2024 Missouri Attorney General election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2024 Missouri Attorney General election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the attorney general of the state of Missouri. It coincided with the concurrent presidential election, as well as various state and local elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and governor of Missouri. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024.[1] Incumbent Andrew Bailey won the Republican nomination, while Elad Gross won the Democratic nomination.
November 5, 2024
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Bailey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gross: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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In the general election, Bailey won about 60 percent of the vote, defeating Gross.[2] This marked Bailey's first election to a full term in office, as he was previously appointed in 2022 by Missouri governor Mike Parson to succeed outgoing Attorney General Eric Schmitt upon Schmitt's election to the U.S. Senate.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Andrew Bailey, incumbent attorney general[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Will Scharf, attorney for Donald Trump and former assistant U.S. Attorney[4]
Endorsements
Executive Branch Officials
- Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021) (co-endorsement with Scharf)[5]
U.S. Senators
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[6]
- Eric Schmitt, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2023–present)[7]
Statewide officials
- Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–2025)[3]
Organizations
- Eagle Forum[8]
- Missouri Right to Life PAC (co-endorsement with Scharf)[9]
Executive Branch Officials
- Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021) (co-endorsement with Bailey)[5]
Statewide officials
Individuals
- Charlie Kirk, founder of Turning Point USA[11]
- Mark Levin, author and talk radio host[12]
Organizations
- Club for Growth PAC[13]
- Missouri Right to Life PAC (co-endorsement with Bailey)[9]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andrew Bailey |
Will Scharf |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battleground Connect (R)[14][A] | July 30–31, 2024 | 896 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[15][A] | July 22–24, 2024 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| co/efficient (R)[16] | July 21–22, 2024 | 981 (LV) | ± 3.92% | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| co/efficient (R)[17][B] | July 10–11, 2024 | 909 (LV) | ± 3.25% | 34% | 13% | 53% |
| Public Opinion Strategies[18][C] | June 20–24, 2024 | 500 (V) | ± 4.38% | 52% | 19% | 39% |
| Remington Research (R)[19][A] | June 19–20, 2024 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| WPA Intelligence[20][D] | June 2–4, 2024 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 35% | 17% | 48% |
| Remington Research (R)[21][A] | February 14–15, 2024 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| Remington Research (R)[22][A] | January 17–18, 2024 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| Remington Research (R)[23][A] | September 27–28, 2023 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 26% | 15% | 59% |
| Remington Research (R)[24][A] | July 5–7, 2023 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 25% | 14% | 61% |
| Remington Research (R)[25][A] | April 11–12, 2023 | 778 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 24% | 14% | 62% |
| Remington Research (R)[26][A] | February 8–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 10% | 10% | 80% |
Results

- 70–80%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andrew Bailey (incumbent) | 413,465 | 63.0 | |
| Republican | Will Scharf | 242,680 | 37.0 | |
| Total votes | 656,145 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Withdrawn
- Sarah Unsicker, state representative from the 83rd district[29] (ran for governor)[30]
Endorsements
Newspapers
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elad Gross | 343,934 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 343,934 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ryan Munro, attorney[33]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Ryan Munro | 2,401 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 2,401 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Safe R | July 25, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andrew Bailey (R) |
Elad Gross (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[35] | October 8–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 57% | 43% | – | – |
| ActiVote[36] | September 6 – October 13, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
| Remington Research Group[37][A] | October 2–3, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 42% | 1%[b] | 6% |
| YouGov/Saint Louis University[38] | August 8–16, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.40% | 51% | 38% | 1% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group[39][A] | March 6–8, 2024 | 713 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 35% | – | 15% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andrew Bailey (incumbent) | 1,739,626 | 59.78% | +0.40% | |
| Democratic | Elad Gross | 1,103,482 | 37.92% | +0.05% | |
| Libertarian | Ryan Munro | 66,878 | 2.30% | −0.45% | |
| Total votes | 2,909,986 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County[41] | Andrew Bailey Republican |
Elad Gross Democratic |
Ryan Munro Libertarian |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adair | 6,798 | 68.40% | 2,927 | 29.45% | 213 | 2.14% | 3,871 | 38.95% | 9,938 |
| Andrew | 7,305 | 76.98% | 2,000 | 21.07% | 185 | 1.95% | 5,305 | 55.90% | 9,490 |
| Atchison | 2,079 | 81.66% | 405 | 15.91% | 62 | 2.44% | 1,674 | 65.75% | 2,546 |
| Audrain | 7,642 | 75.25% | 2,264 | 22.29% | 249 | 2.45% | 5,378 | 52.96% | 10,155 |
| Barry | 12,889 | 82.37% | 2,452 | 15.67% | 306 | 1.96% | 10,437 | 66.70% | 15,647 |
| Barton | 5,019 | 86.34% | 690 | 11.87% | 104 | 1.79% | 4,329 | 74.47% | 5,813 |
| Bates | 6,427 | 80.62% | 1,378 | 17.29% | 167 | 2.09% | 5,049 | 63.33% | 7,972 |
| Benton | 8,355 | 79.80% | 1,886 | 18.01% | 229 | 2.19% | 6,469 | 61.79% | 10,470 |
| Bollinger | 5,206 | 86.98% | 675 | 11.28% | 104 | 1.74% | 4,531 | 75.71% | 5,985 |
| Boone | 40,005 | 46.21% | 44,361 | 51.24% | 2,213 | 2.56% | -4,356 | -5.03% | 86,579 |
| Buchanan | 22,416 | 64.77% | 11,289 | 32.62% | 906 | 2.62% | 11,127 | 32.15% | 34,611 |
| Butler | 14,334 | 82.18% | 2,815 | 16.14% | 293 | 1.68% | 11,519 | 66.04% | 17,442 |
| Caldwell | 3,687 | 80.71% | 761 | 16.66% | 120 | 2.63% | 2,926 | 64.05% | 4,568 |
| Callaway | 15,010 | 72.04% | 5,228 | 25.09% | 597 | 2.87% | 9,782 | 46.95% | 20,835 |
| Camden | 19,225 | 77.96% | 4,876 | 19.77% | 558 | 2.26% | 14,349 | 58.19% | 24,659 |
| Cape Girardeau | 29,030 | 74.42% | 9,132 | 23.41% | 848 | 2.17% | 19,898 | 51.01% | 39,010 |
| Carroll | 3,616 | 82.92% | 652 | 14.95% | 93 | 2.13% | 2,964 | 67.97% | 4,361 |
| Carter | 2,406 | 86.92% | 329 | 11.89% | 33 | 1.19% | 2,077 | 75.04% | 2,768 |
| Cass | 38,362 | 66.73% | 17,535 | 30.50% | 1,591 | 2.77% | 20,827 | 36.23% | 57,488 |
| Cedar | 5,818 | 84.06% | 934 | 13.50% | 169 | 2.44% | 4,884 | 70.57% | 6,921 |
| Chariton | 3,077 | 78.98% | 738 | 18.94% | 81 | 2.08% | 2,339 | 60.04% | 3,896 |
| Christian | 38,160 | 77.10% | 10,189 | 20.59% | 1,142 | 2.31% | 27,971 | 56.52% | 49,491 |
| Clark | 2,554 | 80.31% | 550 | 17.30% | 76 | 2.39% | 2,004 | 63.02% | 3,180 |
| Clay | 68,097 | 53.61% | 55,686 | 43.84% | 3,229 | 2.54% | 12,411 | 9.77% | 127,012 |
| Clinton | 8,038 | 74.13% | 2,525 | 23.29% | 280 | 2.58% | 5,513 | 50.84% | 10,843 |
| Cole | 26,922 | 68.83% | 11,270 | 28.81% | 924 | 2.36% | 15,652 | 40.01% | 39,116 |
| Cooper | 6,425 | 74.15% | 2,042 | 23.57% | 198 | 2.29% | 4,383 | 50.58% | 8,665 |
| Crawford | 8,487 | 80.54% | 1,877 | 17.81% | 174 | 1.65% | 6,610 | 62.73% | 10,538 |
| Dade | 3,449 | 84.64% | 547 | 13.42% | 79 | 1.94% | 2,902 | 71.21% | 4,075 |
| Dallas | 6,765 | 82.70% | 1,234 | 15.09% | 181 | 2.21% | 5,531 | 67.62% | 8,180 |
| Daviess | 3,067 | 80.60% | 636 | 16.71% | 102 | 2.68% | 2,431 | 63.89% | 3,805 |
| DeKalb | 3,753 | 80.87% | 785 | 16.91% | 103 | 2.22% | 2,968 | 63.95% | 4,641 |
| Dent | 5,831 | 84.93% | 902 | 13.14% | 133 | 1.94% | 4,929 | 71.79% | 6,866 |
| Douglas | 6,005 | 85.63% | 869 | 12.39% | 139 | 1.98% | 5,136 | 73.24% | 7,013 |
| Dunklin | 7,923 | 81.82% | 1,584 | 16.36% | 176 | 1.82% | 6,339 | 65.47% | 9,683 |
| Franklin | 39,322 | 73.32% | 13,029 | 24.29% | 1,281 | 2.39% | 26,293 | 49.02% | 53,632 |
| Gasconade | 6,254 | 80.48% | 1,402 | 18.04% | 115 | 1.48% | 4,852 | 62.44% | 7,771 |
| Gentry | 2,591 | 82.20% | 518 | 16.43% | 43 | 1.36% | 2,073 | 65.77% | 3,152 |
| Greene | 87,098 | 61.70% | 50,821 | 36.00% | 3,241 | 2.30% | 36,277 | 25.70% | 141,160 |
| Grundy | 3,562 | 82.91% | 666 | 15.50% | 68 | 1.58% | 2,896 | 67.41% | 4,296 |
| Harrison | 3,210 | 85.87% | 488 | 13.06% | 40 | 1.07% | 2,722 | 72.82% | 3,738 |
| Henry | 8,069 | 76.69% | 2,199 | 20.90% | 253 | 2.40% | 5,870 | 55.79% | 10,521 |
| Hickory | 4,017 | 81.02% | 839 | 16.92% | 102 | 2.06% | 3,178 | 64.10% | 4,958 |
| Holt | 1,921 | 85.15% | 283 | 12.54% | 52 | 2.30% | 1,638 | 72.61% | 2,256 |
| Howard | 3,491 | 72.61% | 1,201 | 24.98% | 116 | 2.41% | 2,290 | 47.63% | 4,808 |
| Howell | 15,346 | 83.52% | 2,714 | 14.77% | 313 | 1.70% | 12,632 | 68.75% | 18,373 |
| Iron | 3,429 | 79.43% | 797 | 18.46% | 91 | 2.11% | 2,632 | 60.97% | 4,317 |
| Jackson | 125,136 | 40.45% | 175,568 | 56.75% | 8,648 | 2.80% | -50,432 | -16.30% | 309,352 |
| Jasper | 39,016 | 74.16% | 12,325 | 23.43% | 1,270 | 2.41% | 26,691 | 50.73% | 52,611 |
| Jefferson | 77,770 | 67.80% | 34,020 | 29.66% | 2,922 | 2.55% | 43,750 | 38.14% | 114,712 |
| Johnson | 16,089 | 69.97% | 6,256 | 27.21% | 648 | 2.82% | 9,833 | 42.77% | 22,993 |
| Knox | 1,373 | 83.16% | 245 | 14.84% | 33 | 2.00% | 1,128 | 68.32% | 1,651 |
| Laclede | 14,143 | 83.94% | 2,392 | 14.20% | 313 | 1.86% | 11,751 | 69.75% | 16,848 |
| Lafayette | 12,521 | 74.26% | 3,976 | 23.58% | 365 | 2.16% | 8,545 | 50.68% | 16,862 |
| Lawrence | 14,606 | 82.11% | 2,799 | 15.74% | 383 | 2.15% | 11,807 | 66.38% | 17,788 |
| Lewis | 3,469 | 80.51% | 733 | 17.01% | 107 | 2.48% | 2,736 | 63.50% | 4,309 |
| Lincoln | 23,776 | 76.61% | 6,467 | 20.84% | 794 | 2.56% | 17,309 | 55.77% | 31,037 |
| Linn | 4,312 | 78.43% | 1,057 | 19.23% | 129 | 2.35% | 3,255 | 59.20% | 5,498 |
| Livingston | 5,288 | 79.96% | 1,213 | 18.34% | 112 | 1.69% | 4,075 | 61.62% | 6,613 |
| Macon | 6,220 | 81.50% | 1,289 | 16.89% | 123 | 1.61% | 4,931 | 64.61% | 7,632 |
| Madison | 4,537 | 81.72% | 898 | 16.17% | 117 | 2.11% | 3,639 | 65.54% | 5,552 |
| Maries | 3,930 | 84.12% | 667 | 14.28% | 75 | 1.61% | 3,263 | 69.84% | 4,672 |
| Marion | 9,787 | 76.82% | 2,662 | 20.89% | 291 | 2.28% | 7,125 | 55.93% | 12,740 |
| McDonald | 7,656 | 83.81% | 1,300 | 14.23% | 179 | 1.96% | 6,356 | 69.58% | 9,135 |
| Mercer | 1,496 | 87.23% | 197 | 11.49% | 22 | 1.28% | 1,299 | 75.74% | 1,715 |
| Miller | 10,476 | 84.00% | 1,726 | 13.84% | 270 | 2.16% | 8,750 | 70.16% | 12,472 |
| Mississippi | 3,259 | 77.10% | 883 | 20.89% | 85 | 2.01% | 2,376 | 56.21% | 4,227 |
| Moniteau | 5,810 | 82.54% | 1,083 | 15.39% | 146 | 2.07% | 4,727 | 67.15% | 7,039 |
| Monroe | 3,365 | 80.52% | 737 | 17.64% | 77 | 1.84% | 2,628 | 62.89% | 4,179 |
| Montgomery | 4,722 | 80.80% | 1,020 | 17.45% | 102 | 1.75% | 3,702 | 63.35% | 5,844 |
| Morgan | 7,517 | 80.25% | 1,638 | 17.49% | 212 | 2.26% | 5,879 | 62.76% | 9,367 |
| New Madrid | 5,085 | 77.86% | 1,325 | 20.29% | 121 | 1.85% | 3,760 | 57.57% | 6,531 |
| Newton | 22,758 | 79.69% | 5,248 | 18.38% | 553 | 1.94% | 17,510 | 61.31% | 28,559 |
| Nodaway | 6,953 | 73.61% | 2,322 | 24.58% | 171 | 1.81% | 4,631 | 49.03% | 9,446 |
| Oregon | 3,686 | 83.70% | 632 | 14.35% | 86 | 1.95% | 3,054 | 69.35% | 4,404 |
| Osage | 6,553 | 87.04% | 874 | 11.61% | 102 | 1.35% | 5,679 | 75.43% | 7,529 |
| Ozark | 3,911 | 85.15% | 599 | 13.04% | 83 | 1.81% | 3,312 | 72.11% | 4,593 |
| Pemiscot | 3,750 | 74.93% | 1,201 | 24.00% | 54 | 1.08% | 2,549 | 50.93% | 5,005 |
| Perry | 7,650 | 82.77% | 1,450 | 15.69% | 143 | 1.55% | 6,200 | 67.08% | 9,243 |
| Pettis | 13,841 | 74.98% | 4,185 | 22.67% | 433 | 2.35% | 9,656 | 52.31% | 18,459 |
| Phelps | 13,484 | 71.53% | 4,896 | 25.97% | 471 | 2.50% | 8,588 | 45.66% | 18,851 |
| Pike | 6,016 | 79.10% | 1,483 | 19.50% | 107 | 1.41% | 4,533 | 59.60% | 7,606 |
| Platte | 30,095 | 53.03% | 25,303 | 44.59% | 1,348 | 2.38% | 4,792 | 8.44% | 56,746 |
| Polk | 12,722 | 81.78% | 2,531 | 16.27% | 303 | 1.95% | 10,191 | 65.51% | 15,556 |
| Pulaski | 11,278 | 75.09% | 3,318 | 22.09% | 423 | 2.82% | 7,960 | 53.00% | 15,019 |
| Putnam | 1,949 | 85.71% | 286 | 12.58% | 39 | 1.72% | 1,663 | 73.13% | 2,274 |
| Ralls | 4,455 | 79.80% | 1,029 | 18.43% | 99 | 1.77% | 3,426 | 61.36% | 5,583 |
| Randolph | 8,208 | 76.57% | 2,262 | 21.10% | 249 | 2.32% | 5,946 | 55.47% | 10,719 |
| Ray | 8,187 | 72.95% | 2,681 | 23.89% | 355 | 3.16% | 5,506 | 49.06% | 11,223 |
| Reynolds | 2,360 | 82.60% | 437 | 15.30% | 60 | 2.10% | 1,923 | 67.31% | 2,857 |
| Ripley | 4,742 | 85.49% | 704 | 12.69% | 101 | 1.82% | 4,038 | 72.80% | 5,547 |
| Saline | 6,456 | 71.23% | 2,393 | 26.40% | 214 | 2.36% | 4,063 | 44.83% | 9,063 |
| Schuyler | 1,503 | 82.04% | 277 | 15.12% | 52 | 2.84% | 1,226 | 66.92% | 1,832 |
| Scotland | 1,501 | 82.65% | 280 | 15.42% | 35 | 1.93% | 1,221 | 67.24% | 1,816 |
| Scott | 13,544 | 80.01% | 3,106 | 18.35% | 277 | 1.64% | 10,438 | 61.66% | 16,927 |
| Shannon | 3,170 | 82.88% | 581 | 15.19% | 74 | 1.93% | 2,589 | 67.69% | 3,825 |
| Shelby | 2,591 | 83.04% | 471 | 15.10% | 58 | 1.86% | 2,120 | 67.95% | 3,120 |
| St. Charles | 129,727 | 59.47% | 83,203 | 38.14% | 5,218 | 2.39% | 46,524 | 21.33% | 218,148 |
| St. Clair | 3,969 | 80.64% | 864 | 17.55% | 89 | 1.81% | 3,105 | 63.08% | 4,922 |
| St. Francois | 20,508 | 75.07% | 6,242 | 22.85% | 568 | 2.08% | 14,266 | 52.22% | 27,318 |
| St. Louis City | 20,234 | 17.84% | 90,381 | 79.71% | 2,774 | 2.45% | -70,147 | -61.86% | 113,389 |
| St. Louis County | 195,717 | 39.74% | 286,847 | 58.25% | 9,900 | 2.01% | -91,130 | -18.50% | 492,464 |
| Ste. Genevieve | 6,699 | 72.58% | 2,350 | 25.46% | 181 | 1.96% | 4,349 | 47.12% | 9,230 |
| Stoddard | 11,439 | 86.67% | 1,542 | 11.68% | 217 | 1.64% | 9,897 | 74.99% | 13,198 |
| Stone | 15,198 | 81.72% | 3,066 | 16.49% | 333 | 1.79% | 12,132 | 65.24% | 18,597 |
| Sullivan | 1,987 | 83.21% | 362 | 15.16% | 39 | 1.63% | 1,625 | 68.05% | 2,388 |
| Taney | 20,757 | 80.03% | 4,605 | 17.75% | 576 | 2.22% | 16,152 | 62.27% | 25,938 |
| Texas | 9,599 | 85.32% | 1,415 | 12.58% | 236 | 2.10% | 8,184 | 72.75% | 11,250 |
| Vernon | 6,972 | 79.99% | 1,563 | 17.93% | 181 | 2.08% | 5,409 | 62.06% | 8,716 |
| Warren | 14,553 | 74.88% | 4,452 | 22.91% | 430 | 2.21% | 10,101 | 51.97% | 19,435 |
| Washington | 7,969 | 81.42% | 1,613 | 16.48% | 206 | 2.10% | 6,356 | 64.94% | 9,788 |
| Wayne | 4,784 | 85.35% | 721 | 12.86% | 100 | 1.78% | 4,063 | 72.49% | 5,605 |
| Webster | 15,682 | 81.26% | 3,173 | 16.44% | 444 | 2.30% | 12,509 | 64.82% | 19,299 |
| Worth | 866 | 82.09% | 166 | 15.73% | 23 | 2.18% | 700 | 66.35% | 1,055 |
| Wright | 7,752 | 87.88% | 912 | 10.34% | 157 | 1.78% | 6,840 | 77.54% | 8,821 |
| Totals | 1,739,626 | 59.78% | 1,103,482 | 37.92% | 66,878 | 2.30% | 636,144 | 21.86% | 2,909,986 |
By congressional district
Bailey won six of eight congressional districts.[42]
| District | Bailey | Gross | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 22% | 76% | Cori Bush (118th Congress) |
| Wesley Bell (119th Congress) | |||
| 2nd | 55% | 43% | Ann Wagner |
| 3rd | 64% | 33% | Blaine Luetkemeyer (118th Congress) |
| Bob Onder (119th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 71% | 26% | Mark Alford |
| 5th | 38% | 59% | Emanuel Cleaver |
| 6th | 70% | 28% | Sam Graves |
| 7th | 72% | 26% | Eric Burlison |
| 8th | 77% | 21% | Jason Smith |
Notes
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by the Missouri Scout
- Poll sponsored by Bailey's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Liberty and Justice PAC, which supports Bailey
- Poll sponsored by Club for Growth, which supports Scharf