2025 Canadian federal election in Quebec
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In the 2025 Canadian federal election, there were 78 members of Parliament elected to the House of Commons from the province of Quebec, making up 22.7% of all members of the House.
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April 28, 2025
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All 78 Quebec seats in the House of Commons of Canada | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 6,664,620 [1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 4,457,743 (66.89%)  4.52% [2] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
2022 electoral redistribution
The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats, with Quebec's number of seats remaining steady at 78. Originally the province was set to lose 1 seat, with 77 total. But with the passage of the Preserving Provincial Representation in the House of Commons Act, the province will now always be guaranteed at least 78 seats. This made the average population per constituency in Quebec 108,998 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which was 1,150 more people per electoral district than the national average.[4]
| Party | MPs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 actual result | 2021 notional result | Change | ||
| Liberal | 35 | 33 |  2 | |
| Bloc Québécois | 32 | 34 | 2 | |
| Conservative | 10 | 10 |  0 | |
| New Democratic | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Total seats | 78 | 78 | 0 | |
Timeline
| Seat | Before | Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
| Richmond—Arthabaska | September 13, 2022 | Alain Rayes | █ Conservative | Left caucus | █ Independent | ||
| Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount | March 8, 2023 | Marc Garneau | █ Liberal | Retired | June 19, 2023 | Anna Gainey | █ Liberal |
| LaSalle—Émard—Verdun | February 1, 2024 | David Lametti | █ Liberal | Resigned to join law firm | September 16, 2024 | Louis-Philippe Sauvé | █ Bloc Québécois |
| Honoré-Mercier | September 19, 2024 | Pablo Rodriguez | █ Liberal | Left caucus | █ Independent | ||
| Honoré-Mercier | January 20, 2025 | Pablo Rodriguez | █ Independent | Resigned to run for the leadership of the Quebec Liberal Party | Vacant until the 2025 election | █ Vacant | |
Opinion polling
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| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[b] |
Sample size[c] |
Polling method[d] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leger | April 25, 2025 | [5] | 42 | 24 | 5 | 26 | 2 | 1 | N/a | 893 | Online | 16 | |
| Synopsis | April 11, 2025 | [6] | 42 | 21 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 2 | N/a | 1,000 | Online | 15 | |
| Leger | March 10, 2025 | [7] | 36 | 24 | 8 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.09pp | 1,007 | Online | 11 |
| Leger | February 2, 2025 | [8] | 29 | 24 | 12 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ± 3.07 pp | 1,017 | Online | 0 |
| Leger | January 19, 2025 | [9] | 21 | 26 | 7 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.09 pp | 1,003 | Online | 11 |
| Leger | December 2, 2024 | [10] | 22 | 22 | 15 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 2 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,002 | Online | 13 |
| Leger | November 11, 2024 | [11] | 22 | 24 | 13 | 35 | 3 | 3 | 0 | ± 3.08 pp | 1,010 | Online | 11 |
| Leger | October 6, 2024 | [12] | 27 | 22 | 11 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ± 3.04 pp | 1,041 | Online | 8 |
| Leger | August 25, 2024 | [13] | 27 | 23 | 14 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | ± 3.04 pp | 1,041 | Online | 2 |
| Leger | June 3, 2024 | [14] | 26 | 26 | 11 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ± 3.08 pp | 1,015 | Online | 5 |
| Leger | April 21, 2024 | [15] | 26 | 24 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,026 | Online | 9 |
| Pallas Data | April 8, 2024 | [16] | 25.3 | 26.2 | 9.9 | 28.6 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | ± 2 pp | 700 | IVR | 2.4 |
| Leger | March 18, 2024 | [17] | 27 | 23 | 14 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,033 | Online | 3 |
| Leger | February 6, 2024 | [18] | 28 | 24 | 14 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,032 | Online | 1 |
| Leger | December 4, 2023 | [19] | 28 | 25 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ± 3.04 pp | 846 | Online | 3 |
| Pallas Data | September 27, 2023 | [20] | 34 | 25 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 2.96 pp | 1,095 | IVR | 6 |
| Leger | September 25, 2023 | [21] | 29 | 23 | 13 | 29 | 2 | 1 | N/a | ± 3.0 pp | 1,046 | Online | 0 |
| Leger | February 26, 2023 | [22] | 33 | 15 | 13 | 31 | 4 | 2 | N/a | ± 3.0 pp | 1,044 | Online | 2 |
| Leger | November 6, 2022 | [23] | 34 | 18 | 12 | 30 | 2 | 2 | N/a | ± 3.1 pp | 1,028 | Online | 4 |
Predictions
Summary
Results
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Vote +/- | Seats | Seat +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 1,897,526 | 9.0pp |
44 / 78 (56%) |
11 | ||
| Bloc Québécois | 1,232,853 | 4.4pp |
22 / 78 (28%) |
11 | ||
| Conservative | 1,038,315 | 4.7pp |
11 / 78 (14%) |
2 | ||
| New Democratic | 200,393 | 5.3pp |
1 / 78 (1%) |
0 | ||
| Green | 40,909 | 0.6pp |
0 / 78 (0%) |
0 | ||
| People's | 35,237 | 1.9pp |
0 / 78 (0%) |
0 | ||
| Independent | 4,196 | 0.1pp |
0 / 78 (0%) |
1 | ||
| Other | 8,818 | 1.2pp |
0 / 78 (0%) |
0 | ||
| Total | 4,457,743 | – | 78 / 78 (100%) |
1 [e] | ||
Seat apportionment diagram: | ||||||
Comparison with national results
| Party | Popular vote % | Seats in caucus | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QC | Natl. avg. | diff. | |||
| Liberal | 42.6 | 43.8 | -1.2 | 44 / 169 (26%) | |
| Bloc Québécois | 27.7 | 6.3 | +21.4 | 22 / 22 (100%) | |
| Conservative | 23.3 | 41.3 | -18.0 | 11 / 144 (8%) | |
| New Democratic | 4.5 | 6.3 | -1.8 | 1 / 7 (14%) | |
| Green | 0.9 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 0 / 1 (0%) | |
| People's | 0.8 | 0.7 | +0.1 | no caucus | |
| Total | – | – | – | 78 / 343 (23%) | |
Student vote results
Student votes are mock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. These are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results.[24]
| Party | Leader | Seats | Popular vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elected | % | Δ | Votes | % | Δ (pp) | |||
| Liberal | Mark Carney | 47 | 60.23 | 7 | 38,819 | 38.90 | 7.71 | |
| Bloc Québécois | Yves-François Blanchet | 18 | 23.08 | 3 | 20,298 | 20.34 | 1.25 | |
| Conservative | Pierre Poilievre | 11 | 14.10 | 2 | 19,738 | 19.78 | 6.68 | |
| New Democratic | Jagmeet Singh | 2 | 2.56 | 5 | 11,814 | 11.84 | 9.47 | |
| Green | Elizabeth May & Jonathan Pedneault | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4,147 | 4.16 | 2.84 | |
| People's | Maxime Bernier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,588 | 2.59 | 0.41 | |
| Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,384 | 2.39 | 2.61 | ||
| Total | 78 | 100.00 | 0 | 99,788 | 100.00 | – | ||
| Source: Student Vote Canada[25] | ||||||||
See also
Notes
- The Supreme Court of Canada overturned the results in Terrebonne in February 2026, with the 2026 Terrebonne federal by-election being called[3]
- In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
- Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
- "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
- 1 seat was vacant at the dissolution of Parliament.