2024 Vermont gubernatorial election
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November 5, 2024
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| Elections in Vermont |
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The 2024 Vermont gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Vermont, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fifth term, defeating the Democratic nominee, Vermont Commission on Women co-chair Esther Charlestin.[1][2][3] Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.[4]
Being frequently ranked as the nation's most popular governor,[5][6][7] Scott has won re-election by continually increasing margins since his first election in 2016. Despite Vermont's strong Democratic lean at the presidential level, Scott was expected to easily win again in 2024.
Along with New Hampshire, this race was one of two Republican-held governorships up for election in 2024 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. This was the best Republican performance in a Vermont gubernatorial election since 1946, with Scott winning every municipality (as he did in 2022)[8] and Scott's coattails allowed Republicans to break Democratic supermajorities in the state legislature. Scott also achieved over 60% of the vote in Windham County, a traditionally Democratic stronghold.
Candidates
Nominee
- Phil Scott, incumbent governor (2017–present)[9]
Withdrawn
- Peter Duval, former Underhill selectman and independent candidate for governor in 2022 (ran as a Democrat)[10]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 23,173 | 92.75% | |
| Republican | Undervotes[a] | 1,357 | 5.43% | |
| Write-in | 448 | 1.79% | ||
| Republican | Overvotes | 7 | 0.03% | |
| Total votes | 23,565 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Esther Charlestin, co-chair of the Vermont Commission on Women and former Middlebury selectman[12]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Howard Dean, former governor (1991–2003) and former chair of the Democratic National Committee (2005–2009)[14]
- Caleb Elder, state representative (2018–2025)[15] (running for state senate)[16]
- Miro Weinberger, former mayor of Burlington (2012–2024)[17]
- David Zuckerman, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (2017–2021, 2023–2025) and nominee for governor in 2020 (running for re-election)[18]
Endorsements
Political parties
Results
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Esther Charlestin | 24,007 | 46.19% | |
| Democratic | Undervotes[a] | 13,404 | 25.79% | |
| Democratic | Peter Duval | 9,377 | 18.04% | |
| Republican | Phil Scott (write-in) | 4,558 | 8.77% | |
| Write-in | Misc. Write-ins | 601 | 1.56% | |
| Democratic | Overvotes | 22 | 0.04% | |
| Total votes | 51,969 | 100% | ||
Progressive primary
Candidates
Withdrew after nomination
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive | Marielle Blais | 268 | 64.73% | |
| Progressive | Undervotes[a] | 71 | 17.11% | |
| Republican | Phil Scott (write-in) | 35 | 8.45% | |
| Democratic | Esther Charlestin (write-in) | 21 | 5.07% | |
| Write-in | Misc. Write-ins | 19 | 4.59% | |
| Total votes | 414 | 100% | ||
Independent and third party candidates
Declared
- June Goodband (Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party), counselor[20]
- Kevin Hoyt (Independent), videographer and perennial candidate[20]
- Poa Mutino (Independent), program manager[21]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid R | June 13, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Solid R | July 14, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | June 4, 2024 |
| RCP[25] | Solid R | July 13, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[26] | Safe R | July 12, 2023 |
| CNalysis[27] | Solid R | August 17, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Phil Scott (R) |
Esther Charlestin (D) |
Kevin Hoyt (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[28] | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 1,167 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 65% | 26% | 2% | 2%[c] | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire[29] | August 15–19, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 56% | 28% | 5% | 2%[d] | 10% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 266,439 | 73.43% | +2.52% | |
| Democratic/Progressive | Esther Charlestin | 79,217 | 21.83% | −2.11% | |
| Independent | Kevin Hoyt | 9,368 | 2.58% | +0.52% | |
| Green Mountain Peace and Justice | June Goodband | 4,512 | 1.24% | N/A | |
| Independent | Eli "Poa" Mutino | 2,414 | 0.67% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 891 | 0.25% | −0.21 | ||
| Total votes | 362,841 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
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