Opinion polling for the 2024 Indian general election
Surveys and polls for 2024 Indian general election
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In the run-up to the 2024 Indian general election, various media houses and polling agencies carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
Seats and vote share projections
| Polling agency | Date published | Sample size | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | |||||
| 2024 election results | 43.8% | 41.48% | 14.72% | 2.32 | |||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[1] | 57,566 | ±3–5% | 46.6 | 39.8 | 13.6 | 6.8 |
| News 18 | March 2024[2] | 118,616 | ±4% | 48 | 32 | 20 | 16 |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[3] | 41,762[4] | ±5% | 46 | 39 | 15 | 7 |
| Times Now-ETG | March 2024[5] | 323,357[6] | ±3% | 52 | 42 | 6 | 10 |
| Zee News-Matrize | February 2024[7] | 167,843 | ±2% | 43.6 | 27.7 | 24.9 | 15.9 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[8] | 149,092[9] | ±3–5% | 45 | 38 | 17 | 8 |
| Times Now-ETG | February 2024[10] | 156,843[11] | ±2% | 41.8 | 28.6 | 29.6 | 13.2 |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[12] | 200,000 | ±3–5% | 42 | 38 | 20 | 4 |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[13][14] | 147,231[15] | ±3% | 44 | 39 | 17 | 5 |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[16][17] | 54,250 | ±3% | 43.4 | 39.1 | 17.5 | 4.3 |
| Times Now-ETG | October 2023[18] | 135,100[19] | ±3% | 42.6 | 40.2 | 17.2 | 2.4 |
| August 2023[20][21] | 110,662[22] | ±3% | 42.6 | 40.2 | 17.2 | 2.4 | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[23] | 160,438 | ±3–5% | 43 | 41 | 16 | 2 |
| Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc | |||||||
| India Today-CVoter | January 2023[24] | 140,917 | ±3–5% | 43 | 30 | 27 | 13 |
| 2019 election results | 45.3% | 27.5% | 27.2% | 17.8 | |||
| Polling agency | Date published | Sample size | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | |||||
| 2024 election results | 293 | 234 | 16 | NDA +43 | |||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh - People's Insight - Polstrat | April 2024[25] | 2,500,000 | 3% | 362 | 149 | 32 | NDA +81 |
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[1] | 57,566 | ±3–5% | 373 | 155 | 15 | NDA +203 |
| Times Now-ETG | April 2024[26] | 271,292[27] | ±3% | 384 | 118 | 41 | NDA +224 |
| News18 | March 2024[28] | 118,616[29] | ±4% | 411 | 105 | 27 | NDA +279 |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[30] | 41,762 | ±5% | 366 | 156 | 21 | NDA +189 |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[31] | 162,900[32] | ±3% | 378 | 98 | 67 | NDA +213 |
| Times Now-ETG | March 2024[33] | 323,357 | ±3% | 358–398 | 110–130 | 40–50 | NDA |
| Zee News-Matrize | February 2024[7] | 167,843 | ±2% | 377 | 93 | 73 | NDA +211 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[34] | 149,092[35] | ±3–5% | 335 | 166 | 42 | NDA +127 |
| Times Now-ETG | February 2024[36] | 156,843 | ±2% | 366 | 104 | 73 | NDA +189 |
| ABP-CVoter | December 2023[12] | 200,000 | ±3–5% | 295–335 | 165–205 | 35–65 | NDA +80 |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[13][14] | 147,231 | ±3% | 319–339 | 148–168 | 52–61 | NDA +114 |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[16][17] | 54,250 | ±3% | 315 | 172 | 56 | NDA +87 |
| Times Now-ETG | October 2023[18] | 135,100 | ±3% | 297–317 | 165–185 | 57–65 | NDA |
| August 2023[37][21] | 110,662 | ±3% | 296–326 | 160–190 | 56–64 | NDA | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[23] | 160,438 | ±3–5% | 306 | 193 | 54 | NDA |
| Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc | |||||||
| India Today-CVoter | January 2023[38] | 140,917 | ±3–5% | 298 | 153 | 92 | NDA |
| 2019 election results | 353 | 91 | 99 | NDA | |||
Data of states and union territories
Andaman and Nicobar Islands (1)
Andhra Pradesh (25)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YSRCP | NDA | INDIA | Others | |||||
| TDP+ | BJP | |||||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[41] | ±5% | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | NDA | |
| News 18 | March 2024[42] | ±3% | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | NDA | |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[43] | ±5% | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | NDA | |
| TDP+ joins NDA | ||||||||
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[44] | ±3–5% | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | TDP |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[45] | ±3% | 24–25 | 0–1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | YSRCP |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[46] | ±3% | 15 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | YSRCP |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[47] | ±3% | 24–25 | 0–1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | YSRCP |
| August 2023[48] | ±3% | 24–25 | 0–1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | YSRCP | |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YSRCP | NDA | INDIA | Others | |||||
| TDP+ | BJP | |||||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[41] | ±5% | 39.9% | 46.7% | 13.4% | 6.8 | ||
| News 18 | March 2024[42] | ±3% | 41% | 50% | 6% | 3% | 9 | |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[43] | ±5% | 42% | 45% | 3% | 10% | 3 | |
| TDP+ joins NDA | ||||||||
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[44] | ±3–5% | 41% | 45% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 4 |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[45] | ±3% | 50% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3 |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[46] | ±3–5% | 46% | 42% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 4 |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[47] | ±3% | 51.1% | 36.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 10.1% | 14.7 |
Arunachal Pradesh (2)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[49] | ±5% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[50] | ±5% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[citation needed] | ±3% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[citation needed] | ±3% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[citation needed] | ±3% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[citation needed] | ±3% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA | |
Assam (14)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | AIUDF | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[53] | ±5% | 12 | 2 | 0 | NDA | |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[54] | ±5% | 12 | 2 | 0 | NDA | |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[55] | ±3% | 12 | 1 | 1 | NDA | |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[56] | ±3-5% | 12 | 2 | 0 | NDA | |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[57] | ±3% | 9-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | NDA | |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[58] | ±3% | 12 | 1 | 1 | NDA | |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[59] | ±3% | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-1 | NDA | |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 9-11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | NDA | ||
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[60] | ±3-5% | 12 | 1 | 1 | NDA | |
Bihar (40)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[65] | ±3-5% | 33 | 7 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[66] | ±5% | 32 | 8 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[67] | ±3-5% | 32 | 8 | 0 | NDA |
| JD(U) leaves INDIA and joins NDA | ||||||
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[68] | ±3-5% | 16-18 | 21-23 | 0-2 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[69] | ±3% | 22-24 | 15-17 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[70] | ±3% | 24 | 16 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[71] | ±3% | 18-20 | 20-22 | 0 | INDIA |
| August 2023[72] | ±3% | 22-24 | 16-18 | 0 | NDA | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[73] | ±3-5% | 14 | 26 | 0 | INDIA |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[74] | ±3-5% | 50.8% | 39.9% | 9.3% | 10.9 |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[66] | ±5% | 50% | 35% | 15% | 15 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[67] | ±3-5% | 52% | 38% | 10% | 14 |
| JD(U) leaves INDIA and joins NDA | ||||||
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[75] | ±3-5% | 43% | 47% | 10% | 4 |
Chandigarh (1)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[76] | ±5% | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[77] | ±5% | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023 | ±3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023 | ±3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023 | ±3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA | |
Chhattisgarh (11)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[79] | ±3-5% | 11 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[80] | ±5% | 11 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[81] | ±3-5% | 10 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[82] | ±3-5% | 9-11 | 0-2 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[83] | ±3% | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[84] | ±3% | 7 | 4 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[85] | ±3% | 7-9 | 2-4 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[86] | ±3% | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0 | NDA | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[87] | ±3-5% | 10 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu (2)
Delhi (7)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[92] | ±5% | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[93] | ±3-5% | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[94] | ±3% | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[95] | ±3% | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[96] | ±3% | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[97] | ±3% | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0 | NDA | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[98] | ±3-5% | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[92] | ±5% | 57% | 36% | 7% | 21 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[99] | ±3-5% | 57% | 40% | 3% | 17 |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[100] | ±3-5% | 54% | 42% | 4% | 12 |
Goa (2)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[101] | ±5% | 1 | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[102] | ±5% | 1 | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[103] | ±3% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[104] | ±3-5% | 1 | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[105] | ±3% | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[106] | ±3% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[107] | ±3% | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA | |
Gujarat (26)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[109] | ±3-5% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[110] | ±3-5% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[111] | ±3% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[112] | ±3-5% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023 | ±3-5% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[113] | ±3% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[114] | ±3% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[115] | ±3% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[116] | ±3% | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA | |
Haryana (10)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[118] | ±5% | 9 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[119] | ±5% | 8 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| JJP leaves the NDA | ||||||
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[120] | ±3-5% | 8 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[121] | ±3% | 8-10 | 0-2 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[122] | ±3% | 8 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[123] | ±3% | 7-9 | 1-3 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[123] | ±3% | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0 | NDA | |
Himachal Pradesh (4)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[126] | ±5% | 4 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[127] | ±5% | 4 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[128] | ±3-5% | 4 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[129] | ±3% | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[130] | ±3% | 3 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[131] | ±3% | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[132] | ±3% | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA | |
Jammu and Kashmir (5)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[134] | ±3-5% | 3 | 2 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023 | ±3% | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[135] | ±5% | 3 | 2 | 0 | INDIA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[136] | ±3-5% | 3 | 2 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023 | ±3% | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023 | ±3% | 2 | 2 | 1 | Tie between INDIA and NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023 | ±3% | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | INDIA | |
Jharkhand (14)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[139] | ±5% | 12 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[140] | ±3% | 13 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[141] | ±3-5% | 12 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[142] | ±3% | 11-13 | 1-3 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[143] | ±3% | 13 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[144] | ±3% | 9-11 | 3-5 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[145] | ±3% | 10-12 | 2-4 | 0 | NDA | |
Karnataka (28)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[146] | ±3-5% | 23 | 5 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[147] | ±5% | 23 | 5 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[148] | ±3-5% | 24 | 4 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[149] | ±3-5% | 22-24 | 4-6 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[150] | ±3% | 20-22 | 6-8 | 0-1 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[151] | ±3% | 18 | 10 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[152] | ±3% | 18-21 | 7-9 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[153] | ±3% | 18-20 | 8-10 | 0-1 | NDA | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[154] | ±3-5% | 23 | 5 | 0 | NDA |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[146] | ±3-5% | 52% | 42% | 6% | 10 |
| Eedina | March 2024[155] | ±2% | 42.4% | 43.8% | 13.8% | 1.4 |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[147] | ±5% | 53% | 42% | 5% | 11 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[148] | ±3-5% | 53% | 42% | 5% | 11 |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[156] | ±3-5% | 44% | 34% | 22% | 10 |
Kerala (20)
| Polling agency | Date published[a] | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | Others | |||||
| UDF | LDF | ||||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[157] | ±3-5% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
| Mathrubhumi News-P-MARQ | March 2024[158] | ±3% | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
| News 18 | March 2024[159] | ±3% | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[160] | ±5% | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[161] | ±3% | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[162] | ±3-5% | 20 | 0 | 0 | INDIA | |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[163] | ±3% | 15-17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0 | INDIA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[164] | ±3% | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[165] | ±3% | 18-20 | 0-2 | 0 | INDIA | |
| August 2023[166] | ±3% | 18-20 | 0-2 | 0 | INDIA | ||
| Polling agency | Date published[b] | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | Others | |||||
| UDF | LDF | ||||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[167] | ±3-5% | 43% | 31% | 21% | 5% | 12 |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[160] | ±5% | 44.5% | 31.4% | 19.8% | 4.3% | 13.1 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[168] | ±3-5% | 78% | 17% | 5% | 61 | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[169] | ±3-5% | 81% | 14% | 5% | 67 | |
Ladakh (1)
Lakshadweep (1)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[171] | ±5% | 0 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| India Today-CVoter | December 2023 | ±3-5% | 0 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023 | ±3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023 | ±3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023 | ±3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
Madhya Pradesh (29)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[173] | ±3-5% | 28 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[174] | ±5% | 28 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[175] | ±3-5% | 27 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[176] | ±3-5% | 27-29 | 0-2 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[177] | ±3% | 27-29 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[178] | ±3% | 25 | 4 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[179] | ±3% | 25-27 | 2-4 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023[180] | ±3% | 24-26 | 3-5 | 0 | NDA | |
Maharashtra (48)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[184] | ±3-5% | 18 | 30 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[185] | ±5% | 20 | 28 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[186] | ±3% | 13 | 35 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[187] | ±3-5% | 26 | 22 | 0 | INDIA |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[188] | ±3-5% | 26-28 | 19-21 | 0-2 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[189] | ±3% | 16-20 | 27-31 | 1-2 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[190] | ±3% | 20 | 28 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[191] | ±3% | 16-20 | 26-30 | 1-2 | NDA |
| August 2023[192] | ±3% | 15-19 | 28-32 | 1-2 | NDA | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[193] | ±3-5% | 28 | 20 | 0 | INDIA |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[194] | ±3-5% | 30 | 18 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[185] | ±5% | 42.1% | 42.7% | 15.2% | 0.6 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[195] | ±3-5% | 45% | 40% | 15% | 5 |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[193] | ±3-5% | 45% | 40% | 15% | 5 |
Manipur (2)
Meghalaya (2)
Mizoram (1)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZPM | NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[198] | ±5% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ZPM |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024 | ±3-5% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ZPM |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023 | ±3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023 | ±3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023 | ±3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | NDA | |
Nagaland (1)
Odisha (21)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJD | NDA | INDIA | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[200] | ±5% | 11 | 10 | 0 | BJD |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[201] | ±3% | 11 | 10 | 0 | BJD |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[202] | ±3-5% | 11 | 10 | 0 | BJD |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[203] | ±3% | 13-15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | BJD |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[204] | ±3% | 13 | 8 | 0 | BJD |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[205] | ±3% | 13-15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | BJD |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 12-14 | 6-8 | 0-1 | BJD | |
Puducherry (1)
Punjab (13)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | SAD | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[207] | ±5% | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[208] | ±3-5% | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| ABP-CVoter | December 2023[209] | ±3-5% | 9-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[210] | ±3% | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[211] | ±3% | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[212] | ±3% | 8-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | INDIA |
| August 2023[213] | ±3% | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | INDIA | |
Rajasthan (25)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[214] | ±5% | 25 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[215] | ±3-5% | 25 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[216] | ±3-5% | 23-25 | 0-2 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[217] | ±3% | 24-25 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[218] | ±3% | 23 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[219] | ±3% | 21-24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | NDA |
| August 2023[220] | ±3% | 19-22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | NDA | |
Sikkim (1)
Tamil Nadu (39)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | AIADMK | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[222] | ±3-5% | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[223] | ±3-5% | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[224] | ±3-5% | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[225] | ±3% | 30-36 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0-2 | INDIA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[226] | ±3% | 32 | 1 | 5 | 1 | INDIA |
| AIADMK leaves NDA | |||||||
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[227] | ±3% | 30-34 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| August 2023[228] | ±3% | 30-34 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 0-1 | INDIA | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[229] | ±3-5% | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
Telangana (17)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRS | INDIA | NDA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[232] | ±5% | 1 | 10 | 5 | 1 | INDIA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[233] | ±5% | 3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | INDIA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[234] | ±3-5% | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | INDIA |
| ABP-CVoter | December 2023[235] | ±3-5% | 3-5 | 9-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[236] | ±3% | 3-5 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[237] | ±3% | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | BRS |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[238] | ±3% | 9-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | BRS |
| August 2023[239] | ±3% | 9-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | BRS | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[240] | ±3-5% | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | INDIA |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRS | INDIA | NDA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[232] | ±5% | 27% | 42% | 26% | 5% | 15 |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[233] | ±5% | 28% | 43% | 25% | 4% | 15 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[234] | ±3-5% | 29% | 41% | 21% | 9% | 12 |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[241] | ±3-5% | 37% | 38% | 23% | 2% | 1 |
Tripura (2)
Uttar Pradesh (80)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | BSP | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[243] | ±5% | 74 | 6 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[244] | ±3-5% | 72 | 8 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[245] | ±3-5% | 73-75 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[246] | ±3% | 70-74 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[247] | ±3% | 73 | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[248] | ±3% | 70-74 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | NDA |
| August 2023[249] | ±3% | 69-73 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | NDA | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[250] | ±3-5% | 72 | 8 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-Matrize | March 2023[251] | ±3% | 67-73 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 3-6 | NDA |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | BSP | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[252] | ±5% | 51% | 35% | 8% | 6% | 16 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[244] | ±3-5% | 52% | 36% | 12% | 16 | |
| India Today-CVoter | August 2023[253] | ±3-5% | 49% | 38% | 13% | 11 | |
Uttarakhand (5)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[254] | ±5% | 5 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[255] | ±3-5% | 5 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[256] | ±3% | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[257] | ±3% | 5 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023[258] | ±3% | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA | |
West Bengal (42)
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of error | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AITC | NDA | SDA | Others | ||||
| News18 | March 2024[260] | ±4% | 17 | 25 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[261] | ±5% | 23 | 19 | 0 | 0 | AITC |
| India TV-CNX | March 2024[262] | ±3% | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | AITC |
| Zee News-Matrize | February 2024[263] | ±2% | 24 | 17 | 1 | 0 | AITC |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[264] | ±3-5% | 22 | 19 | 1 | 0 | AITC |
| Times Now-ETG | February 2024[265] | ±2% | 26 | 15 | 1 | 0 | AITC |
| ABP News-CVoter | December 2023[266] | ±3-5% | 23-25 | 16-18 | 0-2 | 0 | AITC |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023[267] | ±3% | 20-24 | 18-20 | 2-4 | 0 | AITC |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[268] | ±3% | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | AITC |
| Times Now-ETG | August 2023[269] | ±3% | 22-24 | 16-18 | 0-3 | 0 | AITC |
Preferred candidate for prime minister
| Polling Agency | Date published | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narendra Modi | Rahul Gandhi | Others/none/
can't say | ||
| ABP News-CVoter[271] | April 2024 | 58% | 16% | 26% |
| The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti[272] | April 2024 | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Times Now-ETG[273] | April 2024 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| News18[274] | March 2024 | 69% | 31% | 0% |
| ABP News-CVoter[275] | March 2024 | 62.7% | 27.5% | 9.8% |
| Times Now-ETG[276] | February 2024 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| India Today-CVoter[277] | February 2024 | 54.9% | 13.8% | 31.3% |
| ABP News-CVoter[278] | December 2023 | 58.6% | 32% | 9.4% |
| India Today-CVoter[279] | August 2023 | 52% | 16% | 32% |
| Times Now-ETG[280] | July 2023 | 64% | 13% | 23% |
| CSDS-Lokniti[281] | May 2023 | 43.4% | 26.8% | 29.8% |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh-People's Insight - Polstrat[282] | March 2023 | 58% | 19.9% | 22.1% |
| India Today-CVoter[283] | January 2023 | 53% | 14% | 33% |
| India Today-CVoter[284] | August 2022 | 53% | 9% | 38% |
| India TV-Matrize[285] | July 2022 | 48% | 11% | 41% |
| India Today-CVoter[286] | January 2022 | 52.5% | 6.8% | 40.7% |
| India Today-Karvy[287] | August 2021 | 24% | 10% | 66% |
| India Today-Karvy[288] | January 2021 | 38% | 7% | 55% |
| India Today-Karvy[289] | August 2020 | 66% | 8% | 26% |
| ABP News-CVoter[290] | January 2020 | 70% | 25.4% | 4.6% |
| India Today-Karvy[291] | January 2020 | 53% | 13% | 34% |
Approval ratings
Union government
| Polling firm | Date published | Approve | Disapprove | DK/NA | Strongly
approve |
Approve | Disapprove | Strongly
disapprove |
DK/NA | Net | Margin of error | Sample
size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti[292] | April 2024 | 59% | 39% | 2% | 23% | 34% | 19% | 20% | 2% | +20% | - | 10,019 |
| ABP News-CVoter[275] | March 2024 | 70.67% | 26.67% | 2.66% | 40.8% | 29.87% | 26.67% | 2.66% | +44% | ±5% | 41,762 | |
| CSDS-Lokniti[293] | May 2023 | 54.7% | 40.2% | 5.1% | 17.0% | 37.7% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 5.1% | +14.5% | - | 7,202 |
Prime Minister Narendra Modi's performance
Exit polls
The Election Commission of India banned the publication of all exit polls starting 48 hours before Phase 1 of the election until the end of Phase 7. This was intended to prevent exit polls from earlier phases affecting voter decisions in later phases. The ban ended after the close of Phase 7 voting at 18:30 IST on 1 June 2024.[294]
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| 2019 election results | 353 | 91 | 99 | 81 |
| ABP News-CVoter[295] | 368±15 | 167±15 | 8±4 | 96 |
| Agni News Services[296] | 242 | 264 | 37 | HUNG |
| Dainik Bhaskar[296] | 316±34 | 173±28 | 41±8 | 44 |
| DB Live[297] | 221±20 | 275±15 | 38±10 | 3 |
| India Today-Axis My India[298] | 381±20 | 148±18 | 14±6 | 109 |
| India News-Dynamics[296] | 371 | 125 | 47 | 99 |
| India TV-CNX[299] | 386±15 | 134±15 | 33±5 | 96 |
| NDTV-Jan Ki Baat[300] | 377±15 | 151±10 | 15±5 | 105 |
| News18-CNBC[301] | 362±8 | 132±8 | 47±5 | 90 |
| News 24-Today's Chanakya[296] | 400±15 | 107-11 | 36±9 | 128 |
| News Nation[296] | 360±18 | 161±8 | 22±1 | 88 |
| Republic TV-Matrize[296] | 360±8 | 126±8 | 30 | 88 |
| Republic TV-PMarq[296] | 359 | 154 | 30 | 87 |
| Times Now-ETG[296] | 358 | 152 | 33 | 86 |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh - People's Insight - Polstrat [302] | 346 | 162 | 35 | 74 |
| Pratik - Classifiction | 265 | 265 | 13 | HUNG |
| 2024 election results | 293 | 234 | 16 | 21 |
Exit polls by states and union territories
Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Andhra Pradesh
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | YSRCP | INDIA | Others | ||
| ABP News-CVoter[302] | 21-25 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India Today-Axis My India | 21-23 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India News-Dynamics | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | 19-23 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| NDTV-Jan Ki Baat | 10-14 | 8-13 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| CNN-CNBC-News 18 | 19-22 | 5-8 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| News 24-Today's Chanakya | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| News Nation | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Republic TV-Matrize | 19-22 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Republic TV-PMarq | 14 | 11 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | YSRCP |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | YSRCP |
| Times Now-NavBharat | 10 | 15 | 0 | 0 | YSRCP |
| DB Live | 7-9 | 15-17 | 0-2 | 0 | YSRCP |
| Actual results | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | AIUDF | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | NDA |
| Actual results | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
!Pratik - Classification !10 !4 !0 !0 |bgcolor=#FF9933 |NDA |-
Bihar
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| India Today Axis My India | 29-33 | 7-10 | 0 | NDA |
| DB Live | 14-16 | 24-26 | 0 | INDIA |
| Jan Ki Baat | 33-37 | 3-7 | 0 | NDA |
| News18 | 31-34 | 6-9 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP C-Voter | 35-38 | 3-5 | 0 | NDA |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 29 | 8 | 3 | NDA |
| Pratik - Classification | 28 | 12 | 0 | NDA |
| 2019 election results | 39 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 30 | 9 | 1 | NDA |
Chandigarh
Chhattisgarh
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 11 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 10 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu
Delhi
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| India Today-Axis My India | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Pratik- Classification | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
Goa
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| DB Live | 1±1 | 1±1 | 0 | Tie |
| 2019 election | 1 | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| Actual results | 1 | 1 | 0 | Tie |
Gujarat
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 26 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Pratik- Classification | 24 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 25 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
Haryana
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 8 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 5 | 5 | 0 | Tie |
Himachal Pradesh
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 4 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 4 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
Jammu and Kashmir
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 2 | 2 | 1 | Tie |
| Actual results | 2 | 2 | 1 | Tie |
Jharkhand
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 12 | 1 | 1 | NDA |
| Actual results | 9 | 5 | 0 | NDA |
Karnataka
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | |||
| ABP News | 23-25 | 3-5 | 0 | NDA | |
| India News-Dynamics | 23 | 5 | 0 | NDA | |
| India TV-CNX | 20-24 | 4-8 | 0 | NDA | |
| NDTV-Jan Ki Baat | 19-25 | 4-8 | 0 | NDA | |
| CNN-CNBC-News 18 | 19-22 | 6-9 | 0 | NDA | |
| News 24-Today's Chanakya | 20-28 | 0-8 | 0 | NDA | |
| News Nation | 18 | 10 | 0 | NDA | |
| Republic TV-Matrize | 21 | 7 | 0 | NDA | |
| Republic Bharat-PMarq | 22 | 6 | 0 | NDA | |
| Times Now-ETG | 23 | 5 | 0 | NDA | |
| Pratik-Classification | 18 | 10 | 0 | style="color:black;"bgcolor="#F98C1F" | NDA |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 20 | 8 | 0 | NDA | |
| DB Live | 8-10 | 18-20 | 0 | INDIA | |
| Actual results | 19 | 9 | 0 | NDA |
Kerala
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UDF | LDF | NDA | Others | ||
| ABP News-CVoter[303] | 17-19 | 0 | 1-3 | 0 | UDF |
| India Today-Axis My India | 17-18 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | UDF |
| India News-Dynamics | 14-17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0 | UDF |
| India TV-CNX | 13-15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0 | UDF |
| NDTV-Jan Ki Baat | 14-17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0 | UDF |
| CNN-CNBC-News 18 | 15-18 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | UDF |
| News 24-Today's Chanakya | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | UDF |
| News Nation | 17-19 | 0 | 1-3 | 0 | UDF |
| Republic TV-Matrize | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | UDF |
| Republic TV-PMarq | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | UDF |
| Times Now-ETG | 14-15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | UDF |
| Times Now-NavBharat | 16-18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | UDF |
| DB Live | 17-19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | UDF |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 1 | ||||
| Actual results | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | UDF |
Ladakh
Lakshadweep
Madhya Pradesh
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 29 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 29 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
Maharashtra
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 22 | 25 | 1 | INDIA |
| Actual results | 17 | 30 | 1 | INDIA |
Manipur
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Nagaland
Odisha
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | BJD | INDIA | Others | ||
| India Today-Axis My India | 18-20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| Jan Ki Baat | 15-18 | 3-7 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| ABP-CVoter | 17-19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | 15-17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| News 24-Today's Chanakya | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| News Nation | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| Pratik - Classification | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| Dainik Bhaskar | 14-15 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| DB Live | 6-8 | 12-14 | 0-1 | 0 | BJD |
| News18 Mega Exit Polls | 13-15 | 6-8 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India News-Dynamics | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Republic-PMarq | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| Republic Bharat-Matrize | 9-12 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 13 | 1 | 7 | NDA | |
| 2019 results | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | BJD |
| Actual results | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
Puducherry
Punjab
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | SAD | Others | ||
| DB Live | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | INDIA |
| 2019 election | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | INDIA |
| Actual results | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | INDIA |
Rajasthan
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 19 | 5 | 1 | NDA |
| Actual results | 14 | 11 | 0 | NDA |
Sikkim
Tamil Nadu
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | AIADMK+ | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 35 | 4 | INDIA | ||
| Actual results | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | INDIA |
Telangana
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | BRS | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 8 | 7 | 2 | INDIA | |
| Actual results | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | Tie |
Tripura
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| DB Live | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | Tie |
| India Today-Axis My India | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| 2019 election | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
Uttar Pradesh
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | BSP | Others | ||
| Republic-PMarq | 69 | 11 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| DB Live | 46-48 | 32-34 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| IndiaNews Dynamics | 69 | 11 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | 62-68 | 12-16 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India-Today Axis My India | 64-67 | 13-16 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| Jan Ki Baat | 68-74 | 6-12 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| News Nation | 67 | 13 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| News24-Today's Chanakya | 68 | 12 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 65 | 15 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| 2019 election | 64 | 6 | 10 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 36 | 43 | 0 | 1 | INDIA |
Uttarakhand
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat | 5 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Actual results | 5 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
West Bengal
| Polling agency | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | AITC | LF+INC | Others | ||
| ABP News-CVoter | 23-27 | 13-17 | 1-3 | 0 | NDA |
| DB Live | 11-12 | 26-28 | 2-4 | 0 | AITC |
| India Today- Axis My India | 26-31 | 11-14 | 0-2 | 0 | NDA |
| India News-Dynamics | 21 | 19 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | 22-26 | 14-18 | 1-2 | 0 | NDA |
| NDTV-Jan Ki Baat | 21-26 | 18-16 | 0-3 | 0 | NDA |
| News 24-Today's Chanakya | 24 | 17 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| News 18-CNBC | 21-24 | 18-21 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| News Nation | 19 | 22 | 1 | 0 | AITC |
| Republic TV-Matrize | 21-25 | 16-21 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Republic TV-PMarq | 22 | 20 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight -Polstrat | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
| 2019 election | 18 | 22 | 2 | 0 | AITC |
| Actual results | 12 | 29 | 1 | 0 | AITC |
Reception
Media outlets known for their sycophanchy of the BJP were accused of exaggerating the scale of BJP's victory in their exit polls in an attempt to demoralise the Opposition campaign.[307][308][309] Talking in a show of BBC Hindi, political strategist Yogendra Yadav described it as crowd manipulation orchestrated by the media and stated that had these media outlets been honest about the situation on ground, the BJP wouldn't have won even 200 seats (read Tinkerbell effect).[310]