2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of its congressional districts. Primary elections were held in six districts on August 11. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and other state and local elections.
November 3, 2020
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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Due to changing political alignments, the Republican Party flipped the 7th district, which was held by 15-term incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson. This marked the first time since the 1944 election that Republicans won every district in Minnesota outside the Twin Cities metropolitan area, after Democrats had done the same just four years prior. This subsequently erased the slim Democratic majority in the state congressional delegation and gave both political parties a tied 4–4 delegation.[1]
Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic-Farmer-Labor | 8 | 1,554,373 | 48.67 | 4 | 50.00 | ||
| Republican | 8 | 1,474,820 | 46.18 | 4 | 50.00 | ||
| Legal Marijuana Now | 3 | 80,440 | 2.52 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Grassroots—LC | 4 | 79,674 | 2.49 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Write-in | 8 | 4,502 | 0.14 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Total | 26 | 3,193,809 | 100.0 | 8 | 100.0 | ||
By district
Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 167,890 | 45.52% | 179,234 | 48.59% | 21,732 | 5.89% | 368,856 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 204,534 | 48.18% | 194,954 | 45.92% | 25,024 | 5.89% | 424,512 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 3 | 246,666 | 55.60% | 196,625 | 44.32% | 312 | 0.07% | 443,603 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 245,813 | 63.17% | 112,730 | 28.97% | 30,571 | 7.86% | 389,114 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 255,924 | 64.27% | 102,878 | 25.83% | 39,427 | 9.90% | 398,229 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 140,853 | 34.16% | 270,901 | 65.70% | 553 | 0.13% | 412,307 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 144,840 | 39.85% | 194,066 | 53.39% | 24,571 | 6.76% | 363,477 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 8 | 147,853 | 37.55% | 223,432 | 56.75% | 22,426 | 5.70% | 393,711 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 1,554,373 | 48.67% | 1,474,820 | 46.18% | 164,616 | 5.15% | 3,193,809 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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Hagedorn: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Feehan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district stretches across southern Minnesota from its borders with South Dakota to Wisconsin, and includes the cities of Rochester, Mankato, Winona, Austin, Owatonna, Albert Lea, New Ulm, and Worthington. The incumbent was Republican Jim Hagedorn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Hagedorn, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Feehan, U.S. Army veteran, former U.S. Department of Defense official, and nominee for Minnesota's 1st congressional district in 2018[3]
Withdrawn
Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Rood[6]
General election
Endorsements
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[7]
U.S. representatives
- Gil Cisneros, U.S. representative (CA-39)[8]
- Jason Crow, U.S. representative (CO-06)[8]
- Chrissy Houlahan, U.S. representative (PA-06)[8]
- Elaine Luria, U.S. representative (VA-02)[8]
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative (MA-06)[8]
- Collin Peterson, U.S. representative (MN-07)[9]
- Max Rose, U.S. representative (NY-11)[8]
- Mikie Sherrill, U.S. representative (NJ-11)[8]
- Elissa Slotkin, U.S. representative (MI-08)[8]
- Abigail Spanberger, U.S. representative (VA-07)[8]
Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[10]
- Education Minnesota[11]
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 512[10]
- International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers Local 77[10]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 343[10]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 320[10]
- Minnesota AFL–CIO[12]
- Minnesota Professional Fire Fighters[10]
- Operative Plasterers' and Cement Masons' International Association Local 633[10]
- SMART Local 10[10]
- United Association Local 6[10]
- United Steelworkers Local 11[10]
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jim Hagedorn (R) |
Dan Feehan (DFL) |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[20][A] | September 10–11, 2020 | 885 (V) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 41% | 18%[b] |
| RMG Research[21] | July 31 – August 7, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 38% | 22%[c] |
| Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[22][d][B] | July 19–23, 2020 | 511 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 6%[e] |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[23][C] | June 9–13, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 2% | 43% | 15% |
| Harper Polling (R)[24][D] | March 10–12, 2020 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 33% | 18% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Tossup | October 21, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Tilt D (flip) | October 29, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Tossup | October 11, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Lean R | July 21, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Lean R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Lean R | July 26, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Hagedorn (incumbent) | 179,234 | 48.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Dan Feehan | 167,890 | 45.5 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Bill Rood | 21,448 | 5.8 | |
| Write-in | 284 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 368,856 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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Precinct results Craig: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Kistner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in the south Twin Cities area. The incumbent was Democrat Angie Craig, who defeated incumbent Republican Jason Lewis with 52.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Angie Craig, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tyler Kistner, former Marine[33][34]
Withdrawn
- Regina Barr, former state representative
- Erika Cashin, U.S. Air Force veteran
- Edward Moritz
- Rick Olson, former Michigan state representative
- Phillip Parrish, U.S. Naval intelligence officer
- Kerry Zeiler
Declined
- John Howe, former state senator and nominee for Minnesota Secretary of State in 2018[35]
- Jason Lewis, former U.S. representative (running for U.S. Senate)[36]
- Eric Pratt, state senator (running for re-election to the MN Senate) [37]
- Doug Wardlow, former state representative and nominee for Minnesota Attorney General in 2018[38]
Endorsements
Organizations
General election
Campaign
After Legal Marijuana Now Party candidate Adam Charles Weeks died on September 21, 2020, Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon announced that the votes in the November election would not be counted and that a special election would take place on February 9, 2021, due to an obscure state law which said that if a major-party candidate died within 79 days of an election, the election must be postponed.[40][41] Craig challenged the law in court, arguing that Minnesota did not have the authority to delay a federal election; the judge agreed, ordering that the election be held on November 3 as originally planned.[42] Although Republicans appealed the decision, it stood after the United States Supreme Court refused to hear the appeal.[43]
A month after Weeks's death, and a week before the November 3 election, a friend of Weeks publicized a voicemail recording in which Weeks says that Republican donors offered him $15,000 to mount a campaign in order to siphon votes away from Craig. Jeff Schuette, Minnesota Republican Party chair for the Second District, denied involvement in the offer to fund Weeks's campaign.[43]
Endorsements
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[7]
State officials
Organizations
Forum
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Angie Craig | Tyler Kistner | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 8, 2020 | Dakota County Regional Chamber of Commerce Eagan Television |
Maureen Scallon Failor | [47] | P | P |
Polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling (R)[49][F] | July 6–8, 2020 | 401 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | – |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Likely D | October 21, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Likely D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Lean D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Likely D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Angie Craig (incumbent) | 204,534 | 48.2 | |
| Republican | Tyler Kistner | 194,954 | 45.9 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Adam Weeks † | 24,751 | 5.8 | |
| Write-in | 273 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 424,512 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
District 3
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Precinct results Phillips: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Qualls: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district encompasses the western suburbs of the Twin Cities, including Brooklyn Park, Coon Rapids to the northeast, Bloomington to the south, and Eden Prairie, Edina, Maple Grove, Plymouth, Minnetonka, and Wayzata to the west. The incumbent was Democrat Dean Phillips, who defeated incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen with 55.6% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dean Phillips, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Cole Young[50]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips (incumbent) | 73,011 | 90.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Cole Young | 7,443 | 9.3 | |
| Total votes | 80,454 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kendall Qualls, businessman[52]
Eliminated in primary
- Leslie Davis[53]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kendall Qualls | 25,405 | 75.9 | |
| Republican | Leslie Davis | 8,060 | 24.1 | |
| Total votes | 33,465 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe D | July 17, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe D | October 24, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips (incumbent) | 246,666 | 55.6 | |
| Republican | Kendall Qualls | 196,625 | 44.3 | |
| Write-in | 312 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 443,603 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
District 4
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Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rechtzigel: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district encompasses the Saint Paul half of the Twin Cities metro area, including Ramsey County and parts of Washington County. The incumbent was Democrat Betty McCollum, who was reelected with 66.0% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Betty McCollum, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 80,048 | 84.0 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Alberder Gillespie | 6,327 | 6.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Tiffini Flynd Forslund | 4,312 | 4.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | David Sandbeck | 3,425 | 3.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Reid Rossell | 1,154 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 95,266 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gene Rechtzigel, farmer[56]
Eliminated in primary
- Sia Lo, former deputy city attorney[57]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gene Rechtzigel | 9,182 | 50.9 | |
| Republican | Sia Lo | 8,866 | 49.1 | |
| Total votes | 18,048 | 100.0 | ||
Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary
Candidates
Nominee
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots—LC | Susan Sindt | 618 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 618 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 245,813 | 63.2 | |
| Republican | Gene Rechtzigel | 112,730 | 29.0 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Susan Sindt | 29,537 | 7.6 | |
| Write-in | 1,034 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 389,114 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
District 5
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Precinct results Omar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Johnson: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district encompasses eastern Hennepin County, including all of Minneapolis and the cities of St. Louis Park, Richfield, Crystal, Robbinsdale, Golden Valley, New Hope, and Fridley. The incumbent was Democrat Ilhan Omar, who was elected with 78.0% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
Omar defeated Melton-Meaux in the primary by a significant margin, a win which was seen as unsurprising, as the 5th has a reputation as being a strong base of progressivism.[58]
Candidates
Nominee
- Ilhan Omar, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Les Lester, author and teacher[59]
- John Mason, activist[60]
- Daniel Patrick McCarthy[61]
- Antone Melton-Meaux, attorney[62]
Withdrawn
- Leila Shukri Adan (endorsed Melton-Meaux) [63]
- Ervan Katari Miller[64]
- Haji Yussuf[65] (endorsed Omar)[66]
Endorsements
Federal officials
- Andrew M. Luger, former U.S. Attorney for the District of Minnesota (2014–2017)[67]
State officials
- Dick Cohen, state senator and former state representative (1977–1979, 1983–1987)[68]
- Edwina Garcia, former state representative (1991–1998)[69]
- Ron Latz, state senator and former state representative[70]
- Jared Polis, governor of Colorado[71]
Party officials
- Mike Erlandson, former chair of the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (1999–2005)[72]
Individuals
- Nekima Levy Armstrong, lawyer and former president of the Minneapolis NAACP[73]
- Robert Bruininks, former University of Minnesota president[74]
- Bill George, Harvard Business School professor and CEO of Medtronic[73]
- Jonathan D. Gray, Blackstone Group COO and president and Hilton Worldwide chairman[67]
- Josie R. Johnson, community organizer and activist[73]
- Eric Kaler, chemical engineer and University of Minnesota professor and ex-president[74]
- Seth Klarman, billionaire investor and hedge fund manager[67]
- Marilyn Carlson Nelson, co-owner and former CEO of Carlson[67]
Newspapers and media
U.S. senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont, 2016 and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[76]
- Tina Smith, U.S. senator from Minnesota and former lieutenant governor (2015–2018)[77]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[78]
U.S. representatives
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. representative from WA-7 and co-chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus[79]
- Barbara Lee, U.S. representative (CA-13)[80]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. representative (NY-14)[81]
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. representative (CA-12) and House Speaker[80]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. representative from WI-2 and Co-Chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus[79]
- Ayanna Pressley, U.S. representative (MA-07)[81]
- Rashida Tlaib, U.S. representative (MI-13)[81]
State officials
- Keith Ellison, attorney general and former U.S. representative from MN-5[82]
- Peggy Flanagan, lieutenant governor[83]
- Melissa Hortman, Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives and state representative[84]
- Carolyn Laine, state senator and former state representative (2007–2017)[85]
- Jamie Long, state representative[86]
- Tim Walz, governor of Minnesota[83]
Local officials
- Jeremiah Ellison, member of the Minneapolis City Council[87]
- Andrea Jenkins, vice president of the Minneapolis City Council[85]
Organizations
- 350 Action[88]
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[80]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[89]
- Council for a Livable World[90]
- Democracy for America[91]
- End Citizens United[92]
- Equality PAC[93]
- Jewish Voice for Peace Action[94]
- Justice Democrats[95]
- Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party[96]
- MoveOn[97]
- National Iranian American Council (NIAC) Action[98]
- National Organization for Women PAC[99]
- National Women's Political Caucus[100]
- OutFront Minnesota[101]
- Peace Action[102]
- People's Action[103]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[104]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[105]
- Sierra Club[106]
- TakeAction Minnesota[107]
- Working Families Party[108]
Labor unions
- AFL–CIO Minnesota[109]
- AFT[101]
- Education Minnesota[11]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 120[110]
- IUPAT[101]
- National Education Association[111]
- National Nurses United[101]
- SEIU Minnesota State Council[112]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ilhan Omar |
Antone Melton-Meaux |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research[113][G] | July 7–9, 2020 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 66% | 29% | 5%[h] |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar (incumbent) | 103,535 | 58.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Antone Melton-Meaux | 68,524 | 38.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | John Mason | 2,721 | 1.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Daniel Patrick McCarthy | 1,901 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Les Lester | 1,267 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 172,457 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lacy Johnson, former IT consultant[114]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
U.S. presidents
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lacy Johnson | 9,188 | 76.6 | |
| Republican | Danielle Stella | 2,236 | 18.7 | |
| Republican | Dalia al-Aqidi | 568 | 4.7 | |
| Total votes | 11,992 | 100.0 | ||
Legal Marijuana Now primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Moore[54]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal Marijuana Now | Michael Moore | 940 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 940 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar (incumbent) | 255,924 | 64.3 | |
| Republican | Lacy Johnson | 102,878 | 25.8 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Michael Moore | 37,979 | 9.5 | |
| Write-in | 1,448 | 0.4 | ||
| Total votes | 398,229 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
District 6
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Precinct results Emmer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Zahradka: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district encompasses the northern suburbs and exurbs of Minneapolis, including all of Benton, Sherburne, and Wright counties and parts of Anoka, Carver, Stearns, and Washington counties. The incumbent was Republican Tom Emmer, who was reelected with 61.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 30,654 | 87.2 | |
| Republican | Patrick Munro | 4,518 | 12.8 | |
| Total votes | 35,172 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tawnja Zahradka, broadcaster and former Ms. Minnesota-America[120]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Tawnja Zahradka | 29,445 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 29,445 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 270,901 | 65.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Tawnja Zahradka | 140,853 | 34.2 | |
| Write-in | 553 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 412,307 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 7
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Fischbach: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Peterson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district covers all but the southern end of rural western Minnesota, and includes the cities of Moorhead, Willmar, Alexandria, and Fergus Falls. The incumbent was Democrat Collin Peterson, who was reelected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Collin Peterson, incumbent U.S. representative[121]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
State officials
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 26,925 | 75.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Alycia Gruenhagen | 5,956 | 16.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Stephen Emery | 2,734 | 7.7 | |
| Total votes | 35,615 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Joel Novak, U.S. Army veteran[131]
Declined
- Jeff Backer, state representative[132]
- Scott Van Binsbergen, businessman[133]
Endorsements
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michelle Fischbach | 26,359 | 58.8 | |
| Republican | Dave Hughes | 9,948 | 22.2 | |
| Republican | Noel Collis | 6,747 | 15.1 | |
| Republican | William Louwagie | 989 | 2.2 | |
| Republican | Jayesun Sherman | 757 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 44,800 | 100.0 | ||
Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Kevin "NeNe" Shores[123]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots—LC | Rae Hart Anderson | 215 | 67.4 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Kevin Shores | 104 | 32.6 | |
| Total votes | 319 | 100.0 | ||
Legalize Marijuana Now primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Slater Johnson[123]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal Marijuana Now | Slater Johnson | 592 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 592 | 100.0 | ||
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 5, 2020
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Collin Peterson (DFL) |
Michelle Fischbach (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarrance Group (R)[136][H] | August 2–5, 2020 | 413 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Tossup | July 16, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Tossup | October 16, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Lean R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Tossup | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Lean R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michelle Fischbach | 194,066 | 53.4 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 144,840 | 39.8 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Slater Johnson | 17,710 | 4.9 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Rae Hart Anderson | 6,499 | 1.8 | |
| Write-in | 362 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 363,477 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) | ||||
District 8
| |||||||||||||||||||||
Stauber: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Nystrom: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
The 8th district is based in the Iron Range and home to the city of Duluth. The incumbent was Republican Pete Stauber, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Pete Stauber, incumbent U.S. representative[137]
Eliminated in primary
- Harry Welty, former teacher[138]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pete Stauber (incumbent) | 39,060 | 93.7 | |
| Republican | Harry Welty | 2,606 | 6.3 | |
| Total votes | 41,666 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Withdrawn
Declined
- Michelle Lee, former news anchor and candidate for Minnesota's 8th congressional district in 2018[143]
- Leah Phifer, former federal counterterrorism analyst and candidate for Minnesota's 8th congressional district in 2018[144]
- Joe Radinovich, former state representative and nominee for Minnesota's 8th congressional district in 2018[145]
- Roger Reinert, former state senator and former state representative[146]
Endorsements
Federal politicians
- Rick Nolan, former U.S. representative of Minnesota's 8th congressional district (2013- 2019), Minnesota's 6th congressional district (1975-1981)[147]
Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Quinn Nystrom | 46,050 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 46,050 | 100.0 | ||
Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Judith Schwartzbacker, Grassroots nominee for lieutenant governor of Minnesota in 2018[123]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots—LC | Judith Schwartzbacker | 540 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 540 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe R | August 14, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Likely R | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Likely R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Likely R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pete Stauber (incumbent) | 223,432 | 56.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Quinn Nystrom | 147,853 | 37.6 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Judith Schwartzbacker | 22,190 | 5.6 | |
| Write-in | 236 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 393,711 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Undecided with 18%
- Undecided with 22%
- Archived August 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- "Other/Neither" with 1%, Undecided with 5%
- Archived August 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- "Other/Neither" with 2%, "Not sure/Refused" with 6%
- "Other" with 3% and Undecided with 2%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, which endorsed Feehan prior to this poll's sampling period.
- Poll sponsored by House Majority PAC.
- Poll sponsored by Feehan's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Hagedorn's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Craig's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Kistner's campaign.
- Poll conducted for Ilhan Omar