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2026 United States elections

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Elections are scheduled to be held, in large part, on November 3, 2026, in the United States. In these midterm elections, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's second term, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress. 39 state and territorial U.S. gubernatorial elections, attorney general elections, and numerous state and local elections, will also be contested.

Election dayNovember 3
Incumbent president▌Donald Trump (R)
Next Congress120th
Seats contested35 of 100 seats
(33 seats of Class II + 2 special elections)
Quick facts Election day, Incumbent president ...
2026 United States elections
← 2024          2025          2026          2027          2028 →
Midterm elections
Election dayNovember 3
Incumbent president▌Donald Trump (R)
Next Congress120th
Senate elections
Seats contested35 of 100 seats
(33 seats of Class II + 2 special elections)
2026 United States Senate special election in Florida2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio2026 United States Senate election in Alabama2026 United States Senate election in Alaska2026 United States Senate election in Arkansas2026 United States Senate election in Colorado2026 United States Senate election in Delaware2026 United States Senate election in Georgia2026 United States Senate election in Idaho2026 United States Senate election in Illinois2026 United States Senate election in Iowa2026 United States Senate election in Kansas2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky2026 United States Senate election in Louisiana2026 United States Senate election in Maine2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts2026 United States Senate election in Michigan2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota2026 United States Senate election in Mississippi2026 United States Senate election in Montana2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska2026 United States Senate election in New Hampshire2026 United States Senate election in New Jersey2026 United States Senate election in New Mexico2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina2026 United States Senate election in Oklahoma2026 United States Senate election in Oregon2026 United States Senate election in Rhode Island2026 United States Senate election in South Carolina2026 United States Senate election in South Dakota2026 United States Senate election in Tennessee2026 United States Senate election in Texas2026 United States Senate election in Virginia2026 United States Senate election in West Virginia2026 United States Senate election in Wyoming
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent retiring or lost renomination[a]
     No election
House elections
Seats contestedAll 435 voting members
5 of 6 non-voting delegates
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent retiring or lost renomination
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent retiring or lost renomination
     Independent incumbent
     No incumbent[b]      Vacant[c]
Gubernatorial elections
Seats contested39 (36 states, 3 territories)
2026 Alabama gubernatorial election2026 Alaska gubernatorial election2026 Arizona gubernatorial election2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election2026 California gubernatorial election2026 Colorado gubernatorial election2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election2026 Florida gubernatorial election2026 Georgia gubernatorial election2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election2026 Idaho gubernatorial election2026 Illinois gubernatorial election2026 Iowa gubernatorial election2026 Kansas gubernatorial election2026 Maine gubernatorial election2026 Maryland gubernatorial election2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election2026 Michigan gubernatorial election2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election2026 Nevada gubernatorial election2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election2026 New York gubernatorial election2026 Ohio gubernatorial election2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election2026 Oregon gubernatorial election2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election2026 Texas gubernatorial election2026 Vermont gubernatorial election2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election2026 Guam gubernatorial election2026 Northern Mariana Islands gubernatorial election2026 United States Virgin Islands gubernatorial election
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent term-limited, retiring, or lost renomination
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent term-limited or retiring
     Retiring Independent
     No election
Close

Prior to the elections, Trump called on Republican-led states to enact rare mid-decade redistricting to boost the party's chances of holding power ahead of historical losses for the incumbent party during midterm elections. The moves prompted reciprocal redistricting from Democratic-led states through measures such as California's Election Rigging Response Act. In April 2026, the Supreme Court ruled in Louisiana v. Callais that parts of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 which enabled the creation of majority-minority districts were unconstitutional. The Trump administration has made repeated false claims of voter fraud.

Leading issues in the election include[2] widespread opposition to rapid progress in artificial intelligence,[3][4][5][6][7] including the construction of data centers;[4][6][7] corruption;[4] economic policy, particularly inflation, healthcare, and tariffs; foreign policy, including relations with American allies, the ongoing Iran war, and the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, along with proposed expansionism.[8][9]

Background

In the 2024 United States presidential election, Republican nominee Donald Trump defeated Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. Key issues shaping the campaign included public concern for the post-pandemic recovery and rising inflation[10][11] as well as debates surrounding foreign policy, particularly regarding US involvement in foreign conflicts such as the Russo-Ukrainian war and the Gaza war.[12]

The administration's immigration policies, including deportations by ICE due to strengthened funding via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, were scrutinized.[13][14]

The outbreak of the 2026 Iran war on February 28 introduced a further complicating factor, with rising gasoline prices and other economic challenges emerging as central electoral concerns.[15][16] Analysts argued that gasoline prices represented the most direct channel through which the costs of the Iran war were transmitted to American voters, and that domestic electoral pressure from fuel costs was a primary political driver behind the Trump administration's push toward a ceasefire ahead of the November midterms.[17]

In response to the general unpopularity and economic concerns of the Iran war, several Republican candidates have distanced themselves from Trump and his approach to the war and have called for operations in Iran to end.[18][19] Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer compared the political environment in 2026 to the one in 2006,[20] when dissatisfaction with George W. Bush's handling of the Iraq war led to many Democratic victories in the elections that year.[21]

The 2026 elections will be the first federal elections since the 2016 presidential contest where ABC News, CNN, CBS News, NBC News, the Associated Press and Fox News will use one election survey, The Voter Poll by SSRS (formerly the National Election Pool), to measure voters' opinions and preferences. From 2018 to 2024, the former four news networks continued to use data from the National Election Pool while the Associated Press and Fox News relied on AP VoteCast.[22][23]

Voters' views of Trump's presidency will likely be a factor in the election.[24] During the 2025 off year elections, exit polls found that many voted in opposition to Trump or said that he was not a factor.[25] Surveys released in late 2025 and early 2026 found that many viewed Trump's handling of the economy and immigration, two issues that propelled him to victory in the 2024 election,[26][27] negatively.[28][29] During elections held in his first term, Trump was on the minds of many who voted.[30][31][32] In September 2026, Trump featured in a two-day midterm convention in Dallas to rally support and raise funds—historically, this type of event is reserved for presidential election years. Many Republicans on the ballot attended, but many also chose to forego the event, which RNC Chairman Joe Gruters dubbed a "Trump-a-Palooza."[33]

The Republican Party performed worse than expected in the November 2025 general elections. Democratic candidates Abigail Spanberger of Virginia and Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey won their gubernatorial races over their Republican opponents by larger than expected margins. Democrats performed strongly in the concurrent state legislative elections, winning a supermajority in the New Jersey General Assembly and expanding their majority in the Virginia House of Delegates. In New York City, Democrat Zohran Mamdani, a self-identified democratic socialist, was elected mayor in a three-way race against Republican Curtis Sliwa and independent former governor Andrew Cuomo, who ran as a moderate relative to Mamdani.[34] The main theme of the elections was the United States affordability crisis.[35]

The nearly seven-month-old war in Iran became a political liability for some vulnerable Republican candidates ahead of the November midterms. In September 2026, two Republicans in tight Senate races — Mike Rogers of Michigan and Ashley Hinson of Iowa — called for a swift end to the conflict, distancing themselves from President Trump. Hinson, who had voted six times against measures to curb Trump's war powers, said Iowans "shouldn't have to foot the bill at the pump or the checkout line for the war in Iran." Rogers, who had previously backed Trump's strikes, released a campaign ad urging that the war "end and end quickly." The shift came as Trump's approval rating fell to 32%, a career low, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, with Americans souring on both his handling of the economy and the war. Diesel prices reached record highs, a particular concern in Iowa, where agriculture plays an outsized role in the state's economy. Other Republicans also moved to distance themselves: Iowa Representatives Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks reversed their stances and voted to limit Trump's war powers, while Representative Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida warned that Trump's immigration crackdown had gone too far. Democrats characterized the moves as election-year repositioning.[36]

On September 28, 2026, Reuters reported that five weeks before the midterm elections, government-funded television ads featuring Donald Trump aired nationally, drawing criticism even from members of his own party. The White House defended the ads as “public service announcements” aimed at promoting patriotism rather than campaigning. Senate Majority Leader John Thune told reporters, “I like the message, but it shouldn’t be paid for with taxpayer money.”[37]

Democrats and activist groups plan to push back if Trump tries to interfere in midterm elections. Democratic state parties announced that they are launching an operation for the midterm elections they’re calling the “New Battlefield Project,” intended to recruit 10,000 volunteers to guard polling places in case armed federal officers show up.[38]

Allegations of attempted election subversion

President Donald Trump has promised that if Republicans win both the House and Senate, he will give every American adult $5,000. This proposal would cost American taxpayers approximately $1.25 trillion to provide payments to about 250 million adults. As of October 3, 2026, the national debt stands at $40 trillion.

In January 2026, The Washington Post reported that the second Trump administration had undertaken several tactics, including mid-decade redrawing of congressional districts for partisan gain, prosecution of political opponents, and a push to change voting methods and rules, that were meant to undermine confidence in the midterm elections.[39]

Trump floated the idea of canceling the elections, citing an expected loss in the elections and a distrust in democratic systems.[40] White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt later stated that Trump was "speaking facetiously", and was "simply joking".[41]

In February, Trump stated that the elections should be nationalized to prevent voter fraud.[42] A day later, Steve Bannon said the federal government was planning to send ICE to patrol polling stations in an attempt to prevent a Democratic victory, vowing to "never again allow an election to be stolen".[43] That month, the House of Representatives passed the SAVE America Act, an amended version of the previously proposed Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act. The bill, if approved by the Senate and signed into law by Trump, would have required voters to provide proof of citizenship in order to obtain or renew their voter registration. Voting rights activists alleged that such provisions would disenfranchise married women, racial minorities, low-income groups, and people who legally changed their name, among others.[44][45][46] The bill ultimately died in the Senate that June, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block its inclusion.[47][48]

On February 27, The Washington Post reported that several right-wing activists are working with the Trump administration to draft an executive order which, if signed, would effectively instate a national emergency and give Trump extended powers over the elections. Trump denied the existence of the executive order.[49]

The Justice Department also demanded voter registration data from states, suing 23 states and the District of Columbia that declined to provide unredacted voter rolls; all of the sued states were led by Democrats or had been won by Joe Biden in 2020.[50] In January 2026, U.S. District Judge David Carter dismissed the department's lawsuit against California, which had sought personal information including partial Social Security numbers for roughly 23 million registered voters, ruling that the demands violated privacy laws and writing that federal centralization of the data would have a "chilling effect" on voter registration; a federal judge dismissed a similar lawsuit against Oregon later that month.[51][50]

The department appealed the California ruling to the Ninth Circuit. In June 2026, federal prosecutors in Los Angeles publicly accused the state of blocking a voter roll audit and said they were conducting election fraud investigations while ballots from the state's June primary were still being counted.[52]

In March, Stateline reported that legislation to "restrict immigration enforcement or the presence of federal forces" near polling places and other election sites has been offered or announced in California, Connecticut, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia and Washington.[53] The same month, the Associated Press reported that several Democratic-led states including New Mexico and Virginia are taking steps to counter potential tactics to intimidate voters.[54] In May, Ned Lamont, the governor of Connecticut, signed into law a bill that restricts immigration enforcement at locations including schools and places of worship. The legislation also prohibits law enforcement from wearing facial coverings or personal disguises.[55][56]

In January 2026, FBI agents executed a search warrant at the Fulton County, Georgia, election center, seizing approximately 600 boxes of ballots and other records from the 2020 presidential election, an action election law experts described as unprecedented federal intervention in locally administered elections.[57][58] Federal investigations of the 2020 election subsequently expanded to several states: the Office of the Director of National Intelligence procured voting machines in Puerto Rico for examination in February, federal officials subpoenaed records of the partisan review of Maricopa County, Arizona's 2020 results in March, the Justice Department demanded ballots cast in Wayne County, Michigan, in April, and FBI agents questioned former poll workers in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, in May.[58]

David Becker, executive director of the Center for Election Innovation and Research, said the investigations were "about the 2026 and 2028 elections" rather than 2020, characterizing them as intimidation of election officials. A former head of the Justice Department's Public Integrity Section said the administration appeared to be normalizing federal investigation of state elections in preparation for potentially challenging future results.[58]

In June 2026, FBI agents searched the Cleveland offices of the Ohio Organizing Collaborative, a voter registration and community organizing group, seizing computers and questioning staff and volunteers across Ohio as part of a Justice Department investigation into the group's voter registration efforts; the Brennan Center for Justice said the search fit a pattern of federal inquiries targeting voting infrastructure ahead of the midterm elections.[59][60][61]

Louisiana v. Callais

Analysts had predicted that a decision in Callais reducing the scope of the VRA could allow Republicans to gain a significant number of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives from redistricting in the Southeast, where the VRA has generally prevented Republican-controlled legislatures from maximizing their numbers of "safe" districts. The New York Times estimated that, if the Court weakened the VRA, up to twelve seats could shift from Democratic to Republican control.[62][63]

When the decision in Callais was announced, some media outlets characterized it as a "landmark" decision, predicting that the additional restrictions on Section 2 of the VRA would likely make challenges to redistricting significantly more difficult. Some analysts expect it will allow southern states to eliminate majority-minority districts, possibly changing election outcomes.[64][65][66][67] The decision was seen by some lawyers as the culmination of a long-time grudge of Roberts against the VRA,[68][69][70] while media outlets considered the decision as rendering the VRA all but dead and harming the country's democratic process.[71][72] Other commentators considered the ruling to start a new era of Jim Crow laws, allowing for legal discrimination of minorities.[73][74] The court's opinion was expected to affect all levels of government including state and local governments.[75][76][77][78]

An analysis from The Guardian found that Justice Alito's claim that Black voter turnout had surpassed white voter turnout in two of the five most recent presidential elections, both nationally and in Louisiana, was based on misleading data and questionable methodology. Alito cited the brief from the Department of Justice which used "a proportion of the total population of each racial group over the age of 18"; however, that approach is "not favored by experts", who instead use "voter turnout as a proportion of the citizen voting age population or the voter eligible population." Following the latter analysis, the gap in voter turnout has actually widened, with Black voter turnout dropping since 2012, particularly after the Supreme Court's opinion in Shelby County v. Holder which struck down the preclearance formula defined in Section 4(b) of the VRA for states with historical discrimination concerns including Louisiana.[79][80]

Media ban and Republican criticism

In September 2026, Trump barred CNN, MS NOW, and Politico from the White House grounds. The three outlets filed suit, arguing that the ban violated due process and First Amendment protections. The move drew criticism from Republican strategists, who warned that it diverted attention from economic issues ahead of the midterms.[81]

Issues

Leading issues in the election include widespread opposition to rapid progress in artificial intelligence,[3][4][5][6][7] including the construction of data centers[4][6][7]; corruption;[4] economic policy, particularly inflation, healthcare, and tariffs;[4] foreign policy, including relations with American allies, the Iran War, and Israel/Palestine conflict;[4] along with proposed expansionism.[8][9]

Artificial intelligence

Christian leaders, including Pope Leo XIV, have broadly opposed transhumanism and the attempted development of superintelligence.[82] The New York Times has described the dispute as arising from radical philosophical differences between most Americans and a New Atheist-influenced culture in Silicon Valley.[83]

Artificial intelligence is a leading issue of the campaign.[3][4][6][84] As of September 2026, AI progress has occurred far faster than median AI expert predictions.[85] Several major security incidents were revealed in September 2026.[86] Axios reported that Anthropic and OpenAI were probing "tens of thousands of security incidents".[86] The incidents were widely reported in the lead-up to the election, sparking public concern.[3][4][87] AIs have become far more able at faking alignment.[86]

AGI development

Anthony Aguirre at FAS 2026
The Future of Life Institute's Keep The Future Human, written by Anthony Aguirre, is a guideline for policymakers to prevent the arrival of an AI successor species to humanity.[88][89]

Frontier AI companies aim to create artificial general intelligence, a hypothetical type of artificial intelligence that matches human capabilities across virtually all cognitive tasks, and automate away the large majority of jobs.[90] AI scientists, including Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshia Bengio, believe that superintelligence is probable within the next decade, as of 2026, and believe that its arrival has a substantial probability of human extinction.[91] There is support in Congress for stopping the development of artificial superintelligence.[92]

An overwhelming majority of Americans support a long-term ban, pause, or slow down regarding artificial general intelligence and superintelligence.[3][4][92][93] A September 2026 Politico poll found that 78 percent of respondents say that advanced AI could "destroy humanity" with only 7 percent saying there is no risk at all.[92] Quinnipac University found that 71% percent of voters "are more likely to vote for a political candidate who supports stricter guardrails for AI development", while 16 percent say they "are more likely to vote for a political candidate who supports expanding AI development".[94] Another poll found that 68% of Americans supported and 25% opposed a ban on superintelligence.[93]

Quinnipac also found that "nearly 8 in 10 Americans want powerful AI development slowed or stopped until safety can be evaluated, and just 5 percent want it accelerated". 43% were "very concerned" about progress, 39% were "somewhat concerned", 9% were "not so concerned", and 9% were "not at all concerned" about the rate of AI improvement.[3]

Data centers

AI data centers have also received overwhelming opposition.[95] A September 2026 poll found that 70% of Americans oppose their construction in their own communities. AI opposition has occurred across bipartisanship lines, described as "sweeping the globe" by Politico.[92] A September 2026 Quinnipac University poll found that 73% of Americans "would oppose the building of an AI data center in their community" while 21% would support it.[94] Brookings Institution described the backlash against data centers as part of a broader opposition against "AI power".[96]

Corruption

Corruption is a leading issue for voters.[4]

There is alleged corruption in the Trump administration.[98][99] Trump's grants of pardons and clemency have favored political allies and loyalists, with several given after millions in donations or fees.[100] Trump has proactively solicited donations from companies and individuals following which favorable regulatory actions and decisions have occurred. He has maintained an active stock market account with thousands of trades totaling hundreds of millions of dollars.[101] Trump has directly benefited by soliciting his own memecoin $TRUMP and from his family's cryptocurrency company World Liberty Financial which has received investments by anonymous individuals and foreign governments.[102]

According to a New York Times analysis, anonymous political contributions to the midterm elections, known as "dark money," exceeded $1 billion by late August. This funding is funneled into Super PACs through nonprofit organizations and shell companies, allowing donors to remain undisclosed.[103]

Women

A decade ago, Donald Trump's presidential campaign faced a major challenge from the Access Hollywood tape, where he discussed kissing and grabbing women without consent. Anger over the loss of federal abortion rights helped Democrats in the 2022 midterms, but it wasn’t strong enough to prevent Trump from defeating Kamala Harris in 2024. A New York Times-Siena poll shows that 65% of women disapprove of Trump's presidency, while 57% would support the Democratic House candidate in their district. The dissatisfaction among women is evident, as polling indicates that even some who previously backed Trump no longer do. In Maine, Senator Susan Collins faces challenges due to her vote on abortion rights. The upcoming election could hinge on women's desires regarding power in Washington.[104]

Economic issues, inflation

Economic issues, including inflation, healthcare, tariffs, and cost of living have been noted.[4]

The second Trump administration has imposed tariffs on much of the world with the intent to re-industrialize the United States, a decision that received mixed reception. It was criticized by experts[105][106] and global leaders[107][108] for worsening inflation rather than fighting it. Trade, including tariffs, has been a leading issue of the campaign season.[109]

Foreign policy

Expansionism

An AI-generated image shared by Donald Trump on Truth Social depicting the United States' closest geographic neighbors under U.S. control, covered in the pattern of the U.S. flag.
The United States including Canada, Greenland and the former Panama Canal Zone according to various threats made by Donald Trump[110][111][112]

Throughout both of his presidencies, U.S. president Donald Trump has expressed a desire to expand the United States' territory and influence through both land purchases and military means.

Trump first stated his desire to annex Greenland during his first presidency; he has pursued a campaign to acquire Greenland during his second presidency. He has also suggested annexation or taking control of Canada, Mexico, the Panama Canal, the Gaza Strip, and Cuba. After proposing an invasion of Venezuela, Trump's second administration removed President Nicolás Maduro as part of Operation Absolute Resolve and stated the U.S. would "run" Venezuela; the Venezuelan government, led by acting president Delcy Rodríguez, remains in place but is far more amicable to American interests than it was under Maduro.[113] Amid the 2026 Iran war, Trump lauded about invading and seizing control of both the Strait of Hormuz and Kharg Island from Iran.

Asked: Are there limits on your global power?

      Yeah, there is one thing. My own morality. My own mind. It's the only thing that can stop me. I don't need international law. I'm not looking to hurt people.

— Donald Trump, January 7, 2026[114]

New York Times White House correspondents wrote that "Mr. Trump's assessment... was the most blunt acknowledgment yet of his worldview. At its core is the concept that national strength, rather than laws, treaties and conventions, should be the deciding factor as powers collide."[114]

Trump's determination to treat the Western Hemisphere as a U.S. sphere of influence has been characterized as a revival of the Monroe Doctrine in what has become known as the Donroe Doctrine. On his orders, U.S. federal agencies adopted new names for shared international waters, renaming the Gulf of Mexico as "Gulf of America" in 2025 and Lake Ontario as "Lake America" in 2026. Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller and Secretary of State Marco Rubio defended the second Trump administration's foreign policy as a matter of operating as a superpower nation and for national security purposes. Numerous politicians outside the U.S. have criticized Trump's annexation comments. The Democratic Party has introduced bills to prevent the Trump administration from invading countries without the approval of Congress.

Iran War

Since 28 February 2026, the United States and Israel have been at war with Iran and its regional allies. The war follows the Twelve-Day War in June 2025 and sporadic fighting during the Middle Eastern crisis sparked by the Gaza war (2023–present). Amid ongoing US–Iran negotiations regarding Iran's nuclear program, the war began when the US and Israel conducted hundreds of air strikes on targets across Iran,[115][116][117] including strikes that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei alongside several other Iranian officials.

Polling data confirms that economic stability remains the paramount issue for American voters; specifically, fluctuations in fuel costs, intensified by regional tensions involving the US, Israel, and Iran, are central to public anxiety.[103]

Federal elections

Senate elections

35 seats in the United States Senate will be up for election, including all 33 Class 2 seats. Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats. Two Democratic-held seats, Georgia and Michigan, are in states won by Donald Trump in the previous presidential election, while Maine is the only Republican-held seat in a state won by Kamala Harris.

Special elections

Two special elections will be held to fill the unexpired terms of senators who vacated their seats during the 119th Congress:

House of Representatives elections

All 435 voting seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for election. Additionally, elections will be held to select the non-voting delegate for the District of Columbia and the non-voting delegates from 4 of the 5 U.S. territories, excluding Puerto Rico due to its non-voting delegate serving a 4-year term. There are 16 Democratic incumbents in districts Donald Trump won, while only 8 Republican incumbents are in seats won by Harris.[120]

The House map features a number of new congressional maps: Ohio and Utah will have new, court-mandated congressional districts this cycle; Missouri, North Carolina, and Texas redrew their maps mid-cycle; and the district map was changed in California following the passage of Prop 50.[121][122][123][124][125]

In Missouri, the legality of a Republican-backed congressional map remained disputed in September 2026. On September 8, Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh declined to intervene in an emergency appeal seeking to allow the new map to be used in the November election. Hours later, U.S. District Judge Stephen Clark issued a temporary order requiring Missouri to use the Republican-backed map, conflicting with Missouri Supreme Court ruling that had blocked its use and ordered a referendum on the map. The competing rulings left the state's congressional districts unresolved ahead of the general election.[126] However, on September 10, the U.S. Supreme Court stayed Judge Clark's order whilst a federal lawsuit filed by Republican nominees Bob Onder and Rick Brattin for the 3rd and 5th districts respectively, played out.[127] The United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit then fast-tracked the case for a hearing on September 17 and, ruling on the merits, affirmed the lower courts order on September 21, remanding the case back to the District Court for entry of a permanent injunction but stayed their ruling for a week pending an appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court.[128][129] On September 25, the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously held that state law rules in the case and granted an emergency stay of the Eighth Circuit's order and Judge Clark's injunction, leaving the 2022 maps in place for the 2026 elections. The court also faulted the District Court and the Eighth Circuit for what it deemed as having "incorrectly applied" the Purcell Principle and further held that the Supreme Court of Missouri was not at fault for "upsetting the status quo".[130]

Special elections

Six special elections to the House of Representatives were held in 2026.

Generic congressional ballot aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Republicans Democrats Other/
Undecided[d]
Margin
Decision Desk HQ[139] January 9, 2025 – October 2, 2026 October 5, 2026 42.5% 49.4% 8.1% Democrats +6.9%
FiftyPlusOne[140] January 9, 2025 – October 2, 2026 October 5, 2026 43.3% 51.2% 5.5% Democrats +7.9%
NBC News[141] January 9, 2025 – October 2, 2026 October 5, 2026 43.0% 52.0% 5.0% Democrats +9.0%
RealClearPolitics[142] September 16 – October 2, 2026 October 5, 2026 42.8% 51.1% 6.1% Democrats +8.3%
Silver Bulletin[143] January 9, 2025 – October 2, 2026 October 5, 2026 41.2% 50.1% 8.7% Democrats +8.9%
Average October 5, 2026 42.6% 50.8% 6.6% Democrats +8.2%
Close

State elections

Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
     Term-limited Democrat      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Attorney general elections
     Term-limited Democrat      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Secretary of state elections
     Term-limited or retiring Democrat      Republican term-limited, retiring, or lost renomination
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Treasurer elections
     Term-limited or retiring Democrat      Republican term-limited or lost renomination
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Auditor elections
     Retiring Democrat      Term-limited Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election

Gubernatorial elections

36 states and three territories will be holding regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections. The governors of 15 states and two territories will be term-limited.

Lieutenant gubernatorial elections

Nine states will be holding regularly scheduled lieutenant gubernatorial elections.

Attorney general elections

30 states, two territories, and one federal district will be holding regularly scheduled attorney general elections.

Secretary of state elections

26 states will be holding regularly scheduled secretary of state elections.

Treasurer elections

27 states will be holding regularly scheduled treasurer elections.

Auditor elections

23 states will be holding regularly scheduled auditor elections.

Legislative elections

88 state legislative chambers and 5 territorial chambers will be holding regularly scheduled elections.

State judicial elections

Elections are scheduled to be held in 2026, in various states across the country, including supreme courts and appellate courts.

Ballot measures

100 ballot measures in 37 states will be held in the November election.[144]

Local elections

Local elections will be held in the United States throughout 2026 to elect officers of municipal and county governments. At least 22 mayorships in the country's top 100 most populous cities will be up for election, and many more will hold elections for local ballot measures, city council, and numerous other municipal offices. Many of these races will coincide with the 2026 midterm elections.

Mayoral elections

A number of major cities will hold mayoral elections in 2026.

Incumbents re-elected

Incumbents defeated

Open seats won

Incumbents running for re-election

Eligible incumbents

Ineligible or retiring incumbents

County elections

Defeated incumbents

Open seats won

Eligible incumbents

Ineligible or retiring incumbents

Polling

2025–2026

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Close

2024–2025

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Democratic
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Lead
The Economist/YouGov[463] December 26–29, 2025 1,417 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 38% 20%[co] 4%
1,546 (A) 36% 31% 33%[az] 5%
Big Data Poll (R)[464] December 26–28, 2025 3,412 (LV) ± 1.9% 48%[h] 44% 8%[bf] 4%
45% 42% 13%[ek] 3%
Morning Consult[182] December 15–21, 2025 20,240 (RV) – 45% 42% 13%
The Economist/YouGov[465] December 20–22, 2025 1,424 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 40% 17%[ep]
1,591 (A) 38% 34% 28%[bz] 4%
Quantus Insights (R)[466] December 15–17, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% 16% 2%
AtlasIntel[467] December 15–19, 2025 2,315 (A) ± 2.0% 54% 38% 7%[eq] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[468] December 12–19, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 46% 45% 9% 1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[469][Y] December 15–17, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38% 17% 7%
Emerson College[470] December 14–15, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 42% 14% 2%
Reuters/Ipsos[234] December 12–15, 2025 775 (RV) – 40% 36% 24% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[471] December 12–15, 2025 1,451 (RV) ± 3.2% 43% 39% 18%[aa] 4%
1,630 (A) 37% 33% 30%[dm]
Morning Consult[182] December 12–15, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 45% 44% 11% 1%
Echelon Insights[472] December 11–15, 2025 1,011 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 45% 7% 3%
Quinnipiac University[473] December 11–15, 2025 1,035 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 43% 10% 4%
Big Data Poll (R)[474] December 10–12, 2025 3,004 (RV) ± 1.8% 47%[h] 43% 10%[bc]
44% 41% 15%[bw] 3%
The Argument/Verasight[475] December 5–11, 2025 – (LV) – 52% 48% – 4%
1,521 (RV) ± 2.7% 50% 49% – 1%
44% 42% 14% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[476] December 4–11, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 7% 5%
GrayHouse (R)[477][U] December 6–8, 2025 2,058 (RV) ± 2.2% 45% 41% 14% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[478] December 5–8, 2025 1,379 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 37% 21%[ei] 6%
1,529 (A) 37% 32% 31%[bl] 5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[479][J]
December 4–8, 2025 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4% 4%
Reuters/Ipsos[234] December 3–8, 2025 3,521 (RV) ± 2.0% 40% 39% 21% 1%
Cygnal (R)[480] December 5–7, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 44% 8% 4%
Morning Consult[182] December 5–7, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[481] December 4–5, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 16% 4%
RMG Research[482][G] December 1–4, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 45% 14%[bn] 4%
44%[h] 48% 8%[bn]
Big Data Poll (R)[483] November 28 – December 1, 2025 2,008 (RV) ± 2.1% 44%[h] 42% 20%[bx] 2%
41% 39% 20%[bd]
The Economist/YouGov[484] November 28 – December 1, 2025 1,452 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 39% 16%[co] 6%
1,623 (A) 39% 33% 28%[cu]
Morning Consult[182] November 26–30, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 45% 41% 14% 4%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)[485] November 19–26, 2025 2,000 (RV) – 48% 42% 10%[cr] 6%
The Bullfinch Group[486] November 21–25, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 35% 24%[er]
1,200 (A) ± 2.8% 37% 32% 31%[es] 5%
The Economist/YouGov[487] November 21–24, 2025 1,511 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 32% 29%[aa] 7%
1,674 (A) 44% 39% 17%[cj] 5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[488] November 17–24, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 45% 44% 11% 1%
Morning Consult[182] November 21–23, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 45% 43% 13% 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[489] November 18–23, 2025 2,410 (LV) ± 2.1% 45% 42% 13%[bs] 3%
J.L. Partners (R)[490][Z] November 19–20, 2025 797 (LV) – 50% 46% 4% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[491] November 15–17, 2025 1,380 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 40% 17%[p] 3%
Echelon Insights[492] November 13–17, 2025 1,051 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 45% 6% 4%
The Argument/Verasight[493] November 10–17, 2025 – (LV) – 54% 46% – 8%
1,508 (RV) ± 2.6% 53% 47% – 6%
46% 42% 12% 4%
Morning Consult[182] November 14–16, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 44% 10% 2%
High Point University[494] November 10–14, 2025 1,004 (A) ± 3.2% 46% 36% 13%[et] 10%
Marist University[495][C] November 10–13, 2025 1,291 (RV) ± 3.1% 55% 41% 4%[k] 14%
Quantus Insights (R)[496] November 11–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 39% 17% 5%
Reuters/Ipsos[497] November 7–12, 2025 938 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 40% 19% 1%
Marquette University Law School[498] November 5–12, 2025 903 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 44% 7%[eu] 5%
1,052 (A) ± 3.3% 46% 41% 13%[ev]
The Economist/YouGov[499] November 7–10, 2025 1,499 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 15%[bo] 7%
Morning Consult[500] November 7–9, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 48% 43% 9% 5%
Cygnal (R)[501] November 5–6, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 50% 44% 6% 6%
Emerson College[502] November 3–4, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 40% 16% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[503] October 31 – November 3, 2025 1,470 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 41% 15%[ew] 3%
RMG Research[504][G] October 27–30, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 42% 43% 15%[bn] 1%
44%[h] 46% 10%[bn] 2%
CNN/SSRS[505] October 27–30, 2025 945 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 42% 11%[ex] 5%
NewsNation/DDHQ[506] October 27–29, 2025 1,159 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 47% 7%[ey] Tie
1,609 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 44% 11%[ez] 1%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[507] October 24–29, 2025 1,352 (LV) ± 2.7% 49% 41% 10% 8%
1,567 (A) ± 2.6% 46% 39% 15% 7%
Big Data Poll (R)[508] October 26–28, 2025 2,984 (RV) ± 1.8% 43% 41% 16%[bc] 2%
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos[509] October 24–28, 2025 2,203 (RV) ± 2.2% 46% 44% 10%[fa]
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[510][E]
October 24–28, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 42% 8% 8%
The Economist/YouGov[511] October 24–27, 2025 1,472 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 40% 17%[bo] 3%
Yahoo News/YouGov[512] October 23–27, 2025 1,197 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 40% 15%[ay] 5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[513] October 21–27, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 44% 46% 10% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[514] October 16–23, 2025 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 46% 7% 1%
The Economist/YouGov[515] October 17–20, 2025 1,447 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 40% 15%[co] 5%
Quinnipiac University[516] October 17–20, 2025 1,327 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 41% 9% 9%
UMass Lowell/YouGov[517] October 16–20, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.5% 38% 35% 27%[fb] 3%
Echelon Insights[518] October 16–20, 2025 1,010 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6% 2%
Morning Consult[519] October 17–19, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Emerson College[520] October 13–14, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 43% 13% 1%
The Argument/Verasight[521] October 10–16, 2025 1,530 (RV) – 51% 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov[522] October 10–13, 2025 1,466 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 40% 17%[bo] 3%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[523][J]
October 8–12, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 48% 47% 5% 1%
YouGov Blue (D)[524] October 7–10, 2025 517 (RV) – 48% 45% 7% 3%
Cygnal (R)[525] October 7–8, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 45% 7%
Quantus Insights (R)[526] October 6–8, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 43% 15% 1%
The Economist/YouGov[527] October 4–6, 2025 1,486 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 39% 17%[ep] 5%
Noble Predictive Insights/
The Center Square[528]
October 2–6, 2025 2,565 (RV) ± 2.0% 45% 43% 12% 2%
Morning Consult[529] October 3–5, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
The Economist/YouGov[530] September 26–29, 2025 1,517 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 41% 15%[bo]
Yahoo News/YouGov[531] September 25–29, 2025 1,126 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 40% 16%[ay] 4%
New York Times/Siena College[532] September 22–27, 2025 1,313 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 45% 8% 2%
RMG Research[533][G] September 22–24, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 41% 43% 16%[cq] 2%
45%[h] 46% 9%[cq] 1%
The Economist/YouGov[534] September 19–22, 2025 1,392 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 42% 13%[aa] 3%
Echelon Insights[535] September 18–22, 2025 1,071 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 46% 7% 1%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[536] September 17–22, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 41% 47% 12% 6%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[537] September 15–19, 2025 1,268 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 45% 5% 5%
1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 47% 42% 11%
AtlasIntel[538] September 12–16, 2025 1,066 (A) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 4%[fc] 8%
Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D)[539] September 11–16, 2025 800 (V) – 51% 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov[540] September 12–15, 2025 1,418 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 41% 16%[ay]
National Association of Independent Pollsters[fd][541] September 6–13, 2025 2,071 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 46% 7% 1%
i360[542][AA] September 10–12, 2025 577 (RV) ± 4.1% 35% 32% 33%[fe] 5%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[543] September 4–11, 2025 1,001 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 44% 6% 6%
The Economist/YouGov[544] September 5–8, 2025 1,482 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 4%[bo] 2%
Public Religion Research Institute[545] August 15 – September 8, 2025 5,543 (A) ± 1.8% 33% 30% 36%[ff] 3%
Cygnal (R)[546] September 2–3, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 45% 7%
Yahoo News/YouGov[547] August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,136 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 16%[ay] 4%
The Economist/YouGov[548] August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,548 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 39% 18%[ep]
Survey 160[549] August 26 – September 1, 2025 – (RV) ± 5.8% 46% 39% 15% 7%
Morning Consult[550] August 29–31, 2025 2,202 (RV) – 45% 41% 14% 4%
Emerson College[551] August 25–26, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 43% 14% Tie
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[552] August 21–26, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 47% 8% 2%
The Economist/YouGov[553] August 22–25, 2025 1,374 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% 16%[aa] 2%
Reuters/Ipsos[554] August 22–24, 2025 1,022 (A) ± 3.2% 38% 34% 28%[fg]
SoCal Strategies (R)[555][AB] August 19, 2025 700 (A) – 42% 37% 21% 5%
RMG Research[556][G] August 18–21, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 44% 44% 12%[cq] Tie
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[557] August 18–21, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 49% 41% 10% 8%
Echelon Insights[558] August 14–18, 2025 1,057 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 46% 7% 1%
The Argument/Verasight[559] August 18–21, 2025 1,562 (RV) ± 2.6% 45% 42% 13% 3%
51%[h] 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov[560] August 15–18, 2025 1,404 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 39% 17%[aa] 5%
Quantus Insights (R)[561] August 11–13, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% 13% 3%
The Economist/YouGov[562] August 9–11, 2025 1,473 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 40% 18%[bo] 2%
The Economist/YouGov[563] August 1–4, 2025 1,528 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 38% 18%[aa] 6%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[564][J]
July 29 – August 3, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 7% 5%
GrayHouse (R)[565][U] July 27–29, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.7% 47% 44% 9% 3%
Yahoo News/YouGov[566] July 24–28, 2025 1,167 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 15%[ao] 7%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[567][AC] July 21–24, 2025 2,000 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
1,633 (LV) 48% 44% 8% 4%
Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D)[568][569][B] July 16–20, 2025 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 43% 10%[fh] 3%
Emerson College[570] July 21–22, 2025 1,400 (LV) ± 2.5% 44% 42% 14% 2%
AtlasIntel[571] July 13–18, 2025 1,935 (A) ± 2.0% 51% 43% 6%[eq] 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[572] July 13–17, 2025 2,288 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 42% 12% 4%
RMG Research[573][G] July 14–16, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 45% 49% 6%[cq] 4%
Big Data Poll (R)[574][575] July 12–14, 2025 3,022 (RV) ± 1.8% 42% 41% 17%[cx] 1%
Echelon Insights[576] July 10–14, 2025 1,084 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 48% 5% 1%
45% 41% 14%[fi] 4%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[577] July 9–14, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 2.5% 42% 47% 11% 5%
A2 Insights[578] July 7–10, 2025 862 (RV) – 48% 44% 8% 4%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[579] July 1–3, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.7% 47% 43% 10%
Cygnal (R)[580] July 1–2, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 46% 7% 1%
Emerson College[581] June 24–25, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 40% 17% 3%
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)[582] June 23–25, 2025 633 (RV) – 47% 42% 11%[fj] 5%
Cygnal (R)[583] June 19–21, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 6% 2%
RMG Research[584][G] June 18–19, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 52% 4%[cq] 8%
Echelon Insights[585] June 12–16, 2025 982 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 48% 5% 1%
co/efficient (R)[586] June 12–16, 2025 1,035 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 46% 8%[o] Tie
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[587] June 5–14, 2025 1,000 (V) ± 3.1% 50% 45% 5% 5%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[588] June 6–12, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 45% 37% 18% 8%
Quantus Insights (R)[589][AD] June 9–11, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 43% 14% Tie
Quantus Insights (R)[590][AD] June 1–4, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 45% 9% 1%
AtlasIntel[591] May 21–27, 2025 3,469 (A) ± 2.0% 51% 42% 7% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[592] May 21–26, 2025 1,000 (LV) – 43% 47% 10% 4%
RMG Research[593][G] May 20–21, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 45% 4%[cq] 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[594][AE] May 15–19, 2025 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 42% 16% Tie
Echelon Insights[595] May 8–12, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 48% 5% 1%
co/efficient (R)[596] May 7–9, 2025 1,462 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 42% 10%[k] 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[597][AD] May 5–7, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 10% Tie
Big Data Poll (R)[598][599] May 3–5, 2025 3,128 (RV) ± 1.8% 40% 42% 18%[cx] 2%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[600] May 1–6, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 47% 41% 12% 6%
NewsNation/DDHQ[601] April 23–27, 2025 1,448 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 40% 15%[fk] 5%
New York Times/Siena College[602] April 21–24, 2025 913 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 44% 9% 3%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)[603][H]
April 18–21, 2025 1,104 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 42% 9% 7%
Noble Predictive Insights/
The Center Square[604]
April 15–18, 2025 2,500 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 42% 13% 3%
RMG Research[605][G] April 16, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 45% 5%[cq] 5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[606][J]
April 9–13, 2025 – (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
RealClear Opinion Research[607][608] April 10–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 39% 21% 1%
Cygnal (R)[609] April 1–3, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 47% 5%
Yale Youth Poll[610] April 1–3, 2025 4,100 (RV) ± 1.9% 43% 42% 15%
Quantus Insights (R)[611][AD] March 25–27, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 46% 9% 1%
Echelon Insights[612] March 10–13, 2025 1,007 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 7%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[613][E]
March 7–11, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 47% 5% 1%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[614] March 3–9, 2025 1,036 (V) ± 1.7% 46% 44% 10% 2%
Cygnal (R)[615] March 3–5, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 46% 7% 1%
Emerson College[616] March 2–3, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 41% 15% 3%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[617][AF] February 25 – March 2, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 46% 10% 2%
RMG Research[618][G] February 20–21, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 48% 6%[cq]
co/efficient (R)[619] February 15–17, 2025 2,063 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 46% 10%
Echelon Insights[620] February 10–13, 2025 1,010 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 47% 7% 1%
Quantus Insights (R)[621][AD] February 10–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8% 4%
Morning Consult[182] February 3–9, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 43% 45% 12% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[622] January 31 – February 6, 2025 1,102 (V) ± 1.5% 45% 44% 11% 1%
Cygnal (R)[623] February 4–5, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 47% 7% 1%
Morning Consult[182] January 27 – February 2, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 43% 44% 13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)[624][AG]
January 27 – February 1, 2025 3,000 (RV) ± 1.8% 43% 43% 14% Tie
Morning Consult[182] January 20–26, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 42% 45% 13% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[625][AD] January 22–23, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 48% 7%
RMG Research[626][G] January 15–16, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 51% 5%[cq] 7%
Cygnal (R)[627] January 9–12, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 47% 8% 2%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[628] December 11–16, 2024 1,000 (LV) – 42% 47% 11% 5%
Cygnal (R)[629] December 9–11, 2024 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 48% 7% 3%
Close

Elections by state or territory

See also

Notes

  1. Oklahoma law requires appointees to affirm they will not seek a full term.[1]
  2. As a result of redistricting.
  3. As a result of death, resignation, or expulsion.
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
  6. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 2%
  7. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 16%; "Candidate from another political party" with 2%; "Skipped" with 1%
  8. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  9. "Some other candidate" with 4%
  10. "An independent or third-party candidate" with 6%
  11. "Other" with 3%
  12. "I will not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 3%
  13. "Would not vote" with 5%; "Another party's candidate" with 4%
  14. "Would not vote" with 10%; "Another party's candidate" with 7%
  15. "Other" with 2%
  16. "Other" and "I would not vote" with 3%
  17. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 5%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  18. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  19. "Another candidate" with 2%
  20. "Other party" with 4%
  21. "Other party" with 5%
  22. "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%; "No Response" with 1%
  23. "Someone else/third party" with 7%
  24. "Someone else/third party" with 8%
  25. "Independent/another candidate" with 10%; "Do not plan to vote" with 8%
  26. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 2%
  27. "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  28. "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 3%
  29. "I would not vote" with 5%
  30. "Would not vote" with 19%; "Vote another candidate" with 1%
  31. "Neither" with 4%
  32. "Neither" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  33. "Neither" with 8%; "Would not vote" with 5%
  34. "Other" with 4%
  35. "I would not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 4%
  36. "I would not vote" with 9%; "Other" with 4%
  37. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 3%; "Candidate from another political party" with 2%
  38. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 13%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
  39. "Some other candidate" with 7%
  40. "An Independent Candidate" with 10%
  41. "I would not vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  42. "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 1%
  43. "Candidate from another political party" with 5%; "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%
  44. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  45. "Independent Candidate" with 10%
  46. "Another party's candidate" with 3%; "Rather not say" with 3%
  47. "Would not vote" with 4%
  48. "I would not vote" and "Other" with 4%
  49. "I would not vote" with 7%; "Other" with 4%
  50. "An independent or third-party candidate" with 6%
  51. "I would not vote" & "Other" with 2%
  52. "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 2%
  53. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
  54. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  55. "Someone else / third party" with 10%
  56. "Someone else / third party" with 7%
  57. "Someone else / third party" with 13%
  58. "Someone else / third party" with 8%
  59. "Neither" with 8%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  60. "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 5%
  61. "Will not/do not plan to vote" and "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  62. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 13%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  63. "Doesn't matter either way" with 7%
  64. "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 2%
  65. "I would not vote" with 7%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  66. "Would not vote" with 3%
  67. "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 2%
  68. "Not sure" with 14%; "Another/Lean to another candidate" with 5%
  69. "Independent/Other/Minor party" with 15%; "Not sure/Will not vote" with 7%
  70. "Other" with 4%; "I wouldn't vote" with 3%
  71. "Some other candidate" with 5%
  72. "Other" with 5%
  73. "I would not vote" with 10%; "Other" with 4%
  74. "Someone else / third party" with 9%
  75. "Someone else / third party" with 5%
  76. "Someone else / third party" with 14%
  77. "Neither" with 11; "Would not vote" with 5%
  78. "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 1%
  79. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 6%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  80. "Someone else" with 3%
  81. "Third party / Independent" with 9%
  82. "Third party / Independent" with 8%
  83. "I would not vote" with 17%; "Other" with 1%
  84. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  85. "Some other candidate" with 8%
  86. "Independent candidate" with 11%
  87. "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 2%
  88. "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 1%
  89. "Neither" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  90. "Will not vote" with 5%; "Third party candidate" with 2%
  91. "Would not vote" with 7%
  92. "I would not vote" with 5%
  93. "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 2%
  94. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 5%; "Skipped" with 1%
  95. "Would not vote" with 2%
  96. "Other" with 1%
  97. "I would not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 3%
  98. "I would not vote" with 11%; "Other" with 4%
  99. "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 2%
  100. "Neither" with 11%; "Do not plan to vote" with 3%
  101. "Another candidate" with 4%"
  102. "Someone else / third party" with 6%
  103. "Would not vote" with 6%
  104. "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other" with 2%
  105. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Skipped" with 1%
  106. "Undecided" with 14%; "Neither/another party" with 5%; "I wouldn't vote" with 4%
  107. "Other party" 4%
  108. "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  109. "Neither" with 10%; "Would not vote" with 5%
  110. "I would not vote" with 15%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  111. "Neither" with 8%; "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
  112. "Someone else / third party" with 12%
  113. "Depends" with 12%; "Neither" with 2%
  114. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 12%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  115. "Other party" with 3%
  116. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  117. "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 1%
  118. "Another candidate" with 5%
  119. "I would not vote" and "Another candidate" with 5%
  120. "I would not vote" with 11%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  121. "Third party / Independent" with 2%
  122. "Third party / Independent" with 3%
  123. "Doesn't matter either way" with 8%, "Not sure" with 7%
  124. "Third party candidate" and "Would not vote" with 3%
  125. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  126. "I wouldn't vote" with 9%; "Other" with 5%
  127. "Would not vote" with 8%
  128. "Would not vote" with 18%
  129. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
  130. "Third party/other" with 3%
  131. "Another candidate" with 7%
  132. "Another candidate" and "I would not vote" with 6%
  133. "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 6%
  134. "Another party" with 4%
  135. "Third party" with 5%
  136. "Third party" with 2%
  137. "Neither" with 3%
  138. "Neither" with 10%; "Would not vote" with 7%
  139. "I would not vote" & "Other" with 3%
  140. "I would not vote" with 11%; "Other" with 2%
  141. "Someone else / third party" with 4%
  142. "Other candidate" with 2%
  143. "Some other candidate" with 4%
  144. "Other / third-party / Independent" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 3%
  145. "Other / third-party / Independent" with 10%; "I would not vote" with 9%
  146. "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  147. "Would not vote" with 1%
  148. "Other/third-party/Independent" and "I would not vote" with 7%
  149. "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party/Independent" with 6%
  150. "Another Party" with 7%
  151. "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  152. "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  153. "Other" with 3%; "I would not vote" with 2%
  154. "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
  155. "Third-party candidate" with 7%
  156. "Third-party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  157. "Would not vote" with 9%
  158. "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 2%
  159. "I would not vote" with 1%
  160. The association's members are Big Data Poll, InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen Reports, & the Trafalgar Group.
  161. "Other candidate" with 10%
  162. "Would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party candidate" with 4%
  163. "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 8%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  164. "Refused" with 1%
  165. America Party candidate with 5%
  166. "Or Another Third Party Candidate" with 2%
  167. "A third-party candidate" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  2. Poll conducted for The Wall Street Journal
  3. Poll sponsored by NPR and PBS News
  4. Poll sponsored by the United America Institute
  5. Poll conducted for NBC News
  6. Poll sponsored by Napolitan News Service
  7. Poll conducted for Fox News
  8. Poll commissioned by CoinBase
  9. Poll conducted for CNBC
  10. Poll conducted for Scripps News
  11. Poll sponsored by NBC News and More Perfect
  12. Poll sponsored by Winning the Issues
  13. Poll commissioned by UNITE HERE
  14. Poll sponsored by the Conservative Energy Network
  15. Poll commissioned by CoinDesk
  16. Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  17. Poll commissioned by Gambling is Not Investing
  18. Poll sponsored by Third Way and UnidosUS
  19. Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project, which supports Republicans
  20. Poll sponsored by America One Policies, a Republican super PAC
  21. Poll sponsored by Campaign For A Family Friendly Economy PAC
  22. Poll conducted for 1776 Law Center
  23. Poll sponsored by the Progress Action Fund, which supports Democrats
  24. Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, a group that supports Republicans
  25. Poll conducted for The Daily Mail
  26. Poll sponsored by Americans for Prosperity, a libertarian conservative political advocacy group
  27. Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics & On Point Politics, both of which support Republicans
  28. Poll sponsored by America's New Majority Project
  29. Poll sponsored by the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  30. Poll conducted for the Paragon Health Institute
  31. Poll sponsored by AARP

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