2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
From the election until Deb Haaland's resignation to become Secretary of the Interior, New Mexico had a house delegation composed entirely of women of color, the second US state (after Hawaii) to do so.[1] New Mexico is also the first state to have a majority of its house representatives be Native Americans.[a]
Overview
Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:[3]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 186,953 | 58.19% | 134,337 | 41.81% | 0 | 0.00% | 321,290 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 122,546 | 45.40% | 142,283 | 52.71% | 117 | 0.04% | 264,946 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 3 | 186,282 | 58.68% | 131,166 | 41.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,448 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 495,781 | 54.86% | 407,786 | 45.12% | 117 | 0.01% | 903,684 | 100.0% | |
District 1
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Haaland: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Holmes: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 1st district is centered around Albuquerque, taking in most of Bernalillo County, Torrance County, and parts of Sandoval County, Santa Fe County and Valencia County. The incumbent was Democrat Deb Haaland, who was elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2018.[4]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Deb Haaland, incumbent U.S. representative[5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Deb Haaland (incumbent) | 83,032 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 83,032 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michelle Garcia Holmes, retired police detective and nominee for lieutenant governor of New Mexico in 2018[7]
Eliminated in primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michelle Garcia Holmes | 23,783 | 48.1 | |
| Republican | Jared Vanderdussen | 19,847 | 40.2 | |
| Republican | Brett Kokinadis | 5,798 | 11.7 | |
| Total votes | 49,428 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Deb Haaland | Michelle Garica Holmes | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 11, 2020 | KOAT-TV The Albuquerque Journal |
Doug Fernandez Shelby Cashman Kent Walz |
[10] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[14] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[15] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[16] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[17] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Endorsements
Deb Haaland (D)
Organizations
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Deb Haaland (incumbent) | 186,953 | 58.2 | |
| Republican | Michelle Garcia Holmes | 134,337 | 41.8 | |
| Total votes | 321,290 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
  Herrell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Torres Small: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
The 2nd district covers southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces, Roswell, and the southern part of Albuquerque. The incumbent was Democrat Xochitl Torres Small, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2018.[4]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Xochitl Torres Small, incumbent U.S. representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent) | 48,095 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 48,095 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Yvette Herrell, former state representative and nominee for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district in 2018[25]
Eliminated in primary
- Claire Chase, oil company executive[26]
- Chris Mathys, businessman, candidate for New Mexico Public Regulation Commission in 2018, and former Fresno city councilman[27]
Declined
- Leland Gould, lobbyist[28]
- Monty Newman, businessman, former chair of the New Mexico Republican Party, former mayor of Hobbs, and candidate for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district in 2018[29]
- Steve Pearce, chair of the New Mexico Republican Party, former U.S. representative, and nominee for governor of New Mexico in 2018[30]
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yvette Herrell | 26,968 | 44.7 | |
| Republican | Claire Chase | 19,017 | 31.5 | |
| Republican | Chris Mathys | 14,378 | 23.8 | |
| Total votes | 60,363 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Xochitl Torres Small | Yvette Herrell | |||||
| 2 | Sep. 27, 2020 | KOAT-TV The Albuquerque Journal |
Doug Fernandez Shelly Ribando Kent Walz |
[33] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 9, 2020 | KOB (TV) | Tessa Mentus Chris Ramirez |
[34] | P | P |
| 3 | Oct. 11, 2020 | KNME-TV | Gene Grant | [35] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Tossup | October 16, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[14] | Tossup | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[15] | Tossup | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[16] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[17] | Lean D | June 7, 2020 |
Endorsements
Xochitl Torres Small (D)
Federal officials
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator (D-MN); former 2020 presidential candidate[36]
Newspapers
Organizations
Yvette Herrell (R)
Executive officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[42]
Federal officials
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator (R-TX)[43][better source needed]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative (R-OH)[44][better source needed]
- Mark Meadows, White House Chief of Staff and former U.S. representative (R-NC) (2013–2020)[44][better source needed]
Organizations
- Citizens United Political Victory Fund[44][better source needed]
- FreedomWorks for America[45]
- Gun Owners of America[44][better source needed]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[46][44][better source needed]
- Susan B. Anthony List[47]
Individuals
- Jim DeMint, former president of The Heritage Foundation (2013–2017), U.S. senator (R-SC) (2005–2013), and U.S. representative (R-SC) (1999–2005)[44][better source needed]
- Mike Huckabee, 2008 and 2016 presidential candidate, former governor of Arkansas (1996–2007)[44][better source needed]
- Mark Levin, conservative talk radio host[48][better source needed]
- Harry Teague, former congressman (D-NM)[49]
Claire Chase (R)
Organizations
- Republican Main Street Partnership PAC[50]
- Winning for Women[51]
Polling
View source data.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Xochitl Torres Small (D) |
Yvette Herrell (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc.[22] | October 23–29, 2020 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 5% |
| Strategies 360 (D)[52][B] | October 16–20, 2020 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | – |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[53][C] | September 26–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Research & Polling Inc.[23] | August 26 – September 2, 2020 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 9% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[54][C] | July 7–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[55][D] | December 18–19, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | – |
| The Strategy Group Company (R)[32][A] | January 23–27, 2019 | 1,070 (LV) | – | 38% | 51% | 11% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yvette Herrell | 142,283 | 53.7 | |
| Democratic | Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent) | 122,546 | 46.3 | |
| Independent | Steve Jones (write-in) | 117 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 264,946 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
District 3
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Leger Fernandez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Martinez Johnson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 3rd district encompasses all of northern New Mexico, including the city of Santa Fe, and includes most of the Navajo Nation and Puebloans within New Mexico. The incumbent was Democrat Ben Ray Luján, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2018,[4] and announced on April 1, 2019, that he would seek the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in 2020.[57] Luján won the primary, and ultimately the general election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Teresa Leger Fernandez, attorney and daughter of former state senator Ray Leger[58]
Eliminated in primary
- John Blair, former New Mexico Deputy Secretary of State and former political aide to U.S. Senator Martin Heinrich[59]
- Laura Montoya, Sandoval County treasurer[60]
- Valerie Plame, former CIA operations officer[61]
- Joseph L. Sanchez, state representative[62]
- Marco Serna, Santa Fe County district attorney[63]
- Kyle Tisdel, environmental attorney[64]
Withdrawn
- Robert Apodaca, businessman and former United States Department of Agriculture regional official[64]
- Mark McDonald, chair of the Colfax County Democratic Party (endorsed Serna)[65]
Declined
- Hector Balderas, attorney general of New Mexico[66]
- Brian Egolf, speaker of the New Mexico House of Representatives[66]
- Valerie Espinoza, New Mexico Public Regulation Commissioner for the 3rd district and former Santa Fe County clerk[67]
- Paula Garcia, executive director of the New Mexico Acequia Association[68]
- Stephanie Garcia Richard, New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands[66]
- Ben Ray Luján, incumbent U.S. representative (running for U.S. Senate)[57]
- Joseph Maestas, mayor of Española and former Santa Fe city councilman[66]
- Andrea Romero, state representative[69]
- John Sapien, state senator[68]
- Victor Snover, mayor of Aztec[70]
- Carl Trujillo, former state representative[69]
- Linda Trujillo, state representative[69]
- JoAnne Vigil Coppler, Santa Fe city councilwoman[71]
- Renee Villarreal, Santa Fe city councilwoman[69]
- Alan Webber, mayor of Santa Fe[66]
- Peter Wirth, majority leader of the New Mexico Senate[72]
Endorsements
John Blair
Teresa Leger Fernandez
U.S. representatives
- Deb Haaland, representative from New Mexico's 1st congressional district[75]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, representative from New York's 14th congressional district[76]
Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity[18]
- Courage to Change[77]
- Emily's List[78]
- End Citizens United[79]
- Jicarilla Apache Nation[80]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[81]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[78]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[82]
- Sierra Club[21]
- Taos Pueblo[83]
- Working Families Party[84]
Newspapers
Marco Serna
State and local politicians
- Gary King, former attorney general of New Mexico[87]
- Mark McDonald, chair of the Colfax County Democratic Party[88]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Teresa Fernandez |
Valerie Plame |
Joseph Sanchez |
Marco Serna |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Campaign Labs[89][E] | May 20–21, 2020 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.76% | 33% | 24% | 7% | 9% | 9%[c] | – |
| Anzalone Liszt Grove Research[90][d] | February 11–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 11% | 21% | – | 7% | – | – |
Pre-primary convention results
Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the pre-primary convention on March 7, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 2 primary.[91]
| Candidate | Delegates | |
|---|---|---|
| Vote | % | |
| John Blair | 19 | 4.5% |
| Teresa Leger Fernandez | 178 | 41.9% |
| Laura Montoya | 87 | 20.5% |
| Valerie Plame | 22 | 5.2% |
| Joseph Sanchez | 52 | 12.2% |
| Marco Serna | 57 | 13.4% |
| Kyle Tisdel | 10 | 2.4% |
| Total | 425 | 100.0% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Teresa Leger Fernandez | 44,480 | 42.8 | |
| Democratic | Valerie Plame | 25,775 | 24.8 | |
| Democratic | Joseph L. Sanchez | 12,292 | 11.8 | |
| Democratic | Marco Serna | 8,292 | 8.0 | |
| Democratic | Laura M. Montoya | 6,380 | 6.1 | |
| Democratic | John Blair | 4,533 | 4.4 | |
| Democratic | Kyle Tisdel | 2,176 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 103,928 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alexis Johnson, environmental engineer and rancher[92]
Eliminated in primary
- Karen Bedonie, member of the Navajo Nation and small business owner[93]
- Harry Montoya, former Santa Fe County commissioner[94]
Disqualified
Withdrawn
- Brett Kokinadis, founder of New Mexico Democrats for Democracy[8]
Declined
- Jefferson Byrd, New Mexico Public Regulation Commissioner for the 2nd district and nominee for New Mexico's 3rd congressional district in 2014[66]
- Gregg Hull, mayor of Rio Rancho[66]
- Patrick H. Lyons, former New Mexico Public Regulation Commissioner for the 2nd district, former New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands, and former state senator[66]
- Thomas Mullins, businessman and nominee for New Mexico's 3rd congressional district in 2010[66]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Alexis Johnson | 16,512 | 36.7 | |
| Republican | Harry Montoya | 15,919 | 35.4 | |
| Republican | Karen Bedonie | 12,477 | 27.8 | |
| Republican | Angela Gale Morales (Write-in) | 30 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 44,938 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michael Lucero, rancher and nominee for New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands in 2018[97]
Green primary
Candidates
Declined
- Carol Miller, activist and nominee for New Mexico's 3rd congressional district in 1997, 1998, and 2008[66]
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Teresa Leger Fernandez | Alexis Johnson | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 7, 2020 | KOAT-TV The Albuquerque Journal |
Doug Fernandez Shelly Ribando Kent Walz |
[98] | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[14] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[15] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[16] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[17] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Teresa Leger Fernandez | 186,282 | 58.7 | |
| Republican | Alexis Johnson | 131,166 | 41.3 | |
| Total votes | 317,448 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - John Blair 4%, Laura Montoya 3%, Kyle Tiesel 2%
- Poll was sponsored by Plame's campaign
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by the Yvette Herrell campaign
- Poll sponsored by Small's campaign
- Poll sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund, which supports Republican candidates for Congress.
- This poll's sponsor had endorsed Teresa Legar Fernandez prior to the sampling period