2026 United States Senate election in Michigan
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. Primary elections will be held on August 4, 2026.[1] Democratic incumbent Gary Peters is not seeking a third term.[2] The presumptive Republican nominee is former congressman Mike Rogers.
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November 3, 2026
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This seat is one of only two Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state won by Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election. Republicans have not won a Senate election in Michigan since 1994.[3]
Background
Michigan is considered to be a swing state. Most recently in the 2020 and 2024 presidential elections, the state backed Joe Biden by 2.8% and Donald Trump by 1.4%, respectively.[4] Gary Peters was first elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2014 and re-elected with 49.9% in 2020.[5][6] He announced in January 2025 that he was not seeking reelection for a third term.[7]
Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years, although Democrats have had more success outside of presidential races. Democrats control both of Michigan's U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and the state senate. Republicans control the Michigan House of Representatives and hold a majority in Michigan's U.S. House delegation.[8] Republicans have not won a Michigan U.S. Senate race since 1994 and have not won this seat since 1972.[9] Additionally, Republicans have not won a non-presidential statewide race in Michigan since 2014.
As one of only two seats up held by a Democrat in a state that voted for Trump in 2024, Michigan is considered a key Senate battleground in 2026.[10][11]
Democratic primary
Campaign
Mallory McMorrow, who had been first elected to the Michigan Senate in 2018, announced her bid to succeed Gary Peters in the US Senate race on April 2, 2025, becoming the first high-profile Democrat to enter the race.[12] McMorrow's announcement was accompanied by a launch video that included footage from a 2022 speech responding to political attacks from her GOP colleagues over her support for transgender individuals.[13][14] Abdul El-Sayed, a former director of Wayne County's Department of Health, Human and Veteran Services, entered the race on April 19, 2025.[15] Three days later, Haley Stevens, who has represented Michigan's 11th congressional district since 2018, announced her candidacy for the seat.[16] By March 2026, McMorrow's campaign had reached 30,000 signatures, enough to qualify her for the ballot, having done so without the use of paid petition circulators, instead relying entirely on volunteers to reach this threshold.[17] In April 2026, the Stevens and El-Sayed campaign also collected a sufficient number of signatures to qualify for the ballot.[18][19] That same month, all three candidates gave speeches at the Democratic Party's Spring Endorsement Convention in Detroit.[20]
Stevens, McMorrow, and El-Sayed each represented different ideological wings and strategies within the party. Stevens, who has received private backing from Senate Democratic leadership, is considered to be more moderate, while El-Sayed is considered to be more progressive. During her time in the campaign, McMorrow emphasized her desire for new leadership within the Democratic Party.[21][22] Specifically, McMorrow had pledged not to support Chuck Schumer as party leader if elected to the US Senate,[23] a position criticized by El-Sayed, who believed that it was myopic to oppose Schumer without a clear replacement.[15] Stevens has also focused on issues related to the manufacturing industry in Michigan, particularly her work in bailing out the Big Three automobile manufactures during her time in the Obama administration, whereas McMorrow and El-Sayed have advocated for Michigan to shift towards other sectors by promoting apprenticeships in beekeeping, winemaking, and leather-making.[24] In July 2026, McMorrow dropped out of the race after having fallen in polling.[25][26] Independent polls since McMorrow's departure have shown Stevens and El-Sayed statistically tied.[26][27] Stevens has since earned the endorsement of Peters, as well as other Michigan elected officials.[28] The Stevens campaign has seen over $50 million in donations from outside groups compared to under $1 million for the El-Sayed campaign.[29]
Policy differences between the two candidates include immigration, foreign policy, and healthcare.[30] Israel has become a focal point for the race. El-Sayed, who is considered pro-Palestinian, has been the most critical of Israel of the candidates, expressing support for ending all unconditional military aid to the country. Stevens, meanwhile, has voted to supply Israel's military with additional weapons and has received considerable support and funding from the pro-Israel lobby group AIPAC. She publicly supports a two-state solution and advocates for both sides being able to peacefully coexist with each other,[31] and her relationship Benjamin Netanyahu is negative, accusing him of intentionally putting Jewish people in danger around the world.[32][30][33] On other policies, El-Sayed supports Medicare for All and the abolition of ICE, while Stevens has taken a more moderate version of each stance, instead called for expanding Medicare access and reforming ICE.[34] El-Sayed told Time that he is not a socialist and instead believes that capitalism is "a great way to allocate resources, as long as everybody has access to it."[35] El-Sayed has faced criticism for claiming that he never supported the Defund the Police movement, despite advocating for the position on Detroit Public Radio and on social media. He later denied that he ever supported the movement, after he deleted more than a dozen posts which had confirmed his support for it.[36][37]
The primary campaign has seen debate arise regarding the electability of either candidate. Supporters of El-Sayed argue that he is an outsider who will be an unapologetic progressive voice in the Senate.[38] Figures on the progressive left and the Democratic Socialist movement, like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders, who argue that El-Sayed's policy positions will energize voters in the primary and the general election.[39][40] His supporters have also drawn attention to an ad buy sponsored by AIPAC featuring former President Barack Obama praising Stevens, which they believe could mislead voters into thinking that Obama endorsed Stevens in this race.[29]
Meanwhile, Stevens' supporters argue that El-Sayed's appeal to the progressive base will not work to win the general election and will alienate voters in a state Trump won twice.[41] Stevens' supporters have drawn attention to El-Sayed's embrace of figures in the Democratic Socialist movement, like Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez, as a strategy that has not been tested which could jeopardize the Democratic Party's chances of holding onto the seat and winning a majority in the Senate.[42][38][43] El-Sayed's choice to campaign with Hasan Piker, a polarizing internet figure accused of antisemitism,[44] as well as racism and misogyny,[45] drew backlash from such as McMorrow, Stevens, and presumptive Republican nominee Mike Rogers.[46][47] Other Democrats and party leaders argue that El-Sayed's embrace of Piker on the campaign will inhibit his ability to win the general election.[48][49] Stevens had been successful in flipping a Republican-held seat in 2018 and held onto her seat during all subsequent election cycles, including in 2020 when Biden narrowly carried her district, which her supporters believe demonstrates her electability. They also argue that similarly moderate female candidates in Michigan, including Jennifer Granholm, Elissa Slotkin, and Gretchen Whitmer,[50][43] have previously run very competitive races, outperforming expectations, as evidence contributing to the case that a moderate woman like Stevens would be the more electable candidate.[43]
Candidates
Declared
- Abdul El-Sayed, former Wayne County health director (2023–2025) and candidate for governor in 2018[51]
- Haley Stevens, U.S. representative from Michigan's 11th congressional district (2019–present)[52]
Not on ballot
Withdrawn
- Mallory McMorrow, state senator from the 8th district (2019–present) (remained on ballot)[55]
- Joe Tate, former speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives (2023–2025) from the 9th district (2019–present)[56] (endorsed Stevens)[57]
Declined
- Pete Buttigieg, former U.S. secretary of transportation (2021–2025), former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020), and candidate for president in 2020[58]
- Debbie Dingell, U.S. representative from Michigan's 6th congressional district (2015–present) (running for re-election)[59][60]
- Garlin Gilchrist, lieutenant governor of Michigan (2019–present) (running for secretary of state)[61]
- Gary Peters, incumbent U.S. senator (2015–present)[2]
- Kristen McDonald Rivet, U.S. representative from Michigan's 8th congressional district (2025–present) (running for re-election)[62]
- Hillary Scholten, U.S. representative from Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2023–present) (running for re-election)[63]
- Shri Thanedar, U.S. representative from Michigan's 13th congressional district (2023–present) (running for re-election)[64]
- Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan (2019–present)[64]
Endorsements
- Executive branch officials
- Jon Favreau, former White House director of speechwriting (2009–2013) and co-founder of Crooked Media[65]
- Ben Rhodes, former deputy national security advisor for strategic communications (2009–2017)[65]
- U.S. senators
- Bernie Sanders, Vermont (2007–present) (Independent)[66]
- Chris Van Hollen, Maryland (2017–present)[67]
- Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts (2013–present) (previously endorsed McMorrow)[68]
- U.S. representatives
- David Bonior, former House whip[a] (1991–2002) from MI-10 (1977–2003)[69]
- Jamaal Bowman, former NY-16 (2021–2025)[70]
- Maxwell Frost, FL-10 (2023–present)[71]
- Pramila Jayapal, WA-7 (2017–present)[72]
- Ro Khanna, CA-17 (2017–present)[73]
- Summer Lee, PA-12 (2023–present)[74]
- Andy Levin, former MI-09 (2019–2023) and nephew of former U.S Senator Carl Levin[75]
- Analilia Mejia, NJ-11 (2026–present)[76]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, NY-14 (2019–present)[77]
- Ilhan Omar, MN-05 (2019–present)[78]
- Delia Ramirez, IL-3 (2023–present)[79]
- Lateefah Simon, CA-12[78]
- Rashida Tlaib, MI-12 (2019–present)[80]
- Statewide officials
- Keith Ellison, attorney general of Minnesota (2019–present)[81]
- Fadwa Hammoud, former solicitor general of Michigan (2019–2023)[82]
- State legislators
- Darrin Camilleri, SD-4 (2019–present)[71]
- Mary Cavanagh, SD-6 (2023–present) (previously endorsed McMorrow)[71]
- Stephanie Chang, SD-3 (2019–present)[71]
- Jeff Irwin, SD-15 (2019–present) (previously endorsed McMorrow)[71]
- 15 state representatives[b]
- Local officials
- Warren Evans, Wayne County executive (2015–present)[82]
- Alex Garza, Wayne County commissioner from the 14th district (2024–present)[91]
- Abdullah Hammoud, mayor of Dearborn (2022–present)[82]
- George Heartwell, former mayor of Grand Rapids (2004–2016)[85]
- Brad Lander, former New York City Comptroller (2022–2025)[92]
- Sheldon Neeley, mayor of Flint (2019–present)[93]
- Martha Scott, Wayne County commissioner from the 3rd district (2011–present)[94]
- Individuals
- Basim Elkarra, executive director of the Council on American-Islamic Relations[95]
- Hill Harper, actor[71]
- Adam Hamawy, surgeon[96]
- William Lawrence, co-founder of Sunrise Movement[97]
- Jon Lovett, co-founder of Crooked Media[65]
- Hasan Piker, political commentator[98]
- Horace Sheffield III, pastor and talk show host[99]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees Local 2092[71]
- American Federation of Teachers Michigan[100]
- Association of Flight Attendants[101]
- International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees Local 26[102]
- National Nurses United[103]
- United Auto Workers[104]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 951[88]
- Organizations
- 314 Action[105]
- A New Policy PAC[106]
- CAIR Action[107]
- End Citizens United[108]
- Hindus for Human Rights[109]
- Indivisible[110]
- Jewish Voice for Peace Action[111]
- Michigan Democratic Party Grassroots Caucus[91]
- Michigan Democratic Party LGBT&A Caucus[91]
- Michigan Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[91]
- Michigan Democratic Party Veterans Caucus[71]
- MoveOn[112]
- New American Leaders Action Fund[113]
- Our Revolution[114]
- PAL PAC[115]
- Patriotic Millionaires (co-endorsement with McMorrow)[116]
- Peace Action[117]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[91]
- Progressive Victory[118]
- Track AIPAC[119]
- Track Oil PACs[120]
- US Campaign for Palestinian Rights Action[71]
- Political parties
- Newspapers
- Executive branch officials
- Jennifer Granholm, former secretary of energy (2021–2025) and former governor of Michigan (2003–2011)[124]
- U.S. senators
- Chris Coons, Delaware (2010–present)[125]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada (2017–present)[126]
- Ruben Gallego, Arizona (2025–present)[127]
- Gary Peters, Michigan (2015–present) (previously declined to endorse)[128]
- Chuck Schumer, New York (1999-present)[129]
- Debbie Stabenow, former Michigan (2001–2025) (previously declined to endorse)[130]
- U.S. representatives
- Jim Clyburn, SC-6 (1993–present)[131]
- Nancy Pelosi, former speaker of the House (2007–2011, 2019–2023) from CA-11 (1987–present)[132]
- 19 other U.S. representatives[c]
- Statewide officials
- James Blanchard, former governor of Michigan (1983–1991)[136]
- Ellen Lipton, member of the Michigan State Board of Education (2021–present)[137]
- Martin O'Malley, former governor of Maryland (2007–2015)[138]
- Dana Nessel, attorney general of Michigan (2019–present)[139]
- State legislators
- Dayna Polehanki, SD-5 (2019–present)[71]
- Joe Tate, former speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives (2023–2025) from HD-09 (2019–present)[57]
- Paul Wojno, SD-10 (2019–present) (previously endorsed McMorrow)[71]
- 6 other state representatives[d]
- Local officials
- Dave Bing, former mayor of Detroit (2009–2014)[91]
- David LaGrand, mayor of Grand Rapids (2025–present) and former state representative from the 75th district (2016–2023)[132]
- Colleen Ochoa, member of the Oakland University Board of Trustees (2022–present) and wife of Gary Peters[141]
- Andy Schor, mayor of Lansing (2018–present) and former state representative from the 68th district (2013–2018)[142]
- Individuals
- Shannon Watts, founder of Moms Demand Action[71]
- Party officials
- Lavora Barnes, former chair of the Michigan Democratic Party (2019–2025)[143]
- Lon Johnson, former chair of the Michigan Democratic Party (2013–2015)[144]
- Keith Williams, chair of the Michigan Democratic Party Black Caucus (2018–present) and former Wayne County commissioner from the 6th district (2003–2010)[140]
- Party chapters
- 13th Congressional District Democratic Party[113]
- Labor unions
- Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers Local 2[145]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers Local 169[87]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades[94]
- Iron Workers Local 25[146]
- LiUNA Michigan[101]
- Michigan Machinists Council[147]
- Michigan Professional Fire Fighters Union[71]
- Northern Midwest Regional Council of Carpenters[71]
- Sheet Metal Workers' Local 80[148]
- SMART Local 292[87]
- Teamsters Locals 243, 299, and Joint Council 43[149][101]
- UNITE HERE Local 24[150]
- United Association Locals 98, 333, and 636[149][70][151]
- United Steelworkers[70]
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[152] (AIPAC)
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[70]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[153]
- Elect Democratic Women[154]
- EMILYs List[155]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America (co-endorsement with McMorrow)[156]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[157]
- Michigan Democratic Party Black Caucus[158]
- Newspapers
- U.S. senators
- Martin Heinrich, New Mexico (2013–present)[159]
- Chris Murphy, Connecticut (2013–present)[160]
Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts (2013–present)[161] (endorsed El-Sayed after withdrawal)- Peter Welch, Vermont (2023–present)[162]
- Statewide officials
- John D. Cherry Jr., former lieutenant governor of Michigan (2003–2011)[143]
- State legislators
- Winnie Brinks, Senate majority leader (2023–present) from SD-29 (2019–present)[163]
- 10 other state senators[e]
- 8 state representatives[f]
- Local officials
- Karen Weaver, former mayor of Flint (2015–2019)[167]
- Party chapters
- 12th Congressional District Democratic Party[113]
- Labor unions
- Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen Michigan State Legislative Board[101]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 17[88]
- SMART transportation division[168]
- United Association Locals 357 and 370[158][126]
- Utility Workers Union of America[169]
- Organizations
- J Street PAC[170]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America (co-endorsement with Stevens)[156]
- Majority Democrats[171]
- The NewDEAL[172]
- Patriotic Millionaires (co-endorsement with El-Sayed)[116]
- Vote Mama[173]
- Newspapers
- Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[175]
- U.S. senators
Gary Peters, Michigan (2015–present)(endorsed Stevens)[128]- Elissa Slotkin, Michigan (2025–present)[176]
Debbie Stabenow, former Michigan (2001–2025)(endorsed Stevens)[130]
- Statewide officials
- Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan (2019–present)[177]
- State legislators
- Mallory McMorrow, state senator from the 8th district (2019–present) and former candidate for this election[178]
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| El-Sayed | McMorrow | Stevens | |||||
| 1[179] | February 11, 2026 | United Auto Workers | Mark DePaoli Brandon Mancilla LaShawn English |
YouTube | P | P | P |
| 2[180] | April 24, 2026 | Council of Baptist Pastors of Detroit and Vicinity | Jackie Nelson James Williams |
YouTube | P | P | P |
| 3[181] | May 28, 2026 | Mackinac Policy Conference | Nolan Finley Stephen Henderson |
YouTube | P | P | P |
| 4[182] | July 7, 2026 | WOOD-TV | Rick Albin | YouTube | P | W | P |
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Abdul El-Sayed (D) | $12,222,406 | $9,492,277 | $2,730,129 |
| Rachel Howard (D) | $10,937[g] | $6,171 | $4,766 |
| Mallory McMorrow (D) | $11,313,789 | $9,151,203 | $2,162,586 |
| Haley Stevens (D) | $10,963,774[h] | $7,544,971 | $3,418,801 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[183] | |||
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Abdul El-Sayed |
Mallory McMorrow |
Haley Stevens |
Undecided[i] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[184] | June 9 – July 11, 2026 | July 20, 2026 | 37.4% | 7.7% | 35.8% | 19.1% | El-Sayed +1.6% |
| Decision Desk HQ[185] | through July 15, 2026 | July 20, 2026 | 47.1% | — | 40.5% | 12.4% | El-Sayed +6.6% |
| Race to the WH[186] | through July 15, 2026 | July 20, 2026 | 43.4% | 8.5% | 40.6% | 7.5% | El-Sayed +2.8% |
| RealClearPolitics[187] | July 6–11, 2026 | July 15, 2026 | 41.0% | — | 45.0% | 14.0% | Stevens +4.0% |
| FiftyPlusOne[188] | through July 15, 2026 | July 21, 2026 | 48.3% | 6.7% | 41.4% | 3.6% | El-Sayed +6.9% |
| Average | 43.4% | 7.6% | 40.7% | 8.3% | El-Sayed +2.7% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Abdul El-Sayed |
Mallory McMorrow |
Haley Stevens |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D)[189][A] | July 13–15, 2026 | 500 (LV) | — | 56% | — | 40% | — | 4% |
| Data for Progress (D)[190][B] | July 10–14, 2026 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | — | 41% | — | 5% |
| Glengariff Group[191][C] | July 8–11, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | — | 48% | — | 11% |
| Tavern Research (D)[192] | July 6–8, 2026 | 2,211 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 5% | 38% | — | 16% |
| 41% | — | 42% | — | 18% | ||||
| McMorrow suspends her campaign | ||||||||
| Quantus Insights (R)[193] | June 29–30, 2026 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 8% | 36% | — | 16% |
| Wedgewood Polls[194] | June 25–28, 2026 | 353 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46% | 9% | 39% | — | 6% |
| Tulchin Research (D)[195][A] | June 24–28, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 17% | 27% | — | 9% |
| Peak Insights (R)[196] | June 20–24, 2026 | 400 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 39% | 18% | 28% | — | 15% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[197] | June 9–14, 2026 | 205 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 22% | 9% | 20% | — | 49% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications[198][D] | June 11–13, 2026 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 6% | 33% | — | 19% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[199][E] | May 26–28, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 19% | 31% | — | 15% |
| Tulchin Research (D)[200][201][A] | May 19–25, 2026 | 500 (LV) | — | 41% | 18% | 23% | — | 18% |
| TIPP Insights (R)[202][F] | May 20–23, 2026 | 619 (LV) | — | 31% | 13% | 35% | 1%[k] | 19% |
| Mitchell Research[203] | May 1–7, 2026 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 27% | 17% | 18% | — | 38% |
| Glengariff Group[204][G] | April 17–19, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 23% | 16% | 25% | 0% | 36% |
| 23%[l] | 18% | 25% | — | 34% | ||||
| Emerson College[205] | April 11–13, 2026 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 24% | 24% | 13% | 3%[m] | 36% |
| Data for Progress (D)[206][H] | April 2–8, 2026 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 22% | 22% | 23% | — | 33% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[207][I] | March 19−22, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 25% | 30% | 23% | — | 21% |
| Upswing Research (D)[208][J] | February 26 – March 2, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 23% | 25% | 27% | — | 25% |
| Impact Research (D)[209][K] | February 10–16, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 26% | 25% | 28% | — | 21% |
| Emerson College[210] | January 24–25, 2026 | 491 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 7%[n] | 38% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications[211] | November 18–21, 2025 | 261 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 16% | 24% | 27% | — | 33% |
| Rosetta Stone Communications (R)[212] | October 23–25, 2025 | 287 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 20% | 25% | 26% | — | 29% |
| NRSC (R)[213] | July 4–7, 2025 | 582 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 11% | 24% | 1%[o] | 42% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[214][I] | May 28 − June 2, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 15% | 20% | 24% | 4%[p] | 37% |
| Glengariff Group[215][G] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 22% | 14% | 34% | — | 30% |
| 24%[l] | 12% | 34% | — | 30% | ||||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Abdul El-Sayed | |||
| Democratic | Mallory McMorrow (withdrawn) | |||
| Democratic | Haley Stevens | |||
| Total votes | 100.00 | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Presumptive nominee
- Mike Rogers, former U.S. representative from Michigan's 8th congressional district (2001–2015) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024[218]
Disqualified
- Bernadette Smith, former co-chair of the Michigan Republican Party (2025)[219][220]
Not on ballot
Withdrawn
Declined
- Mike Cox, former Michigan attorney general (2003–2011) (ran for governor)[224]
- Tudor Dixon, conservative media personality and nominee for governor in 2022[225]
- Tony Dungy, former head coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Indianapolis Colts[226]
- Bill Huizenga, U.S. representative from Michigan's 4th congressional district (2011–present) (running for re-election)[227]
- Perry Johnson, businessman, disqualified candidate for governor in 2022, and candidate for president in 2024 (running for governor)[59]
- Lisa McClain, U.S. representative from Michigan's 9th congressional district (2021–present) (running for re-election)[228]
- Kevin Rinke, former car dealer and candidate for governor in 2022[229]
Endorsements
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[230]
- U.S. senators
- John Barrasso, Senate majority whip (2025–present) from Wyoming (2007–present)[231]
- Tim Scott, South Carolina (2013–present)[232]
- John Thune, Senate majority leader (2025–present) from South Dakota (2005–present)[232]
- U.S. representatives
- Jack Bergman, MI-01 (2017–present)[233]
- Newt Gingrich, former speaker of the House (1995–1999) from GA-06 (1979–1999)[226]
- Tim Walberg, MI-05 (2011–present)[233]
- State legislators
- Greg Alexander, HD-98 (2023–present)[79]
- Joseph Aragona, HD-60 (2023–present)[79]
- Joe Bellino, SD-16 (2023–present)[234]
- William Bruck, HD-30 (2023–present)[79]
- Jaime Greene, HD-65 (2023–present)[79]
- Thomas Kuhn, HD-57 (2023–present)[234]
- Matt Maddock, HD-51 (2019–present)[234]
- David Martin, HD-68 (2021–present)[234]
- Alicia St. Germaine, HD-62 (2023–present)[79]
- Jamie Thompson, HD-28 (2023–present)[234]
- Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity[235]
- Associated Builders and Contractors[r][146]
- Log Cabin Republicans[236]
- Michigan Farm Bureau[113]
- Southeast Michigan Chamber of Commerce[102]
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn or disqualified candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mike Rogers (R) | $10,582,463 | $5,114,340 | $5,723,827 |
| Genevieve Scott (R) | $83,079[s] | $80,540 | $2,538 |
| Bernadette Smith (R) | $77,239 | $73,172 | $4,067 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[183] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Mike Rogers |
Bernadette Smith |
Other | Undecided | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Board of Elections announces Smith did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot | ||||||||||||||||
| Emerson College[205] | April 11–13, 2026 | 452 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 1% | 6%[t] | 38% | |||||||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Tudor Dixon |
Bill Huizenga |
Mike Rogers |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[237][238][L] | June 17–19, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 20% | 48% | – | 32% |
| Glengariff Group[215][G] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 17% | 61% | – | 22% |
| Mitchell Research[216][D] | March 13, 2025 | 281 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 28% | 9% | 25% | 14%[u] | 24% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[239] | February 17–19, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | – | 36% | – | 24% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Rogers | |||
| Total votes | 100.00 | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections[240] | Tossup | April 23, 2026 |
| Race To The WH[241] | Tilt D | May 22, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[242] | Tossup | May 19, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[243] | Tossup | March 4, 2026 |
| The Cook Political Report[244] | Tossup | April 13, 2026 |
| The Economist[245][v] | Lean D | May 22, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ[246] | Lean D | July 14, 2026 |
Polling
Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Abdul El-Sayed (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other/ Undecided[w] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[184] | June 1 – July 1, 2026 | July 13, 2026 | 45.0% | 42.5% | 12.5% | El-Sayed +2.5% |
| Race to the WH[186] | through June 30, 2026 | July 13, 2026 | 45.4% | 43.3% | 11.3% | El-Sayed +2.1% |
| RealClearPolitics[187] | April 28 – June 30, 2026 | July 2, 2026 | 43.8% | 43.3% | 12.9% | El-Sayed +0.5% |
| Average | 44.7% | 43.0% | 12.2% | El-Sayed +1.7% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Abdul El-Sayed (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights (R)[193] | June 29–30, 2026 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 3% | 8% |
| Data for Progress (D)[247][M] | June 15–22, 2026 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | — | 7% |
| Zenith Research (D)[248][N] | June 11–14, 2026 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 42% | — | 13% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications[249][D] | June 11–13, 2026 | 827 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
| Tulchin Research (D)[250][A] | June 2–4, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 41% | — | 13% |
| TIPP Insights (R)[202][F] | May 20–23, 2026 | 1,456 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 40% | 40% | 7%[x] | 13% |
| 1,163 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 42% | 6%[y] | 9% | ||
| Mitchell Research[251][D] | May 1–7, 2026 | 607 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 42% | — | 17% |
| Glengariff Group[252][G] | April 28 – May 1, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | — | 15% |
| 42%[l] | 45% | — | 13% | ||||
| Emerson College[210] | January 24–25, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | — | 14% |
| Glengariff Group[253][C] | January 2–6, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47%[l] | 43% | — | 10% |
| 42% | 48% | — | 10% | ||||
| Mitchell Research & Communications[211] | November 18–21, 2025 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 41% | — | 22% |
| Rosetta Stone Communications (R)[212] | October 23–25, 2025 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 31% | 45% | — | 24% |
| Glengariff Group[215][G] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 47% | — | 12% |
| 45%[l] | 47% | — | 8% |
Haley Stevens vs. Mike Rogers
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Haley Stevens (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other/ Undecided[z] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[184] | July 1–1, 2026 | July 13, 2026 | 44.3% | 43.0% | 12.7% | Stevens +1.3% |
| Race to the WH[186] | through June 30, 2026 | July 13, 2026 | 44.8% | 43.5% | 11.7% | Stevens +1.3% |
| RealClearPolitics[187] | April 28 – June 30, 2026 | July 13, 2026 | 44.0% | 43.5% | 12.5% | Stevens +0.5% |
| Average | 44.4% | 43.3% | 12.3% | Stevens +1.1% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Haley Stevens (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights (R)[193] | June 29–30, 2026 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 3% | 8% |
| Data for Progress (D)[247][M] | June 15–22, 2026 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | — | 9% |
| Zenith Research (D)[248][N] | June 11–14, 2026 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | — | 13% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications[249][D] | June 11–13, 2026 | 827 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 45% | — | 13% |
| TIPP Insights (R)[202][F] | May 20–23, 2026 | 1,456 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 38% | 6%[y] | 11% |
| 1,163 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 5%[aa] | 6% | ||
| Mitchell Research[251][D] | May 1–7, 2026 | 607 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 39% | 42% | — | 19% |
| Glengariff Group[252][G] | April 28 – May 1, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 44% | — | 15% |
| 44%[l] | 44% | — | 11% | ||||
| Emerson College[210] | January 24–25, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
| Glengariff Group[253][C] | January 2–6, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47%[l] | 42% | — | 11% |
| 44% | 44% | — | 12% | ||||
| Mitchell Research & Communications[211] | November 18–21, 2025 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | — | 18% |
| EPIC-MRA[254] | November 6–11, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | — | 14% |
| Rosetta Stone Communications (R)[212] | October 23–25, 2025 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | — | 13% |
| Normington Petts (D)[255][256][O] | June 12–16, 2025 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
| Glengariff Group[215][G] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | — | 11% |
| 49%[l] | 43% | — | 8% | ||||
| Target Insyght[257][D] | March 3–6, 2025 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | — | 24% |
Mallory McMorrow vs. Mike Rogers
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Mallory McMorrow (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other/ Undecided[ab] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[184] | May 20 – June 30, 2026 | July 1, 2026 | 43.5% | 44.0% | 12.5% | Rogers +0.5% |
| Race to the WH[186] | through June 30, 2026 | July 2, 2026 | 43.4% | 44.2% | 12.4% | Rogers +0.8% |
| RealClearPolitics[187] | April 28 – June 30, 2026 | July 2, 2026 | 42.8% | 43.3% | 13.9% | Rogers +0.5% |
| Average | 43.2% | 43.8% | 13.0% | Rogers +0.6% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[j] |
Margin of error |
Mallory McMorrow (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights (R)[193] | June 29–30, 2026 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | 3% | 8% |
| Zenith Research (D)[248][N] | June 11–14, 2026 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | — | 13% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications[249][D] | June 11–13, 2026 | 827 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 47% | — | 12% |
| TIPP Insights (R)[202][F] | May 20–23, 2026 | 1,456 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 39% | 6%[y] | 13% |
| 1,163 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 42% | 5%[aa] | 8% | ||
| Mitchell Research[251][D] | May 1–7, 2026 | 607 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 43% | — | 16% |
| Glengariff Group[252][G] | April 28 – May 1, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 43% | — | 16% |
| 43%[l] | 43% | — | 14% | ||||
| Emerson College[210] | January 24–25, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 43% | — | 11% |
| Glengariff Group[253][C] | January 2–6, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46%[l] | 43% | — | 11% |
| 42% | 46% | — | 12% | ||||
| Mitchell Research & Communications[211] | November 18–21, 2025 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 44% | — | 19% |
| EPIC-MRA[254] | November 6–11, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | — | 15% |
| Rosetta Stone Communications (R)[212] | October 23–25, 2025 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 39% | 46% | — | 15% |
| Normington Petts (D)[255][256][O] | June 12–16, 2025 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | — | 8% |
| Glengariff Group[215][G] | May 5–8, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | — | 12% |
| 46%[l] | 44% | — | 10% |
Haley Stevens vs. Bill Huizenga
Abdul El-Sayed vs. Bill Huizenga
Mallory McMorrow vs. Bill Huizenga
Dana Nessel vs. Mike Rogers
Dana Nessel vs. Tudor Dixon
Pete Buttigieg vs. Mike Rogers
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Brian Posthumus
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Mike Rogers
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Peter Meijer
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Tudor Dixon
Notes
- Bonior was the majority whip from 1991 to 1995 and minority whip from 1995 to 2002
- Emily Dievendorf, HD-77 (2023–present)[83]
- Jim Ellison, former HD-26 (2017–2022) (previously endorsed McMorrow)[71]
- Alabas Farhat, HD-3 (2023–present)[84]
- Rachel Hood, former HD-81 (2019–2024)[85]
- Kara Hope, HD-74 (2019–present)[86]
- Donavan McKinney, HD-11 (2023–present)[87]
- Tonya Myers Phillips, HD-7 (2025–present)[86]
- Cynthia Neeley, HD-70 (2020–present)[86]
- Laurie Pohutsky, HD-17 (2019–present)[87]
- Chris Rabb, Pennsylvania's HD-200 (2017–present)[88]
- Yousef Rabhi, former HD-53 (2017–2023)[89]
- Carrie Rheingans, HD-47 (2023–present)[90]
- Ruwa Romman, Georgia's HD-97 (2023–present)[73]
- Dylan Wegela, HD-26 (2023–present)[84]
- Jimmie Wilson Jr., HD-32 (2023–present)[84]
- Gabe Amo, RI-01 (2023–present)[133]
- Shontel Brown, OH-11 (2021–present)[133]
- Janelle Bynum, OR-05 (2025–present)[133]
- Troy Carter, LA-02 (2021–present)[133]
- Don Davis, NC-01 (2023–present)[133]
- Lois Frankel, FL-22 (2013–present)[134]
- Steven Horsford, NV-04 (2013–2015, 2019–present)[133]
- Brenda Lawrence, former MI-14 (2015–2023)[133]
- Lucy McBath, GA-06 (2019–present)[133]
- Jennifer McClellan, VA-04 (2023–present)[133]
- Gregory Meeks, NY-05 (1998–present)[133]
- Mark Schauer, former MI-07 (2009–2011)[84]
- Hillary Scholten, MI-03 (2023–present)[135]
- Terri Sewell, AL-07 (2011–present)[133]
- Marilyn Strickland, WA-10 (2021–present)[133]
- Emilia Sykes, OH-13 (2023–present)[133]
- Shri Thanedar, MI-13 (2023–present)[80]
- Lauren Underwood, IL-14 (2019–present)[133]
- Marc Veasey, TX-33 (2013–present)[133]
- Brenda Carter, HD-53 (2019–present)[140]
- Tyrone Carter, HD-01 (2019–present)[140]
- Jennifer Conlin, HD-48 (2023–present) (previously endorsed McMorrow)[71]
- Amos O'Neal, HD-94 (2021–present)[140]
- Helena Scott, HD-08 (2021–present)[140]
- Samantha Steckloff, HD-19 (2021–present)[137]
Mary Cavanagh, SD-6 (2023–present)[164] (endorsed El-Sayed after withdrawal)- John Daniel Cherry, SD-27 (2023–present)[164]
- Vin Gopal, New Jersey's LD-11 (2018–present)[165]
- Adam Hollier, former SD-2 (2018–2023)[146]
- Jeff Irwin, SD-15 (2019–present)[94]
- Veronica Klinefelt, SD-11 (2023–present)[164]
- Sue Shink, SD-14 (2023–present)[164]
- Sam Singh, SD-28 (2023–present)[164]
- Zach Wahls, Iowa's SD-43 (2019–present)[166]
Paul Wojno, SD-10 (2019–present)[164] (endorsed Stevens after withdrawal)
- Joey Andrews, HD-38 (2023–present)[164]
Jennifer Conlin, HD-48 (2023–present)[164] (endorsed Stevens after withdrawal)- Margie Donlon, New Jersey's LD-11 (2024–present)[165]
- Carol Glanville, HD-84 (2023–present)[164]
- Sharon MacDonell, HD-56 (2023–present)[164]
- Mari Manoogian, former HD-40 (2019-2022)[95]
- Luanne Peterpaul, New Jersey's LD-11 (2024–present)[165]
- Will Snyder, HD-87 (2023–present)[101]
- $3,287 of this total has been self-funded by Howard
- $1.5 million of this total was transferred from Stevens' House campaign accounts
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Rachel Howard with 1%; Travis Zollner with 0%
- Among "definite voters"
- Travis Zollner with 3%; Rachel Howard with 0%
- "Someone else" with 5%; Rachel Howard with 2%; Travis Zollner with 0%
- Joe Tate with 1%
- Joe Tate with 4%
- Dana Nessel with 13%; Mallory McMorrow with 6%; Hillary Scholten with 3%
- Both the national and state chapters endorsed Rogers
- $48,669 of this total has been self-funded by Scott
- Kent Benham and Andrew Kamal with 2%; Frederick Heurtebise and Genevieve Peters Scott with 1%
- Peter Meijer with 8%; Kevin Rinke with 4%; Bryan Posthumus with 2%; Jonathon Lindsey with 0%
- The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- "Someone else" with 7%
- "Someone else" with 6%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- "Someone else" with 5%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
- Poll commissioned by Fighting for Michigan, a pro-El-Sayed super PAC
- Poll sponsored by American Priorities, which supports El-Sayed
- Poll conducted for The Detroit News, which supports Stevens, and WDIV-TV
- Poll conducted for MIRS News
- Poll sponsored by El-Sayed's campaign
- Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- Poll sponsored by The Detroit Regional Chamber
- Poll sponsored by Zeteo and Drop Site News
- Poll sponsored by McMorrow's campaign
- Poll commissioned by Public First Action
- Poll sponsored by Stevens's campaign
- Poll commissioned by First Principles Digital PAC, which supports Rogers
- Poll sponsored by the Working Families Party, which supports El-Sayed
- Poll commissioned by Common Defense, which supports El-Sayed
- Poll sponsored by Yes Michigan Super PAC