Next Extremaduran regional election

The 2025 snap election saw a resounding win for the People's Party (PP) of incumbent president María Guardiola, which nonetheless fell well short of an overall majority and remained dependant on the far-right Vox party's support to retain power.^[1][2] Negotiations throughout January and February 2026 failed to deliver a deal and led to a political deadlock after Guardiola's failure to be elected in an investiture attempt in March, with the scenario of a repeat election gaining traction.^[3][4][5] Concurrently, the electoral collapse of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) prompted regional PSOE leader Miguel Ángel Gallardo to resign,^[6] with the party planning an extraordinary congress to take place in April 2026 so that a successor could be in place in the event of a repeat election.^[7]

Under the 2011 Statute of Autonomy, the Assembly of Extremadura is the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.^[8] The electoral and procedural rules are supplemented by national law provisions.^[9]

The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication.^[10] The previous election was held on 21 December 2025, which means that the chamber's term will expire on 21 December 2029. The election decree must be published in the DOE no later than 27 November 2029, setting the latest possible date for election day on 20 January 2030.

The regional president has the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year after a previous one.^[11] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[12]

The 2025 snap election saw the People's Party (PP) of incumbent president María Guardiola falling well short of an overall majority in parliament, requiring the support of the far-right Vox party to retain power.^[1] As a result, Spanish media commented on the possibility of a repeat election in the event of a failure in the government formation process.^[13][14] Negotiations throughout January and February 2026 showed Vox's willingness to block Guardiola's election,^[15][4] with this being materialized in March after forcing the defeat of her investiture attempt.^[5] The likelihood for a repeat election to take place on 28 June 2026 rose for a few weeks before a deal was finally reached that allowed Guardiola to be re-elected as regional president on 22 April.^[3][16]

Voting for the Assembly is based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and with full political rights, provided that they have not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence.^[17]

The Assembly of Extremadura has a maximum of 65 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at that number. All are elected in two multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, each of which is assigned an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 distributed in proportion to population—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency. Alternatively, parties may also enter the seat distribution as long as they run candidates in both constituencies and reach five percent regionally.^[18]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Assembly constituency would be entitled the following seats (as of 11 December 2025):^[a]

The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term will be filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.^[20]

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the present time.^[21][22]

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least two percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.^[23] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.^[24]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Vote %	Seats
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		María Guardiola	Conservatism Christian democracy	43.1%	29
	PSOE	List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)		Álvaro Sánchez Cotrina	Social democracy	25.8%	18		[6] [25]
	Vox	List Vox (Vox)		Óscar Fernández	Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism	16.9%	11
	Podemos– IU–AV	List We Can (Podemos) United Left (IU) – Communist Party of Extremadura (PCEx) – The Dawn Marxist Organization (La Aurora (OM)) – Republican Left (IR) Green Alliance (AV) Unite Movement (SMR)[b]		Irene de Miguel	Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism	10.3%	7

The table below lists opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					Lead
2025 regional election	21 Dec 2025	—N/a	60.8	43.1 29	25.8 18	16.9 11	10.3 7	17.3