Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

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Various organisations continually conduct opinion polls to gauge voter intention in anticipation of the next United Kingdom general election. The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, which mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later.

Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.[1] The dates of the polls range from the 2024 United Kingdom general election, held on 4 July, to the present.

Graphical summary

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.

National poll results

Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru only stands candidates in Wales and the Scottish National Party only stands candidates only in Scotland. Due to rounding, total figures may not add up to 100%. The lead is calculated by subtracting the polling percentage of the first party (shaded in the party's colour, and in bold) by that of the second party (shaded in grey).

2026

For political events during the year, see 2026 in United Kingdom politics and government and 2026 in the United Kingdom.
More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC RB Others Lead
8–9 Jul Find Out Now[2] N/A GB 2,076 18% 20% 23% 13% 16% 3% 1% — 5% 3
7 Jul Reform UK leader Nigel Farage announces he will resign as an MP and seek re-election in the resulting Clacton by-election
5–6 Jul YouGov[3] The Times/Sky News GB 2,285 20% 21% 25% 12% 13% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4
3–6 Jul More in Common[4][a] N/A GB 2,119 21% 22% 27% 11% 10% 2% 1% — 5% 5
1–3 Jul Opinium[5] The Observer GB 2,050 20% 19% 26% 11% 14% 3% 1% — 6% 6
1–2 Jul Find Out Now[6] N/A GB 2,002 21% 19% 25% 10% 16% 2% 1% — 6% 4
25–30 Jun Ipsos[7] N/A GB 1,045 24% 18% 26% 11% 13% 3% 2% 3% 0% 2
28–29 Jun YouGov[8] The Times/Sky News GB 2,437 20% 20% 24% 13% 13% 3% 1% 3%
2%
YP 1%
Other 1%
 4
25–29 Jun Lord Ashcroft Polls[9][b][a] Mail on Sunday GB 5,064 21% 21% 21% 9% 17% 3% 1% — 6% Tie
26–28 Jun More in Common[10] N/A GB 2,852 24% 20% 28% 12% 10% 2% — — 3% 4
24–26 Jun Opinium[11] The Observer GB 2,050 21% 17% 26% 12% 12% 3% 1% 6% 2% 5
24–25 Jun Find Out Now[12] N/A GB 2,140 21% 18% 24% 12% 15% 3% 1% — 6% 3
23–24 Jun BMG Research[13] The i Paper GB 1,508 23% 20% 27% 11% 13% 3% 1% — 2% 4
22 Jun Keir Starmer announces his resignation as leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister
21–22 Jun YouGov[14] The Times/Sky News GB 2,345 18% 20% 25% 14% 15% 3% 1% 3%
1%
YP 0%
Other 1%
 5
19–22 Jun More in Common[15][a] N/A GB 2,993 22% 20% 23% 11% 11% 3% 0% 7% 3% 1
19–22 Jun More in Common[16] N/A GB 2,993 21% 22% 28% 12% 10% 3% 1% — 3% 6
2–22 Jun YouGov[17] N/A GB 19,583 18% 19% 25% 13% 15% 3% 1% 4%
2%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 6
17–19 Jun Opinium[18] The Observer GB 2,050 20% 18% 27% 12% 14% 3% 1% — 5% 7
16–19 Jun JL Partners[19][a] The Sun GB 1,946 21% 21% 27% 12% 11% — — — 8% 6
18 Jun Aberdeen South by-election (Con gain from SNP), Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election (SNP hold), and Makerfield by-election (Lab hold)
17–18 Jun Find Out Now[20] N/A GB 2,113 15% 18% 27% 12% 17% 3% 2% — 7% 9
14–15 Jun YouGov[14] The Times/Sky News GB 2,308 19% 19% 24% 13% 15% 3% 2% 4%
2%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 5
12–15 Jun More in Common[21] N/A GB 2,097 22% 21% 29% 13% 9% 2% 1% — 3% 7
12–15 Jun Deltapoll[22] N/A GB 2,035 20% 17% 28% 12% 13% 3% 1% — 4% 8
11–15 Jun Survation[23] N/A GB 1,003 19% 20% 27% 12% 11% 3% 2% 2% 4% 7
10–11 Jun Find Out Now[24] N/A GB 2,113 16% 18% 25% 13% 17% 3% 2% — 6% 7
5–9 Jun More in Common[25] N/A GB 2,087 20% 20% 30% 12% 11% 3% 1% — 3% 10
7–8 Jun YouGov[26] The Times/Sky News GB 2,267 19% 19% 25% 12% 14% 3% 2% 3%
3%
YP 1%
Other 2%
 6
31 May – 7 Jun Good Growth Foundation[27] N/A GB 4,000 20% 19% 27% 12% 13% 3% 1% — 5% 7
3–5 Jun Opinium[28] The Observer GB 2,050 20% 17% 29% 11% 14% 3% 1% — 5% 9
3–4 Jun Find Out Now[29] N/A GB 2,940 15% 17% 27% 11% 17% 3% 1% — 7% 10
31 May – 1 Jun YouGov[30] The Times/Sky News GB 2,342 18% 18% 27% 13% 15% 3% 1% 3%
1%
YP 0%
Other 1%
 9
29 May – 1 Jun More in Common[31] N/A GB 2,211 22% 21% 29% 12% 10% 2% 1% — 2% 7
29–31 May Freshwater Strategy[32] City AM GB 1,237 19% 19% 28% 14% 12% 3% — — 5% 9
26–28 May BMG Research[33] The i Paper GB 1,511 21% 17% 29% 12% 12% 2% 1% — 5% 8
27 May Find Out Now[34] N/A GB 2,111 16% 18% 25% 12% 19% 3% 1% — 6% 6
25–26 May YouGov[35] The Times/Sky News GB 2,354 17% 19% 24% 14% 16% 3% 2% 3%
2%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 5
21–26 May Lord Ashcroft Polls[36][b][a] Mail on Sunday GB 5,263 19% 21% 21% 11% 18% 3% 1% — 6% Tie
22–25 May More in Common[37] N/A GB 2,111 20% 19% 30% 12% 13% 3% 1% — 3% 10
20–22 May Opinium[38] The Observer GB 1,500 20% 18% 27% 12% 15% 3% 1% — 4% 7
20–21 May Find Out Now[39] N/A GB 2,773 17% 17% 26% 13% 17% 3% 2% — 5% 9
14–21 May JL Partners[40][a] The Sun GB 1,741 21% 19% 29% 12% 12% 3% 1% — 4% 8
15–20 May Ipsos[41] N/A GB 1,137 20% 19% 27% 12% 14% 3% 2% 2% 1% 7
15–19 May More in Common[42] N/A GB 2,599 23% 18% 29% 13% 10% 3% 1% — 3% 6
17–18 May YouGov[43] The Times/Sky News GB 2,356 17% 18% 25% 14% 15% 3% 1% 4%
2%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 7
15–18 May Deltapoll[44] N/A GB 1,921 20% 17% 28% 11% 13% 5% 1% — 6% 8
13–15 May Techne[45] N/A UK 1,639 17% 17% 29% 12% 16% 3% — 3% 3% 12
5–14 May Trajectory Partnership[46] N/A GB 1,459 24% 17% 25% 10% 10% 3% 1% —
3%
UKIP 1%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 1
13 May Find Out Now[47] N/A GB 2,922 15% 19% 25% 13% 18% 4% 2% — 5% 6
9–12 May More in Common[48] N/A GB 3,070 21% 19% 30% 14% 11% 3% 1% — 2% 9
10–11 May YouGov[49] The Times/Sky News GB 2,338 16% 17% 28% 13% 16% 3% 2% 3%
2%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 11
9–10 May Freshwater Strategy[50] City AM GB 1,243 18% 20% 29% 14% 12% 3% — — 5% 9
6–8 May Opinium[51] The Observer GB 2,050 19% 18% 28% 11% 16% 3% 1% — 4% 9
7 May Local elections in England; Scottish Parliament election; Senedd election
6 May Find Out Now[52] N/A GB 2,035 16% 20% 25% 11% 20% 3% 1% — 5% 5
4–5 May YouGov[53] N/A GB 2,377 18% 17% 25% 14% 15% 3% 1% 4%
2%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 7
1–4 May More in Common[54] N/A GB 2,016 21% 20% 28% 12% 12% 2% 1% — 5% 7
29 Apr – 1 May Opinium[55] The Observer GB 2,051 19% 18% 27% 12% 15% 3% 1% — 4% 8
26 Apr – 1 May Deltapoll[56] The Mirror GB 3,353 21% 19% 29% 9% 12% 3% 1% — 6% 8
29–30 Apr BMG Research[57] The i Paper GB 1,521 19% 17% 28% 12% 16% 3% 1% — 5% 9
29 Apr Find Out Now[58] N/A GB 3,005 17% 18% 24% 11% 20% 3% 1% — 7% 4
26–27 Apr YouGov[59] N/A GB 2,354 18% 19% 26% 13% 15% 2% 1% 3%
3%
YP 1%
Other 2%
 7
24–27 Apr More in Common[60] N/A GB 2,041 20% 21% 27% 11% 13% 3% 1% — 3% 6
23–27 Apr Lord Ashcroft Polls[61][b][a] N/A GB 5,094 18% 20% 21% 11% 20% 3% 1% — 6% 1
22–24 Apr Techne[62] N/A UK 1,645 17% 18% 26% 13% 16% 3% — 3% 4% 8
22–24 Apr Opinium[63] The Observer GB 2,050 19% 17% 28% 12% 15% 2% 1% — 5% 9
22–23 Apr Find Out Now[64] N/A GB 2,656 15% 16% 25% 11% 21% 3% 2% — 7% 4
19–20 Apr YouGov[65] The Times/Sky News GB 2,472 16% 17% 27% 14% 17% 3% 1% 3%
2%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 10
17–20 Apr More in Common[66] N/A GB 2,235 20% 22% 27% 11% 12% 3% 1% — 5% 5
15–17 Apr Opinium[67] The Observer GB 2,014 22% 17% 26% 11% 15% 3% 1% — 5% 4
15–16 Apr Find Out Now[68] Restore Britain GB 2,284 17% 18% 21% 11% 18% 3% 1% 9%
4%
YP 1%
Other 3%
 3
7–16 Apr Trajectory Partnership[69][a] N/A GB 1,457 25% 17% 26% 11% 12% 4% 1% —
3%
YP 1%
UKIP 1%
Other 1%
 1
15 Apr Find Out Now[70] N/A GB 2,032 16% 17% 26% 11% 20% 3% 1% — 6% 6
9–15 Apr Ipsos[71] N/A GB 1,044 19% 19% 25% 14% 17% 2% 1% 3% 1% 6
12–13 Apr YouGov[72] The Times/Sky News GB 2,367 17% 19% 24% 13% 18% 3% 1% 4%
2%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 5
10–13 Apr More in Common[73] N/A GB 2,011 21% 22% 25% 12% 13% 2% 0% — 3% 3
10–12 Apr Freshwater Strategy[74] City AM GB 1,250 22% 19% 26% 13% 15% 2% — — 4% 4
8–9 Apr JL Partners[75] The Spectator GB 3,506 21% 18% 28% 11% 14% 3% 1% — 4% 7
8 Apr Find Out Now[76] N/A GB 2,869 16% 17% 25% 11% 20% 3% 2% — 7% 5
6–7 Apr YouGov[77] The Times/Sky News GB 2,320 16% 19% 24% 13% 16% 3% 1% 4%
3%
YP 1%
Other 2%
 5
2–7 Apr More in Common[78] N/A GB 2,009 20% 19% 30% 12% 12% 2% 1% — 3% 10
27 Mar – 7 Apr Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[79] (MRP)		 PLMR GB 5,599 17% 21% 24% 11% 15% 3% 1% — 8% 3
1–2 Apr Find Out Now[80] N/A GB 2,330 15% 18% 26% 10% 20% 3% 1% — 7% 6
27 Mar – 1 Apr Good Growth Foundation[81] N/A GB 2,005 20% 19% 27% 12% 15% 2% 1% — 4% 7
29–30 Mar YouGov[82] The Times/Sky News GB 2,368 18% 19% 23% 12% 19% 3% 1% — 5% 4
28–30 Mar More in Common[83] N/A GB 2,003 19% 21% 30% 11% 12% 2% 1% — 4% 9
26–30 Mar Lord Ashcroft Polls[84][b][a] N/A GB 5,447 17% 21% 21% 9% 21% 3% 1% — 7% Tie
1–30 Mar More in Common (MRP)[85] The Times GB 15,482 20% 21% 28% 13% 12% 2% 1% — 3% 7
26–27 Mar Find Out Now[86] N/A GB 3,092 16% 18% 24% 12% 20% 3% 1% — 7% 4
25–26 Mar BMG Research[87] The i Paper GB 1,507 19% 18% 28% 12% 16% 2% 1% — 4% 9
25 Mar Find Out Now[88] Restore Britain GB 2,948 16% 16% 25% 10% 19% 3% 1% 8%
3%
YP 1%
Other 2%
 6
22–23 Mar YouGov[89] The Times/Sky News GB 2,435 19% 17% 23% 13% 18% 4% 1% — 4% 4
20–23 Mar Verian[90] N/A GB 1,236 15% 18% 25% 14% 20% 2% 2% — 5% 5
20–22 Mar More in Common[91] N/A GB 2,408 19% 20% 27% 14% 12% 3% 1% — 4% 7
20 Mar Restore Britain is registered with the Electoral Commission
18–20 Mar Opinium[92] The Observer GB 2,050 21% 17% 27% 12% 15% 3% 1% Did not exist 5% 6
18 Mar Find Out Now[93] N/A GB 2,549 16% 17% 25% 11% 19% 3% 1% 7% 6
15–16 Mar YouGov[94] The Times/Sky News GB 2,329 17% 17% 25% 14% 19% 2% 1% 4% 6
13–16 Mar More in Common[95] N/A GB 2,402 20% 21% 28% 12% 13% 2% 1% 4% 7
10–12 Mar Techne[96] N/A UK 1,639 17% 18% 27% 14% 17% 3% — 4% 9
11 Mar Find Out Now[97] N/A GB 2,793 15% 17% 26% 11% 21% 3% 1% 7% 5
5–11 Mar Ipsos[98] N/A GB 1,062 21% 17% 28% 9% 17% 4% 0% 4% 7
3–11 Mar Trajectory Partnership[99][a] N/A GB 1,456 27% 19% 24% 10% 12% 4% 1%
3%
UKIP 1%
YP 0%
Other 2%
 3
9–10 Mar YouGov[100] The Times/Sky News GB 2,246 17% 19% 23% 14% 19% 2% 2% 4% 4
6–10 Mar Focaldata[101] N/A GB 1,086 20% 18% 27% 14% 13% 2% 1% 2%
3%
Ind 2%
YP 0%
WPB 0%
Other 1%
 7
6–9 Mar More in Common[102] N/A GB 2,112 22% 19% 30% 13% 11% 2% 1% Did not exist 3% 8
5–6 Mar Convergent Opinion[103] Meliore GB 2,189 19% 19% 24% 13% 15% 3% 1% 6% 5
4–6 Mar Opinium[104] The Observer GB 2,050 21% 16% 29% 10% 14% 3% 1% 5% 8
4–6 Mar Find Out Now[105] N/A GB 2,548 15% 17% 27% 10% 21% 2% 1% 6% 6
5 Mar Survation[106][107] N/A UK 1,045 21% 18% 29% 10% 12% 2% 2% 5% 8
4–5 Mar BMG Research[108] The i Paper GB 1,503 20% 18% 27% 12% 14% 2% 0% 6% 7
2–5 Mar JL Partners[109][a] The Sun GB 2,573 20% 20% 27% 12% 14% 3% 1% 4% 7
1–2 Mar YouGov[110] The Times/Sky News GB 2,073 16% 16% 23% 14% 21% 3% 1% 5% 2
27 Feb – 2 Mar More in Common[111] N/A GB 2,010 18% 19% 29% 14% 14% 3% 1% 3% 10
27 Feb – 1 Mar Freshwater Strategy[112] City AM GB 1,221 18% 18% 30% 13% 15% 3% — 3% 12
27 Feb – 1 Mar Convergent Opinion[113] Persuasion UK GB 4,988 20% 17% 25% 12% 14% 3% 1% 7% 5
25–27 Feb Opinium[114][a] The Observer GB 2,050 18% 18% 30% 12% 13% 3% 0% 6% 12
26 Feb Gorton and Denton by-election (Green gain from Labour)
25 Feb Find Out Now[115] N/A GB 2,442 15% 18% 26% 12% 18% 3% 1% Did not exist 7% 8
22–23 Feb YouGov[116] N/A GB 2,325 18% 18% 24% 14% 17% 3% 1% 4% 6
20–23 Feb More in Common[117] N/A GB 2,015 22% 20% 28% 14% 11% 2% 1% 2% 6
19–23 Feb Lord Ashcroft Polls[118][b][a] N/A GB 5,576 17% 20% 22% 11% 19% 3% 1% 6% 2
18 Feb Find Out Now[119] N/A GB 2,178 16% 16% 28% 10% 18% 3% 2% 7% 10
13–17 Feb More in Common[120] N/A GB 2,108 22% 21% 28% 11% 12% 3% 1% 2% 6
15–16 Feb YouGov[121] N/A GB 2,384 19% 18% 24% 13% 17% 3% 1% 4% 5
13–16 Feb Good Growth Foundation[122] N/A GB 2,000 21% 20% 28% 12% 12% 3% 1% 3% 7
11–12 Feb Techne[123] N/A UK 1,644 17% 19% 30% 14% 15% 2% — 3% 11
4–12 Feb Trajectory Partnership[124][a] N/A GB 1,456 23% 19% 31% 10% 9% 4% 0%
3%
YP 1%
UKIP 1%
Other 1%
 9
4–12 Feb JL Partners[125][a] The Sun GB 2,006 23% 19% 31% 12% 9% 2% 1% 6% 8
11 Feb Find Out Now[126] N/A GB 1,394 16% 19% 29% 11% 18% 3% 1% 4% 10
6–10 Feb More in Common[127] N/A GB 2,035 23% 21% 30% 12% 10% 2% 1% 2% 7
8–9 Feb YouGov[128] N/A GB 2,466 19% 18% 27% 14% 16% 3% 2% 2% 8
4–6 Feb Opinium[129][a] The Observer GB 2,054 23% 16% 31% 10% 13% 2% 1% 3% 8
4 Feb Find Out Now[130] N/A GB 2,264 16% 18% 31% 11% 18% 2% 1% 3% 13
1–2 Feb YouGov[131] The Times/Sky News GB 2,330 19% 18% 26% 14% 17% 3% 2% 2% 7
31 Jan – 2 Feb More in Common[132] N/A GB 2,005 21% 20% 30% 14% 10% 3% 1% 2% 9
30 Jan – 1 Feb Freshwater Strategy[133] City AM GB 1,250 17% 22% 30% 14% 14% 2% — 1% 8
28–29 Jan BMG Research[134] The i Paper GB 1,513 20% 17% 32% 11% 13% 3% 1% 3% 12
28–29 Jan Survation[135] N/A UK 1,016 18% 20% 31% 12% 12% 3% 0% 4% 11
28 Jan Find Out Now[136] N/A GB 1,799 17% 17% 29% 11% 19% 3% 1% 3% 10
22–27 Jan Ipsos[137] N/A GB 1,104 22% 19% 30% 12% 12% 2% 2% 1% 8
25–26 Jan YouGov[138] The Times/Sky News GB 2,429 21% 17% 25% 14% 16% 3% 1% 2% 4
23–25 Jan More in Common[139] N/A GB 2,016 22% 20% 29% 13% 10% 3% 1% 3% 7
21–23 Jan Opinium[140] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 17% 31% 13% 11% 3% 1% 3% 9
21 Jan Find Out Now[141] N/A GB 1,385 14% 18% 32% 11% 17% 3% 1% 3% 14
18–19 Jan YouGov[142] The Times/Sky News GB 2,335 19% 18% 24% 14% 17% 3% 1% 3% 5
16–19 Jan Focaldata[143] N/A GB 1,585 21% 20% 26% 14% 10% 3% 1% 4% 5
16–19 Jan More in Common[144] N/A GB 2,007 20% 21% 31% 13% 11% 2% 0% 1% 10
15–19 Jan Lord Ashcroft Polls[145][b][a] N/A GB 5,448 18% 21% 25% 11% 18% 3% 1% 4% 4
14–15 Jan Techne[146] N/A UK 1,636 19% 20% 28% 15% 13% 2% — 3% 8
14 Jan Find Out Now[147] N/A GB 1,592 15% 19% 28% 12% 18% 3% 1% 3% 9
10–14 Jan Survation[148] N/A UK 1,616 21% 19% 29% 11% 11% 2% 1% 4% 8
10–13 Jan More in Common[149] N/A GB 2,036 19% 21% 31% 12% 12% 2% 1% 2% 10
11–12 Jan YouGov[150] The Times/Sky News GB 2,259 19% 20% 24% 16% 14% 4% 1% 2% 4
9–11 Jan Freshwater Strategy[151] City AM GB 1,250 19% 19% 33% 11% 12% 2% — 3% 14
7–9 Jan Opinium[152] The Observer GB 2,050 20% 18% 31% 12% 13% 2% 1% 3% 11
14 Dec – 9 Jan YouGov[153] N/A GB 17,230 18% 19% 26% 14% 15% 3% 1% 2% 7
7–8 Jan Find Out Now[154] N/A GB 2,422 15% 18% 32% 12% 17% 3% 1% 2% 14
4–5 Jan YouGov[155] The Times/Sky News GB 2,343 17% 19% 26% 16% 15% 4% 1% 2% 7
2–5 Jan More in Common[156] N/A GB 2,021 19% 23% 31% 12% 10% 2% 1% 2% 8
Close

2025

For political events during the year, see 2025 in United Kingdom politics and government and 2025 in the United Kingdom.
More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC Others Lead
31 Dec Find Out Now[157] N/A GB 2,930 15% 17% 31% 12% 17% 3% 2% 4% 14
24 Dec Find Out Now[158] N/A GB 2,879 14% 18% 30% 12% 17% 3% 1% 4% 12
19–23 Dec More in Common[159] N/A GB 2,026 21% 22% 28% 13% 9% 3% 1% 3% 6
21–22 Dec YouGov[160] N/A GB 2,266 20% 19% 25% 15% 15% 3% 1% 2% 5
16–18 Dec Deltapoll[161] The Mirror GB 1,997 20% 19% 30% 14% 10% 3% 1% 2% 10
17 Dec Find Out Now[162] N/A GB 1,909 14% 18% 33% 11% 17% 2% 1% 3% 15
12–16 Dec More in Common[163] N/A GB 1,582 21% 20% 29% 12% 11% 3% 1% 3% 8
27 Nov – 16 Dec More in Common (MRP) [164] The Times GB 16,083 20% 21% 31% 11% 12% 3% 1% 2% 10
14–15 Dec YouGov[165] N/A GB 2,322 18% 17% 28% 14% 17% 4% 1% 2% 10
12–15 Dec Verian[166] N/A GB 1,427 18% 21% 27% 15% 13% 3% 1% 2% 6
11–15 Dec Lord Ashcroft Polls[167][b][a] Mail on Sunday GB 5,196 18% 22% 25% 10% 19% 3% 1% 3% 3
10–12 Dec Opinium[168] The Observer GB 2,053 20% 18% 31% 13% 12% 3% 1% 2% 11
10 Dec Find Out Now[169] N/A GB 2,363 14% 18% 30% 12% 18% 3% 1% 3% 12
7–8 Dec YouGov[170] N/A GB 2,303 19% 18% 27% 14% 15% 3% 2% 2% 8
4–8 Dec More in Common[171] N/A GB 2,009 20% 21% 30% 14% 10% 3% 0% 2% 9
1–8 Dec Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[172] (MRP)		 PLMR GB 5,598 17% 21% 31% 11% 12% 3% 1%
4%

YP 2%
Other 2%
 10
3 Dec Find Out Now[173] N/A GB 2,591 14% 20% 31% 11% 18% 3% 1% 3% 11
30 Nov – 1 Dec YouGov[174] N/A GB 2,366 19% 19% 26% 14% 16% 3% 1% 2% 7
29 Nov – 1 Dec JL Partners[175][a] The Sun GB 1,537 22% 20% 29% 11% 10% 3% 1% 4% 7
28 Nov – 1 Dec More in Common[176] N/A GB 2,114 21% 21% 30% 13% 11% 2% 1% 1% 9
28–30 Nov Freshwater Strategy[177] City AM GB 1,558 19% 20% 31% 15% 12% 2% — 2% 11
26–28 Nov Focaldata[178] N/A GB 1,343 20% 18% 29% 13% 12% 3% 1% 3% 9
26–28 Nov Opinium[179] The Observer GB 2,050 21% 17% 31% 11% 13% 3% 1% 3% 10
26–27 Nov BMG Research[180] The i Paper GB 1,548 22% 20% 30% 12% 12% 2% 1% 2% 8
26 Nov Find Out Now[181] N/A GB 2,555 15% 18% 31% 12% 17% 3% 1% 2% 13
23–24 Nov YouGov[182] The Times/Sky News GB 2,399 19% 18% 25% 15% 16% 3% 1% 3% 6
22–24 Nov More in Common[183] N/A GB 2,062 21% 19% 30% 14% 10% 3% 1% 3% 9
19–21 Nov Opinium[184] The Observer GB 2,050 19% 17% 32% 13% 12% 3% 1% 3% 13
18–21 Nov Focaldata[185] N/A GB 1,725 20% 20% 28% 13% 10% 3% 1% 4% 8
19 Nov Find Out Now[186] N/A GB 2,566 16% 17% 32% 11% 18% 2% 1% 3% 14
16–20 Nov Survation[187] N/A UK 2,082 22% 18% 29% 12% 11% 2% 1% 4% 7
16–17 Nov YouGov[188] The Times/Sky News GB 2,355 19% 17% 27% 13% 17% 3% 2% 2% 8
14–17 Nov More in Common[189] N/A GB 2,052 20% 20% 30% 14% 11% 3% 1% 2% 10
13–17 Nov Lord Ashcroft Polls[190][b][a] N/A GB 5,038 18% 20% 27% 11% 18% 2% 1% 3% 7
12 Nov Find Out Now[191] N/A GB 2,011 15% 16% 33% 11% 17% 3% 2% 3% 16
9–10 Nov YouGov[192] The Times/Sky News GB 2,366 19% 18% 26% 14% 15% 3% 2% 3% 7
7–10 Nov More in Common[193] N/A GB 2,011 20% 19% 31% 14% 12% 2% 1% 3% 11
7–9 Nov Freshwater Strategy[194] City AM GB 1,250 17% 19% 32% 13% 13% 3% — 3% 13
5–7 Nov Opinium[195] The Observer GB 2,050 20% 17% 33% 12% 11% 3% 1% 3% 13
5–6 Nov Find Out Now[196] N/A GB 2,717 15% 16% 33% 11% 18% 3% 1% 3% 15
30 Oct – 5 Nov Ipsos[197] N/A GB 1,148 18% 16% 33% 12% 15% 4% 1% 1% 15
2–3 Nov YouGov[198] The Times/Sky News GB 2,376 20% 16% 27% 15% 16% 3% 1% 2% 7
31 Oct – 3 Nov More in Common[199] N/A GB 2,031 18% 19% 31% 13% 12% 2% 1% 3% 12
31 Oct – 2 Nov JL Partners[200][a] The Sun GB 1,505 23% 17% 30% 12% 10% 3% 1% 5% 7
29 Oct Find Out Now[201] N/A GB 3,065 16% 16% 32% 12% 17% 2% 1% 3% 15
26–27 Oct YouGov[202] The Times/Sky News GB 2,389 17% 17% 27% 15% 16% 3% 1% 3% 10
24–27 Oct More in Common[203] N/A GB 2,030 21% 18% 33% 12% 11% 2% 1% 1% 12
22–24 Oct Opinium[204] The Observer GB 2,030 20% 18% 30% 12% 12% 3% 1% 4% 10
22–23 Oct Techne[205] N/A UK 1,647 19% 18% 29% 16% 12% 3% — 3% 10
22 Oct Find Out Now[206] N/A GB 2,635 16% 17% 32% 12% 15% 3% 1% 4% 15
19–20 Oct YouGov[207] The Times/Sky News GB 2,396 20% 17% 26% 15% 15% 4% 1% 2% 6
17–20 Oct More in Common[208] N/A GB 2,084 22% 19% 31% 13% 10% 2% 1% 2% 9
16–20 Oct Lord Ashcroft Polls[209][b][a] N/A GB 5,038 19% 19% 28% 10% 17% 2% 1% 4% 9
8–17 Oct Focaldata[210] N/A GB 2,057 21% 19% 30% 13% 9% 3% 1% 5% 9
15 Oct Find Out Now[211] N/A GB 2,705 15% 17% 32% 12% 15% 3% 1% 4% 15
12–13 Oct YouGov[212] N/A GB 2,321 20% 17% 27% 16% 13% 3% 1% 3% 7
10–13 Oct More in Common[213] N/A GB 2,004 22% 20% 30% 15% 9% 3% 0% 2% 8
8–10 Oct Opinium[214] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 18% 32% 11% 10% 3% 1% 3% 10
8 Oct Find Out Now[215] N/A GB 2,668 17% 17% 32% 12% 15% 3% 1% 4% 15
5–6 Oct YouGov[216] The Times/Sky News GB 2,333 20% 17% 27% 17% 12% 4% 1% 3% 7
3–6 Oct More in Common[217] N/A GB 2,003 20% 19% 33% 14% 8% 3% 1% 3% 13
3–5 Oct Freshwater Strategy[218] City AM GB 1,251 20% 18% 35% 14% 8% 3% — 2% 15
1–3 Oct Opinium[219] The Observer GB 2,050 21% 16% 34% 12% 10% 2% 1% 4% 13
26 Sep – 3 Oct JL Partners[220][a] N/A GB 6,083 21% 19% 31% 13% 8% 3% 1% 4% 10
1 Oct Find Out Now[221] N/A GB 2,611 19% 14% 35% 12% 11% 3% 1% 4% 16
19 Sep – 1 Oct Focaldata[222] N/A GB 2,014 21% 20% 29% 14% 10% 2% 1% 4% 8
28–29 Sep YouGov[223] The Times/Sky News GB 2,585 22% 16% 29% 15% 11% 3% 1% 3% 7
26–29 Sep More in Common[224] N/A GB 1,562 20% 20% 30% 14% 8% 3% 0% 4% 10
24–26 Sep Opinium[225] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 17% 32% 14% 7% 3% 1% 4% 10
24–25 Sep Survation[226] Daily Mail UK 2,027 22% 17% 34% 11% 8% 3% 1% 4% 12
24 Sep Find Out Now[227] N/A GB 2,665 17% 14% 33% 16% 12% 3% 1% 5% 16
31 Aug – 24 Sep YouGov[228] (MRP) The Times/Sky News GB 13,000 21% 17% 27% 15% 11% 3% 1% 5% 6
21–22 Sep YouGov[229] The Times/Sky News GB 2,348 21% 16% 29% 14% 12% 3% 1% 4% 8
19–22 Sep More in Common[230] N/A GB 2,055 25% 20% 28% 13% 8% 2% 0% 3% 3
17–19 Sep Opinium[231] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 17% 31% 12% 10% 3% 1% 4% 9
17–18 Sep Techne[232] N/A UK 1,635 20% 19% 30% 15% 9% 3% — 4% 10
17–18 Sep Find Out Now[233] N/A GB 4,795 16% 16% 34% 13% 12% 3% 1% 5% 18
11–17 Sep Ipsos[234] N/A GB 1,157 22% 14% 34% 12% 12% 2% 1% 3% 12
14–15 Sep YouGov[235] The Times/Sky News GB 2,384 20% 17% 29% 15% 10% 3% 1% 4% 9
12–15 Sep More in Common[236] N/A GB 2,037 22% 18% 31% 14% 8% 3% 1% 4% 9
11–15 Sep Lord Ashcroft Polls[237][b][a] N/A GB 5,082 22% 20% 27% 10% 13% 2% 1% 6% 5
8 Aug – 15 Sep More in Common[238] (MRP) The Times[239] GB 19,520 21% 19% 31% 15% 8% 2% 1% 4% 10
1 Aug – 11 Sep Focaldata[240] Dale Vince/Hope Not Hate TBA 45,335 23% 18% 29% 12% 9% TBA TBA TBA 6
10 Sep Find Out Now[241] N/A GB 2,717 19% 15% 34% 12% 12% 2% 1% 6% 15
7–8 Sep YouGov[242] The Times/Sky News GB 2,500 22% 17% 27% 15% 12% 3% 1% 3% 5
5–8 Sep More in Common[243] N/A GB 2,106 21% 18% 32% 13% 8% 3% 1% 3% 11
3–5 Sep Opinium[244] The Observer GB 2,050 23% 18% 30% 12% 10% 2% 1% 4% 7
1–4 Sep Techne[245] N/A UK 1,644 21% 18% 31% 14% 10% 2% — 4% 10
3 Sep Find Out Now[246] N/A GB 2,576 19% 17% 32% 13% 11% 2% 1% 5% 13
2 Sep Zack Polanski is elected as leader of the Green Party of England and Wales
28 Aug – 2 Sep Survation[247] N/A UK 1,818 24% 19% 30% 11% 8% 3% 0% 3% 6
31 Aug – 1 Sep YouGov[248] The Times/Sky News GB 2,523 20% 17% 29% 15% 10% 3% 1% 5% 9
29 Aug – 1 Sep More in Common[249] N/A GB 2,042 21% 18% 31% 13% 8% 3% 1% 6% 10
21 Aug – 1 Sep Survation[250] (MRP) 38 Degrees[251] UK 8,546 25% 19% 29% 12% 7% 3% 1%
4%
SF 0%
DUP 1%
APNI 0%
UUP 1%
SDLP 0%
TUV 0%
PBP 0%
Other 2%
 4
29–31 Aug Freshwater Strategy[252] City AM GB 1,251 20% 17% 33% 15% 7% 3% — 4% 13
19–31 Aug JL Partners[253][a] The Sun GB 2,118 22% 18% 32% 12% 7% 2% 1% 6% 10
29 Aug Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected as co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
26–28 Aug BMG Research[254] The i Paper GB 1,504 20% 17% 35% 13% 7% 2% 1% 4% 15
27 Aug Find Out Now[255] N/A GB 2,538 18% 15% 34% 13% 10% 2% 1% 6% 16
25–26 Aug YouGov[256] The Times/Sky News GB 2,439 20% 17% 28% 16% 11% 3% 1% 4% 8
22–26 Aug More in Common[257] N/A GB 2,032 22% 18% 30% 14% 7% 3% 1% 5% 8
20–22 Aug Opinium[258] The Observer GB 2,050 23% 17% 29% 14% 9% 3% 1% 5% 6
20 Aug Find Out Now[259] N/A GB 2,615 18% 17% 33% 12% 10% 3% 1% 6% 15
15–19 Aug Focaldata[260] N/A GB 1,500 24% 18% 29% 14% 8% 2% 1% 4% 5
17–18 Aug YouGov[261] The Times/Sky News GB 2,394 21% 18% 28% 15% 10% 3% 1% 4% 7
15–18 Aug More in Common[262] N/A GB 2,000 21% 20% 30% 13% 8% 3% 1% 5% 9
14–18 Aug Lord Ashcroft Polls[263][b][a] N/A GB 5,029 23% 20% 27% 10% 11% 2% 1% 7% 4
13–14 Aug Find Out Now[264] N/A GB 2,513 19% 19% 31% 12% 10% 3% 1% 6% 12
10–11 Aug YouGov[265] The Times/Sky News GB 2,501 21% 17% 28% 16% 10% 3% 1% 5% 7
8–11 Aug More in Common[266] N/A GB 2,015 22% 22% 30% 13% 6% 2% 0% 4% 8
6–8 Aug Opinium[267] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 17% 31% 13% 9% 3% 1% 4% 9
6 Aug Find Out Now[268] N/A GB 2,627 20% 16% 32% 12% 9% 2% 1% 7% 12
3–4 Aug YouGov[269] The Times/Sky News GB 2,472 21% 17% 27% 15% 11% 3% 1% 4% 6
1–3 Aug More in Common[270] N/A GB 2,042 22% 18% 31% 14% 7% 3% 1% 4% 9
1–3 Aug Freshwater Strategy[271] City AM GB 1,259 22% 18% 33% 14% 6% 3% — 3% 11
16 Jul – 3 Aug Stack Data Strategy (MRP)[272][273][a] Conservative Party (alleged[c]) GB 9,301 25% 16% 31% 12% 9% 3% 1%
4%
Ind 2%
Others 2%
 5
29–31 Jul BMG Research[275] The i Paper GB 1,528 23% 18% 32% 13% 8% 2% 1% 3% 9
30 Jul Find Out Now[276] N/A GB 2,654 20% 17% 30% 13% 9% 2% 1% 7% 10
27–28 Jul YouGov[277] The Times/Sky News GB 2,208 22% 17% 29% 14% 11% 3% 1% 4% 7
26–28 Jul More in Common[278] N/A GB 2,153 23% 20% 29% 13% 7% 3% 1% 5% 6
23–25 Jul Opinium[279] The Observer GB 2,050 25% 17% 32% 13% 8% 3% 1% 2% 7
23 Jul Find Out Now[280] N/A GB 2,651 20% 16% 34% 14% 10% 3% 1% 4% 14
20–21 Jul YouGov[281] The Times/Sky News GB 2,273 23% 17% 27% 15% 11% 3% 1% 3% 4
18–20 Jul More in Common[282] N/A GB 2,153 22% 21% 29% 15% 8% 2% 1% 2% 7
17–18 Jul JL Partners[283][a] The Telegraph GB 2,035 23% 17% 29% 14% 9% 3% 1% 5% 6
14–18 Jul Focaldata[284] N/A GB 1,271 23% 19% 27% 14% 9% 2% 1% 5% 4
16 Jul Find Out Now[285] N/A GB 2,603 20% 17% 30% 13% 12% 2% 1% 4% 10
13–14 Jul YouGov[286] The Times/Sky News GB 2,209 22% 17% 28% 16% 12% 3% 1% 3% 6
11–14 Jul More in Common[287] N/A GB 2,311 24% 20% 27% 13% 9% 3% 1% 3% 3
9–11 Jul Opinium[288] The Observer GB 2,052 24% 18% 29% 13% 9% 3% 1% 3% 5
9–10 Jul Find Out Now[289] MultiComms Ltd GB 1,308 21% 16% 34% 11% 11% 3% 1% 4% 13
9–10 Jul Techne[290] N/A UK 1,628 22% 18% 29% 16% 9% 2% — 4% 7
9 Jul Find Out Now[291] N/A GB 2,651 22% 19% 31% 13% 9% 2% 1% 4% 9
6–7 Jul YouGov[292] The Times/Sky News GB 2,513 24% 16% 26% 15% 11% 3% 1% 3% 2
4–7 Jul More in Common[293] N/A GB 2,084 24% 19% 29% 14% 7% 3% 1% 3% 5
4–7 Jul More in Common[294] N/A GB 2,084 25% 20% 28% 14% 7% 3% 1% 3% 3
4–6 Jul Freshwater Strategy[295] City AM GB 1,259 23% 19% 31% 16% 6% 3% — 2% 8
2 Jul Find Out Now[296] N/A GB 2,604 22% 16% 30% 15% 11% 3% 1% 3% 8
29–30 Jun YouGov[297] The Times/Sky News GB 2,392 24% 17% 26% 16% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2
27–30 Jun More in Common[298] N/A GB 2,532 24% 19% 29% 12% 9% 3% 1% 3% 5
26–30 Jun Lord Ashcroft Polls[299][b][a] N/A GB 5,018 23% 20% 27% 11% 13% 3% 1% 3% 4
13–30 Jun More in Common[300] (MRP) N/A GB 11,282 22% 21% 28% 15% 8% 3% 1% 2% 6
25–27 Jun Survation[301] N/A UK 1,700 26% 19% 27% 12% 8% 3% 1% 4% 1
25–27 Jun Opinium[302] The Observer GB 2,050 25% 17% 30% 12% 9% 2% 1% 3% 5
25–26 Jun Techne[303] N/A UK 1,628 23% 18% 28% 16% 8% 3% — 4% 5
25 Jun Find Out Now[304] N/A GB 2,605 22% 18% 30% 13% 11% 3% 1% 2% 8
24–25 Jun BMG Research[305] The i Paper GB 1,617 27% 19% 30% 12% 7% 2% 1% 2% 3
22–23 Jun YouGov[306] The Times/Sky News GB 1,794 23% 17% 27% 16% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4
20–23 Jun More in Common[307] N/A GB 2,004 23% 20% 27% 14% 9% 3% 1% 3% 4
18 Jun Find Out Now[308] N/A GB 2,628 23% 16% 31% 12% 11% 3% 1% 2% 8
29 May – 18 Jun YouGov[309] The Times/Sky News GB 17,227 23% 17% 27% 15% 11% 3% 1% 2% 4
29 May – 18 Jun YouGov[310] (MRP) N/A GB 11,500 23% 18% 26% 15% 11% 3% 1% 2% 3
10–17 Jun Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[311] (MRP)		 PLMR GB 5,444 22% 19% 31% 13% 9% 3% 1% 4% 9
15–16 Jun YouGov[312] The Times/Sky News GB 2,255 24% 17% 27% 15% 10% 4% 1% 2% 3
13–16 Jun More in Common[313] N/A GB 2,032 21% 22% 29% 13% 9% 3% 1% 4% 7
11–13 Jun Opinium[314] The Observer GB 2,050 24% 18% 30% 12% 9% 3% 1% 3% 6
11 Jun Find Out Now[315] N/A GB 2,651 24% 16% 30% 13% 11% 3% 1% 2% 6
10–11 Jun Survation[316] Rogan Productions UK 2,010 25% 21% 27% 12% 7% 3% 1% 4% 2
8–9 Jun YouGov[317] The Times/Sky News GB 2,196 23% 17% 29% 15% 10% 3% 2% 1% 6
6–9 Jun More in Common[318] N/A GB 2,073 24% 20% 28% 14% 7% 3% 1% 3% 4
6–8 Jun Freshwater Strategy[319][b] City AM GB 1,260 21% 21% 32% 14% 8% 2% — 2% 11
4–5 Jun Techne[320] N/A UK 1,628 23% 17% 31% 15% 8% 2% — 4% 8
4 Jun Find Out Now[321] N/A GB 1,962 22% 16% 31% 15% 11% 3% 1% 2% 9
30 May – 4 Jun Ipsos[322] N/A GB 1,180 25% 15% 34% 11% 9% 4% 1% 1% 9
1–2 Jun YouGov[323] The Times/Sky News GB 2,240 22% 18% 28% 17% 9% 3% 1% 2% 6
30 May – 2 Jun More in Common[324] N/A GB 2,016 23% 21% 28% 14% 8% 2% 1% 3% 5
30 May – 2 Jun Survation[325] N/A UK 916 24% 20% 27% 13% 8% 3% 2% 3% 3
29 May – 2 Jun Lord Ashcroft Polls[326][b][a] N/A GB 5,147 23% 18% 27% 13% 13% 2% 1% 3% 4
28–30 May Opinium[327] The Observer GB 2,050 25% 17% 31% 11% 10% 2% 1% 2% 6
28–29 May BMG Research[328] The i Paper GB 1,510 24% 18% 31% 13% 9% 3% 0% 2% 7
28–29 May Techne[329] N/A UK 1,647 22% 16% 31% 16% 9% 2% — 4% 9
28 May Find Out Now[330] N/A GB 2,447 22% 16% 32% 13% 11% 3% 1% 2% 10
26–27 May YouGov[331] The Times/Sky News GB 2,013 21% 19% 29% 15% 11% 2% 1% 2% 8
23–26 May More in Common[332] N/A GB 2,000 22% 19% 31% 14% 8% 2% 1% 3% 9
21–22 May Techne[333] N/A UK 1,641 22% 17% 30% 16% 9% 2% — 4% 8
21 May Find Out Now[334] N/A GB 2,501 21% 16% 32% 14% 11% 2% 1% 2% 11
18–19 May YouGov[335] The Times/Sky News GB 2,222 22% 16% 29% 17% 10% 2% 1% 2% 7
16–19 May More in Common[336] N/A GB 2,090 22% 21% 30% 14% 8% 2% 1% 1% 8
14–16 May Opinium[337] The Observer GB 2,050 25% 18% 29% 13% 10% 2% 1% 3% 4
14–15 May Techne[338] N/A UK 1,645 22% 18% 29% 15% 9% 2% — 5% 7
14 May Find Out Now[339] N/A GB 2,557 21% 16% 33% 14% 11% 3% 1% 2% 12
11–12 May YouGov[340] The Times/Sky News GB 2,310 23% 18% 28% 16% 9% 3% 1% 3% 5
10–12 May More in Common[341] N/A GB 2,094 25% 20% 28% 14% 8% 2% 1% 1% 3
9–11 May Freshwater Strategy[342][b] City AM GB 1,250 22% 19% 32% 15% 8% 3% — 2% 10
7–8 May Techne[343] N/A UK 1,635 23% 19% 28% 14% 8% 3% — 5% 5
6–8 May BMG Research[344] The i Paper GB 1,525 22% 19% 32% 13% 9% 3% 0% 2% 10
7 May Find Out Now[345] N/A GB 2,210 20% 16% 33% 15% 11% 3% 1% 1% 13
5–6 May YouGov[346] The Times/Sky News GB 2,187 22% 17% 29% 16% 10% 3% 1% 1% 7
2–5 May Survation[347] True North Advisors UK 2,032 25% 18% 30% 13% 7% 3% 1% 3% 5
3–4 May More in Common[348] N/A GB 2,212 23% 21% 27% 15% 8% 3% 1% 3% 4
30 Apr – 2 May Opinium[349] The Observer GB 2,050 26% 19% 27% 13% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
30 Apr – 2 May Survation[350] N/A UK 1,056 26% 22% 26% 12% 7% 3% 0% 3% Tie
1 May Local elections in England; Runcorn and Helsby by-election (Reform gain from Labour)
30 Apr Find Out Now[351] N/A GB 1,990 21% 19% 29% 13% 11% 3% 1% 3% 8
27–28 Apr YouGov[352] The Times/Sky News GB 2,214 23% 20% 26% 15% 9% 3% 1% 2% 3
25–27 Apr More in Common[353] N/A GB 2,009 24% 23% 24% 15% 8% 2% 1% 4% Tie
23–25 Apr Opinium[354] The Observer GB 2,050 26% 21% 26% 11% 9% 3% 1% 2% Tie
23–24 Apr Techne[355] N/A UK 1,642 25% 21% 25% 14% 8% 2% — 5% Tie
23 Apr Find Out Now[356] N/A GB 2,139 20% 20% 28% 14% 13% 3% 0% 2% 8
21–22 Apr YouGov[357] The Times/Sky News GB 2,012 23% 20% 25% 16% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2
17–21 Apr More in Common[358] N/A GB 2,004 23% 23% 25% 14% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2
16 Apr Find Out Now[359] N/A GB 2,288 22% 20% 28% 14% 10% 3% 1% 3% 6
13–14 Apr YouGov[360] The Times/Sky News GB 2,399 24% 21% 23% 14% 11% 3% 1% 2% 1
11–14 Apr More in Common[361] N/A GB 2,277 24% 23% 24% 14% 8% 3% 1% 4% Tie
11–14 Apr Focaldata[362] N/A GB 1,585 24% 24% 23% 13% 9% 2% 1% 4% Tie
10–14 Apr Lord Ashcroft Polls[363][b][a] N/A GB 5,263 27% 24% 21% 10% 11% 3% 1% 3% 3
8–14 Apr Verian[364] N/A GB 1,285 25% 19% 24% 16% 9% 3% 2% 3% 1
9–11 Apr Opinium[365] The Observer GB 2,050 27% 22% 26% 12% 7% 3% 1% 3% 1
9–10 Apr Techne[366] N/A UK 1,644 24% 22% 24% 15% 8% 2% — 5% Tie
9 Apr Find Out Now[367] N/A GB 2,546 22% 21% 26% 14% 11% 3% 1% 3% 4
6–7 Apr YouGov[368] The Times/Sky News GB 2,402 24% 22% 23% 17% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
4–7 Apr More in Common[369] N/A GB 2,058 24% 23% 24% 17% 7% 2% 0% 1% Tie
4–6 Apr Freshwater Strategy[370][b] City AM GB 1,250 22% 27% 28% 14% 5% 2% — 3% 1
2–3 Apr Techne[371] N/A UK 1,631 24% 23% 24% 13% 8% 3% — 5% Tie
2 Apr Find Out Now[372] N/A GB 2,768 22% 20% 28% 13% 11% 3% 1% 3% 6
14 Mar – 1 Apr More in Common (MRP)[373] N/A GB 16,176 24% 24% 24% 13% 8% 2% 1% 4% Tie
30–31 Mar YouGov[374] The Times/Sky News GB 2,392 24% 21% 23% 14% 11% 3% 1% 3% 1
28–31 Mar More in Common[375] N/A GB 2,081 21% 26% 25% 13% 7% 2% 1% 4% 1
26–28 Mar Opinium[376] The Observer GB 2,050 26% 22% 26% 12% 8% 3% 1% 2% Tie
21–28 Mar Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[377] (MRP)		 PLMR[378] GB 5,180 24% 22% 27% 12% 10% 3% 1% 3% 3
26–27 Mar BMG Research[379] The i Paper[380] GB 1,544 26% 24% 23% 14% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2
26–27 Mar Techne[381] N/A UK 1,642 25% 23% 24% 14% 8% 2% — 4% 1
26 Mar Find Out Now[382] N/A GB 2,745 23% 22% 26% 12% 11% 3% 1% 2% 3
23–24 Mar YouGov[383] The Times/Sky News GB 2,333 23% 22% 22% 16% 10% 3% 1% 3% 1
22–24 Mar More in Common[384] N/A GB 2,432 24% 25% 24% 12% 10% 3% 1% 3% 1
19–21 Mar Opinium[385] The Observer GB 2,078 26% 21% 26% 13% 8% 3% 1% 3% Tie
19–20 Mar Techne[386] N/A UK 1,644 27% 23% 23% 14% 7% 2% — 4% 4
19 Mar Find Out Now[387] N/A GB 2,770 22% 21% 27% 14% 11% 3% 1% 2% 5
16–17 Mar YouGov[388] The Times/Sky News GB 2,315 26% 22% 24% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2
14–17 Mar Deltapoll[389] N/A GB 1,974 25% 25% 23% 11% 9% 3% 1% 2% Tie
14–17 Mar More in Common[390] N/A GB 2,432 25% 24% 25% 12% 7% 2% 1% 4% Tie
13–17 Mar Lord Ashcroft Polls[391][b][a] N/A GB 5,111 30% 24% 19% 9% 11% 2% 1% 4% 6
12–13 Mar Techne[392] N/A UK 1,638 27% 22% 24% 14% 7% 2% — 4% 3
12 Mar Find Out Now[393] N/A GB 2,686 24% 21% 27% 11% 10% 3% 1% 2% 3
9–10 Mar YouGov[394] The Times/Sky News GB 2,291 24% 22% 23% 15% 9% 3% 1% 3% 1
7–10 Mar More in Common[395] N/A GB 2,041 25% 23% 25% 14% 8% 2% 1% 2% Tie
6–9 Mar JL Partners[396] The Sun GB 2,012 26% 24% 23% 14% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2
5–7 Mar Opinium[397] The Observer GB 1,498 28% 20% 27% 12% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
5–6 Mar Techne[398] N/A UK 1,632 28% 21% 25% 13% 7% 2% — 4% 3
5 Mar Find Out Now[399] N/A GB 2,670 25% 21% 26% 12% 10% 3% 1% 2% 1
2–3 Mar YouGov[400] The Times GB 2,222 26% 21% 25% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
1–2 Mar Freshwater Strategy[401][b] City AM GB 1,215 24% 23% 27% 15% 7% 3% — 2% 3
28 Feb – 2 Mar More in Common[402] N/A GB 2,010 26% 24% 24% 13% 7% 2% 1% 2% 2
26–28 Feb Focaldata[403] N/A GB 1,008 24% 22% 21% 14% 8% 3% 1% 5% 2
26–27 Feb Techne[404] N/A UK 1,643 26% 22% 25% 13% 8% 2% — 4% 1
26 Feb Find Out Now[405] N/A GB 3,363 23% 21% 28% 13% 10% 3% 1% 1% 5
25–26 Feb BMG Research[406] The i Paper GB 1,586 26% 22% 27% 12% 8% 3% 1% 1% 1
23–24 Feb YouGov[407] Sky News / The Times GB 2,415 24% 22% 25% 16% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
21–24 Feb More in Common[408] N/A GB 2,013 23% 25% 24% 16% 8% 2% 0% 2% 1
19–21 Feb Opinium[409] The Observer GB 2,050 28% 21% 26% 12% 8% 3% 0% 2% 2
19–20 Feb Techne[410] N/A UK 1,639 25% 22% 26% 12% 7% 3% — 5% 1
19 Feb Find Out Now[411] N/A GB 2,393 24% 20% 28% 12% 10% 2% 1% 2% 4
14–18 Feb More in Common[412] N/A GB 4,101 25% 23% 26% 12% 7% 2% 1% 3% 1
16–17 Feb YouGov[413] N/A GB 2,436 25% 21% 27% 14% 9% 3% 1% 1% 2
13–17 Feb Lord Ashcroft Polls[414][b][a] N/A GB 5,099 27% 23% 23% 9% 11% 2% 1% 3% 4
12–13 Feb Techne[415] N/A UK 1,637 26% 22% 25% 12% 8% 2% — 5% 1
12 Feb Find Out Now[416] N/A GB 3,421 23% 21% 29% 12% 9% 3% 1% 2% 6
9–10 Feb YouGov[417] N/A GB 2,419 25% 21% 26% 14% 9% 3% 1% 1% 1
7–10 Feb More in Common[418] N/A GB 2,005 25% 23% 25% 12% 8% 2% 1% 3% Tie
5–7 Feb Opinium[419] The Observer GB 1,493 27% 22% 26% 11% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
5–6 Feb Techne[420] N/A UK 1,645 25% 23% 25% 13% 7% 2% — 5% Tie
5 Feb Find Out Now[421] N/A GB 2,487 25% 18% 29% 13% 10% 3% 1% 2% 4
2–3 Feb YouGov[422] Sky News[423] GB 2,465 24% 21% 25% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
31 Jan – 3 Feb More in Common[424] N/A GB 2,044 24% 26% 24% 13% 6% 3% 1% 3% 2
31 Jan – 2 Feb Freshwater Strategy[425][b] City AM GB 1,200 29% 28% 22% 9% 7% 3% — 2% 1
29–30 Jan Techne[426] N/A UK 1,633 26% 23% 24% 12% 7% 3% — 5% 2
29 Jan Find Out Now[427] N/A GB 2,487 23% 21% 27% 11% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4
28–29 Jan BMG Research[428] The i Paper GB 1,514 25% 25% 24% 14% 8% 3% 1% 1% Tie
28–29 Jan Survation[429] N/A UK 1,670 27% 22% 24% 13% 8% 3% 1% 4% 3
26–27 Jan YouGov[430] The Times GB 2,523 27% 22% 23% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 4
24–27 Jan More in Common[431] N/A GB 2,009 25% 24% 25% 13% 7% 2% 1% 3% Tie
22–29 Jan Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[432] (MRP)		 PLMR GB 5,743 23% 23% 24% 11% 8% 3% 1% 6% 1
22–24 Jan Opinium[433] The Observer GB 2,050 28% 21% 27% 11% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
22–23 Jan Whitestone Insight[434] Daily Express GB 2,012 25% 20% 24% 12% 13% 3% 1% 2% 1
22–23 Jan Techne[435] N/A UK 1,643 25% 24% 24% 13% 7% 2% — 5% 1
22 Jan Find Out Now[436] N/A GB 2,380 22% 23% 26% 12% 10% 3% 1% 3% 3
19–20 Jan YouGov[437] The Times GB 2,466 26% 22% 24% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2
17–20 Jan More in Common[438] N/A GB 2,016 24% 25% 25% 12% 7% 3% 1% 3% Tie
17–20 Jan Deltapoll[439] Institute for Government GB 1,500 29% 25% 22% 11% 8% 3% — 2% 4
16–20 Jan Lord Ashcroft Polls[440][b][a] N/A GB 5,251 28% 25% 20% 11% 9% 3% 0% 3% 3
15–16 Jan Techne[441] N/A UK 1,624 26% 25% 23% 12% 7% 2% — 5% 1
15 Jan Find Out Now[442] N/A GB 2,386 24% 25% 25% 12% 10% 3% 1% 2% Tie
10–14 Jan JL Partners[443] The Sunday Times GB 2,007 26% 25% 22% 13% 9% 2% 1% 3% 1
12–13 Jan YouGov[444] The Times GB 2,279 26% 22% 25% 14% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
10–13 Jan More in Common[445] N/A GB 1,587 24% 25% 24% 12% 8% 3% 1% 3% 1
8–10 Jan Opinium[446] The Observer GB 2,050 29% 23% 24% 10% 9% 2% 1% 2% 5
8 Jan Find Out Now[447] N/A GB 2,076 25% 20% 25% 11% 11% 3% 1% 2% Tie
6–8 Jan More in Common[448] N/A GB 2,011 26% 26% 22% 12% 7% 3% 1% 2% Tie
4–6 Jan Freshwater Strategy[449][b] City AM GB 1,207 28% 29% 23% 12% 5% 3% — 1% 1
30 Dec – 3 Jan Deltapoll[450] Mail on Sunday GB 1,532 30% 23% 22% 12% 9% 3% 1% 1% 7
Close

2024

For political events during the year, see 2024 in United Kingdom politics and government and 2024 in the United Kingdom.
More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC Others Lead
19–23 Dec Deltapoll[451] The Mirror GB 1,552 29% 25% 21% 12% 8% 4%0%1% 4
18–20 Dec Opinium[452] The Observer GB 1,472 29% 23% 22% 11% 10% 3%1%2% 6
18–19 Dec Techne[453] N/A UK 1,642 27% 26% 21% 12% 7% 2% — 5% 1
12–16 Dec Survation[454] N/A UK 2,030 30% 25% 20% 11% 7% 2% 1% 2% 5
31 Oct – 16 Dec More in Common[455] (MRP) N/A GB 11,024 25% 26% 21% 14% 8% 2% 1% 3% 1
11–12 Dec Techne[456] N/A UK 1,634 27% 25% 22% 11% 7% 2% — 6% 2
11 Dec Find Out Now[457] N/A GB 2,659 26% 23% 25% 11% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
6–10 Dec More in Common[458] N/A GB 2,432 26% 26% 19% 13% 8% 3% 1% 4% Tie
6–9 Dec Stonehaven[459] (MRP) N/A GB 2,072 28% 24% 21% 13% 8% 3% 1% 2% 4
5–6 Dec Techne[460] N/A UK 1,644 27% 25% 21% 12% 7% 2% — 6% 2
4 Dec Find Out Now[461] N/A GB 2,607 23% 26% 24% 11% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2
29 Nov – 2 Dec More in Common[462] N/A GB 2,002 26% 28% 21% 13% 7% 3% 1% 2% 2
27–29 Nov Opinium[463] The Observer GB 2,050 29% 25% 21% 10% 9% 3% 1% 2% 4
27–28 Nov Techne[464] N/A UK 1,648 28% 27% 18% 13% 6% 2% — 6% 1
27 Nov Find Out Now[465] N/A GB 2,316 25% 27% 22% 12% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2
26–27 Nov BMG Research[466] The i Paper GB 1,531 29% 27% 20% 12% 7% 3% 0% 2% 2
26–27 Nov More in Common[467] N/A GB 1,972 27% 30% 18% 12% 8% 2% 1% 2% 3
20–21 Nov Techne[468] N/A UK 1,632 29% 27% 17% 12% 7% 2% — 6% 2
19–21 Nov More in Common[469] N/A GB 2,002 25% 28% 19% 13% 8% 3% 1% 3% 3
14–18 Nov Deltapoll[470] N/A GB 1,749 29% 27% 18% 12% 8% 4% 1% 1% 2
13–14 Nov JL Partners[471] The Sun / Politico GB 2,024 27% 26% 20% 12% 9% 3% — 3% 1
13–14 Nov Techne[472] N/A GB 1,643 28% 27% 17% 13% 7% 2% — 6% 1
11–13 Nov Opinium[473] The Observer GB 1,646 30% 24% 21% 12% 8% 3% 1% 1% 6
8–11 Nov More in Common[474] N/A GB 2,007 27% 29% 19% 11% 8% 2% 1% 4% 2
6–7 Nov Techne[475] N/A UK 1,636 29% 25% 18% 13% 7% 2% — 6% 4
2 Nov Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
30 Oct – 1 Nov More in Common[476] N/A GB 2,007 28% 26% 18% 14% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2
30–31 Oct Opinium[477] The Observer GB 1,548 31% 24% 20% 10% 10% 2% 0% 3% 7
30–31 Oct BMG Research[478] The i Paper GB 1,511 28% 29% 17% 13% 8% 2% 1% 2% 1
30–31 Oct Techne[479] N/A UK 1,632 30% 24% 18% 14% 7% 2% — 5% 6
23–24 Oct Techne[480] N/A UK 1,644 29% 24% 19% 13% 7% 2% — 6% 5
16–18 Oct Opinium[481] The Observer GB 1,565 31% 24% 20% 12% 8% 2% 1% 2% 7
16–17 Oct Techne[482] N/A UK 1,636 28% 25% 19% 13% 7% 2% — 6% 3
11–13 Oct JL Partners[483] The Telegraph GB 2,000 29% 25% 19% 14% 7% 2% 1% 2% 4
9–10 Oct Techne[484] N/A UK 1,651 29% 24% 19% 12% 7% 2% — 7% 5
9–10 Oct More in Common[485] The Times GB 2,000 27% 27% 21% 13% 7% 2% 1% 1% Tie
5–7 Oct More in Common[486] Politico GB 2,023 29% 28% 19% 11% 7% 2% 0% 3% 1
4–7 Oct Deltapoll[487] N/A GB 2,108 29% 25% 18% 14% 8% 4% 1% 1% 4
2–4 Oct Opinium[488] The Observer GB 1,491 31% 24% 20% 11% 8% 3% — 2% 7
2–3 Oct BMG Research[489] i GB 1,562 30% 25% 20% 13% 7% 3% 0% 1% 5
2–3 Oct Techne[490] N/A UK 1,643 31% 23% 18% 13% 7% 2% — 6% 8
25–26 Sep Techne[491] N/A UK 1,638 32% 22% 18% 13% 7% 2% — 6% 10
24–25 Sep More in Common[492] N/A GB 2,080 30% 26% 18% 13% 8% 3% 1% 2% 4
18–23 Sep Verian[493] N/A GB 1,258 31% 26% 17% 13% 7% 2% 1% 2% 5
18–19 Sep Techne[494] The Independent UK 1,641 33% 21% 18% 13% 7% 2% — 6% 12
10–12 Sep More in Common[495] Politico GB 1,542 29% 25% 18% 14% 8% 3% 1% 4% 4
29 Aug BMG Research[496] i GB 1,560 30% 26% 19% 12% 8% 3% 1% 2% 4
7–8 Aug We Think[497] N/A GB 1,278 33% 20% 21% 11% 8% 3% 1% 4% 12
5–7 Aug BMG Research[498] i GB 1,523 33% 24% 18% 12% 8% 2% 0% 2% 9
30 Jul – 5 Aug Stonehaven[499][a] N/A GB 2,048 32% 21% 16% 11% 9% 2% 1% 7% 11
25–26 Jul We Think[500] N/A GB 2,012 36% 22% 17% 11% 7% 2% 1% 4% 14
11–12 Jul We Think[501] N/A GB 2,005 39% 20% 16% 11% 9% 2% — 3% 19
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election UK – 33.7% 23.7% 14.3% 12.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 6.1% 10.0
GB 34.7% 24.4% 14.7% 12.5% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 3.5% 10.3
Close

Seat projections

326 seats are needed for a majority. The party with the most seats is shaded in its colour, and where a party reaches the majority threshold, in bold. The party with the second-most seats is shaded in grey. All polls so far have been conducted excluding the 18 seats in Northern Ireland.

Multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) is the most common methodology for projecting seats nationally. Multiple polling companies have conducted such polling and modelling for the next election, these are tabulated below. Also included are some polls compiled via Political Analysis through Regional and Local Insights System (POLARIS), a novel model created by JL Partners which uses council by-elections to predict election outcomes.[502] POLARIS polls from January 2025 onwards are also combined with a representative survey data, with the data used shifted to reflect the pollster's most recent national polling.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Method Sample
size		 Lab Con LD SNP Ref Grn PC Others Majority
23–30 Jun 2026 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[503] PLMR MRP 5,500 217 151 72 28 127 30 3 4 Hung
(Lab −109)
27 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[79] PLMR MRP 5,599 86 159 61 44 188 71 17 6 Hung
(Ref −138)
1–30 Mar 2026 More in Common[85] The Times MRP 15,482 101 81 62 26 324 22 5 10 Hung
(Ref −2)
27 Nov – 16 Dec 2025 More in Common[504] The Times MRP 16,083 85 70 35 40 381 9 5 6 Ref 112
1–8 Dec 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[172] PLMR MRP 5,596 41 92 60 44 335 52 4
4
YP: 4
 Ref 20
31 Aug – 24 Sep 2025 YouGov[228] N/A MRP 13,000 144 45 78 37 311 7 6 3 Hung
(Ref −15)
9 Aug – 15 Sep 2025 More in Common[238] The Times[239] MRP 19,520 90 41 69 34 373 6 4 14 Ref 96
21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 Survation[505][506] 38 Degrees MRP 8,546 191 42 63 30 293 6 2 5[d] Hung
(Ref −33)
16 Jul – 3 Aug 2025 Stack Data Strategy[272] Conservative Party (alleged[e]) MRP 9,301 161 14 63 37 348 3 4 2 Ref 46
13–30 Jun 2025 More in Common[300] N/A MRP 11,282 126 81 73 42 290 7 4 8 Hung
(Ref −36)
29 May – 18 Jun 2025 YouGov[310] N/A MRP 11,500 178 46 81 38 271 7 7 3 Hung
(Ref −55)
10–17 Jun 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[311] PLMR MRP 5,444 118 29 69 26 377 4 4 5 Ref 104
14 Mar – 1 Apr 2025 More in Common[373] N/A MRP 16,176 165 165 67 35 180 4 5 10 Hung
(Ref −146)
Mar 2025 JL Partners[507] N/A POLARIS 306,817 218 136 70 41 135 5 3
21
Ind / WPB: 20
Spk: 1
 Hung
(Lab −108)[f]
21–28 Mar 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[377] PLMR[378] MRP 5,180 180 133 49 30 227 4 4 5 Hung
(Ref −99)
Jan 2025 JL Partners[508] N/A POLARIS 306,817 200 190 70 42 102 7 4
17
Ind / WPB: 16
Spk: 1
 Hung
(Lab −126)
22–29 Jan 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[432] PLMR MRP 5,743 174 178 57 37 175 4 2 5 Hung
(Con −148)
30 Nov 2024 – 5 Jan 2025 Focaldata[509] Hope not Hate[510] MRP 17,790 287 163 63 22 76 4 4 13 Hung
(Lab −39)
Dec 2024 JL Partners[511] N/A POLARIS 280,000 256 208 66 6 71 5 4
16
Ind / WPB: 15
Spk: 1
 Hung
(Lab −70)
31 Oct – 16 Dec 2024 More in Common[455] N/A MRP 11,024 228 222 58 37 72 2 4 26[g] Hung
(Lab −98)
6–9 Dec 2024 Stonehaven[459] N/A MRP 2,072 278 157 47 24 120 3 2 19[g] Hung
(Lab −48)
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 411 121 72 9 5 4 4
6
Ind: 5
Spk: 1
 Lab 172
Close

Sub-national poll results

Scotland

See also: Opinion polling in Scotland for the next United Kingdom general election
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland
More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Lab SNP Con LD Ref SGr Others Lead
27–29 May 2026 Norstat[512] Sunday Times 1,002 16% 34% 10% 9% 17% 10% 4% 17
7 May 2026 2026 Scottish Parliament election
27–30 Apr 2026 Norstat[513] Sunday Times 1,002 19% 29% 14% 10% 18% 8% 2% 10
14–21 Apr 2026 Survation[514] Ballot Box Scotland 1,008 19% 31% 10% 8% 21% 7% 2% 10
30 Mar – 1 Apr 2026 Norstat[515] Sunday Times 1,006 18% 32% 11% 10% 16% 9% 4% 14
26–31 Mar 2026 Ipsos[516] STV News 1,030 15% 37% 11% 8% 18% 9% 2% 19
26 Mar 2026 The Alba Party deregisters as a political party and dissolves[517]
20 Feb – 6 Mar 2026 Lord Ashcroft Polls[518][b][a] N/A 2,089 13% 36% 10% 8% 16% 12% 5% 20
19–26 Feb 2026 Ipsos[519] STV News 1,096 21% 33% 10% 10% 17% 8% 1% 12
13–19 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[520] The National 1,002 14% 31% 8% 10% 23% 10% — 8
11–18 Feb 2026 YouGov[521] Scottish Elections Study 1,517 14% 32% 11% 9% 21% 11% 2% 11
10–13 Feb 2026 Norstat[522] The Sunday Times 1,001 17% 32% 11% 7% 23% 8% 2% 9
13–16 Jan 2026 Norstat[523] The Sunday Times 1,016 17% 32% 11% 9% 21% 7%
2%

Alba 1%
Other 1%
 11
15 Jan 2026 Malcolm Offord is appointed leader of Reform UK in Scotland
8–12 Jan 2026 Survation[524] True North Advisors 1,003 17% 31% 12% 9% 21% 8%
1%

Alba 1%
Other 0%
 10
11–19 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[525] The National 1,000 13% 32% 10% 8% 24% 10%
3%

YP 1%
Other 2%
 8
27 Nov – 3 Dec 2025 Ipsos[526] STV News 1,055 17% 33% 11% 8% 20% 11% 1% 13
22–25 Sep 2025 Norstat[527] The Sunday Times 1,010 18% 31% 11% 9% 23% 7%
2%

Alba 1%
Other 1%
 8
15–21 Sep 2025 Find Out Now[528] The National 1,282 15% 30% 10% 9% 23% 6% 5% 7
4–16 Sep 2025 Survation[529] Scotland in Union 2,051 19% 35% 12% 8% 19% 4%
2%

Alba 1%
Other 1%
 16
21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 More in Common[530] N/A 1,104 17% 31% 11% 11% 21% 6% 2% 10
29 Aug 2025 Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected as co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
13–19 Jun 2025 YouGov[531][failed verification] Scottish Election Study 1,178 19% 29% 10% 11% 22% 7% 1% 7
12–18 Jun 2025 Ipsos[532] STV News 1,064 22% 31% 10% 9% 16% 10%
2%

Alba 1%
Other 1%
 9
27–30 May 2025 Norstat[533] The Times 1,007 20% 31% 12% 8% 21% 7%
2%

Alba 1%
Other 1%
 10
2–5 May 2025 Survation[534] True North Advisors 1,020 19% 32% 11% 11% 21% 5% 0% 11
16–22 Apr 2025 Survation[535] Diffley Partnership 1,005 24% 33% 14% 9% 15% 5% 1% 9
25 Feb – 3 Mar 2025 YouGov[536][failed verification] Scottish Election Study 1,164 21% 32% 12% 7% 19% 7% 1% 11
15–20 Jan 2025 Find Out Now[537] The Herald 1,334 18% 31% 12% 10% 17% 7% 5% 13
11–14 Jan 2025 Norstat[538] The Sunday Times 1,026 18% 32% 13% 11% 17% 6%
2%

Alba 1%
Other 0%
 14
7–13 Jan 2025 Survation[539] True North Advisors 1,024 24% 33% 14% 9% 15% 4% 1% 9
17–24 Dec 2024 Find Out Now[540] The National[541] 1,774 20% 34% 14% 9% 15% 6% 2% 14
4–6 Dec 2024 Norstat[542] The Sunday Times 1,013 20% 31% 14% 9% 15% 6%
4%

Alba 3%
Other 1%
 11
1–15 Nov 2024 Survation[543] Progress Scotland 3,016 28% 31% 15% 6% 13% 5%
4%

Alba 3%
Other 1%
 3
30 Oct – 1 Nov 2024 Norstat[544] The Sunday Times 1,013 23% 30% 15% 10% 14% 6%
2%

Alba 1%
Other 1%
 7
27 Sep 2024 Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep 2024 Survation[545] Progress Scotland 2,059 31% 31% 14% 9% 11% 3%
1%

Alba 1%
Other 0%
 Tie
5–11 Sep 2024 Opinium[546] The Sunday Times[547] 1,028 25% 32% 14% 8% 11% 7% 2% 7
20–22 Aug 2024 Norstat[548] The Sunday Times 1,011 32% 29% 12% 8% 12% 5%
3%

Alba 2%
Other 1%
 3
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election[549] – 35.3% 30.0% 12.7% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8%
1.2%
Alba 0.5%
Independent 0.4%
Scottish Family 0.2%
TUSC 0.1%
 5.3
Close

Wales

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref PC LD Grn Others Lead
12–19 Mar 2026 YouGov[550] ITV Cymru Wales / Cardiff University 1,082 12% 12% 24% 29% 5% 14% 4% 5
5–12 Jan 2026 YouGov[551] Barn Cymru 1,205 13% 12% 25% 29% 6% 12% 2% 4
28 Nov – 10 Dec 2025 YouGov[552] Cardiff University 2,500 15% 13% 30% 19% 8% 14% 2% 11
4–10 Sep 2025 YouGov[553] Barn Cymru 1,220 18% 11% 29% 23% 9% 7% 4% 6
23–30 Apr 2025 YouGov[554] Barn Cymru 1,248 20% 13% 24% 24% 9% 7% 2% Tie
10 Mar – 3 Apr 2025 Survation[555] N/A 844 29% 15% 25% 18% 6% 6% 1% 4
3–5 Dec 2024 Darren Millar is elected leader of the Welsh Conservatives
18 Oct – 4 Nov 2024 Survation[556] Reform UK 2,006 33% 18% 21% 13% 9% 5% 0% 12
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election[557] – 37.0% 18.2% 16.9% 14.8% 6.5% 4.7% 1.9% 18.8
Close

100 most rural constituencies

In November 2024, Survation conducted a survey of the 100 "most rural" constituencies.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Con Lab LD Ref Grn Others Lead
14–21 Nov 2024 Survation[558] Country Land and Business Association 1,007 34% 21% 18% 21% 7% 0% 13
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election (Survation)[558] – 33.9% 23.6% 19.1% 16.1% 6.0% 1.4% 10.4
Close

Northern England and the Midlands

In April 2025, Survation conducted a survey of Northern England and the Midlands.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn Others Lead
11–13 Apr 2025 Survation[559] Friderichs Advisory Partners 2,032 27% 22% 30% 10% 9% 2% 3
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 39.6% 23.8% 17.7% 7.5% 6.8% 4.6% 15.9
Close

London

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Lab Con LD Grn Ref Others Lead
17–23 Dec 2025 Savanta[560] QMUL 1,006 30% 17% 13% 17% 21% 2% 9
15–21 Dec 2025 Savanta[561] QMUL 1,006 31% 17% 13% 18% 19% 2% 11
30 Oct – 7 Nov 2025 Savanta[562] Centre for London 1,242 32% 20% 11% 10% 23% TBC 9
29 Apr – 21 May 2025 Savanta[563] QMUL 1,003 32% 21% 13% 13% 15% 6% 11
4–8 May 2025 Find Out Now[564] Alex Wilson 1,102 30% 17% 16% 15% 19% 4% 11
30 Oct – 11 Nov 2024 Savanta[565] QMUL 1,004 36% 24% 12% 12% 13% 4% 12
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 43.0% 20.6% 11.0% 10.0% 8.7% 6.7% 22.7
Close

Greater Manchester

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Lab Ref Con LD Grn Others Lead
23–24 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[566] n/a 1,003 24% 36% 9% 10% 18% 3% 12
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 43.0% 17.4% 15.9% 9.0% 7.9% 6.8% 25.5
Close

Individual constituency poll results

Gorton and Denton

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Ref Grn Con LD Others Lead
27 Feb – 8 Mar 2026 Survation[567] DataPraxis 501 25% 27% 37% 6% 1% 3% 10
26 Feb 2026 2026 by-election – 25.4% 28.7% 40.7% 1.9% 1.8%
1.4%
OMRLP 0.4%
Adv 0.4%
REU 0.3%
LPUK 0.1%
SDP 0.1%
CL 0.1%
 12.0
16–24 Feb 2026 Opinium[568] Byline Times/Forward Democracy 401 28% 27% 28% 6% 4%
6%
REU 2%
Adv 2%
LPUK 1%
OMRLP 1%
SDP 0%
 Tie
13–19 Feb 2026 Omnisis[569][a] Opal Ltd 452 26% 29% 33% 5% 2%
5%
REU 3%
LPUK 1%
SDP 1%
Adv 0%
OMRLP 0%
CL 0%
 4
25–27 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[570] Betterworld Ltd 143[h] 33% 36% 21% 8% 3% 0% 3
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 50.8% 14.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.8%
10.3%
WPB 10.3%
 36.7
Close

Hypothetical: With Andy Burnham as the Labour candidate

In the run-up to the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election, Mayor of Manchester Andy Burnham launched a bid to become the Labour candidate, leading to speculation that he could mount a leadership challenge against Prime Minister Keir Starmer.[572][573] However, on 25 January 2026, Labour's National Executive Committee (NEC) blocked Burnham from standing for the party.[574]

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Ref Grn Con LD Others Lead
25–27 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[570] Betterworld Ltd 143[h] 49% 28% 7% 6% 1% 0% 21
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 50.8% 14.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.8%
10.3%
WPB 10.3%
 36.7
Close

Great Yarmouth

Hypothetical: With Great Yarmouth First

A poll was commissioned for the constituency of Great Yarmouth for a new (although unregistered at the time) party "Great Yarmouth First" led by Rupert Lowe, prior to the formation of Restore Britain.[575] The sample size of this poll was significantly smaller than standard polling leading to a wider margin of error. Great Yarmouth First was registered with the Electoral Commission as a political party on 4 March 2026.[576]

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample
size		 Ref Lab Con Grn LD GYF Others Lead
4 Mar 2026 Great Yarmouth First is registered with the Electoral Commission[576]
2–4 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[577] Restore Britain 121 16% 17% 13% 5% 5% 44%[i] 1% 27
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 35.3% 31.8% 24.6% 4.3% 2.7% N/A 1.3% 3.5
Close

Makerfield

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Ref Con LD Grn RB Others Lead
18 Jun 2026 2026 by-election – 54.8% 34.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.7% 6.8%
0.6%
CBP 0.2%
OMRLP 0.1%
Dyer (Ind) 0.1%
REU 0.1%
LPUK 0.04%
Clm 0.04%
Pownall (Ind) 0.04%
Gould (Ind) 0.02%
 20.3
2–12 Jun 2026 Convergent Opinion[578] The Sunday Times 525 49% 37% 3% 1% 5% 5% 1% 12
28 May – 12 Jun 2026 More In Common[579] — 515 45% 40% 2% 1% 3% 8% 1% 5
3–11 Jun 2026 Opinium[580][581] Forward Democracy 543 46% 41% 3% 1% 2% 7% 1% 5
26 May – 1 Jun 2026 Survation[582] — 518 49% 39% 1% 1% 2% 8% 1% 10
18–22 May 2026 Survation[583] Election Data Ltd. 369 43% 40% 2% 4% 3% 7% 1% 3
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 45.2% 31.8% 10.9% 6.8% 4.4% –
0.9%
ED 0.9%
 13.4
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Runcorn and Helsby

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Ref Con Grn LD Others Lead
1 May 2025 2025 by-election – 38.7% 38.7% 7.2% 7.1% 2.9% 5.4% 0.02
12–14 Mar 2025 FindOutNow[584] — 147 33% 36% 12% 7% 7% 5% 3
3–12 Mar 2025 Lord Ashcroft[585] — 702 35% 40% 10% 6% 8% 2% 5
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 52.9% 18.1% 16.0% 6.4% 5.1% 1.4% 34.8
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Hypothetical scenarios

Hypothetical leadership scenarios

See also: Leadership approval opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election § Hypothetical scenarios

Different Conservative Party leaders: voting intention and seat projections

For the 2024 Conservative Party leadership election, Electoral Calculus conducted a multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) opinion poll on behalf of Jack Lewy of the Robert Jenrick campaign, asking the general public how they would vote if respectively Kemi Badenoch or Robert Jenrick were elected leader of the Conservatives.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample

size

 Hypothetical Conservative leader Lab Con LD SNP Ref Grn PC Others Majority / lead
11–15 Oct 2024 Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)[586] Jack Lewy / Robert Jenrick GB 6,289 Kemi Badenoch Seats 332 151 63 48 25 4 4 5 Lab 14
Vote share 29% 22% 12% 4% 21% 10% 1% 1% 7
Robert Jenrick Seats 311 178 58 48 24 4 4 5 Hung (Lab −15)
Vote share 28% 23% 12% 4% 20% 11% 1% 1% 5
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With Andy Burnham as Labour leader

In May 2026, amid Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham's run in the 2026 Makerfield by-election and speculation of him challenging incumbent Labour leader and Prime Minister Keir Starmer, More in Common and Deltapoll conducted national polls with the condition of Burnham as leader. BMG Research then conducted a further poll after Starmer's resignation.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP Others Lead
23–24 Jun 2026 BMG Research[587] The i Paper GB 1,508 27% 19% 26% 11% 11% N/a 5% 1
15–19 May 2026 More in Common[588] N/a GB 2,599 30% 20% 27% 11% 7% 3% 3% 3
15–18 May 2026 Deltapoll[44] N/a GB 1,921 28% 15% 27% 8% 10% 5% 7% 1
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election GB N/a 34.7% 24.4% 14.7% 12.5% 6.9% 2.6% 4.2% 10.3
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Hypothetical new parties

Including Your Party prior to formation

In 2025, Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana founded a new political party, called Your Party.[589] Prior to the announcement of these plans, polling was carried out about the idea for a hypothetical new party. After the announcement of the plan for a new party, more polling was carried out.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC YP Others Lead
30 Sep 2025 Your Party is registered with the Electoral Commission
10–18 Sep 2025 Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus[590] (MRP) PLMR GB 7,449 21% 15% 36% 10% 7% 3% 1% 4%[j] 3% 15
1–8 Sep 2025 Find Out Now[591] Electoral Calculus GB 10,990 20% 16% 34% 12% 7% 3% 1% 6%[j] 3% 14
15–19 Aug 2025 Focaldata[260] N/A GB 1,500 23% 18% 28% 14% 7% 2% 1% 4%[k] 3% 5
29–31 Jul 2025 BMG Research[592] The i Paper GB 1,528 20% 19% 31% 13% 7% 2% 1% 6%[l] 2% 11
24 Jul 2025 Zarah Sultana and Jeremy Corbyn announce they intend to form Your Party
9–10 Jul 2025 Find Out Now[289] MultiComms Ltd GB 1,308 15% 17% 34% 9% 5% 2% 1% 15%[m] 1% 17
4–7 Jul 2025 More in Common[593] N/A GB 2,084 22% 20% 27% 13% 5% 3% 1% 8%[n] 1% 5
20–23 Jun 2025 More in Common[594] N/A GB 2,004 20% 20% 27% 14% 5% 2% 1% 10%[o] 1% 7
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election GB – 34.7% 24.4% 14.7% 12.5% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% N/A 3.5% 10.3
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Seat projections (MRP polls) 326 seats needed for a majority.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con LD SNP Ref Grn PC YP Others Majority
10–18 Sep 2025 Electoral Calculus/Find Out Now[590] PLMR GB 7,449 117 24 58 42 367 6 5 13[j] 0 Ref 84
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election UK – 411 121 72 9 5 4 4 N/A
24
Sinn Féin: 7
Independents: 6
DUP: 5
SDLP: 2
Alliance: 1
UUP: 1
TUV: 1
Speaker: 1
 Lab 172
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Including Restore Britain prior to formation

In June 2025, former Reform MP Rupert Lowe launched a political organisation called "Restore Britain", advocating a harder line on immigration than Reform UK. Find Out Now were asked by the organisation to poll on a hypothetical new party led by Lowe. In February 2026, Lowe announced that Restore Britain would become a political party.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC RB Others Lead
20 Mar 2026 Restore Britain is registered with the Electoral Commission[595]
6–10 Mar 2026 Focaldata[101] N/A GB 1,086 20% 18% 27% 14% 13% 2% 1% 2%
3%
Your 0%
Other 2%
 7
3–4 Mar 2026 Find Out Now[596] Restore Britain GB 2,082 16% 17% 24% 10% 20% 2% 1% 7%
2%
Your 1%
Other 1%
 4
20–21 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[597] Restore Britain GB 3,029 16% 16% 25% 11% 18% 2% 1% 7%
3%
Your 1%
Other 2%
 7
14 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[598] Restore Britain GB 1,000 15% 13% 25% 10% 20% 4% 2% 10% 2% 5
13 Feb 2026 Rupert Lowe announces that Restore Britain will become a political party.
15 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[599] Restore Britain GB 1,000 14% 15% 26% 10% 18% 4% 2% 9% 3% 8
28 Nov 2025 Find Out Now[600] Restore Britain GB 1,000 16% 13% 25% 13% 18% 3% 1% 10% 3% 7
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election GB – 34.7% 24.4% 14.7% 12.5% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% N/A 3.5% 10.3
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Hypothetical voting scenarios

Tactical voting scenarios

YouGov has conducted polling on scenarios wherein only two parties appear to have a chance of winning a constituency.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn Others Don't know Would not vote/refused Lead
Labour–Conservative
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,101 29% 28% 9% 3% 6% 2% 6% 13% 1
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[602] GB 2,167 27% 29% 9% 3% 6% 3% 7% 16% 2
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[603] GB 2,178 31% 28% 7% 3% 3% 2% 6% 17% 3
Labour–Reform
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,129 35% 6% 31% 2% 5% 2% 5% 10% 4
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[602] GB 2,167 31% 3% 34% 3% 5% 2% 6% 14% 3
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[603] GB 2,178 35% 4% 31% 2% 3% 2% 6% 16% 4
Labour–Lib Dem
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,081 21% 5% 11% 29% 5% 3% 8% 16% 8
Labour–Green
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,116 20% 6% 12% 2% 30% 2% 8% 16% 10
Conservative–Reform
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,089 6% 31% 24% 3% 8% 5% 6% 16% 7
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[602] GB 2,167 6% 28% 27% 4% 8% 4% 7% 16% 1
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[603] GB 2,178 10% 26% 25% 5% 6% 3% 7% 18% 1
Conservative–Lib Dem
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,056 3% 26% 8% 34% 5% 2% 7% 12% 8
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[602] GB 2,167 3% 26% 8% 32% 5% 2% 7% 15% 6
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[603] GB 2,178 5% 25% 7% 33% 3% 2% 6% 17% 8
Conservative–Green
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,106 3% 29% 9% 2% 37% 2% 6% 10% 8
Reform–Lib Dem
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,134 2% 4% 29% 41% 3% 2% 6% 9% 12
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[602] GB 2,167 3% 4% 32% 36% 4% 2% 6% 13% 4
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[603] GB 2,178 5% 4% 29% 36% 3% 2% 6% 15% 7
Reform–Green
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,084 2% 5% 27% 2% 42% 1% 6% 11% 15
Lib Dem–Green
10–12 Feb 2026 YouGov[601] GB 2,074 3% 6% 12% 26% 25% 2% 9% 15% 1
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With under-18s

In July 2025, the Government announced their intention to reduce the voting age to 16 before the next general election.[604] Following this, some pollsters conducted polling including 16–17-year-olds, although the voting age has not yet been reduced by law.

National poll results including 16–17-year-olds
More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC Others Lead
14–18 Jul 2025 Focaldata[605] MultiComms Ltd GB 1,307 23% 19% 26% 14% 9% 2% 1% 5% 3
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Polling solely among 16–17-year-olds

Some pollsters also conducted polling solely among 16–17-year-olds, or broke out an oversample of this group.

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC YP Others Lead
c. Sep 2025 Focaldata[606] John Smith Centre UK 512 32% 8% 22% 8% 18% 4% 0% — 8% 10
7–28 Aug 2025 More in Common[607] The Sunday Times GB 1,115 24% 13% 23% 12% 6% 1% 0% 21%[p] 0% 1
30% 14% 23% 14% 14% 3% 0% — 3% 7
14–18 Jul 2025 Focaldata[605] MultiComms Ltd GB 274 (oversample) 35% 11% 17% 7% 19% 4% 1% —
6%
Ind 4%
Other 2%
 16
4–6 Jul 2025 Merlin Strategy[608] ITV News GB 500 33% 10% 20% 12% 18% 2% 0% —
6%
Ind 3%
Other 3%
 13
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Polling solely among 13–17-year-olds

Merlin Strategy conducted polling solely among those who would be eligible to vote in 2029, the latest possible date for the election.[609]

More information Date(s) conducted, Pollster ...
Date(s)
conducted		 Pollster Client Area Sample
size		 Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC YP Others Lead
13–19 Sep 2025 Merlin Strategy[610][611] New Statesman GB 1,000 27% 12% 33% 7% 12% 3% 0% 3%[q] 2% 6
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See also

Notes

  1. [a]
    Percentages calculated by excluding the number of respondents coded as "Don't know" and "Would not vote"
  2. [b]
    Pollster is not a member of the British Polling Council.
  3. [c]
    The Telegraph reported that the data was commissioned by the party, though this has been denied by both the Conservatives and Stack themselves.[274]
  4. [d]
    Calculated by subtraction
  5. [e]
    The Telegraph reported that the data was commissioned by the party, though this has been denied by both the Conservatives and Stack themselves.[274]
  6. [f]
    Seats total 647, not 650: 628 projected for GB, plus 18 N.I. plus Speaker.
  7. [g]
    Polling was of GB adults only, but 18 seats were assigned to Northern Irish parties in the reporting of the outcome.
  8. [h]
    Poll has a very small sample size, leading to a high margin of error.[571]
  9. [i]
    Framed as "Rupert Lowe's Great Yarmouth First"
  10. [j]
    Framed as "Your Party Led By Jeremy Corbyn"
  11. [k]
    Framed as "Your Party (provisional name for new party founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana)"
  12. [l]
    Framed as "Your Party (provisional name for new party led by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana)"
  13. [m]
    Framed as "A new populist left-wing party... with Zarah Sultana MP and Jeremy Corbyn MP as co-leaders"
  14. [n]
    Framed as "The new left-wing party led by Zarah Sultana and Jeremy Corbyn"
  15. [o]
    Framed as "a new populist left-wing party ... with Jeremy Corbyn as leader"
  16. [p]
    Framed as "A new party led by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana"
  17. [q]
    Framed as "A party led by Jeremy Corbyn"

References

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