2026 United States Senate election in Michigan
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. Primary elections will be held on August 4, 2026.[1] Incumbent Democratic U.S. senator Gary Peters declined to seek a third term.[2]
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November 3, 2026
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Along with Georgia, this is one of two Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election, winning 49.73% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 48.31%. Republicans have not won a Senate election in Michigan since 1994.[3]
Background
Michigan is considered to be a swing state. Most recently in the 2020 and 2024 presidential elections, the state backed Joe Biden by 2.8% and Donald Trump by 1.4%, respectively.[4] Peters was first elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2014 and re-elected with 49.9% in 2020.
Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years, although Democrats have had more success outside of presidential races. Democrats control both of Michigan's U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and the state senate. Republicans control the Michigan House of Representatives and hold a majority in Michigan's U.S. House delegation.[5] Republicans have not won a Michigan U.S. Senate race since 1994 and have not won this seat since 1972.[6] Additionally, Republicans have not won a non-presidential statewide race in Michigan since 2014.
As one of only two seats up held by a Democrat in a state that voted for Trump in 2024, Michigan is considered a key Senate battleground in 2026.[7][8]
Democratic primary
Campaign
Stevens is reportedly receiving the private backing of the Democratic Senate leadership, including Chuck Schumer, Kirsten Gillibrand, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC). However, they have yet to publicly take sides in the Democratic primary.[9][10][11][12][13][14] The pro-Israel lobby group AIPAC is expected to spend heavily on Stevens' campaign.[15][14] Although not openly supporting any candidate, AIPAC solicited contributions for Stevens' campaign in a September 2025 fundraising e-mail, directing donors to a site for direct contributions to the campaign, bypassing earmark requirements.[16]
Candidates
Declared
- Abdul El-Sayed, former Wayne County health director (2023–2025) and candidate for governor in 2018[17]
- Mallory McMorrow, state senator from the 8th district (2019–present)[18]
- Haley Stevens, U.S. representative from Michigan's 11th congressional district (2019–present)[19]
Not on ballot
Withdrawn
- Joe Tate, former speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives (2023–2025) from the 9th district (2019–present)[22] (endorsed Stevens)[23]
Declined
- Pete Buttigieg, former U.S. secretary of transportation (2021–2025), former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020), and candidate for president in 2020[24]
- Debbie Dingell, U.S. representative from Michigan's 6th congressional district (2015–present) (running for re-election)[25][26]
- Garlin Gilchrist, lieutenant governor of Michigan (2019–present) (running for secretary of state)[27]
- Gary Peters, incumbent U.S. senator (2015–present)[2]
- Kristen McDonald Rivet, U.S. representative from Michigan's 8th congressional district (2025–present) (running for re-election)[28]
- Hillary Scholten, U.S. representative from Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2023–present) (running for re-election)[29]
- Shri Thanedar, U.S. representative from Michigan's 13th congressional district (2023–present) (running for re-election)[30]
- Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan (2019–present)[30]
Endorsements
Abdul El-Sayed
- Executive branch officials
- Jon Favreau, White House Director of Speechwriting (2009–2013) and co-founder of Crooked Media[31]
- Ben Rhodes, former deputy national security advisor for strategic communications (2009–2017)[31]
- U.S. senators
- Bernie Sanders, Vermont (2007–present) (Independent)[32]
- U.S. representatives
- David Bonior, former House whip[a] (1991–2002) from MI-10 (1977–2003)[33]
- Pramila Jayapal, WA-7 (2017–present)[34]
- Ro Khanna, CA-17 (2017–present)[35]
- Summer Lee, PA-12 (2023–present)[36]
- Andy Levin, former MI-09 (2019–2023) and nephew of former U.S Senator Carl Levin[37]
- Delia Ramirez, IL-3 (2023–present)[38]
- Rashida Tlaib, MI-12 (2019–present)[39]
- Statewide officials
- Keith Ellison, attorney general of Minnesota (2019–present)[40]
- Fadwa Hammoud, former solicitor general of Michigan (2019–2023)[41]
- State legislators
- 13 state representatives[b]
- Local officials
- Warren Evans, Wayne County executive (2015–present)[41]
- Alex Garza, Wayne County commissioner from the 14th district (2024–present)[49]
- Abdullah Hammoud, mayor of Dearborn (2022–present)[41]
- George Heartwell, former mayor of Grand Rapids (2004–2016)[44]
- Sheldon Neeley, mayor of Flint (2019–present)[50]
- Martha Scott, Wayne County commissioner from the 3rd district (2011–present)[51]
- Individuals
- Basim Elkarra, executive director of the Council on American-Islamic Relations[52]
- Jon Lovett, co-founder of Crooked Media[31]
- Hasan Piker, political commentator[53]
- Horace Sheffield III, pastor and talk show host[54]
- Labor unions
- International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees Local 26[55]
- National Nurses United[56]
- United Auto Workers[57]
- Organizations
- Michigan Democratic Party Grassroots Caucus[49]
- Michigan Democratic Party LGBT&A Caucus[49]
- Michigan Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[49]
- MoveOn[58]
- Our Revolution[59]
- PAL PAC[60]
- Patriotic Millionaires (co-endorsement with McMorrow)[61]
- Peace Action[62]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[49]
- Progressive Victory[63]
- Track AIPAC[64]
- Political parties
- Newspapers
Mallory McMorrow
- U.S. senators
- Martin Heinrich, New Mexico (2013–present)[67]
- Chris Murphy, Connecticut (2013–present)[68]
- Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts (2013–present)[69]
- Peter Welch, Vermont (2023–present)[70]
- Statewide officials
- John Cherry, former lieutenant governor of Michigan (2003–2011)[71]
- State legislators
- Winnie Brinks, Senate majority leader (2023–present) from SD-29 (2019–present)[72]
- 10 other state senators[c]
- 7 state representatives[d]
- Local officials
- Karen Weaver, former mayor of Flint (2015–2019)[77]
- Labor unions
- SMART transportation division[78]
- United Association Locals 357 and 370[79][80]
- Utility Workers Union of America[81]
- Organizations
- J Street PAC[82]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America (co-endorsement with Stevens)[83]
- The NewDEAL[84]
- Patriotic Millionaires (co-endorsement with El-Sayed)[61]
- Vote Mama[85]
Haley Stevens
- Executive branch officials
- Jennifer Granholm, former secretary of energy (2021–2025) and former governor of Michigan (2003–2011)[86]
- U.S. senators
- Chris Coons, Delaware (2010–present)[87]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada (2017–present)[80]
- Ruben Gallego, Arizona (2025–present)[88]
- Debbie Stabenow, former Michigan (2001–2025)[89]
- U.S. representatives
- Nancy Pelosi, former speaker of the House (2007–2011, 2019–2023) from CA-11 (1987–present)[90]
- 19 other U.S. representatives[e]
- Statewide officials
- James Blanchard, former governor of Michigan (1983–1991)[94]
- Ellen Lipton, member of the Michigan State Board of Education (2021–present)[95]
- Martin O'Malley, former governor of Maryland (2007–2015)[96]
- State legislators
- Joe Tate, former speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives (2023–2025) from HD-09 (2019–present)[23]
- 5 other state representatives[f]
- Local officials
- Dave Bing, former mayor of Detroit (2009–2014)[49]
- David LaGrand, mayor of Grand Rapids (2025–present) and former state representative from the 75th district (2016–2023)[90]
- Colleen Ochoa, member of the Oakland University Board of Trustees (2022–present) and wife of Gary Peters[98]
- Andy Schor, mayor of Lansing (2018–present) and former state representative from the 68th district (2013–2018)[99]
- Party officials
- Lavora Barnes, former chair of the Michigan Democratic Party (2019–2025)[71]
- Keith Williams, chair of the Michigan Democratic Party Black Caucus (2018–present) and former Wayne County commissioner from the 6th district (2003–2010)[97]
- Labor unions
- Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers Local 2[100]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers Local 169[46]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades[51]
- Iron Workers Local 25[75]
- Michigan Machinists Council[101]
- Sheet Metal Workers' Local 80[102]
- SMART Local 292[46]
- Teamsters Local 243[103]
- UNITE HERE Local 24[104]
- United Association Locals 98 and 636[103][105]
- Organizations
- Democratic Majority for Israel[106]
- Elect Democratic Women[107]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America (co-endorsement with McMorrow)[83]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[108]
- Michigan Democratic Party Black Caucus[79]
Declined to endorse
- U.S. senators
- Gary Peters, Michigan (2015–present)[109]
- Elissa Slotkin, Michigan (2025–present)[110]
- Statewide officials
- Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan (2019–present)[111]
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| El-Sayed | McMorrow | Stevens | |||||
| 1[112] | February 11, 2026 | United Auto Workers | Mark DePaoli Brandon Mancilla LaShawn English |
YouTube | P | P | P |
| 2[113] | April 24, 2026 | Council of Baptist Pastors of Detroit and Vicinity | Jackie Nelson James Williams |
YouTube | P | P | P |
| 3[114] | May 28, 2026 | Mackinac Policy Conference | Nolan Finley Stephen Henderson |
YouTube | P | P | P |
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Abdul El-Sayed (D) | $7,646,727 | $5,117,400 | $2,529,327 |
| Rachel Howard (D) | $10,937[g] | $6,171 | $4,766 |
| Mallory McMorrow (D) | $8,624,066 | $4,931,519 | $3,692,546 |
| Haley Stevens (D) | $8,870,471[h] | $5,481,553 | $3,388,917 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[115] | |||
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Abdul El-Sayed |
Mallory McMorrow |
Haley Stevens |
Undecided[i] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[116] | May 1–23, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 29.5% | 15.0% | 26.5% | 29.0% | El-Sayed +3.0% |
| Race to the WH[117] | through May 28, 2026 | June 3, 2026 | 29.7% | 17.1% | 28.3% | 25.9% | El-Sayed +1.4% |
| RealClearPolitics[118] | April 11 – May 23, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 26.5% | 17.5% | 22.8% | 33.2% | El-Sayed +3.7% |
| Average | 28.6% | 16.4% | 25.9% | 29.9% | El-Sayed +4.0% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Abdul El-Sayed |
Mallory McMorrow |
Haley Stevens |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D)[119][A] | May 26–28, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 19% | 31% | – | 15% |
| Tulchin Research (D)[120][121][B] | May 19–25, 2026 | 500 (LV) | – | 41% | 18% | 23% | – | 18% |
| TIPP Insights (R)[122][C] | May 20–23, 2026 | 619 (LV) | – | 31% | 13% | 35% | 1%[k] | 19% |
| Mitchell Research[123] | May 1–7, 2026 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 17% | 18% | – | 38% |
| Glengariff Group[124][D] | April 17–19, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 23% | 16% | 25% | 0% | 36% |
| 23%[l] | 18% | 25% | – | 34% | ||||
| Emerson College[125] | April 11–13, 2026 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 24% | 24% | 13% | 3%[m] | 36% |
| Data for Progress (D)[126][E] | April 2–8, 2026 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 22% | 22% | 23% | – | 33% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[127][F] | March 19−22, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 25% | 30% | 23% | – | 21% |
| Upswing Research (D)[128][G] | February 26 – March 2, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 23% | 25% | 27% | – | 25% |
| Impact Research (D)[129][H] | February 10–16, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 26% | 25% | 28% | – | 21% |
| Emerson College[130] | January 24–25, 2026 | 491 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 7%[n] | 38% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications[131] | November 18–21, 2025 | 261 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 16% | 24% | 27% | – | 33% |
| Rosetta Stone Communications (R)[132] | October 23–25, 2025 | 287 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 20% | 25% | 26% | – | 29% |
| NRSC (R)[133] | July 4–7, 2025 | 582 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 11% | 24% | 1%[o] | 42% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[134][F] | May 28 − June 2, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 15% | 20% | 24% | 4%[p] | 37% |
| Glengariff Group[135][D] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 22% | 14% | 34% | – | 30% |
| 24%[l] | 12% | 34% | – | 30% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Presumptive nominee
- Mike Rogers, former U.S. representative from Michigan's 8th congressional district (2001–2015) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024[138]
Disqualified
- Bernadette Smith, former co-chair of the Michigan Republican Party (2025)[139][140]
Not on ballot
Withdrawn
Declined
- Mike Cox, former Michigan attorney general (2003–2011) (running for governor)[144]
- Tudor Dixon, conservative media personality and nominee for governor in 2022[145]
- Tony Dungy, former head coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Indianapolis Colts[146]
- Bill Huizenga, U.S. representative from Michigan's 4th congressional district (2011–present) (running for re-election)[147]
- Perry Johnson, businessman, disqualified candidate for governor in 2022, and candidate for president in 2024 (running for governor)[25]
- Lisa McClain, U.S. representative from Michigan's 9th congressional district (2021–present) (running for re-election)[148]
- Kevin Rinke, former car dealer and candidate for governor in 2022[149]
Endorsements
Mike Rogers
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[150]
- U.S. senators
- John Barrasso, Senate majority whip (2025–present) from Wyoming (2007–present)[151]
- Tim Scott, South Carolina (2013–present)[152]
- John Thune, Senate majority leader (2025–present) from South Dakota (2005–present)[152]
- U.S. representatives
- Jack Bergman, MI-01 (2017–present)[153]
- Newt Gingrich, former speaker of the House (1995–1999) from GA-06 (1979–1999)[146]
- Tim Walberg, MI-05 (2011–present)[153]
- State legislators
- Greg Alexander, HD-98 (2023–present)[38]
- Joseph Aragona, HD-60 (2023–present)[38]
- Joe Bellino, SD-16 (2023–present)[154]
- William Bruck, HD-30 (2023–present)[38]
- Jaime Greene, HD-65 (2023–present)[38]
- Thomas Kuhn, HD-57 (2023–present)[154]
- Matt Maddock, HD-51 (2019–present)[154]
- David Martin, HD-68 (2021–present)[154]
- Alicia St. Germaine, HD-62 (2023–present)[38]
- Jamie Thompson, HD-28 (2023–present)[154]
- Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity[155]
- Associated Builders and Contractors[r][75]
- Log Cabin Republicans[156]
- Southeast Michigan Chamber of Commerce[55]
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn or disqualified candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Fred Heurtebise (R) | $10,059 | $10,059 | $0.00 |
| Mike Rogers (R) | $7,623,339 | $3,670,043 | $4,208,027 |
| Genevieve Scott (R) | $76,083[s] | $69,528 | $6,555 |
| Bernadette Smith (R) | $53,804 | $52,499 | $1,304 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[115] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Mike Rogers |
Bernadette Smith |
Other | Undecided | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Board of Elections announces Smith did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | ||||||||||||||||
| Emerson College[125] | April 11–13, 2026 | 452 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 1% | 6%[t] | 38% | |||||||||
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Tudor Dixon |
Bill Huizenga |
Mike Rogers |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[157][158][J] | June 17–19, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 20% | 48% | – | 32% |
| Glengariff Group[135][D] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 17% | 61% | – | 22% |
| Mitchell Research[136][I] | March 13, 2025 | 281 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 28% | 9% | 25% | 14%[u] | 24% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[159] | February 17–19, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | – | 36% | – | 24% |
Results
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections[160] | Tossup | April 23, 2026 |
| Race To The WH[161] | Tilt D | May 22, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[162] | Tossup | May 19, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[163] | Tossup | March 4, 2026 |
| The Cook Political Report[164] | Tossup | April 13, 2026 |
| The Economist[165][v] | Lean D | May 22, 2026 |
Polling
Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Abdul El-Sayed (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other/ Undecided[w] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[116] | May 12 – June 1, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 41.3% | 43.0% | 15.7% | Rogers +1.7% |
| Race to the WH[166] | through May 23, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 42.0% | 43.0% | 15.0% | Rogers +1.0% |
| RealClearPolitics[167] | April 28 – May 23, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 41.3% | 43.0% | 15.7% | Rogers +1.7% |
| Average | 41.5% | 43.0% | 15.5% | Rogers +1.5% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Abdul El-Sayed (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D)[168][B] | June 2–4, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 41% | – | 13% |
| TIPP Insights (R)[122][C] | May 20–23, 2026 | 1,456 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 40% | 40% | 7%[x] | 13% |
| 1,163 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 42% | 6%[y] | 9% | ||
| Mitchell Research[169][I] | May 1–7, 2026 | 607 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 17% |
| Glengariff Group[170][D] | April 28 – May 1, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | – | 15% |
| 42%[l] | 45% | – | 13% | ||||
| Emerson College[130] | January 24–25, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | – | 14% |
| Glengariff Group[171][K] | January 2–6, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47%[l] | 43% | – | 10% |
| 42% | 48% | – | 10% | ||||
| Mitchell Research & Communications[131] | November 18–21, 2025 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 41% | – | 22% |
| Rosetta Stone Communications (R)[132] | October 23–25, 2025 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 31% | 45% | – | 24% |
| Glengariff Group[135][D] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 47% | – | 12% |
| 45%[l] | 47% | – | 8% |
Mallory McMorrow vs. Mike Rogers
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Mallory McMorrow (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other/ Undecided[z] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[116] | May 12 – June 1, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 42.3% | 42.7% | 15.0% | Rogers +0.4% |
| Race to the WH[166] | through May 23, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 43.3% | 42.3% | 14.4% | McMorrow +1.0% |
| RealClearPolitics[172] | April 28 – May 23, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 42.3% | 42.7% | 15.0% | Rogers +0.4% |
| Average | 42.6% | 42.6% | 14.8% | Tied | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Mallory McMorrow (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIPP Insights (R)[122][C] | May 20–23, 2026 | 1,456 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 39% | 6%[y] | 13% |
| 1,163 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 42% | 5%[aa] | 8% | ||
| Mitchell Research[169][I] | May 1–7, 2026 | 607 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 43% | – | 16% |
| Glengariff Group[170][D] | April 28 – May 1, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 43% | – | 16% |
| 43%[l] | 43% | – | 14% | ||||
| Emerson College[130] | January 24–25, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| Glengariff Group[171][K] | January 2–6, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46%[l] | 43% | – | 11% |
| 42% | 46% | – | 12% | ||||
| Mitchell Research & Communications[131] | November 18–21, 2025 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 44% | – | 19% |
| EPIC-MRA[173] | November 6–11, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | – | 15% |
| Rosetta Stone Communications (R)[132] | October 23–25, 2025 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 39% | 46% | – | 15% |
| Normington Petts (D)[174][175][L] | June 12–16, 2025 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% |
| Glengariff Group[135][D] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | – | 12% |
| 46%[l] | 44% | – | 10% |
Haley Stevens vs. Mike Rogers
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Haley Stevens (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other/ Undecided[ab] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[116] | May 12 – June 1, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 43.0% | 42.3% | 14.7% | Stevens +0.7% |
| Race to the WH[176] | through May 23, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 45.1% | 42.0% | 12.9% | Stevens +3.1% |
| RealClearPolitics[177] | April 28 – May 23, 2026 | June 1, 2026 | 43.0% | 42.3% | 14.7% | Stevens +0.7% |
| Average | 43.7% | 42.2% | 14.1% | Stevens +1.5% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Haley Stevens (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIPP Insights (R)[122][C] | May 20–23, 2026 | 1,456 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 38% | 6%[y] | 11% |
| 1,163 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 5%[aa] | 6% | ||
| Mitchell Research[169][I] | May 1–7, 2026 | 607 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 39% | 42% | – | 19% |
| Glengariff Group[170][D] | April 28 – May 1, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 44% | – | 15% |
| 44%[l] | 44% | – | 11% | ||||
| Emerson College[130] | January 24–25, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
| Glengariff Group[171][K] | January 2–6, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47%[l] | 42% | – | 11% |
| 44% | 44% | – | 12% | ||||
| Mitchell Research & Communications[131] | November 18–21, 2025 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | – | 18% |
| EPIC-MRA[173] | November 6–11, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
| Rosetta Stone Communications (R)[132] | October 23–25, 2025 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | – | 13% |
| Normington Petts (D)[174][175][L] | June 12–16, 2025 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
| Glengariff Group[135][D] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | 11% |
| 49%[l] | 43% | – | 8% | ||||
| Target Insyght[178][I] | March 3–6, 2025 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | – | 24% |
Hypothetical polling
Haley Stevens vs. Bill Huizenga
Abdul El-Sayed vs. Bill Huizenga
Mallory McMorrow vs. Bill Huizenga
Dana Nessel vs. Mike Rogers
Dana Nessel vs. Tudor Dixon
Pete Buttigieg vs. Mike Rogers
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Brian Posthumus
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Mike Rogers
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Peter Meijer
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Tudor Dixon
Notes
- Bonior was the majority whip from 1991 to 1995 and minority whip from 1995 to 2002
- Emily Dievendorf, HD-77 (2023–present)[42]
- Alabas Farhat, HD-3 (2023–present)[43]
- Rachel Hood, former HD-81 (2019–2024)[44]
- Kara Hope, HD-74 (2019–present)[45]
- Donavan McKinney, HD-11 (2023–present)[46]
- Tonya Myers Phillips, HD-7 (2025–present)[45]
- Cynthia Neeley, HD-70 (2020–present)[45]
- Laurie Pohutsky, HD-17 (2019–present)[46]
- Yousef Rabhi, former HD-53 (2017–2023)[47]
- Carrie Rheingans, HD-47 (2023–present)[48]
- Ruwa Romman, Georgia's HD-97 (2023–present)[35]
- Dylan Wegela, HD-26 (2023–present)[43]
- Jimmie Wilson Jr., HD-32 (2023–present)[43]
- Mary Cavanagh, SD-06 (2023–present)[73]
- John Cherry III, SD-27 (2023–present)[73]
- Vin Gopal, New Jersey's LD-11 (2018–present)[74]
- Adam Hollier, former SD-02 (2018–2023)[75]
- Jeff Irwin, SD-15 (2019–present)[51]
- Veronica Klinefelt, SD-11 (2023–present)[73]
- Sue Shink, SD-14 (2023–present)[73]
- Sam Singh, SD-28 (2023–present)[73]
- Zach Wahls, Iowa's SD-43 (2019–present)[76]
- Paul Wojno, SD-10 (2019–present)[73]
- Joey Andrews, HD-38 (2023–present)[73]
- Jennifer Conlin, HD-48 (2023–present)[73]
- Margie Donlon, New Jersey's LD-11 (2024–present)[74]
- Carol Glanville, HD-84 (2023–present)[73]
- Sharon MacDonell, HD-56 (2023–present)[73]
- Mari Manoogian, former HD-40 (2019-2022)[52]
- Luanne Peterpaul, New Jersey's LD-11 (2024–present)[74]
- Gabe Amo, RI-01 (2023–present)[91]
- Shontel Brown, OH-11 (2021–present)[91]
- Janelle Bynum, OR-05 (2025–present)[91]
- Troy Carter, LA-02 (2021–present)[91]
- Don Davis, NC-01 (2023–present)[91]
- Lois Frankel, FL-22 (2013–present)[92]
- Steven Horsford, NV-04 (2013–2015, 2019–present)[91]
- Brenda Lawrence, former MI-14 (2015–2023)[91]
- Lucy McBath, GA-06 (2019–present)[91]
- Jennifer McClellan, VA-04 (2023–present)[91]
- Gregory Meeks, NY-05 (1998–present)[91]
- Mark Schauer, former MI-07 (2009–2011)[43]
- Hillary Scholten, MI-03 (2023–present)[93]
- Terri Sewell, AL-07 (2011–present)[91]
- Marilyn Strickland, WA-10 (2021–present)[91]
- Emilia Sykes, OH-13 (2023–present)[91]
- Shri Thanedar, MI-13 (2023–present)[39]
- Lauren Underwood, IL-14 (2019–present)[91]
- Marc Veasey, TX-33 (2013–present)[91]
- Brenda Carter, HD-53 (2019–present)[97]
- Tyrone Carter, HD-01 (2019–present)[97]
- Amos O'Neal, HD-94 (2021–present)[97]
- Helena Scott, HD-08 (2021–present)[97]
- Samantha Steckloff, HD-19 (2021–present)[95]
- $3,287 of this total has been self-funded by Howard
- $1.5 million of this total was transferred from Stevens' House campaign accounts
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Rachel Howard with 1%; Travis Zollner with 0%
- Among "definite voters"
- Travis Zollner with 3%; Rachel Howard with 0%
- "Someone else" with 5%; Rachel Howard with 2%; Travis Zollner with 0%
- Joe Tate with 1%
- Joe Tate with 4%
- Dana Nessel with 13%; Mallory McMorrow with 6%; Hillary Scholten with 3%
- Both the national and state chapters endorsed Rogers
- $48,669 of this total has been self-funded by Scott
- Kent Benham and Andrew Kamal with 2%; Frederick Heurtebise and Genevieve Peters Scott with 1%
- Peter Meijer with 8%; Kevin Rinke with 4%; Bryan Posthumus with 2%; Jonathon Lindsey with 0%
- The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- "Someone else" with 7%
- "Someone else" with 6%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- "Someone else" with 5%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by El-Sayed's campaign
- Poll commissioned by Fighting for Michigan, a pro-El-Sayed super PAC
- Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- Poll sponsored by The Detroit Regional Chamber
- Poll sponsored by Zeteo and Drop Site News
- Poll sponsored by McMorrow's campaign
- Poll commissioned by Public First Action
- Poll sponsored by Stevens's campaign
- Poll conducted for MIRS News
- Poll commissioned by First Principles Digital PAC, which supports Rogers
- Poll conducted for The Detroit News and WDIV-TV
- Poll sponsored by Yes Michigan Super PAC