2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

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The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8.[1] Warnock's win was the only statewide victory for Democrats in Georgia in 2022.

Quick facts Candidate, Party ...
2022 United States Senate election in Georgia
← 2020–21 (special)
November 8, 2022 (first round)
December 6, 2022 (runoff)
2028 →
 
Candidate Raphael Warnock Herschel Walker
Party Democratic Republican
First round 1,946,117
49.44%		 1,908,442
48.49%
Runoff 1,820,633
51.40%		 1,721,244
48.60%
Warnock:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Walker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. senator before election

Raphael Warnock
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Raphael Warnock
Democratic

Close

Warnock, who won a shortened term to the seat in a 2020–21 special election, was nominated in the May 24 primary for a full term with minimal opposition. Walker, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, won the Republican nomination with 68% of the vote. It was the first U.S. Senate election in Georgia history and among five nationwide since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment in 1913 in which both major party nominees were Black.[2][3][a]

In the November 8 election, Warnock received 49.4% of the vote and Walker received 48.5%, triggering the December 6 runoff.[4] Warnock defeated Walker by a 2.8% margin in the runoff and became the first African-American from Georgia elected to a full term in the U.S. Senate, and the first Democrat to win a full term at this seat since Wyche Fowler in 1986. Warnock's victory also secured an outright majority for Senate Democrats for the first time since 2015, with a net gain of one seat in the 2022 midterms.[5][6] This was the first time since 1998 that Georgia voted for different parties for U.S. senator and governor in the same election cycle. It was the third-closest Senate election of the 2022 midterms after Nevada and Wisconsin. Walker would later go on to be nominated as U.S. ambassador to the Bahamas following Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election.[7]

Democratic primary

Warnock easily won renomination in the Democratic primary over Tamara Johnson-Shealey, a left-wing activist and businesswoman, who ran a low-profile campaign focused around reparations for slavery.[8][9]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Raphael Warnock

State officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Raphael
Warnock		 Tamara
Johnson-Shealey		 Undecided
Emerson College[28] April 1–3, 2022 453 (LV) ± 4.6% 85% 6% 10%
Close

Results

Results by county:
  Warnock
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Raphael Warnock (incumbent) 702,610 96.04%
Democratic Tamara Johnson-Shealey 28,984 3.96%
Total votes 731,594 100.0%
Close

Republican primary

Georgia Agriculture Commissioner Gary Black was the runner-up in the Republican primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Georgia debates
No. Date Organizer Location Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn		 Source
Gary Black Josh Clark Kelvin King Jonathan McColumn Latham Saddler Herschel Walker
1 April 9, 2022 Georgia's 9th congressional district Republican Party Gainesville P P P P P A [53]
2 May 3, 2022 Atlanta Press Club,
Georgia Public Broadcasting		 Atlanta P P P P P A [54]
Close

Endorsements

Gary Black

Governors

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Herschel Walker

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Individuals

Organizations

  • American Conservative Union[66]
  • Black America's Political Action Committee[67]
  • National Right to Life[68]

Polling

Graphical summary

%support0204060801002021/08/122022/04/082022/05/23BlackClarkKingMcColumnSaddlerWalkerUndecided/OtherPolling: % support over time
View source data.

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Gary
Black		 Josh
Clark		 Kelvin
King		 Jonathan
McColumn		 Latham
Saddler		 Herschel
Walker		 Other
[c]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics[69] May 12–23, 2022 May 24, 2022 9.0% 2.7% 4.0% 1.7% 9.0% 64.7% 12.9% Walker +55.7
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Gary
Black		 Josh
Clark		 Kelvin
King		 Jonathan
McColumn		 Latham
Saddler		 Herschel
Walker		 Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[70] May 21–23, 2022 1,074 (LV) ± 2.9% 10% 3% 4% 2% 10% 67% – 4%
Landmark Communications (R)[71] May 22, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% 3% 5% 2% 12% 60% – 9%
Fox News[72] May 12–16, 2022 1,004 (LV) ± 3.0% 8% 2% 3% 1% 5% 66% 1% 11%
ARW Strategies (R)[73] April 30 – May 1, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 1% 3% 1% 4% 59% – 23%
SurveyUSA[74] April 22–27, 2022 559 (LV) ± 4.8% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 62% – 21%
University of Georgia[75] April 10–22, 2022 886 (LV) ± 3.3% 7% 1% 1% 1% 2% 66% – 23%
Landmark Communications (R)[76] April 9–10, 2022 660 (LV) ± 3.8% 9% 3% 4% 0% 5% 64% – 14%
Spry Strategies (R)[77] April 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 7% 2% 4% – 2% 64% – 21%
University of Georgia[78] March 20 – April 8, 2022 ~329 (LV) ± 5.4% 8% 0% 2% 0% 2% 64% – 24%
Emerson College[28] April 1–3, 2022 509 (LV) ± 4.3% 13% 4% 5% 3% 2% 57% 2%[d] 16%
Fox News[79] March 2–6, 2022 914 (LV) ± 3.0% 8% 1% 3% – 2% 66% 1% 16%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[80] February 28 – March 1, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 6% 3% 4% – 3% 63% 2% 20%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[81] February 11–13, 2022 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 6% – 2% – 3% 70% – 19%
Quinnipiac University[82] January 19–24, 2022 666 (LV) ± 3.8% 6% 0% 2% – 1% 81% 0%[e] 9%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[83][A] October 11–14, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 6% – 1% – 1% 74% 2%[f] 16%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[84] September 2–4, 2021 1,078 (LV) ± 3.0% 6% – 2% – 3% 76% – 13%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[85][B] August 11–12, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% – 2% – 1% 54% 3%[g] 35%
Close
Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Doug
Collins		 Marjorie
Taylor Greene		 Kelly
Loeffler		 Herschel
Walker		 Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R)[86] March 14–15, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 7% 22% 27% 11%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage[87] March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[h] – 33% – 24% 33% 11%
Close

Primary runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Kelly Loeffler

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Doug
Collins		 Kelly
Loeffler		 Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R)[86] March 14–15, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 36% 10%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage[87] March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[h] – 52% 32% 16%
Close

Herschel Walker vs. Doug Collins

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Herschel
Walker		 Doug
Collins		 Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage[87] March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[h] – 50% 36% 14%
Close

Herschel Walker vs. Kelly Loeffler

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Herschel
Walker		 Kelly
Loeffler		 Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage[87] March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[h] – 62% 26% 11%
Close

Results

Results by county:
  Walker
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Herschel Walker 803,560 68.18%
Republican Gary Black 157,370 13.35%
Republican Latham Saddler 104,471 8.86%
Republican Josh Clark 46,693 3.96%
Republican Kelvin King 37,930 3.22%
Republican Jonathan McColumn 28,601 2.43%
Total votes 1,178,625 100.0%
Close

Libertarian primary

Libertarian nominee Chase Oliver

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[91] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[92] Tossup April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[93] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[94] Tossup April 1, 2022
RCP[95] Tossup February 24, 2022
Fox News[96] Tossup October 25, 2022
DDHQ[97] Tossup October 25, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[98] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
The Economist[99] Tossup November 1, 2022
Close

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2022 United States Senate general election in Georgia debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Libertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Raphael Warnock Herschel Walker Chase Oliver
1 Oct. 14, 2022 Nexstar Media Group Buck Lanford
Tina Tyus-Shaw		 P P N
2 Oct. 16, 2022 Georgia Public Broadcasting Scott Slade [100] P A P
Close

Endorsements

Raphael Warnock (D)

Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Herschel Walker (R)

Executive Branch officials

State officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Raphael
Warnock (D)		 Herschel
Walker (R)		 Other
[c]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics[163] October 29 – November 7, 2022 November 7, 2022 47.4% 48.8% 3.8% Walker +1.4
FiveThirtyEight[164] October 13 – November 7, 2022 November 7, 2022 46.7% 47.7% 5.69% Walker +1.0
270ToWin[165] November 4–7, 2022 November 7, 2022 47.3% 48.5% 5.1% Walker +1.2
Average 47.1% 48.3% 4.6% Walker +1.2
Close

Graphical summary

%support01020304050602021/03/092022/09/122022/11/06 10:00WarnockWalkerOther/Undecided2022 United States Senate election in Georgi...
View source data.
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Raphael
Warnock (D)		 Herschel
Walker (R)		 Chase
Oliver (L)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel[166] November 5–7, 2022 791 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 49% – 5%[i] –
Landmark Communications[167] November 4–7, 2022 1,214 (LV) ± 2.8% 46% 47% 5% – 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[168] November 6, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 49% 1% – 4%
Research Co.[169] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 47% 1% – 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[170] November 4–6, 2022 1,103 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 50% 2% – 2%
Data for Progress (D)[171] November 2–6, 2022 1,474 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3% – –
Targoz Market Research[172] November 2–6, 2022 579 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 49% 1% 2%[j] –
East Carolina University[173] November 2–5, 2022 1,077 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 49% 2% – –
Amber Integrated (R)[174] November 1–2, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 48% 3% – 4%
Remington Research Group (R)[175] November 1–2, 2022 1,150 (LV) ± 2.8% 45% 49% 2% – 4%
Echleon Insights[176] October 31 – November 2, 2022 500 (LV) ± 5.4% 45% 49% 3% – 3%
45% 52% – – 3%
Marist College[177] October 31 – November 2, 2022 1,168 (RV) ± 3.9% 49% 45% – 1%[k] 6%
1,009 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 48% – 1%[k] 3%
Moore Information Group (R)[178][C] October 29 – November 2, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 49% 2% – 5%
SurveyUSA[179] October 29 – November 2, 2022 1,171 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 43% 3% – 5%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[180][D] October 30 – November 1, 2022 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 49% 45% 4% – 2%
Emerson College[181] October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 1% 1%[l] 2%
50% 48% 2% 1%[l] –
Fox News[182] October 26–30, 2022 1,002 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 43% – 6%[m] 6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[183] October 27, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 48% 2% <1%[n] 5%
Siena College/NYT[184] October 24–27, 2022 604 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 46% 1% – 4%
University of Georgia[185] October 16–27, 2022 1,022 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 46% 5% – 5%
co/efficient (R)[186] October 24–25, 2022 946 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% 3% – 6%
Moore Information Group (R)[187][C] October 22–25, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 46% 3% – –
Rasmussen Reports (R)[188] October 23–24, 2022 1,053 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% – 4%[o] 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[189][E] October 21–23, 2022 1,076 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 49% 5% – –
East Carolina University[190] October 13–18, 2022 905 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 47% – 2%[p] 3%
Landmark Communications[191] October 15–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 46% 3% – 2%
Data for Progress (D)[192] October 13–17, 2022 984 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 3% – 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[193] October 16, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 43% 4% 1%[q] 6%
Wick Insights (R)[194] October 8–14, 2022 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 46% – 3%[r] 5%
Civiqs[195] October 8–11, 2022 717 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 46% – 3%[r] 1%
Moore Information Group (R)[196][C] October 8–11, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 46% 4% – –
The Trafalgar Group (R)[197] October 8–11, 2022 1,084 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 45% 4% – 5%
Quinnipiac University[198] October 7–10, 2022 1,157 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 45% – 1%[s] 1%
Emerson College[199] October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 1% 1%[l] 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[200] October 4, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 44% 3% 1%[q] 5%
SurveyUSA[201] September 30 – October 4, 2022 1,076 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 38% – 5%[t] 7%
University of Georgia[202] September 25 – October 4, 2022 1,030 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 43% 4% – 6%
Fox News[203] September 22–26, 2022 1,011 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 41% – 6%[u] 7%
Data for Progress (D)[204] September 16–20, 2022 1,006 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 4% – 3%
YouGov/CBS News[205] September 14–19, 2022 1,178 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 49% – – 0%
University of Georgia[206] September 5–16, 2022 861 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 46% – 3% 7%
Marist College[207] September 12–15, 2022 1,202 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 42% 4% – 7%
992 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 4% – 4%
Kurt Jetta (D)[208][F] September 9–12, 2022 949 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 37% – – 13%
542 (LV) 49% 45% – – 7%
Quinnipiac University[209] September 8–12, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 2.7% 52% 46% – 1% 2%
Echelon Insights[210] August 31 – September 7, 2022 751 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 40% – – 10%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[211] September 6–7, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 47% 4% – 5%
Emerson College[212] August 28–29, 2022 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 46% – 4% 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[213] August 24–27, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 3% – 3%
Phillips Academy[214] August 3–7, 2022 971 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 45% – – 11%
Research Affiliates (D)[215][G] July 26 – August 1, 2022 420 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 46% – – 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[216] July 26–27, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 45% 3% 1% 3%
Fox News[217] July 22–26, 2022 908 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 42% – 1% 9%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[218][H] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 42% 46% – 3% 9%
SurveyUSA[219] July 21–24, 2022 604 (LV) ± 5.3% 48% 39% – 5% 8%
University of Georgia[220] July 14–22, 2022 902 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 43% 3% – 8%
Beacon Research (D)[221][I] July 5–20, 2022 1,003 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 36% – 2% 11%
602 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 43% – 1% 7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[222] July 5–11, 2022 1,197 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 47% – – 3%
Data for Progress (D)[223] July 1–6, 2022 1,131 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% – – 4%
Change Research (D)[224][J] June 24–27, 2022 704 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 44% – – 8%
Quinnipiac University[225] June 23–27, 2022 1,497 (RV) ± 2.5% 54% 44% – 0% 3%
Moore Information Group (R)[226][C] June 11–16, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% – – 6%
East Carolina University[227] June 6–9, 2022 868 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 47% – 2% 4%
SurveyUSA[228] April 22–27, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% – – 5%
Grassroots Targeting (R)[229][A] April 3–16, 2022 2,500 (RV) ± 2.0% 41% 51% – – 8%
Emerson College[28] April 1–3, 2022 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 49% – – 6%
Blueprint Polling (D)[230] March 2–8, 2022 662 (LV) ± 3.9% 45% 49% – – 6%
Change Research (D)[224][J] March 2022 – (LV) – 48% 49% – – 3%
Wick Insights (R)[231] February 2–6, 2022 1,290 (LV) ± 2.7% 46% 47% – – 8%
Quinnipiac University[82] January 19–24, 2022 1,702 (RV) ± 2.4% 48% 49% – 0% 3%
University of Georgia[232] January 13–24, 2022 872 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 47% – 1% 8%
NRSC (R)[233][K] December 4–8, 2021 831 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% – – 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[234] November 9, 2021 753 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 39% – 2% 8%
733 (LV) 48% 42% – 2% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[235] August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 48% 46% – – 6%
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[236] March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% – 3% 4%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Raphael Warnock vs. Gary Black

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Raphael
Warnock (D)		 Gary
Black (R)		 Other Undecided
University of Georgia[232] January 13–24, 2022 872 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 41% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[235] August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 46% 38% – 16%
Close

Raphael Warnock vs. Kelly Loeffler

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Raphael
Warnock (D)		 Kelly
Loeffler (R)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[235] August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 47% 44% – 9%
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[236] March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 41% 8% 5%
Close

Raphael Warnock vs. Doug Collins

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Raphael
Warnock (D)		 Doug
Collins (R)		 Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[236] March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 45% 5% 5%
Close

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
Grassroots Targeting (R)[229][A] April 3–16, 2022 2,500 (RV) ± 2.0% 40% 52% 8%
Close

Results

Despite a strong gubernatorial performance by incumbent governor Brian Kemp in his reelection bid, and leading the polls since October, Walker ended up one point behind Warnock and was forced into a runoff. Ticket splitting was evident, as Walker underperformed Brian Kemp by 203,130 votes, while Warnock did 132,444 votes better than Abrams.[237]

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 United States Senate election in Georgia[238]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Raphael Warnock (incumbent) 1,946,117 49.44% N/A
Republican Herschel Walker 1,908,442 48.49% N/A
Libertarian Chase Oliver 81,365 2.07% +1.35%
Total votes 3,935,924 100.0%
Close

By county

More information County, Raphael Warnock Democratic ...
County[239] Raphael Warnock
Democratic		 Herschel Walker
Republican		 Various candidates
Other parties		 Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Appling 1,260 18.92% 5,344 80.24% 65 0.98% -4,084 -61.32% 6,660
Atkinson 502 22.43% 1,709 76.36% 27 1.21% -1,207 -53.93% 2,238
Bacon 458 12.35% 3,204 86.36% 48 1.29% -2,746 -74.02% 3,710
Baker 526 42.11% 711 56.93% 12 0.96% -185 -14.81% 1,249
Baldwin 7,327 48.99% 7,416 49.58% 214 1.43% -89 -0.59% 14,957
Banks 772 10.59% 6,362 87.23% 159 2.18% -5,590 -76.65% 7,293
Barrow 8,244 28.16% 20,136 68.79% 893 3.05% -11,892 -40.62% 29,273
Bartow 9,349 23.51% 29,361 73.84% 1,053 2.65% -20,012 -50.33% 39,763
Ben Hill 1,767 34.82% 3,235 63.74% 73 1.44% -1,468 -28.93% 5,075
Berrien 909 15.18% 5,002 83.51% 79 1.32% -4,093 -68.33% 5,990
Bibb 33,105 61.30% 20,203 37.41% 699 1.29% 12,902 23.89% 54,007
Bleckley 1,039 21.69% 3,675 76.71% 77 1.61% -2,636 -55.02% 4,791
Brantley 477 8.16% 5,275 90.23% 94 1.61% -4,798 -82.07% 5,846
Brooks 1,999 35.67% 3,528 62.96% 77 1.37% -1,529 -27.28% 5,604
Bryan 5,404 31.93% 11,143 65.83% 379 2.24% -5,739 -33.91% 16,926
Bulloch 8,195 34.92% 14,858 63.31% 416 1.77% -6,663 -28.39% 23,469
Burke 3,885 45.98% 4,462 52.81% 102 1.21% -577 -6.83% 8,449
Butts 2,666 27.68% 6,784 70.43% 182 1.89% -4,118 -42.75% 9,632
Calhoun 963 56.71% 724 42.64% 11 0.65% 239 14.08% 1,698
Camden 5,758 33.62% 11,698 64.35% 417 2.03% -5,940 -30.73% 17,873
Candler 950 26.90% 2,552 72.27% 29 0.82% -1,602 -45.37% 3,531
Carroll 12,582 28.92% 29,838 68.58% 1,087 2.50% -17,256 -39.66% 43,507
Catoosa 5,282 21.65% 18,562 76.07% 558 2.29% -13,280 -54.42% 24,402
Charlton 780 23.03% 2,552 75.35% 55 1.62% -1,772 -52.32% 3,387
Chatham 62,996 59.43% 41,189 38.86% 1,816 1.71% 21,807 20.57% 106,001
Chattahoochee 453 44.63% 538 53.00% 24 2.36% -85 -8.37% 1,015
Chattooga 1,514 19.76% 5,977 78.00% 172 2.24% -4,463 -58.24% 7,663
Cherokee 34,987 29.25% 80,811 67.55% 3,833 3.20% -45,824 -38.30% 119,631
Clarke 28,566 71.10% 10,810 26.91% 800 1.99% 17,756 44.20% 40,176
Clay 572 51.07% 528 47.14% 20 1.79% 44 3.93% 1,120
Clayton 73,412 87.45% 9,450 11.26% 1,090 1.30% 63,962 76.19% 83,952
Clinch 439 20.86% 1,630 77.47% 35 1.66% -1,191 -56.61% 2,104
Cobb 176,385 56.78% 125,795 40.49% 8,472 2.73% 50,590 16.29% 310,652
Coffee 3,216 27.13% 8,447 71.27% 189 1.59% -5,231 -44.14% 11,852
Colquitt 2,966 23.64% 9,390 74.83% 192 1.53% -6,424 -51.20% 12,548
Columbia 22,965 35.66% 40,172 62.38% 1,257 1.95% -17,207 -26.72% 64,394
Cook 1,497 27.04% 3,944 71.23% 96 1.73% -2,447 -44.19% 5,537
Coweta 20,169 31.84% 41,512 65.52% 1,674 2.64% -21,343 -33.69% 63,355
Crawford 1,298 26.95% 3,440 71.43% 78 1.62% -2,142 -44.48% 4,816
Crisp 2,164 34.32% 4,058 64.35% 84 1.33% -1,894 -30.03% 6,306
Dade 996 17.11% 4,698 80.71% 127 2.18% -3,702 -63.60% 5,821
Dawson 2,277 16.42% 11,185 80.64% 408 2.94% -8,908 -64.22% 13,870
Decatur 3,303 37.37% 5,433 61.46% 103 1.17% -2,130 -24.10% 8,839
DeKalb 250,761 84.27% 41,951 14.10% 4,858 1.63% 208,810 70.17% 297,570
Dodge 1,640 24.82% 4,895 74.08% 73 1.10% -3,255 -49.26% 6,608
Dooly 1,461 44.58% 1,784 54.44% 32 0.98% -323 -9.86% 3,277
Dougherty 18,603 69.90% 7,755 29.14% 256 0.96% 10,848 40.76% 26,614
Douglas 34,158 64.76% 17,589 33.35% 999 1.89% 16,569 31.41% 52,746
Early 1,650 42.45% 2,209 56.83% 28 0.72% -559 -14.38% 3,887
Echols 100 9.43% 937 88.40% 23 2.17% -837 -78.96% 1,060
Effingham 6,473 25.58% 18,231 72.04% 604 2.39% -11,758 -46.46% 25,308
Elbert 2,077 28.44% 5,135 70.32% 90 1.23% -3,058 -41.88% 7,302
Emanuel 2,157 28.59% 5,329 70.64% 58 0.77% -3,172 -42.05% 7,544
Evans 968 29.02% 2,314 69.36% 54 1.62% -1,346 -40.35% 3,336
Fannin 2,230 17.76% 10,036 79.93% 290 2.31% -7,806 -62.17% 12,556
Fayette 28,284 47.17% 30,178 50.33% 1,496 2.50% -1,894 -3.16% 59,958
Floyd 9,160 28.72% 21,923 68.73% 813 2.55% -12,763 -40.01% 31,896
Forsyth 32,852 32.25% 66,013 64.81% 2,988 2.93% -33,161 -32.56% 101,853
Franklin 1,166 13.40% 7,374 84.72% 164 1.88% -6,208 -71.32% 8,704
Fulton 307,560 73.55% 102,758 24.57% 7,854 1.88% 204,802 48.98% 418,172
Gilmer 2,523 18.01% 11,159 79.67% 325 2.32% -8,636 -61.65% 14,007
Glascock 113 8.73% 1,171 90.42% 11 0.85% -1,058 -81.70% 1,295
Glynn 11,812 35.64% 20,735 62.56% 597 1.80% -8,923 -26.92% 33,144
Gordon 3,357 17.87% 14,955 79.60% 475 2.53% -11,598 -61.73% 18,787
Grady 2,573 30.96% 5,638 67.84% 100 1.20% -3,065 -36.88% 8,311
Greene 3,527 33.84% 6,741 64.67% 156 1.50% -3,214 -30.83% 10,424
Gwinnett 175,688 58.95% 115,024 38.59% 7,324 2.46% 60,664 20.36% 298,036
Habersham 2,887 17.11% 13,509 80.06% 478 2.83% -10,622 -62.95% 16,874
Hall 19,196 26.29% 51,643 70.74% 2,166 2.97% -32,447 -44.44% 73,005
Hancock 2,373 69.96% 989 29.16% 30 0.88% 1,384 40.80% 3,392
Haralson 1,498 12.92% 9,789 84.42% 308 2.66% -8,291 -71.50% 11,595
Harris 4,546 26.81% 12,072 71.20% 338 1.99% -7,526 -44.39% 16,956
Hart 2,322 22.12% 7,979 76.03% 194 1.85% -5,657 -53.90% 10,495
Heard 675 15.20% 3,673 82.71% 93 2.09% -2,998 -67.51% 4,441
Henry 60,756 63.80% 32,819 34.46% 1,654 1.74% 27,937 29.34% 95,229
Houston 25,657 43.49% 32,239 54.65% 1,095 1.86% -6,582 -11.16% 58,991
Irwin 757 22.24% 2,601 76.41% 46 1.35% -1,844 -54.17% 3,404
Jackson 6,504 20.51% 24,379 76.89% 823 2.60% -17,875 -56.38% 31,706
Jasper 1,464 22.40% 4,951 75.76% 120 1.84% -3,487 -53.36% 6,535
Jeff Davis 738 16.30% 3,738 82.57% 51 1.13% -3,000 -66.27% 4,527
Jefferson 3,158 50.50% 3,041 48.63% 54 0.86% 117 1.87% 6,253
Jenkins 912 33.01% 1,826 66.09% 25 0.90% -914 -33.08% 3,455
Johnson 869 25.79% 2,484 73.71% 17 0.50% -1,615 -47.92% 3,370
Jones 3,990 32.52% 8,089 65.92% 191 1.56% -4,099 -33.41% 12,270
Lamar 2,139 27.73% 5,416 70.22% 158 2.05% -3,277 -42.49% 7,713
Lanier 725 27.64% 1,860 70.91% 38 1.45% -1,135 -43.27% 2,623
Laurens 6,285 33.95% 12,073 65.21% 155 0.84% -5,788 -31.26% 18,513
Lee 3,779 27.92% 9,535 70.45% 221 1.63% -5,756 -42.53% 13,535
Liberty 9,615 62.56% 5,490 35.72% 264 1.72% 4,125 26.84% 15,369
Lincoln 1,077 27.11% 2,847 71.66% 49 1.23% -1,770 -44.55% 3,973
Long 1,548 35.17% 2,759 62.68% 95 2.16% -1,211 -27.51% 4,402
Lowndes 13,849 40.01% 20,213 58.40% 550 1.59% -6,364 -18.39% 34,612
Lumpkin 2,539 20.04% 9,765 77.05% 369 2.91% -7,226 -57.02% 12,673
Macon 2,269 60.33% 1,460 38.82% 32 0.85% 809 21.51% 3,761
Madison 2,864 22.95% 9,353 74.95% 262 2.10% -6,489 -52.00% 12,479
Marion 1,018 35.92% 1,750 61.75% 66 2.33% -732 -25.83% 2,834
McDuffie 3,103 37.38% 5,067 61.04% 131 1.58% -1,964 -23.66% 8,301
McIntosh 2,048 37.33% 3,344 60.94% 95 1.73% -1,296 -23.62% 5,487
Meriwether 3,363 37.90% 5,336 60.14% 175 1.97% -1,973 -22.24% 8,873
Miller 509 23.70% 1,617 75.28% 22 1.02% -1,108 -51.58% 2,148
Mitchell 2,953 42.07% 3,986 56.78% 81 1.15% -1,033 -14.72% 7,020
Monroe 3,737 27.35% 9,673 70.79% 255 1.87% -5,936 -43.44% 13,665
Montgomery 742 23.00% 2,450 75.95% 34 1.05% -1,708 -52.94% 3,226
Morgan 2,762 26.93% 7,322 71.38% 174 1.70% -4,560 -44.45% 10,258
Murray 1,533 13.37% 9,737 84.90% 199 1.74% -8,204 -71.53% 11,469
Muscogee 36,861 62.22% 21,496 36.28% 887 1.50% 15,365 25.94% 59,244
Newton 24,348 57.01% 17,577 41.16% 783 1.83% 6,771 15.85% 42,708
Oconee 6,987 31.36% 14,681 65.88% 615 2.76% -7,694 -34.53% 22,283
Oglethorpe 1,996 29.41% 4,638 68.35% 152 2.24% -3,153 -38.93% 6,786
Paulding 24,389 36.56% 40,689 60.99% 1,635 2.45% -16,300 -24.43% 66,713
Peach 4,701 47.01% 5,156 51.56% 143 1.43% -455 -4.55% 10,000
Pickens 2,589 17.26% 12,050 80.32% 364 2.43% -9,461 -63.06% 15,003
Pierce 779 10.87% 6,325 88.25% 63 0.88% -5,546 -77.38% 7,167
Pike 1,257 13.38% 7,948 84.59% 191 2.03% -6,691 -71.21% 9,396
Polk 2,794 20.60% 10,426 76.87% 343 2.53% -7,632 -56.27% 13,563
Pulaski 1,002 29.77% 2,319 68.89% 45 1.34% -1,317 -39.13% 3,366
Putnam 2,847 27.91% 7,164 70.22% 191 1.87% -4,317 -42.32% 10,202
Quitman 378 41.91% 511 56.65% 13 1.44% -133 -14.74% 902
Rabun 1,804 21.98% 6,180 75.30% 223 2.72% -4,376 -53.32% 8,207
Randolph 1,366 53.63% 1,158 45.47% 23 0.90% 208 8.17% 2,547
Richmond 43,567 68.14% 19,491 30.48% 880 1.38% 24,076 37.66% 63,938
Rockdale 25,478 73.27% 8,722 25.08% 574 1.65% 16,756 48.19% 34,774
Schley 384 20.54% 1,467 78.45% 19 1.02% -1,083 -57.91% 1,870
Screven 2,009 38.01% 3,203 60.61% 73 1.38% -1,194 -22.59% 5,285
Seminole 827 27.36% 2,152 71.19% 44 1.46% -1,325 -43.83% 3,888
Spalding 9,761 40.23% 13,966 57.56% 535 2.21% -4,205 -17.33% 24,262
Stephens 1,762 18.88% 7,374 79.01% 197 2.11% -5,612 -60.13% 9,333
Stewart 916 58.46% 638 40.71% 13 0.83% 278 17.74% 1,567
Sumter 4,894 51.09% 4,590 47.91% 96 1.00% 304 3.17% 9,580
Talbot 1,688 59.25% 1,118 39.24% 43 1.51% 570 20.01% 2,849
Taliaferro 483 60.60% 310 38.90% 4 0.50% 173 21.71% 797
Tattnall 1,525 23.46% 4,866 74.86% 109 1.68% -3,341 -51.40% 6,500
Taylor 1,145 35.78% 2,020 63.13% 35 1.09% -875 -27.34% 3,200
Telfair 1,032 30.35% 2,340 68.82% 28 0.82% -1,308 -38.47% 3,400
Terrell 1,904 52.34% 1,695 46.59% 39 1.07% 209 5.74% 3,638
Thomas 6,436 37.46% 10,481 61.01% 263 1.53% -4,045 -23.55% 17,180
Tift 3,878 29.89% 8,921 68.76% 176 1.36% -5,043 -38.87% 12,975
Toombs 2,062 24.37% 6,298 74.44% 100 1.18% -4,236 -50.07% 8,460
Towns 1,362 19.16% 5,568 78.32% 179 2.52% -4,206 -59.16% 7,109
Treutlen 711 29.09% 1,721 70.42% 12 0.49% -1,010 -41.33% 2,444
Troup 8,806 38.01% 13,937 60.15% 426 1.84% -5,131 -22.15% 23,169
Turner 1,152 37.33% 1,892 61.31% 42 1.36% -740 -23.98% 3,086
Twiggs 1,601 45.33% 1,886 53.40% 45 1.27% -285 -8.07% 3,532
Union 2,621 18.48% 11,186 78.86% 378 2.66% -8,565 -60.38% 14,185
Upson 3,173 31.53% 6,685 66.42% 206 2.05% -3,512 -34.90% 10,064
Walker 4,377 19.92% 17,064 77.66% 531 2.42% -12,687 -57.74% 21,972
Walton 10,702 25.32% 30,553 72.30% 1,004 2.38% -19,851 -46.97% 42,259
Ware 2,976 27.80% 7,567 70.69% 161 1.50% -4,591 -42.89% 10,704
Warren 1,117 51.98% 1,007 46.86% 25 1.16% 110 5.12% 2,149
Washington 3,793 48.86% 3,904 50.29% 66 0.85% -111 -1.43% -7,763
Wayne 2,014 20.16% 7,838 78.47% 136 1.36% -5,824 -58.31% 9,988
Webster 442 39.29% 676 60.09% 7 0.62% -234 -20.80% 1,125
Wheeler 534 29.39% 1,266 69.67% 17 0.94% -732 -40.29% 1,817
White 2,063 16.30% 10,249 80.96% 348 2.75% -8,186 -64.66% 12,660
Whitfield 6,904 25.68% 19,387 72.10% 597 2.22% -12,483 -46.43% 26,888
Wilcox 644 24.65% 1,947 74.51% 22 0.84% -1,303 -49.87% 2,613
Wilkes 1,680 40.70% 2,402 58.19% 46 1.11% -722 -17.49% 4,128
Wilkinson 1,728 42.74% 2,272 56.20% 43 1.06% -544 -13.46% 4,043
Worth 1,842 25.03% 5,416 73.61% 100 1.36% -3,574 -48.57% 7,358
Totals1,946,11749.44%1,908,44248.49%81,3652.07%37,6750.95%3,935,924
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By congressional district

Walker won nine of 14 congressional districts.[240]

More information District, Warnock ...
District Warnock Walker Representative
1st 42% 56% Buddy Carter
2nd 54% 45% Sanford Bishop
3rd 34% 63% Drew Ferguson
4th 80% 19% Hank Johnson
5th 84% 14% Nikema Williams
6th 41% 56% Lucy McBath (117th Congress)
Rich McCormick (118th Congress)
7th 63% 35% Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress)
Lucy McBath (118th Congress)
8th 34% 64% Austin Scott
9th 29% 68% Andrew Clyde
10th 38% 60% Jody Hice (117th Congress)
Mike Collins (118th Congress)
11th 41% 56% Barry Loudermilk
12th 43% 56% Rick Allen
13th 82% 16% David Scott
14th 31% 67% Marjorie Taylor Greene
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Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by voters in person as well as by phone.[241] One key to Warnock's victory was winning voters with graduate degrees 60-38%, as he lost all other educational groups. Warnock also won voters under 50 by large margins, offsetting his losses among older voters.

More information Demographic subgroup, Warnock ...
2022 United States Senate election voter demographics in Georgia (CNN)[241]
Demographic subgroup Warnock Walker Oliver % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 93 5 2 18
Moderates 66 32 2 41
Conservatives 11 88 1 41
Party
Democrats 97 2 0 35
Republicans 4 95 1 41
Independents 53 42 4 24
Gender
Men 44 54 2 47
Women 53 45 1 53
Marital status
Married 47 53 1 64
Unmarried 60 37 1 36
Gender by marital status
Married men 38 60 2 31
Married women 44 55 1 31
Unmarried men 58 39 3 15
Unmarried women 65 33 1 23
Race/ethnicity
White 29 70 1 62
Black 90 8 1 28
Latino 58 39 3 6
Asian 59 39 2 2
Other racial/ethnic groups 53 41 4 3
Gender by race
White men 27 71 2 31
White women 30 68 1 30
Black men 85 12 2 11
Black women 93 5 1 17
Latino men 61 37 2 3
Latina women 55 41 4 4
All other races 55 40 3 4
Age
18–24 years old 69 28 3 6
25–29 years old 57 40 2 6
30–39 years old 57 40 3 14
40–49 years old 52 46 1 17
50–64 years old 44 54 1 32
65 and older 41 58 1 25
2020 presidential vote
Biden 97 3 0 43
Trump 4 95 1 48
First time midterm election voter
Yes 52 44 4 8
No 46 52 1 92
Education
Never attended college 39 59 1 16
Some college education 49 50 1 27
Associate degree 48 49 3 16
Bachelor's degree 47 51 2 23
Advanced degree 60 38 2 17
Education by race
White college graduates 40 58 2 27
White no college degree 19 79 1 34
Non-white college graduates 78 20 1 13
Non-white no college degree 82 15 2 25
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees 44 54 1 13
White women without college degrees 20 79 1 17
White men with college degrees 36 61 2 14
White men without college degrees 19 80 1 18
Non-white 81 17 2 38
Issue regarded as most important
Crime 50 48 2 13
Abortion 77 21 1 26
Inflation 27 72 1 37
Gun Policy 58 40 1 10
Immigration 15 83 2 7
Feelings about Roe v. Wade being overturned
Enthusiastic/satisfied 16 83 1 43
Dissatisfied/angry 77 20 2 53
Abortion should be
Legal 75 23 1 53
Illegal 11 87 1 43
Area type
Urban 68 31 1 20
Suburban 48 49 2 53
Rural 35 65 1 27
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Runoff election

Following the projection of incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto's victory in Nevada, it became clear that, unlike in the previous cycle, the results of the Georgia runoff would not determine control of the United States Senate. With all Democratic incumbents besides Warnock winning re-election and Democrat John Fetterman flipping an open seat in Pennsylvania that had been held by retiring Republican Pat Toomey, Democrats held their majority in the Senate.[v][242] Nevertheless, national Democrats and Republicans began spending on advertising and volunteer mobilization efforts as soon as it became apparent that a runoff election would be necessary.[243] Historically, runoff elections in Georgia have favored Republicans as turnout decreased disproportionately amongst Democratic voters, but in 2021, with Senate control to be determined, turnout was historically high, and Democrats won both races.[244] Prior to the runoff, elections analysts questioned whether Georgia voters would turn out in such high numbers again and tried to determine which candidate's coalition of supporters would be more likely to turn out.[245] This was the fifth runoff in the state's history.

The early vote window was shorter in 2022 than in 2021 due to Georgia's Election Integrity Act of 2021, which reduced the gap between general and runoff elections from nine to four weeks.[246] State officials also said that there could be no weekend early voting: Georgia state law bars early voting from taking place the Saturday immediately before an election (December 3), and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger argued that early voting also could not take place the next preceding Saturday (November 26), as it fell two days after Thanksgiving (November 24) and the day after a Georgia state holiday established to commemorate Confederate general Robert E. Lee's birthday (November 25).[w][249] On Friday, November 18, a Fulton County Superior Court judge ruled that, despite the holidays, county boards of election could legally offer early voting on Saturday, November 26;[250] that decision was upheld by the Georgia Court of Appeals on Monday, November 21,[251] and by the Supreme Court of Georgia on Wednesday, November 23.[252] Ultimately, 27 of Georgia's 159 counties chose to offer early voting on Saturday,[253] including the state's four largest counties, Fulton, Gwinnett, Cobb, and DeKalb.[254]

While Democrats retained control of the Senate during the 118th Congress regardless of the outcome of the Georgia runoff, Warnock's victory affected the functioning of that majority. During the 117th Congress, Senate Democrats made power-sharing agreements with Republicans, such as evenly dividing committee memberships between the two parties and giving Republicans greater ability to delay judicial appointments; with Warnock's win, Democrats attained an outright 51–49 majority,[1] allowing them to take full control of Senate committees and expedite judicial confirmations.[255] Looking beyond the 118th Congress, many analysts had noted that the outcome of this race would affect Democrats' prospects in the 2024 U.S. Senate elections. Election forecasters had noted that Democrats held a number of seats up for election in 2024 which would be difficult for the party to defend,[x] and therefore that holding Georgia's seat bolstered the party's chances to maintain Senate control going forward.[255][256][257]

According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Warnock won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Walker's defeat.[258]

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[259] Tossup November 18, 2022
Inside Elections[260] Tilt D December 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[261] Lean D December 5, 2022
DDHQ[262] Lean D December 6, 2022
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Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Raphael
Warnock (D)		 Herschel
Walker (R)		 Undecided
[c]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics[263] November 11 – December 4, 2022 December 5, 2022 51.0% 47.3% 1.5% Warnock +3.7
FiveThirtyEight[264] November 26 – December 5, 2022 December 5, 2022 51.1% 47.2% 2.1% Warnock +3.9
270ToWin[265] November 22 – December 5, 2022 December 5, 2022 51.0% 47.7% 1.5% Warnock +3.3
Average 51.0% 47.4% 1.7% Warnock +3.6
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Graphical summary

%support01020304050602022/11/172022/11/30 12:002022/12/05 12:00WarnockWalkerOther/Undecided2022 United States Senate election in Georgi...
View source data.
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error		 Raphael
Warnock (D)		 Herschel
Walker (R)		 Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[266] December 3–5, 2022 1,099 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 47% – 2%
Data for Progress (D)[267] December 1–5, 2022 1,229 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 49% – –
InsiderAdvantage (R)[268] December 4, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 48% – 1%
Landmark Communications[269] December 4, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 47% – 1%
Mitchell Research[270] December 4, 2022 625 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 45% – 5%
Patriot Polling[271] November 30 – December 2, 2022 818 (RV) – 49% 47% – 4%
Emerson College[272] November 28–30, 2022 888 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 49% – –
49% 47% – 4%
SurveyUSA[273] November 26–30, 2022 1,214 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 47% – 3%
50% 46% – 4%
CNN/SSRS[274] November 25–29, 2022 1,886 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%[y] –
1,184 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% 48% 1%[z] –
UMass Lowell/YouGov[275] November 18–28, 2022 1,300 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 46% – 2%
Phillips Academy[276] November 26–27, 2022 862 (LV) ± 3.3% 47% 48% – 5%
Frederick Polls (D)[277][L] November 23–26, 2022 939 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 50% – –
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[278] November 11–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 47% – 2%
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Results

Warnock won Washington and Baldwin counties in the runoff, after having lost them in the general election, although he did win them in 2020.

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 United States Senate runoff election in Georgia[279]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Raphael Warnock (incumbent) 1,820,633 51.40% +0.36%
Republican Herschel Walker 1,721,244 48.60% −0.36%
Total votes 3,541,877 100.0%
Democratic hold
Close

By county

More information County, Raphael Warnock Democratic ...
County[280] Raphael Warnock
Democratic		 Herschel Walker
Republican		 Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # %
Appling 1,222 19.51% 5,043 80.49% -3,821 -60.98% 6,265
Atkinson 485 31.824% 1,039 68.176% -554 -36.352% 1,524
Bacon 441 12.64% 3,047 87.36% -2,606 -74.72% 3,488
Baker 481 42.49% 651 57.51% -170 -15.02% 1,132
Baldwin 7,007 50.05% 6,854 49.45% 153 0.60% 13,861
Banks 698 10.70% 5,828 89.30% -5,130 -78.60% 6,526
Barrow 7,453 29.34% 17,945 70.66% -10,492 -41.32% 25,398
Bartow 8,550 24.22% 26,750 75.78% -18,200 -51.56% 35,300
Ben Hill 1,718 36.24% 3,022 63.76% -1,304 -27.52% 4,740
Berrien 843 15.19% 4,706 84.81% -3,863 -69.62% 5,549
Bibb 31,017 62.84% 18,342 37.16% 12,675 25.68% 49,359
Bleckley 1,011 22.63% 3,456 77.37% -2,445 -54.74% 4,467
Brantley 467 8.48% 5,039 91.52% -4,572 -83.04% 5,506
Brooks 1,844 36.49% 3,209 63.51% -1,365 -27.02% 5,053
Bryan 5,194 33.64% 10,244 66.36% -5,050 -32.72% 15,438
Bulloch 7,767 36.42% 13,561 63.58% -5,794 -27.16% 21,328
Burke 3,778 47.67% 4,148 52.33% -370 -4.66% 7,926
Butts 2,497 28.64% 6,222 71.38% -3,725 -42.74% 8,719
Calhoun 925 58.21% 664 41.79% 261 16.42% 1,589
Camden 5,605 34.12% 10,823 65.88% -5,218 -31.76% 16,428
Candler 940 28.65% 2,341 71.35% -1,401 -42.70% 3,281
Carroll 11,991 30.32% 27,561 69.68% -15,570 -39.36% 39,552
Catoosa 4,814 22.18% 16,891 77.82% -18,235 -55.64% 12,077
Charlton 730 23.50% 2,377 76.50% -1,647 -53.00% 3,107
Chatham 59,759 61.92% 36,754 38.08% 23,005 23.84% 96,513
Chattahoochee 434 48.12% 468 51.88% -213 -3.76% 902
Chattooga 1,343 19.63% 5,500 80.37% -4,157 -60.74% 6,843
Cherokee 32,140 30.92% 71,802 69.08% -39,662 -38.16% 103,942
Clarke 27,393 73.77% 9,742 26.23% 17,651 47.54% 37,135
Clay 536 52.50% 485 47.50% 51 5.00% 1,021
Clayton 65,976 89.13% 8,044 10.87% 57,932 78.26% 74,020
Clinch 463 23.42% 1,514 76.58% -1,051 -53.16% 1,977
Cobb 166,346 59.57% 112,920 40.43% 53,426 19.14% 279,266
Coffee 3,149 28.63% 7,850 71.37% -4,701 -42.74% 10,999
Colquitt 2,791 24.34% 8,678 75.66% -5,887 -51.32% 11,469
Columbia 21,643 37.33% 36,331 62.67% -14,688 -25.34% 57,974
Cook 1,452 28.24% 3,689 71.76% -2,237 -43.52% 5,141
Coweta 17,500 33.26% 35,110 66.74% -17,610 -33.48% 52,610
Crawford 1,228 27.76% 3,196 72.24% -1,968 -44.48% 4,424
Crisp 2,035 35.29% 3,732 64.71% -1,697 -29.42% 5,767
Dade 901 17.68% 4,195 82.32% -3,294 -64.64% 5,096
Dawson 2,103 17.14% 10,166 82.86% -8,063 -65.72% 12,269
Decatur 3,088 38.76% 4,880 61.24% -1,792 -22.48% 7,968
DeKalb 236,930 86.75% 36,186 13.25% 200,744 73.50% 273,116
Dodge 1,620 25.90% 4,634 74.10% -3,014 -48.29% 6,254
Dooly 1,408 46.12% 1,645 53.88% -237 -7.76% 3,053
Dougherty 17,839 71.56% 7,091 28.44% 10,748 43.12% 24,930
Douglas 32,399 66.75% 16,142 33.50% 16,257 25.10% 48,541
Early 1,653 45.13% 2,010 54.87% -357 -9.74% 3,663
Echols 88 9.27% 861 90.73% -773 -81.46% 949
Effingham 5,985 26.42% 16,668 73.58% -10,683 -47.16% 22,653
Elbert 1,944 29.20% 4,713 70.80% -2,769 -41.60% 6,657
Emanuel 2,091 29.35% 5,033 70.65% -2,942 -41.30% 7,124
Evans 938 30.16% 2,172 69.84% -1,234 -39.68% 3,110
Fannin 2,046 18.33% 9,116 81.67% -7,070 -63.34% 11,162
Fayette 26,584 49.55% 27,071 50.45% -487 -0.90% 53,655
Floyd 8,358 29.50% 19,973 70.50% -11,615 -41.00% 28,331
Forsyth 30,433 34.30% 58,295 65.70% -27,862 -31.40% 88,728
Franklin 1,077 13.46% 6,926 86.54% -5,849 -73.08% 8,003
Fulton 282,116 76.60% 86,174 23.40% 195,942 53.20% 368,290
Gilmer 2,352 18.46% 10,391 81.54% -8,039 -63.08% 12,743
Glascock 105 8.59% 1,118 91.41% -1,013 -82.82% 1,223
Glynn 11,423 37.67% 18,900 62.33% -7,477 -24.66% 30,323
Gordon 3,032 17.74% 14,055 82.26% -11,023 -64.52% 17,087
Grady 2,449 32.58% 5,067 67.42% -2,618 -34.84% 7,516
Greene 3,401 35.14% 6,278 64.86% -2,877 -29.72% 9,679
Gwinnett 165,066 62.13% 100,600 37.87% 64,466 24.26% 265,666
Habersham 2,715 17.65% 12,668 82.35% -9,953 -64.70% 15,383
Hall 17,826 27.30% 47,471 72.70% -29,645 -45.40% 65,297
Hancock 2,356 72.14% 910 27.86% 1,446 44.28% 3,266
Haralson 1,373 13.17% 9,051 86.83% -7,678 -73.66% 10,424
Harris 4,393 28.28% 11,141 71.72% -6,748 -43.44% 15,534
Hart 2,271 23.23% 7,507 76.77% -5,236 -53.54% 9,778
Heard 639 15.79% 3,407 84.21% -2,768 -68.42% 5,394
Henry 55,188 66.26% 28,098 33.74% 27,090 32.52% 83,286
Houston 24,605 45.53% 29,437 54.47% -4,832 -8.94% 54,042
Irwin 706 22.53% 2,427 77.47% -1,721 -54.94% 3,133
Jackson 5,854 21.31% 21,613 78.69% -15,759 -57.38% 27,467
Jasper 1,339 22.66% 4,569 77.34% -3,230 -54.68% 5,908
Jeff Davis 742 17.61% 3,471 82.39% -2,729 -64.78% 4,213
Jefferson 3,079 51.53% 2,896 48.47% 183 3.06% 5,975
Jenkins 874 34.67% 1,647 65.33% -773 -30.66% 2,521
Johnson 967 28.56% 2,419 71.44% -1,452 -42.88% 3,386
Jones 3,744 33.29% 7,502 66.71% -3,758 -33.42% 11,246
Lamar 2,008 29.03% 4,910 70.97% -2,902 -41.94% 6,918
Lanier 701 28.58% 1,752 71.42% -1,051 -42.84% 2,453
Laurens 6,060 34.80% 11,355 65.20% -5,295 -30.40% 17,415
Lee 3,562 28.95% 8,743 71.05% -5,181 -42.10% 12,305
Liberty 9,210 64.72% 5,021 35.28% 4,189 29.44% 14,231
Lincoln 1,043 28.17% 2,660 71.83% -1,741 -43.66% 3,703
Long 1,472 37.58% 2,445 62.42% -973 -24.84% 3,917
Lowndes 13,126 41.57% 18,448 58.43% -5,322 -16.86% 31,574
Lumpkin 2,339 20.62% 9,005 79.38% -6,666 -58.76% 11,344
Macon 2,185 61.62% 1,361 38.38% 824 23.24% 3,546
Madison 2,712 23.78% 8,694 76.22% -5,982 -52.44% 11,406
Marion 1,029 38.34% 1,655 61.66% -626 -23.32% 2,684
McDuffie 2,993 38.82% 4,717 61.18% -1,724 -22.36% 7,710
McIntosh 2,015 38.78% 3,181 61.22% -1,166 -22.44% 5,196
Meriwether 3,245 39.26% 5,020 60.74% -1,775 -21.48% 8,265
Miller 442 22.84% 1,493 77.16% -1,051 -54.32% 1,935
Mitchell 2,798 42.95% 3,716 57.05% -918 -14.10% 6,514
Monroe 3,609 28.58% 9,018 71.42% -5,409 -42.84% 12,627
Montgomery 751 24.73% 2,286 75.27% -1,535 -50.54% 3,037
Morgan 2,651 27.90% 6,851 72.10% -4,200 -44.20% 9,502
Murray 1,339 13.09% 8,893 86.91% -7,554 -73.82% 10,232
Muscogee 35,487 64.62% 19,433 35.38% 16,054 29.24% 54,920
Newton 22,356 58.85% 15,635 41.15% 6,721 17.70% 37,991
Oconee 6,600 32.77% 13,543 67.23% -6,943 -34.46% 20,143
Oglethorpe 1,917 30.64% 4,340 69.36% -2,423 -38.72% 6,257
Paulding 22,485 38.19% 36,388 61.81% -13,903 -23.62% 58,873
Peach 4,433 48.27% 4,751 51.73% -318 -3.46% 9,184
Pickens 2,355 17.65% 10,986 82.35% -8,631 -64.70% 13,341
Pierce 771 11.51% 5,929 88.49% -5,158 -76.98% 6,700
Pike 1,185 13.71% 7,458 86.29% -6,273 -72.58% 8,643
Polk 2,471 20.63% 9,506 79.37% -7,035 -58.74% 11,977
Pulaski 986 30.90% 2,205 69.10% -1,219 -38.20% 3,191
Putnam 2,696 29.02% 6,594 70.98% -3,898 -41.96% 9,290
Quitman 330 40.89% 477 59.11% -147 -18.22% 807
Rabun 1,706 22.91% 5,742 77.09% -4,036 -54.18% 7,448
Randolph 1,351 56.08% 1,058 43.92% 293 12.16% 2,409
Richmond 41,812 69.89% 18,014 30.11% 23,798 39.78% 59,826
Rockdale 23,877 75.49% 7,752 24.51% 16,125 50.98% 31,629
Schley 346 20.05% 1,380 79.95% -1,034 -59.90% 1,726
Screven 1,910 39.00% 2,987 61.00% -1,077 -22.00% 4,897
Seminole 793 28.86% 1,955 71.14% -1,162 -42.28% 2,748
Spalding 8,902 41.35% 12,625 58.65% -3,723 -17.30% 21,527
Stephens 1,662 19.87% 6,702 80.13% -5,040 -60.26% 8,364
Stewart 899 62.74% 534 37.26% 365 25.48% 1,433
Sumter 4,649 52.52% 4,203 47.48% 446 5.04% 8,852
Talbot 1,605 60.20% 1,061 39.80% 544 20.40% 2,666
Taliaferro 431 60.28% 284 39.72% 147 20.56% 715
Tattnall 1,440 23.99% 4,562 76.01% -3,122 -52.02% 6,002
Taylor 1,125 37.45% 1,879 62.55% -754 -25.10% 3,004
Telfair 1,037 32.21% 2,182 67.79% -1,145 -35.58% 3,219
Terrell 1,777 53.08% 1,571 46.92% 206 6.16% 3,348
Thomas 6,036 39.02% 9,432 60.98% -3,396 -21.96% 15,468
Tift 3,796 31.53% 8,243 68.47% -4,447 -36.94% 12,039
Toombs 1,972 25.44% 5,780 74.56% -3,808 -49.12% 7,752
Towns 1,280 19.75% 5,201 80.25% -3,921 -60.50% 6,481
Treutlen 683 29.35% 1,644 70.65% -961 -41.30% 2,327
Troup 8,339 39.53% 12,757 60.47% -4,418 -20.94% 21,096
Turner 1,048 37.52% 1,745 62.48% -697 -24.96% 2,793
Twiggs 1,583 46.81% 1,799 53.19% -216 -6.38% 3,382
Union 2,426 19.19% 10,214 80.81% -7,788 -61.62% 12,640
Upson 2,872 32.22% 6,043 67.78% -3,171 -35.56% 8,915
Walker 3,905 20.11% 15,517 79.89% -11,612 -59.78% 19,422
Walton 10,089 26.39% 28,147 73.61% -18,058 -47.22% 38,236
Ware 2,861 29.00% 7,005 71.00% -4,144 -42.00% 9,866
Warren 1,063 52.57% 959 47.43% 104 5.14% 2,022
Washington 3,754 50.59% 3,667 49.41% 87 1.18% 7,421
Wayne 1,942 21.05% 7,284 78.95% -7,299 -57.90% 9,226
Webster 420 40.54% 616 59.46% -196 -18.92% 1,036
Wheeler 492 28.55% 1,231 71.45% -739 -42.90% 1,723
White 1,900 16.78% 9,422 83.22% -7,522 -66.44% 11,322
Whitfield 6,061 25.48% 17,726 74.52% -11,665 -49.04% 23,787
Wilcox 615 25.84% 1,765 74.16% -1,150 -48.32% 2,380
Wilkes 1,609 41.93% 2,228 58.07% -619 -16.14% 3,837
Wilkinson 1,678 44.36% 2,105 55.64% -427 -11.28% 3,783
Worth 1,759 25.66% 5,097 74.34% -3,338 -48.68% 6,856
Totals1,820,63351.40%1,721,24448.60%99,3892.80%3,541,877
Close

By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Walker won nine of 14 congressional districts.[281]

More information District, Warnock ...
District Warnock Walker Representative
1st 44% 56% Buddy Carter
2nd 56% 44% Sanford Bishop
3rd 36% 64% Drew Ferguson
4th 82% 18% Hank Johnson
5th 87% 13% Nikema Williams
6th 44% 56% Lucy McBath (117th Congress)
Rich McCormick (118th Congress)
7th 66% 34% Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress)
Lucy McBath (118th Congress)
8th 35% 65% Austin Scott
9th 31% 69% Andrew Clyde
10th 39% 61% Jody Hice (117th Congress)
Mike Collins (118th Congress)
11th 43% 57% Barry Loudermilk
12th 44% 56% Rick Allen
13th 84% 16% David Scott
14th 32% 68% Marjorie Taylor Greene
Close

See also

Notes

  1. [a]
    After Illinois in 2004 and South Carolina in 2014 and 2016, and concurrently with South Carolina in 2022.
  2. [b]
    Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. [c]
    Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. [d]
    Nestor with 2%
  5. [e]
    Craig and Nestor with 0%
  6. [f]
    Craig and Nestor with 1%
  7. [g]
    Carter with 3%
  8. [h]
    Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
  9. [i]
    "Other candidate/Don't know" with 5%
  10. [j]
    "All others" with 2%
  11. [k]
    "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  12. [l]
    "Someone else" with 1%
  13. [m]
    "Other" with 4%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  14. [n]
    "Other" with <1%
  15. [o]
    "Some other candidate" with 4%
  16. [p]
    "Some other candidate" with 2%
  17. [q]
    "Other" with 1%
  18. [r]
    "Someone else" with 3%
  19. [s]
    "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  20. [t]
    "Other candidate" with 5%
  21. [u]
    "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%
  22. [v]
    Two independent senators caucus with Senate Democrats and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris casts the tie-breaking vote.
  23. [w]
    While Lee's birthday was January 19, the state of Georgia had traditionally observed the holiday on the Friday after Thanksgiving. Since 2016, Georgia no longer references Lee on its official calendar, but the day is still observed as a state holiday and government operations are closed.[247][248]
  24. [x]
    Three Class 1 Democrats represent states won by Trump in 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Class 1 Republicans represent states won by Biden. In addition, five Class 1 Democrats represent states won by Biden by less than his national popular vote margin (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin).
  25. [y]
    "Do not plan to vote" with 5%
  26. [z]
    "Do not plan to vote" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. [A]
    This poll was sponsored by 34N22 Leadership, which supports Walker
  2. [B]
    This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC
  3. [C]
    This poll was sponsored by Walker's campaign
  4. [D]
    This poll was sponsored by Progress Georgia, an organization affiliated with the Georgia Democratic Party.
  5. [E]
    This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire
  6. [F]
    This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Walker
  7. [G]
    This poll was sponsored by Charlie Bailey's campaign for lieutenant governor
  8. [H]
    This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  9. [I]
    This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
  10. [J]
    This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America's Future Majority Fund
  11. [K]
    This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
  12. [L]
    Poll conducted for COMPETE Everywhere, a digital marketing firm associated with the Democratic Party.

References

External links

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