2024 Nevada Republican presidential nominating contests

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus were held on February 6 and 8, 2024, respectively, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 26 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis in the caucus.[3] They were held following the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary.[4]

Quick facts No Republican National Convention delegates, Candidate ...
2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus

 2016
2028 
 NH
VI 
Presidential primary (non-binding)
February 6, 2024

No Republican National Convention delegates
 
Candidate Nikki Haley[a] None of These Candidates
Home state South Carolina
Popular vote 24,583 50,763
Percentage 30.63% 63.26%

Results by county
Presidential caucuses
February 8, 2024

26 Republican National Convention delegates
 
Candidate Donald Trump Ryan Binkley
Home state Florida Texas
Delegate count 26 0
Popular vote 59,982 536
Percentage 99.11% 0.89%

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On August 14, 2023, Republicans in Nevada announced that they would boycott and ignore the non-binding, state-organized primary due to opposition to the establishment of a primary process over the traditional caucus format in the state's presidential preference contests. The state-run primary was held on February 6, while the Nevada Republican Party held its own caucus on February 8.

Nikki Haley lost the popular vote in the non-binding Nevada primary to the ballot option of None of These Candidates.[5] Although None of These Candidates received more votes, Haley was the official winner of the primary.[1] Trump won the party-organized caucus without any major opponent.

Background

Controversy

The Democratic-controlled Nevada Legislature, supported by former senator Harry Reid, moved to establish a presidential primary in 2021 for the Republican and Democratic parties, following the "havoc" of the 2020 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses.[6] Previously, party-organized caucuses were used to determine delegates in presidential elections. In May 2023, the Republican Party sued the state of Nevada, because they preferred to keep using the caucuses to determine their delegate allocation.[7][8]

The Republican primary required more than one Republican candidate to file by October 16, 2023. Nevada Republicans said that they would instead hold a party-organized caucus on February 8, 2024. To participate in the caucus, Republican candidates needed to register their candidacy with the Nevada Republican Party in a filing window from September 1, 2023, to October 15, 2023[7][9] and needed to pay a fee of $55,000.[10][11] Multiple media articles also reported that appearing on the primary ballot would bar candidates from participating in the caucus and that party rules about SuperPACs were tightened to protect Trump.[12][13][14][10][11]

Nikki Haley (as well as two other presidential candidates) still opted for the primary, though they could not win any delegates. As the only remaining major candidate on the primary ballot by the time of the election, she had decided early on not to campaign or spend funds in the state, and her campaign explained that she had not entered the caucus either because the process was in their view "rigged for Trump".[15] Republican state and county leaders reacted by advising voters to chose "None of the Above" instead of Haley to demonstrate their boycott of the primary, leading to early speculation that the option would win the primary instead.[12]

Procedure

Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who receive at least 3.85% of the votes in the caucus on February 8, 2024. Votes in the primary on February 6, 2024, will not be included in determining delegate allocation.

Candidates

The filing deadline for the Nevada primary was on October 16, 2023. The office of the Secretary of State of Nevada published the list of qualified candidates on October 20.[16] The filing window for the Nevada caucus was between September 1 and October 15. The party published their own list of candidates and did not allow those who filed for the state-run primary to participate.[17]

The state of Nevada, per a law enacted in 1975, will also allow voters in the primary to cast a vote for "None of these Candidates."[18] Local news outlets in Nevada reported that it was plausible that Nikki Haley could face a competitive race against "None of these candidates" because Nevada voters, including those who wished to support Trump in the caucus but couldn't vote for him in the primary, were allowed to participate in both the primary and the caucus.[2]

Primary candidates

Caucus candidates[b]

Campaign

In March 2023, it was reported that Trump hosted a range of Nevada Republican Party officials at Mar-a-Lago as part of his campaign's "aggressive outreach to state and local party officials in the early primary states."[22]

The two contests have led to some confusion among voters, where they have questioned why Trump is not listed on the primary ballot, with thousands of them calling in to request clarification.[23]

Endorsements

Primary

Caucus

Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)

Former federal executive official

Former U.S. Representative

Former state executive officials

State senators

State representatives

  • Danielle Gallant, District 23 (2022–present); Assistant Minority Floor Leader (South) (2023–present)[26]
  • Jill Dickman, District 31 (2014–2016 and 2020–present); Assistant Minority Floor Leader (North) (2023–present); Assistant Majority Whip (North) (2015–2017)[26]
  • Edwin Goedhart, District 36 (2006–2012)[26]
  • Jim Wheeler, District 39 (2012–2022); Minority Leader (2017–2019)[26]
  • Kelly Kite, District 39 (2010–2012)[26]

Notable individuals

Donald Trump

Former federal official

Statewide executive officials

Former state executive official

Former state representative

County official

Notable individual

Polling

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[c]
Margin
RealClearPolling[38] September 29, 2023 – January 8, 2024 January 21, 2024 69.0% 31.0%[d] Trump +58.5
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More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
None of these Candidates Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates[39][A] Dec 11–13, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 5% 15% 2% 75% 0%[f] 3%
Revere Solutions/Providence[40] January 28-29, 2024 476(LV) ± 4.0% 59.2% 40.8%
SSRS/CNN[41] Sep 29 – October 6, 2023 650 (LV) ± 5.3% 2% 13% 6% 3% 4% 2% 65% 4%[g] 2%
National Research[42][B] Jun 26–28, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 22% 3% 0% 2% 2% 2% 52% 14%[h]
National Research[43][B] May 30 – June 1, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 21% 3% 0% 1% 2% 2% 53% 0%[i] 17%
Vote TXT[44] May 15–19, 2023 112 (RV) ± 4.8% 21% 5% 2% 3% 51% 7% 11%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[45] Oct 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 34% 1% 7% 41% 7%[j] 10%
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Results

Nikki Haley's popular vote share by county
  10-20%
  20-30%
  30-40%
  40-50%

Primary

More information Candidate, Votes ...
Nevada Republican primary, February 6, 2024[46]
Candidate Votes Percentage
None of These Candidates[2] 50,763 63.26%
Nikki Haley 24,583 30.63%
Mike Pence (withdrawn) 3,091 3.85%
Tim Scott (withdrawn) 1,081 1.35%
John Anthony Castro 270 0.34%
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn) 200 0.25%
Donald Kjornes 166 0.21%
Heath V. Fulkerson 95 0.12%
Total: 80,249 100.00%
Close
More information By county, County ...
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Caucus

More information Candidate, Votes ...
Nevada Republican caucus, February 8, 2024[47]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 59,982 99.11% 25 1[k] 26
Ryan Binkley 540 0.89% 0 0 0
Total 60,522 100.00% 25 1 26
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More information By county, County ...
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See also

Notes

  1. Despite receiving fewer votes than None of These Candidates, Haley officially won the primary.[1] Under Nevada state law, "only votes cast for the named candidates shall be counted" for the purposes of declaring the winner of an election.[2]
  2. Chris Christie, Doug Burgum, Ron DeSantis, and Vivek Ramaswamy were originally on the ballot, but have been removed since they all suspended their campaigns.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. Ryan Binkley with 0%
  6. "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum & Larry Elder with 1%; Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
  7. Other, undecided, and refused
  8. Chris Sununu with 0%
  9. Ted Cruz with 5%; Mike Pompeo and Marco Rubio with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
  10. If a candidate wins all of Nevada's delegates, the NRP chair is automatically unbound. He pledged his support to Trump.

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC

References

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