2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 28 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Primary elections took place on August 20.
November 5, 2024
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All 28 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
On September 2, 2023, a Florida judge ruled that Florida's congressional map, created by Governor Ron DeSantis, violated the Florida Constitution and cannot be used for any future House elections.[1] The issue was specifically on Florida's 5th district, then represented by Democrat Al Lawson, which was removed and replaced by a Republican-leaning district. This was controversial because the district had an African-American plurality.[1] The state's successful appeal is to be challenged in front of the Florida Supreme Court, but a redrawn map was not created by election time. A concurrent federal lawsuit is also in progress.[2]
Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | |||
| Republican Party | 27 | 5,975,435 | 57.86% | 20 | ||
| Democratic Party | 28 | 4,339,733 | 42.02% | 8 | ||
| Independents | 2 | 10,007 | 0.10% | 0 | ||
| Libertarian Party | 1 | 2,524 | 0.02% | 0 | ||
| Write-ins | 8 | 223 | 0.00% | 0 | ||
| Total | 66 | 10,327,922 | 100.00% | 28 | ||
District
Results of the 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district:[3]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 274,108 | 66.04% | 140,980 | 33.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 415,088 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 247,957 | 61.64% | 154,323 | 38.36% | 0 | 0.00% | 402,280 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 241,174 | 61.61% | 150,283 | 38.39% | 0 | 0.00% | 391,457 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 222,364 | 57.26% | 165,912 | 42.72% | 73 | 0.02% | 388,349 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 267,471 | 63.07% | 156,570 | 36.92% | 23 | 0.01% | 424,064 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 284,414 | 66.53% | 143,050 | 33.46% | 10 | 0.00% | 427,474 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 233,937 | 56.53% | 179,917 | 43.47% | 0 | 0.00% | 413,854 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 8 | 280,352 | 62.24% | 170,096 | 37.76% | 0 | 0.00% | 450,448 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 9 | 138,076 | 42.58% | 178,785 | 55.13% | 7,412 | 2.29% | 324,273 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 10 | 109,460 | 37.63% | 181,455 | 62.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 290,915 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 11 | 269,277 | 60.38% | 176,726 | 39.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 450,448 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 12 | 306,487 | 71.04% | 124,949 | 28.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 450,448 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 13 | 225,636 | 54.82% | 185,930 | 45.17% | 27 | 0.01% | 411,593 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 14 | 145,643 | 41.59% | 199,423 | 56.95% | 5,119 | 1.46% | 350,185 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 15 | 195,334 | 56.18% | 152,361 | 43.82% | 0 | 0.00% | 347,695 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 16 | 247,516 | 59.48% | 168,625 | 40.52% | 0 | 0.00% | 416,141 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 17 | 291,347 | 63.90% | 164,566 | 36.10% | 8 | 0.00% | 455,921 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 18 | 225,170 | 65.30% | 119,637 | 34.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 416,141 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 19 | 275,708 | 66.32% | 140,038 | 33.68% | 0 | 0.00% | 415,746 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 20 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 21 | 277,435 | 61.82% | 171,312 | 38.17% | 19 | 0.00% | 448,766 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 22 | 165,248 | 45.04% | 201,608 | 54.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 415,746 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 23 | 178,006 | 47.55% | 196,311 | 52.45% | 0 | 0.00% | 374,317 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 24 | 90,692 | 31.76% | 194,874 | 68.24% | 22 | 0.01% | 285,588 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 25 | 156,208 | 45.52% | 186,942 | 54.47% | 41 | 0.01% | 343,191 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 26 | 217,199 | 70.92% | 89,072 | 29.08% | 0 | 0.00% | 415,746 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 27 | 199,159 | 60.38% | 130,708 | 39.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 329,867 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 28 | 210,057 | 64.57% | 115,280 | 35.43% | 0 | 0.00% | 325,337 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| Total | 5,975,435 | 57.86% | 4,339,733 | 42.02% | 12,754 | 0.12% | 10,327,922 | 100.00% | |
District 1
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County results Gaetz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Matt Gaetz, who was re-elected with 67.9% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Although Gaetz won re-election, just over a week later, Gaetz resigned from Congress on November 13 after being nominated to become U.S. Attorney General under Donald Trump.[5] However, he withdrew from the nomination a week later, on November 21, due to controversy.[6]
A special election was held on April 1, 2025, to replace Gaetz.[7]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Aaron Dimmock, director for leadership programs at the University of West Florida's AWKO Center for Leadership[9]
Endorsements
- U.S. representatives
- Kevin McCarthy, former U.S. representative from California's 20th congressional district (2007–2023) and former Speaker of the House (2023)[10]
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Matt Gaetz (R) | $5,421,059 | $4,208,719 | $1,781,775 |
| Aaron Dimmock (R) | $295,743 | $33,086 | $262,657 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | |||
Polling
Results

- Gaetz—70–80%
- Gaetz—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 70,824 | 72.6 | |
| Republican | Aaron Dimmock | 26,788 | 27.4 | |
| Total votes | 97,612 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Gay Valimont, athletic trainer[17]
Endorsements
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Gay Valimont (D) | $458,095[b] | $408,353 | $49,743 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | December 5, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 274,108 | 66.0 | ||
| Democratic | Gay Valimont | 140,980 | 34.0 | ||
| Total votes | 415,088 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 2
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Dunn: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bailey: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Neal Dunn, who was re-elected with 59.8% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Rhonda Woodward, former elementary school principal[8]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, Florida (2011–present)[26]
- Rick Scott, Florida (2019–present)[26]
- Statewide officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Neal Dunn (R) | $1,178,129 | $758,086 | $665,049 |
| Rhonda Woodward (R) | $16,506[c] | $12,463 | $4,042 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[29] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 69,113 | 82.7 | |
| Republican | Rhonda Woodward | 14,456 | 17.3 | |
| Total votes | 83,569 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Withdrew after nomination
- Meghann Hovey, account billing specialist[30]
Replacement nominee
- Yen Bailey, lawyer[31]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Meghann Hovey (D) (withdrawn) | $9,700 | $10,440 | $0.00 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[29] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | December 5, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 247,957 | 61.6 | ||
| Democratic | Yen Bailey | 154,323 | 38.4 | ||
| Total votes | 402,280 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 3
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County results Cammack: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Wells: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Kat Cammack, who was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Kat Cammack, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Eliminated in primary
- Alec Stevens, realtor[8]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kat Cammack (R) | $1,953,664 | $1,277,280 | $715,787 |
| Alec Stevens (R) | $16,900[d] | $13,929 | $2,971 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[36] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kat Cammack (incumbent) | 69,962 | 87.1 | |
| Republican | Alec Stevens | 10,340 | 12.9 | |
| Total votes | 80,302 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Tom Wells, scientist and perennial candidate[8]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kat Cammack (incumbent) | 241,174 | 61.6 | ||
| Democratic | Tom Wells | 150,283 | 38.4 | ||
| Total votes | 391,457 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 4
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Bean: 70–80% Halloway: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Aaron Bean, who was elected with 60.5% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Aaron Bean, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Withdrawn
- Robert Alvero, firefighter[37]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Aaron Bean (R) | $879,552 | $427,552 | $538,667 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[39] | |||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- LaShonda Holloway, former director in the District of Columbia Office of Documents and Administrative Issuances and nominee for this district in 2022[40]
General election
Write-in candidates
- Todd Schaefer (Independent), real estate agent[41]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Aaron Bean (R) |
LaShonda Holloway (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida[42] | October 18–19, 2024 | 337 (LV) | ± 5.84% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Aaron Bean (incumbent) | 222,364 | 57.3 | ||
| Democratic | LaShonda Holloway | 165,912 | 42.7 | ||
| Write-in | Todd Schaefer | 73 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 388,349 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 5
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County results Rutherford: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican John Rutherford, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mara Macie (R) | $64,575 | $50,578 | $16,872 |
| John Rutherford (R) | $669,745 | $439,550 | $475,817 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[44] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 48,628 | 67.1 | |
| Republican | Mara Macie | 23,792 | 32.9 | |
| Total votes | 72,420 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
General election
Write-in candidate
- Gary Koniz[8]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | March 21, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Rutherford | 267,471 | 63.1 | ||
| Democratic | Jay McGovern | 156,570 | 36.9 | ||
| Write-in | Gary Koniz | 23 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 424,064 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 6
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County results Waltz: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Michael Waltz, who was re-elected with 75.3% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Mike Waltz, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
- John Grow, tech professional[8]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
- AIPAC[28]
- Pro-Israel America[45]
- Volusia County Republican Party[46]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Grow (R) | $57,148 | $38,521 | $18,627 |
| Michael Waltz (R) | $1,964,456 | $1,567,497 | $1,466,128 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[47] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michael Waltz (incumbent) | 65,234 | 82.0 | |
| Republican | John Grow | 14,280 | 18.0 | |
| Total votes | 79,514 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- James Stockton III, pastor[8]
General election
Write-in
- Richard Dembinsky[8]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michael Waltz (incumbent) | 284,414 | 66.5 | ||
| Democratic | James Stockton III | 143,050 | 33.5 | ||
| Write-in | Richard Dembinsky | 10 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 427,474 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 7
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County results Mills: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Cory Mills, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[4]

Republican primary
Nominee
- Cory Mills, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Johnson, activist (no relation to U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson)[48]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mike Johnson (R) | $41,109 | $32,946 | $8,163 |
| Cory Mills (R) | $1,163,706[e] | $1,034,749 | $154,978 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[49] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cory Mills (incumbent) | 43,096 | 80.9 | |
| Republican | Mike Johnson | 10,188 | 19.1 | |
| Total votes | 53,284 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Jennifer Adams, mediator[8]
Eliminated in primary
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jennifer Adams (D) | $193,444 | $176,884 | $16,559 |
| Tatiana Fernandez (D) | $16,624 | $15,177 | $4,387 |
| Allek Pastrana (D) | $40,084[f] | $39,102 | $1,000 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[49] | |||
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Adams | Fernandez | Pastrana | |||||
| 1 | Jun. 6, 2024 | Southeast Volusia County Democratic Party |
YouTube | N | P | P | |
| 2 | Jul. 25, 2024 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jennifer Adams | 23,191 | 62.6 | |
| Democratic | Allek Pastrana | 7,844 | 21.2 | |
| Democratic | Tatiana Fernandez | 5,982 | 16.2 | |
| Total votes | 37,017 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Cory Mills |
Jennifer Adams |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[51][B] | June 13–14, 2024 | 594 (RV) | ? | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cory Mills (incumbent) | 233,937 | 56.5 | ||
| Democratic | Jennifer Adams | 179,917 | 43.5 | ||
| Total votes | 413,854 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 8
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County results Haridopolos: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Bill Posey, who was re-elected with 64.9% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Mike Haridopolos, former president of the Florida Senate (2010–2012) from the 26th district (2003–2012) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012[52]
Eliminated in primary
- John Hearton, information assurance executive[50]
Withdrawn
- Joe Babits, attorney (endorsed Hearton, remained on ballot)[53]
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative (endorsed Haridopolos)[54]
Did not qualify
- Brian Jones[53]
Declined
- Randy Fine, state representative (endorsed Haridopolos, ran for state senate)[55]
Endorsements
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States and president-elect of the United States (2017–2021)[56]
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida[55]
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida[55]
- U.S. representatives
- Tom Emmer, Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives[57]
- Mike Johnson, Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives[58]
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative[54]
- Steve Scalise, Majority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives[57]
- Elise Stefanik, chair of the House Republican Conference[57]
- Statewide officials
- Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida[59]
- Ashley Moody, Florida attorney general[60]
- Jimmy Patronis, Chief Financial Officer of Florida[61]
- Wilton Simpson, Florida commissioner of agriculture[60]
- State legislators
- Randy Fine, state representative[61]
- Sheriffs
- Wayne Ivey, Brevard County sheriff[62]
- Executive branch officials
- U.S. representatives
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative from Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)[63]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Hearton (R) | $256,025[g] | $122,152 | $133,872 |
| Bill Posey (R) | $348,579 | $245,723 | $525,878 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[64] | |||
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Babits | Hearton | Haridopolos | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 10, 2024 | WESH | Greg Fox | WESH | P | P | P |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Haridopolos | 61,710 | 72.1 | |
| Republican | John Hearton | 18,604 | 21.7 | |
| Republican | Joe Babits (withdrawn) | 5,250 | 6.1 | |
| Total votes | 85,564 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Sandy Kennedy, attorney[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Dan McDow, West Melbourne city councilor[50]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Dan McDow (D) | $22,280[h] | $18,047 | $4,232 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[64] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sandy Kennedy | 24,701 | 60.7 | |
| Democratic | Dan McDow | 15,999 | 39.3 | |
| Total votes | 40,700 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Haridopolos | Kennedy | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 27, 2024 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Haridopolos | 280,352 | 62.2 | ||
| Democratic | Sandy Kennedy | 170,096 | 37.8 | ||
| Total votes | 450,448 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 9
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Soto: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 9th district includes much of Greater Orlando, stretching from eastern Orlando towards Yeehaw Junction and including the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud. The incumbent was Democrat Darren Soto, who was re-elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Darren Soto (D) | $765,779 | $283,742 | $546,317 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[70] | |||
Republican primary
Nominee
- Thomas Chalifoux, former chair of the Osceola County School Board[8]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Newspapers
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Quiñones (R) | $71,899[i] | $19,203 | $52,696 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[70] | |||
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Castillo | Chalifoux | Quiñones | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 10, 2024 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Thomas Chalifoux | 12,662 | 49.6 | |
| Republican | John Quiñones | 6,557 | 25.7 | |
| Republican | Jose Castillo | 6,294 | 24.7 | |
| Total votes | 25,513 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Declared
- Marcus Carter, entrepreneur[8]
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Soto | Chalifoux | Carter | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 4, 2024 | WESH | Greg Fox | WESH | P | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Likely D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | May 9, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | June 15, 2024 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 178,785 | 55.1 | ||
| Republican | Thomas Chalifoux | 138,076 | 42.6 | ||
| Independent | Marcus Carter | 7,412 | 2.3 | ||
| Total votes | 324,273 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
District 10
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Frost: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Montague: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Democrat Maxwell Alejandro Frost, who was elected with 59% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Maxwell Alejandro Frost, incumbent U.S. representative[73]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- State legislators
- Anna Eskamani, HD–42 (2018–present)[74]
- Johanna López, HD–43 (2022–present)[74]
- Geraldine Thompson, SD–15 (2022–2025)[74]
- Vic Torres, SD–25 (2016–2024)[74]
- Organizations
- Brady PAC[75]
- Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund[76]
- Friends of the Earth Action[77]
- Peace Action[78]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[79]
- Population Connection Action Fund[80]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Maxwell Frost (D) | $1,816,662 | $1,214,679 | $935,981 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[82] | |||
Results

- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maxwell Alejandro Frost (incumbent) | 33,208 | 81.8 | |
| Democratic | Wade Darius | 5,106 | 12.6 | |
| Democratic | Issa White | 2,295 | 5.7 | |
| Total votes | 40,609 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Willie Montague (R) | $4,249 | $3,162 | $1,089 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[82] | |||
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Le | Montague | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 17, 2024 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Willie Montague | 11,183 | 53.5 | |
| Republican | Tuan Le | 9,734 | 46.5 | |
| Total votes | 20,917 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maxwell Alejandro Frost (incumbent) | 181,455 | 62.4 | ||
| Republican | Willie J. Montague | 109,460 | 37.6 | ||
| Total votes | 290,915 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
District 11
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Webster: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 11th district consists of a portion of Central Florida, including the Villages and the western Orlando suburbs. The incumbent was Republican Daniel Webster, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. representative[84]
Eliminated in primary
- John McCloy, geophysicist[85]
Withdrawn
- Anthony Sabatini, chair of the Lake County Republican Party, former state representative, and candidate for the 7th district in 2022 (ran for Lake County Commission)[86]
Endorsements
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, Florida (2011–2025)[89]
- Rick Scott, Florida (2019–present)[89]
- U.S. representatives
- Thomas Massie, KY-04 (2012–present)[90]
- Sheriffs
- 3 sheriffs[j]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John McCloy (R) | $78,376[k] | $57,074 | $21,302 |
| Anthony Sabatini (R) | $287,196 | $125,800 | $161,931 |
| Daniel Webster (R) | $513,188 | $222,123 | $518,936 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[92] | |||
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 55,443 | 77.0 | |
| Republican | John McCloy | 16,567 | 23.0 | |
| Total votes | 72,010 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Barbie Harden Hall, paralegal[95]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 269,277 | 60.4 | ||
| Democratic | Barbie Harden Hall | 176,726 | 39.6 | ||
| Total votes | 446,003 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 12
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Bilirakis: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Republican Gus Bilirakis, who was re-elected with 70.4% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Eliminated in primary
- Hank Dunlap, blue collar worker[8]
Endorsements
- U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States and president-elect of the United States (2017–2021)[96]
- U.S. representatives
- Byron Donalds, U.S. representative from Florida's 19th congressional district (2021–present)[97]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative from Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–present)[98]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative from Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)[98]
- Anna Paulina Luna, U.S. representative from Florida (2023–present)[98]
- Sheriffs
- Al Nienhius, Hernando County sheriff[99]
- Chris Nocco, Pasco County sheriff[99]
- Mike Prendergast, Citrus County sheriff[99]
- Newspapers
- Tampa Bay Times (primary only)[100]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Gus Bilirakis (R) | $840,984 | $522,808 | $461,273 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[101] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 59,946 | 84.3 | |
| Republican | Hank Dunlap | 11,182 | 15.7 | |
| Total votes | 71,128 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Rock Aboujaoude Jr., graduate student[8]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 306,487 | 71.0 | ||
| Democratic | Rock Aboujaoude Jr. | 124,949 | 29.0 | ||
| Total votes | 431,436 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 13
| |||||||||||||||||
Luna: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Fox: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 13th district includes most of Pinellas County, including the cities of Largo, Clearwater, and Palm Harbor, as well as a western portion of St. Petersburg. The incumbent was Republican Anna Paulina Luna, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Anna Paulina Luna, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Anna Paulina Luna (R) | $1,122,274 | $617,143 | $549,966 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[102] | |||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Whitney Fox, former director of communications and marketing for the Pinellas Suncoast Transit Authority[103]
Eliminated in primary
- Sabrina Bousbar, former senior advisor to the Administration for Strategic Preparedness and Response[104]
- Liz Dahan, communications professional[105]
- John Liccione, electrical engineer[103]
- Mark Weinkrantz, retired pilot[103]
Declined
- Ben Diamond, former state representative (2016–2022) and candidate for this district in 2022 (endorsed Fox)[106]
Endorsements
- State legislators
- Joe Geller, state representative[107]
- Christine Hunschofsky, state representative[108]
- Organizations
- U.S. representatives
- Nikki Budzinski, IL-13 (2023–present)[111]
- Kathy Castor, FL-14[m] (2007–present)[112]
- Lois Frankel, FL-22 (2013–present)[113]
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, FL-26 (2019–2021)[114]
- Stephanie Murphy, FL-07 (2017–2023)[115]
- Brittany Pettersen, CO-7 (2023–present)[111]
- Deborah Ross, NC-2 (2021–present)[111]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, FL-25[n] (2005–present)[116]
- Eric Swalwell, CA-14[o] (2013–present)[117]
- Statewide officials
- Betty Castor, former education commissioner of Florida (1987–1994)[118]
- Alex Sink, former chief financial officer of Florida (2007–2011)[119]
- State legislators
- Lindsay Cross, state representative (2022–present)[120]
- Janet Cruz, former state senator (2018–2022)[121]
- Tracie Davis, state senator (2022–present)[122]
- Ben Diamond, former state representative (2016–2022)[106]
- Margaret Good, former state representative (2018–2020)[121]
- Adam Hattersley, former state representative (2018–2020)[123]
- Michele Rayner, state representative (2020–present)[122]
- Carlos Guillermo Smith, former state representative (2016–2022)[121]
- Local officials
- Rick Kriseman, former mayor of St. Petersburg (2014–2022)[103]
- Individuals
- Alan Cohn, Peabody Award-winning journalist[121]
- Fred Guttenberg, gun control activist[124]
- Amy McGrath, retired U.S. Marine Corps lieutenant colonel and Democratic nominee in the 2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky[125]
- Newspapers
- Tampa Bay Times (primary only)[100]
- Organizations
- Blue Dog PAC[126]
- EMILY's List[127]
- National Women's Political Caucus[128]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[129]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Whitney Fox (D) | $204,077[p] | $52,907 | $151,169 |
| John Liccione (D) | $24,333[q] | $18,460 | $5,872 |
| Mark Weinkrantz (D) | $43,791[r] | $19,614 | $24,176 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[102] | |||
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||
| Sabrina Bousbar | Liz Dahan | Whitney Fox | Mark Weinkrantz | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 13, 2024 | Pinellas County Democratic Party | Rob Lorei | YouTube | P | P | P | P |
Results

- Fox–40–50%
- Fox–50–60%
- Fox–60–70%
- Fox–70–80%
- Fox–>90%
- No votes
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Whitney Fox | 29,678 | 57.9 | |
| Democratic | Sabrina Bousbar | 8,929 | 17.4 | |
| Democratic | Liz Dahan | 6,904 | 13.5 | |
| Democratic | Mark Weinkrantz | 3,697 | 7.2 | |
| Democratic | John Liccione | 2,013 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 51,221 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Likely R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Lean R | October 25, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Likely R | October 31, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Likely R | October 24, 2024 |
| CNalysis[23] | Likely R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Anna Paulina Luna (R) |
Whitney Fox (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[131][E] | October 20, 2024 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| WPA Intelligence[132][F] | October 6–7, 2024 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 45% | 5% |
| WPA Intelligence[133][F] | August 28–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 10% |
| St. Pete Polls[134][G] | August 27, 2024 | 843 (V) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Primary elections held | ||||||
| GQR Research (D)[135][H] | May 14–20, 2024 | 401 (V) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Anna Paulina Luna (incumbent) | 225,636 | 54.8 | ||
| Democratic | Whitney Fox | 185,930 | 45.2 | ||
| Write-In | Tony D'Arrigo | 27 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 411,593 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 14
| |||||||||||||||||
Castor: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rochford: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 14th district is based in western Hillsborough County and southeastern Pinellas County, including most of Tampa and some of St. Petersburg. The incumbent was Democrat Kathy Castor, who was re-elected with 56.9% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kathy Castor (D) | $503,808 | $296,511 | $558,267 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[138] | |||
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Newspapers
- Tampa Bay Times (primary only)[100]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Peters (R) | $13,666[s] | $8,702 | $4,963 |
| Neelam Taneja Perry (R) | $2,040[t] | $2,040 | $0 |
| Robert Rochford (R) | $10,605 | $7,220 | $3,384 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[138] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Robert Rochford | 15,575 | 54.1 | |
| Republican | John Peters | 7,771 | 27.0 | |
| Republican | Ehsan Joarder | 3,837 | 13.3 | |
| Republican | Neelam Taneja Perry | 1,594 | 5.5 | |
| Total votes | 28,777 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nathaniel Snyder, mechanic[140]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 199,423 | 56.9 | ||
| Republican | Robert Rochford | 145,643 | 41.6 | ||
| Nonpartisan | Christopher Bradley | 2,595 | 0.7 | ||
| Libertarian | Nathaniel Snyder | 2,524 | 0.7 | ||
| Total votes | 350,185 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
District 15
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Lee: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Republican Laurel Lee, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
On March 25, former president Donald Trump called for someone to mount a primary challenge to Lee; he did not explain why he thought that Lee should be ousted. Media sources pointed out that Lee had endorsed Ron DeSantis for president and had recently voted for a controversial spending package that the Freedom Caucus opposed.[141] However, Trump would later endorse Lee for re-election.[142]
Nominee
- Laurel Lee, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Eliminated in primary
- Jennifer Barbosa, paralegal and independent candidate for California's 28th congressional district in 2020[8]
- James Judge, public relations firm owner, U.S. Coast Guard veteran, and nominee for the 14th district in 2022[143]
Declined
- Laura Loomer, InfoWars contributor, candidate for the 11th district in 2022, and nominee for the 21st district in 2020[144]
- Rogan O'Handley, attorney and internet personality[145]
- Jackie Toledo, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2022[146]
Endorsements
- U.S. representatives
- Steve King, former U.S. representative from Iowa's 4th congressional district[147]
- Ted Yoho, former U.S. representative from Florida's 3rd congressional district[147]
- Individuals
- Roger Stone, political consultant[147]
- Organizations
- Federal officials
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida[148]
- Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida[148]
- Statewide officials
- Newspapers
- Tampa Bay Times (primary only)[100]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Laurel Lee (R) | $581,958 | $230,980 | $438,217 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[151] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Laurel Lee (incumbent) | 28,571 | 72.3 | |
| Republican | James Judge | 7,137 | 18.1 | |
| Republican | Jennifer Barbosa | 3,809 | 9.6 | |
| Total votes | 39,517 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Pat Kemp, at-large Hillsborough County commissioner[152]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kris Fitzgerald (D) | $17,132 | $13,818 | $3,314 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[151] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis[23] | Very Likely R | August 18, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Laurel Lee (R) |
Pat Kemp (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[153][I] | July 17–19, 2024 | 511 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 41% | 14% |
Post-primary endorsements
- Sheriffs
- Chad Chronister, Hillborough County sheriff[154]
- Grady Judd, Polk County sheriff[154]
- Chris Nocco, Hernando County sheriff[154]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Laurel Lee (incumbent) | 195,334 | 56.2 | ||
| Democratic | Pat Kemp | 152,361 | 43.8 | ||
| Total votes | 347,695 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 16
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Buchanan: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 16th district encompasses Manatee County and eastern Hillsborough County, taking in Tampa's eastern suburbs, including Riverview and parts of Brandon. The incumbent was Republican Vern Buchanan, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Eddie Speir, private school founder and former New College of Florida trustee[156]
Declined
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- U.S. representatives
- Byron Donalds, FL-19 (2021–present)[159]
- Matt Gaetz, FL-01 (2017–present)[159]
- Sheriffs
- Chad Chronister, Hillsborough County sheriff[160]
- Rick Wells, Manatee County sheriff[161]
- Newspapers
- Tampa Bay Times (primary only)[100]
- Organizations
- AIPAC[28]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[162] (post-primary)
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Vern Buchanan (R) | $868,237 | $667,317 | $1,584,270 |
| Eddie Speir (R) | $522,328[u] | $93,261 | $427,152 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[163] | |||
Polling
Results

- Buchanan–60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 38,789 | 60.9 | |
| Republican | Eddie Speir | 24,868 | 39.1 | |
| Total votes | 63,657 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Trent Miller, attorney[8]
Endorsements
- Newspapers
- Tampa Bay Times (primary only)[100]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jan Schneider | 23,701 | 65.7 | |
| Democratic | Trent Miller | 12,395 | 34.3 | |
| Total votes | 36,096 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 247,516 | 59.5 | ||
| Democratic | Jan Schneider | 168,625 | 40.5 | ||
| Total votes | 416,141 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 17
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Steube: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Republican Greg Steube, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Greg Steube, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Greg Steube (R) | $774,646 | $541,655 | $1,200,404 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[165] | |||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Manny Lopez, realtor[166]
Eliminated in primary
- Matthew Montavon, retired United Nations official[166]
Withdrawn
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Manny Lopez | 25,017 | 52.9 | |
| Democratic | Matthew Montavon | 22,244 | 47.1 | |
| Total votes | 47,261 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Write-in
- Ralph Hartman[8]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Steube (incumbent) | 291,347 | 63.9 | ||
| Democratic | Manny Lopez | 164,566 | 36.1 | ||
| Write-in | Ralph Hartman | 8 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 455,921 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 18
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Franklin: 60–70% 70–80% Kale: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Republican Scott Franklin, who was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Scott Franklin, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Scott Franklin (R) | $377,663 | $161,493 | $568,945 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[167] | |||
Democratic primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Peter Braunston, tech support specialist[8]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Andrea Doria Kale | 16,778 | 66.9 | |
| Democratic | Peter Braunston | 8,291 | 33.1 | |
| Total votes | 25,069 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Franklin (incumbent) | 225,170 | 65.3 | ||
| Democratic | Andrea Doria Kale | 119,637 | 34.7 | ||
| Total votes | 344,807 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 19
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Donalds: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 19th district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Bonita Springs and Naples. The incumbent was Republican Byron Donalds, who was re-elected with 68.0% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Byron Donalds, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Declined
- Chris Collins, former U.S. representative from New York's 27th congressional district (2013–2019) and former Erie County, New York Executive (2008–2011)[168]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Byron Donalds (R) | $2,321,535 | $2,142,959 | $916,567 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[170] | |||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Kari Lerner, chair of the Lee County Democratic Party[171]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kari Lerner (D) | $16,949[v] | $8,071 | $8,877 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[170] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Byron Donalds (incumbent) | 275,708 | 66.3 | ||
| Democratic | Kari Lerner | 140,038 | 33.7 | ||
| Total votes | 415,746 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 20
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent was Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, who was re-elected with 72.3% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Declined
- Luther Campbell, rapper and candidate for mayor of Miami-Dade County in 2011[172]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) | $327,816 | $193,157 | $137,436 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[174] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 21
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Mast: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Republican Brian Mast, who was re-elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. representative[175]
Eliminated in primary
- Rick Wiles, founder of TruNews and far-right conspiracy theorist[8]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Brian Mast (R) | $1,547,209 | $1,571,200 | $2,089,683 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[178] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 60,395 | 85.8 | |
| Republican | Rick Wiles | 9,957 | 14.2 | |
| Total votes | 70,352 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Thomas Witkop, neighborhood resource center manager[175]
General election
Write-in
- Elizabeth Felton[8]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 277,435 | 61.8 | ||
| Democratic | Thomas Witkop | 171,312 | 38.2 | ||
| Write-in | Elizabeth Felton | 19 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 448,766 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 22
| |||||||||||||||||
Frankel: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Franzese: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. The incumbent was Democrat Lois Frankel, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Lois Frankel (D) | $864,026 | $298,367 | $1,211,365 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[181] | |||
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City (1993–2001)[184]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Deborah Adeimy (R) | $74,141[w] | $9,755 | $64,829 |
| Dan Franzese (R) | $294,556[x] | $279,249 | $23,287 |
| Andrew Gutmann (R) | $401,026[y] | $93,549 | $307,476 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[181] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Franzese | 16,666 | 52.5 | |
| Republican | Andrew Gutmann | 8,036 | 25.3 | |
| Republican | Deborah Adeimy | 7,038 | 22.2 | |
| Total votes | 31,740 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 201,608 | 55.0 | ||
| Republican | Dan Franzese | 165,248 | 45.0 | ||
| Total votes | 366,856 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
District 23
| |||||||||||||||||
Moskowitz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Kaufman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 23rd district covers parts of Broward County and southern Palm Beach County, including the cities of Boca Raton, Coral Springs, and most of Deerfield Beach and Fort Lauderdale. The incumbent was Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who was elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Jared Moskowitz, incumbent U.S. representative[32]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jared Moskowitz (D) | $653,427 | $442,081 | $293,968 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[185] | |||
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Barve, Liberty University graduate student and former intern for U.S. representative Bob Good[186] (previously ran for Virginia's 5th congressional district)[187]
- Darlene Cerezo Swaffar, insurance agency owner[8]
- Carla Spalding, nurse, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2020[188]
- Joe Thelusca, business consultant[186]
- Robert Weinroth, former Boca Raton city councilor[189]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Joe Thelusca (R) | $13,400[z] | $11,403 | $1,996 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[185] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Kaufman | 9,503 | 35.4 | |
| Republican | Robert Weinroth | 5,524 | 20.6 | |
| Republican | Darlene Cerezo Swaffar | 5,118 | 19.1 | |
| Republican | Carla Spalding | 2,844 | 10.6 | |
| Republican | Gary Barve | 1,923 | 7.2 | |
| Republican | Joe Thelusca | 1,923 | 7.2 | |
| Total votes | 26,835 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | September 6, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | November 13, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | August 18, 2024 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jared Moskowitz (incumbent) | 196,311 | 52.4 | ||
| Republican | Joe Kaufman | 178,006 | 47.6 | ||
| Total votes | 374,317 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
District 24
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Wilson: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Democrat Frederica Wilson, who was re-elected in with 71.79% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Frederica Wilson (D) | $230,336 | $242,248 | $551,696 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[190] | |||
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Patricia Gonzalez, mortgage loan originator[8]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jesus Navarro | 5,755 | 56.8 | |
| Republican | Patricia Gonzalez | 4,371 | 43.2 | |
| Total votes | 10,126 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Write-in
- Lavern Spicer, Republican nominee for this district in 2020 and candidate in 2022[8]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 194,874 | 68.2 | ||
| Republican | Jesus Navarro | 90,692 | 31.8 | ||
| Write-in | Lavern Spicer | 22 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 285,588 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
District 25
| |||||||||||||||||
Wasserman Schultz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Eddy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who was re-elected with 55.09% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Howie Klein, former president of Reprise Records (1989–2001) and adjunct professor at McGill University[192]
- Heather Digby Parton, political blogger[192]
- Organizations
- AIPAC[28]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[66]
- Feminist Majority PAC[67]
- Giffords[136]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[173]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[193]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[79]
- Population Connection Action Fund[80]
- Pro-Israel America[177]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) | $1,593,903 | $1,019,654 | $1,356,628 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[194] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 36,479 | 83.2 | |
| Democratic | Jen Perelman | 7,349 | 16.8 | |
| Total votes | 43,828 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Bryan Leib, Newsmax columnist and nominee for Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district in 2018[8]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Federal officials
- Marshall Billingslea, former assistant secretary of the treasury for terrorist financing (2017–2021)[195]
- U.S. representatives
- Byron Donalds, FL-19[196]
- Pat Fallon, TX-04[195]
- Brian Mast, FL-21[ab][197]
- Mary Miller, IL-15[195]
- Cory Mills, FL-07[198]
- State legislators
- Randy Fine, state senator[199]
- Paul Renner, Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[200]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Eddy | 13,246 | 64.9 | |
| Republican | Bryan Leib | 7,149 | 35.1 | |
| Total votes | 20,395 | 100.0 | ||
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Chris Eddy (R) | $164,427[ac] | $78,863 | $85,563 |
| Carla Spalding (R) | $331,995 | $302,933 | $41,981 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[194] | |||
General election
Write-in
- Eddie Goldfarb[8]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 186,942 | 54.5 | ||
| Republican | Chris Eddy | 156,208 | 45.5 | ||
| Write-in | Eddie Goldfarb | 41 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 343,191 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
District 26
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Díaz-Balart: 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who was re-elected with 70.89% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mario Díaz-Balart (R) | $982,421 | $677,580 | $1,584,350 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[204] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | 38,334 | 83.5 | |
| Republican | Johnny Fratto | 4,378 | 9.5 | |
| Republican | Richard Evans | 3,178 | 6.9 | |
| Total votes | 45,890 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Joey Atkins, attorney[8]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | 217,199 | 70.9 | ||
| Democratic | Joey Atkins | 89,072 | 29.1 | ||
| Total votes | 306,271 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 27
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Salazar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Baez-Geller: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 27th district includes parts of southern Miami, including Downtown, Little Havana, and Kendall, as well as Palmetto Estates and parts of Fontainebleau and Westchester. The incumbent was Republican María Elvira Salazar, who was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- María Elvira Salazar, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Royland Lara, bank teller[8]
Endorsements
- U.S. presidents
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| María Elvira Salazar (R) | $1,310,118 | $507,577 | $832,420 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[206] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | María Elvira Salazar (incumbent) | 38,493 | 88.7 | |
| Republican | Royland Lara | 4,908 | 11.3 | |
| Total votes | 43,401 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Lucia Báez-Geller, Miami-Dade County Public Schools board member[207]
Eliminated in primary
- Mike Davey, former mayor of Key Biscayne[208]
Endorsements
- U.S. representatives
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative from FL-26 (2019−2021)[209]
- Donna Shalala, former U.S. representative from FL-27 (2019−2021)[209]
- State legislators
- Kevin Chambliss, state representative[210]
- Ashley Gantt, state representative[211]
- Shevrin Jones, state senator[210]
- Annette Taddeo, former state senator[211]
- Local officials
- Javier Fernandez, mayor of South Miami[212]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Lucia Báez-Geller (D) | $355,055 | $309,117 | $45,938 |
| Michael Davey (D) | $555,708 | $465,141 | $90,566 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[206] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lucia Báez-Geller | 18,591 | 54.2 | |
| Democratic | Mike Davey | 15,738 | 45.8 | |
| Total votes | 34,329 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Likely R | August 16, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Likely R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Likely R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Likely R | August 18, 2024 |
| FiveThirtyEight[216] | Likely R | August 18, 2024 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar (incumbent) | 199,159 | 60.4 | ||
| Democratic | Lucia Baez-Geller | 130,708 | 39.6 | ||
| Total votes | 329,867 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 28
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Giménez: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The incumbent was Republican Carlos Giménez who was re-elected with 63.69% of the vote in 2022.[4]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Carlos Giménez, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Carlos Giménez (R) | $545,051 | $358,911 | $905,945 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[218] | |||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Phil Ehr, nonprofit executive, nominee for the 1st district in 2020 and candidate in 2018[219] (previously ran for U.S. Senate)[220]
Withdrawn
- Marcos Reyes, real estate broker (ran for state house)[221]
Endorsements
- U.S. representatives
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative for Florida's 26th congressional district (2019–2021)[222]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Phil Ehr (D) | $1,059,292 | $1,048,117 | $14,534 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[218] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | September 7, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | September 7, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Carlos Gímenez (R) |
Phil Ehr (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[224][K] | October 13–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 32% | 7%[ad] | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Carlos Giménez (incumbent) | 210,057 | 64.6 | ||
| Democratic | Phil Ehr | 115,280 | 35.4 | ||
| Total votes | 325,337 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Valimont
- $8,600 of this total was self-funded by Woodward
- $14,000 of this total was self-funded by Stevens
- $93,538 of this total was self-funded by Mills
- $13,986 of this total was self-funded by Pastrana
- $140,000 of this total was self-funded by Hearton
- $3,510 of this total was self-funded by McDow
- $17,500 of this total was self-funded by Quiñones
- Bill Farmer, Sumter County sheriff[91]
- Peyton Grinnell, Lake County sheriff[91]
- Grady Judd, Polk County sheriff[91]
- $49,900 of this total was self-funded by McCloy
- The poll's sponsor only revealed the numbers for Sabatini and Webster, and did not explain how the remaining 36% of respondents answered.
- Numbered as the 11th from 2007–2013
- Numbered as the 20th from 2005–2013 and as the 23rd from 2013–2023
- Numbered as the 15th from 2013–2023
- $5,246 of this total was self-funded by Fox
- $17,837 of this total was self-funded by Liccione
- $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Weinkrantz
- $8,785 of this total was self-funded by Peters
- $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Perry
- $501,000 of this total was self-funded by Speir
- $3,742 of this total was self-funded by Lerner
- $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Adeimy
- $215,000 of this total was self-funded by Franzese
- $110,000 of this total was self-funded by Gutmann
- $8,200 of this total was self-funded by Thelusca
- This district was numbered as the 23rd district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle
- Numbered as the 18th from 2017–2023
- $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Eddy
- "Would not vote" with 7%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Gaetz's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Adams's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Haridopolos's campaign
- Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits, which supports Sabatini[94]
- Poll sponsored by Voting Trend and The Florida Squeeze
- Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
- Poll sponsored by Florida Politics
- Poll sponsored by Fox's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Kemp's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Davey's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Ehr's campaign