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2024 Missouri Senate election

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The 2024 Missouri Senate election took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, with the primary election held on Tuesday, August 6, 2024.[1][2] Missouri voters elected state senators in the 17 odd-numbered districts of the Senate to serve four-year terms.[3] The last time that these seats were up for election was the 2020 Missouri Senate election, and the next time will be the 2028 Missouri State Senate election.

Quick facts 17 odd-numbered districts in the Missouri Senate 18 seats needed for a majority, Majority party ...
2024 Missouri Senate election

← 2022
November 5, 2024 (2024-11-05)
2026 →

17 odd-numbered districts in the Missouri Senate
18 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Caleb Rowden
(term-limited)
Doug Beck
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since January 4, 2023 June 30, 2024
Leader's seat 19th - Columbia 1st - St. Louis
Last election 24 10
Seats after 24 10
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 776,116 598,588
Percentage 56.46% 43.54%


     Republican gain      Democratic gain
     Republican hold      Democratic hold
     No election

Republican:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Democratic:      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%     >90%

President pro tempore before election

Caleb Rowden
Republican

Elected President pro tempore

Cindy O'Laughlin
Republican

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The election coincided with United States national elections and Missouri state elections, including U.S. President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Governor, and Missouri House.[4]

Following the previous election in 2022, Republicans held a 24-to-10-seat supermajority over Democrats.[5] Going into the 2024 elections, there are four vacancies after Senator Greg Razer (D) of District 7 resigned on April 25, 2024, Senators Karla Eslinger (R) of District 33 and John Rizzo (D) of District 11 resigned in June 2024, and Lauren Arthur (D) of District 17 resigned in July 2024.[6][7][8][9] Therefore, there are 23 Republicans and seven Democrats at the time of the 2024 election (plus the three vacancies). Democrats would have to net 11 seats to flip control of the chamber.[1]

These will be the first elections in the odd-numbered Missouri Senate districts following the 2020 United States redistricting cycle, which resulted in redrawn legislative district boundaries.[10][11]

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
CNalysis[12] Solid R April 7, 2024
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Overview

Statewide

Close races

Districts where the margin of victory was under 10%:

  1. District 11, 4.7% (gain)
  2. District 15, 4.83%
  3. District 17, 6%

Retiring incumbents

Members of the Missouri General Assembly are prohibited from serving more than eight years in the state senate, due to statutory term limits.[13]

Democrats

District 7: Greg Razer resigned due to appointment to State Tax Commission.[6][14]
District 11: John Rizzo resigned to take a position as executive director of the Jackson County Sports Authority.[15][8]
District 17: Lauren Arthur resigned after being appointed to the Missouri Labor and Industrial Relations Commission.[16][9]

Republicans

District 3: Elaine Gannon retired.[17]
District 15: Andrew Koenig was term-limited (ran for State Treasurer).[18]
District 19: Caleb Rowden was term-limited.[19]
District 21: Denny Hoskins was term-limited (ran for Secretary of State).[20]
District 23: Bill Eigel was term-limited (ran for Governor).[21]
District 27: Holly Thompson Rehder retired to run for Lieutenant Governor.[22]
District 33: Karla Eslinger resigned due to appointment as Commissioner of the Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education (DESE).[7]

Summary of results by Senate district

Detailed Results by Senate District

District 1

The 1st district encompasses southeastern St. Louis County and includes Oakville, Mehlville, Webster Groves, Affton, Concord, Lemay, and Crestwood.

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General Election

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 1st District[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Doug Beck (Incumbent) 53,264 56.15
Republican Robert J. Crump 41,598 43.85
Total votes 93,861 100.00
Democratic hold
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District 3

The 3rd district is located in east-central Missouri, consisting of the southern half of Jefferson County and all of Crawford, St. Francois, St. Genevieve and Washington counties.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 3rd District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Henderson 60,548 75.86
Democratic Doug Halbert 19,273 24.14
Total votes 79,821 100.00
Republican hold
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District 5

The 5th district is made up entirely of the city of St. Louis, except for a one-third portion in the southwest.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 5th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Roberts (Incumbent) 47,670 88.57
Republican Robert Vroman 6,151 11.43
Total votes 53,821 100.00
Democratic hold
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District 7

The 7th district is based mostly in Kansas City, including most of the city's downtown area and almost all of the city west of Troost Avenue, and includes the entire city of Grandview.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 7th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patty Lewis 58,148 74.47
Republican Joey LaSalle 19,939 25.53
Total votes 78,088 100.00
Democratic hold
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District 9

The 9th district includes most of the part of Kansas City east of Troost Avenue and the entirety of the city of Raytown.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 9th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Barbara Washington (Incumbent) 50,220 79.31
Republican Derron Black 13,103 20.69
Total votes 63,323 100.00
Democratic hold
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District 11

The 11th district is located in northern Jackson County and includes a portion of Kansas City along with the cities of Independence, Grain Valley, Oak Grove, Sugar Creek and Buckner.

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Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Robert
Sauls (D)
Joe
Nicola (R)
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)[30][A] October 15–18, 2024 329 (LV) ± 5.2% 45% 46% 9%
Remington Research Group (R)[31][A] September 10–13, 2024 376 (LV) ± 4.9% 40% 46% 14%
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More information Party, Candidate ...
2024 Missouri Senate election, 11th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Nicola 37,008 52.35
Democratic Robert Sauls 33,680 47.65
Total votes 70,688 100.00
Republican gain from Democratic
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District 13

The 13th district is based in northeastern St. Louis County and includes Florissant, Old Jamestown, Spanish Lake, Jennings, Bellefontaine Neighbors and an eastern portion of Hazelwood.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 13th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Angela Mosley (Incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes 63,076 100.0
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District 15

The 15th district encompasses most of the westernmost portion of St. Louis County and includes Chesterfield, Wildwood, Ballwin, Manchester and Town and County.

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Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
David
Gregory (R)
Joe
Pereles (D)
Jeff
Coleman (L)
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)[37][A] October 21–24, 2024 406 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 47% – 8%
Remington Research Group (R)[38][A] September 17–19, 2024 418 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 42% 1% 11%
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2024 Missouri Senate election, 15th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Gregory 56,093 51.62
Democratic Joe Pereles 50,841 46.79
Libertarian Jeff Coleman 1,733 1.59
Total votes 108,667 100.00
Republican hold
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District 17

The 17th district is located in southwestern Clay County and includes a portion of Kansas City along with Gladstone, Pleasant Valley and Claycomo.

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Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[e]
Margin
of error
Maggie
Nurrenbern (D)
Jerry
Nolte (R)
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)[39][A] September 24–26, 2024 356 (LV) ± 5.1% 45% 44% 11%
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2024 Missouri Senate election, 17th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Maggie Nurrenbern (Incumbent) 44,709 53.00
Republican Jerry Nolte 39,650 47.00
Total votes 84,359 100.00
Democratic hold
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District 19

The 19th district encompasses all of Boone County, which includes Columbia.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 19th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stephen Webber 48,998 56.97
Republican James Coyne 37,010 43.03
Total votes 86,008 100.00
Democratic gain from Republican
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District 21

The 21st district, based in the west-central part of the state, consists of most of Clay County and all of Lafayette, Saline, Ray, Cooper and Howard counties.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 21st District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kurtis Gregory 64,446 69.32
Democratic Jim Bates 28,521 30.68
Total votes 92,967 100.00
Republican hold
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District 23

The 23rd district is made up of the northeastern half of St. Charles County, including the cities of St. Charles and St. Peters.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 23rd District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adam Schnelting 51,308 55.09
Democratic Matt Williams 41,822 44.91
Total votes 93,130 100.00
Republican hold
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District 25

The 25th district is located in southeast Missouri and includes the counties of Butler, Stoddard, Dunklin, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Wayne, Mississippi, Ripley, Oregon and Carter.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 25th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Bean (Incumbent) 62,593 83.67
Democratic Chuck Banks 12,215 16.33
Total votes 74,808 100.00
Republican hold
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District 27

The 27th district is based in southeast Missouri and includes the counties of Cape Girardeau, Scott, Perry, Madison, Bollinger, Iron and Reynolds.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 27th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jamie Burger Unopposed
Total votes 72,629 100.0
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District 29

The 29th district is located in the southwestern corner of the state and consists of the counties of Christian, Lawrence, Barry and McDonald.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 29th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Moon (Incumbent) 73,685 80.08
Democratic Ron Monnig 18,326 19.92
Total votes 92,011 100.00
Republican hold
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District 31

The 31st district is located in the west-central part of the state and is made up of the counties of Cass, Johnson and Bates.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 31st District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Brattin (Incumbent) 60,541 68.51
Democratic Raymond L. James 27,825 31.49
Total votes 88,366 100.00
Republican hold
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District 33

The 33rd district is located in the southern part of the state and encompasses the counties of Taney, Howell, Stone, Texas, Douglas, Ozark and Shannon.

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2024 Missouri Senate election, 33rd District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brad Hudson Unopposed
Total votes 79,814 100.0
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See also

Notes

  1. Senator Greg Razer (D) of District 7 resigned on April 25, 2024.[6]
  2. Senator John Rizzo (D) of District 11 resigned on June 30, 2024.[8]
  3. Senator Lauren Arthur (D) of District 17 resigned on July 21, 2024.[9]
  4. Senator Karla Eslinger (R) of District 33 resigned in June 2024.[7]
  5. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by The Missouri Scout

References

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