Opinion polling in Scotland for the next United Kingdom general election

Polling in Scotland for next UK General Election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Politics and polling in Scotland often have a different dynamic to the rest of the UK,[1] and polling companies undertake separate polling in Scotland: results of such polls are displayed in this article. The polling companies listed are all members of the British Polling Council[2] (unless noted) all abide by its disclosure rules.[3] The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present.

The next UK general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later.[4]

Graphical summary

A graph showing the results of opinion polling in Scotland for the next United Kingdom general election
A graph showing the results of opinion polling in Scotland for the next United Kingdom general election

Polls

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Lab SNP Con LD Ref Grn Alba Others Lead
26–31 Mar 2026 Ipsos STV 1,030 15% 37% 11% 8% 18% 9% 2% 19
The Alba Party deregisters as a political party and dissolves[5]
20 Feb – 6 Mar 2026 Lord Ashcroft Poll[a][b] N/A 2,089 13% 36% 10% 8% 16% 12% 0% 5% 20
19–25 Feb 2026 Ipsos STV 1,083 19% 33% 10% 10% 18% 8% 2% 14
13–19 Feb 2026 Find Out Now The National 1,002 14% 31% 8% 10% 23% 10% 1% 3% 8
11–18 Feb 2026 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,477 14% 32% 11% 9% 21% 11% 2% 11
10–13 Feb 2026 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,001 17% 32% 11% 7% 23% 8% 1% 1% 9
13–16 Jan 2026 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,016 17% 32% 11% 9% 21% 7% 1% 1% 11
15 Jan 2026 Malcolm Offord is appointed leader of Reform UK in Scotland
8–12 Jan 2026 Survation True North 1,003 17% 31% 12% 9% 21% 8% 1% 0% 10
11–19 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[6] The National 1,000 13% 32% 10% 8% 24% 10% 3% 8
27 Nov – 3 Dec 2025 Ipsos[7] STV 1061 17% 33% 11% 8% 20% 11% 1% 13
22–25 Sep 2025 Norstat[8] The Sunday Times 1,010 18% 31% 11% 9% 23% 7% 1% 1% 8
15–21 Sep 2025 Find Out Now[9] The National 1,282 15% 30% 10% 9% 23% 6% 5% 7
4–16 Sep 2025 Survation Scotland in Union 2,051 19% 35% 12% 8% 19% 4% 1% 1% 16
21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 More in Common[10] N/A 1,104 17% 31% 11% 11% 21% 6% 2% 10
29 Aug 2025 Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
13–19 Jun 2025 YouGov[11] Scottish Election Study 1,178 19% 29% 10% 11% 22% 7% 1% 7
12–18 Jun 2025 Ipsos[12] STV 1,066 22% 31% 10% 9% 16% 10% 1% 1% 9
27–30 May 2025 Norstat[13] The Sunday Times 1,007 20% 31% 12% 8% 21% 7% 1% 1% 10
2–5 May 2025 Survation[14] True North 1,020 19% 32% 11% 11% 21% 5% 11
16–22 Apr 2025 Survation[15] Diffley Partnership 1,005 24% 33% 14% 9% 15% 5% 9
25 Feb – 3 Mar 2025 YouGov[16] Scottish Election Study 1,164 21% 32% 12% 7% 19% 7% 1% 11
15–20 Jan 2025 Find Out Now[17] Sunday Herald 1,334 18% 32% 12% 9% 17% 6% 5% 14
11–14 Jan 2025 Norstat[18] The Sunday Times 1,334 18% 32% 13% 11% 17% 6% 2% 14
7–13 Jan 2025 Survation[19] Holyrood Sources 1,024 24% 33% 14% 9% 15% 4% 1% 9
17–24 Dec 2024 Find Out Now[20] The National 1,774 20% 34% 13% 9% 15% 6% 2% 14
4–6 Dec 2024 Norstat[21] The Sunday Times 1,013 20% 31% 14% 9% 15% 6% 3% 1% 11
1–15 Nov 2024 Survation[22] Progress Scotland 3,016 28% 31% 15% 6% 13% 5% 3% 1% 3
30 Oct – 1 Nov 2024 Norstat[23] The Sunday Times 1,013 23% 30% 15% 10% 14% 6% 1% 1% 7
27 Sep 2024 Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep 2024 Survation[24] Progress Scotland 2,059 31% 31% 14% 9% 11% 3% 1% Tie
5–11 Sep 2024 Opinium[25] The Sunday Times 1,028 25% 32% 14% 8% 11% 7% 2% 7
20–22 Aug 2024 Norstat[26] The Sunday Times 1,011 32% 29% 12% 8% 12% 5% 2% 1% 3
4 Jul 2024 2024 General Election Result – 35.3% 30.0% 12.7% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8% 0.5% 1.6% 5.3
Close

UK polls with Scottish sub-samples

This section captures data from UK wide polls that have a Scottish sub-samples; these have very small sample sizes and should be viewed with caution as the statistical margin of error will be in the region of ±10%.[27] The statistical margin of error for a full poll with a sample size of 1000 is typically ±3%. Additional uncertainty arises from the fact that sub-samples may not be correctly weighted to account for demographic variations (age, gender, previous voting intention etc.).

However even with a high margin of error where these sub-polls consistently report a similar set of results then the statistical significance increases.

Where statistical noise overwhelms the results there would not be an identifiable pattern between sub-polls. Therefore these sub-polls provide a regular insight into Scottish polling when they align and provide a far more frequent opportunity to understand the movements in Scottish political when full 'Scottish only' polling is relatively rare in Scotland.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Lab SNP Con LD Ref Grn Others Lead
15–17 Apr 2026 Opinium[28] The Observer 133 19% 27% 12% 8% 18% 11% 5% 8
15–16 Apr 2026 Find Out Now[29] 97 16% 30% 14% 9% 19% 11% 2% 11
15 Apr 2026 Find Out Now[30] 113 9% 29% 13% 12% 15% 12% 2% 14
9–15 Apr 2026 IPSOS[31] 69 13% 24% 6% 16% 25% 16% 5% 1
12–13 Apr 2026 YouGov[32] The Times/Sky News 206 9% 33% 9% 8% 29% 8% 4% 4
10–13 Apr 2026 More in Common[33] 89 15% 30% 10% 15% 23% 5% 4% 7
10–12 Apr 2026 Freshwater Strategy[34] City AM 59 17% 24% 14% 13% 15% 9% 7% 7
8–9 Apr 2026 JL Partners[35] 293 19% 30% 11% 10% 18% 8% 3% 11
8 Apr 2026 Find Out Now[36] 150 12% 33% 13% 11% 18% 8% 4% 15
6–7 Apr 2026 YouGov[37] The Times/Sky News 202 14% 33% 11% 9% 15% 11% 4% 18
2–7 Apr 2026 More in Common[38] 99 25% 27% 7% 14% 22% 4% 1% 2
1–2 Apr 2026 Find Out Now[39] 107 10% 30% 12% 12% 18% 12% 5% 12
27 Mar – 1 Apr 2026 Good Growth Foundation[40] 176 15% 33% 7% 13% 19% 8% 5% 14
29–30 Mar 2026 YouGov[41] The Times/Sky News 206 17% 37% 12% 7% 16% 7% 3% 20
28–30 Mar 2026 More in Common[42] 97 21% 23% 11% 15% 22% 9% 4% 1
26–27 Mar 2026 Find Out Now[43] 161 14% 34% 11% 11% 20% 9% 2% 14
25 Mar 2026 BMG Now[44] 131 10% 32% 12% 13% 15% 12% 7% 17
22–23 Mar 2026 YouGov[45] The Times/Sky News 212 16% 42% 5% 14% 15% 8% 1% 26
20–23 Mar 2026 More in Common[46] 121 13% 31% 12% 17% 20% 3% 2% 11
18–20 Mar 2026 Opinium[47] The Observer 139 18% 28% 11% 12% 18% 10% 2% 14
18 Mar 2026 Find Out Now[48] 124 12% 33% 7% 12% 17% 13% 7% 16
15–16 Mar 2026 YouGov[49] The Times/Sky News 203 15% 27% 11% 13% 22% 8% 4% 5
13–16 Mar 2026 More in Common[50] 120 22% 25% 14% 14% 21% 5% 0% 3
11 Mar 2026 Find Out Now[51] 131 11% 28% 8% 13% 24% 13% 4% 4
9–10 Mar 2026 YouGov[52] The Times/Sky News 195 19% 27% 13% 9% 16% 13% 3% 8
6–10 Mar 2026 Focal Data[53] 76 18% 28% 8% 9% 11% 7% 17% 10
6–9 Mar 2026 More in Common[54] 139 19% 20% 15% 12% 28% 4% % 8
4–6 Mar 2026 Opinium[55] The Observer 135 16% 30% 11% 8% 18% 11% 6% 12
4–6 Mar 2026 Find Out Now[56] 117 9% 27% 9% 14% 23% 14% 5% 4
5 Mar 2026 Survation[57] 74 15% 25% 8% 13% 30% 11% 0% 5
3–4 Mar 2026 BMG Research[58] iPaper 107 13% 27% 14% 10% 17% 14% 5% 10
1–2 Mar 2026 YouGov[59] The Times/Sky News 180 12% 38% 9% 12% 16% 10% 5% 22
27 Feb – 2 Mar 2026 More in Common[60] 120 14% 33% 9% 14% 18% 9% 3% 15
25 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[61] 129 7% 33% 7% 13% 17% 17% 6% 16
22–23 Feb 2026 YouGov[62] The Times/Sky News 202 13% 36% 10% 12% 21% 4% 4% 15
20–23 Feb 2026 More in Common[63] 118 19% 28% 9% 14% 23% 6% 1% 5
18 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[64] 107 15% 36% 6% 8% 19% 11% 5% 17
13–17 Feb 2026 More in Common[65] 114 16% 33% 10% 11% 19% 7% 4% 14
15–16 Feb 2026 YouGov[66] The Times/Sky News 207 11% 38% 11% 9% 18% 5% 7% 20
13–16 Feb 2026 GGF Insights[67] 125 22% 36% 10% 11% 14% 6% 0% 14
4–12 Feb 2026 JL Partners[68][b] 167 20% 31% 10% 9% 20% 9% 2% 11
11 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[69] 124 9% 33% 11% 11% 23% 11% 3% 10
6–10 Feb 2026 More in Common[70] 101 26% 26% 15% 5% 23% 3% 3% Tie
8–9 Feb 2026 YouGov[71] The Times/Sky News 212 21% 33% 5% 8% 22% 11% 2% 11
4 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[72] 118 16% 23% 14% 7% 24% 13% 2% 1
1–2 Feb 2026 YouGov[73] The Times/Sky News 203 13% 35% 9% 11% 23% 7% 2% 12
31 Jan – 2 Feb 2026 More in Common[74] 128 22% 29% 9% 9% 27% 4% 0% 2
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Freshwater Strategy[75] City AM 55 9% 29% 9% 12% 27% 12% 3% 2
28–29 Jan 2026 BMG Research[76] iPaper 107 16% 34% 3% 16% 22% 7% 1% 12
28–29 Jan 2026 Survation[77] 78 18% 35% 7% 14% 17% 8% 0% 18
28 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[78] 154 11% 35% 7% 9% 22% 13% 3% 13
25–26 Jan 2026 YouGov[79] 211 13% 35% 8% 13% 16% 15% 1% 19
23–25 Jan 2026 More in Common[80] 111 14% 34% 10% 11% 25% 5% 0% 9
21–23 Jan 2026 Opinium[81] The Observer 123 20% 31% 8% 6% 25% 7% 3% 6
21 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[82] 122 8% 37% 15% 7% 23% 8% 3% 14
18–19 Jan 2026 YouGov[83] 203 18% 33% 9% 13% 15% 11% 2% 15
16–19 Jan 2026 FocalData[84] 112 29% 32% 3% 9% 24% 4% 0% 3
16–19 Jan 2026 More in Common[85] 131 19% 20% 12% 16% 32% 1% 0% 12
15–19 Jan 2026 Lord Ashcroft[86] 474 16% 29% 11% 10% 18% 13% 3% 11
14 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[87] 142 15% 28% 11% 11% 21% 11% 4% 7
10–14 Jan 2026 Survation[88] 140 23% 29% 10% 9% 25% 3% 0% 4
10–13 Jan 2026 More in Common[89] 171 16% 24% 17% 8% 27% 4% 0% 3
11–12 Jan 2026 YouGov[90] 204 14% 40% 9% 13% 17% 4% 3% 23
9–11 Jan 2026 Freshwater Strategy[91] City AM 47 21% 31% 9% 16% 27% 4% 1% 5
7–9 Jan 202 Opinium[92] The Observer 125 16% 27% 10% 6% 31% 10% 1% 4
7–8 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[93] 118 8% 31% 11% 11% 21% 15% 2% 10
4–5 Jan 2026 YouGov[94] 204 11% 40% 10% 11% 18% 8% 3% 22
2–5 Jan 2026 More in Common[95] 120 22% 22% 13% 12% 26% 4% 1% 4
Close
More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Lab SNP Con LD Ref Grn Others Lead
31 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[96] 150 15% 31% 9% 11 16% 11% 6% 15
24 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[97] 136 7% 34% 13% 9% 22% 13% 2% 12
19–23 Dec 2025 More in Common[98] 115 17% 31% 12% 14% 19% 5% 2% 12
21–22 Dec 2025 YouGov[99] 197 12% 37% 13% 9% 19% 8% 3% 18
17 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[100] 91 10% 29% 11% 9% 22% 14% 1% 7
12–16 Dec 2025 More in Common[101] 125 16% 30% 15% 12% 20% 6% 1% 10
14–15 Dec 2025 YouGov[102] 202 10% 40% 8% 5% 29% 7% 0% 11
10–12 Dec 2025 Opinium[103] The Observer 126 13% 32% 8% 13% 32% 9% 3% 1
10 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[104] 113 6% 29% 13% 12% 22% 12% 7% 7
7–8 Dec 2025 YouGov[105] 200 16% 39% 13% 9% 18% 4% 2% 21
3 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[106] 135 13% 30% 9% 9% 23% 12% 3% 7
30 Nov – 1 Dec 2025 You Gov[107] 206 16% 39% 9% 12% 14% 8% 2% 23
28 Nov – 1 Dec 2025 More in Common[108] 132 19% 24% 12% 16% 20% 9% 0% 4
28–30 Nov 2025 Freshwater Strategy[109] City AM 79 21% 31% 10% 11% 25% 2% 1% 6
26–28 Nov 2025 FocalData[110] 77 17% 32% 7% 14% 19% 10% 1% 14
26 Nov 2025 Opinium[111] The Observer 126 18% 32% 11% 7% 22% 9% 1% 10
26 Nov 2025 Find Out Now[112] 134 13% 29% 8% 15% 22% 11% 2% 7
23–24 Nov 2025 YouGov[113] The Times/Sky News 209 15% 34% 10% 15% 18% 6% 3% 16
22–24 Nov 2025 More in Common[114] 94 9% 34% 12% 12% 27% 3% 2% 7
19–21 Nov 2025 Opinium[115] The Observer 122 13% 31% 12% 8% 23% 11% 3% 8
18–21 Nov 2025 Focal Data[116] 122 16% 30% 13% 10% 24% 5% 3% 6
19 Nov 2025 Find Out Now[117] 120 18% 30% 4% 17% 17% 12% 3% 12
16–17 Nov 2025 YouGov[118] Times/Sky News 205 16% 32% 9% 12% 20% 9% 1% 12
14–17 Nov 2025 More in Common[119] 135 14% 27% 9% 9% 38% 2% 0% 11
12 Nov 2025 Find Out Now[120] 120 16% 28% 6% 8% 20% 15% 5% 8
9–10 Nov 2025 YouGov[121] The Times/Sky News 206 17% 33% 11% 18% 21% 5% 1% 12
7–10 Nov 2025 More In Common[122] 129 22% 22% 11% 18% 20% 6% 1% Tie
7–9 Nov 2025 Freshwater Strategy[123] City AM 64 11% 31% 11% 11% 25% 10% 1% 6
5–7 Nov 2025 Opinium[124] 121 14% 32% 11% 4% 27% 10% 1% 5
5–6 Nov 2025 Find Out Now[125] 154 15% 28% 9% 11% 27% 7% 2% 1
5 Nov 2025 IPSOS[126] 70 7% 43% 4% 10% 23% 11% 10% 20
2–3 Nov 2025 YouGov[127] 207 18% 35% 4% 10% 19% 10% 2% 16
15 Oct 2025 Find Out Now[128] 139 14% 30% 8% 14% 27% 4% 2% 3
13–14 Oct 2025 YouGov[129] 202 19% 35% 10% 12% 17% 6% 1% 16
7–8 Sep 2025 YouGov[130] 206 20% 33% 10% 12% 16% 6% 3% 13
3–5 Sep 2025 Opinium[131] The Observer 133 24% 25% 7% 8% 22% 12% 1% 1
3 Sep 2025 Find Out Now[132] 113 13% 31% 10% 11% 19% 12% 3% 12
28 Aug – 2 Sep 2025 Survation[133] 154 17% 39% 14% 4% 23% 2% 1% 14
31 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 YouGov[134] The Times/Sky News 220 16% 36% 6% 9% 26% 4% 2% 10
29–31 Aug 2025 Freshwater Strategies[135] City AM 76 21% 38% 9% 10% 17% 3% 2% 17
22–28 Aug 2025 BMG Research[136] iPaper 76 16% 26% 20% 14% 19% 5% 1% 7
27 Aug 2025 Find Out Now[137] 120 15% 28% 13% 15% 19% 1% 10% 9
25–26 Aug 2025 YouGov[138] The Times/Sky News 212 17% 32% 9% 11% 19% 8% 3% 13
20–22 Aug 2025 Opinium[139] The Observer 139 16% 30% 9% 16% 21% 7% 1% 9
20 Aug 2025 Find Out Now[140] 121 14% 28% 10% 11% 18% 4% 3% 10
17–18 Aug 2025 YouGov[141] The Times/Sky News 208 16% 38% 10% 10% 19% 3% 3% 19
13–14 Aug 2025 Find Out Now[142] 120 11% 30% 13% 13% 20% 6% 6% 10
10–11 Aug 2025 YouGov[143] The Times/Sky News 218 11% 37% 11% 13% 19% 4% 5% 18
8–11 Aug 2025 More in Common[144] 127 25% 24% 13% 9% 18% 5% 5% 1
8–11 Aug 2025 Opinium[145] The Observer 124 14% 39% 10% 9% 24% 4% 1% 15
6 Aug 2025 Find Out Now[146] 124 13% 28% 16% 12% 22% 6% 5% 6
3–4 Aug 2025 YouGov[147] The Times/Sky News 215 15% 39% 11% 13% 14% 5% 3% 24
1–3 Aug 2025 More in Common[148] 125 15% 29% 17% 8% 24% 7% 5
1–3 Aug 2025 Freshwater Strategies[135] City AM 57 14% 40% 20% 5% 18% 4% 0% 20
29–31 Jul 2025 BMG Research[149] iPaper 123 15% 29% 17% 12% 18% 8% 5% 11
30 Jul 2025 Find Out Now[150] 130 17% 26% 11% 10% 21% 5% 5% 5
27–28 Jul 2025 YouGov[151] The Times/Sky News 192 21% 31% 6% 8% 22% 9% 3% 9
26–28 Jul 2025 More in Common[152] 116 19% 31% 6% 12% 19% 10% 2% 12
23–25 Jul 2025 Opinium[153] The Observer 127 24% 33% 11% 4% 21% 4% 2% 9
23 Jul 2025 Find Out Now[154] 121 13% 28% 10% 11% 29% 5% 5% 1
20–21 Jul 2025 YouGov[155] The Times/Sky News 198 17% 34% 11% 9% 21% 6% 2% 13
16 Jul 2025 Find Out Now[156] 119 18% 26% 13% 12% 19% 5% 6% 7
13–14 Jul 2025 YouGov[157] The Times/Sky News 192 18% 33% 7% 12% 22% 6% 3% 11
11–14 Jul 2025 More in Common[158] 177 20% 31% 10% 15% 20% 3% 1% 11
9–11 Jul 2025 Opinium[159] The Observer 120 20% 31% 11% 6% 23% 7% 3% 8
9 Jul 2025 Find Out Now[160] 129 17% 24% 12% 11% 25% 8% 2% 1
5–7 Jul 2025 YouGov[161] The Times/Sky News 219 20% 40% 5% 12% 17% 4% 2% 20
4–7 Jul 2025 More in Common[162] 121 25% 28% 11% 9% 20% 4% 3% 3
4–6 Jul 2025 Freshwater Strategies[163] City AM 54 23% 30% 14% 10% 19% 3% 1% 7
2 Jul 2025 Find Out Now[164] 128 19% 29% 7% 12% 21% 7% 4% 8
29–30 Jun 2025 YouGov[165] The Times/Sky News 208 22% 32% 12% 8% 13% 9% 2% 10
27–30 Jun 2025 More in Common[166] 165 17% 30% 12% 8% 20% 7% 6% 10
25–27 Jun 2025 Opinium[167] The Observer 128 20% 28% 15% 7% 21% 6% 2% 7
25 Jun 2025 Find Out Now[168] 109 14% 37% 9% 11% 16% 8% 5% 21
24–25 Jun 2025 BMG Research[169] iPaper 73 21% 28% 11% 10% 21% 98 1% 7
22–23 Jun 2025 YouGov[170] The Times/Sky News 156 17% 39% 6% 10% 19% 6% 2% 20
20–23 Jun 2025 More in Common[171] 107 23% 28% 8% 12% 14% 10% 5% 5
18 Jun 2025 Find Out Now[172] 131 24% 34% 7% 4% 20% 10% 1% 10
15–16 Jun 2025 YouGov[173] The Times/Sky News 196 23% 41% 7% 10% 13% 5% 0% 18
13–16 Jun 2025 More in Common[174] 83 18% 37% 16% 10% 12% 6% 0% 19
11–13 Jun 2025 Opinium[175] The Observer 117 20% 31% 9% 6% 25% 4% 4% 6
11 Jun 2025 Find Out Now[176] 128 22% 32% 7% 11% 22% 4% 2% 10
10–11 Jun 2025 Survation[177] 142 21% 30% 11% 13% 20% 2% 2% 9
8–9 Jun 2025 YouGov[178] The Times/Sky News 191 17% 33% 7% 11% 28% 4% 5
6–9 Jun 2025 More in Common[179] 107 19% 33% 5% 13% 23% 6% 0% 10
4 Jun 2025 Find Out Now[180] 96 14% 31% 13% 6% 25% 8% 2% 6
1–2 Jun 2025 YouGov[181] The Times/Sky News 144 17% 38% 7% 7% 24% 3% 1% 14
30 May – 2 Jun 2025 More in Common[182] 107 24% 25% 12% 12% 18% 9% 1
30 May – 2 Jun 2025 Survation[183] 76 23% 32% 9% 7% 20% 2% 9% 9
28–29 May 2025 BMG Research[184] iPaper 80 20% 32% 12% 8% 18% 9% 1% 12
28–30 May 2025 Opinium[185] The Observer 116 19% 33% 9% 13% 20% 4% 2% 13
28 May 2025 Find Out Now[186] 114 13% 26% 12% 9% 32% 4% 1% 6
26–27 May 2025 YouGov[187] The Times/Sky News 133 17% 23% 13% 12% 24% 7% 4% 1
23–26 May 2025 More in Common[188] 123 16% 24% 16% 10% 24% 4% 4% Tie
21 May 2025 Find Out Now[189] 108 13% 28% 6% 19% 20% 10% 4% 8
19 May 2025 YouGov[190] The Times/Sky News 146 19% 28% 8% 19% 18% 11% 0% 9
16–19 May 2025 More in Common[191] 93 16% 26% 12% 14% 23% 8% 2% 3
14–16 May 2025 Opinium[192] The Observer 113 21% 31% 12% 8% 16% 9% 3% 10
14 May 2025 Find out Now[193] 118 16% 30% 11% 11% 22% 8% 2% 8
11–12 May 2025 YouGov[194] The Times/Sky News 201 15% 36% 8% 14% 18% 6% 2% 18
10–12 May 2025 More in Common[195] 89 18% 32% 16% 10% 17% 7% 1% 14
7 May 2025 Find out Now[196] 97 9% 34% 10% 18% 21% 9% 0% 13
6 May 2025 YouGov[197] The Times/Sky News 151 15% 35% 8% 9% 26% 6% 2% 9
3–4 May 2025 More In Common[198] 113 17% 29% 11% 9% 20% 8% 7% 9
30 Apr – 2 May 2025 Opinium[199] The Observer 122 17% 35% 15% 9% 18% 5% 2% 17
30 Apr – 2 May 2025 Survation[200] 93 33% 35% 9% 14% 5% 2% 3% 2
30 Apr 2025 FindoutNow[201] 93 15% 31% 17% 11% 17% 9% 0% 14
28 Apr 2025 YouGov[202] The Times/Sky News 147 20% 35% 8% 12% 17% 8% 1% 15
23–25 Apr 2025 Opinium Archived 2025-04-26 at the Wayback Machine[203] The Observer 138 21% 32% 14% 9% 17% 6% 1% 11
23 Apr 2025 FindoutNow[204] 99 16% 33% 10% 14% 17% 5% 5% 16
21–22 Apr 2025 YouGov[205] The Times/Sky News 175 14% 32% 9% 11% 23% 8% 4% 9
17–21 Apr 2025 More in Common[206] 111 19% 27% 17% 10% 18% 5% 4% 8
16 Apr 2025 FindoutNow[207] 118 22% 33% 13% 7% 13% 7% 5% 11
13–14 Apr 2025 YouGov[208] The Times/Sky News 209 16% 40% 11% 10% 18% 5% 1% 22
11–14 Apr 2025 Focaldata[209] 80 26% 29% 25% 6% 7% 4% 3% 3
9 Apr 2025 FindoutNow[210] 136 18% 25% 14% 16% 13% 6% 5% 7
6–7 Apr 2025 YouGov[211] The Times/Sky News 209 16% 31% 17% 14% 14% 7% 1% 14
2–4 Apr 2025 FindoutNow[212] 120 19% 38% 12% 6% 11% 7% 6% 19
30–31 Mar 2025 YouGov[213] The Times/Sky News 208 17% 29% 12% 14% 20% 5% 3% 9
28–31 Mar 2025 More in Common[214] 116 19% 24% 22% 11% 17% 6% 0% 2
26–28 Mar 2025 Opinium[215] The Observer 120 14% 38% 12% 7% 21% 2% 4% 17
26–27 Mar 2025 BMG[216] iPaper 101 23% 36% 15% 9% 11% 3% 2% 13
26 Mar 2025 FindoutNow[217] 126 12% 34% 12% 9% 16% 12% 5% 18
22–24 Mar 2025 More in Common[218] 107 21% 29% 19% 9% 20% 3% 0% 8
23–24 Mar 2025 YouGov[219] The Times/Sky News 203 15% 32% 11% 11% 13% 9% 6% 17
19–21 Mar 2025 Opinium[220] The Observer 130 20% 30% 11% 13% 21% 2% 3% 9
16–17 Mar 2025 YouGov[221] The Times/Sky News 201 23% 30% 13% 11% 15% 7% 1% 7
14–17 Mar 2025 DeltaPoll[222] 171 21% 38% 19% 6% 9% 5% 1% 17
12 Mar 2025 FindoutNow[223] 140 16% 33% 13% 6% 23% 4% 3% 10
9–10 Mar 2025 YouGov The Times/Sky News 199 16% 31% 17% 12% 15% 7% 2% 14
7–10 Mar 2025 More in Common 119 28% 26% 18% 7% 16% % 1% 2
5–7 Mar 2025 Opinium The Observer 125 21% 32% 9% 7% 22% 7% 3% 10
5 Mar 2025 FindoutNow 130 22% 31% 16% 10% 15% 6% 1% 9
2–3 Mar 2025 YouGov The Times 193 21% 32% 13% 11% 16% 6% 11
28 Feb – 2 Mar 2025 More in Common 193 24% 27% 12% 15% 17% 5% 3
26 Feb 2025 FindoutNow 138 15% 31% 12% 11% 24% 7% 1% 7
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov The Times 210 17% 39% 15% 10% 14% 4% 1% 22
21–24 Feb 2025 More in Common 108 17% 29% 18% 11% 19% 7% 10
19–21 Feb 2025 Opinium The Observer 119 17% 36% 11% 12% 16% 6% 2% 19
19 Feb 2025 FindoutNow 102 26% 30% 8% 14% 10% 8% 5% 4
16–17 Feb 2025 YouGov 212 22% 34% 8% 7% 22% 6% 12
14–18 Feb 2025 More in Common 199 22% 31% 13% 12% 18% 3% 9
11–14 Feb 2025 YouGov The Times 193 21% 32% 13% 11% 16% 6% 11
9–10 Feb 2025 YouGov 107 23% 27% 14% 10% 22% 3% 1% 3
7–10 Feb 2025 More in Common 107 17% 38% 10% 12% 19% 3% 1% 19
5–7 Feb 2025 Opinium The Observer 124 15% 36% 12% 6% 23% 5% 3% 13
5–6 Feb 2025 Find Out Now 117 18% 30% 10% 14% 18% 9% 3% 12
2–3 Feb 2025 YouGov Sky News 215 15% 34% 13% 13% 17% 5% 4% 17
28–29 Jan 2025 BMG 104 27% 35% 10% 8% 12% 5% 3% 8
25 Jan 2025 YouGov[224] 147 21% 34% 11% 13% 17% 4% 13
22–23 Jan 2025 Whitestone Insight 136 22% 32% 11% 12% 11% 9% 2% 10
20 Jan 2025 YouGov[225] 159 16% 36% 14% 13% 16% 5% 20
17–20 Jan 2025 More in Common 124 24% 26% 13% 12% 16% 4% 2
13 Jan 2025 YouGov[226] 147 23% 33% 14% 8% 18% 7% 10
6–8 Jan 2025 More in Common[permanent dead link] 124 20% 30% 18% 10% 17% 3% 8
8 Jan 2025 Find Out Now 102 18% 35% 10% 12% 15% 7% 1% 17
8–10 Jan 2025 Opinium 125 25% 28% 11% 10% 16% 5% 4% 3
30 Dec – 3 Jan 2025 Deltapoll Mail on Sunday 104 17% 32% 12% 14% 17% 8% 15
4 Jul 2024 2024 General Election Result – 35.3% 30.0% 12.7% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8% 2.1% 5.3
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MRP polls showing results for Scotland

This table shows the number of MPs predicted to be returned from in Scotland using MRP polling,

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Lab SNP Con LD Ref
1–30 Mar 2026 More in Common[227] The Times 8 26 6 6 11
27 Nov – 16 Dec 2025 More in Common[228] The Times 1 40 1 6 9
1–8 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[229] Electoral Calculus 2 44 4 6 1
31 Aug – 24 Sep 2025 YouGov[230] 9 37 1 5 5
8–15 Sep 2025 More in Common[231] The Times 4 34 1 5 13
16 Jul – 3 Aug 2025 Stack Data Strategy[232] 8 37 0 5 7
13–30 Jun 2025 More in Common[233] The Times 8 42 2 5 0
25 May – 18 Jun 2025 YouGov[234] 9 38 2 5 3
10–17 Jun 2025 Find Out Now[235] Electoral Calculus 22 26 3 6 0
14 Mar – 1 Apr 2025 More in Common[236] The Times 15 35 1 6 0
21–28 Mar 2025 Find Out Now[237] Electoral Calculus 18 30 3 6 0
22–25 Jan 2025 Find Out Now[238] Electoral Calculus 12 37 3 5 0
30 Dec – 5 Jan 2025 Focaldata[239] Hope Not Hate 23 22 7 5 0
30 Nov – 16 Dec 2024 More in Common[240] The Times 11 37 4 5 0
4 Jul 2024 2024 General Election Result 37 9 5 6 0
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See also

Notes

  1. [a]
    Pollster is not a member of the British Polling Council.
  2. [b]
    Figures manually adjusted to remove 'Refused' & 'Would not Vote' categories.

References

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