2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
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The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections will be on July 21, 2026.[1]
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November 3, 2026
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All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
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District 1
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The 1st district is based in the northeastern Phoenix suburbs, including Scottsdale. The incumbent is Republican David Schweikert, who was reelected with 51.9% of the vote in 2024.[2] Schweikert initially ran for reelection but withdrew from the race in September 2025 to run for governor.[3]
Republican primary
Declared
- Joseph Chaplik, former state representative from the 3rd district (2021–2026)[4]
- Jay Feely, CBS Sports analyst and former Arizona Cardinals football player[5] (previously ran in the 5th district)[6]
- John Trobough, businessman[7]
Withdrawn
- Jason Duey, combat veteran and former federal prosecutor[8]
- David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative (running for governor)[3]
- Gina Swoboda, former chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2024–2026) (running for Secretary of State)[9][10]
Declined
- Shawnna Bolick, state senator from the 2nd district (2023–present) and candidate for Secretary of State of Arizona in 2022 (running for reelection)[11]
- Thomas Galvin, chair of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors from the 2nd district[12]
- Alexander Kolodin, state representative from the 3rd district (2023–present) (running for secretary of state, endorsed Chaplik)[13]
- Elijah Norton, former treasurer of the Arizona Republican Party and candidate for this district in 2022 (running for state treasurer)[14]
- Danica Patrick, former professional racing driver (endorsed Feely)[15]
- Michelle Ugenti-Rita, former state senator from the 23rd district (2019–2023), candidate for Secretary of State of Arizona in 2022, and candidate for Maricopa County Board of Supervisors in 2024 (endorsed Chaplik)[13]
- Jim Waring, Phoenix city councilor from the 2nd district (2011–present)[14]
- Carine Werner, state senator from the 4th district (2025–present)[16]
Endorsements
Joseph Chaplik
- U.S. representatives
- Barry Goldwater Jr., former CA-20 (1969–1983) (co-endorsement with Feely)[17]
Jay Feely
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present) (co-endorsement with Swoboda)[18]
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr., secretary of health and human services (2025–present)[17]
- U.S. representatives
- Richard Hudson, NC-09 (2013–present)[19]
- Mike Johnson, speaker of the House (2023–present) from LA-04 (2017–present)[20]
- Steve Scalise, House majority leader (2023–present) from LA-01 (2008–present)[20]
- Tom Emmer, House majority whip (2023–present) from MN-06 (2015–present)[17]
- Jim Jordan, OH-04 (2007–present)[17]
- Lisa McClain, MI-09 (2021–present)[17]
- Juan Ciscomani, AZ-06 (2023–present)[17]
- John Shadegg, former AZ-03 (1995–2011)[17]
- Barry Goldwater Jr., former CA-20 (1969–1983) (co-endorsement with Chaplik)[17]
- Individuals
- Danica Patrick, former NASCAR driver[21]
- Organizations
Gina Swoboda (withdrawn)
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present) (co-endorsement with Feely)[18]
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Joseph Chaplik (R) | $417,471 | $151,782 | $265,689 |
| Jay Feely (R) | $1,797,546 | $543,368 | $1,254,179 |
| Paul Reevs (R) | $110,600 | $110,600 | $0 |
| Brandon Sowers (R) | $17,877 | $15,635 | $0 |
| Gina Swoboda (R) | $222,185 | $221,687 | $498 |
| John Trobough (R) | $855,298 | $462,100 | $393,198 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[22] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joseph Chaplik |
Jay Feely |
John Trobough |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NextGenP (R)[23] | June 16–17, 2026 | 695 | ± 3.9% | 23% | 25% | 6% | 46% |
| Advanced Targeting Research[24][A] | May 12–13, 2026 | 400 (LV) | – | 29% | 9% | 5% | 57% |
| NextGenP (R)[25] | April 13–16, 2026 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 54% |
Democratic primary
Declared
- Marlene Galán-Woods, former KSAZ-TV news anchor, widow of former Republican Arizona Attorney General Grant Woods, and candidate for this district in 2024[26]
- Rick McCartney, media firm owner[27][28]
- Amish Shah, former state representative from the 5th district (2019–2024) and nominee for this district in 2024[29]
- Jonathan Treble, businessman[30]
Withdrawn
Declined
- James McCain, intelligence officer in the 158th Infantry Regiment and son of former Republican U.S. senator John McCain[33]
- Conor O'Callaghan, global trading executive and candidate for this district in 2024[34]
Endorsements
Amish Shah
Mark Robert Gordon
- Organizations
Marlene Galán-Woods
- Executive branch officials
- Janet Napolitano, former secretary of homeland security (2009–2013) and governor of Arizona (2003-2009)[26]
- Tom Udall, former U.S. ambassador to New Zealand (2021–2025) and Samoa (2022–2025) and U.S. senator from New Mexico (2009–2021)[17]
- U.S. representatives
- Ron Barber, former AZ-02 (2012–2015)[17]
- Nikki Budzinski, IL-13 (2023–present)[17]
- Gil Cisneros, CA-31 (2019–2021, 2025–present)[17]
- Sam Coppersmith, former AZ-01 (1993–1995) and former chair of the Arizona Democratic Party (1995–1997)[17]
- Suzan DelBene, WA-01 (2012–present)[42]
- Lois Frankel, FL-22 (2013–present)[17]
- Laura Friedman, CA-30 (2025–present)[17]
- Annie Kuster, former NH-02 (2013–2025)[17]
- Andrea Salinas, OR-06 (2023–present)[17]
- Linda Sánchez, CA-38 (2003–present)[17]
- Statewide officials
- Kris Mayes, attorney general of Arizona (2023–present)[26]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Brian del Vecchio (D) | $15,333 | $15,333 | $0 |
| Marlene Galán-Woods (D) | $1,566,625 | $740,817 | $825,807 |
| Mark Robert Gordon (D) | $291,487 | $227,735 | $63,752 |
| Daniel Lucio (D) | $2,837 | $1,712 | $1,125 |
| Rick McCartney (D) | $871,281 | $414,383 | $456,898 |
| Angie Montoya (D) | $4,039 | $3,886 | $153 |
| Amish Shah (D) | $1,290,456 | $675,158 | $707,100 |
| Jonathan Treble (D) | $2,482,935[b] | $815,876 | $1,667,059 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[22] | |||
Polling
Independents and third-party candidates
Declared
- Christopher Ajluni (No Labels)[32]
- Monica Alponte, retired business writer (Libertarian Party)[32]
- David Redkey, educator (Green Party)[28]
Endorsements
Monica Alponte
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Christopher Aljuni (I) | $3,513 | $3,513 | $0 |
| Monica Alponte (L) | $8,035 | $7,435 | $600 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[22] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Tossup | June 25, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Tossup | October 1, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Tossup | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Tossup | October 21, 2025 |
| The Economist[55][d] | Likely D (flip) | May 7, 2026 |
| VoteHub[56][e] | Lean D (flip) | May 8, 2026 |
Polling
District 2
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The 2nd district encompasses much of northeastern Arizona, including Prescott, Flagstaff, and much of the Navajo Nation. The incumbent is Republican Eli Crane, who was reelected with 54.5% of the vote in 2024.[2]
Republican primary
Presumptive nominee
Endorsements
Eli Crane
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[59]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Eli Crane (R) | $7,449,412 | $5,443,960 | $2,322,822 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[62] | |||
Democratic primary
Declared
- Eric Descheenie, former state representative from the 7th district (2017–2019)[63]
- Jonathan Nez, former president of the Navajo Nation (2019–2023) and nominee for this district in 2024[58]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Jonathan Nez
- Executive branch officials
- Deb Haaland, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2021–2025)[17]
- U.S. senators
- Mark Kelly, Arizona (2020–present)[64]
- Ruben Gallego, Arizona (2025–present)[64]
- U.S. representatives
- Yassamin Ansari, AZ-03 (2025–present)[64]
- Jason Crow, CO-06 (2019–present)[17]
- Suzan DelBene, WA-01 (2012–present)[65]
- Karan English, former AZ-06 (1993–1995)[66]
- Ann Kirkpatrick, former AZ-02 (2019–2023), AZ-01 (2009–2011, 2013–2017)[17]
- Teresa Leger Fernández, NM-03 (2021–present)[17]
- Tom O'Halleran, former AZ-01 (2017–2023)[17]
- Melanie Stansbury, NM-01 (2021–present)[17]
- Greg Stanton, AZ-04 (2019–present)[64]
- Statewide officials
- Kris Mayes, attorney general of Arizona (2023–present)[64]
- County officials
- Ammon Barker, Coconino County attorney (2025–present)[66]
- Organizations
- Human Rights Campaign[67]
- DCCC Red to Blue[65]
- NewDem Action Fund[68]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Eric Descheenie (D) | $3,748 | $1,811 | $1,937 |
| Jonathan Nez (D) | $2,341,970 | $1,011,172 | $1,396,101 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[62] | |||
Independents and third-party candidates
Declared
- Curtis Goodwin (Libertarian Party)[32]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Likely R | June 30, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Likely R | June 30, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Likely R | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Likely R | September 26, 2025 |
| The Economist[55] | Lean R | May 6, 2026 |
Polling
Eli Crane vs. Jonathan Nez
District 3
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The 3rd district is majority-Latino and is based in downtown and western Phoenix. The incumbent is Democrat Yassamin Ansari, who was elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2024.[2]
Democratic primary
Presumptive nominee
- Yassamin Ansari, incumbent U.S. representative[70]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Yassamin Ansari (D) | $1,217,963 | $699,381 | $528,992 |
| David Redkey (G) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[75] | |||
Republican primary
No candidates completed the necessary paperwork to be on the primary ballot by the filing deadline of March 23, 2026.[32]
Independents and third-party candidiates
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Solid D | June 30, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Solid D | June 30, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Safe D | September 26, 2025 |
| The Economist[55] | Safe D | May 6, 2026 |
District 4
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The 4th district encompasses much of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. The incumbent is Democrat Greg Stanton, who was reelected with 52.7% of the vote in 2024.[2]
Democratic primary
Declared
- Kai Newkirk, progressive organizer[76]
- Greg Stanton, incumbent U.S. representative[70]
Endorsements
Greg Stanton
Kai Newkirk
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Kai Newkirk (D) | $18,730 | $5,206 | $13,524 |
| Greg Stanton (D) | $1,663,223 | $847,123 | $1,831,830 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[87] | |||
Polling
Republican primary
Declared
- Jerone Davison, former running back for the Las Vegas Raiders, pastor and candidate for this district in 2022 and 2024[32]
- Zuhdi Jasser, physician and candidate for this district in 2024[90]
Withdrawn
- Bradley Honer, USAF veteran and graduate student[91]
Endorsements
Zuhdi Jasser
- Organizations
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jerone Davison (R) | $229,323 | $222,687 | $6,636 |
| Bradley Honer (R) | $10 | $888 | $0 |
| Zuhdi Jasser (R) | $450,109 | $150,855 | $299,255 |
| Alex Stovall (R) | $64,879 | $64,879 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[87] | |||
Independents and third-party candidates
Declared
- Tisha Benoit, healthcare professional (No Labels)[32]
- John Fillmore, former Republican state representative (2011–2013, 2019–2023) (No Labels)[32]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Solid D | June 30, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Solid D | June 30, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Safe D | September 26, 2025 |
| The Economist[55] | Safe D | May 6, 2026 |
District 5
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The 5th district is based in the East Valley, including Gilbert and portions of Chandler and Mesa. The incumbent is Republican Andy Biggs, who was reelected with 60.4% of the vote in 2024.[2] Biggs is retiring to run for governor in 2026.[93]
Republican primary
Declared
- Mark Lamb, former Pinal County Sheriff (2017–2024), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2024[94]
- Daniel Keenan, construction contractor[95]
Withdrawn
- Jay Feely, CBS Sports analyst and former Arizona Cardinals football player (running in the 1st district)[5]
- Travis Grantham, former state representative from the 14th district (2017–2025) and candidate for the 4th district in 2012[96]
Declined
- Andy Biggs, incumbent U.S. representative (running for governor)[93]
- Jake Hoffman, state senator from the 15th district (2023–present) and 2020 fake elector for Donald Trump (endorsed Lamb)[97]
Endorsements
Mark Lamb
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[98]
- U.S. representatives
- Eli Crane, AZ-02 (2023–present)[17]
- Paul Gosar, AZ-09 (2011–present)[17]
- Mike Johnson, speaker of the House (2023–present) from LA-04 (2017–present)[17]
- David McIntosh, former IN-02 (1995–2001)[99]
- Steve Scalise, House Majority Leader (2023–present) from LA-01 (2008–present)[17]
- State legislators
- Jake Hoffman, state senator from the 15th district (2023–present)[97]
- Organizations
- Club for Growth[99]
- Freedom Caucus Fund[100]
- Turning Point Action[61]
- Arizona Police Association[101]
Travis Grantham (withdrawn)
- U.S. representatives
- Trent Franks, former AZ-08 (2013–2017)[17]
- State legislators
- Michael Carbone, majority leader of the Arizona House of Representatives (2025–present) from the 25th district (2023–present)[17]
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Travis Grantham (R) | $612,045 | $537,378 | $74,816 |
| Daniel Keenan (R) | $1,578,351 | $343,577 | $1,234,774 |
| Mark Lamb (R) | $759,707 | $412,650 | $347,057 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[102] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Daniel Keenan |
Mark Lamb |
Jay Feely |
Travis Grantham |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pulse Decision Science (R)[103][E] | June 29 – July 1, 2026 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 61% | – | – | – | 12% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[104][F] | June 22–24, 2026 | 1,094 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 32% | – | – | – | 22% |
| Grantham withdraws from the race | |||||||||
| Feely withdraws from the race | |||||||||
| Victory Insights (R)[105][G] | December 2–5, 2025 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 64% | 3% | 1% | – | 31% |
| 6% | 69% | – | – | – | 25% | ||||
| NextGenP (R)[106] | October 10–12, 2025 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 0% | 54% | 7% | 3% | 0%[h] | 36% |
| NextGenP (R)[107] | June 4, 2025 | 953 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 1% | 55% | 8% | 3% | 1%[i] | 33% |
| NextGenP (R)[108] | February 26–28, 2025 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 49% | – | 2% | 9%[j] | 40% |
Democratic primary
Declared
Withdrawn
- Blake Bracht, attorney[113]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Blake Bracht (D) | $9,464 | $7,091 | $2,373 |
| Brian Hualde (D) | $43,320 | $43,238 | $82 |
| Chris James (D) | $124,665 | $110,279 | $14,386 |
| Elizabeth Lee (D) | $94,383 | $71,302 | $23,081 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[102] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Solid R | June 30, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Solid R | June 30, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe R | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Safe R | April 28, 2026 |
| The Economist[55] | Likely R | May 6, 2026 |
District 6
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The 6th district encompasses much of southeastern Arizona, with the bulk of its population in northern Tucson and its suburbs. The incumbent is Republican Juan Ciscomani, who was reelected with 50.0% of the vote in 2024.[2]
Republican primary
Presumptive nominee
- Juan Ciscomani, incumbent U.S. representative[114]
Endorsements
Juan Ciscomani
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[115]
- U.S. representatives
- Mike Johnson, speaker of the House (2023–present) from LA-04 (2017–present)[17]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Juan Ciscomani (R) | $5,083,547 | $1,488,377 | $3,831,731 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[117] | |||
Democratic primary
Presumptive nominee
- JoAnna Mendoza, former veteran services representative for U.S. Representative Tom O'Halleran[118]
Withdrawn
- Johnathan Buma, former FBI agent[119]
- Chris Donat, mechanical engineer[120]
- Mo Goldman, immigration attorney (endorsed Mendoza)[121]
- Samantha Severson, faculty member at the University of Arizona Global Campus[119]
- Aiden Swallow, theater performer (running for state house)[122]
Declined
- Kirsten Engel, former state senator from the 10th district (2021) and nominee for this district in 2022 and 2024[123]
Endorsements
JoAnna Mendoza
- Executive branch officials
- Maura Sullivan, former assistant to the secretary of defense for public affairs (2015)[124]
- Patrick Murphy, former under secretary of the army (2016–2017)[17]
- U.S. senators
- Ruben Gallego, Arizona (2025–present)[125]
- Mark Kelly, Arizona (2020–present)[126]
- U.S. representatives
- Ron Barber, former AZ-02 (2012–2015)[17]
- Jason Crow, CO-06 (2019–present)[17]
- Suzan DelBene, WA-01 (2012–present)[65]
- Chris Deluzio, PA-17 (2023–present)[17]
- Gabby Giffords, former AZ-08 (2007–2012)[126]
- Ro Khanna, CA-17 (2017–present)[17]
- Linda Sánchez, CA-38 (2003–present)[127]
- Seth Moulton, MA-06 (2015–present)[17]
- Tom O'Halleran, former AZ-01 (2017–2023)[17]
- Emily Randall, WA-06 (2025–present)[17]
- Max Rose, former NY-11 (2019–2021)[128]
- Greg Stanton, AZ-04 (2019–present)[17]
- Mark Takano, CA-39 (2013–present)[129]
- Ritchie Torres, NY-15 (2021–present)[129]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC[127]
- Equality PAC[129]
- DCCC Red to Blue[65]
- Democrats for Education Reform[40]
- Elect Democratic Women[131]
- EMILYs List[132]
- End Citizens United[133]
- Giffords[134]
- Human Rights Campaign[67]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[135]
- J Street[136]
- Latino Victory Fund[47]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[81]
- LGBTQ+ Victory Fund[137]
- LPAC[138]
- New Democrat Coalition[139]
- PODER PAC[140]
- Population Connection[82]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[141]
- Stonewall Democratic Club[142]
- Vote Mama[143]
- Vote Vets[128]
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Chris Donat (D) | $21,062 | $21,062 | $0 |
| JoAnna Mendoza (D) | $5,341,038 | $1,830,458 | $3,510,580 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[117] | |||
Independents and third-party candidates
Declared
- Iman Bah (No Labels)[32]
- Jereme Peters (Libertarian Party)[32]
- Gary Swing (Green Party) (write-in)[32]
Endorsements
Gary Swing
- Political parties
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Iman Bah (I) | $195 | $75 | $225 |
| Trevor Dickerson (I)[k] | $19,352 | $13,277 | $5,576 |
| Jereme Peters (L) | $10,500 | $10,500 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[117] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Tossup | June 30, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Tossup | June 30, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Tossup | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Tilt D (flip) | December 21, 2025 |
| The Economist[55] | Lean D (flip) | May 6, 2026 |
Polling
Juan Ciscomani vs. JoAnna Mendoza
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[l] |
Margin of error |
Juan Ciscomani (R) |
JoAnna Mendoza (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normington Petts (D)[145][H] | June 8–11, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Ragnar Research Partners (R)[146][I] | March 12–14, 2026 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[147][J] | October 14–15, 2025 | 581 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 17% |
District 7
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The 7th district is majority-Hispanic and covers most of the Mexico–United States border in Arizona, including parts of Tucson and Yuma. The incumbent is Democrat Adelita Grijalva, who was elected with 68.9% of the vote in a special election to finish the term of her father, Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who died in office on March 13, 2025.[148] The younger Grijalva has announced her intentions to run for election to a full term in 2026.[149]
Democratic primary
Presumptive nominee
- Adelita Grijalva, incumbent U.S. representative[149]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Adelita Grijalva (D) | $2,094,207 | $1,709,278 | $384,930 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[156] | |||
Republican primary
Presumptive nominee
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Daniel Butierez (R) | $223,537 | $203,059 | $21,071 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[156] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Solid D | June 30, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Solid D | June 30, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Safe D | September 26, 2025 |
| The Economist[55] | Safe D | May 6, 2026 |
District 8
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The 8th district is based in the northern and western suburbs of Phoenix, including northern Glendale and Peoria. The incumbent is Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who was elected in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote.[2]
Republican primary
Presumptive nominee
- Abraham Hamadeh, incumbent U.S. representative[70]
Endorsements
Abraham Hamadeh
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[157]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Abraham Hamadeh (R) | $1,013,076 | $662,741 | $386,743 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[159] | |||
Democratic primary
Declared
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Bernadette Greene Placentia (D) | $209,358 | $17,589 | $190,394 |
| Raymond Keeler (D) | $18,165 | $4,024 | $14,141 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[159] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Solid R | June 30, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Solid R | June 30, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe R | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Safe R | February 6, 2026 |
| The Economist[55] | Likely R | May 6, 2026 |
District 9
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The 9th district encompasses much of western Arizona, including portions of Yuma and western Maricopa County. The incumbent is Republican Paul Gosar, who was reelected with 65.3% of the vote in 2024.[2]
Republican primary
Presumptive candidate
- Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative[162]
Endorsements
Paul Gosar
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[163]
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Paul Gosar (R) | $357,756 | $276,247 | $173,106 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[164] | |||
Democratic primary
Presumptive nominee
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Gene Paul Scharer (D)[m] | $561 | $896 | $153 |
| Danielle Sterbinsky (D) | $260,572 | $204,611 | $55,846 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[164] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Solid R | June 30, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Solid R | June 30, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe R | July 10, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[54] | Safe R | February 6, 2026 |
| The Economist[55] | Safe R | May 6, 2026 |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - $1,018,252 of this total was self-funded by Treble.
- "Refused" with 1.5%; "Other" with 1.2%
- This forecast uses the terms "Likely" and "Very Likely" the same way the other forecasts use the terms "Lean" and "Likely". To avoid confusion, and for the purposes of equivalency, the terms "Likely" and "Very Likely" will be changed to "Lean" and "Likely" for the purposes of this page. As well, "tossup" is labeled "uncertain", but for the purposes of this page it will be labelled "tossup".
- This website uses two different forecasts, a "legacy" and "complete" forecast. The website treats their complete forecast as the primary one, and thus this page is using predictions from that forecast.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Curtis Goodwin (L) with 7%
- Alex Stovall with 0%
- Monte Lyons with 1%
- John Lewis with 4%; Jake Hoffman with 3%; Justin Olson with 2%
- As last reported on September 30, 2025
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - As last reported on December 31, 2025
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Chaplik's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Elect Democratic Women and CHC BOLD PAC
- Poll sponsored by Nez's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Stanton's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Club for Growth, which supports Lamb
- Poll sponsored by Keenan's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Lamb's campaign
- Poll sponsored by House Majority PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
- Poll commissioned by Conservatives For America, an organization linked to the Republican Study Committee
- Poll commissioned by the House Majority PAC, which supports Mendoza