Opinion polling on Scottish independence

Surveying on Scotland becoming sovereign From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, for which opinion polls were also conducted. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an independent country?". Other tables reflect different questions on independence, which may produce different results. Any factors that might affect the poll result, such as excluding 16 and 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polls including Brexit, COVID-19 and party leadership changes.

Polls in the main table, using the same question, will show systematic differences between different polling organisations. Therefore, to discern trends it is helpful to compare a poll with previous results from same pollster.

Graphical summary

Polling on Scottish Independence with undecidide removed = headline figures
Polling on Scottish Independence with undecidide removed = headline figures

Polls using the 2014 referendum question

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation Client Sample size Should Scotland be an independent country? Lead Notes
YesNoUndecided
7 May 20262026 Scottish Parliament election
27–30 Apr 2026NorstatSunday Times 1,002 52% 43% 5% 9%
17–23 Apr 2026SurvationDiffley Partnership 1,012 47% 43% 10% 4%
14–21 Apr 2026SurvationBallot Box Scotland 1,008 46% 43% 10% 3%
15–20 Apr 2026Find Out NowScot Goes Pop 1,002 50% 44% 6% 6%
30 Mar – 1 Apr 2026NorstatSunday Times 1,006 48% 45% 7% 3%
26–31 Mar 2026Ipsos– 1,038 43% 44% 12% 1%
11–18 Mar 2026YouGov– 1,217 40% 50% 10% 10% [a][b]
20 Feb – 6 Mar 2026Lord Ashcroft PollsHolyrood 2,089 43% 46% 13% 3% [a][c]
19–25 Feb 2026Ipsos– 1,096 46% 44% 10% 2%
13–19 Feb 2026Find Out NowThe National 1,002 50% 45% 5% 5%
11–18 Feb 2026YouGovScottish Election Study 1,517 42% 49% 10% 7% [a][b]
10–13 Feb 2026NorstatSunday Times 1,001 48% 45% 6% 3%
30 Jan – 3 Feb 2026StonehavenSunday Times 468 52% 40% 8% 12% [d][e]
29 Jan – 6 Feb 2026SavantaBBC Scotland 2,136 47% 44% 8% 3%
24 Jan – 3 Feb 2026More In Common– 1,017 47% 42% 12% 5% [a]
13–16 Jan 2026NorstatSunday Times 1,016 48% 46% 6% 2%
8–14 Jan 2026YouGov– 1,113 41% 46% 12% 5% [a][b]
8–12 Jan 2026SurvationTrue North 1,003 45% 45% 10% Tied
11–19 Dec 2025Find Out NowThe National 1,000 50% 44% 6% 6%
27 Nov – 4 Dec 2025YouGov– 1,130 41% 47% 11% 6% [a][b]
27 Nov – 3 Dec 2025IpsosSTV News 1,061 47% 43% 9% 4%
31 Oct – 5 Nov 2025YouGov– 1,017 44% 46% 11% 2% [a][b]
10–20 Oct 2025YouGovScottish Election Study 1,242 43% 46% 11% 3% [a][b]
1–8 Oct 2025Find Out NowAlba Party 1,165 52% 42% 5% 10%
22–25 Sep 2025NorstatSunday Times 1,010 50% 44% 6% 6%
15–21 Sep 2025Find Out NowThe National 1,282 48% 45% 7% 3%
13–19 Jun 2025YouGovScottish Election Study 1,178 43% 47% 10% 4% [a][b]
12–18 Jun 2025IpsosSTV News 1,066 46% 43% 10% 3%
27–30 May 2025NorstatSunday Times 1,007 50% 43% 6% 7%
2–5 May 2025SurvationTrue North 1,020 43% 46% 11% 2%
16–22 Apr 2025SurvationDiffley Partnership 1,005 44% 46% 9% 2%
7–11 Apr 2025Find Out NowThe National 1,112 52% 41% 7% 11%
17–21 Mar 2025YouGov– 1,043 42% 49% 9% 7% [a][b]
6–11 Mar 2025YouGov– 1,012 39% 50% 11% 11% [a][b]
15–20 Jan 2025Find Out NowThe Herald 1,334 50% 46% 5% 5% [f]
11–14 Jan 2025NorstatSunday Times1,013 48% 47% 5% 1%
17–24 Dec 2024Find Out NowThe National 1,774 50% 45% 5% 5% [f]
4–6 Dec 2024NorstatSunday Times 1,013 51% 43% 5% 8%
1–15 Nov 2024SurvationProgress Scotland 3,016 44% 47% 9% 3%
30 Oct – 1 Nov 2024NorstatSunday Times 1,013 47% 47% 6% Tied
16–23 Oct 2024Find Out NowAlba Party 1,058 48% 45% 7% 3% [f]
10–13 Sep 2024SurvationProgress Scotland 2,059 42% 49% 9% 7%
8–13 Sep 2024More in CommonSunday Times 949 44% 48% 8% 4%
5–11 Sep 2024OpiniumThe Times 1,028 45% 47% 8% 2%
29 Aug – 3 Sep 2024YouGov– 1,063 40% 51% 9% 11% [a][b]
20–22 Aug 2024NorstatSunday Times 1,011 45% 48% 7% 3%
4 Jul 20242024 United Kingdom general election
26–27 Jun 2024Redfield and Wilton– 1,200 46% 48% 6% 2%
24–26 Jun 2024NorstatSunday Times 1,258 47% 47% 6% Tied
21–26 Jun 2024SurvationBallot Box Scotland 1,022 42% 49% 9% 7%
20–25 Jun 2024YouGov– 1,059 39% 51% 9% 11% [a]
11–14 Jun 2024NorstatSunday Times 1,050 46% 48% 6% 2%
3–9 Jun 2024Ipsos– 1,150 49% 47% 4% 2%
3–7 Jun 2024YouGov– 1,068 42% 48% 10% 6% [a]
1–2 Jun 2024Redfield and Wilton– 1,000 46% 49% 5% 3%
24–28 May 2024SavantaThe Scotsman 1,067 44% 48% 8% 4%
23–27 May 2024SurvationTrue North 1,026 41% 49% 10% 8%
13–17 May 2024YouGov– 1,114 41% 49% 10% 8% [a]
8–9 May 2024Redfield and Wilton– 1,078 44% 48% 8% 4%
6–8 May 2024John Swinney becomes leader of the SNP and then First Minister of Scotland
3–8 May 2024SavantaThe Scotsman 1,080 44% 48% 8% 4%
30 Apr – 3 May 2024NorstatSunday Times 1,014 45% 49% 6% 4%
26–29 Apr 2024YouGov– 1,043 42% 48% 10% 6% [a]
9–12 Apr 2024NorstatSunday Times 1,086 44% 51% 4% 7%
6–7 Apr 2024Redfield and Wilton– 1,000 44% 42% 14% 2%
25 Apr – 2 May 2024YouGov– 1,100 42% 49% 9% 8% [a]
10–11 Mar 2024Redfield and Wilton– 1,000 43% 46% 11% 3%
3–4 Feb 2024Redfield and Wilton– 1,000 43% 47% 10% 4%
25–31 Jan 2024Ipsos– 1,005 50% 47% 5% 6%
23–25 Jan 2024SurvationTrue North 1,029 43% 47% 10% 4%
22–25 Jan 2024NorstatSunday Times 1,007 47% 48% 4% 1%
11–24 Jan 2024Find Out Now– 842 49% 45% 6% 4%
9–11 Jan 2024Redfield & Wilton– 1,040 46% 47% 7% 1%
26–27 Nov 2023Redfield & Wilton– 1,054 46% 48% 6% 2%
20–26 Nov 2023Ipsos Scotland– 1,000 51% 43% 5% 8%
29–30 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton– 1,092 45% 50% 5% 5%
20–25 Oct 2023YouGovScottish Opinion Monitor 1,244 38% 46% 11% 8% [g]
6–18 Oct 2023FocaldataScotland in Union 1,037 40% 48% 9% 8% [h]
6–11 Oct 2023SavantaThe Scotsman 1,002 45% 47% 8% 2%
2–5 Oct 2023Panelbase– 1,022 45% 49% 6% 4%
4–5 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,095 46% 48% 6% 2%
8–12 Sep 2023YouGov– 1,103 42% 48% 10% 5% [a]
5–14 Sep 2023OpiniumTony Blair Institute 1,004 45% 41% 9% 4% [f]
5–11 Sep 2023Find Out NowIndependent Voices 1,402 44% 44% 12% Tied [f]
2–4 Sep 2023Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,100 44% 49% 6% 5%
15–18 Aug 2023Survation– 1,002 43% 47% 10% 4%
3–8 Aug 2023YouGov– 1,086 45% 47% 9% 2% [a]
5–6 Aug 2023Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,050 45% 48% 7% 3%
1–2 Jul 2023Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,030 45% 49% 6% 4%
26–29 Jun 2023YouGov 1,100 40% 50% 10% 10% [a]
23–28 Jun 2023Survation– 1,915 42% 47% 10% 5%
13–20 Jun 2023Find Out NowIndependent Voices 1,035 48% 45% 7% 3% [f]
12–15 Jun 2023PanelbaseSunday Times 1,007 44% 50% 6% 6%
9–14 Jun 2023SavantaThe Scotsman 1,018 46% 47% 7% 1%
9–13 Jun 2023YouGovScottish Opinion Monitor 1,244 36% 46% 11% 10%
7–12 Jun 2023Find Out NowAlba Party 558 43% 39% 11% 4% [i][j][f]
3–5 Jun 2023Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,466 43% 50% 7% 7%
15–21 May 2023IpsosSTV News 1,100 51% 45% 4% 6%
27 Apr – 3 May 2023SurvationTrue North 1,009 44% 47% 9% 3%
30 Apr – 2 May 2023Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,244 42% 52% 6% 10%
17–20 Apr 2023YouGovThe Times 1,032 42% 48% 10% 6% [a]
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023Survation– 1,007 42% 47% 10% 5%
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,000 44% 50% 6% 6%
28–31 Mar 2023SavantaThe Scotsman 1,009 45% 47% 8% 2%
28–30 Mar 2023Panelbase (archived 2023-04-04)Sunday Times 1,089 46% 49% 5% 3%
27–29 Mar 2023Humza Yousaf becomes leader of the SNP and then First Minister of Scotland
9–13 Mar 2023YouGovSky News 1,002 41% 49% 10% 8% [a]
8–10 Mar 2023SurvationDC Thomson 1,037 40% 48% 12% 8% [f]
7–10 Mar 2023PanelbaseScot Goes Pop 1,013 45% 49% 5% 4%
1–9 Mar 2023Find Out NowScot Goes Pop 1,266 50% 46% 4% 4%
2–5 Mar 2023Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1]– 1,050 42% 51% 8% 9%
22–23 Feb 2023TechneUK– 502 39% 47% 14% 8% [k][f]
17–20 Feb 2023YouGovThe Times 1,017 42% 49% 9% 7% [a]
15–17 Feb 2023SavantaThe Scotsman 1,004 44% 46% 9% 2%
15 Feb 2023Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister of Scotland
10–15 Feb 2023YouGovScottish Opinion Monitor 1,239 40% 48% 8% 8%
1–7 Feb 2023Survation– 1,070 44% 45% 11% 1%
6–13 Feb 2023PanelbaseBelieve in Scotland 2,006 44% 48% 8% 4%
26 Jan – 3 Feb 2023Lord Ashcroft– 2,105 37% 48% 12% 11% [c]
23–26 Jan 2023YouGovThe Times 1,088 42% 48% 10% 6% [a]
11–18 Jan 2023Find Out NowThe National 1,094 52% 44% 3% 8%
17 Jan 2023 UK Government blocks Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill by invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act 1998
10–12 Jan 2023SurvationTrue North 1,002 41% 47% 11% 6%
16–21 Dec 2022SavantaThe Scotsman 1,048 44% 46% 9% 2%
12–16 Dec 2022PanelbaseSunday Times 1,004 49% 45% 6% 4%
6–9 Dec 2022YouGovThe Times 1,090 47% 42% 8% 5%
1–8 Dec 2022Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus– 1,094 51% 43% 6% 8%
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022IpsosSTV News 1,065 53% 42% 4% 11%
26–27 Nov 2022Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,000 49% 45% 5% 4%
22–25 Nov 2022YouGovScottish Opinion Monitor 1,210 43% 42% 8% 1%
23 Nov 2022 Supreme Court rules the Scottish Parliament requires consent of the UK Government to legislate a second independence referendum
20–25 Nov 2022Liz Truss announces her intention to resign as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and Rishi Sunak becomes Prime Minister
13–19 Oct 2022Ipsos– 2,086 50% 43% 4% 7% [l]
7–10 Oct 2022Panelbase (archived 2022-10-17)Alba Party 1,018 46% 49% 5% 3%
5–7 Oct 2022Panelbase (archived 2022-10-17)Business for Scotland 1,017 47% 47% 6% Tied
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022YouGovThe Times 1,067 43% 45% 7% 2%
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,029 45% 46% 8% 1%
14–16 Sep 2022DeltapollSun in Scotland 659 42% 47% 7% 5% [m][f]
8 Sep 2022Elizabeth II dies and is succeeded by her son, Charles III
6 Sep 2022Liz Truss becomes Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
17–19 Aug 2022Panelbase (archived 2022-08-22)Sunday Times 1,133 46% 48% 6% 2%
7 Jul 2022Boris Johnson announces his intention to resign as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022PanelbaseSunday Times 1,010 48% 47% 5% 1%
29–30 Jun 2022Techne UK– 501 39% 45% 15% 6% [n] [f]
28 Jun 2022Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to hold an independence referendum on 19 October 2023
23–28 Jun 2022Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,029 44% 46% 10% 2%
23–29 May 2022IpsosSTV News 1,000 45% 46% 8% 1%
18–23 May 2022YouGovThe Times 1,115 38% 46% 11% 8%
5 May 20222022 Scottish local elections
26 Apr – 3 May 2022Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,010 45% 47% 7% 2%
26–29 Apr 2022PanelbaseSunday Times 1,009 47% 49% 5% 2%
25–31 Mar 2022BMGThe Herald 1,012 43% 49% 8% 6%
25–31 Mar 2022YouGovThese Islands 519 39% 44% 13% 5% [o]
24–28 Mar 2022SurvationBallot Box Scotland 1,002 42% 47% 11% 5%
10–16 Mar 2022Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,008 44% 49% 7% 5%
24–28 Feb 2022Savanta ComRes[permanent dead link]The Economist 1,651 45% 46% 9% 1%
24 Feb 20222022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
3–9 Feb 2022Ipsos– 1,163 50% 43% 6% 7% [p]
14–18 Jan 2022Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,004 46% 46% 8% Tied
15–22 Dec 2021OpiniumDaily Record 1,328 44% 44% 12% Tied [f]
22–29 Nov 2021Ipsos MORISTV News 1,107 52% 43% 4% 9%
18–22 Nov 2021YouGovThe Times 1,060 40% 46% 14% 6%
9–12 Nov 2021PanelbaseSunday Times 1,781 45% 47% 8% 2%
22–28 Oct 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,005 45% 48% 7% 3%
20–26 Oct 2021Panelbase[permanent dead link]Scot Goes Pop 1,001 44% 50% 5% 6%
18 Sep 2021Redfield & Wilton StrategiesPolitico 1,000 44% 47% 9% 3%
6–10 Sep 2021Panelbase (archived 2022-07-14)Sunday Times 2,003 45% 49% 6% 4%
3–9 Sep 2021Savanta ComRes (archived 2022-07-14)Sunday Times 1,016 45% 48% 7% 3%
3–8 Sep 2021OpiniumSky News 1,014 44% 43% 13% 1%
1–8 Sep 2021Stack Data StrategyUKonward 1,007 45% 49% 6% 4%
4–5 Aug 2021Redfield & Wilton Strategies– 1,000 44% 47% 9% 3%
16–24 Jun 2021PanelbaseSunday Times 1,287 45% 48% 7% 3%
11–14 May 2021Savanta ComResScotland on Sunday 1,003 43% 49% 8% 6%
7–8 May 2021Stack DataOur Scottish Future 1,000 48% 48% 4% Tied [q]
6 May 20212021 Scottish Parliament election
2–4 May 2021YouGovThe Times 1,144 41% 46% 13% 5%
30 Apr – 4 May 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,001 42% 50% 8% 8%
30 Apr – 4 May 2021SurvationDC Thomson 1,008 43% 47% 10% 4%
30 Apr – 3 May 2021Ipsos MORISTV News 1,502 47% 47% 6% Tied
28 Apr – 3 May 2021OpiniumSky News 1,015 45% 45% 8% Tied
28–30 Apr 2021PanelbaseSunday Times 1,096 48% 45% 6% 3%
27–30 Apr 2021BMGThe Herald 1,023 47% 47% 7% Tied
23–27 Apr 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,001 42% 49% 8% 7%
23–26 Apr 2021SurvationGood Morning Britain 1,008 42% 47% 11% 5%
21–26 Apr 2021PanelbaseScot Goes Pop 1,075 47% 48% 6% 1%
21–23 Apr 2021SurvationThese Islands 1,006 44% 46% 10% 2%
20–22 Apr 2021SurvationDC Thomson 1,037 44% 45% 11% 1%
16–20 Apr 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,001 44% 48% 8% 4%
16–20 Apr 2021YouGovThe Times 1,204 39% 45% 16% 6%
7–19 Apr 2021Lord Ashcroft– 2,017 44% 45% 11% 1% [c]
9–12 Apr 2021PanelbaseBelieve in Scotland 1,002 48% 46% 6% 2%
2–7 Apr 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,007 45% 45% 9% Tied
1–6 Apr 2021OpiniumSky News 1,023 47% 45% 6% 2%
29 Mar – 4 Apr 2021Ipsos MORISTV News 1,038 49% 45% 6% 4%
30 Mar – 1 Apr 2021Panelbase (archived 2021-04-08)Sunday Times 1,009 48% 47% 5% 1%
29–30 Mar 2021SurvationDC Thomson 1,021 45% 44% 11% 1%
23–26 Mar 2021Find Out NowDaily Express 1,022 48% 44% 8% 4%
16–19 Mar 2021BMGThe Herald 1,021 49% 46% 5% 3%
11–18 Mar 2021SurvationDC Thomson 2,047 43% 45% 12% 2%
11–16 Mar 2021OpiniumSky News 1,096 45% 43% 8% 2%
5–10 Mar 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,009 45% 47% 8% 2%
5–9 Mar 2021Hanbury Strategy[permanent dead link]– 1,502 50% 43% 8% 6%
4–8 Mar 2021YouGovThe Times 1,100 41% 43% 14% 2%
4–5 Mar 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,015 43% 46% 10% 3% [r]
3–5 Mar 2021PanelbaseSunday Times 1,013 46% 47% 7% 1%
26 Feb – 4 Mar 2021Savanta ComResDaily Express 1,004 43% 45% 12% 2%
12 Feb – 1 Mar 2021Hanbury Strategy[permanent dead link]– 3,946 52% 41% 7% 11%
27 Feb 2021Anas Sarwar becomes leader of Scottish Labour
25–26 Feb 2021SurvationDaily Record 1,011 43% 44% 13% 1%
18–22 Feb 2021Savanta ComResITV News 1,008 48% 44% 8% 4%
15–21 Feb 2021Ipsos MORISTV News 1,031 48% 44% 7% 4%
4–9 Feb 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,002 43% 46% 11% 3% [s]
19–22 Jan 2021Panelbase (archived 2021-01-28)Sunday Times 1,206 49% 44% 7% 5%
14 Jan 2021Richard Leonard resigns as leader of Scottish Labour
11–13 Jan 2021SurvationScot Goes Pop 1,020 45% 43% 12% 2%
8–13 Jan 2021Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,016 47% 43% 10% 4% [s]
31 Dec 2020The post-Brexit transition period ends
11–15 Dec 2020Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,013 49% 39% 12% 10% [s]
8 Dec 2020COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom commences
2–7 Dec 2020Survation– 1,018 44% 42% 14% 2%
20–26 Nov 2020Ipsos MORISTV News 1,00651%41%8%10%
5–11 Nov 2020Panelbase (archived 2020-11-19)Scot Goes Pop 1,020 51% 40% 8% 11%
6–10 Nov 2020YouGov– 1,089 43% 42% 10% 1%
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2020Survation– 1,071 47% 40% 13% 7%
2–9 Oct 2020Ipsos MORISTV News 1,04552%39%9%13%
9 Oct 2020Savanta ComRes (archived 2021-09-28)– 1,003 47% 42% 11% 5%
25 Sep – 5 Oct 2020SurvationProgress Scotland 2,09349%42%9%7%[t]
17–21 Sep 2020JL Partners– 1,016 51% 40% 7% 11% [u]
2–7 Sep 2020Survation– 1,018 46% 40% 13% 6%
12–18 Aug 2020Panelbase (archived 2020-08-20)Business for Scotland 1,011 51% 42% 7% 9%
6–13 Aug 2020Savanta ComRes– 1,008 49% 42% 9% 7%
6–10 Aug 2020YouGovThe Times 1,142 45% 40% 9% 5%
30 Jul – 5 Aug 2020Jackson Carlaw resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservatives and is replaced by Douglas Ross
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2020Panelbase (archived 2020-07-07)Sunday Times 1,026 50% 43% 7% 7%
15–19 Jun 2020Panelbase (archived 2020-07-01)Business for Scotland 1,070 50% 43% 7% 7%
1–5 Jun 2020Panelbase (archived 2020-06-12)Scot Goes Pop 1,022 48% 45% 8% 3%
1–5 May 2020Panelbase (archived 2020-11-13) Wings Over Scotland 1,086 46% 46% 7% Tied
24–26 Mar 2020Panelbase (archived 2020-05-08)Sunday Times 1,023 46% 47% 7% 1%
1 Mar 2020COVID-19 pandemic confirmed to have spread to Scotland
14 Feb 2020Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives
7–14 Feb 2020YouGovHanbury Strategy 2,58745%46%8%1%[f][v]
31 Jan 2020The United Kingdom leaves the European Union
28–31 Jan 2020Panelbase (archived 2020-02-28)Scot Goes Pop 1,01649%46%6%3%
22–27 Jan 2020YouGov– 1,03943%42%10%1%
20–22 Jan 2020SurvationProgress Scotland 1,01945%45%10%Tied
12 Dec 20192019 United Kingdom general election
10–11 Dec 2019SurvationThe Courier 1,01246%47%7%1%
3–6 Dec 2019Panelbase (archived 2019-12-09)Sunday Times 1,02044%50%6%6%
3–6 Dec 2019YouGovThe Times 1,00838%48%12%10%
19–25 Nov 2019Ipsos MORISTV News 1,04648%48%4%Tied
20–22 Nov 2019Panelbase (archived 2019-11-25)Sunday Times 1,00945%47%7%2%
9–11 Oct 2019Panelbase (archived 2022-08-29)Sunday Times 1,00346%47%7%1%
30 Sep – 9 Oct 2019SurvationProgress Scotland 2,03240%51%9%11%[w]
30 Aug – 3 Sep 2019YouGovThe Times 1,05943%44%13%1%
29 Aug 2019Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservatives
30 Jul – 2 Aug 2019Lord Ashcroft– 1,01946%43%12%3%[c][f]
24 Jul 2019Boris Johnson becomes the prime minister of the United Kingdom
18–20 Jun 2019Panelbase (archived 2022-08-29)Sunday Times1,02446%48%6%2%
23–24 May 20192019 European Parliament election and Theresa May announces her resignation as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
14–17 May 2019Panelbase (archived 2019-06-26)Sunday Times 1,02145%49%6%4%
24–26 Apr 2019YouGovThe Times 1,02944%45%11%1%
18–24 Apr 2019Panelbase (archived 2019-05-23)Sunday Times 1,01844%49%7%5%
15–21 Mar 2019SurvationProgress Scotland 2,04135%56%8%21%[x]
30 Nov – 5 Dec 2018Panelbase (archived 2018-12-11)Sunday Times 1,02845%51%4%6%
2–7 Nov 2018Panelbase (archived 2018-11-20)Constitutional Commission 1,05043%52%5%9%
18–21 Oct 2018SurvationDaily Record 1,01741%51%7%10%
3–5 Oct 2018SurvationScottish National Party 1,01341%49%8%8%
28 Sep – 4 Oct 2018Panelbase (archived 2018-10-09)Sunday Times 1,02441%52%7%11%
28 Sep – 2 Oct 2018SurvationSunday Post 1,03643%49%8%6%
24–29 Aug 2018DeltapollOFOC & Best for Britain 1,02245%47%8%2%[y]
5–10 Jul 2018SurvationDaily Record 1,00241%47%12%6%[f]
8–13 Jun 2018Panelbase[permanent dead link]Sunday Times1,02141%53%6%12%
1–5 Jun 2018YouGovThe Times1,07541%50%6%9%
30 May – 5 Jun 2018YouGovFuture of England1,05241%47%12%6%[z][f]
23–28 Mar 2018PanelbaseSunday Times1,03741%53%6%12%
5–11 Mar 2018Ipsos MORISTV News 1,05046%50%4%4%[f]
24–28 Jan 2018SurvationDaily Record1,02942%50%8%8%
12–16 Jan 2018YouGovThe Times1,00237%50%10%13%[f]
1–5 Dec 2017SurvationSunday Post1,00642%49%8%7%
27–30 Nov 2017SurvationDaily Record1,01742%48%10%6%
2–5 Oct 2017YouGovThe Times1,13539%50%7%11%[f]
8–12 Sep 2017SurvationScottish Daily Mail1,01642%49%9%7%
31 Aug – 7 Sep 2017Panelbase (archived 2017-09-11)Sunday Times1,02140%53%6%13%
9–13 Jun 2017SurvationDaily Record1,03739%53%7%14%
8 Jun 20172017 United Kingdom general election
6–7 Jun 2017SurvationDaily Record1,00136%56%7%20%
2–7 Jun 2017PanelbaseThe Times1,10641%53%6%12%
1–5 Jun 2017YouGovThe Times1,09338%50%8%12%[f]
31 May – 2 Jun 2017SurvationSunday Post1,02442%50%8%8%
22–27 May 2017Ipsos MORISTV News1,01645%51%3%6%[f]
15–18 May 2017YouGovThe Times1,03239%49%8%10%[f]
4 May 20172017 Scottish local elections
24–27 Apr 2017YouGovThe Times1,01740%49%8%9%[f]
18–21 Apr 2017Panelbase (archived 2017-04-24)Sunday Times1,02943%52%5%9%
18–21 Apr 2017SurvationSunday Post1,01843%48%9%5%[f]
7–11 Apr 2017BMGThe Herald1,04143%45%12%2%
29 Mar – 11 Apr 2017Kantar–1,06037%55%8%18%
13–17 Mar 2017Panelbase (archived 2017-03-20)Sunday Times1,00842%53%5%11%
9–14 Mar 2017YouGovThe Times1,02837%48%11%11%[f]
8–13 Mar 2017SurvationScottish Daily Mail1,01943%48%9%5%
13 Mar 2017Nicola Sturgeon announces the intention to seek approval for a Section 30 order enabling an independence referendum
24 Feb – 6 Mar 2017Ipsos MORISTV News1,02947%46%6%1%
23–27 Feb 2017BMGThe Herald1,00941%44%15%3%
7–13 Feb 2017Panelbase (archived 2017-02-18)Wings Over Scotland1,02844%51%6%7%
26–31 Jan 2017BMGThe Herald1,06743%45%10%2%
20–26 Jan 2017Panelbase (archived 2017-01-31)Sunday Times1,02043%51%7%8%
9–16 Dec 2016BMGThe Herald1,00240%47%13%7%
29 Aug – 16 Dec 2016YouGov–3,16639%47%11%8%[f]
24–29 Nov 2016YouGovThe Times1,13438%49%13%11%
9–15 Sep 2016Panelbase (archived 2016-10-02)Sunday Times1,02444%50%7%6%
5–11 Sep 2016Ipsos MORISTV News1,00045%50%5%5%
5–10 Sep 2016Survation–1,07342%48%10%6%
10 Aug – 4 Sep 2016TNS–1,04741%47%12%6%
29–31 Aug 2016YouGovThe Times1,03940%46%13%6%[f]
20–25 Jul 2016YouGov–1,00540%45%14%5%[f]
13 Jul 2016Theresa May becomes the prime minister of the United Kingdom
24–28 Jun 2016SurvationScottish Daily Mail1,05547%41%12%6%
25–26 Jun 2016Panelbase (archived 2016-08-03)Sunday Times62647%44%8%3%[aa]
25 Jun 2016SurvationDaily Record1,00248%41%9%7%
24 Jun 20162016 EU membership referendum and David Cameron announces his resignation as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
5 May 20162016 Scottish Parliament election
2–4 May 2016YouGovThe Times1,44541%48%12%7%
23–28 Apr 2016PanelbaseSunday Times1,07444%49%6%5%
15–20 Apr 2016SurvationDaily Record1,00544%47%9%3%
6–15 Apr 2016PanelbaseSunday Times1,02145%51%5%6%
7–11 Apr 2016YouGovThe Times1,01241%49%10%8%
10–17 Mar 2016SurvationDaily Record1,05144%47%9%3%
7–9 Mar 2016YouGovThe Times1,07040%47%12%7%
25–29 Feb 2016SurvationScottish Daily Mail1,02244%49%7%5%
11–16 Feb 2016SurvationDaily Record1,00642%48%9%6%
1–7 Feb 2016Ipsos MORI STV News1,00049%45%5%4%
1–4 Feb 2016YouGovThe Times1,02243%51%7%8%
8–14 Jan 2016Panelbase (archived 2016-05-19)Sunday Times1,05344%50%7%6%
8–12 Jan 2016SurvationDaily Record1,02945%47%8%2%
6–13 Nov 2015PanelbaseWings Over Scotland1,07447%49%5%2%
9–13 Oct 2015YouGovThe Times1,02645%49%6%4%
7–10 Sep 2015SurvationScottish Daily Mail1,01045%46%9%1%
7–10 Sep 2015YouGovThe Times1,11045%49%6%4%
4–10 Sep 2015PanelbaseSunday Times1,00545%51%3%6%
12 Aug – 1 Sep 2015TNS–1,02347%42%11%5%
24–30 Aug 2015Ipsos MORI STV News1,00253%44%3%9%
3–7 Jul 2015SurvationScottish Daily Mail1,08443%47%10%4%
26 Jun – 3 Jul 2015PanelbaseSunday Times1,00245%50%5%5%
19–21 May 2015YouGovSunday Post1,10844%49%7%5%
7 May 20152015 United Kingdom general election.
3–6 May 2015SurvationDaily Record1,66044%47%9%3%
29 Apr – 1 May 2015YouGovSunday Times1,16243%49%8%6%
22–27 Apr 2015SurvationDaily Record1,01546%47%7%1%
20–23 Apr 2015PanelbaseSunday Times1,04445%48%7%3%
8–9 Apr 2015YouGovThe Times1,05646%49%6%3%
13–19 Mar 2015ICMThe Guardian1,00241%48%11%7%
12–17 Mar 2015SurvationDaily Record1,02745%43%11%2%
10–12 Mar 2015YouGovThe Times1,04945%48%8%3%
12–17 Feb 2015SurvationDaily Record1,01143%47%10%4%
29 Jan – 2 Feb 2015YouGovThe Times1,00149%44%7%5%
9–11 Dec 2014SurvationDaily Record1,00148%48%4%Tied
9–11 Dec 2014YouGovThe Sun1,08148%45%6%3%
27 Nov 2014Release of Smith Commission report.
19 Nov 2014Nicola Sturgeon becomes First Minister of Scotland.
6–13 Nov 2014SurvationDaily Record1,00144%49%7%5%
30 Oct – 5 Nov 2014Panelbase (archived 2016-05-19)Wings Over Scotland98246%45%8%1%
27–30 Oct 2014YouGovThe Times1,07849%45%6%4%
18 September 20142014 Scottish independence referendum results3,623,34444.7%55.3%—10.6%
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Other polling formats


Scottish Social Attitudes Survey

Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence.

Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view?

  1. Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union
  2. Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union
  3. Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers
  4. Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers
  5. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament.

A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament".

More information Year, Polling organisation/client ...
YearPolling organisation/clientIndependenceDevolutionNo Parliament
2023 Scottish Social Attitudes Survey 48% 41% 9%
2021Scottish Social Attitudes Survey52%38%8%
2019Scottish Social Attitudes Survey51%36%7%
2017Scottish Social Attitudes Survey45%41%8%
2016Scottish Social Attitudes Survey46%42%8%
2015Scottish Social Attitudes Survey39%49%6%
2014Scottish Social Attitudes Survey33%50%7%
2013Scottish Social Attitudes Survey29%55%9%
2012Scottish Social Attitudes Survey23%61%11%
2011Scottish Social Attitudes Survey32%58%6%
2010Scottish Social Attitudes Survey23%61%10%
2009Scottish Social Attitudes Survey28%56%8%
2007Scottish Social Attitudes Survey24%62%9%
2006Scottish Social Attitudes Survey30%54%14%
2005Scottish Social Attitudes Survey35%44%14%
2004Scottish Social Attitudes Survey32%45%17%
2003Scottish Social Attitudes Survey26%56%13%
2002Scottish Social Attitudes Survey30%52%13%
2001Scottish Social Attitudes Survey27%59%9%
2000Scottish Social Attitudes Survey30%55%12%
1999Scottish Social Attitudes Survey27%59%10%
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Polls on a "de facto" referendum

On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament.[2] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the 2024 United Kingdom general election as a de facto independence referendum. Question asked is stated in notes field.

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size SNP Grn Lab Con Lib Other Undecided Lead (overall lead) Notes
15–17 Feb 2023 Savanta/The Scotsman 1,004 36% — 29% 17% 5% 2% 10% 15% [ab]
11–18 Jan 2023 FindOutNow/The National 1,094 52% 2% 23% 12% 7% 4% — 12% [ac]
10–12 Jan 2023 Survation/True North 1,002 38% — 22% 16% 6% 2% 11% 6% [ad]
16–21 Dec 2022 Savanta/Scotsman 1,048 37% — 27% 18% 5% 2% 10% 13% [ae]
28 Nov–5 Dec 2022 Ipsos MORI/STV 1,065 53% 2% 24% 13% 6% 2% — 12% [af]
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More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Yes No Undecided Lead Notes
23 Nov 2022 Find Out Now/Channel 4 News 1,006 50% 33% 16% 17% [ag]
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Polls using Remain / Leave Question

Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum.

The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit".[3][4]

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Should Scotland remain in the United Kingdom or leave the United Kingdom? Lead Notes
LeaveRemainUndecided
4–16 Sep 2025 Survation/Scotland in Union 2,05135%54%11%19%
27–29 Aug 2024 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,02137%54%8%17%
6–18 Oct 2023 Focaldata/These Islands 1,03733%55%13%22%
22 Dec – 1 Jan 2023 Survation/Scotland in Union Archived 10 January 2023 at the Wayback Machine 1,02537%54%9%17%
28–29 Sep 2022 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,011 36% 51% 13% 15%
29 Apr – 3 May 2022 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,05038%52%11%14%
25–31 Mar 2022 YouGov/These Islands 510 35% 50% 9% 15% [ah]
18–22 Nov 2021 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,04538%54%8%16%
31 Aug – 1 Sep 2021 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,04039%52%9%13%
9–12 Mar 2021 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,01137%49%10%12%
10–12 Sep 2020 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,00837%47%11%10%
12–16 Sep 2019 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,00338%55%9%17%
18–23 Apr 2019 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,01236%56%7%20%
9–13 Nov 2018 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,01336%55%9%19%
28 Sep – 4 Oct 2016BMG/Herald1,01039%47%15%8%
18 September 20142014 Scottish independence referendum results3,623,34444.7%55.3%10.6%
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Issues around a second independence referendum

Timing of a second referendum

Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s) conducted Polling organisation/client Sample size Pollsters have asked various questions re when/if next Independence might happen, they have used various timeframes as below. Lead Notes
In 2023 Next 12 Months Next 2 Years In the next 2–5 years More than 5 Years No Referendum
Yes No D/K Yes No D/K Yes No D/K Yes No D/K Yes No D/K
8 - 13 Sep 2023 YouGov 1,103 27% 62% 11% 45% 43% 12% [ai]
2 - 4 Sep 2023 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 1,100 42% 42% 12% 42% 40% 14%
5 - 6 Aug 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,050 41% 40% 15% 44% 39% 13%
1 - 2 Jul 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,030 41% 40% 12% 41% 38% 14%
26 - 29 Jun 2023 YouGov 1,100 45% 42% 13% [aj]
3 - 5 Jun 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,466 42% 40% 13% 42% 39% 15%
30 Apr- 2 May 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1295 37% 47% 11% 39% 42% 14%
17-20 Apr 2023 YouGov/The Times 1,032 20% 69% 12% 44% 42% 14%
31 Mar-1 Apr 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,008 41% 44% 15% 43% 41% 16%
2-5 Mar 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,050 34% 49% 18% 37% 44% 20%
17–20 Feb 2023 YouGov/The Times 1,017 22% 68% 10% 45% 44% 11%
23-26 Jan 2023 YouGov/Sunday Times 1,088 28% 62% 10% 47% 42% 10%
26-27 Nov 2022 Redfield & Wilton 1,000 46% 43% 11% 46% 40% 14%
18–23 May 2022 YouGov/The Times 1,115 27% 60% 13% 21% 68% 11% 46% 41% 13%
26–29 Apr 2022 Panelbase/SundayTimes 1,009 24% 31% 45% 10%
29–31 Mar 2022 YouGov/These Islands 1.029 36% 53% 12% 17%
18-22 Nov 2021 YouGov/Times 1,060 34% 50% 16% 28% 55% 17% 44% 41% 15%
9-12 Nov 2021 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,781 19% 34% 46% 7%
22–28 Oct 2021 Savanta ComRes/Scotsman 1,005 14% 17% 17% 23% 23% 48% [ak]
18 Sep 2021 Redfield & Wilton 1,000 34% 50% 16% 41% 42% 17%
6-10 Sept 2021 Panelbase/SundayTimes Archived 14 July 2022 at the Wayback Machine 2,003 17% 36% 47% 6%
31 Aug–1 Sep 2021 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,040 38% 52% 9% 14%
4-5 Aug 2021 Redfield & Wilton 1,000 40% 47% 13% 42% 40% 17%
16-24 June 2021 Panelbase/SundayTimes 1,287 19% 35% 46% 8%
28-30 April 2021 Panelbase/SundayTimes 1,096 22% 33% 45% 10%
30 Mar-1 April 2021 Panelbase/SundayTimes 1,009 25% 29% 46% 7%
3-5 March 2021 Panelbase/SundayTimes 1,013 25% 30% 45% 10%
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Scottish Government's authority to hold a referendum

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Should the Scottish Government, need to get permission from the UK Government to run a referendum on Scottish independence? Notes
ShouldShould NotUndecided
26-29 Jun 2023 YouGov 1,100 40% 50% 10%
17-20 Apr 2023 YouGov 1.032 39% 51% 10%
17-20 Feb 2023 YouGov 1,017 40% 51% 9%
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UK-wide polling

Various companies have polled voters across the entire United Kingdom on various questions surrounding the issue of Scottish independence, from the standard Yes/No question as used in the 2014 referendum, to whether the Scottish government should be allowed to hold a second referendum. The results of these polls are displayed below.

Polls using 2014 referendum question

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Should Scotland be an independent country? Lead Notes
YesNoUndecided
22–23 Feb 2023 TechneUK 1,633 9% 71% 20% 62%
19-21 Jan 2023 DeltaPoll/Mail on Sunday 1,563 25% 40% 15% 15%
29-30 June 2022 Techne 1,614 10% 69% 21% 59%
18 Jun–2 Jul 2021 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 3,891 17% 54% 29% 37%
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On the Scottish Government's authority to hold a referendum

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? Lead Notes
YesNoUndecided/Don't Know
29–2 Dec 2022 Omnisis/Byline Times 1,189 42% 35% 23% 7% [al]
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Polling on a second referendum

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Should there be a Referendum on Scottish Independence? Lead Notes
YesNoUndecided/Don't Know
19-21 Jan 2023 Deltapoll/Mail On Sunday 1,563 29% 48% 28% 19% [am]
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Timing of a Second Independence Referendum

More information Date(s) conducted, Polling organisation/client ...
Date(s) conducted Polling organisation/client Sample size Pollsters have asked various questions re when/if next Independence might happen, they have used various timeframes as below. No Referendum Lead Notes
In 2023 Next 12 Months Next 2 Years In the next 2–5 years More than 5 Years
Yes No D/K Yes No D/K Yes No D/K Yes No D/K Yes No D/K
18/6 - 2/7/21 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 3891 18% 27% 55%
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British Social Attitudes Survey

More information Year, Polling organisation/client ...
YearPolling organisation/clientIndependenceDevolutionNo Parliament
2021British Social Attitudes Survey25%54%15%
2020British Social Attitudes Survey24%54%14%
2017British Social Attitudes Survey22%55%15%
2015British Social Attitudes Survey23%49%20%
2013British Social Attitudes Survey20%49%18%
2012British Social Attitudes Survey25%43%23%
2011British Social Attitudes Survey26%44%19%
2007British Social Attitudes Survey19%48%18%
2003British Social Attitudes Survey17%58%13%
2002British Social Attitudes Survey19%52%15%
2001British Social Attitudes Survey19%60%11%
2000British Social Attitudes Survey19%52%17%
1999British Social Attitudes Survey21%57%14%
1997British Election Study14%55%23%
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See also

Notes

  1. [a]
    Figures manually adjusted to remove 'Refused' & 'Would not Vote'.
  2. [b]
    This poll does not weigh for likelihood to vote
  3. [c]
    Lord Ashcroft is not a member of the British Polling Council
  4. [d]
    Stonehaven is not a member of the British Polling Council at the time of this poll
  5. [e]
    As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
  6. [f]
    Excludes 16 & 17 year olds.
  7. [g]
    Yougov advise that this series of polls should not be compared to its usual polling, https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/45269-nicola-sturgeons-legacy-according-scots
  8. [h]
    Unusually this poll asked the Indy Q twice in the same poll, of samples of just over 500 each and then merged them together, questions should be borne in mind as to the margin of error for what is essentially 2 smaller polls
  9. [i]
    Findoutnow stated "This was not a standard indyref voting intention poll so was not adjusted for turnout likelihood. That's why undecideds are up, and others down" https://twitter.com/FindoutnowUK/status/1668263765937102849
  10. [j]
    As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
  11. [k]
    As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
  12. [l]
    Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided.
  13. [m]
    As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
  14. [n]
    As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
  15. [o]
    As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
  16. [p]
    Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided.
  17. [q]
    Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded.
  18. [r]
    The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention".
  19. [s]
    Savanta ComRes revised their figures in three polls after a weighting error was discovered.
  20. [t]
    Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
  21. [u]
    JL Partners was not a member of the British Polling Council at the time of this poll
  22. [v]
    Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given.
  23. [w]
    Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
  24. [x]
    Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
  25. [y]
    Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively.
  26. [z]
    Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" and given the options of "Yes" and "No".
  27. [aa]
    As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
  28. [ab]
    Question asked. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?"
  29. [ac]
    Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a "de facto" referendum on independence. Which party will you vote for?
  30. [ad]
    Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?"
  31. [ae]
    Question asked. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?"
  32. [af]
    Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the 2024 UK general election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? /Which party are you most inclined to support?"
  33. [ag]
    Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK?"
  34. [ah]
    As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
  35. [ai]
    The question asked was whether there should be a referendum in 2024
  36. [aj]
    The poll also asked whether there should be a referendum 'Soon after the next general election', to which the response was: Yes 35%, No 52%, Don't Know 13%
  37. [ak]
    Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years
  38. [al]
    Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year?"
  39. [am]
    Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or should not be a referendum on Scottish independence?"

References

External links

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