2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire.[1] The primary elections were held on September 13, 2022.[2] Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan was re-elected over Republican retired brigadier general Don Bolduc by an unexpectedly large margin of 9.1% that surpassed most polls. Hassan won her initial bid for this seat in 2016 by only 1,017 votes or 0.14%.[3] This election marked the first time in history that a Democrat won re-election to New Hampshire's Class 3 Senate seat. Hassan won 3 counties she lost in 2016: Carroll, Hillsborough, and Rockingham.

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

 2016
November 8, 2022
2028 
 
Nominee Maggie Hassan Don Bolduc
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 332,490 275,631
Percentage 53.54% 44.39%

Hassan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Bolduc:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Paul Krautmann, dentist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[5]
  • John Riggieri[5]

Endorsements

Democratic Primary results by Municipality :

Results

Voters at a polling location in Londonderry
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Maggie Hassan (incumbent) 88,146 93.77%
Democratic Paul Krautmann 3,629 3.86%
Democratic John Riggieri 1,680 1.79%
Write-in 546 0.58%
Total votes 94,001 100.0%
Close

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Don Bolduc

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Chuck Morse

State officials

State legislators

  • Jess Edwards, state representative[47]
  • J. P. Marzullo, former state representative[48]
  • Frank McCarthy, former state representative[49]

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Kevin Smith

State officials

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2022 Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Don Bolduc Kevin Smith Chuck Morse Vikram Mansharamani Bruce Fenton
1 June 27, 2022 NH Journal Michael Graham
Alicia Xanthopolous
Haris Alic
Link[60] P P P P P
2[61] August 16, 2022 Good Morning New Hampshire Jack Heath N/A P P P P P
3[citation needed] August 24, 2022 Newsmax John Bachmann P P P N P
4 September 8, 2022 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR
[62] P P P P P
Close

Polling

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Don
Bolduc
Bruce
Fenton
Vikram
Mansharamani
Chuck
Morse
Kevin
Smith
Other
[b]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[63] August 9–29, 2022 August 31, 2022 37.5% 4.5% 3.5% 19.0% 3.5% 32.0% Bolduc +18.5
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Don
Bolduc
Bruce
Fenton
Vikram
Mansharamani
Chuck
Morse
Kevin
Smith
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[64] September 7–8, 2022 559 (LV) 33% 4% 6% 23% 9% 25%
University of New Hampshire[65] August 25–29, 2022 892 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 5% 5% 22% 3% 2% 20%
Saint Anselm College[66] August 9–11, 2022 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 32% 4% 2% 16% 4% 2% 39%
University of New Hampshire[67] April 14–18, 2022 315 (LV) ± 5.5% 33% 1% 2% 4% 1% 58%
Close

Results

Results by county
  Bolduc
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Morse
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[68]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bolduc 52,629 36.91%
Republican Chuck Morse 50,929 35.71%
Republican Kevin H. Smith 16,621 11.65%
Republican Vikram Mansharamani 10,690 7.50%
Republican Bruce Fenton 6,381 4.47%
Republican John Berman 961 0.67%
Republican Andy Martin 920 0.64%
Republican Tejasinha Sivalingam 832 0.58%
Republican Dennis Lamare 773 0.54%
Republican Edward Laplante 723 0.51%
Republican Gerard Beloin 521 0.36%
Democratic Maggie Hassan (incumbent) (write-in) 316 0.22%
Write-in 307 0.21%
Total votes 142,603 100.0%
Close

Libertarian convention

Jeremy Kauffman, the Libertarian nominee

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

Independents

Candidates

  • Tejasinha Sivalingam, (write-in)[71]

Did not qualify

  • Steve Hattamer, physician[72]
  • Geoff Woollacott, businessman[31]

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[73] Lean D August 18, 2022
Inside Elections[74] Tilt D July 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[75] Lean D August 31, 2022
Politico[76] Tossup November 3, 2022
RCP[77] Tossup January 10, 2022
Fox News[78] Lean D September 20, 2022
DDHQ[79] Lean D October 24, 2022
538[80] Lean D November 1, 2022
The Economist[81] Lean D November 1, 2022
Close

Endorsements

Maggie Hassan (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Labor unions

Newspapers

Organizations

Don Bolduc (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

State officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Don
Bolduc (R)
Other
[d]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[106] October 28 – November 1, 2022 November 8, 2022 48.7% 47.3% 4.0% Hassan +1.4
FiveThirtyEight[107] September 23 – November 5, 2022 November 8, 2022 48.8% 46.6% 4.6% Hassan +2.2
270towin[108] October 27 – November 4, 2022 November 8, 2022 49.2% 46.0% 4.8% Hassan +3.2
Average 48.9% 46.6% 4.5% Hassan +2.3
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Don
Bolduc (R)
Other Undecided
Phillips Academy[109] November 5–6, 2022 1,056 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 45% 2%[e] 6%
University of New Hampshire[110] November 2–6, 2022 2,077 (LV) ± 2.2% 50% 48% 1%[f] <1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[111][A] November 5, 2022 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 48% 1%[g] 2%
Data for Progress (D)[112] November 2–5, 2022 1,995 (LV) ± 2.0% 50% 47% 2%[h]
Wick Insights (R)[113] November 2–5, 2022 725 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 48% 2%[i] 1%
Emerson College[114] October 30 – November 1, 2022 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 45% 3%[j] 3%
50% 46% 5%[k]
The Trafalgar Group (R)[115] October 30 – November 1, 2022 1,241 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 47% 4%[l] 3%
Saint Anselm College[116] October 28–29, 2022 1,541 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 48% 2%[m] 3%
co/efficient (R)[117] October 25–26, 2022 1,098 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 45% 3%[n] 7%
UMass Lowell/YouGov[118] October 14–25, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 51% 41% 3%[o] 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[119][A] October 23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 3%[p] 3%
Emerson College[120] October 18–19, 2022 727 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 45% 3%[q] 4%
50% 45% 5%[r]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[121][B] October 17–19, 2022 600 (LV) 49% 47% 4%
Data for Progress (D)[122] October 14–19, 2022 1,392 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 3%[s] 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[123][C] October 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 45% 2% 1%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[124] September 26–30, 2022 1,081 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 45% 4%[t] 3%
Data for Progress (D)[125] September 23–30, 2022 1,147 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% 3%[u] 4%
Saint Anselm College[126] September 27–28, 2022 901 (RV) ± 3.3% 49% 43% 4%[v] 4%
Suffolk University[127] September 23–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 41% 3%[w] 7%
American Research Group[128] September 15–19, 2022 555 (RV) ± 4.2% 53% 40% 7%
University of New Hampshire[129] September 15–19, 2022 870 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 41% 5%[x] 5%
Emerson College[130] September 14–15, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 51% 40% 4% 5%
Data for Progress (D)[131][y] June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% 6%
Change Research (D)[132][D] June 24–27, 2022 704 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 40% 11%
University of New Hampshire[67] April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 46% 1% 6%
Phillips Academy[133] April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% 45% 40% 15%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% 54% 39% 7%
Saint Anselm College[134] March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 39% 7% 10%
Saint Anselm College[135] January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% 43% 36% 10% 12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[136] December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 40% 14%
University of New Hampshire[137] October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 42% 6% 6%
University of New Hampshire[138] July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% 51% 41% 1% 6%
University of New Hampshire[139] February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 52% 39% 2% 7%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Maggie Hassan vs. Kelly Ayotte

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Kelly
Ayotte (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[137] October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 43% 7% 5%
University of New Hampshire[138] July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 3% 3%
University of New Hampshire[139] February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 48% 43% 3% 6%
Close

Maggie Hassan vs. Bruce Fenton

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Bruce
Fenton (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[67] April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 40% 0% 14%
Close

Maggie Hassan vs. Chuck Morse
Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chuck
Morse (R)
Other
[z]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[140] December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022 April 21, 2022 44.3% 40.0% 15.7% Hassan +4.3
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chuck
Morse (R)
Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[141] June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
University of New Hampshire[67] April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 46% 1% 9%
Phillips Academy[133] April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% 43% 40% 17%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 45% 6%
Saint Anselm College[134] March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% 43% 36% 10% 11%
Saint Anselm College[135] January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% 41% 27% 17% 15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[136] December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 38% 16%
Close

Maggie Hassan vs. Corey Lewandowski

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Corey
Lewandowski (R)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[139] February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 53% 34% 3% 9%
Close

Maggie Hassan vs. Corky Messner

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Corky
Messner (R)
Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R)[142][E] November 16–18, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 45% 8%
Close

Maggie Hassan vs. Kevin Smith

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Kevin
Smith (R)
Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[143] June 22 – July 8, 2022 903 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% 6%
University of New Hampshire[67] April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 44% 1% 10%
Saint Anselm College[134] March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 34% 10% 12%
Saint Anselm College[135] January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 24% 17% 17%
Close

Maggie Hassan vs. Chris Sununu

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College[144] October 20–22, 2021 1,323 (RV) ± 2.7% 41% 46% 9% 4%
University of New Hampshire[137] October 14–18, 2021 979 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 45% 6% 6%
Saint Anselm College[145] August 24–26, 2021 1,855 (RV) ± 2.3% 41% 49% 6% 4%
University of New Hampshire[138] July 15–19, 2021 1,540 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 49% 1% 2%
Saint Anselm College[146] March 4–6, 2021 871 (RV) ± 3.3% 41% 47% 7% 6%
University of New Hampshire[139] February 18–22, 2021 1,676 (LV) ± 2.4% 46% 48% 2% 5%
Close

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[147][B] October 17–19, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 47% 4%
Phillips Academy[133] April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% 32% 46% 22%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 48% 16%
The Tarrance Group (R)[142][E] November 16–18, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 42% 45% 13%
Close

on if Maggie Hassan should be re-elected

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Yes No Undecided
Saint Anselm College[66] August 9–11, 2022 1,898 (RV) ± 2.3% 39% 53% 8%
Close

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2022 United States Senate general election in New Hampshire debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Maggie Hassan Donald C. Bolduc
1 October 27, 2022 NHPR Josh Rogers, Amanda Gokee [148] P P
1 November 1, 2022 Saint Anselm College Adam Sexton [149] P P
Close

Results

In the early months of the campaign, Hassan maintained a healthy lead in the polls. Polls began to tighten around September 2022, and by late October, a few polls even showed Bolduc with a narrow lead or had the candidates tied. Most pundits concurred that Hassan had a very slight edge and that the race would be extremely tight. However, Hassan won reelection by 9 points, a margin considerably wider than what was expected and one far greater than her 0.14 point plurality in 2016. Hassan's victory made her the first Democrat to win re-election to the Class 3 Senate seat in New Hampshire history. This, along with Democrats' comfortable victories in New Hampshire's two House races, affirmed New Hampshire's transition from a closely contested swing state to a clearly Democratic leaning state at the federal level.

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire[150]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Maggie Hassan (incumbent) 332,490 53.54% +5.56%
Republican Don Bolduc 275,631 44.39% −3.45%
Libertarian Jeremy Kauffman 12,390 2.00% +0.30%
Write-in 464 0.07%
Total votes 620,975 100.0%
Democratic hold
Close

By county

More information By county, County ...
Close
Jeremy Kauffman - election results by municipality

By congressional district

Hassan won both congressional districts.[152]

More information District, Hassan ...
District Hassan Bolduc Representative
1st 53% 45% Chris Pappas
2nd 54% 44% Annie Kuster
Close

See also

Notes

  1. Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2014, 2016, and 2020; candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012 and 2018
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. Kauffman (L) with 2%
  6. Kauffman (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with <1%
  7. "Someone else" with 1%
  8. Kauffman (L) with 2%
  9. "Someone else" with 2%
  10. Kauffman (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  11. Kauffman (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 2%
  12. Kauffman (L) with 4%
  13. Kauffman (L) with 2%
  14. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  15. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  16. "Someone else" with 3%
  17. Kauffman (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  18. Kauffman (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 2%
  19. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  20. Kauffman (L) with 4%
  21. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  22. "Someone else" with 4%
  23. Kauffman (L) with 3%
  24. Kauffman (L) with 5%
  25. Archived July 21, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  26. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

Partisan clients

  1. Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
  2. This poll was sponsored by Bolduc's campaign.
  3. This poll was sponsored by AARP.
  4. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund.
  5. Poll sponsored by Messner's campaign

References

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