2024 United States Senate election in Indiana

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Republican congressman Jim Banks was elected to his first term, defeating Democratic psychologist Valerie McCray in the general election.[1] Banks succeeded Republican incumbent Mike Braun, who opted instead to run for governor.[2] This was the first election for this seat in which there was no incumbent running since 1958.[a]

Quick facts Nominee, Party ...
2024 United States Senate election in Indiana

← 2018
November 5, 2024
2030 â†’
 
Nominee Jim Banks Valerie McCray
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,659,416 1,097,061
Percentage 58.64% 38.77%

Banks:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
McCray:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Mike Braun
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Jim Banks
Republican

Close

On election day, Republican Banks defeated Democrat Valerie McCray by a near 20-percentage-point margin, winning all but three counties. Indiana has not elected a Democrat to the United States Senate since Joe Donnelly was elected in 2012.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Banks (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Individuals

Political Parties

Organizations

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of April 17, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of April 17, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jim Banks (R) $4,731,928 $3,188,805 $2,878,607
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]
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Polling

Hypothetical polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Jim
Banks
Mitch
Daniels
Trey
Hollingsworth
Todd
Rokita
Victoria
Spartz
Other Undecided
Bellwether Research[40] December 11–17, 2022 1,000 (LV) – 14% – 11% 16% 12% 9% 39%
10% 32% 9% 7% 7% 6% 29%
Response:AI[41][A] December 9–16, 2022 503 (RV) ±4.3% 14% 35% 6% — 14% 16%[c] 17%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Banks 475,729 100.00%
Total votes 475,729 100.00%
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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Valerie McCray, psychologist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[43]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Valerie McCray

Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Marc Carmichael (D) $115,161[d] $98,370 $16,125
Valerie McCray (D) $61,506[e] $45,953 $15,684
Keith Potts (D) $99,485[f] $98,302 $1,183
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]
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Results

Primary results by county:
  McCray
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Carmichael
  •   50–60%
  Tie
  •   50%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Valerie McCray 121,734 68.01%
Democratic Marc Carmichael 57,256 31.99%
Total votes 178,990 100.00%
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Libertarian convention

Nominee

  • Andy Horning, engineer, perennial candidate, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[49]

Write-in candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[51] Solid R November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[52] Solid R November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] Safe R November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[54] Safe R June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[55] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis[56] Solid R November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[57] Solid R August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[58] Safe R October 23, 2024
538[59] Solid R October 23, 2024
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Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jim Banks (R) $5,553,816 $3,713,830 $3,175,470
Valerie McCray (D) $61,507[g] $45,953 $15,685
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]
Close

Debate

More information No., Date ...
2024 United States Senate general election in Indiana debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Banks McCray Horning
1 October 29, 2024 Indiana Debate Commission Laura Merrifield Wilson [60] A P P
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Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Jim
Banks (R)
Valerie
McCray (D)
Other Undecided
ActiVote[61] October 5–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43% – –
ActiVote[62] September 3 – October 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44% – –
ARW Strategies[63][B] September 23–25, 2024 600 (LV) – 49% 35% – 16%
Emerson College[64][C] September 12–13, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 33% 5%[h] 14%
Emerson College[65] October 1–4, 2023 462 (RV) ± 4.4% 31% 22% 8%[i] 39%
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Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2024 United States Senate election in Indiana[66][67]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jim Banks 1,659,416 58.64% +7.91%
Democratic Valerie McCray 1,097,061 38.77% −6.07%
Libertarian Andrew Horning 73,233 2.59% −1.83%
Write-in 187 0.00%
Total votes 2,829,897 100.0%
Republican hold
Close

By county

Source[67]

More information County, Jim Banks Republican ...
County Jim Banks
Republican
Valerie McCray
Democratic
Andrew Horning
Libertarian
Write-in Margin Total
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Adams 9,453 76.38% 2,623 21.19% 300 2.42% 0 0.00% 6,850 55.35% 12,376
Allen 89,831 56.91% 64,275 40.72% 3,702 2.35% 29 0.02% 17,292 12.02% 157,837
Bartholomew 20,573 63.77% 10,790 33.45% 893 2.77% 3 0.01% 9,783 30.33% 32,259
Benton 2,887 73.55% 922 23.49% 116 2.96% 0 0.00% 965 24.59% 3,925
Blackford 3,554 73.72% 1,109 23.00% 157 3.26% 1 0.02% 2,445 50.72% 4,821
Boone 23,037 59.39% 14,596 37.63% 1,154 2.98% 1 0.00% 8,441 21.76% 38,788
Brown 5,392 63.86% 2,695 31.92% 357 4.23% 0 0.00% 2,697 31.94% 8,444
Carroll 6,898 75.21% 2,034 22.18% 240 2.62% 0 0.00% 4,864 53.03% 9,172
Cass 10,031 71.14% 3,661 25.96% 408 2.89% 0 0.00% 6,370 45.18% 14,100
Clark 32,978 57.66% 22,317 39.02% 1,889 3.30% 5 0.01% 10,661 18.64% 57,189
Clay 8,752 76.42% 2,375 20.74% 326 2.85% 0 0.00% 6,377 55.68% 11,453
Clinton 8,620 73.16% 2,803 23.79% 358 3.04% 2 0.02% 5,817 49.37% 11,783
Crawford 3,311 69.71% 1,312 27.62% 127 2.67% 0 0.00% 1,999 42.08% 4,750
Daviess 8,632 80.64% 1,829 17.09% 244 2.28% 0 0.00% 6,803 63.55% 10,705
Dearborn 20,655 78.20% 5,208 19.72% 551 2.09% 0 0.00% 15,447 58.48% 26,414
Decatur 8,971 78.39% 2,098 18.33% 375 3.28% 0 0.00% 6,873 60.06% 11,444
DeKalb 13,530 73.09% 4,429 23.93% 551 2.98% 2 0.01% 9,101 49.16% 18,512
Delaware 24,801 56.82% 17,590 40.30% 1,252 2.87% 2 0.00% 7,211 16.52% 43,645
Dubois 13,549 69.21% 5,436 27.77% 590 3.01% 2 0.01% 8,113 41.44% 19,577
Elkhart 46,298 66.42% 22,106 31.71% 1,300 1.86% 4 0.01% 24,192 34.70% 69,708
Fayette 7,066 76.22% 1,955 21.09% 250 2.70% 0 0.00% 5,111 55.13% 9,271
Floyd 23,053 56.62% 16,554 40.66% 1,101 2.70% 4 0.01% 6,499 15.96% 40,712
Fountain 6,224 78.60% 1,481 18.70% 214 2.70% 0 0.00% 4,743 59.89% 7,919
Franklin 9,043 80.49% 1,932 17.20% 260 2.31% 0 0.00% 7,111 63.29% 11,235
Fulton 6,580 74.90% 1,990 22.65% 213 2.42% 2 0.02% 4,590 52.25% 8,785
Gibson 11,424 73.60% 3,692 23.79% 406 2.62% 0 0.00% 7,732 49.81% 15,522
Grant 16,244 70.73% 6,160 26.82% 562 2.45% 1 0.00% 10,084 43.91% 22,967
Greene 10,146 74.23% 3,131 22.91% 391 2.86% 0 0.00% 7,015 51.32% 13,668
Hamilton 99,855 54.91% 77,761 42.76% 4,221 2.32% 9 0.00% 22,094 12.15% 181,846
Hancock 28,667 65.66% 13,067 29.93% 1,926 4.41% 0 0.00% 15,600 35.73% 43,660
Harrison 14,256 71.08% 5,234 26.10% 566 2.82% 0 0.00% 9,022 44.98% 20,056
Hendricks 48,718 61.01% 28,790 36.05% 2,343 2.93% 0 0.00% 19,928 24.96% 79,851
Henry 14,818 72.48% 5,023 24.57% 602 2.94% 0 0.00% 9,795 47.91% 20,443
Howard 25,369 66.02% 11,810 30.73% 1,247 3.25% 2 0.01% 13,559 35.28% 38,428
Huntington 12,579 73.47% 4,019 23.47% 523 3.05% 0 0.00% 8,560 50.00% 17,121
Jackson 13,946 75.96% 3,954 21.54% 460 2.51% 0 0.00% 9,992 54.42% 18,360
Jasper 11,204 75.48% 3,281 22.10% 358 2.41% 0 0.00% 7,923 53.38% 14,843
Jay 5,976 76.81% 1,594 20.49% 209 2.69% 1 0.01% 4,382 56.32% 7,780
Jefferson 8,943 66.21% 4,197 31.07% 367 2.72% 0 0.00% 4,746 35.14% 13,507
Jennings 8,816 76.34% 2,364 20.47% 368 3.19% 0 0.00% 6,452 55.87% 11,548
Johnson 45,502 66.57% 20,743 30.35% 2,098 3.07% 4 0.01% 24,759 36.23% 68,347
Knox 10,167 72.35% 3,501 24.91% 384 2.73% 0 0.00% 6,666 47.44% 14,052
Kosciusko 25,610 76.58% 6,920 20.69% 910 2.72% 1 0.00% 18,690 55.89% 33,441
LaGrange 7,806 78.32% 1,956 19.62% 204 2.05% 1 0.01% 5,850 58.69% 9,967
Lake 88,474 44.74% 105,648 53.43% 3,615 1.83% 8 0.00% -17,174 -8.68% 197,745
LaPorte 24,752 55.34% 18,828 42.10% 1,137 2.54% 9 0.02% 5,924 13.25% 44,726
Lawrence 14,811 73.97% 4,586 22.90% 625 3.12% 0 0.00% 10,225 51.07% 20,022
Madison 34,393 62.19% 19,190 34.70% 1,716 3.10% 3 0.01% 15,203 27.49% 55,302
Marion 126,643 35.89% 217,819 61.72% 8,425 2.39% 22 0.01% -91,176 -25.84% 352,909
Marshall 13,495 72.04% 4,838 25.83% 400 2.14% 0 0.00% 8,657 46.21% 18,733
Martin 3,633 75.39% 1,002 20.79% 183 3.80% 1 0.02% 2,631 54.60% 4,819
Miami 9,983 75.51% 2,850 21.56% 387 2.93% 0 0.00% 7,133 53.96% 13,220
Monroe 21,187 36.11% 35,960 61.29% 1,512 2.58% 9 0.02% -14,773 -25.18% 58,668
Montgomery 12,101 73.85% 3,806 23.23% 478 2.92% 1 0.01% 8,295 50.62% 16,386
Morgan 25,306 75.30% 7,103 21.14% 1,196 3.56% 0 0.00% 18,203 54.17% 33,605
Newton 4,860 75.55% 1,352 21.02% 221 3.44% 0 0.00% 3,508 54.53% 6,433
Noble 13,710 75.26% 4,035 22.15% 463 2.54% 8 0.04% 9,675 53.11% 18,216
Ohio 2,254 75.13% 670 22.33% 76 2.53% 0 0.00% 1,584 52.80% 3,000
Orange 5,947 73.83% 1,897 23.55% 211 2.62% 0 0.00% 4,050 50.28% 8,055
Owen 6,744 71.75% 2,153 22.91% 502 5.34% 0 0.00% 4,591 48.85% 9,399
Parke 4,768 76.72% 1,274 20.50% 173 2.78% 0 0.00% 3,494 56.22% 6,215
Perry 4,961 61.61% 2,936 36.46% 155 1.92% 0 0.00% 2,025 25.15% 8,052
Pike 4,166 75.17% 1,226 22.12% 150 2.71% 0 0.00% 2,940 53.05% 5,542
Porter 46,011 54.30% 36,931 43.58% 1,786 2.11% 10 0.01% 9,080 10.72% 84,738
Posey 9,147 71.46% 3,366 26.29% 288 2.25% 0 0.00% 5,781 45.16% 12,801
Pulaski 4,031 75.32% 1,158 21.64% 163 3.05% 0 0.00% 2,873 53.68% 5,352
Putnam 11,918 74.39% 3,572 22.30% 530 3.31% 0 0.00% 8,346 52.10% 16,020
Randolph 7,533 75.61% 2,170 21.78% 260 2.61% 0 0.00% 5,363 53.83% 9,963
Ripley 11,286 79.24% 2,640 18.54% 315 2.21% 1 0.01% 8,646 60.71% 14,242
Rush 5,532 75.90% 1,498 20.55% 258 3.54% 1 0.01% 4,034 55.34% 7,289
St. Joseph 54,590 49.60% 53,253 48.38% 2,210 2.01% 13 0.01% 1,337 1.21% 110,066
Scott 6,042 69.64% 2,393 27.58% 241 2.77% 0 0.00% 3,649 42.06% 8,676
Shelby 13,495 72.14% 4,465 23.87% 747 3.99% 0 0.00% 9,030 48.27% 18,707
Spencer 7,051 70.76% 2,700 27.10% 213 2.14% 0 0.00% 4,351 43.67% 9,964
Starke 7,035 73.36% 2,279 23.76% 276 2.88% 0 0.00% 4,756 49.59% 9,590
Steuben 11,345 72.10% 4,004 25.45% 385 2.45% 1 0.01% 7,341 46.65% 15,735
Sullivan 5,898 72.62% 2,031 25.01% 193 2.38% 0 0.00% 3,867 47.61% 8,122
Switzerland 3,156 76.18% 914 22.06% 73 1.76% 0 0.00% 2,242 54.12% 4,143
Tippecanoe 31,699 49.79% 30,091 47.26% 1,868 2.93% 11 0.02% 1,608 2.53% 63,669
Tipton 5,617 74.21% 1,675 22.13% 277 3.66% 0 0.00% 3,942 52.08% 7,569
Union 2,606 76.04% 694 20.25% 127 3.71% 0 0.00% 1,912 55.79% 3,427
Vanderburgh 41,084 56.29% 30,403 41.65% 1,503 2.06% 2 0.00% 10,681 14.63% 72,992
Vermillion 4,645 68.65% 1,930 28.52% 190 2.81% 1 0.01% 2,715 40.13% 6,766
Vigo 22,898 56.99% 16,282 40.53% 995 2.48% 2 0.00% 6,616 16.47% 40,177
Wabash 10,102 75.28% 2,973 22.15% 344 2.56% 1 0.01% 7,129 53.12% 13,420
Warren 3,362 77.54% 879 20.27% 95 2.19% 0 0.00% 2,483 57.26% 4,336
Warrick 20,314 65.07% 10,227 32.76% 674 2.16% 4 0.01% 10,087 32.31% 31,219
Washington 9,219 74.32% 2,783 22.44% 401 3.23% 1 0.01% 6,436 51.89% 12,404
Wayne 17,083 64.81% 8,376 31.78% 896 3.40% 2 0.01% 8,707 33.03% 26,357
Wells 10,135 78.66% 2,379 18.46% 370 2.87% 0 0.00% 7,756 60.20% 12,884
White 7,900 72.75% 2,650 24.40% 309 2.85% 0 0.00% 5,250 48.35% 10,859
Whitley 12,729 74.30% 3,855 22.50% 548 3.20% 0 0.00% 8,874 51.80% 17,132
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Banks won seven of nine congressional districts.[68]

More information District, Banks ...
Close

Notes

  1. Richard Lugar, the incumbent Senator at the time, ran for re-election to a seventh term in 2012, but lost in the Republican primary to Richard Mourdock.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Jennifer Ruth-Green with 4%; Curtis Hill with 2%; "Someone else" with 10%
  4. $1,000 of this total was self-funded by Carmichael
  5. $1,407 of this total was self-funded by McCray
  6. $20,345 of this total was self-funded by Potts
  7. $4,407 of this total was self-funded by McCray
  8. Horning (L) with 5%
  9. "Someone else" at 8%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Spartz's campaign.
  2. Poll sponsored by IndyPolitics.org
  3. Poll sponsored by The Hill

References

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