Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election by constituency

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The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies in the lead up to the 46th Canadian federal election are detailed in this article.

Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system the true marginal seats, by definition, will be decisive as to the outcome of the election.

Alberta

Edmonton Riverbend

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others Undecided Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
LiaisonNovember 30, 2025[1]45502111N/A±3.9 pp614IVR

British Columbia

Vancouver Kingsway

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others Undecided Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
LiaisonNovember 30, 2025[2]312340321N/A±4.01 pp576IVR

Nova Scotia

Acadie—Annapolis

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others Undecided Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
LiaisonNovember 30, 2025[3]52375321N/A±4.3 pp513IVR

Ontario

Beaches—East York

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others Undecided Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet ResearchMarch 13, 2026[4]60.615.210.82.7N/A1.78.9±4.7 pp440Telephone

Eglinton—Lawrence

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others Undecided Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
LiaisonNovember 30, 2025[5]52413211N/A±3.99 pp602IVR

Scarborough Southwest

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others Undecided Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research[6]February 22, 2026[7]4419111N/A322±4.5 pp464Telephone

See also

Notes

References

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