2024 United States Senate election in Texas
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican senator Ted Cruz was re-elected to a third term, defeating Democratic U.S. representative Colin Allred.[2][3][4] The primary election took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday.[5]
.jpg)
 | |||||||||||||||||
November 5, 2024
| |||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 61.15%  (of registered voters)49.65% (of voting age population)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
   Cruz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Allred: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
Early polling showed Cruz as a clear favorite, but polls closer to the election showed a closer race. Cruz ultimately outperformed polling and expectations and won re-election by 8.49%, improving on his 2018 margin by six points and flipping thirteen counties.[6][7]
Background
Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994.[8] Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas's U.S. House congressional delegation. Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 16 points and was reelected in 2018 by less than 3 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke.[9][10] The close elections in 2018 prompted many electoral analysts to speculate that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans increased their margins of victory.[11][8] This race was considered to generally favor Cruz, but some considered the race to have the potential to become competitive.[12]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Dan Crenshaw, U.S. representative from Texas's 2nd congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election)[15]
- Adam Kinzinger, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 16th congressional district (2011–2023)[16]
Endorsements
Ted Cruz
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ted Cruz (R) | $59,159,421 | $46,606,430 | $12,710,949 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[26] | |||
Polling
Results
Cruz
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Cruz (incumbent) | 1,977,961 | 88.30% | |
| Republican | Holland Gibson | 134,011 | 5.98% | |
| Republican | Rufus Lopez | 127,986 | 5.71% | |
| Total votes | 2,239,958 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Colin Allred, U.S. representative from Texas's 32nd congressional district (2019–2025)[29]
Eliminated in primary
- Meri Gomez, tax consultant[14]
- Mark Gonzalez, former Nueces County district attorney (2017–2023)[30]
- Roland Gutierrez, state senator from the 19th district (2021–present)[31]
- Robert Hassan, businessman[14]
- Steven Keough, law professor[32]
- Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, tech entrepreneur[33]
- Carl Sherman, state representative from the 109th district (2019–2025)[34]
- Thierry Tchenko, home repair nonprofit executive and former associate director of the District of Columbia Office of Policy[35]
Disqualified
Withdrew
- John Love III, former Midland city councilor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 (ran for U.S. House)[14]
- Zachariah Manning, businessman (ran for U.S. House)[36]
Declined
- Julián Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2014–2017), former mayor of San Antonio (2009–2014), and candidate for president of the United States in 2020[37]
- Veronica Escobar, U.S. representative for Texas's 16th congressional district (2019–present) (ran for re-election, endorsed Allred)[38]
- Scott Kelly, retired NASA astronaut and brother of Arizona Senator Mark Kelly[39]
Endorsements
Colin Allred
US executive branch officials
- Kamala Harris, vice president of the United States (2021–2025)[40]
U.S. senators
- Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada (2017–present)[41]
- Al Franken, Minnesota (2009–2018)[42]
- Jon Tester, Montana (2007–2025)[43]
- Tina Smith, Minnesota (2018–present)[44]
U.S. representatives
- Veronica Escobar, TX-16 (2019–present)[44]
- Lizzie Fletcher, TX-07 (2019–present)[38]
- Seth Moulton, MA-06 (2015–present)[45]
- Marc Veasey, TX-33 (2013–present)[44]
State legislators
- Cesar Blanco, state senator from the 29th district (2021–present)[46]
- Chris Turner, former Minority Leader of the Texas House of Representatives (2017–2023) from the 101st district (2013–present)[47]
Local officials
- Rodney Ellis, Harris County commissioner for Precinct 1 (2017–present)[47]
- Clay Jenkins, Dallas County judge (2011–present)[47]
- John Wiley Price, Dallas County commissioner for District 3 (1985–present)[47]
- Sylvester Turner, former mayor of Houston (2016–2024)[47]
Individuals
- Olivia Julianna, activist[48]
- Kelley Robinson, president of Human Rights Campaign[49]
Organizations
- College Democrats of America[47]
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[50]
- Council for a Livable World[51]
- End Citizens United[52]
- Harvard College Democrats[53]
- Human Rights Campaign[49]
- J Street PAC[54]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[55]
- League of Conservation Voters[56]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[57]
- Peace Action[58]
Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[47]
- Association of Flight Attendants[59]
- Texas AFL-CIO[47]
- United Auto Workers[60]
Newspapers and other media
Roland Gutierrez
U.S. representatives
- Sylvia Garcia, TX-29 (2019–present)[65]
- Filemon Vela Jr., TX-34 (2013–2022)[44]
State legislators
- Art Fierro, former state representative from the 79th district (2019–2023)[66]
- Penny Morales Shaw, state representative from the 148th district (2021–present)[65]
- Claudia Ordaz, state representative from the 79th district (2023–present)[66]
- José Rodríguez, former Texas Senate minority leader (2015–2020) from the 29th district (2011–2021)[66]
Individuals
- Ramón Ayala, musician[67]
Organizations
- Austin Young Democrats[68]
- Eastside Democrats of El Paso[69]
- Emgage PAC[70]
- Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus[71]
- Latino Victory Fund[72]
- Our Revolution Montgomery County[73]
- Stonewall Democrats of San Antonio, Dallas, and El Paso[74][75][76]
- Texas Progressive Caucus[77]
- University of Texas at Austin College Democrats (University Democrats)[78]
Newspapers
Declined to endorse
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Colin Allred (D) | $38,433,747 | $27,983,265 | $10,450,482 |
| Mark Gonzalez (D) | $14,967[b] | $11,659 | $3,307 |
| Roland Gutierrez (D) | $1,301,543 | $1,146,487 | $155,055 |
| Steven Keough (D) | $27,357[c] | $27,730 | $0 |
| Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman (D) | $30,458 | $29,440 | $1,017 |
| Carl Sherman (D) | $173,565 | $150,616 | $22,949 |
| Thierry Tchenko (D) | $117,067 | $106,606 | $10,461 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[26] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Colin Allred |
Meri Gomez |
Mark Gonzalez |
Roland Gutierrez |
Carl Sherman |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler[81] | February 18–26, 2024 | 441 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 37% | – | – | 22% | 6% | 2% | 32% |
| YouGov[27][A] | February 2–12, 2024 | 354 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 52% | 3% | 5% | 14% | 2% | 5%[d] | 18% |
| YouGov[82][B] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 4% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 3%[e] | 38% |
| Emerson College[83][C] | January 13–15, 2024 | 460 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 29% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 15%[f] | 37% |
| YouGov[84][A] | December 1–10, 2023 | 415 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 28% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 10%[g] | 48% |
| YouGov[85][A] | October 5–17, 2023 | 409 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 15%[h] | 46% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[86] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 33% | – | – | 22% | – | 4%[i] | 41% |
Results
Allred
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
Gutierrez
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Gonzalez
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- >90%
Gomez
- 20–30%
Tied
No Votes
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Colin Allred | 569,585 | 58.87% | |
| Democratic | Roland Gutierrez | 160,978 | 16.64% | |
| Democratic | Mark Gonzalez | 85,228 | 8.81% | |
| Democratic | Meri Gomez | 44,166 | 4.56% | |
| Democratic | Carl Sherman | 31,694 | 3.28% | |
| Democratic | Robert Hassan | 21,855 | 2.26% | |
| Democratic | Steven Keough | 21,801 | 2.25% | |
| Democratic | Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman | 18,801 | 1.94% | |
| Democratic | Thierry Tchenko | 13,395 | 1.38% | |
| Total votes | 967,503 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian convention
Nominee
- Ted Brown, insurance adjuster and nominee for Texas's 17th congressional district in 2020[87]
Write-in candidates
Declared
- Tracy Andrus, director of the Lee P. Brown Criminal Justice Institute at Wiley University[88]
- Analisa Roche, math tutor[89]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[90] | Lean R | October 1, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[91] | Tilt R | October 31, 2024 |
| Fox News[92] | Likely R | October 1, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[93] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[94] | Lean R | August 26, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[95] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis[96] | Tilt R | October 23, 2024 |
| RealClearPolitics[97] | Tossup | October 30, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[98] | Lean R | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[99] | Likely R | October 23, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
Ted Cruz (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[100]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[101]
U.S. senators
- John Thune, Senate Minority Whip (2021–2025) and, Senate Majority Leader (2025-present) from South Dakota (2005-present)[102]
State legislators
- Eddie Lucio Jr., Texas senator (1991–2023) (Democratic)[103]
Local officials
- Kim Ogg, Harris County district attorney (2017–2024) (Democratic)[104]
Individuals
- Ben Shapiro, editor emeritus of The Daily Wire[105]
Organizations
Colin Allred (D)
U.S. executive branch officials
- Kamala Harris, 49th vice president of the United States (2021–2025), 2024 nominee for president of the United States[107]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[108]
- Robert Reich, former U.S. Secretary of Labor (1993–1997)[109]
U.S. senators
- Gary Peters, Michigan (2015–present)[110]
U.S. representatives
- Liz Cheney, U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2017–2023) (Republican)[111]
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[112]
- Adam Kinzinger, U.S. representative from Illinois (2011–2023) (Republican)[113]
- Alan Steelman, U.S. representative from Texas's 5th congressional district (1973–1977) (Republican)[114]
Statewide officials
- Tim Walz, governor of Minnesota (2019–present), 2024 nominee for vice president of the United States[115]
- Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan (2019–present)[116]
State legislators
- Adrian Boafo, Maryland state delegate from the 23rd district (2023–present)[117]
- James Talarico, Texas state Representative from the 50th district (2018–present)[118]
- Bennett Ratliff, Texas state representative (2013–2015) (Republican)[114]
- Todd Smith, Texas state representative (1997–2013) (Republican)[114]
- Jason Villalba, Texas state representative (2013–2019) (Republican)[114]
Local officials
- Steve Bartlett, mayor of Dallas (1991–1995) (Republican)[114]
- Ron Nirenberg, mayor of San Antonio (2017–2025) (Independent)[119]
- Glen Whitley, Tarrant County judge (2007–2022) (Republican)[120]
Individuals
- Mark Cuban, businessperson, television personality and minority owner of Dallas Mavericks (Independent)[121]
- Harry Dunn, former U.S. Capitol Police officer[122]
- Willie Nelson, country singer[123]
Newspapers
- Austin American-Statesman[124]
- The Austin Chronicle[125]
- The Dallas Morning News[126]
- Fort Worth Star-Telegram[127]
- Houston Chronicle[128]
- San Antonio Express-News[129]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ted Cruz (R) | $86,316,192 | $76,908,816 | $9,565,334 |
| Colin Allred (D) | $80,059,292 | $77,557,763 | $2,501,528 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[26] | |||
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Cruz | Allred | |||||
| 1 | October 15, 2024 | WFAA | YouTube | P | P | |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ted Cruz (R) |
Colin Allred (D) |
Undecided [j] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[134] | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.4% | 45.4% | 5.2% | Cruz +4.0% |
| RCP[135] | October 22 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.2% | 44.8% | 6.0% | Cruz +4.4% |
| 270toWin[136] | October 18 - November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 49.0% | 45.2% | 5.8% | Cruz +3.8% |
| TheHill/DDHQ[137] | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.8% | 46.0% | 4.2% | Cruz +3.8% |
| Average | 49.4% | 45.4% | 5.2% | Cruz +4.0% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz (R) |
Colin Allred (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel[138] | November 1–4, 2024 | 2,434 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 53% | 46% | 1% | – |
| Morning Consult[139] | October 22–31, 2024 | 2,120 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[140] | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 3%[k] | 3% |
| ActiVote[141] | October 21–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[142] | October 23–26, 2024 | 1,180 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 46% | – | 4% |
| 1,180 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[143][D] | October 24–25, 2024 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
| GBAO (D)[144][E] | October 18–23, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 4%[l] | 4% |
| Emerson College[145][F] | October 18–21, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | – | 5% |
| UT Tyler[146] | October 14–21, 2024 | 956 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 3%[k] | 6% |
| YouGov[147][G] | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,108 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| ActiVote[148] | October 1–16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| Morning Consult[139] | October 6–15, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | – | 46% | 45% | – | 9% |
| YouGov[149][A] | October 2–10, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | 4%[l] | – |
| University of Houston[150] | September 26 – October 10, 2024 | 1,329 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 46% | 1%[m] | 3% |
| Marist College[151] | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,186 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 46% | – | 3% |
| 1,365 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% | ||
| Mainstreet Research/FAU[152] | October 2–6, 2024 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| 775 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[153] | September 29 – October 4, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| 617 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 43% | – | 12% | ||
| GBAO (D)[144][E] | Early October 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 6%[n] | 4% |
| ActiVote[154] | September 5–30, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| RMG Research[155][H] | September 25–27, 2024 | 779 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 4%[o] | 3% |
| 50%[p] | 47% | 4%[q] | – | ||||
| Public Policy Polling[156][I] | September 25–26, 2024 | 759 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
| 45% | 43% | 3%[k] | 9% | ||||
| Emerson College[157][F] | September 22–24, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[158] | September 13–18, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Morning Consult[139] | September 9–18, 2024 | 2,716 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 44% | 45% | – | 11% |
| CWS Research (R)[159][J] | September 4–9, 2024 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 3%[k] | 11% |
| Morning Consult[139] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 2,940 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
| Emerson College[160] | September 3–5, 2024 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| GBAO (D)[144][E] | September 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 4%[l] | 5% |
| YouGov[161][A] | August 23–31, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 36% | 6%[r] | 14% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[162] | August 29–30, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 43% | 3% | 4% |
| Texas Public Opinion Research/ Lake Research Partners (D)[163] |
August 24–29, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 43% | 7%[s] | 3% |
| ActiVote[164] | August 13–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[165][I] | August 21–22, 2024 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
| 44% | 40% | 4%[l] | 12% | ||||
| YouGov[166][K] | August 5–16, 2024 | 1,365 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 45% | 3%[k] | 6% |
| ActiVote[167] | June 25 – July 18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – | – |
| Remington Research Group (R)[168][L] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 43% | – | 4% |
| YouGov[169][K] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,484 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 44% | 3%[k] | 6% |
| Manhattan Institute[170] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 3%[t] | 8% |
| UT Tyler[171] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 39% | 7%[u] | 10% |
| 931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 42% | 7%[u] | 7% | ||
| YouGov[172][A] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 34% | 6% | 15% |
| GBAO (D)[144][E] | May 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 40% | 8%[v] | 5% |
| YouGov[173][A] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 33% | 7% | 22% |
| Texas Lyceum[174] | April 12–21, 2024 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 31% | 13% | 15% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[175] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 41% | 4%[l] | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[176] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 36% | 5%[w] | 14% |
| Marist College[177] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 3% |
| UT Tyler[81] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 41% | 7% | 12% |
| YouGov[27][A] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 32% | 9% | 13% |
| National Public Affairs[178] | February 6–8, 2024 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | – | 12% |
| YouGov[82][B] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 39% | 4%[l] | 9% |
| Emerson College[83][C] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 40% | 8% | 11% |
| YouGov[84][A] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 27% | 15%[x] | 15% |
| UT Tyler[179] | May 10–21, 2023 | 1,413 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 8%[y] | 14% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[180] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 40% | 4%[z] | 9% |
Hypothetical polling
Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz (R) |
Roland Gutierrez (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[27][A] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 31% | 9% | 14% |
| YouGov[82][B] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 38% | 4%[l] | 10% |
| Emerson College[83][C] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 40% | 8% | 11% |
| YouGov[84][A] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 26% | 16%[aa] | 17% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Cruz (incumbent) | 5,990,741 | 53.05% | +2.18% | |
| Democratic | Colin Allred | 5,031,249 | 44.56% | −3.76% | |
| Libertarian | Ted Brown | 267,039 | 2.36% | +1.59% | |
| Write-in | 2,825 | 0.03% | |||
| Total votes | 11,291,854 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County[183] | Ted Cruz Republican |
Colin Allred Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Anderson | 15,022 | 78.17% | 3,872 | 20.15% | 322 | 1.68% | 11,150 | 58.02% | 19,216 |
| Andrews | 4,976 | 84.32% | 873 | 14.62% | 123 | 2.06% | 4,103 | 69.70% | 5,972 |
| Angelina | 24,994 | 73.37% | 8,382 | 24.61% | 690 | 2.03% | 16,612 | 48.76% | 34,066 |
| Aransas | 9,605 | 74.14% | 3,069 | 23.69% | 282 | 2.18% | 6,536 | 50.45% | 12,956 |
| Archer | 4,483 | 87.75% | 562 | 11.00% | 64 | 1.25% | 3,921 | 76.75% | 5,109 |
| Armstrong | 1,001 | 90.02% | 97 | 8.72% | 14 | 1.26% | 904 | 81.30% | 1,112 |
| Atascosa | 11,973 | 65.94% | 5,739 | 31.61% | 446 | 2.46% | 6,234 | 34.33% | 18,158 |
| Austin | 11,981 | 78.36% | 2,998 | 19.61% | 310 | 2.03% | 8,983 | 58.75% | 15,289 |
| Bailey | 1,352 | 78.93% | 325 | 18.97% | 36 | 2.10% | 1,027 | 59.95% | 1,713 |
| Bandera | 10,472 | 77.40% | 2,735 | 20.21% | 323 | 2.39% | 7,737 | 57.18% | 13,530 |
| Bastrop | 21,835 | 55.35% | 16,445 | 41.69% | 1,166 | 2.96% | 5,390 | 13.66% | 39,446 |
| Baylor | 1,433 | 85.71% | 199 | 11.90% | 40 | 2.39% | 1,234 | 82.80% | 1,672 |
| Bee | 5,639 | 65.03% | 2,845 | 32.81% | 188 | 2.17% | 2,794 | 32.22% | 8,672 |
| Bell | 70,468 | 54.47% | 55,441 | 42.85% | 3,463 | 2.68% | 15,027 | 11.62% | 129,372 |
| Bexar | 303,262 | 39.88% | 422,903 | 55.61% | 34,298 | 4.51% | −119,641 | −15.73% | 760,463 |
| Blanco | 6,243 | 73.47% | 2,071 | 24.37% | 183 | 2.15% | 4,172 | 49.10% | 8,497 |
| Borden | 366 | 95.56% | 13 | 3.39% | 4 | 1.04% | 353 | 92.17% | 383 |
| Bosque | 7,643 | 80.01% | 1,712 | 17.92% | 198 | 2.07% | 5,931 | 62.09% | 9,553 |
| Bowie | 26,219 | 72.43% | 9,405 | 25.98% | 573 | 1.58% | 16,814 | 46.45% | 36,197 |
| Brazoria | 90,208 | 55.88% | 67,075 | 41.55% | 4,163 | 2.58% | 23,133 | 14.33% | 161,446 |
| Brazos | 54,153 | 59.03% | 34,849 | 37.98% | 2,743 | 2.99% | 19,304 | 21.04% | 91,745 |
| Brewster | 2,422 | 53.30% | 1,998 | 43.97% | 124 | 2.73% | 424 | 9.33% | 4,544 |
| Briscoe | 649 | 87.23% | 79 | 10.62% | 16 | 2.15% | 570 | 76.61% | 744 |
| Brooks | 874 | 37.97% | 1,379 | 59.90% | 49 | 2.13% | −505 | −21.94% | 2,302 |
| Brown | 14,108 | 84.08% | 2,359 | 14.06% | 313 | 1.87% | 11,749 | 70.02% | 16,780 |
| Burleson | 7,327 | 78.61% | 1,805 | 19.36% | 189 | 2.03% | 5,522 | 59.24% | 9,321 |
| Burnet | 21,056 | 74.97% | 6,401 | 22.79% | 629 | 2.24% | 14,655 | 52.18% | 28,086 |
| Caldwell | 8,227 | 52.94% | 6,851 | 44.08% | 463 | 2.98% | 1,376 | 8.85% | 15,541 |
| Calhoun | 5,603 | 72.22% | 2,018 | 26.01% | 137 | 1.77% | 3,585 | 46.21% | 7,758 |
| Callahan | 5,973 | 85.62% | 863 | 12.37% | 140 | 2.01% | 5,110 | 73.25% | 6,976 |
| Cameron | 53,391 | 46.63% | 58,330 | 50.94% | 2,789 | 2.44% | −4,939 | −4.31% | 114,510 |
| Camp | 3,894 | 74.51% | 1,257 | 24.05% | 75 | 1.44% | 2,637 | 50.46% | 5,226 |
| Carson | 2,755 | 87.43% | 328 | 10.41% | 68 | 2.16% | 2,427 | 77.02% | 3,151 |
| Cass | 11,477 | 81.30% | 2,457 | 17.40% | 183 | 1.30% | 9,020 | 63.89% | 14,117 |
| Castro | 1,530 | 77.12% | 408 | 20.56% | 46 | 2.32% | 1,122 | 56.55% | 1,984 |
| Chambers | 19,746 | 79.37% | 4,617 | 18.56% | 514 | 2.07% | 15,129 | 60.82% | 24,877 |
| Cherokee | 16,065 | 78.78% | 3,915 | 19.20% | 413 | 2.02% | 12,150 | 59.58% | 20,393 |
| Childress | 1,919 | 85.52% | 285 | 12.70% | 40 | 1.78% | 1,634 | 72.82% | 2,244 |
| Clay | 5,128 | 87.23% | 663 | 11.28% | 88 | 1.50% | 4,465 | 75.95% | 5,879 |
| Cochran | 706 | 80.23% | 149 | 16.93% | 25 | 2.84% | 557 | 63.30% | 880 |
| Coke | 1,567 | 86.86% | 218 | 12.08% | 19 | 1.05% | 1,349 | 74.78% | 1,804 |
| Coleman | 3,585 | 86.97% | 470 | 11.40% | 67 | 1.64% | 3,115 | 75.57% | 4,122 |
| Collin | 263,381 | 51.51% | 236,579 | 46.27% | 11,313 | 2.21% | 26,802 | 5.24% | 511,273 |
| Collingsworth | 1,039 | 87.98% | 141 | 11.94% | 1 | 0.08% | 898 | 76.04% | 1,181 |
| Colorado | 7,554 | 76.16% | 2,207 | 22.25% | 158 | 1.59% | 5,347 | 53.91% | 9,919 |
| Comal | 71,757 | 69.45% | 29,149 | 28.21% | 2,418 | 2.34% | 42,608 | 41.24% | 103,324 |
| Comanche | 5,435 | 83.54% | 962 | 14.79% | 109 | 1.68% | 4,473 | 68.75% | 6,506 |
| Concho | 989 | 83.53% | 176 | 14.86% | 19 | 1.60% | 813 | 68.67% | 1,184 |
| Cooke | 16,284 | 80.22% | 3,620 | 17.83% | 395 | 1.95% | 12,664 | 62.39% | 20,299 |
| Coryell | 15,775 | 66.35% | 7,276 | 30.60% | 726 | 3.05% | 8,499 | 35.74% | 23,777 |
| Cottle | 544 | 84.60% | 90 | 14.00% | 9 | 1.40% | 454 | 70.61% | 643 |
| Crane | 1,115 | 83.33% | 196 | 14.65% | 27 | 2.02% | 919 | 68.68% | 1,338 |
| Crockett | 1,008 | 73.42% | 328 | 23.89% | 37 | 2.69% | 680 | 49.53% | 1,373 |
| Crosby | 1,370 | 73.66% | 438 | 23.55% | 52 | 2.80% | 932 | 50.11% | 1,860 |
| Culberson | 394 | 52.89% | 340 | 45.64% | 11 | 1.48% | 54 | 7.25% | 745 |
| Dallam | 1,229 | 75.15% | 158 | 11.09% | 38 | 2.67% | 1,071 | 75.16% | 1,425 |
| Dallas | 291,528 | 34.61% | 531,153 | 63.05% | 19,744 | 2.34% | -239,625 | -28.44% | 842,425 |
| Dawson | 2,686 | 77.74% | 688 | 19.91% | 81 | 2.34% | 1,998 | 57.83% | 3,455 |
| Deaf Smith | 3,113 | 73.68% | 1,025 | 24.26% | 87 | 2.06% | 2,088 | 49.42% | 4,225 |
| Delta | 2,158 | 81.28% | 453 | 17.06% | 44 | 1.66% | 1,705 | 64.22% | 2,655 |
| Denton | 237,978 | 53.07% | 200,676 | 44.75% | 9,805 | 2.19% | 37,302 | 8.32% | 448,459 |
| DeWitt | 6,240 | 80.52% | 1,392 | 17.96% | 118 | 1.52% | 4,848 | 62.55% | 7,750 |
| Dickens | 817 | 83.11% | 148 | 15.06% | 18 | 1.83% | 669 | 68.06% | 983 |
| Dimmit | 1,305 | 40.24% | 1,849 | 57.02% | 89 | 2.74% | -544 | -16.77% | 3,243 |
| Donley | 1,453 | 87.01% | 192 | 11.50% | 25 | 1.50% | 1,261 | 75.51% | 1,670 |
| Duval | 1,872 | 44.82% | 2,190 | 52.43% | 115 | 2.75% | -318 | -7.61% | 4,177 |
| Eastland | 7,132 | 85.89% | 1,026 | 12.36% | 146 | 1.76% | 6,106 | 73.53% | 8,304 |
| Ector | 30,729 | 72.70% | 10,620 | 25.13% | 919 | 2.17% | 20,109 | 47.57% | 42,268 |
| Edwards | 800 | 82.14% | 152 | 15.61% | 22 | 2.26% | 648 | 66.53% | 974 |
| El Paso | 92,997 | 37.96% | 141,826 | 57.89% | 10,164 | 4.15% | -48,829 | -19.93% | 244,987 |
| Ellis | 61,020 | 61.78% | 35,685 | 36.13% | 2,070 | 2.10% | 25,335 | 25.65% | 98,775 |
| Erath | 14,672 | 80.71% | 3,126 | 17.20% | 380 | 2.09% | 11,546 | 63.52% | 18,178 |
| Falls | 4,351 | 69.44% | 1,782 | 28.44% | 133 | 2.12% | 2,569 | 41.00% | 6,266 |
| Fannin | 13,084 | 80.08% | 2,927 | 17.92% | 327 | 2.00% | 10,157 | 62.17% | 16,338 |
| Fayette | 10,408 | 78.34% | 2,649 | 19.94% | 228 | 1.72% | 7,759 | 58.40% | 13,285 |
| Fisher | 1,420 | 78.37% | 358 | 19.76% | 34 | 1.88% | 1,062 | 58.61% | 1,812 |
| Floyd | 1,617 | 78.12% | 406 | 19.61% | 47 | 2.27% | 1,211 | 58.50% | 2,070 |
| Foard | 438 | 81.41% | 94 | 17.47% | 6 | 1.12% | 344 | 63.94% | 538 |
| Fort Bend | 159,691 | 44.84% | 186,710 | 52.43% | 9,740 | 2.73% | -27,019 | -7.59% | 356,141 |
| Franklin | 4,349 | 82.43% | 859 | 16.29% | 68 | 1.29% | 3,490 | 66.15% | 5,276 |
| Freestone | 7,197 | 80.35% | 1,601 | 17.87% | 159 | 1.78% | 5,596 | 62.48% | 8,957 |
| Frio | 2,557 | 52.98% | 2,039 | 42.25% | 240 | 4.97% | 518 | 10.73% | 4,826 |
| Gaines | 5,700 | 89.52% | 561 | 8.81% | 106 | 1.66% | 5,139 | 80.71% | 6,367 |
| Galveston | 95,114 | 60.05% | 59,316 | 37.45% | 3,962 | 2.50% | 35,798 | 22.60% | 158,392 |
| Garza | 1,318 | 84.00% | 223 | 14.21% | 28 | 1.78% | 1,095 | 69.79% | 1,569 |
| Gillespie | 12,881 | 78.01% | 3,296 | 19.96% | 334 | 2.02% | 9,585 | 58.05% | 16,511 |
| Glasscock | 616 | 93.33% | 37 | 5.61% | 7 | 1.06% | 579 | 87.73% | 660 |
| Goliad | 3,016 | 76.51% | 853 | 21.64% | 73 | 1.85% | 2,163 | 54.87% | 3,942 |
| Gonzales | 5,607 | 73.44% | 1,849 | 24.22% | 179 | 2.34% | 3,758 | 49.22% | 7,635 |
| Gray | 6,489 | 86.29% | 878 | 11.68% | 153 | 2.03% | 5,611 | 74.61% | 7,520 |
| Grayson | 48,504 | 74.31% | 15,453 | 23.67% | 1,319 | 2.02% | 33,051 | 50.63% | 65,276 |
| Gregg | 31,862 | 68.51% | 13,660 | 29.37% | 983 | 2.11% | 18,202 | 39.14% | 46,505 |
| Grimes | 10,830 | 77.41% | 2,900 | 20.73% | 261 | 1.86% | 7,930 | 56.68% | 13,991 |
| Guadalupe | 50,972 | 64.08% | 30,981 | 34.66% | 2,159 | 2.57% | 19,991 | 23.77% | 84,112 |
| Hale | 6,941 | 75.49% | 2,013 | 21.89% | 241 | 2.62% | 4,928 | 53.59% | 9,195 |
| Hall | 957 | 84.61% | 155 | 13.71% | 19 | 1.68% | 802 | 70.91% | 1,131 |
| Hamilton | 3,699 | 82.68% | 679 | 15.18% | 96 | 2.15% | 3,020 | 67.50% | 4,474 |
| Hansford | 1,802 | 91.06% | 147 | 7.43% | 30 | 1.52% | 1,655 | 83.63% | 1,979 |
| Hardeman | 1,163 | 83.19% | 217 | 15.52% | 18 | 1.29% | 946 | 67.67% | 1,398 |
| Hardin | 23,992 | 85.48% | 3,603 | 12.84% | 473 | 1.69% | 20,389 | 72.64% | 28,068 |
| Harris | 666,027 | 43.00% | 841,784 | 54.35% | 41,103 | 2.65% | -175,757 | -11.35% | 1,548,914 |
| Harrison | 22,137 | 73.60% | 7,408 | 24.63% | 534 | 1.78% | 14,729 | 48.97% | 30,079 |
| Hartley | 1,817 | 90.62% | 172 | 8.58% | 16 | 0.80% | 1,645 | 82.04% | 2,005 |
| Haskell | 1,826 | 81.74% | 363 | 16.25% | 45 | 2.01% | 1,463 | 65.49% | 2,234 |
| Hays | 54,436 | 43.35% | 67,475 | 53.73% | 3,665 | 2.92% | -13,039 | -10.38% | 125,576 |
| Hemphill | 1,380 | 86.30% | 195 | 12.20% | 24 | 1.50% | 1,185 | 74.11% | 1,599 |
| Henderson | 30,047 | 78.60% | 7,453 | 19.50% | 726 | 1.90% | 22,594 | 59.11% | 38,226 |
| Hidalgo | 96,208 | 45.46% | 110,139 | 52.05% | 5,275 | 2.49% | -13,931 | -6.58% | 211,622 |
| Hill | 13,104 | 78.67% | 3,223 | 19.35% | 331 | 1.99% | 9,881 | 59.32% | 16,658 |
| Hockley | 6,437 | 80.92% | 1,355 | 17.03% | 163 | 2.05% | 5,082 | 63.88% | 7,955 |
| Hood | 29,112 | 79.84% | 6,604 | 18.11% | 747 | 2.05% | 22,508 | 61.73% | 36,463 |
| Hopkins | 13,269 | 79.43% | 3,142 | 18.81% | 294 | 1.76% | 10,127 | 60.62% | 16,705 |
| Houston | 7,033 | 75.75% | 2,104 | 22.66% | 148 | 1.59% | 4,929 | 53.09% | 9,285 |
| Howard | 7,388 | 77.67% | 1,895 | 19.92% | 229 | 2.41% | 5,493 | 57.75% | 9,512 |
| Hudspeth | 702 | 68.82% | 285 | 27.94% | 33 | 3.24% | 417 | 40.88% | 1,020 |
| Hunt | 34,351 | 74.02% | 11,067 | 23.85% | 991 | 2.13% | 23,284 | 50.17% | 46,409 |
| Hutchinson | 7,047 | 86.28% | 946 | 11.58% | 175 | 2.14% | 6,101 | 74.69% | 8,168 |
| Irion | 732 | 84.43% | 118 | 13.61% | 17 | 1.96% | 614 | 70.82% | 867 |
| Jack | 3,689 | 88.23% | 427 | 10.21% | 65 | 1.55% | 3,262 | 78.02% | 4,181 |
| Jackson | 5,222 | 82.89% | 998 | 15.84% | 80 | 1.27% | 4,224 | 67.05% | 6,300 |
| Jasper | 12,842 | 81.56% | 2,702 | 17.16% | 201 | 1.28% | 10,140 | 64.40% | 15,745 |
| Jeff Davis | 671 | 58.10% | 447 | 38.70% | 37 | 3.20% | 224 | 19.40% | 1,155 |
| Jefferson | 43,888 | 51.66% | 39,643 | 46.66% | 1,425 | 1.68% | 4,245 | 5.00% | 84,956 |
| Jim Hogg | 586 | 38.58% | 917 | 60.37% | 16 | 1.05% | -331 | -21.79% | 1,519 |
| Jim Wells | 6,773 | 52.26% | 5,895 | 45.49% | 292 | 2.25% | 878 | 6.77% | 12,960 |
| Johnson | 57,382 | 71.44% | 20,935 | 26.06% | 2,006 | 2.50% | 36,447 | 45.38% | 80,323 |
| Jones | 5,729 | 83.02% | 1,039 | 15.06% | 133 | 1.93% | 4,690 | 67.96% | 6,901 |
| Karnes | 3,743 | 74.71% | 1,175 | 23.45% | 92 | 1.84% | 2,568 | 51.26% | 5,010 |
| Kaufman | 41,177 | 59.83% | 26,235 | 38.12% | 1,414 | 2.05% | 14,942 | 21.71% | 68,826 |
| Kendall | 22,068 | 75.37% | 6,666 | 22.77% | 546 | 1.86% | 15,402 | 52.60% | 29,280 |
| Kenedy | 92 | 63.89% | 48 | 33.33% | 4 | 2.78% | 44 | 30.56% | 144 |
| Kent | 383 | 85.49% | 58 | 12.95% | 7 | 1.56% | 325 | 72.54% | 448 |
| Kerr | 20,840 | 74.11% | 6,672 | 23.73% | 610 | 2.17% | 14,168 | 50.38% | 28,122 |
| Kimble | 2,039 | 85.71% | 298 | 12.53% | 42 | 1.77% | 1,741 | 73.18% | 2,379 |
| King | 129 | 96.27% | 5 | 3.73% | 0 | 0.00% | 124 | 92.54% | 134 |
| Kinney | 970 | 69.94% | 390 | 28.12% | 27 | 1.95% | 580 | 41.82% | 1,387 |
| Kleberg | 5,047 | 51.02% | 4,614 | 46.64% | 232 | 2.35% | 433 | 4.38% | 9,893 |
| Knox | 1,096 | 80.35% | 249 | 18.25% | 19 | 1.39% | 847 | 62.10% | 1,364 |
| Lamar | 16,454 | 77.96% | 4,344 | 20.58% | 308 | 1.46% | 12,110 | 57.38% | 21,106 |
| Lamb | 3,285 | 79.92% | 729 | 17.73% | 97 | 2.36% | 2,556 | 62.17% | 4,111 |
| Lampasas | 8,606 | 76.92% | 2,314 | 20.68% | 268 | 2.40% | 6,292 | 56.24% | 11,188 |
| La Salle | 1,088 | 51.52% | 956 | 45.27% | 68 | 3.22% | 132 | 6.25% | 2,112 |
| Lavaca | 8,915 | 85.56% | 1,378 | 13.23% | 126 | 1.21% | 7,537 | 72.34% | 10,419 |
| Lee | 6,505 | 77.79% | 1,719 | 20.56% | 138 | 1.65% | 4,786 | 57.24% | 8,362 |
| Leon | 7,734 | 85.84% | 1,115 | 12.38% | 161 | 1.79% | 6,619 | 73.46% | 9,010 |
| Liberty | 23,983 | 77.21% | 6,429 | 20.70% | 651 | 2.10% | 17,554 | 56.51% | 31,063 |
| Limestone | 6,821 | 75.70% | 2,045 | 22.69% | 145 | 1.61% | 4,776 | 53.00% | 9,011 |
| Lipscomb | 1,094 | 87.66% | 131 | 10.50% | 23 | 1.84% | 963 | 77.16% | 1,248 |
| Live Oak | 4,165 | 82.28% | 822 | 16.24% | 75 | 1.48% | 3,343 | 66.04% | 5,062 |
| Llano | 10,698 | 78.53% | 2,677 | 19.65% | 248 | 1.82% | 8,021 | 58.88% | 13,623 |
| Loving | 75 | 78.95% | 17 | 17.89% | 3 | 3.16% | 58 | 61.05% | 95 |
| Lubbock | 83,643 | 67.20% | 37,560 | 30.18% | 3,266 | 2.62% | 46,083 | 37.02% | 124,469 |
| Lynn | 2,118 | 83.78% | 367 | 14.52% | 43 | 1.70% | 1,751 | 69.26% | 2,528 |
| Madison | 4,336 | 79.66% | 1,012 | 18.59% | 95 | 1.75% | 3,324 | 61.07% | 5,443 |
| Marion | 3,509 | 74.75% | 1,101 | 23.45% | 84 | 1.79% | 2,408 | 51.30% | 4,694 |
| Martin | 1,756 | 84.95% | 264 | 12.77% | 47 | 2.27% | 1,492 | 72.18% | 2,067 |
| Mason | 2,027 | 80.85% | 441 | 17.59% | 39 | 1.56% | 1,586 | 63.26% | 2,507 |
| Matagorda | 9,482 | 71.78% | 3,486 | 26.39% | 241 | 1.82% | 5,996 | 45.39% | 13,209 |
| Maverick | 7,287 | 49.46% | 6,859 | 46.56% | 586 | 3.98% | 428 | 2.91% | 14,732 |
| McCulloch | 2,938 | 83.99% | 497 | 14.21% | 63 | 1.80% | 2,441 | 69.78% | 3,498 |
| McLennan | 62,054 | 62.19% | 35,632 | 35.71% | 2,091 | 2.10% | 26,422 | 26.48% | 99,777 |
| McMullen | 423 | 88.87% | 48 | 10.08% | 5 | 1.05% | 375 | 78.78% | 476 |
| Medina | 16,508 | 67.50% | 7,416 | 30.32% | 533 | 2.18% | 9,092 | 37.18% | 24,457 |
| Menard | 824 | 79.54% | 194 | 18.73% | 18 | 1.74% | 630 | 60.81% | 1,036 |
| Midland | 45,032 | 77.40% | 11,866 | 20.39% | 1,284 | 2.21% | 33,166 | 57.00% | 58,182 |
| Milam | 8,347 | 75.63% | 2,462 | 22.31% | 227 | 2.06% | 5,885 | 53.33% | 11,036 |
| Mills | 2,343 | 85.82% | 344 | 12.60% | 43 | 1.58% | 1,999 | 73.22% | 2,730 |
| Mitchell | 2,059 | 83.26% | 374 | 15.12% | 40 | 1.62% | 1,685 | 68.14% | 2,473 |
| Montague | 9,489 | 86.15% | 1,353 | 12.28% | 172 | 1.56% | 8,136 | 73.87% | 11,014 |
| Montgomery | 213,797 | 69.75% | 86,879 | 28.34% | 5,841 | 1.91% | 126,918 | 41.41% | 306,517 |
| Moore | 4,186 | 79.76% | 954 | 18.18% | 108 | 2.06% | 3,232 | 61.59% | 5,248 |
| Morris | 3,958 | 73.42% | 1,353 | 25.10% | 80 | 1.48% | 2,605 | 48.32% | 5,391 |
| Motley | 592 | 92.21% | 41 | 6.39% | 9 | 1.40% | 551 | 85.83% | 642 |
| Nacogdoches | 17,072 | 67.01% | 7,927 | 31.11% | 478 | 1.88% | 9,145 | 35.90% | 25,477 |
| Navarro | 14,327 | 72.37% | 5,120 | 25.86% | 351 | 1.77% | 9,207 | 46.51% | 19,798 |
| Newton | 4,650 | 81.71% | 972 | 17.08% | 69 | 1.21% | 3,678 | 64.63% | 5,691 |
| Nolan | 3,808 | 75.56% | 1,123 | 22.28% | 109 | 2.16% | 2,685 | 53.27% | 5,040 |
| Nueces | 62,062 | 51.52% | 55,433 | 46.02% | 2,964 | 2.46% | 6,629 | 5.50% | 120,459 |
| Ochiltree | 2,669 | 89.09% | 280 | 9.35% | 47 | 1.57% | 2,389 | 79.74% | 2,996 |
| Oldham | 862 | 89.70% | 91 | 9.47% | 8 | 0.83% | 771 | 80.23% | 961 |
| Orange | 29,050 | 80.78% | 6,285 | 17.48% | 626 | 1.74% | 22,765 | 63.30% | 35,961 |
| Palo Pinto | 10,611 | 80.13% | 2,355 | 17.78% | 277 | 2.09% | 8,256 | 62.34% | 13,243 |
| Panola | 9,281 | 81.69% | 1,935 | 17.03% | 145 | 1.28% | 7,346 | 64.66% | 11,361 |
| Parker | 72,477 | 79.89% | 16,349 | 18.02% | 1,900 | 2.09% | 56,128 | 61.87% | 90,726 |
| Parmer | 2,060 | 83.27% | 374 | 15.12% | 40 | 1.62% | 1,686 | 68.15% | 2,474 |
| Pecos | 2,817 | 68.01% | 1,206 | 29.12% | 119 | 2.87% | 1,611 | 38.89% | 4,142 |
| Polk | 18,596 | 77.02% | 5,106 | 21.15% | 441 | 1.83% | 13,490 | 55.88% | 24,143 |
| Potter | 22,109 | 69.33% | 8,933 | 28.01% | 848 | 2.66% | 13,176 | 41.32% | 31,890 |
| Presidio | 651 | 33.56% | 1,249 | 64.38% | 40 | 2.06% | -598 | -30.82% | 1,940 |
| Rains | 5,450 | 83.49% | 951 | 14.57% | 127 | 1.94% | 4,499 | 68.92% | 6,528 |
| Randall | 51,991 | 77.73% | 13,596 | 20.33% | 1,302 | 1.95% | 38,395 | 57.40% | 66,889 |
| Reagan | 764 | 81.62% | 156 | 16.67% | 16 | 1.71% | 608 | 64.96% | 936 |
| Real | 1,574 | 80.76% | 336 | 17.24% | 39 | 2.00% | 1,238 | 63.52% | 1,949 |
| Red River | 4,498 | 78.40% | 1,148 | 20.01% | 91 | 1.59% | 3,350 | 58.39% | 5,737 |
| Reeves | 2,034 | 61.86% | 1,142 | 34.73% | 112 | 3.41% | 892 | 27.13% | 3,288 |
| Refugio | 2,004 | 66.12% | 958 | 31.61% | 69 | 2.28% | 1,046 | 34.51% | 3,031 |
| Roberts | 542 | 94.92% | 20 | 3.50% | 9 | 1.58% | 522 | 91.42% | 571 |
| Robertson | 5,982 | 73.62% | 2,006 | 24.69% | 137 | 1.69% | 3,976 | 48.94% | 8,125 |
| Rockwall | 41,726 | 66.96% | 19,466 | 31.24% | 1,127 | 1.81% | 22,260 | 35.72% | 62,319 |
| Runnels | 3,430 | 85.17% | 525 | 13.04% | 72 | 1.79% | 2,905 | 72.14% | 4,027 |
| Rusk | 16,665 | 77.43% | 4,500 | 20.91% | 357 | 1.66% | 12,165 | 56.52% | 21,522 |
| Sabine | 4,864 | 87.80% | 612 | 11.05% | 64 | 1.16% | 4,252 | 76.75% | 5,540 |
| San Augustine | 2,834 | 77.85% | 808 | 21.59% | 65 | 0.56% | 2,026 | 56.26% | 3,707 |
| San Jacinto | 10,118 | 79.61% | 2,338 | 18.39% | 254 | 2.00% | 7,780 | 61.22% | 12,710 |
| San Patricio | 16,116 | 67.78% | 8,578 | 31.37% | 627 | 0.85% | 7,538 | 36.41% | 25,321 |
| San Saba | 2,314 | 86.02% | 333 | 12.38% | 43 | 1.60% | 1,981 | 73.64% | 2,690 |
| Schleicher | 872 | 79.42% | 205 | 18.67% | 21 | 1.91% | 667 | 60.75% | 1,098 |
| Scurry | 4,683 | 83.16% | 811 | 14.40% | 137 | 2.43% | 3,872 | 68.76% | 5,631 |
| Shackelford | 1,520 | 88.73% | 173 | 10.10% | 20 | 1.17% | 1,347 | 78.63% | 1,713 |
| Shelby | 8,022 | 81.23% | 1,756 | 17.78% | 98 | 0.99% | 6,266 | 63.45% | 9,876 |
| Sherman | 791 | 89.18% | 82 | 9.24% | 14 | 1.58% | 709 | 79.93% | 887 |
| Smith | 72,205 | 69.95% | 28,971 | 28.07% | 2,052 | 1.99% | 43,234 | 41.88% | 103,228 |
| Somervell | 4,298 | 81.46% | 859 | 16.28% | 119 | 2.26% | 3,439 | 65.18% | 5,276 |
| Starr | 7,081 | 49.93% | 6,745 | 47.56% | 356 | 2.51% | 336 | 2.37% | 14,182 |
| Stephens | 3,216 | 86.29% | 450 | 12.07% | 61 | 1.64% | 2,766 | 74.22% | 3,727 |
| Sterling | 553 | 88.62% | 56 | 8.97% | 15 | 2.40% | 497 | 79.65% | 624 |
| Stonewall | 581 | 81.60% | 120 | 16.85% | 11 | 1.54% | 461 | 64.75% | 712 |
| Sutton | 1,129 | 81.28% | 239 | 17.21% | 21 | 1.51% | 890 | 64.07% | 1,389 |
| Swisher | 1,744 | 78.10% | 440 | 19.70% | 49 | 2.19% | 1,304 | 58.40% | 2,233 |
| Tarrant | 399,927 | 48.68% | 401,742 | 48.91% | 19,804 | 2.41% | -1,815 | -0.22% | 821,473 |
| Taylor | 39,509 | 71.51% | 14,479 | 26.20% | 1,264 | 2.29% | 25,030 | 45.30% | 55,252 |
| Terrell | 301 | 75.25% | 92 | 23.00% | 7 | 1.75% | 209 | 52.25% | 400 |
| Terry | 2,663 | 79.56% | 609 | 18.20% | 75 | 2.24% | 2,054 | 61.37% | 3,347 |
| Throckmorton | 801 | 90.00% | 80 | 8.99% | 9 | 1.01% | 721 | 81.01% | 890 |
| Titus | 7,545 | 74.50% | 2,386 | 23.56% | 197 | 1.95% | 5,159 | 50.94% | 10,128 |
| Tom Green | 31,686 | 70.15% | 12,332 | 27.30% | 1,152 | 2.55% | 19,354 | 42.85% | 45,170 |
| Travis | 157,203 | 27.17% | 407,210 | 70.39% | 14,128 | 2.44% | -250,007 | -43.21% | 578,541 |
| Trinity | 5,910 | 80.56% | 1,298 | 17.69% | 128 | 1.74% | 4,612 | 62.87% | 7,336 |
| Tyler | 8,001 | 84.16% | 1,337 | 14.06% | 169 | 1.78% | 6,664 | 70.10% | 9,507 |
| Upshur | 16,451 | 82.92% | 2,994 | 15.09% | 394 | 1.99% | 13,457 | 67.83% | 19,839 |
| Upton | 1,069 | 84.51% | 164 | 12.96% | 32 | 2.53% | 905 | 71.54% | 1,265 |
| Uvalde | 5,848 | 60.81% | 3,493 | 36.31% | 278 | 2.89% | 2,355 | 24.48% | 9,619 |
| Val Verde | 8,071 | 56.48% | 5,782 | 40.45% | 440 | 3.08% | 2,289 | 16.01% | 14,293 |
| Van Zandt | 23,626 | 84.60% | 3,838 | 13.74% | 463 | 1.66% | 19,788 | 70.86% | 27,927 |
| Victoria | 24,002 | 68.90% | 10,176 | 29.21% | 657 | 1.89% | 13,826 | 39.69% | 34,835 |
| Walker | 16,775 | 67.16% | 7,728 | 30.94% | 475 | 1.90% | 9,047 | 36.22% | 24,978 |
| Waller | 16,385 | 59.71% | 10,432 | 38.01% | 625 | 2.28% | 5,953 | 21.70% | 27,442 |
| Ward | 2,931 | 78.64% | 710 | 19.05% | 86 | 2.31% | 2,221 | 59.52% | 3,727 |
| Washington | 13,586 | 74.86% | 4,240 | 23.36% | 323 | 1.78% | 9,346 | 51.50% | 18,149 |
| Webb | 28,121 | 44.15% | 33,758 | 53.00% | 1,820 | 2.86% | -5,637 | -8.85% | 63,699 |
| Wharton | 11,915 | 73.00% | 4,150 | 25.42% | 258 | 1.58% | 7,765 | 47.57% | 16,323 |
| Wheeler | 2,025 | 89.88% | 192 | 8.52% | 36 | 1.60% | 1,833 | 81.36% | 2,253 |
| Wichita | 30,711 | 69.39% | 12,545 | 28.35% | 1,001 | 2.26% | 18,166 | 41.05% | 44,257 |
| Wilbarger | 3,419 | 77.13% | 926 | 20.89% | 88 | 1.99% | 2,493 | 56.24% | 4,433 |
| Willacy | 2,365 | 43.67% | 2,892 | 53.41% | 158 | 2.92% | -527 | -9.73% | 5,415 |
| Williamson | 146,451 | 47.85% | 151,076 | 49.36% | 8,518 | 2.78% | -4,625 | -1.51% | 306,045 |
| Wilson | 19,783 | 72.91% | 6,802 | 25.07% | 548 | 2.02% | 12,981 | 47.84% | 27,133 |
| Winkler | 1,560 | 82.36% | 303 | 16.00% | 31 | 1.64% | 1,257 | 66.37% | 1,894 |
| Wise | 31,060 | 81.44% | 6,350 | 16.65% | 730 | 1.91% | 24,710 | 64.79% | 38,140 |
| Wood | 20,129 | 82.75% | 3,757 | 15.45% | 438 | 1.80% | 16,372 | 67.31% | 24,324 |
| Yoakum | 1,928 | 82.36% | 357 | 15.25% | 56 | 2.39% | 1,571 | 67.11% | 2,341 |
| Young | 7,088 | 85.70% | 1,063 | 12.85% | 120 | 1.45% | 6,025 | 72.84% | 8,271 |
| Zapata | 2,197 | 51.51% | 1,957 | 45.88% | 111 | 2.60% | 240 | 5.63% | 4,265 |
| Zavala | 1,167 | 35.66% | 1,994 | 60.92% | 112 | 3.42% | -827 | -25.27% | 3,273 |
| Totals | 5,990,741 | 53.05% | 5,031,249 | 44.56% | 267,039 | 2.36% | 959,492 | 8.50% | 11,291,854 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Brewster (largest municipality: Alpine)
- Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
- Frio (largest municipality: Pearsall)
- Jefferson (largest municipality: Beaumont)
- Jim Wells (largest municipality: Alice)
- Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
- La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
- Maverick (largest municipality: Eagle Pass)
- Nueces (largest municipality: Corpus Christi)
- Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
- Starr (largest municipality: Rio Grande City)
- Val Verde (largest municipality: Del Rio)
- Zapata (largest municipality: Zapata)
By congressional district
Cruz won 25 of 38 congressional districts.[184]
Analysis
Cruz won a majority of Hispanic and Latino voters, particularly those living on the border with Mexico who had traditionally supported Democratic candidates; the NBC News exit poll showed 52% of Latinos supported Cruz, a 17-point increase from 2018.[185]
Allred overperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election in Texas by 5.5 points, receiving nearly 200,000 votes more than Harris and performing better than she did in the largely Hispanic Rio Grande Valley. He carried the Rio Grande Valley counties of Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Webb (Laredo), and Willacy, as well as Williamson and Tarrant counties that Trump simultaneously carried.[186][187]
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - $3,900 of this total was self-funded by Gonzalez
- $6,050 of this total was self-funded by Keough
- Steven Keough with 3%; Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman and Thierry Tchenko with 1%; Robert Hassan with 0%
- Robert Hassan, Steven Keough, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Thierry Tchenko with 0%
- Steven Keough, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Robert Hassan with 1%; "Someone else" with 8%
- Sherri Taylor, Victor Dunn, and John Love III with 2%; Tracy Andrus, Aaron Arguijo, and Steven Keough with 1%; Teresa Naranjo, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- Sherri Taylor with 3%; Tracy Andrus, Steven Keough, Teresa Naranjo, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Aaron Arguijo, John Love III, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Victor Dunn with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- John Love with 4%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Brown (L) with 3%
- Brown (L) with 4%
- Brown (L) with 1%
- Brown (L) with 6%
- "Someone else" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- "Wouldn't vote" and "Someone else" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 4%; Brown (L) with 2%
- Brown (L) with 5%; "Refused" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- Brown (L) with 5%; "Refused" with 2%
- Brown (L) with 8%
- Brown (L) with 3%; Mason Cysewski (G) with 2%
- "Someone else" with 15%
- "Someone else" with 7%; Refused to answer with 1%
- Libertarian Party candidate with 2%; Green Party candidate with 2%
- "Someone else" with 16%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
- Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
- Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- Poll sponsored by American Thinker
- Poll sponsored by Allred's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
- Poll sponsored by Napolitan Institute
- Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
- Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights, which supports Republican candidates
- Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
- Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, which supports Republican candidates