2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census). The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19.[1] The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008.[a] This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents – Bill Huizenga and Fred Upton – in the new 4th district.[2] Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the 3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points.[3] That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a 2018 ballot proposal was approved.[4]
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November 8, 2022
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All 13 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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  Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold Republican gain
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District 1
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 County results Bergman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lorinser: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district covers the Upper Peninsula and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula, including Traverse City. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Jack Bergman.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jack Bergman, incumbent U.S. representative[6]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 111,911 | 100.0 | |
| Write-in | 6 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 111,917 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Lorinser, physician[8]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Lorinser | 67,251 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 67,251 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
Bob Lorinser (D)
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 233,094 | 60.0 | |
| Democratic | Bob Lorinser | 145,403 | 37.4 | |
| Working Class | Liz Hakola | 5,510 | 1.4 | |
| Libertarian | Andrew Gale | 4,592 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 388,599 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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 County results Moolenaar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline of Lake Michigan from Manistee to northern Muskegon County, includes parts of the Grand Rapids suburbs in Kent county, and parts of Central Michigan, including Mount Pleasant and western Midland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar of the 4th congressional district, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was John Moolenaar.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. representative[20]
Eliminated in primary
- Tom Norton, veteran[21]
Endorsements
John Moolenaar
Newspapers
- Detroit News (primary only)[22]
Results
Moolenaar
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 77,394 | 65.2 | |
| Republican | Tom Norton | 41,273 | 34.8 | |
| Write-in | 37 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 118,704 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jerry Hilliard, nominee for Michigan's 4th congressional district in 2020[23]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 40,952 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 40,952 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 216,222 | 63.7 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 116,452 | 34.3 | |
| Libertarian | Nathan Hewer | 6,847 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 339,521 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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  Scholten: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gibbs: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is based in western Michigan, and includes Grand Rapids, Muskegon, and parts of Ottawa County. The incumbent was Republican Peter Meijer, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020, but lost in the primary to pro-Trump candidate John Gibbs on August 2, 2022; as he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.[5]
In the final days of the primary, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $425,000 in TV ads that ostensibly attacked Gibbs (identifying him as "too conservative for West Michigan" and linking him to Trump) but were in fact designed to boost Gibbs' standing among pro-Trump Republican primary voters. The strategy—controversial within the Democratic Party—was based on the idea that Gibbs would be the weaker opponent in the general election, giving the Democrats an opportunity to win the 3rd district seat,[24][25][26] which following the 2020 redistricting cycle had shifted from a Republican-leaning district to a swing district.[26] Democrat Hillary Scholten flipped the district, winning by 12.93%. In flipping the district to the Democratic side, Scholten became the first Democratic member of Congress from the area since 1977.[27]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Gibbs, former Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development for Community Planning and Development and software engineer[28]
Eliminated in primary
- Peter Meijer, incumbent U.S. representative[29]
Endorsements
Peter Meijer
U.S. representatives
- Dan Crenshaw, U.S. representative from Texas's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)[30]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative from California's 23rd congressional district (2005–2023)[30]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative from Louisiana's 1st congressional district (2008–present)[30]
Newspapers
- Detroit News (primary only)[31]
Organizations
Polling
Results
Gibbs 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Gibbs | 54,136 | 51.8 | |
| Republican | Peter Meijer (incumbent) | 50,440 | 48.2 | |
| Total votes | 104,576 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Hillary Scholten, attorney and nominee for Michigan's 3rd congressional district in 2020[38]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 59,661 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 59,661 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Lean D (flip) | August 5, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Lean D (flip) | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean D (flip) | September 7, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Lean D (flip) | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Tossup | August 3, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Lean D (flip) | October 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Tossup | October 20, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean D (flip) | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
John Gibbs (R)
Executive branch officials
- Ben Carson, former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2017–2021)[28]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[40]
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
- Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021)[42] (Independent)
Organizations
- Family Research Council Action PAC[43]
Individuals
- Peter Thiel, entrepreneur and venture capitalist[44]
Hillary Scholten (D)
State leadership
- Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan[45]
State legislators
- Winnie Brinks, state senator[46]
Local officials
- George Heartwell, former mayor of Grand Rapids[47]
Newspapers
Organizations
- EMILY's List[49]
- End Citizens United (post primary)[50]
- Giffords[51]
- J Street[52]
- League of Conservation Voters[53]
- Let America Vote (post primary)[50]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[54]
- New Democrat Coalition Action Fund[55]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[56]
- Sierra Club[18]
Labor unions
Declined to endorse
- Peter Meijer, U.S. representative from Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2021–2023) (Republican)[60]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
John Gibbs (R) |
Hillary Scholten (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[61][B] | May 25–26, 2022 | 676 (V) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 44% | 21% |
Hypothetical polling
Peter Meijer vs. Hillary Scholten
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Peter Meijer (R) |
Hillary Scholten (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[61][B] | May 25–26, 2022 | 676 (V) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 39% | 24% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 185,989 | 54.9 | |
| Republican | John Gibbs | 142,229 | 42.0 | |
| Libertarian | Jamie Lewis | 6,634 | 2.0 | |
| Working Class | Louis Palus | 4,136 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 338,988 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 4
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 County results Huizenga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Alfonso: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in southwestern Michigan, and includes the cities of Kalamazoo and Holland. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Republican Bill Huizenga of the 2nd congressional district, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2020,[5] and Republican Fred Upton of the 6th congressional district, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020.[5] Upton announced that he would be retiring at the end of his term.[62] The winner was Bill Huizenga.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Huizenga, incumbent U.S. representative[63]
Withdrawn
- Steve Carra, state representative[64] (running for re-election, endorsed Huizenga)[65]
Declined
- Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. representative[66][67]
Endorsements
Steve Carra (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) (switched endorsement to Huizenga after Carra withdrew)[68]
Bill Huizenga
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[69]
State legislators
- Steve Carra, member of the Michigan House of Representatives from the 59th district (2021–present), withdrawn candidate for the seat[65]
Organizations
Fred Upton (declined)
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 88,851 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 88,851 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Withdrawn
- Chris Glasser[73]
Endorsements
Joseph Alfonso
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joseph Alfonso (write-in) | 10,992 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 10,992 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | June 15, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | June 15, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Likely R | June 14, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 183,936 | 54.4 | |
| Democratic | Joseph Alfonso | 143,690 | 42.5 | |
| Libertarian | Lorence Wenke | 8,478 | 2.5 | |
| U.S. Taxpayers | Curtis Michael Clark | 2,244 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 338,348 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
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 County results Walberg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district runs along Michigan's entire southern border with Indiana and Ohio and includes the cities of Three Rivers, Jackson, and Monroe. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg of the 7th congressional district, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Tim Walberg.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. representative[77]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Tim Walberg
Federal officials
Results
Walberg
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
O'Donnell
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 67,582 | 67.2 | |
| Republican | Sherry O'Donnell | 32,886 | 32.7 | |
| Write-in | 97 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 100,565 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bart Goldberg, attorney[81]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bart Goldberg | 39,971 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 39,971 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Endorsements
Tim Walberg
Newspapers
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 198,020 | 62.4 | |
| Democratic | Bart Goldberg | 110,946 | 35.0 | |
| Libertarian | Norman Peterson | 5,129 | 1.6 | |
| U.S. Taxpayers | Ezra Scott | 3,162 | 1.0 | |
| Write-in | 1 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 317,258 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 6
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 County results Dingell: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is based in southeastern Michigan, taking in Washtenaw County, parts of Wayne and Oakland counties, including the cities of Ann Arbor, Canton, Novi, and Ypsilanti. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell of the 12th congressional district, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Debbie Dingell.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Dingell, incumbent U.S. representative[83]
Endorsements
Debbie Dingell
Organizations
- Feminist Majority PAC[84]
- League of Conservation Voters[85]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[86]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[56]
- Progressive Democrats of America[87]
- Sierra Club[18]
Newspapers
- Detroit Free Press (post-primary)[48]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 102,859 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 102,859 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Whittney Williams, auto show product specialist and candidate for Michigan's 11th congressional district in 2020[88]
Eliminated in primary
- Hima Kolanagireddy, businesswoman[88]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Whittney Williams | 30,564 | 53.7 | |
| Republican | Hima Kolanagireddy | 26,371 | 46.3 | |
| Total votes | 56,935 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 241,759 | 65.9 | |
| Republican | Whittney Williams | 125,167 | 34.1 | |
| Write-in | 1 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 366,927 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 7
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 Slotkin: 50–60% 60–70% Barrett: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is based around the Lansing–East Lansing metropolitan area, but also includes Livingston County and a small part of Oakland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Elissa Slotkin of the 8th congressional district, who was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2020.[5]
In 2018, total campaign spending for the seat won by Slotkin drew the highest amount for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.[89] In October 2022, the Slotkin–Barrett race was the most expensive House race nationwide.[90] The winner was Elissa Slotkin.[91]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Elissa Slotkin, incumbent U.S. representative[92]
Endorsements
Elissa Slotkin
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[93]
- End Citizens United[94]
- Feminist Majority PAC[84]
- Giffords[95]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[96]
- League of Conservation Voters[97]
- Let America Vote[94]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[98]
- New Politics[33]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[56]
- Sierra Club[18]
- VoteVets.org[99]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 77,826 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 77,826 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Barrett, state senator from the 24th district[100]
Declined
- John James, businessman, former U.S. Army captain and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020[101] (running in Michigan's 10th congressional district)
- Paul Junge, former news anchor for FOX 47 News, former external affairs director at ICE, and nominee for Michigan's 8th congressional district in 2020[102] (running in Michigan's 8th congressional district)[103]
Endorsements
Tom Barrett
Organizations
- American Conservative Union[104]
- Americans for Prosperity Action[105]
- Tea Party Express[106]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Barrett | 75,491 | 96.1 | |
| Republican | Jake Hagg (write-in) | 3,108 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 78,599 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Tossup | June 15, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Tilt D | June 15, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Tossup | June 14, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
| Decision Desk HQ[15] | Tossup | November 4, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Lean D | October 20, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean D | November 8, 2022 |
Post-primary endorsements
Elissa Slotkin (D)
U.S. representatives
- Liz Cheney, U.S. representative for WY-AL (2017–2023) (Republican)[107]
Tom Barrett (R)
Executive branch officials
- Mike Pence, vice president of the United States (2017–2021)[108][109]
U.S. representatives
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. representative for HI-2 (2013–2021) and former vice chair of the Democratic National Committee (2013–2016)[110] (Independent)
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative for CA-23 (2013–2023), House Minority Leader (2019–present), and former U.S. representative for CA-22 (2007–2013)[108][better source needed]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative for LA-1 (2008–present), House Minority Whip (2019–present)[108][better source needed]
- Jason Smith, U.S. representative for MO-8 (2013–present)[108][better source needed]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative for NY-21 (2015–present)[108][better source needed]
State legislators
- Bob Bezotte, Michigan state representative, 47th district (2021–present)[108][better source needed]
- Alan Cropsey, Michigan state senator, 30th (1983–1986), 33rd district (2003–2010), Michigan state representative, 88th (1979–1982), 86th district (1993–1998)[108][better source needed]
- Graham Filler, Michigan state representative, 93rd district (2019–present)[108][better source needed]
- Ben Frederick, Michigan state representative, 85th district (2017–present), Michigan House of Representatives Majority Leader (2019–present)[108][better source needed]
- Rick Jones, Michigan state senator, 24th district (2011–2019)[108][better source needed]
- Tom Leonard, Michigan state representative, 93rd district (2013–2019), Speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives (2017–2019)[108][better source needed]
- Paul Opsommer, Michigan state representative, 93rd district (2007–2012)[108][better source needed]
- Deb Shaughnessy, Michigan state representative, 71st district (2011–2012)[108][better source needed]
- Norm Shinkle, Michigan state senator, 11th district (1983–1990)[108][better source needed]
- Lana Theis, Michigan state senator, 22nd district (2019–present)[108][better source needed]
Individuals
- Harriet Hageman, attorney and Republican nominee for WY-AL in 2022[111]
Organizations
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Tom Barrett (R) |
Undecided [c] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[112] | April 10 – November 2, 2022 | November 3, 2022 | 47.7% | 44.3% | 8.0% | Slotkin +3.4 |
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Tom Barrett (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[113] | November 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc.[114] | October 18–20, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | 4%[d] | 8% |
| Target Insyght[115] | September 12–14, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 56% | 38% | – | 6% |
| Cygnal (R)[116][C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[117] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 34% | 4% | 19% |
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[116][C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 39% | 50% | – | 10% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[117] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 4% | 16% |
| Cygnal (R)[118][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 192,809 | 51.7 | |
| Republican | Tom Barrett | 172,624 | 46.3 | |
| Libertarian | Leah Dailey | 7,275 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 372,708 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
| |||||||||||||||||
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  Kildee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Junge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district centers around the Saginaw Bay and includes the cities of Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, and Midland. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee of the 5th congressional district, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Dan Kildee.[119]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. representative[120]
Endorsements
Dan Kildee
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 70,791 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 70,791 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Paul Junge, former news anchor for FOX 47 News, former external affairs director at ICE, and nominee for Michigan's 8th congressional district in 2020[102][103]
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
- Bryan Trouten[126]
Declined
- Bill Schuette, former Michigan attorney general (2011–2019) and Republican nominee for Michigan governor in 2018[127][128][129]
Endorsements
Paul Junge
Organizations
Results
Junge
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Junge | 42,363 | 53.7 | |
| Republican | Matthew Seely | 18,658 | 23.6 | |
| Republican | Candice Miller | 17,879 | 22.7 | |
| Total votes | 78,900 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Libertarian Party
Presumptive nominee
- David Canny
General election
Endorsements
Paul Junge
Newspapers
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Lean D | October 5, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Lean D | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Lean D | October 3, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Tossup | November 6, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean D | October 4, 2022 |
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 178,322 | 53.1 | |
| Republican | Paul Junge | 143,850 | 42.8 | |
| Working Class | Kathy Goodwin | 9,077 | 2.7 | |
| Libertarian | David Canny | 4,580 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 335,829 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 9
| |||||||||||||||||
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 County results McClain: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is based in The Thumb region, including Port Huron as well as the northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Lisa McClain formerly of the 10th congressional district, who was elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Lisa McClain.[134]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lisa McClain, incumbent U.S. representative[135]
Eliminated in primary
- Michelle Donovan, attorney[136]
Endorsements
Lisa McClain
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[137]
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lisa McClain (incumbent) | 97,017 | 78.7 | |
| Republican | Michelle Donovan | 26,215 | 21.3 | |
| Total votes | 123,232 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Jaye, attorney[137]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Jaye | 48,802 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 48,802 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lisa McClain (incumbent) | 238,300 | 63.9 | |
| Democratic | Brian Jaye | 123,702 | 33.2 | |
| Working Class | Jim Walkowicz | 6,571 | 1.8 | |
| Libertarian | Jacob Kelts | 4,349 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 372,922 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 10
| |||||||||||||||||
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 James: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is based primarily in southeastern Michigan's Macomb County, taking in Warren and Sterling Heights, as well as a small portion of eastern Oakland County. Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was John James.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Carl Marlinga, former Macomb County Circuit Court judge, candidate for U.S. Senate in 1994, and nominee for this seat in 2022[139]
Eliminated in primary
- Huwaida Arraf, civil rights attorney[140]
- Rhonda Powell, former director of Macomb County Health and Community Services[141]
- Angela Rogensues, Warren City Council member[142]
- Henry Yanez, Sterling Heights council member and former state representative[143]
Declined
- Andy Levin, U.S. representative (running in Michigan's 11th congressional district)[140]
- Michael Taylor, mayor of Sterling Heights[140][144]
Endorsements
Huwaida Arraf
Carl Marlinga
Angela Rogensues
Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Huwaida Arraf |
Carl Marlinga |
Rhonda Powell |
Angela Rogensues |
Michael Taylor |
Henry Yanez |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght (D)[150][F] | May 24–27, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 8% | 40% | 13% | 16% | – | 7% | 15% |
| Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | ~225 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 3% | 33% | – | 2% | 16% | – | 47% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carl Marlinga | 32,653 | 47.8 | |
| Democratic | Rhonda Powell | 11,396 | 16.7 | |
| Democratic | Angela Rogensues | 9,503 | 13.9 | |
| Democratic | Huwaida Arraf | 8,846 | 13.0 | |
| Democratic | Henry Yanez | 5,891 | 8.6 | |
| Total votes | 68,289 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John James, businessman, Iraq War veteran and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020[152]
Eliminated in primary
- Tony Marcinkewciz[153]
Withdrawn
- Eric Esshaki, attorney and nominee for Michigan's 11th congressional district in 2020[154][155] (endorsed James)
Declined
- Mike Bishop, former U.S. representative (2015–2019) (endorsed James)[156][157]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner, former U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2017), and former Michigan Secretary of State (1995–2003) (endorsed James)[157]
Endorsements
John James
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[158]
U.S. representatives
- Mike Bishop, U.S. representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district (2015–2019), Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate (2007–2011)[157]
- Candice Miller, U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2017), 40th secretary of state of Michigan (1995–2003)[157]
Organizations
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John James | 63,417 | 86.3 | |
| Republican | Tony Marcinkewciz | 10,079 | 13.7 | |
| Total votes | 73,496 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Likely R (flip) | August 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Lean R (flip) | August 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean R (flip) | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Likely R (flip) | October 18, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Likely R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Likely R (flip) | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Likely R (flip) | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Likely R (flip) | October 6, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
Post-primary endorsements
Carl Marlinga (D)
Local politicians
- David Coulter, Oakland County Executive[161]
- Mark Hackel, Macomb County Executive[161]
Newspapers
Organizations
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Carl Marlinga (D) |
John James (R) |
Undecided [e] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[162] | January 26 – October 18, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 39.2% | 44.7% | 16.1% | James +5.5 |
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Carl Marlinga (D) |
John James (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght (D)[163][F] | October 16–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc.[164] | October 4–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 44% | 5%[f] | 13% |
| Mitchell Research (R)[165] | August 16–21, 2022 | 429 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 38% | 47% | – | 15% |
| Target Insyght (D)[166][F] | August 16–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
| Target Insyght (D)[167][F] | May 24–27, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[168][G] | April 24–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 47% | – | 12% |
| Target Insyght (D)[169][F] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
Hypothetical polling
Carl Marlinga vs. Eric Esshaki
Andy Levin vs. John James
Haley Stevens vs. John James
Michael Taylor vs. Eric Esshaki
Michael Taylor vs. John James
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John James | 159,202 | 48.8 | ||
| Democratic | Carl Marlinga | 157,602 | 48.3 | ||
| Working Class | Andrea Kirby | 5,905 | 1.8 | ||
| Libertarian | Mike Saliba | 3,524 | 1.1 | ||
| Write-in | 4 | 0.0 | |||
| Total votes | 326,237 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican win (new seat) | |||||
District 11
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Stevens: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is based solely in Oakland County and includes the cities of Royal Oak and Pontiac. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Democrat Haley Stevens, who was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2020,[5] and Democrat Andy Levin of the 9th congressional district, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Haley Stevens.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Haley Stevens, incumbent U.S. representative[171]
Eliminated in primary
- Andy Levin, incumbent U.S. representative[171]
Endorsements
Andy Levin
U.S. senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont (2007–present)[172]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[173]
U.S. representatives
- Steve Cohen, U.S. representative from TN-09 (2007–present)[174]
- Lloyd Doggett, U.S. representative from TX-35 (2013–present), former U.S. Representative from TX-25 (2005–2013), former U.S. Representative from TX-10 (1995–2005)[174]
- Dwight Evans, U.S. representative from PA-03 (2019-present), former U.S. representative from PA-02 (2016–2019)[174]
- Jesús "Chuy" García, U.S. representative from IL-04 (2019–present)[174]
- Al Green, U.S. representative from TX-09 (2005–present)[174]
- Raúl Grijalva, U.S. representative from AZ-03 (2013–present), former U.S. representative from AZ-07 (2003–2013)[174]
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. representative from WA-07 (2017–present)[174]
- Jerry Nadler, U.S. representative from NY-11 (2013–present), former U.S. representative from NY-08 (1993–2013), former U.S. representative from NY-17 (1992–1993)[174]
- Eleanor Holmes Norton, Delegate from DC-AL (1991–present)[174]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. representative from WI-02 (2013–present)[174]
- Jamie Raskin, U.S. representative from MD-08 (2017–present)[174]
- Nydia Velázquez, U.S. representative from NY-07 (2013–present), former U.S. representative from NY-12 (1993–2013)[174]
- Maxine Waters, U.S. representative from CA-43 (1991–present)[175]
Local officials
- Tim Greimel, mayor of Pontiac (2022–present) and former state representative (2012–2019)[176]
Individuals
- Jane Fonda, actress[177]
Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America[178]
- International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers[178]
- National Nurses United[179]
- Seafarers International Union of North America[180]
- Service Employees International Union[176]
- UNITE HERE[180]
- Utility Workers Union of America[178]
Organizations
- Brand New Congress[181]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus[178]
- Council for a Livable World[182]
- End Citizens United (co-endorsement with Stevens)[183]
- Indivisible[184]
- J Street[185]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America (co-endorsement with Stevens)[186]
- Our Revolution[187]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund (co-endorsement with Stevens)[56]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[188]
- Progressive Democrats of America[87]
- Working Families Party[189]
- Young Democrats of Michigan[190]
Haley Stevens
Executive branch officials
- Hillary Clinton, former United States Secretary of State (2009–2013)[191]
U.S. representatives
- Colin Allred, U.S. representative from TX-32 (2019–present)[180]
- Cindy Axne, U.S. representative from IA-03 (2019–2023)[180]
- Joyce Beatty, U.S. representative from OH-03 (2013–present)[180]
- Suzan DelBene, U.S. representative from WA-01 (2012–present)[180]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2013–present)[180]
- Eddie Bernice Johnson, U.S. representative from TX-30 (1993–present)[180]
- Annie Kuster, U.S. representative from NH-02 (2013–present)[180]
- Brenda Lawrence, U.S. representative from MI-14 (2015–2023)[192]
- Susie Lee, U.S. representative from NV-03 (2019–present)[180]
- Chris Pappas, U.S. representative from NH-01 (2019–present)[180]
- Linda Sánchez, U.S. representative from CA-38 (2003–present)[180]
- Brad Schneider, U.S. representative from IL-10 (2013–2015; 2017–present)[180]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. representative from CA-14 (2008–2023)[180]
- Susan Wild, U.S. representative from PA-07 (2018–present)[180]
Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America Local 4009[193]
- Communications Workers of America Local 4123[194]
- International Union of Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers Local 2[195]
- United Association Pipefitters & Steamfitters Local 636[196]
- United Association Plumbers Local 98[197]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 876[198]
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[199]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[200]
- EMILY's List[176]
- End Citizens United (co-endorsement with Levin)[201]
- Feminist Majority PAC[84]
- Jewish Dems[202]
- League of Conservation Voters[147]
- Let America Vote[201]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America (co-endorsement with Levin)[186]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund (co-endorsement with Levin)[56]
- Pro-Israel America[203]
- Sierra Club[18]
Newspapers
- Detroit Free Press (primary only)[148]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Andy Levin |
Haley Stevens |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght[204] | July 18–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 31% | 58% | 11% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[205][H] | February 15–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 36% | 28% |
| Target Insyght[206] | February 1–3, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Impact Research (D)[207][I] | January 24–27, 2022 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 35% | 42% | 23% |
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Andy Levin | Haley Stevens | |||||
| 1 | May 24, 2022 | Oakland University Oakland University Center for Civic Engagement |
Emily Lawler Chad Livengood |
[208] | P | P |
Results
Stevens
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Levin
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Stevens
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Levin
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Haley Stevens (incumbent) | 70,508 | 59.9 | |
| Democratic | Andy Levin (incumbent) | 47,117 | 40.1 | |
| Total votes | 117,625 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Ambrose, financial analyst[209]
Eliminated in primary
- Matthew DenOtter, realtor[153]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Ambrose | 42,270 | 70.5 | |
| Republican | Matthew DenOtter | 17,702 | 29.5 | |
| Total votes | 59,972 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid D | June 15, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | June 15, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid D | November 7, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid D | August 17, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Haley Stevens (incumbent) | 224,537 | 61.3 | |
| Republican | Mark Ambrose | 141,642 | 38.7 | |
| Total votes | 366,179 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 12
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Tlaib: 60–70% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is based in northern Wayne County and includes the cities of Dearborn and Southfield. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence of the 14th congressional district, who was re-elected with 79.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] On January 4, 2022, Lawrence announced that she would not seek re-election.[210] Subsequently, Democrat Rashida Tlaib of the 13th congressional district announced she would be running in the district.[211] Tlaib was re-elected in 2020 with 78.1% of the vote.[5] The winner was Rashida Tlaib.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Rashida Tlaib, incumbent U.S. representative[211][212]
Eliminated in primary
- Kelly Garrett, mayor of Lathrup Village[213]
- Shanelle Jackson, former state representative, candidate for Michigan's 13th congressional district in 2012 and 2018[214]
- Janice Winfrey, Detroit city clerk and candidate for Michigan's 13th congressional district in 2016[215]
Declined
- Brenda Lawrence, incumbent U.S. representative[210]
Endorsements
Shanelle Jackson
Newspapers and publications
- The Detroit News (Democratic primary only)[216]
Rashida Tlaib
U.S. senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont (2007–present)[172]
Organizations
- Brand New Congress[217]
- Democracy for America[218]
- Democratic Socialists of America[219]
- Feminist Majority PAC[84]
- Jewish Voice for Peace Action Fund[220]
- Justice Democrats[221]
- League of Conservation Voters[85]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[56]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[222]
- Progressive Democrats of America[87]
- Sierra Club[18]
- Sunrise Movement[223]
- Working Families Party[224]
Newspapers
Janice Winfrey
Organizations
Polling
Results
Tlaib
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
Winfrey
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Tie
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Rashida Tlaib (incumbent) | 61,635 | 63.8 | |
| Democratic | Janice Winfrey | 21,636 | 22.4 | |
| Democratic | Kelly Garrett | 8,334 | 8.6 | |
| Democratic | Shanelle Jackson | 4,927 | 5.1 | |
| Total votes | 96,532 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steven Elliott, businessman[228]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Steven Elliot
Newspapers and publications
- The Detroit News (Republican primary only)[216]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steven Elliott | 14,431 | 52.9 | |
| Republican | James Hooper | 9,651 | 35.4 | |
| Republican | Hassan Nehme | 3,196 | 11.7 | |
| Total votes | 27,278 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Rashida Tlaib (incumbent) | 196,643 | 70.8 | |
| Republican | Steven Elliott | 72,888 | 26.3 | |
| Working Class | Gary Walkowicz | 8,046 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 277,577 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 13
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Thanedar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bivings: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is based solely in Wayne County and includes most of Detroit and the cities of Taylor and Romulus. Due to redistricting, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was Shri Thanedar.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Shri Thanedar, state representative[231][232]
Eliminated in primary
- John Conyers III, son of former U.S. Representative John Conyers[233]
- Sherry Gay-Dagnogo, Detroit school board member and former state representative[234]
- Michael Griffie, lawyer and official for Teach For America Detroit[235][236]
- Adam Hollier, state senator[230]
- Sharon McPhail, former Detroit General Counsel[233]
- Sam Riddle, organizer and felon[237]
- Portia Roberson, CEO of Focus: HOPE, Michigan Civil Rights Commissioner[233]
- Lorrie Rutledge, businesswoman[238]
Withdrew
- Ralph Godbee Jr., former Detroit Police Chief[239]
Declined
- Garlin Gilchrist, lieutenant governor of Michigan[240][241]
- Rashida Tlaib, incumbent U.S. representative (running in Michigan's 12th congressional district)[242][243]
Endorsements
Adam Hollier
Portia Roberson
U.S. representatives
- Brenda Lawrence, U.S. representative from MI-14[246]
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Hansen Clarke |
John Conyers III |
Shawna Diggs |
Sherry Gay-Dagnogo |
Ralph Godbee |
Michael Griffie |
Adam Hollier |
Angela McIntosh |
Sharon McPhail |
Sam Riddle |
Portia Roberson |
Lorrie Rutledge |
Shri Thanedar |
Adrian Tonon |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght[249] | July 19–22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 7% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 16% | – | 7% | 4% | 17% | 0% | 22% | – | 16% |
| Target Insyght[250] | May 3–5, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | 2% | 6% | 0% | 20% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[251][K] | March 21–22, 2022 | 463 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | 19% | – | 6% | 5% | 0% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 43% |
| Target Insyght (D)[252][J] | February 22–24, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 0% | 6% | – | 24% | 1% | 7% | – | 12% | – | 31% |
| Target Insyght (D)[253][J] | January 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 23% | – | 0% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 5% | – | 25% | – | 7% | – | 7% | – | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 22,314 | 28.3 | |
| Democratic | Adam Hollier | 18,517 | 23.5 | |
| Democratic | Portia Roberson | 13,318 | 16.9 | |
| Democratic | John Conyers III | 6,778 | 8.6 | |
| Democratic | Sherry Gay-Dagnogo | 6,440 | 8.2 | |
| Democratic | Sharon McPhail | 5,043 | 6.4 | |
| Democratic | Michael Griffie | 3,636 | 4.6 | |
| Democratic | Sam Riddle | 1,841 | 2.3 | |
| Democratic | Lorrie Rutledge | 916 | 1.2 | |
| Write-in | 6 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 78,809 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Martell Bivings, policy analyst[254]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Martell Bivings | 19,618 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 19,618 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
Shri Thanedar (D)
Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 166,650 | 71.1 | ||
| Republican | Martell Bivings | 56,187 | 24.0 | ||
| Working Class | Simone Coleman | 8,833 | 3.8 | ||
| U.S. Taxpayers | Chris Dardzinski | 2,769 | 1.2 | ||
| Write-in | 5 | 0.0 | |||
| Total votes | 234,444 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic win (new seat) | |||||
Notes
- While Democrats briefly held a plurality of seats after Republican Justin Amash left the party, they had not been elected to a majority of seats since 2008.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Dailey with 4%
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- "Third party candidate" with 5%
Partisan clients
- Poll conducted for EMILY's List
- This poll was sponsored by Scholten's campaign
- Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Barrett's campaign committee
- Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund
- This poll was sponsored by Junge's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Marlinga's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by James's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Levin's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by Stevens's campaign
- This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Democratic Party Black Caucus
- This poll was sponsored by the 13th Congressional District Democratic Party Organization