2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary

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The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.

Quick facts 22 Republican National Convention delegates, Turnout ...
2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary

 2020
January 23, 2024
2028 
 IA
NV 

22 Republican National Convention delegates
TurnoutTBA
 
Candidate Donald Trump Nikki Haley
Home state Florida South Carolina
Delegate count 13 9
Popular vote 176,392 140,288
Percentage 54.35% 43.28%

Close

22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis, as long as the candidate received at least 10% of the statewide vote. Any leftover delegates were to be added to the candidate that receives the most votes in the primary.[2] The New Hampshire primary was the second contest in the nation, held after the Iowa caucuses. The primary was won by former President Donald Trump, defeating former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.

After most polls closed at 8:00 PM EST, media outlets began projecting a win for Trump.[3][4] Trump's eleven-point lead wound up equating to an edge just under 36,000 votes. Despite calls to drop out, Haley declined to withdraw from the race after the primary.[5] Haley swept the resort town of Dixville Notch which was the first place in the nation to vote in the 2024 primaries, winning all six votes.[6] Trump became the first non-incumbent Republican candidate in American history to win both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary in the same election cycle.[7] Trump also broke the record of number of votes received for any candidate in New Hampshire primary history.[8]

Background

Donald Trump won the 2016 New Hampshire Republican primary with 35.2% of the vote, with closest opponent John Kasich coming in second with 15.7% of the vote. Exit polling by Edison Research concluded that Trump's 2016 primary victory could be credited to support among white voters without a college degree, as well as support from moderate voters.[9]

Procedure

Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote.[2]

Candidates

The following candidates officially filed by the end of the filing deadline on October 27, 2023:[10]

Campaign

Trump holds campaign rally in Rochester, New Hampshire.

In January 2023, Trump selected outgoing New Hampshire Republican Party chair Stephen Stepanek to oversee his campaign's operations in the state.[20]

Nikki Haley's campaign purchased $10 million worth of ads to run in New Hampshire and Iowa beginning in December 2023.[21]

New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, who considered a presidential candidacy, established a "Live Free or Die committee",[22] though he announced on June 5 that he would not be running for the Republican nomination.[23]

Endorsements

Nikki Haley

Governor

U.S. Senators

State Senator

State Representative

  • Michael Moffett, Merrimack's District 4 (2022–present), Merrimack's District 9 (2016–2018, 2020–2022)[28]

Mayor

Notable Individual

Donald Trump

Former federal official

Former U.S. Senator

State Senators

State Representative

Notable individual

Withdrawn candidates

Chris Christie (withdrawn)

Former U.S. Representative

Former State Representative

Larry Elder (withdrawn)

State legislator

Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)

State Representatives

Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)

State representatives

Polling

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022.

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[a]
Margin
270 to Win[47] January 22–23, 2024 January 23, 2024 35.7% 56.5% 7.8%[b] Trump +20.8
FiveThirtyEight[48] Through January 22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.3% 53.9% 9.8% Trump +17.6
RealClearPolling[49] January 16–22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.5% 55.8% 7.7% Trump +19.3
Average 36.2% 55.4% 8.4% Trump +19.2
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[50] Jan 21–22, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 60% 1% 1%
Insider Advantage[51] January 21, 2024 850 (LV) ±4.32% 35% 62% 3%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[52] Jan 20–21, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 57% 2% 2%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[53] Jan 19–20, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 36% 55% 0.6% 2.4%
American Research Group[54] Jan 18–20, 2024 600 (LV) ±4.0% 6% 44% 46%
Emerson College/WHDH[55] Jan 18–20, 2024 673 (RV) ±3.7% 8% 35% 50% 7%
CNN/University of New Hampshire[56] January 16–19, 2024 1,242 (LV) ± 2.8% 6% 39% 50% 3% 2%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[57] Jan 17–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 35% 52% 4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[58] Jan 16–17, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 36% 50% 1% 4%
Saint Anselm College[59] January 16, 2024 1,398 (LV) ± 2.6% 6% 38% 52% 4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[60] Jan 15–16, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 34% 50% 11%
American Research Group[61] Jan 12–15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 40% 1% 4% 40% 2% 9%
Saint Anselm College[62] Jan 8–9, 2024 1,194 (LV) ± 2.8% 9% 6% 31% 6% 45% 3%
University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN[63] Jan 4–8, 2024 919 (LV) ± 3.2% 12% 5% 32% 0% 8% 39% 0% 5%
American Research Group[64] December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 5% 33% 1% 4% 37% 1% 9%
American Research Group[65] Dec 14–20, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 13% 6% 29% 1% 5% 33% 1% 12%
Saint Anselm College[66] Dec 18–19, 2023 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 12% 6% 30% 0% 5% 44% 3%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[67] Dec 7–18, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.4% 6% 10% 22% 1% 4% 52% 0%[d] 5%
CBS News/YouGov[68] Dec 8–15, 2023 855 (LV) ± 4.1% 10% 11% 29% 1% 5% 44%
Trafalgar Group[69] Dec 9–11, 2023 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 14% 11% 18% 0% 10% 45% 1%
Americans for Prosperity[70] Nov 19–21, 2023 800 (LV) 9% 25% 40% 26%
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN[71] Nov 10–14, 2023 994 (LV) ± 3.1% 2% 14% 9% 20% 0% 8% 42% 3% 2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University[72] Nov 9–14, 2023 606 (LV) ± 4.5% 2% 11% 7% 18% 1% 8% 3% 46% 0% 4%
Emerson College/WHDH[73] Nov 10–13, 2023 465 (RV) ± 3.3% 1.5% 8.8% 7.2% 17.6% 0.3% 4.6% 2.2% 48.5% 9.3%
USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University[74] Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 1% 6% 10% 19% 1% 4% 4% 49%
CBS News/YouGov[75] Sep 15–24, 2023 502 (LV) ± 5.4% 2% 8% 13% 11% 1% 2% 8% 5% 50% 0%[e]
Saint Anselm College[76] Sep 19–20, 2023 931 (LV) ± 3.2% 1% 10% 11% 15% 1% 1% 6% 3% 45% 0%[f] 6%
Insider Advantage[77] September 20, 2023 850 (LV) ± 3.36% 4% 10% 8% 14% 1% 1% 5% 5% 42% 1%[g] 9%
University of New Hampshire[78] Sep 14–18, 2023 1,006 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 11% 10% 12% 0% 2% 13% 6% 39% 1%[h] 6%
NMB Research[79] Aug 25–31, 2023 800 (LV) 1% 8% 10% 10% 1% 4% 8% 5% 47% <3%[i] 4%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[80] Aug 25–28, 2023 500 (LV) 2% 5% 11% 9% <1% 1% 9% 5% 48% <3%[j] 9%
Echelon Insights[81][A] Aug 15–17, 2023 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 14% 9% 3% 1% 3% 11% 7% 34% 3%[k] 12%
Emerson College[82] Aug 9–11, 2023 498 (RV) ± 4.9% 4% 9% 8% 4% 1% 3% 6% 49% 3%[l] 13%
co/efficient[83] Aug 5–7, 2023 862 (LV) ± 3.3% 4% 9% 9% 7% 1% 3% 5% 5% 43% 3%[m] 13%
Manhattan Institute[84] July 2023 603 (LV) 3% 11% 13% 7% 1% 4% 8% 7% 34% 3%[n] 8%
National Research[85][B] Jul 25–26, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 8% 11% 3% 1% 2% 6% 8% 41% 15%
University of New Hampshire[86] Jul 13–17, 2023 898 (LV) ± 3.3% 6% 6% 23% 5% 0% 1% 5% 8% 37% 1%[o] 8%
National Research[87][B] Jul 10–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 7% 15% 5% 1% 1% 4% 6% 39% 17%
American Pulse[88] Jul 5–11, 2023 895 ± 3.2% 3% 10% 11% 3% 5% 5% 7% 48% 8%[p]
Saint Anselm College[89] Jun 21–23, 2023 494 (LV) ± 4.4% 2% 6% 19% 5% 2% 2% 2% 4% 47% 0%[q] 10%
New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient[90] Jun 14–16, 2023 904 (LV) ± 3.3% 9% 13% 3% 5% 3% 3% 47% 5% 10%
23% 49% 28%
National Research[91][B] Jun 12–14, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 7% 12% 5% 2% 3% 3% 7% 44% 18%[r]
National Research[92][B] May 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 18% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% 39% 32%[s]
University of New Hampshire[93] Apr 13–17, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 22% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 42% 20%[t] 4%
J.L Partners[94] Apr 2–11, 2023 623 (LV) ± 3.9% 2% 18% 4% 2% 1% 1% 51% 19%[u] 6%
33% 53% 13%
Saint Anselm College[95] Mar 28–30, 2023 1,320 (RV) ± 4.0% 1% 29% 4% 1% 3% 1% 42% 19%[v]
Emerson College[96] Mar 3–5, 2023 384 (RV) ± 5.0% 17% 6% 4% 1% 58% 14%[w]
co/efficient[97] Jan 25–26, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.35% 43% 42% 15%
26% 4% 3% 37% 13%[x] 18%
University of New Hampshire[98] Jan 19–23, 2023 349 (LV) ± 5.2% 42% 8% 1% 0% 30% 16%[y] 3%
Neighborhood Research and Media[99] Dec 5–13, 2022 434 (LV) ± 4.7% 33% 3% 32% 13% 19%
WPA Intelligence[100][C] Nov 11–13, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 37% 11%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Saint Anselm College[101] Aug 9–11, 2022 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 3% 3% 1% 50% 4%[z] 8%
WPA Intelligence[100][C] Aug 7–10, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%
Neighborhood Research and Media[102][D] Jul 5–8, 2022 475 (RV) ± 4.5% 22% 1% 1% 41% 3%[aa] 32%
University of New Hampshire[103] Jun 16–20, 2022 318 (LV) ± 5.5% 39% 6% 9% 0% 37% 6%[ab] 3%
University of New Hampshire[104] Oct 14–18, 2021 441 (LV) ± 4.7% 18% 6% 4% 43% 14%[ac] 10%
University of New Hampshire[105] Jul 15–19, 2021 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 19% 6% 5% 43% 13%[ad] 10%
Saint Anselm College[106][E] May 7–10, 2021 635 (RV) ± 3.9% 20% 7% 4% 0% 52% 7%[ae] 10%
Victory Insights[107] Mar 5–11, 2021 400 (RV) 5% 3% 6% 52% 14%[af]
21% 7% 18% 29%[ag]
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Praecones Analytica[108] Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 624 (RV) ± 4.0% 7% 6% 2% 57% 19%[ah] 10%
12% 25% 3% 46%[ai] 14%
Close

Results

More information Candidate, Votes ...
New Hampshire Republican primary, January 23, 2024[109][110]
Candidate Votes Percentage Delegate count[111]
Donald Trump 176,391 54.35% 13
Nikki Haley 140,491 43.28% 9
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 2,241 0.69%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,493 0.46%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 833 0.26%
Joe Biden (write-in) (Democrat) 497 0.15%
Mike Pence (withdrawn) 404 0.12%
Ryan Binkley 315 0.10%
Mary Maxwell 287 0.09%
Robert F. Kennedy (write-in) (Independent) 205 0.06%
Tim Scott (withdrawn) 196 0.06%
Doug Burgum (withdrawn) 180 0.06%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) 108 0.03%
Rachel Swift 105 0.03%
Scott Ayers 80 0.02%
Dean Phillips (write-in) (Democrat) 79 0.02%
Darius Mitchell 74 0.02%
Glenn McPeters 49 0.02%
"Ceasefire" (write-in) 34 0.01%
Perry Johnson (withdrawn) 26 0.01%
Peter Jedick 25 0.01%
David Stuckenberg 25 0.01%
Donald Kjornes 23 0.01%
Scott Merrell 21 0.01%
John Anthony Castro 19 0.01%
Robert Carney 15 <0.01%
Marianne Williamson (write-in) (Democrat) 14 <0.01%
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn) 9 <0.01%
Sam Sloan 7 <0.01%
Vermin Supreme (write-in) (Democrat) 3 <0.01%
Mark Steward Greenstein (write-in) (Democrat) 1 <0.01%
Other write-in votes 325 0.10%
Total: 324,575 100.00% 22
Close
More information By county and municipality, County/ Municipality ...
Close

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Another candidate" with 0%
  4. Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  5. Larry Elder, Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
  6. Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  7. Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & "Other" with 0%
  8. Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Refused 1%
  9. Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Perry Johnson with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  10. Will Hurd with 3%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  11. Perry Johnson with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%
  12. "Someone else" with 3%
  13. "Someone else" with 2%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
  14. Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  15. Calculated by subtracting the candidates' percentages from 100; the source does not give a number
  16. Suarez with 0%
  17. Undecided, Other & Refused
  18. Chris Sununu with 17%; "Undecided, Other & Refused" with 15%
  19. Chris Sununu with 12%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
  20. Chris Sununu with 10%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  21. Chris Sununu with 14%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
  22. Chris Sununu with 7%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  23. Chris Sununu with 13%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  24. Liz Cheney, Chris Sununu and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  25. Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
  26. Chris Sununu, Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  27. Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
  28. Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  29. Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  30. Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
  31. Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  32. Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  33. Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
  34. Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC, which supports Trump.
  2. Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
  3. Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
  4. Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC

References

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