Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2025 Canadian federal election leading up to the 46th Canadian federal election.
National polls
Pre-campaign period
Graphical summary
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Table of polls
| Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] | Link | LPC | CPC | BQ | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others[b] | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | May 15, 2026 | [1] | 42.3 | 32.7 | 5.8 | 12.0 | 4.4 | 1.9 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,035 | Telephone | 9.6 |
| Nanos Research | May 8, 2026 | [2] | 45.5 | 33.4 | 5.3 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 2.0 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,036 | Telephone | 12.1 |
| Research Co. | May 8, 2026 | [3] | 46 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,003 | Online | 15 |
| Abacus Data | May 5, 2026 | [4] | 46 | 36 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±2.0 pp | 2,478 | Online | 10 |
| Liaison Strategies | May 2, 2026 | [5] | 45 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 12 |
| Nanos Research | May 1, 2026 | [6] | 44.8 | 32.0 | 5.6 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 1.4 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,027 | Telephone | 12.8 |
| Léger | April 26, 2026 | [7] | 48 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 2 | N/a | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,521 | Online | 11 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 25, 2026 | [8] | 45 | 34 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 11 |
| Ekos | April 24, 2026 | 44.5 | 31 | 5.8 | 12.5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 1,916 | IVR | 13.5 | |
| Nanos Research | April 24, 2026 | [9] | 44.6 | 32.0 | 5.4 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,024 | Telephone | 12.6 |
| Abacus Data | April 22, 2026 | [10] | 45 | 36 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | Online | 9 |
| Angus Reid | April 20, 2026 | [11] | 42 | 35 | 7 | 12 | 2 | - | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,013 | Online | 7 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 18, 2026 | [12] | 45 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 12 |
| Nanos Research | April 17, 2026 | [13] | 45.8 | 31.5 | 5.3 | 11.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,022 (1/4) | Telephone | 14.3 |
| By-elections in Scarborough Southwest, University—Rosedale and Terrebonne result in three Liberal holds and a Liberal majority government. | |||||||||||||
| Liaison Strategies | April 11, 2026 | [14] | 43 | 33 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 10 |
| Nanos Research | April 10, 2026 | [15] | 45.3 | 32.0 | 5.4 | 12.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,027 (1/4) | Telephone | 13.3 |
| Spark Insights | April 8, 2026 | [16] | 46 | 32 | 6 | 9 | N/a | N/a | 8 | N/a | 4,026 | Online | 14 |
| Abacus Data | April 8, 2026 | [17] | 44 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±2.39 pp | 1,680 | Online | 6 |
| Ipsos | April 7, 2026 | [18] | 45 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 1,000 | Online | 12 |
| Liaison Strategies | April 4, 2026 | [19] | 44 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 11 |
| Nanos Research | April 3, 2026 | [20] | 45.7 | 30.5 | 5.6 | 12.5 | 4.2 | 1.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,025 (1/4) | Telephone | 15.2 |
| Léger | March 30, 2026 | [21] | 48 | 34 | 7 | 6 | 3 | N/a | 1 | ±2.44 pp | 1,618 | Online | 14 |
| Avi Lewis is elected as leader of the New Democratic Party. | |||||||||||||
| Liaison Strategies | March 28, 2026 | [22] | 45 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 12 |
| Nanos Research | March 27, 2026 | [23] | 46.5 | 32.2 | 5.1 | 11.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,029 (1/4) | Telephone | 14.3 |
| Spark Insights | March 26, 2026 | [24] | 46 | 30 | 5 | 11 | N/a | N/a | 8 | N/a | 4,000 | Online | 16 |
| Abacus Data | March 24, 2026 | [25] | 44 | 37 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±2.51 pp | 1,515 | Online | 7 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 21, 2026 | [26] | 46 | 32 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 14 |
| Nanos Research | March 20, 2026 | [27] | 45.7 | 32.9 | 4.8 | 11.5 | 3.7 | 0.8 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,024 (1/4) | Telephone | 12.8 |
| Angus Reid | March 17, 2026 | [28] | 44 | 36 | 7 | 9 | 2 | N/a | 1 | ±1.5 pp | 4,005 | Online | 8 |
| Ekos | March 15, 2026 | [29] | 47.5 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 15.1 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | ±3.0 pp | 1,047 | Online | 20.5 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 14, 2026 | [30] | 45 | 31 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 14 |
| Nanos Research | March 13, 2026 | [31] | 47.8 | 31.1 | 4.5 | 11.2 | 4.0 | 1.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,015 (1/4) | Telephone | 16.7 |
| Abacus Data | March 11, 2026 | [32] | 46 | 35 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±2.2 pp | 1,931 | Online | 11 |
| Liaison Strategies | March 7, 2026 | [33] | 44 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 14 |
| Spark Insights | March 6, 2026 | [34] | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | N/a | N/a | 8 | N/a | 3,055 | Online | 15 |
| Nanos Research | March 6, 2026 | [35] | 46.0 | 32.5 | 5.2 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 0.7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,023 (1/4) | Telephone | 13.5 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 2, 2026 | [36] | 46 | 36 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | ±2.7 pp | 1,276 | IVR | 10 |
| Léger | March 2, 2026 | [37] | 49 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 3 | N/a | 2 | ±2.43 pp | 1,627 | Online | 14 |
| Liaison Strategies | February 28, 2026 | [38] | 43 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 10 |
| Nanos Research | February 27, 2026 | [39] | 43.6 | 33.2 | 5.1 | 11.4 | 4.9 | 0.7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,015 (1/4) | Telephone | 10.4 |
| Ipsos | February 26, 2026 | [40] | 44 | 36 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | Online | 8 |
| Pollara | February 24, 2026 | [41] | 47 | 34 | 7 | 9 | N/a | N/a | 3 | ±2.0 pp | 2,410 | Online | 13 |
| Abacus Data | February 23, 2026 | [42] | 44 | 38 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 | Online | 6 |
| Angus Reid | February 23, 2026 | [43] | 45 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 4 | N/a | 2 | ±2 pp | 1,650 | Online | 13 |
| Liaison Strategies | February 21, 2026 | [44] | 45 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 12 |
| Nanos Research | February 20, 2026 | [45] | 41.3 | 33.7 | 7.6 | 10.6 | 4.9 | 0.9 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,021 (1/4) | Telephone | 7.6 |
| Innovative Research | February 17, 2026 | [46] | 44 | 37 | 6 | 8 | 3 | N/a | 3 | N/a | 1,838 | Online | 7 |
| Liaison Strategies | February 14, 2026 | [47] | 43 | 34 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 9 |
| Nanos Research | February 13, 2026 | [48] | 38.1 | 36.5 | 8.3 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 0.7 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,018 (1/4) | Telephone | 1.6 |
| Abacus Data | February 10, 2026 | [49] | 44 | 37 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±2.0 pp | 1,915 | Online | 7 |
| Liaison Strategies | February 7, 2026 | [50] | 42 | 35 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 7 |
| Nanos Research | February 6, 2026 | [51] | 39.1 | 35.2 | 8.8 | 12.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,049 (1/4) | Telephone | 3.9 |
| Research Co. | February 5, 2026 | [52] | 45 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,001 | Online | 13 |
| Innovative Research | February 2, 2026 | [53] | 40 | 38 | 7 | 10 | 3 | N/a | 2 | N/a | 1,666 | Online | 2 |
| Mainstreet Research | February 2, 2026 | [54] | 51 | 35.5 | 5.5 | 4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,276 | IVR | 15.5 |
| Liaison Strategies | January 31, 2026 | [55] | 43 | 35 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 8 |
| Ekos | January 30, 2026 | [56] | 44.4 | 29.5 | 5.3 | 13.8 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | ±2.6 pp | 1,453 | Online | 14.9 |
| Nanos Research | January 30, 2026 | [57] | 38.9 | 35.2 | 9.2 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,055 (1/4) | Telephone | 3.7 |
| Abacus Data | January 27, 2026 | [58] | 43 | 39 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,498 | Online | 4 |
| Léger | January 26, 2026 | [59] | 47 | 38 | 6 | 5 | 2 | N/a | 1 | ±2.44 pp | 1,611 | Online | 9 |
| Angus Reid | January 26, 2026 | [60] | 41 | 38 | 7 | 10 | 2 | N/a | 2 | ±2.6 pp | 1,420 | Online | 3 |
| Liaison Strategies | January 24, 2026 | [61] | 42 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 8 |
| Nanos Research | January 23, 2026 | [62] | 39.2 | 35.2 | 8.0 | 11.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,053 (1/4) | Telephone | 4.0 |
| Liaison Strategies | January 17, 2026 | [63] | 40 | 35 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 5 |
| Abacus Data | January 16, 2026 | [64] | 41 | 39 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,008 | Online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | January 16, 2026 | [65] | 38.8 | 34.8 | 7.7 | 11.5 | 4.6 | 2.4 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,084 (1/4) | Telephone | 4.0 |
| Abacus Data | January 14, 2026 | [66] | 40 | 40 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±2.28 pp | 1,850 | Online | Tie |
| Pallas Data | January 12, 2026 | [67] | 40 | 37 | 7 | 11 | 3 | N/a | 2 | ±2.9 pp | 1,120 | IVR | 3 |
| Liaison Strategies | January 10, 2026 | [68] | 39 | 36 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ±3.09 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 3 |
| Nanos Research | January 9, 2026 | [69] | 38.8 | 35.5 | 7.6 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,054 (1/4) | Telephone | 3.3 |
| Liaison Strategies | January 3, 2026 | [70] | 38 | 37 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ±3.09 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 1 |
| Nanos Research | January 2, 2026 | [71] | 37.7 | 35.5 | 7.6 | 11.7 | 3.9 | 1.9 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,059 (1/4) | Telephone | 2.2 |
| Liaison Strategies | December 28, 2025 | [72] | 39 | 37 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±3.09 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 2 |
| Nanos Research | December 26, 2025 | [73] | 38.4 | 34.7 | 7.4 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.7 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,054 | Telephone | 3.7 |
| Liaison Strategies | December 21, 2025 | [74] | 38 | 38 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±3.09 pp | 1,000 | IVR | Tie |
| Nanos Research | December 19, 2025 | [75] | 36.3 | 35.6 | 7.1 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 1.8 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,059 (1/4) | Telephone | 0.7 |
| Pallas Data | December 15, 2025 | [76] | 40.9 | 37.7 | 8.2 | 7.9 | 3.6 | N/a | 1.7 | ±3 pp | 1,074 | IVR | 3.2 |
| Ipsos | December 15, 2025 | [77] | 40 | 37 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,502 | Online | 3 | |
| Innovative Research | December 14, 2025 | [78] | 39 | 39 | 7 | 10 | 4 | N/a | 2 | N/a | 2,159 | Online | Tie |
| Mainstreet Research | December 12, 2025 | [79] | 41 | 42 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ±3.0 pp | 1,098 | IVR | 1 |
| Nanos Research | December 12, 2025 | [80] | 38.5 | 36.0 | 6.7 | 10.8 | 3.7 | 1.9 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,084 (1/4) | Telephone | 2.5 |
| Abacus Data | December 9, 2025 | [81] | 41 | 41 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ±2.53 pp | 1,500 | Online | Tie |
| Nanos Research | December 5, 2025 | [82] | 39.1 | 37.8 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 1.8 | N/a | ±3.0 pp | 1,042 | Telephone | 1.3 |
| Innovative Research | December 1, 2025 | [83] | 39 | 38 | 8 | 9 | 4 | N/a | 2 | N/a | 1,846 | Online | 1 |
| Abacus Data | December 1, 2025 | [84] | 41 | 41 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2.3 pp | 1,802 | Online | Tie |
| Angus Reid | December 1, 2025 | [85] | 40 | 37 | 9 | 10 | 3 | N/a | N/a | ±1.5 pp | 4,025 | Online | 3 |
| Léger | November 30, 2025 | [86] | 43 | 36 | 9 | 8 | 4 | N/a | 1 | ±2.47 pp | 1,579 | Online | 7 |
| Liaison Strategies | November 30, 2025 | [87] | 41 | 36 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±3.09 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 5 |
| Nanos Research | November 28, 2025 | [88] | 41.9 | 38.2 | 7.3 | 8.4 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | ±3.0 pp | 1,084 (1/4) | Telephone | 3.7 |
| Abacus Data | November 27, 2025 | [89] | 41 | 40 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,421 | Online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | November 21, 2025 | [90] | 41.9 | 37.2 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | ±3.0 pp | 1,053 (1/4) | Telephone | 4.7 |
| Kolosowski Strategies | November 18, 2025 | [91] | 44 | 44 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ±3.2 pp | 890 | Online | Tie |
| Nanos Research | November 14, 2025 | [92] | 40.2 | 38.2 | 7.4 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | ±3.0 pp | 1,060 (1/4) | Telephone | 2.0 |
| Ekos | November 11, 2025 | [93] | 44.1 | 33.2 | 5.4 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,191 | IVR | 10.9 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 8, 2025 | [94] | 44 | 40 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ±3.0 pp | 1,084 | IVR | 4 |
| Liaison Strategies | November 8, 2025 | [95] | 44 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±3.09 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 8 |
| Angus Reid | November 7, 2025 | [96] | 40 | 38 | 8 | 9 | 3 | N/a | N/a | ±1.5 pp | 2,038 | Online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | November 7, 2025 | [97] | 40.0 | 36.8 | 7.5 | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | ±2.9 pp | 1,122 (1/4) | Telephone | 3.2 |
| Abacus Data | November 6, 2025 | [98] | 40 | 41 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ±2.23 pp | 1,916 | Online | 1 |
| Ekos | November 4, 2025 | [99] | 43.4 | 35.5 | 5.8 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | ±2.8 pp | 1,199 | IVR | 7.9 |
| Liaison Strategies | November 4, 2025 | [100] | 42 | 38 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 4 |
| Léger | November 3, 2025 | [101] | 43 | 38 | 7 | 7 | 4 | N/a | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,585 | Online | 5 |
| Nanos Research | October 31, 2025 | [102] | 39.3 | 37.1 | 6.6 | 12.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0 | ±3.0 pp | 924 (1/4) | Telephone | 2.2 |
| Abacus Data | October 29, 2025 | [103] | 40 | 42 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±1.8 pp | 2,922 | Online | 2 |
| Nanos Research | October 24, 2025 | [104] | 39.4 | 37.0 | 7.0 | 12.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0 | ±3.0 pp | 1,060 (1/4) | Telephone | 2.4 |
| Ekos | October 24, 2025 | [105] | 43.5 | 32.4 | 5.7 | 12.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | ±2.8 pp | 1,199 | Online | 11.1 |
| Nanos Research | October 17, 2025 | [106] | 39.3 | 36.6 | 6.8 | 12.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,021 (1/4) | Telephone | 2.7 |
| Abacus Data | October 15, 2025 | [107] | 40 | 41 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±1.5 pp | 4,501 | Online | 1 |
| Pallas Data | October 15, 2025 | [108] | 41 | 37 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ±2.8 pp | 1,206 | Online | 4 |
| Nanos Research | October 10, 2025 | [109] | 38.5 | 36.8 | 6.5 | 12.2 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | ±3.1 pp | 1,002 (1/4) | Telephone | 1.7 |
| Léger | October 5, 2025 | [110] | 44 | 38 | 7 | 6 | 3 | N/a | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,562 | Online | 6 |
| Nanos Research | October 3, 2025 | [111] | 39.1 | 37.9 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | ±3.1 pp | 1,027 (1/4) | Telephone | 1.2 |
| Abacus Data | October 1, 2025 | [112] | 40 | 41 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,504 | Online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | September 26, 2025 | [113] | 40.7 | 36.6 | 4.8 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,030 (1/4) | Telephone | 4.1 |
| Angus Reid | September 22, 2025 | [114] | 38 | 41 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2 pp | 1,570 | Online | 3 |
| Liaison Strategies | September 21, 2025 | [115] | 43 | 37 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 6 |
| Nanos Research | September 19, 2025 | [116] | 40.6 | 35.7 | 5.5 | 11.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | ±3.0 pp | 1,056 (1/4) | Telephone | 4.9 |
| Abacus Data | September 17, 2025 | [117] | 40 | 40 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,230 | Online | Tie |
| Research Co. | September 12, 2025 | [118] | 43 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,003 | Telephone | 5 |
| Nanos Research | September 12, 2025 | [119] | 41.8 | 34.5 | 5.5 | 12.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | ±3.0 pp | 1,049 (1/4) | Telephone | 7.3 |
| Ekos | September 12, 2025 | [120] | 42.0 | 34.0 | 5.2 | 12.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | ±2.4 pp | 1,614 | Online | 8.0 |
| Ipsos | September 8, 2025 | [121] | 43 | 39 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | Online | 4 |
| Léger | September 7, 2025 | [122] | 47 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 2 | N/a | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,592 | Online | 9 |
| Nanos Research | September 5, 2025 | [123] | 42.7 | 32.9 | 5.2 | 12.8 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ±3.1 pp | 1,002 (1/4) | Telephone | 9.8 |
| Angus Reid | September 4, 2025 | [124] | 38 | 40 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | ±1.5 pp | 3,656 | Online | 2 |
| Abacus Data | September 2, 2025 | [125] | 43 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | 3 |
| Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2025 | [126] | 42.3 | 40.4 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ±3.1 pp | 1,008 | IVR | 1.9 |
| Nanos Research | August 29, 2025 | [127] | 43.3 | 32.4 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | ±3.1 pp | 1,009 (1/4) | Telephone | 10.9 |
| Liaison Strategies | August 27, 2025 | [128] | 44 | 35 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 9 |
| Nanos Research | August 22, 2025 | [129] | 43.7 | 34.2 | 5.5 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ±3.0 pp | 1,045 (1/4) | Telephone | 9.5 |
| Elizabeth May announces her intention to resign as leader of the Green Party. | |||||||||||||
| Abacus Data | August 19, 2025 | [130] | 39 | 41 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | N/a | ±2.2 pp | 1,915 | Online | 2 |
| A federal by-election was held in Battle River—Crowfoot. Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre held the seat for the CPC. | |||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | August 15, 2025 | [131] | 44.4 | 32.4 | 4.9 | 11.6 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 0.7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,050 (1/4) | Telephone | 12.0 |
| Nanos Research | August 8, 2025 | [132] | 44.8 | 31.9 | 6.1 | 11.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.6 | ±3.0 pp | 1,094 (1/4) | Telephone | 12.9 |
| Liaison Strategies | August 8, 2025 | [133] | 44 | 35 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 9 |
| Abacus Data | August 7, 2025 | [134] | 43 | 40 | 6 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | N/a | ±2.4 pp | 1,686 | Online | 3 |
| Léger | August 4, 2025 | [135] | 46 | 36 | 7 | 6 | 3 | N/a | 1 | ±2.4 pp | 1,617 | Online | 10 |
| Pallas Data | August 1, 2025 | [136] | 43.2 | 37.6 | 6.3 | 7.5 | 2.2 | N/a | 3.2 | ±2.7 pp | 1,301 | IVR | 5.6 |
| Nanos Research | August 1, 2025 | [137] | 43.7 | 32.5 | 5.3 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | ±3.0 pp | 1,096 (1/4) | Telephone | 11.2 |
| Innovative Research | July 28, 2025 | [138] | 41 | 39 | 7 | 9 | 4 | N/a | 2 | N/a | 3,732 | Online | 2 |
| Liaison Strategies | July 25, 2025 | [133] | 43 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | N/a | N/a | IVR | 7 |
| Nanos Research | July 25, 2025 | [139] | 43.6 | 33.5 | 5.9 | 12.1 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,027 (1/4) | Telephone | 10.1 |
| Nanos Research | July 18, 2025 | [140] | 44.3 | 34.0 | 6.6 | 10.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,026 (1/4) | Telephone | 10.3 |
| Abacus Data | July 15, 2025 | [141] | 43 | 40 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 1,915 | Online | 3 |
| Ekos | July 14, 2025 | [142] | 43.2 | 30.5 | 5.5 | 13.0 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.0 | ±2.3 pp | 1,817 | Online | 12.7 |
| Nanos Research | July 11, 2025 | [143] | 44.5 | 33.8 | 5.9 | 11.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,047 (1/4) | Telephone | 10.7 |
| Léger | July 6, 2025 | [144] | 48 | 35 | 6 | 7 | 3 | N/a | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,546 | Online | 13 |
| Liaison Strategies | July 4, 2025 | [133] | 46 | 35 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | N/a | N/a | IVR | 11 |
| Nanos Research | July 4, 2025 | [145] | 45.1 | 32.6 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | ±3.0 pp | 1,056 (1/4) | Telephone | 12.5 |
| Research Co. | July 2, 2025 | [146] | 47 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,001 | Online | 10 |
| Abacus Data | July 2, 2025 | [147] | 41 | 40 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | 1 |
| Innovative Research | June 30, 2025 | [148] | 43 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 3 | N/a | 2 | N/a | 4,029 | Online | 5 |
| Nanos Research | June 27, 2025 | [149] | 44.5 | 31.4 | 5.9 | 12.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | ±3.0 pp | 1,076 (1/4) | Telephone | 13.1 |
| Mainstreet Research | June 26, 2025 | [150] | 47 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ±2.9 pp | 1,168 | IVR | 9 |
| Liaison Strategies | June 20, 2025 | [133] | 42 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | N/a | N/a | IVR | 4 |
| Nanos Research | June 20, 2025 | [151] | 45.2 | 30.8 | 6.1 | 12.2 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | ±3.0 pp | 1,090 (1/4) | Telephone | 14.4 |
| Abacus Data | June 19, 2025 | [152] | 42 | 39 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ±1.9 pp | 1,500 | Online | 3 |
| Nanos Research | June 13, 2025 | [153] | 44.2 | 32.2 | 6.3 | 11.4 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | ±3.0 pp | 1,080 (1/4) | Telephone | 12.0 |
| Liaison Strategies | June 6, 2025 | [133] | 42 | 39 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | N/a | N/a | IVR | 3 |
| Nanos Research | June 6, 2025 | [154] | 42.6 | 32.8 | 6.5 | 12.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | ±3.0 pp | 1,079 (1/4) | Telephone | 9.8 |
| Abacus Data | June 5, 2025 | [155] | 42 | 39 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±1.9 pp | 2,585 | Online | 3 |
| Ekos | June 4, 2025 | [156] | 43.9 | 32.0 | 5.2 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | ±2.5 pp | 1,529 | Online | 11.9 |
| Spark Insights | May 30, 2025 | [157] | 41 | 40 | 7 | 8 | N/a | N/a | 5 | N/a | 3,450 | Online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | May 30, 2025 | [158] | 41.7 | 36.4 | 6.5 | 10.5 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | ±3.0 pp | 1,079 (1/4) | Telephone | 5.3 |
| Liaison Strategies | May 23, 2025 | [133] | 44 | 39 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | N/a | N/a | IVR | 5 |
| Nanos Research | May 23, 2025 | [159] | 40.4 | 38.6 | 5.9 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | ±3.0 pp | 1,127 | Telephone | 1.8 |
| Innovative Research | May 22, 2025 | [160] | 42 | 39 | 6 | 8 | 3 | N/a | 2 | N/a | 2,517 | Online | 3 |
| Abacus Data | May 21, 2025 | [161] | 41 | 40 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ±2.1 pp | 2,273 | Online | 1 |
| Nanos Research | May 16, 2025 | [162] | 41.4 | 39.6 | 4.7 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | ±2.9 pp | 1,127 | Telephone | 1.8 |
| Liaison Strategies | May 9, 2025 | [133] | 45 | 40 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | N/a | N/a | IVR | 5 |
| Nanos Research | May 9, 2025 | [163] | 41.5 | 40.5 | 5.1 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | ±2.8 pp | 1,259 | Telephone | 1.0 |
| Don Davies is named interim leader of the New Democratic Party. | |||||||||||||
| Nanos Research | May 2, 2025 | [164] | 41.8 | 39.2 | 5.8 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | ±2.7 pp | 1,297 | Telephone | 2.6 |
| Jonathan Pedneault resigns as co-leader of the Green Party. | |||||||||||||
| Jagmeet Singh announces his intention to resign as leader of the New Democratic Party. | |||||||||||||
| 2025 election | April 28, 2025 | [165] | 43.8 | 41.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | N/a | 19,597,674 | N/a | 2.5 |
Voting intention with different Conservative leader
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | Hypothetical Conservative Leader | LPC | CPC | BQ | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abacus Data | November 8, 2025 | [166] | Melissa Lantsman | 40 | 23 | 8 | 9 | N/a | N/a | 3 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,244 | Online | 17 |
| Jamil Jivani | 37 | 24 | 8 | 8 | N/a | N/a | 3 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,330 | Online | 13 | |||
| Mark Mulroney | 36 | 27 | 7 | 9 | N/a | N/a | 3 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,328 | Online | 9 | |||
| Tim Houston | 37 | 27 | 8 | 9 | N/a | N/a | 4 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,328 | Online | 10 | |||
| Michelle Rempel Garner | 39 | 28 | 6 | 8 | N/a | N/a | 3 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,271 | Online | 11 | |||
| Caroline Mulroney | 36 | 29 | 8 | 9 | N/a | N/a | 3 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,291 | Online | 7 | |||
| Jason Kenney | 38 | 30 | 5 | 10 | N/a | N/a | 4 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,258 | Online | 8 | |||
| Doug Ford | 34 | 31 | 7 | 10 | N/a | N/a | 5 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,284 | Online | 3 | |||
| Stephen Harper | 39 | 34 | 6 | 7 | N/a | N/a | 1 | ± 1.8 pp | 1,310 | Online | 5 | |||
| 2025 election | April 28, 2025 | [167] | Pierre Poilievre | 43.8 | 41.8 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | N/a | 19,597,674 | N/a | 2.5 |
Regional polls
A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.
Central Canada
Quebec
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | BQ | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaison Strategies | April 27, 2026 | [168] | 42 | 21 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 20 |
| Léger | April 20, 2026 | [169] | 47 | 17 | 29 | 5 | 2 | N/a | 1 | ± 3.05 pp | 1,030 | Online | 18 |
| Léger | November 10, 2025 | [170] | 39 | 25 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | N/a | ± 3.1 pp | 1,031 | Online | 11 |
| Léger | September 15, 2025 | [171] | 42 | 21 | 30 | 4 | 3 | N/a | 1 | ± 3.02 pp | 1,053 | Online | 12 |
| Léger | August 18, 2025 | [172] | 43 | 22 | 28 | 5 | 2 | N/a | 0 | ± 3.1 pp | 977 | Online | 15 |
| Léger | June 22, 2025 | [173] | 44 | 23 | 25 | 5 | 3 | N/a | 0 | ± 3.0 pp | 1,056 | Online | 19 |
| 2025 election | April 28, 2025 | [167] | 42.6 | 23.3 | 27.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | N/a | 4,457,743 | N/a | 14.9 |
Ontario
Western Canada
Manitoba
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probe Research | March 13, 2026 | [175] | 46 | 39 | 8 | N/a | N/a | 5 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 7 |
| Probe Research | December 10, 2025 | [176] | 43 | 38 | 14 | N/a | N/a | 6 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | IVR | 5 |
| 2025 election | April 28, 2025 | [167] | 40.8 | 46.3 | 11.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | N/a | 639,282 | N/a | 5.5 |
Alberta
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research | April 22, 2026 | [177] | 40.3 | 45.8 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | ± 1.8 pp | 3,129 | IVR | 5.5 |
| Abacus Data | February 25, 2026 | [178] | 36 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | ± 3.1 pp | 1,000 | Online | 15 |
| Mainstreet Research | February 12, 2026 | [179] | 45 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ± 2.5 pp | 1,504 | IVR | 3 |
| Léger | May 25, 2025 | [180] | 35 | 54 | 5 | 3 | N/a | 4 | ± 3.0 pp | 925 | Online | 19 |
| 2025 election | April 28, 2025 | [167] | 27.9 | 63.5 | 6.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | N/a | 2,262,524 | N/a | 35.6 |
British Columbia
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research | April 13, 2026 | [181] | 51.2 | 32.2 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 3.2 | ± 2.8 pp | 1,275 | IVR | 19.0 |
| Mainstreet Research | March 13, 2026 | [182] | 46.7 | 34.1 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 4.3 | ± 3.0 pp | 1,054 | IVR | 12.6 |
| 2025 election | April 28, 2025 | [167] | 41.8 | 41.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | N/a | 2,638,307 | N/a | 0.8 |
Leadership polls
Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister.
Graphical summary
March 2026 – present
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Mark Carney | Pierre Poilievre | Yves-François Blanchet | Avi Lewis | Elizabeth May | Maxime Bernier | Unsure/ |
Margin of error[c] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | May 1, 2026 | [6] | 51.1 | 24.4 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 13 | ±3.1 pp | 26.7 |
| Nanos Research | April 24, 2026 | [9] | 49.8 | 25.6 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 12 | ±3.1 pp | 24.2 |
| Nanos Research | April 17, 2026 | [13] | 51.6 | 25.7 | 3.8 | 4.6[f] | 2.5 | 0.6 | 11 | ±3.1 pp | 25.9 |
| Nanos Research | April 10, 2026 | [15] | 52.1 | 24.5 | 3.4 | 4.0[f] | 1.7 | 0.6 | 14 | ±3.1 pp | 27.6 |
| Nanos Research | April 3, 2026 | [20] | 54.2 | 22.9 | 3.2 | 3.2[f] | 1.9 | 0.6 | 14 | ±3.1 pp | 31.3 |
May 2025 – March 2026
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Mark Carney | Pierre Poilievre | Yves-François Blanchet | Don Davies | Elizabeth May | Maxime Bernier | Unsure/ |
Margin of error[c] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | March 27, 2026 | [23] | 54.5 | 22.9 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 15 | ±3.1 pp | 31.6 |
| Nanos Research | March 20, 2026 | [27] | 54.5 | 22.4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 14 | ±3.1 pp | 32.1 |
| Nanos Research | March 13, 2026 | [31] | 56.5 | 22.0 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 12.4 | ±3.0 pp | 34.5 |
| Nanos Research | March 6, 2026 | [35] | 56.9 | 21.6 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 12.7 | ±3.0 pp | 35.3 |
| Nanos Research | February 27, 2026 | [39] | 56.0 | 22.2 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 12.4 | ±3.0 pp | 33.8 |
| Nanos Research | February 20, 2026 | [45] | 54.3 | 23.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 12.7 | ±3.0 pp | 31.2 |
| Nanos Research | February 13, 2026 | [48] | 53.0 | 24.2 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 13 | ±3.0 pp | 28.8 |
| Nanos Research | February 6, 2026 | [51] | 53.4 | 24.2 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 12 | ±3.0 pp | 29.2 |
| Research Co. | February 5, 2026 | [52] | 44 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | ±3.1 pp | 19 |
| Nanos Research | January 30, 2026 | [183] | 54.3 | 24.7 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 10 | ±3.0 pp | 29.6 |
| Nanos Research | January 27, 2026 | [184] | 52.8 | 24.8 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 11 | ±3.0 pp | 28.0 |
| Nanos Research | January 16, 2026 | [185] | 51.3 | 25.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 10.9 | ±3.0 pp | 26.0 |
| Nanos Research | January 9, 2026 | [186] | 48.8 | 27.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 12.0 | ±3.0 pp | 21.7 |
| Nanos Research | December 5, 2025 | [82] | 50.1 | 27.6 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 10.0 | ±3.0 pp | 22.5 |
| Léger | November 30, 2025 | [86] | 40 | 28 | N/a | 4 | 4 | N/a | 24 | ±2.47 pp | 12 |
| Nanos Research | November 28, 2025 | [88] | 53.3 | 25.2 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7.9 | ±3.0 pp | 28.1 |
| Nanos Research | November 21, 2025 | [90] | 52.6 | 25.9 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 8.9 | ±3.0 pp | 26.7 |
| Nanos Research | November 14, 2025 | [92] | 50.3 | 28.1 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 8.8 | ±3.0 pp | 22.2 |
| Nanos Research | November 7, 2025 | [97] | 51.1 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 8.1 | ±2.9 pp | 24.1 |
| Nanos Research | October 31, 2025 | [102] | 49.3 | 27.0 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 10.7 | ±3.0 pp | 22.3 |
| Nanos Research | October 24, 2025 | [104] | 49.4 | 27.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 10.9 | ±3.0 pp | 22.0 |
| Nanos Research | October 17, 2025 | [106] | 47.1 | 27.4 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 13.5 | ±3.1 pp | 19.7 |
| Nanos Research | October 10, 2025 | [109] | 46.3 | 27.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 15.0 | ±3.1 pp | 18.5 |
| Nanos Research | October 3, 2025 | [111] | 48.9 | 28.6 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 13.0 | ±3.1 pp | 20.3 |
| Nanos Research | September 26, 2025 | [113] | 49.6 | 28.5 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 12.6 | ±3.1 pp | 21.1 |
| Nanos Research | September 19, 2025 | [116] | 50.7 | 28.6 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 12.3 | ±3.0 pp | 22.1 |
| Research Co. | September 12, 2025 | [118] | 44 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | ±3.1 pp | 13 |
| Nanos Research | September 12, 2025 | [119] | 51.2 | 28.2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 12.5 | ±3.0 pp | 23.0 |
| Nanos Research | September 5, 2025 | [123] | 50.2 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 13.9 | ±3.1 pp | 22.2 |
| Nanos Research | August 29, 2025 | [127] | 51.3 | 27.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 14.2 | ±3.1 pp | 24.3 |
| Nanos Research | August 22, 2025 | [129] | 52.2 | 26.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 13.3 | ±3.0 pp | 25.7 |
| Nanos Research | August 15, 2025 | [131] | 51.5 | 24.4 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 14.3 | ±3.0 pp | 27.1 |
| Nanos Research | August 8, 2025 | [132] | 51.7 | 23.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 14.4 | ±3.0 pp | 28.0 |
| Nanos Research | August 1, 2025 | [137] | 50.6 | 22.9 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 15.5 | ±3.0 pp | 27.7 |
| Innovative Research | July 28, 2025 | [138] | 40 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20 | N/a | 11 |
| Nanos Research | July 25, 2025 | [139] | 49.3 | 23.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 17.4 | ±3.1 pp | 25.4 |
| Nanos Research | July 18, 2025 | [140] | 50.8 | 24.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 16.5 | ±3.1 pp | 26.3 |
| Nanos Research | July 11, 2025 | [143] | 52.1 | 25.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 15.1 | ±3.0 pp | 26.9 |
| Nanos Research | July 4, 2025 | [145] | 52.0 | 24.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 15.8 | ±3.0 pp | 27.5 |
| Research Co. | July 2, 2025 | [146] | 47 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | ±3.1 pp | 16 |
| Innovative Research | June 30, 2025 | [148] | 43 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | N/a | 13 |
| Nanos Research | June 27, 2025 | [150] | 52.7 | 22.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 15.9 | ±3.0 pp | 29.8 |
| Nanos Research | June 20, 2025 | [151] | 52.1 | 23.2 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 16.1 | ±3.0 pp | 28.9 |
| Nanos Research | June 13, 2025 | [153] | 49.7 | 24.2 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 16.8 | ±3.1 pp | 25.5 |
| Nanos Research | June 6, 2025 | [154] | 50.6 | 26.1 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 12.6 | ±3.0 pp | 24.5 |
| Nanos Research | May 30, 2025 | [158] | 47.4 | 28.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 13.0 | ±3.0 pp | 19.0 |
| Nanos Research | May 23, 2025 | [159] | 45.8 | 34.1 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 9.8 | ±3.0 pp | 11.7 |
| Innovative Research | May 22, 2025 | [160] | 43 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | N/a | 13 |
| Nanos Research | May 16, 2025 | [162] | 46.9 | 37.4 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4.9 | ±2.9 pp | 9.5 |
| Nanos Research | May 9, 2025 | [163] | 46.9 | 39.3 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4.9 | ±2.8 pp | 7.6 |
April 2025 – May 2025
| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Mark Carney | Pierre Poilievre | Yves-François Blanchet | Jagmeet Singh | Elizabeth May | Maxime Bernier | Unsure/ |
Margin of error[c] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | May 2, 2025 | [164] | 46.9 | 40.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 8.5 | ±2.7 pp | 6.2 |
Government approval polls
Graphical summary
.png)
Table of polls
| Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] | Link | Approve | Disapprove | Unsure/ |
Margin of error[c] | Sample size[d] | Polling method[e] | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abacus Data | May 5, 2026 | [4] | 57% | 28% | 15% | ±2.0 pp | 2,478 | Online | +29% |
| Léger | April 26, 2026 | [7] | 57% | 35% | 8% | ±2.51 pp | 1,521 | Online | +22% |
| Abacus Data | April 22, 2026 | [10] | 54% | 29% | 17% | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | Online | +25% |
| Spark Insights | April 8, 2026 | [16] | 65% | 35% | N/a | N/a | 4,026 | Online | +30% |
| Abacus Data | April 8, 2026 | [17] | 54% | 30% | 16% | ±2.39 pp | 1,680 | Online | +24% |
| Léger | March 30, 2026 | [21] | 58% | 33% | 9% | ±2.43 pp | 1,618 | Online | +25% |
| Spark Insights | March 26, 2026 | [24] | 68% | 32% | N/a | N/a | 4,000 | Online | +36% |
| Abacus Data | March 24, 2026 | [25] | 54% | 30% | 16% | ±2.51 pp | 1,515 | Online | +24% |
| Abacus Data | March 11, 2026 | [32] | 56% | 28% | 16% | ±2.2 pp | 1,931 | Online | +28% |
| Spark Insights | March 6, 2026 | [34] | 66% | 34% | N/a | N/a | 3,055 | Online | +32% |
| Léger | March 2, 2026 | [37] | 59% | 33% | 8% | ±2.43 pp | 1,627 | Online | +26% |
| Innovative Research | February 17, 2026 | [46] | 55% | 41% | 4% | N/a | 1,000 | Online | +14% |
| Abacus Data | February 10, 2026 | [49] | 51% | 29% | N/a | ±2.2 pp | 1,915 | Online | +22% |
| Abacus Data | January 27, 2026 | [58] | 54% | 31% | N/a | ±2.0 pp | 2,498 | Online | +23% |
| Léger | January 26, 2026 | [59] | 58% | 35% | 8% | ±2.44 pp | 1,611 | Online | +23% |
| Abacus Data | January 14, 2026 | [66] | 47% | 34% | N/a | ±2.3 pp | 1,850 | Online | +13% |
| Abacus Data | December 9, 2025 | [81] | 47% | 35% | N/a | ±1.53 pp | 1,500 | Online | +12% |
| Abacus Data | December 1, 2025 | [84] | 47% | 33% | N/a | ±2.3 pp | 1,802 | Online | +14% |
| Abacus Data | November 27, 2025 | [89] | 48% | 32% | N/a | ±2 pp | 2,421 | Online | +16% |
| Léger | November 30, 2025 | [86] | 49% | 40% | 11% | ±2.47 pp | 1,579 | Online | +9% |
| Abacus Data | November 6, 2025 | [98] | 44% | 34% | N/a | ±2.23 pp | 1,916 | Online | +10% |
| Léger | November 3, 2025 | [101] | 50% | 41% | 9% | ±2.5 pp | 1,585 | Online | +9% |
| Abacus Data | October 29, 2025 | [187] | 47% | 34% | N/a | ±1.8 pp | 2,922 | Online | +13% |
| Abacus Data | October 15, 2025 | [108] | 48% | 32% | N/a | ±1.5 pp | 4,501 | Online | +16% |
| Léger | October 5, 2025 | [110] | 46% | 42% | 12% | ±2.5 pp | 1,562 | Online | +4% |
| Abacus Data | October 1, 2025 | [112] | 46% | 31% | N/a | ±2.1 pp | 1,504 | Online | +15% |
| Abacus Data | September 17, 2025 | [117] | 50% | 30% | N/a | ±2.1 pp | 2,230 | Online | +20% |
| Ipsos | September 8, 2025 | [121] | 58% | 42% | N/a | ±3.8 pp | 1,001 | Online | +16% |
| Léger | September 7, 2025 | [122] | 51% | 38% | 11% | ±2.5 pp | 1,592 | Online | +13% |
| Abacus Data | September 2, 2025 | [125] | 48% | 30% | N/a | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | +18% |
| Abacus Data | August 19, 2025 | [130] | 49% | 30% | N/a | ±2.2 pp | 1,915 | Online | +19% |
| Abacus Data | August 7, 2025 | [134] | 50% | 27% | N/a | ±2.4 pp | 1,686 | Online | +23% |
| Léger | August 4, 2025 | [135] | 54% | 34% | 12% | ±2.4 pp | 1,617 | Online | +20% |
| Innovative Research | July 28, 2025 | [138] | 54% | 40% | 7% | N/a | 3,732 | Online | +14% |
| Abacus Data | July 15, 2025 | [141] | 52% | 27% | N/a | ±2.2 pp | 1,915 | Online | +25% |
| Léger | July 6, 2025 | [144] | 55% | 33% | 13% | ±2.5 pp | 1,546 | Online | +22% |
| Abacus Data | July 2, 2025 | [147] | 52% | 25% | N/a | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | +27% |
| Innovative Research | June 30, 2025 | [148] | 52% | 42% | 6% | N/a | 4,029 | Online | +10% |
| Abacus Data | June 19, 2025 | [152] | 52% | 25% | N/a | ±1.9 pp | 1,500 | Online | +27% |
| Spark Insights | June 9, 2025 | [188] | 67% | 33% | N/a | N/a | 2,500 | Online | +34% |
| Abacus Data | June 5, 2025 | [155] | 53% | 23% | N/a | ±1.9 pp | 2,585 | Online | +30% |
| Spark Insights | May 30, 2025 | [157] | 64% | 36% | N/a | N/a | 3,450 | Online | +28% |
| Innovative Research | May 22, 2025 | [160] | 49% | 43% | 8% | N/a | 2,517 | Online | +6% |
| Abacus Data | May 21, 2025 | [161] | 50% | 24% | N/a | ±2.1 pp | 2,273 | Online | +26% |
See also
Notes
- Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest 37 (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were published (earliest below, latest above).
- Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
- In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
- Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
- "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated interactive voice response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
- Davies & Lewis