2025 Canadian federal election in British Columbia
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In the 2025 Canadian federal election, there were 43 members of Parliament elected to the House of Commons from the province of British Columbia, making up 12.4% of all members of the House.
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All 43 British Columbian seats in the House of Commons | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Registered | 3,816,252 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 2,638,307 (69.13%)[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
2022 electoral redistribution
The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats, with British Columbia gaining 1 seat in an increase from 42 to 43. This made the average population per constituency in British Columbia 116,300 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which was 8,452 more people per electoral district than the national average.[2]
| Party | MPs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 actual result | 2021 notional result | Change | ||
| Liberal | 15 | 15 |  0 | |
| Conservative | 13 | 14 |  1 | |
| New Democratic | 13 | 13 | 0 | |
| Green | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Total seats | 42 | 43 | 1 | |
Timeline
| Seat | Before | Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
| Cloverdale—Langley City | May 27, 2024[3] | John Aldag | █ Liberal | Resigned to run as the BC NDP candidate for Langley-Abbotsford in the 2024 BC general election | December 16, 2024 | Tamara Jansen | █ Conservative |
| Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke | January 30, 2025[4] | Randall Garrison | █ New Democratic | Resigned seat | n/a[a] | – | █ Vacant |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[b] |
Sample size[c] |
Polling method[d] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abacus Data | May 9, 2024 | [5] | 18 | 44 | 26 | 8 | N/a | 3 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 18 |
| Mainstreet Research | April 24, 2024 | [6] | 17.8 | 55.8 | 15.8 | 6.9 | N/a | 3.7 | ± 3.2 pp | 962 | Smart IVR | 38 |
| March 19, 2024 | [7] | 22.8 | 49.6 | 19.4 | 5.8 | N/a | 2.4 | ± 3 pp | 1,063 | 26.8 | ||
| Angus Reid | March 6, 2024 | [8] | 21 | 40 | 29 | 9 | N/a | 2 | ± 3 pp | 809 | online | 11 |
Predictions
Results
Summary
The Liberal Party won the most seats and votes, taking 20 ridings, a gain of 6 seats from dissolution and winning 41.8% of the popular vote. The Conservative Party came in a close second, with 19 seats, a gain of 5. They won 41.1% of the popular vote.
Support for the NDP dropped substantially, coming in third, with leader Jagmeet Singh losing his own seat of Burnaby Central.[10] They received 13.1% of the popular vote, and won 3 seats, a loss of 9 since dissolution.
The Green party retained their 1 seat, with co-leader Elizabeth May being re-elected to a fourth term.[11] Their popular vote fell to 3.0%. The People's Party still won no seats, and saw their support collapse to just 0.5% of the vote.
The Animal Protection Party, Canadian Future Party, the Christian Heritage Party, the Communist Party, the Libertarian Party, the Marxist-Leninist Party, the United Party of Canada and the Rhino Party, all ran at least one candidate in British Columbia and got a combined 0.2% of the vote.
Liberal support was strongest in Metro Vancouver (particularly north of the Fraser River) and in Greater Victoria, while the Conservatives dominated the rest of the province. The results for the Conservatives were very similar to the result for the BC Conservatives in the previous provincial election.[12][13]
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Vote +/- | Seats | Seat +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 1,102,925 | 14.9pp |
20 / 43 (47%) |
6 | ||
| Conservative | 1,082,901 | 8.0pp |
19 / 43 (44%) |
5 | ||
| New Democratic | 344,361 |  16.2pp |
3 / 43 (7%) |
9 | ||
| Green | 79,870 | 2.4pp |
1 / 43 (2%) |
0 | ||
| People's | 12,188 | 4.4pp |
0 / 43 (0%) |
0 | ||
| Independent | 11,747 | 0.3pp |
0 / 43 (0%) |
0 | ||
| Other | 4,315 | 0.1pp |
0 / 43 (0%) |
0 | ||
| Total | 2,638,307 | – | 43 / 43 (100%) |
2[e] | ||
Seat apportionment diagram: | ||||||
Comparison with national results
| Party | Popular vote % | Seats in caucus | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC | Natl. | diff. | |||
| Liberal | 41.8 | 43.7 | -1.9 | 20 / 169 (12%) | |
| Conservative | 41.0 | 41.3 | -0.3 | 19 / 144 (13%) | |
| New Democratic | 13.0 | 6.3 | +6.7 | 3 / 7 (43%) | |
| Green | 3.0 | 1.2 | +1.8 | 1 / 1 (100%) | |
| People's | 0.5 | 0.7 | -0.2 | no caucus | |
| Total | – | – | – | 43 / 343 (13%) | |
Student vote results
The student vote is a Mock election that runs parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. These are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results.[14]
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Vote +/- | Seats | Seat +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 54,521 | 8.0pp |
29 / 43 (67%) |
25 | ||
| Liberal | 42,217 | 14.9pp |
9 / 43 (21%) |
3 | ||
| New Democratic | 27,173 | 16.2pp |
4 / 43 (9%) |
27 | ||
| Green | 16,811 | 2.4pp |
1 / 43 (2%) |
0 | ||
| People's | 5,022 | 4.4pp |
0 / 43 (0%) |
0 | ||
| Independent | 1,183 | 0.3pp |
0 / 43 (0%) |
0 | ||
| Total | 2,638,307 | – | 43 / 43 (100%) |
2[f] | ||
Source: Student Vote Canada[15]
See also
- Canadian federal election results in the British Columbia Interior
- Canadian federal election results in the Fraser Valley and the Southern Lower Mainland
- Canadian federal election results on Vancouver Island
- Canadian federal election results in Greater Vancouver and the Sunshine Coast
- Burnaby Central in the 2025 Canadian federal election
- 2024 British Columbia general election
Notes
- By-elections are not scheduled to fill vancancies within 9 months of a fixed general election date.
- In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
- Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
- "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
- British Columbia gained 1 seat in the electoral redistribution. 1 seat was vacant at the dissolution of Parliament.
- British Columbia gained 1 seat in the electoral redistribution. 1 seat was vacant at the dissolution of Parliament.