2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kaduna State

Kaduna State is a large, diverse northwestern state with a growing economy and vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, bandit conflict, inter-ethnic violence, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state.^{[2][3][4][5][6]}

Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized as a slight solidification of the Kaduna APC's control as Governor Nasir Ahmad el-Rufai won re-election with over 55% of the vote and the party retained its House of Assembly majority. Federally, the APC regained two of the three Senate seats it lost due to defections and won eleven of the sixteen House of Representatives seats. For the presidency, Kaduna was won by APC nominee Muhammadu Buhari with about 60% but swung slightly towards the PDP. The 2019 elections also showed the political divide between the diverse, Christian-majority Southern region and the mainly Hausa and Fulani, Muslim-majority Northern and Central regions as the former region moved towards the PDP while the latter two regions stuck with the APC.

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP
BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	17%	14%	8%	24%	–	33%	7%	7%
Nextier (Kaduna crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	42.7%	22.6%	4.8%	29.0%	0.8%	–	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Kaduna crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	11%	31%	12%	29%	–	17%	–	–

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects[a][7]	Tossup		24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][8]
	Tinubu:	34.71%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	16.56%
	Abubakar:	34.71%
	Others:	14.02%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][9]	Abubakar		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][10]	Abubakar		15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][11]
	Tinubu:	30%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	20%
	Kwankwaso:	20%
	Abubakar:	25%
	Others/Undecided:	5%
The Nation[f][12][13]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kaduna State

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes				100.00%
Invalid or blank votes				N/A
Turnout

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Kaduna Central Senatorial District[g]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kaduna North Senatorial District[h]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kaduna South Senatorial District[i]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Birnin Gwari/Giwa Federal Constituency[j]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Chikun/Kajuru Federal Constituency[k]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Igabi Federal Constituency[l]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ikara/Kubau Federal Constituency[m]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Jema'a/Sanga Federal Constituency[n]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kachia/Kagarko Federal Constituency[o]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kaduna North Federal Constituency[p]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kaduna South Federal Constituency[q]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kaura Federal Constituency[r]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Kauru Federal Constituency[s]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Lere Federal Constituency[t]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Makarfi/Kudan Federal Constituency[u]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Sabon Gari Federal Constituency[v]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Soba Federal Constituency[w]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Zangon Kataf/Jaba Federal Constituency[x]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Zaria Federal Constituency[y]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Birnin Gwari	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Chikun	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Giwa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Igabi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Jaba	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Jema'a	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kachia	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kaduna North	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kaduna South	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kagarko	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kajuru	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kaura	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kauru	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kubau	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kudan	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Lere	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Makarfi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Sabon Gari	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Sanga	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Soba	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Zangon Kataf	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Zaria	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%