the Greenville County Republican Party[4]
- Running mate: Zoe Warren, filmmaker and editor-at-large for The Standard SC[5]
Withdrew
Declined
- A. Shane Massey, majority leader of the South Carolina Senate[9]
- Tim Scott, U.S. senator[10] (ran for re-election)[11]
- Katrina Shealy, state senator[12][7]
- John Warren, Greenville businessman and candidate for governor in 2018[13][14]
Endorsements
Henry McMaster
- Executive branch officials
- Mike Pompeo, former U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021), former Director of the CIA (2017–2018), and former U.S. representative from Kansas's 4th congressional district (2011–2017)[15]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[16]
- U.S. senators
- Tim Scott, U.S. senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[17]
- State officials
- Kristi Noem, governor of South Dakota (2019–present)[18]
- Kim Reynolds, governor of Iowa (2017–present)[19]
- Party officials
- Drew McKissick, chair of the South Carolina Republican Party (2017–present)[20]
- Organizations
- Republican Governors Association (RGA)[21]
- Susan B. Anthony List, national anti-abortion nonprofit and political action group[22]
Results
McMaster
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 90–100%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Henry McMaster (incumbent) | 306,555 | 83.0% | |
| Republican | Harrison Musselwhite | 61,545 | 16.7% | |
| Total votes | 367,689 | 100% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Carlton Boyd[7]
- Mia McLeod, state senator[24]
- Calvin "CJ Mack" McMillan, singer[7]
- William H. Williams, former postmaster, veteran and candidate for South Carolina's 7th congressional district in 2020[7][8]
Withdrew
Declined
- Stephen K. Benjamin, former mayor of Columbia[27]
- Mandy Powers Norrell, former state representative and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2018[24] (endorsed McLeod)[28]
- Todd Rutherford, minority leader of the South Carolina House of Representatives[24][7]
Endorsements
Joe Cunningham
U.S. senators
- Doug Jones, former U.S. senator from Alabama (2018–2021)[29]
State representatives
- Todd Rutherford, minority leader of the South Carolina House of Representatives (2013–present)[30]
Local officials
- Kylon Middleton, Charleston County councilor[31]
Organizations
Newspapers
- Charleston City Paper[33]
Mia McLeod
State legislators
- Marlon Kimpson, state senator (2013–present)[34]
- Mandy Powers Norrell, former state representative (2012–2020) and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2018[28]
Individuals
- Amanda Bonfiglio Cunningham, ex-wife of Joe Cunningham[35]
Results
Cunningham
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
McLeod
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Cunningham | 102,315 | 56.5% | |
| Democratic | Mia McLeod | 56,084 | 31.0% | |
| Democratic | Carlton Boyd | 9,526 | 5.3% | |
| Democratic | William Williams | 6,746 | 3.7% | |
| Democratic | Calvin McMillan | 6,260 | 3.5% | |
| Total votes | 180,931 | 100% | ||
Lieutenant governor selection
After winning the primary, on July 18, Cunningham released a shortlist of potential running mates.[36] He announced Tally Parham Casey as his running mate on August 1.[37]
Chosen as running mate
- Tally Parham Casey, law firm CEO and former South Carolina Air National Guard fighter pilot[36][37]
Made shortlist
- Rosalyn Glenn, financial planner and nominee for South Carolina State Treasurer in 2018[36]
- Jermaine Johnson, state representative[36]
- Kimberly Johnson, state representative[36]
- Meghan Smith, Spartanburg city councilor[36]
- Ed Sutton, real estate agent and U.S. Air Force pilot[36]
- Spencer Wetmore, state representative[36]
- Kathryn Whitaker, law firm chief marketing officer[36]
Declined
- Mia McLeod, state senator and runner-up in the gubernatorial primary[36]
- Teresa Wilson, Columbia city manager[36]
Independents and third parties
Candidates
Declared
- Jokie Beckett Jr., veteran (Independence)[7]
- Michael Copeland (Independence)[7]
- Morgan Bruce Reeves (Libertarian), United Citizens and Green nominee for governor in 2010 and United Citizens nominee in 2014[7][8][38]
- Gary Votour (Labor), healthcare advocate and retired GIS mapper.[26][7][a]
- Running mate: Harold Geddings III, candidate for South Carolina's 2nd congressional district in 2014[26]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[41] | Solid R | July 26, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[42] | Solid R | July 22, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[43] | Safe R | June 29, 2022 |
| Politico[44] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[45] | Safe R | June 8, 2022 |
| Fox News[46] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
| 538[47] | Solid R | July 31, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[48] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Post-primary endorsements
Henry McMaster (R)
Joe Cunningham (D)
- State legislators
- Deon Tedder, state representative (2020–present)[52]
- Local officials
- Joseph P. Riley Jr., former mayor of Charleston (1975–2016)[53]
- Organizations
Polling
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Henry McMaster (R) |
Joe Cunningham (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights (R)[57] | August 24 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 44% | 6% | 0% |
| Impact Research (D)[58][A] | August 24–30, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 42% | 4%[c] | 5% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[59] | August 25–28, 2022 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | 2%[d] | 4% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[60] | August 24–25, 2022 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Labor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant N Non-invitee | ||||||||
| Henry McMaster | Joe Cunningham | Morgan Reeves | Gary Votour | |||||
| [61] | Oct 26, 2022 | South Carolina ETV | Gavin Jackson Andy Shain |
P | P | N | N | |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |
|
988,501 | 58.04% | +4.08% | |
| Democratic |
|
692,691 | 40.67% | −5.25% | |
| Libertarian |
|
20,826 | 1.22% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 1,174 | 0.07% | −0.05% | ||
| Total votes | 1,703,192 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
McMaster won 34 of 46 counties.
| County[62] | Henry McMaster Republican |
Joe Cunningham Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Abbeville | 6,010 | 69.88% | 2,498 | 29.04% | 93 | 1.08% | 3,512 | 40.83% | 8,601 |
| Aiken | 35,948 | 65.53% | 18,014 | 32.84% | 898 | 1.64% | 17,934 | 32.69% | 54,860 |
| Allendale | 562 | 30.88% | 1,234 | 67.80% | 24 | 1.32% | -672 | -36.92% | 1,820 |
| Anderson | 46,144 | 72.76% | 16,541 | 26.08% | 734 | 1.16% | 29,603 | 46.68% | 63,419 |
| Bamberg | 1,736 | 43.59% | 2,192 | 55.03% | 55 | 1.38% | -456 | -11.45% | 3,983 |
| Barnwell | 3,643 | 58.22% | 2,543 | 40.64% | 71 | 1.13% | 1,100 | 17.58% | 6,257 |
| Beaufort | 41,839 | 58.35% | 29,265 | 40.81% | 602 | 0.84% | 12,574 | 17.54% | 71,706 |
| Berkeley | 39,829 | 55.78% | 30,592 | 42.85% | 979 | 1.37% | 9,237 | 12.94% | 71,400 |
| Calhoun | 3,238 | 57.60% | 2,301 | 40.93% | 83 | 1.48% | 937 | 16.67% | 5,622 |
| Charleston | 66,475 | 43.31% | 85,433 | 55.66% | 1,580 | 1.03% | -18,958 | -12.35% | 153,488 |
| Cherokee | 12,300 | 76.20% | 3,685 | 22.83% | 157 | 0.97% | 8,615 | 53.37% | 16,142 |
| Chester | 5,762 | 60.13% | 3,695 | 38.56% | 126 | 1.31% | 2,067 | 21.57% | 9,583 |
| Chesterfield | 7,983 | 63.57% | 4,435 | 35.32% | 139 | 1.11% | 3,548 | 28.26% | 12,557 |
| Clarendon | 6,374 | 55.63% | 4,983 | 43.49% | 100 | 0.87% | 1,391 | 12.14% | 11,457 |
| Colleton | 7,159 | 57.07% | 5,239 | 41.76% | 147 | 1.17% | 1,920 | 15.30% | 12,545 |
| Darlington | 11,535 | 57.57% | 8,334 | 41.59% | 169 | 0.84% | 3,201 | 15.97% | 20,038 |
| Dillon | 4,341 | 54.85% | 3,508 | 44.32% | 66 | 0.83% | 833 | 10.52% | 7,915 |
| Dorchester | 27,358 | 54.94% | 21,741 | 43.66% | 695 | 1.40% | 5,617 | 11.28% | 49,794 |
| Edgefield | 5,907 | 67.08% | 2,790 | 31.68% | 109 | 1.24% | 3,117 | 35.40% | 8,806 |
| Fairfield | 3,658 | 43.48% | 4,619 | 54.90% | 136 | 1.62% | -961 | -11.42% | 8,413 |
| Florence | 22,741 | 54.88% | 18,189 | 43.89% | 509 | 1.23% | 4,552 | 10.98% | 41,439 |
| Georgetown | 16,373 | 59.54% | 10,889 | 39.59% | 239 | 0.87% | 5,484 | 19.94% | 27,501 |
| Greenville | 108,222 | 60.75% | 66,943 | 37.58% | 2,969 | 1.67% | 41,279 | 23.17% | 178,134 |
| Greenwood | 14,196 | 65.12% | 7,330 | 33.62% | 275 | 1.26% | 6,866 | 31.49% | 21,801 |
| Hampton | 2,665 | 47.34% | 2,907 | 51.63% | 58 | 1.03% | -242 | -4.30% | 5,630 |
| Horry | 92,708 | 69.36% | 39,813 | 29.79% | 1,140 | 0.85% | 52,895 | 39.57% | 133,661 |
| Jasper | 6,259 | 56.25% | 4,749 | 42.68% | 120 | 1.08% | 1,510 | 13.57% | 11,128 |
| Kershaw | 14,024 | 62.60% | 8,072 | 36.03% | 306 | 1.37% | 5,952 | 26.57% | 22,402 |
| Lancaster | 22,399 | 64.83% | 11,653 | 33.73% | 499 | 1.44% | 10,746 | 31.10% | 34,551 |
| Laurens | 13,766 | 69.45% | 5,771 | 29.12% | 284 | 1.43% | 7,995 | 40.34% | 19,821 |
| Lee | 2,116 | 40.27% | 3,082 | 58.65% | 57 | 1.08% | -966 | -18.38% | 5,255 |
| Lexington | 64,328 | 64.55% | 33,745 | 33.86% | 1,583 | 1.59% | 30,583 | 30.69% | 99,656 |
| Marion | 3,846 | 45.70% | 4,484 | 53.28% | 86 | 1.02% | -638 | -7.58% | 8,416 |
| Marlboro | 3,209 | 49.09% | 3,247 | 49.67% | 81 | 1.24% | -38 | -0.58% | 6,537 |
| McCormick | 2,757 | 60.37% | 1,759 | 38.52% | 51 | 1.12% | 998 | 21.85% | 4,567 |
| Newberry | 8,413 | 65.55% | 4,248 | 33.10% | 174 | 1.36% | 4,165 | 32.45% | 12,835 |
| Oconee | 21,622 | 74.65% | 6,988 | 24.13% | 355 | 1.23% | 14,634 | 50.52% | 28,965 |
| Orangeburg | 9,501 | 36.28% | 16,481 | 62.93% | 209 | 0.80% | -6,980 | -26.65% | 26,191 |
| Pickens | 30,020 | 74.67% | 9,546 | 23.74% | 639 | 1.59% | 20,474 | 50.92% | 40,205 |
| Richland | 41,008 | 32.20% | 84,541 | 66.38% | 1,819 | 1.43% | -43,533 | -34.18% | 127,368 |
| Saluda | 4,695 | 71.57% | 1,783 | 27.18% | 82 | 1.25% | 2,912 | 44.39% | 6,560 |
| Spartanburg | 63,806 | 65.74% | 31,939 | 32.91% | 1,306 | 1.35% | 31,867 | 32.84% | 97,051 |
| Sumter | 14,292 | 46.59% | 16,051 | 52.32% | 334 | 1.09% | -1,759 | -5.73% | 30,677 |
| Union | 5,722 | 66.04% | 2,859 | 32.99% | 84 | 0.97% | 2,863 | 33.04% | 8,665 |
| Williamsburg | 3,858 | 39.40% | 5,839 | 59.63% | 95 | 0.97% | -1,981 | -20.23% | 9,792 |
| York | 58,154 | 60.59% | 36,141 | 37.66% | 1,683 | 1.75% | 22,013 | 22.94% | 95,978 |
| Totals | 988,501 | 58.04% | 692,691 | 40.67% | 22,000 | 1.29% | 295,810 | 17.37% | 1,703,192 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Calhoun (largest city: St. Matthews)
- Clarendon (largest city: Manning)
- Dillon (largest city: Dillon)
- Jasper (largest city: Hardeeville)
By congressional district
McMaster won six of seven congressional districts.[63]
| District | McMaster | Cunningham | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 55% | 44% | Nancy Mace |
| 2nd | 56% | 42% | Joe Wilson |
| 3rd | 71% | 28% | Jeff Duncan |
| 4th | 61% | 37% | William Timmons |
| 5th | 62% | 37% | Ralph Norman |
| 6th | 36% | 63% | Jim Clyburn |
| 7th | 63% | 36% | Tom Rice (117th Congress) |
| Russell Fry (118th Congress) |