2022 Oregon gubernatorial election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2022 Oregon gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Oregon. Incumbent Kate Brown took office when fellow Democrat John Kitzhaber resigned on February 18, 2015. She won the subsequent 2016 special election[1] and a full term in 2018.[2] Due to term limits, she was unable to run again in 2022.[3]
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November 8, 2022
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| Turnout | 66.91%  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Kotek: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90%+ Drazan: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90%+ Tie: 40–50% 50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The Oregonian anticipated the election to have "the first competitive Democratic primary in more than a decade and potentially the closest such race since 2002."[4] Willamette Week anticipated a "wide open field of Democrats", citing the lack of an incumbent.[5] Almost 20 Republican Party candidates ran for the office, including two previous nominees for governor in 1998 and 2016,[6][7] as well as 15 Democrats and some non-affiliates/third-party members.[8] This was the state's first gubernatorial election since 2002 in which there was no current or former governor on the ballot.
In the May 17 primary elections, former Oregon House Speaker Tina Kotek was declared the winner of the Democratic primary half an hour after the ballot deadline.[9] The next day, former House Minority Leader Christine Drazan was determined to have won the Republican primary.[10] Notably, the general election featured three prominent female candidates, including former state senator Betsy Johnson, who was a moderate Democrat, running as an independent.
Oregon was considered a possible Republican pickup, as Kate Brown had the lowest approval rating of any governor in the United States at the time and Johnson could have siphoned votes from Kotek.[11][12][13] Nonetheless, Kotek narrowly won the election, becoming Oregon's 7th consecutive Democratic governor. Notably, none of Oregon's counties flipped parties from the 2018 or 2016 gubernatorial elections.[14] Kotek became one of the first lesbian governors in the United States, along with Maura Healey, who was elected Governor of Massachusetts the same day.[15]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tina Kotek, former speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives (2013–2022)[16]
Eliminated in primary
- David Beem, former member of the Oregon Disabilities Commission[17]
- Julian Bell, critical care and pulmonary medicine specialist and candidate for governor in 2016[18]
- Wilson Bright, retired textile company operator[19]
- George Carrillo, program manager at the Oregon Health Authority and Marine Corps veteran[20]
- Michael Cross, software designer, commercial driver, and Republican nominee for Oregon attorney general in 2020[21]
- Ifeanyichukwu Diru, farmer and candidate for governor in 2014[22]
- Peter Hall, Haines city councilor and member of the Board of Directors of the League of Oregon Cities[23]
- Keisha Merchant, artist and creative designer[24]
- Tobias Read, Oregon state treasurer (endorsed Kotek in general election)[25][26]
- Patrick Starnes, former Independent Party of Oregon candidate for governor (2018)[27]
- David Stauffer, environmental inventor and perennial candidate[28]
- John Sweeney, owner of Canary Castle Gallery[29]
- Michael Trimble, cyclist and disability advocate[30][31]
- Genevieve Wilson, independent contractor[32]
Disqualified
- Nicholas Kristof, author and Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist at The New York Times[33] (found to not meet residency requirements by the Secretary of State's office and Oregon Supreme Court; endorsed Kotek in general election)[34][35][36][37][38][39]
Withdrew
- Casey Kulla, Yamhill County commissioner (running for labor commissioner)[40][41]
- David Lavinsky, businessman[42][17]
- Nico Pucci, Oregon Health Authority operations and policy analyst[43]
- Peter Winter, non-profit project manager[44][45]
Declined
- Rukaiyah Adams, chief investment officer of the Meyer Memorial Trust[46][4]
- Julia Brim-Edwards, member of the Portland Public School Board[47]
- Shemia Fagan, Oregon secretary of state[46][4]
- Val Hoyle, Oregon labor commissioner (running for the U.S. House)[16]
- Deborah Kafoury, chair of the Multnomah County Commission and former state representative from the 18th and 43rd districts[46][47] (endorsed Kotek)[48]
- Lynn Peterson, president of the Portland Metro Council[46] (endorsed Kotek)[48]
- Ellen Rosenblum, Oregon attorney general[46][49] (endorsed Kotek in general election)
- Melissa Unger, executive director of Service Employees International Union Oregon chapter[50][51]
- Ted Wheeler, mayor of Portland and former Oregon state treasurer[47]
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant N Non-invitee |
||||||||
| George Carillo | Tina Kotek | Tobias Read | Patrick Starnes | |||||
| 1[52] | Mar 18, 2022 | Oregon AFL–CIO | Michelle Damis | N | P | P | N | |
| 2[53] | Apr 22, 2022 | City Club of Portland | Laural Porter David Molko |
Video | N | P | P | N |
| 3[54] | May 3, 2022 | KOIN 6 News Pamplin Media Group |
Ken Boddie | Videos | P | P | P | P |
Endorsements
Tina Kotek
U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[55]
Labor unions
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 48 and 280[56]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 5[56]
- Iron Workers District Council of the Pacific Northwest[56]
- Oregon and Southern Idaho District Council of Laborers, LiUNA Locals 737 and 483[56]
- Oregon Education Association[57]
- Oregon Nurses Association[58]
- Oregon State Building and Construction Trades Council[59]
- Pineros y Campesinos Unidos del Noroeste[56]
- United Association of Plumbers and Steamfitters Local 290[56]
Political parties
Newspapers
- The Bulletin[61]
- Eugene Weekly[62]
- The Oregonian[63]
- Pamplin Media Group (Portland Tribune)[64]
- Portland Mercury[65]
- The Source Weekly[66]
- Willamette Week[67]
Organizations
Tobias Read
State officials
- John Kitzhaber, former governor of Oregon (1995–2003 and 2011–2015)[76]
- Barbara Roberts, former governor of Oregon (1991–1995)[77]
Patrick Starnes
Political parties
Nicholas Kristof (disqualified)
Labor unions
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 555[79]
Individuals
- Piers Morgan, television personality[80]
Polling
Results
Kotek
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Read
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tina Kotek | 275,301 | 57.63% | |
| Democratic | Tobias Read | 156,017 | 32.66% | |
| Democratic | Patrick Starnes | 10,524 | 2.20% | |
| Democratic | George Carrillo | 9,365 | 1.96% | |
| Democratic | Michael Trimble | 5,000 | 1.05% | |
| Democratic | John Sweeney | 4,193 | 0.88% | |
| Democratic | Julian Bell | 3,926 | 0.82% | |
| Democratic | Wilson Bright | 2,316 | 0.48% | |
| Democratic | Dave Stauffer | 2,302 | 0.48% | |
| Democratic | Ifeanyichukwu Diru | 1,780 | 0.37% | |
| Democratic | Keisha Marchant | 1,755 | 0.37% | |
| Democratic | Genevieve Wilson | 1,588 | 0.33% | |
| Democratic | Michael Cross | 1,342 | 0.28% | |
| Democratic | David Beem | 1,308 | 0.27% | |
| Democratic | Peter Hall | 982 | 0.21% | |
| Total votes | 477,699 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Christine Drazan, former minority leader of the Oregon House of Representatives (2019–2021) and state representative from the 39th district (2019–2022)[8]
Eliminated in primary
- Raymond Baldwin, general contractor[18]
- Bridget Barton, political consultant for Third Century Solutions[83] (endorsed Johnson in general election)
- Court Boice, Curry County chair[18] (endorsed Drazan in general election)[84]
- David Burch[85]
- Jessica Gomez, member of the Business Oregon Commission and Oregon Institute of Technology Board of Trustees[86]
- Nick Hess, CEO and entrepreneur[87]
- Tim McCloud, business development analyst[88]
- Kerry McQuisten, mayor of Baker City[89]
- Brandon Merritt, business development manager[42]
- Bud Pierce, oncologist and nominee for governor in 2016[90] (endorsed Drazan in general election)[91]
- John Presco, president of Royal Rosamond Press[92]
- Stan Pulliam, mayor of Sandy[93] (endorsed Drazan in general election)[84]
- Amber Richardson, chiropractor[19]
- Bill Sizemore, general contractor, tax-reduction advocate, candidate for governor in 2010, and nominee in 1998[7]
- Stefan Galen Strek, painter and graphic design artist[94]
- Marc Thielman, former Alsea School District superintendent[95]
- Bob Tiernan, former state representative from the 24th district (1993–1997) and former chair of the Oregon Republican Party (2009–2011)[96]
Withdrew
- Angelique Bouvier, psychologist and business owner[97]
- Reed Christensen, former electrical engineer[98][99]
- Mark Duncan, fight instructor[100]
- John L. Fosdick III, customer service representative, Army veteran[97][101]
- Darin Harbick, businessman (running for U.S. Senate)[102]
- Jim Huggins, film producer, businessman and Air Force veteran (endorsed McQuisten)[103][104]
- Alexander Males, polyurethane manufacturing worker[105]
- Monte Sauer Jr., CEO of AmericaProud[106]
Declined
- Knute Buehler, former state representative from the 54th district (2015–2019), nominee for Secretary of State in 2012, and nominee for governor in 2018 (endorsed Johnson)[107][108]
- Dallas Heard, state senator from the 1st district and former chair of the Oregon Republican Party[109][110] (endorsed Drazan in general election)[84]
- Tim Knopp, minority leader of the Oregon Senate from the 27th district[47]
- Dennis Linthicum, state senator from the 28th district[109] (endorsed Drazan in general election)[84]
- Julie Parrish, former state representative from the 37th district (2011–2019)[47]
- Bill Post, former state representative from the 25th district (2015–2021) (ineligible due to out-of-state residency)[109]
- Tootie Smith, Clackamas County chair and former state representative from the 18th and 28th districts (2001–2003)[109] (endorsed Drazan in general election)[84]
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee |
|||||||||||||||||||||
Barton |
Boice |
Burch |
Christensen |
Drazan |
Gomez |
Hess |
McCloud |
McQuisten |
Merritt |
Pierce |
Pulliam |
Richardson |
Sizemore |
Strek |
Thielman |
Tiernan | |||||
| 1[111] | Apr 7, 2022 | Timber Unity | Denise Quinn Hunter Newton |
P | P | N | A | P | P | A | P | A | P | P | P | N | P | P | P | P | |
| 2[112] | Apr 21, 2022 | Central Oregon Daily The Bulletin |
Allen Schauffler Jerry O'Brien |
Video | N | N | N | N | P | N | N | N | N | N | P | P | N | N | N | N | P |
| 3[113] | Apr 22, 2022 | Linn County Republican Party | Adam Keaton | Video[114] | P | N | P | N | A | N | P | P | P | P | N | N | P | P | N | P | A |
| 4[115] | Apr 28, 2022 | KOIN 6 News Pamplin Media Group |
Jeff Gianola | Videos | N | N | N | N | P | N | N | N | N | N | P | P | N | N | N | N | P |
| 5[116] | May 3, 2022 | City Club of Portland | Laural Porter David Molko |
Video | P | N | N | N | A | P | N | N | N | N | P | P | N | N | N | N | N |
Endorsements
Bridget Barton
- Organizations
- Oregon Right to Life PAC (co-endorsed with Tiernan, Drazan, and Pierce)[117]
Individuals
- Lars Larson, conservative talk radio host[118]
Christine Drazan
Newspapers
Organizations
- Oregon Right to Life PAC (co-endorsed with Tiernan, Barton, and Pierce)[117]
Jessica Gomez
State officials
- Bev Clarno, former Oregon secretary of state (2019–2021)[120] (co-endorsed with Johnson)
Newspapers
Bud Pierce
Newspapers
Bob Tiernan
- Organizations
- Oregon Right to Life PAC (co-endorsed with Barton, Drazan, and Pierce)[117]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bridget Barton |
Christine Drazan |
Jessica Gomez |
Kerry McQuisten |
Bud Pierce |
Stan Pulliam |
Bill Sizemore |
Marc Thielman |
Bob Tiernan |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Research (R)[122] | Apr 29 – May 2, 2022 | 514 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 3% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 3%[b] | 27% |
| Nelson Research (R)[123] | Apr 11–13, 2022 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5%[c] | 48% |
| Fallon Research & Communications (R)[124][B] | Early Nov 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 2% | 2% | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | 15%[d] | 67% |
Results
Drazan
- 10–20%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
Tiernan
- 10–20%
- 20–30%
Pierce
- 20–30%
McQuisten
- 10–20%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Christine Drazan | 85,255 | 22.99% | |
| Republican | Bob Tiernan | 66,089 | 17.82% | |
| Republican | Stan Pulliam | 41,123 | 11.09% | |
| Republican | Bridget Barton | 40,886 | 11.02% | |
| Republican | Bud Pierce | 32,965 | 8.89% | |
| Republican | Marc Thielman | 30,076 | 8.12% | |
| Republican | Kerry McQuisten | 28,727 | 7.74% | |
| Republican | Bill Sizemore | 13,261 | 3.57% | |
| Republican | Jessica Gomez | 9,970 | 2.69% | |
| Republican | Tim McCloud | 4,400 | 1.19% | |
| Republican | Nick Hess | 4,287 | 1.15% | |
| Republican | Court Boice | 4,040 | 1.09% | |
| Republican | Brandon Merritt | 3,615 | 0.97% | |
| Republican | Reed Christensen | 3,042 | 0.82% | |
| Republican | Amber Richardson | 1,924 | 0.52% | |
| Republican | Raymond Baldwin | 459 | 0.12% | |
| Republican | David Burch | 406 | 0.11% | |
| Republican | John Presco | 174 | 0.05% | |
| Republican | Stefan Strek | 171 | 0.05% | |
| Total votes | 370,910 | 100.0% | ||
Independents and other parties
Candidates
Candidates for general election
- Betsy Johnson, former Democratic state senator from Oregon's 16th Senate district (non-affiliated)[5][125][126]
- R. Leon Noble (Libertarian Party)[127]
- Donice Noelle Smith, Army veteran and talk show host (Constitution Party)[128]
Withdrew
- Nathalie Paravicini, naturopathic doctor (Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party)[129] (endorsed Kotek)[130]
Failed to qualify for general election
In order to be listed as candidates on the general election ballot, non-affiliated candidates for governor needed to collect 23,744 signatures from Oregon voters (1% of votes cast for president in the 2020 election).[131]
Not nominated
- Kevin Levy, real estate broker (Independent Party)[134][135]
- Paul Romero, refrigeration repair technician, Republican candidate for Oregon's 2nd congressional district in 2016 and 2018, and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 (Constitution Party)[136][137]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[138] | Tossup | September 16, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[139] | Tossup | October 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[140] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[141] | Tossup | October 3, 2022 |
| RCP[142] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[143] | Tossup | September 20, 2022 |
| 538[144] | Lean D | November 8, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[145] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant | |||||||
| Tina Kotek | Christine Drazan | Betsy Johnson | |||||
| 1[146] | July 29, 2022 | Oregon Newspaper Publishers Association | Mark Garber | Video | P | P | P |
| 2[147] | Sept. 27, 2022 | Oregon State University–Cascades KTVZ City Club of Central Oregon |
Cathy Marshall | Video (Part 1) Video (Part 2) |
P | P | P |
| 3[148] | Oct. 4, 2022 | KATU | Steve Dunn | Video | P | P | P |
| 4[149] | Oct. 6, 2022 | KOBI Southern Oregon University |
Craig Smullin | Video | P | P | P |
| 5[150] | Oct 19, 2022 | The Oregonian KGW |
Laurel Porter Hillary Borrud |
Video | P | P | P |
Post-primary endorsements
Tina Kotek (D)
U.S. executive branch officials
- Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–2025)[151]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[152]
U.S. senators
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. senator from Oregon[153]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont[154]
- Ron Wyden, U.S. senator from Oregon[153]
U.S. representatives
- Earl Blumenauer, U.S. representative from Oregon's 3rd congressional district[155]
- Suzanne Bonamici, U.S. representative from Oregon's 1st congressional district[153]
State officials
- Kate Brown, governor of Oregon and former Oregon secretary of state[153]
- Tobias Read, Oregon state treasurer and 2022 governor candidate[26]
State legislators
- Wlnsvey Campos, state representative from the 28th district[156]
- Michael Dembrow, state senator from the 23rd district and former state representative from the 45th district[157]
- Maxine Dexter, state representative from the 33rd district[158]
- Jeff Golden, state senator from the 3rd district[159]
- Dacia Grayber, state representative from the 35th district[160]
- Kayse Jama, state senator from the 24th district[161]
- Rob Nosse, state representative from the 42nd district[162]
- Khanh Pham, state representative from the 46th district[163]
- Andrea Valderrama, state representative from the 47th district[164]
Native American tribes
Labor unions
Political parties
Newspapers
Organizations
- Everytown for Gun Safety[166]
- Pro-Choice Oregon[170]
- Stand for Children Oregon[171]
Individuals
- Nicholas Kristof, former New York Times journalist and disqualified 2022 governor candidate[39]
- Nathalie Paravicini, former 2022 Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party governor candidate[130]
- Cecile Richards, former president of Planned Parenthood[172]
- Liz Shuler, president of the AFL–CIO[173]
- Christina Stephenson, civil rights attorney and candidate for labor commissioner[174]
Musicians
Christine Drazan (R)
U.S. representatives
- Cliff Bentz, U.S. representative from Oregon's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)[153]
State officials
- Chris Christie, former governor of New Jersey (2010–2018)[177]
- Larry Hogan, governor of Maryland[178]
- Glenn Youngkin, governor of Virginia[179]
State legislators
- Daniel Bonham, state representative from the 59th district (2017–present)[180]
- Vikki Breese-Iverson, minority leader of the Oregon House of Representatives (2021–present) and state representative from the 55th district (2019–present)[181]
- Neil Bryant, former state senator from the 27th district (1993–2001)[180]
- Shelly Boshart Davis, state representative from the 15th district (2019–present)[180]
- Jessica George, state representative from the 25th district (2021–present)[180]
- Christine Goodwin, state representative from the 2nd district (2021–present)[180]
- Cedric Hayden, state representative from the 7th district (2015–present)[180]
- Dallas Heard, state senator from the 1st district (2018–present) and former state representative from the 2nd district (2015–2018) and chair of the Oregon Republican Party (2021–2022)[180]
- James Hieb, state representative from the 39th district (2022–present)[180]
- Bill Kennemer, state senator from the 20th district (2021–present) and 12th district (1987–1997) and former state representative from the 39th district (2009–2019)[180]
- Tim Knopp, minority leader of the Oregon Senate (2021–present) and state senator from 27th district (2013–present)[181]
- Bobby Levy, state representative from the 58th district (2021–present)[180]
- Rick Lewis, state representative from the 18th district (2017–present) and former mayor of Silverton (2015–2017)[180]
- Dennis Linthicum, state senator from the 28th district (2017–present) and former Klamath County commissioner (2009–2015)[180]
- Raquel Moore-Green, state representative from the 19th district (2019–present)[180]
- Lily Morgan, state representative from the 3rd district (2021–present)[180]
- Ron Noble, state representative from the 24th district (2017–present)[180]
- Mark Owens, state representative from the 60th district (2020–present)[180]
- E. Werner Reschke, state representative from the 56th district (2017–present)[182]
- Anna Scharf, state representative from the 23rd district (2021–present)[180]
- Wayne Scott, former minority leader of the Oregon House of Representatives (2007–2009) and state representative from the 39th district (2003–2009)[180]
- Mark Simmons, former speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives (2001–2003) and state representative from the 58th district (1997–2003)[153]
- David Brock Smith, state representative from the 1st district (2017–present)[180]
- Greg Smith, state representative from the 57th district (2003–present) and 59th district (2001–2003)[180]
- Duane Stark, state representative from the 4th district (2015–present)[180]
- Kim Thatcher, state senator from the 13th district (2015–present) and former state representative from the 25th district (2005–2015)[180]
- Kim Wallan, minority whip of the Oregon House of Representatives (2019–present) and state representative from the 6th district (2019–present)[180]
- Boomer Wright, state representative from the 9th district (2021–present)[180]
- Jack Zika, state representative from the 53rd district (2019–present)[180]
Local officials
- Kevin Cameron, Marion County commissioner (2014–present) and former state representative from the 19th district (2005–2014)[180]
- Tim Freeman, Douglas County commissioner (2015–present) and former state representative from the 2nd district (2009–2015)[180]
- Stan Pulliam, mayor of Sandy and 2022 governor candidate[153]
- Sherrie Sprenger, Linn County commissioner (2021–present) and former state representative from the 17th district (2008–2021)[180]
Organizations
- National Federation of Independent Business Oregon[183]
- Oregon Association of Realtors[184]
- Oregon Chiefs of Police Association (co-endorsed with Johnson)[185]
- Oregon Coalition of Police & Sheriffs (co-endorsed with Johnson)[185]
- Oregon Farm Bureau[186]
- Oregon State Sheriffs’ Association (co-endorsed with Johnson)[185]
- Republican Governors Association[187]
- Right Direction Women[188]
- Timber Unity[189]
Individuals
- Lars Larson, conservative talk radio host[190]
- Bud Pierce, oncologist, nominee for governor in 2016 and candidate in 2022[91]
Betsy Johnson (I)
U.S. executive branch officials
- Billy J. Williams, former U.S. attorney for the District of Oregon (2015–2021)[189] (Independent)
U.S. senators
- Gordon Smith, former U.S. senator from Oregon (1997–2009)[191] (Republican)
U.S. representatives
- Darlene Hooley, former U.S. representative from Oregon's 5th congressional district[192] (Democratic)
- Kurt Schrader, U.S. representative from Oregon's 5th congressional district[193] (Democratic)
State officials
- Bev Clarno, former Oregon secretary of state (2019–2021)[120] (Republican)
- Ted Kulongoski, former governor of Oregon (2003–2011)[191] (Democratic)
- Jack Roberts, former Oregon labor commissioner (1995–2003)[184] (Republican)
State legislators
- Herman Baertschiger, Josephine County commissioner, and former chair of the Oregon Republican Party and minority leader of the Oregon state Senate[194] (Republican)
- Lee Beyer, state senator from the 6th district[157] (Democratic)
- Brian Boquist, state senator from the 12th district[157] (Independent Party of Oregon)
- Knute Buehler, former state representative from the 54th district (2015–2019), Republican nominee for Secretary of State in 2012, and Republican nominee for governor in 2018[108] (Independent)
- Larry Campbell, former speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives (1991–1995)[184] (Republican)
- Margaret Carter, former president pro tempore of the Oregon state Senate (2005–2009) and former chair of the Oregon Democratic Party[181] (Democratic)
- Sal Esquivel, former state senator from the 3rd district (2004–2005) and state representative from the 6th district (2005–2019)[184] (Republican)
- Phil Lang, former speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives (1975–1978)[181] (Democratic)
- Frank Morse, former state senator from the 8th district (2003–2012)[184] (Republican)
- Mike Nearman, former state representative from the 23rd district (2015–2021) (Republican; rejected by Johnson)[195]
- Andy Olson, former speaker pro tempore of the Oregon House of Representatives[184] (Republican)
Labor unions
- Oregon Machinists Council[196]
Newspapers
Organizations
- Crime Victims United of Oregon[185]
- Eugene Police Employees’ Association[185]
- Fraternal Order of Police Oregon Lodge[185]
- Oregon Chiefs of Police Association (co-endorsed with Drazan)[185]
- Oregon Coalition of Police & Sheriffs (co-endorsed with Drazan)[185]
- Oregon State Sheriffs' Association (co-endorsed with Drazan)[185]
- Tigard Chamber of Commerce[200]
Individuals
- Bridget Barton, political consultant for Third Century Solutions and Republican 2022 governor candidate[201] (Republican)
- Tim Boyle, CEO of Columbia Sportswear[202] (Democratic)
- Gerry Frank, former chief of staff to U.S. Senator Mark Hatfield and Oregon travel author (deceased; Republican)[203]
- Thomas Lauderdale, pianist of Pink Martini[202] (Democratic)
- Andrew Yang, businessman, and Democratic candidate for the 2020 presidential election and the 2021 New York City mayoral election[204] (Independent, Forward)
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Tina Kotek (D) |
Christine Drazan (R) |
Betsy Johnson (I) |
Other [e] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[205] | October 17 – November 6, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 42.3% | 41.0% | 11.5% | 5.2% | Kotek +1.3 |
| FiveThirtyEight[206] | June 29 – November 6, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 44.9% | 41.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | Kotek +3 |
| 270toWin[207] | October 26 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 43.6% | 42.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | Kotek +1.4 |
| Average | 43.6% | 42.0% | 9.5% | 4.9% | Kotek +1.6 | ||
Graphical summary
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tina Kotek (D) |
Christine Drazan (R) |
Betsy Johnson (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[208] | November 1–6, 2022 | 1,393 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | 7% | 1%[f] | – |
| Emerson College[209] | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 8% | 1%[g] | 6% |
| 46% | 41% | 9% | 4%[h] | – | ||||
| Nelson Research[210] | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 577 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 1%[i] | 5% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[211] | October 26 – November 1, 2022 | 585 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 41% | 10% | <1%[j] | 4% |
| FM3 Research (D)[212][C] | October 24–26, 2022 | 741 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 38% | 13% | – | 8% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[213] | October 18–22, 2022 | 1,161 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 40% | 42% | 13% | 1% | 4% |
| Hoffman Research Group (R)[214] | October 17–18, 2022 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 37% | 17% | – | 12% |
| Data for Progress (D)[215] | October 16–18, 2022 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 12% | – | 2% |
| Civiqs[216] | October 15–18, 2022 | 804 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 39% | 7% | 2%[k] | 5% |
| GBAO (D)[217][C] | October 10–13, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 38% | 14% | – | 8%[e] |
| Clout Research (R)[218] | October 8–9, 2022 | 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 44% | 11% | 1% | 5% |
| Emerson College[219] | September 29 – October 1, 2022 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 34% | 36% | 19% | 2%[k] | 9% |
| Clout Research (R)[220] | September 23–26, 2022 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 35% | 39% | 16% | 2% | 8% |
| DHM Research[221] | September 23–24, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 31% | 32% | 18% | 4%[l] | 15% |
| 33% | 35% | 21% | – | 12% | ||||
| Nelson Research[222][D] | September 19–20, 2022 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 33% | 19% | – | 16% |
| Clout Research (R)[224] | August 10–14, 2022 | 397 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 32% | 33% | 21% | – | 15% |
| Cygnal (R)[225][E] | June 28–30, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 31% | 32% | 24% | – | 13% |
| GS Strategy Group (I)[226][F] | June 23–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 23% | 30% | – | 15% |
| Nelson Research (R)[227] | May 25–27, 2022 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 28% | 30% | 19% | – | 24% |
| GS Strategy Group (I)[226][F] | May 2022 | – (LV) | – | 34% | 24% | 22% | – | 20% |
| GS Strategy Group (I)[226][F] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 23% | 18% | 19% | – | 41% |
Hypothetical polling
Tina Kotek vs. Christine Drazan
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. Betsy Johnson
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clout Research (R)[220] | September 23–26, 2022 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 50% | – |
| DHM Research[229] | February 17–23, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 47% | 23% |
| DHM Research[230] | January 18–22, 2022 | 400 (A) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 31% | 29% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. generic independent
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tina Kotek | 917,074 | 46.96% | −3.09% | |
| Republican | Christine Drazan | 850,347 | 43.54% | −0.11% | |
| Independent | Betsy Johnson | 168,431 | 8.62% | N/A | |
| Constitution | Donice Noelle Smith | 8,051 | 0.41% | −0.72% | |
| Libertarian | R. Leon Noble | 6,867 | 0.35% | −1.20% | |
| Write-in | 2,113 | 0.11% | -0.05% | ||
| Total votes | 1,952,883 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County[231] | Tina Kotek Democratic |
Christine Drazan Republican |
Betsy Johnson Independent |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Baker | 1,483 | 16.95 | 6,328 | 72.31 | 831 | 9.50 | 109 | 1.25 | -4,845 | -55.37 | 8,751 |
| Benton | 27,128 | 59.86 | 14,658 | 32.34 | 3,183 | 7.02 | 350 | 0.77 | 12,470 | 27.52 | 45,319 |
| Clackamas | 92,274 | 42.94 | 102,111 | 47.52 | 19,195 | 8.93 | 1,309 | 0.61 | -9,837 | -4.58 | 214,889 |
| Clatsop | 8,051 | 39.85 | 7,375 | 36.51 | 4,624 | 22.89 | 151 | 0.75 | 676 | 3.35 | 20,201 |
| Columbia | 8,036 | 29.35 | 13,420 | 49.01 | 5,702 | 20.82 | 226 | 0.83 | -5,384 | -19.66 | 27,384 |
| Coos | 9,437 | 30.03 | 18,611 | 59.22 | 2,924 | 9.30 | 457 | 1.45 | -9,174 | -29.19 | 31,429 |
| Crook | 2,209 | 15.71 | 10,362 | 73.67 | 1,361 | 9.68 | 133 | 0.95 | -8,153 | -57.97 | 14,065 |
| Curry | 4,143 | 32.68 | 7,272 | 57.35 | 1,116 | 8.80 | 148 | 1.17 | -3,129 | -24.68 | 12,679 |
| Deschutes | 46,879 | 42.74 | 50,513 | 46.06 | 11,502 | 10.49 | 784 | 0.71 | -3,634 | -3.31 | 109,678 |
| Douglas | 12,013 | 22.02 | 37,245 | 68.27 | 4,492 | 8.23 | 803 | 1.47 | -25,232 | -46.25 | 54,553 |
| Gilliam | 147 | 14.71 | 636 | 63.66 | 204 | 20.42 | 12 | 1.20 | -432 | -43.24 | 999 |
| Grant | 576 | 13.81 | 3,145 | 75.42 | 383 | 9.18 | 66 | 1.58 | -2,569 | -61.61 | 4,170 |
| Harney | 485 | 12.65 | 2,973 | 77.54 | 322 | 8.40 | 54 | 1.41 | -2,488 | -64.89 | 3,834 |
| Hood River | 6,040 | 55.90 | 3,633 | 33.62 | 1,035 | 9.58 | 97 | 0.90 | 2,407 | 22.28 | 10,805 |
| Jackson | 39,611 | 37.95 | 56,362 | 53.99 | 7,320 | 7.01 | 1,092 | 1.05 | -16,751 | -16.05 | 104,385 |
| Jefferson | 2,376 | 23.81 | 6,251 | 62.65 | 1,212 | 12.15 | 138 | 1.38 | -3,875 | -38.84 | 9,977 |
| Josephine | 11,610 | 27.02 | 27,578 | 64.19 | 3,245 | 7.55 | 529 | 1.23 | -15,968 | -37.17 | 42,962 |
| Klamath | 5,968 | 19.75 | 21,962 | 72.68 | 1,863 | 6.17 | 424 | 1.40 | -15,994 | -52.93 | 30,217 |
| Lake | 430 | 10.73 | 3,282 | 81.89 | 237 | 5.91 | 59 | 1.47 | -2,852 | -71.16 | 4,008 |
| Lane | 95,847 | 52.18 | 72,087 | 39.25 | 13,911 | 7.57 | 1,824 | 0.99 | 23,760 | 12.94 | 183,669 |
| Lincoln | 12,947 | 49.28 | 10,366 | 39.46 | 2,649 | 10.08 | 308 | 1.17 | 2,581 | 9.82 | 26,270 |
| Linn | 16,959 | 27.58 | 38,505 | 62.61 | 5,264 | 8.56 | 767 | 1.25 | -21,546 | -35.04 | 61,495 |
| Malheur | 1,656 | 18.03 | 6,921 | 75.33 | 471 | 5.13 | 139 | 1.51 | -5,265 | -57.31 | 9,187 |
| Marion | 51,238 | 38.00 | 70,741 | 52.46 | 11,533 | 8.55 | 1,338 | 0.99 | -19,503 | -14.46 | 134,850 |
| Morrow | 607 | 14.84 | 3,016 | 73.76 | 389 | 9.51 | 77 | 1.88 | -2,409 | -58.91 | 4,089 |
| Multnomah | 265,805 | 72.62 | 72,158 | 19.71 | 26,079 | 7.12 | 2,001 | 0.55 | 193,647 | 52.90 | 366,043 |
| Polk | 15,570 | 37.51 | 21,898 | 52.75 | 3,606 | 8.69 | 436 | 1.05 | -6,328 | -15.24 | 41,510 |
| Sherman | 122 | 11.80 | 795 | 76.89 | 108 | 10.44 | 9 | 0.87 | -673 | -65.09 | 1,034 |
| Tillamook | 5,266 | 36.04 | 6,631 | 45.38 | 2,600 | 17.79 | 114 | 0.78 | -1,365 | -9.34 | 14,611 |
| Umatilla | 5,403 | 21.50 | 17,672 | 70.32 | 1,666 | 6.63 | 391 | 1.56 | -12,269 | -48.82 | 25,132 |
| Union | 2,580 | 20.57 | 8,695 | 69.32 | 1,127 | 8.98 | 142 | 1.13 | -6,115 | -48.75 | 12,544 |
| Wallowa | 1,116 | 24.28 | 3,138 | 68.26 | 291 | 6.33 | 52 | 1.13 | -2,022 | -43.99 | 4,597 |
| Wasco | 4,077 | 35.74 | 5,978 | 52.41 | 1,240 | 10.87 | 112 | 0.98 | -1,901 | -16.67 | 11,407 |
| Washington | 140,946 | 55.08 | 91,068 | 35.59 | 22,024 | 8.61 | 1,844 | 0.72 | 49,878 | 19.49 | 255,882 |
| Wheeler | 140 | 16.87 | 576 | 69.40 | 96 | 11.57 | 18 | 2.17 | -436 | -52.53 | 830 |
| Yamhill | 17,899 | 36.21 | 26,385 | 53.38 | 4,626 | 9.36 | 518 | 1.05 | -8,486 | -17.17 | 49,428 |
| Totals | 917,074 | 46.96 | 850,347 | 43.54 | 168,431 | 8.62 | 17,031 | 0.87 | 66,727 | 3.42 | 1,952,883 |
Note: In Gilliam County, where Kotek placed behind Johnson, the margin of difference is the Drazan vote minus the Johnson vote.
By congressional district
Kotek won three of six congressional districts, with the remaining three going to Drazan, including one that elected a Democrat.[232]
| District | Kotek | Drazan | Johnson | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 57% | 31% | 11% | Suzanne Bonamici |
| 2nd | 27% | 64% | 8% | Cliff Bentz |
| 3rd | 65% | 27% | 7% | Earl Blumenauer |
| 4th | 46% | 44% | 8% | Peter DeFazio (117th Congress) |
| Val Hoyle (118th Congress) | ||||
| 5th | 43% | 47% | 9% | Kurt Schrader (117th Congress) |
| Lori Chavez-DeRemer (118th Congress) | ||||
| 6th | 44% | 46% | 9% | Andrea Salinas |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Boice, Hess, and Merritt with 1%; Christensen and McCloud with <1%
- Merritt with 2%; Richardson and Romero with 1%; Hess with <1%
- Other with 12%, Heard with 3%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Noble with 1%; Smith and Romero with 0%
- Smith (C) with 1%; Noble (L); "Someone else" with <1%
- Smith (C) with 1%; Noble (L) with <1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- Noble with 1%; Smith with <1%
- Smith (C) with <1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- Noble (L) with 3%; Smith (C) with 1%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Read's campaign
- Poll sponsored by John von Schlegell while considering a Republican primary run for governor
- Poll sponsored by Kotek's campaign
- Poll sponsored by the Oregon State Senate Republican Caucus, which supported Drazan
- Poll sponsored by Johnson's campaign (GS Strategy Group typically works with Republican clients, not to be confused with Democratic pollster Global Strategy Group)