2026 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
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The 2026 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of Alaska and its at-large district. The election will coincide with other elections to the U.S. House, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections. The primary election occurred on August 18, 2026.[1]
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November 3, 2026
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Incumbent Nick Begich III was elected with 51.22% of the vote in 2024, narrowly defeating then-incumbent Mary Peltola, the first Democrat to represent Alaska in the House since 1972.[2][3][4]
The race will be conducted using ranked-choice voting. The four candidates which receive the most votes from the August 18 nonpartisan primary will enter into the ballot during the November 3 general election.
Candidates
Republican Party
Advanced to general
- Nick Begich III, incumbent U.S. representative (2025–present)[5]
Eliminated in primary
- Eddie Goldfarb[6]
Withdrawn
- Clay Strickland[7]
- Gerald L. Heikes, perennial candidate (running for U.S. Senate)[8]
Democratic Party
Advanced to general
- Eric Hafner, federal prisoner, perennial candidate, and candidate for this seat in 2024[8][6]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Mary Peltola, former U.S. representative (2022–2025)[10] (running for U.S. Senate)[11]
Libertarian Party
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
Independents
Advanced to general
- Bill Hill, commercial fisherman and former superintendent of the Bristol Bay Borough School District[12][13]
Eliminated in primary
Primary election
Endorsements
Nick Begich (R)
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[15]
- U.S. senators
- Dan Sullivan, Alaska (2015–present)[16]
- U.S. representatives
- Byron Donalds, FL-19 (2021–present)[16]
- Mike Johnson, speaker of the House (2023–present) from LA-04 (2017–present)[17]
- Steve Scalise, House majority leader (2023–present) from LA-01 (2008–present)[17]
- Tom Emmer, House majority whip (2023–present) from MN-06 (2015–present)[17]
- Lisa McClain, MI-09 (2021–present)[17]
- Elise Stefanik, NY-21 (2015–present)[16]
- Bruce Westerman, AR-04 (2015–present)[16]
- State legislators
- Jamie Allard, state representative from the 23rd district (2023–present)[16]
- Ben Carpenter, former state representative from the 8th district (2019–2025)[16]
- Mia Costello, former minority leader of the Alaska State Senate (2019) from district K (2015–2023)[16]
- Mike Cronk, minority leader of the Alaska State Senate (2025–present) from district R (2025–present)[16]
- Shelley Hughes, former minority leader of the Alaska State Senate (2023–2025) from district M (2017–2025)[16]
- Pete Kelly, former president of the Alaska Senate (2017–2019) from district A (1999–2003, 2013–2019)[16]
- Kevin McCabe, state representative from the 30th district (2021–present)[16]
- Thomas McKay, former state representative from the 15th district (2021–2025)[16]
- Dan Saddler, former majority leader of the Alaska House of Representatives (2023–2025) from the 24th district (2011–2018, 2023–present)[16]
- Mike Shower, former minority leader of the Alaska State Senate (2025) from district O (2018–2025)[16]
- Jesse Sumner, former state representative from the 28th district (2023–2025)[16]
- Cathy Tilton, state senator from district M (2025–present)[16]
- Frank Tomaszewski, state representative from the 34th district (2023–present)[16]
- Sarah Vance, state representative from the 6th district (2019–present)[16]
- Individuals
- Vivek Ramaswamy, founder of Roivant Sciences[16]
- Organizations
Bill Hill (NP)
- State legislators
- Bryce Edgmon, speaker of the Alaska House of Representatives (2017–2019, 2019–2021, 2025–present) from the 37th district (2007–present)[22]
- Individuals
- Dan Osborn, former union leader and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in Nebraska in 2024 and 2026[23]
- Matt Schultz, pastor and former candidate for this district (Democratic)[9]
- Labor unions
- Alaska AFL-CIO[24]
- Alaska Professional Firefighters[25]
- American Federation of Government Employees[26]
- Association of Flight Attendants[27]
- National Education Association[28]
- UA Local 367[25]
- United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America[25]
- Organizations
Jim McDermott (L)
- Political parties
Matt Schultz (D) (withdrawn)
- Statewide officials
- Tony Knowles, former governor of Alaska (1994–2002)[31]
- Fran Ulmer, former lieutenant governor of Alaska (1994–2002)[16]
- State legislators
- Jennie Armstrong, former state representative from the 16th district (2023–2025)[16]
- Tom Begich, former minority leader of the Alaska State Senate (2019–2023) from district J (2017–2023)[16]
- Ashley Carrick, state representative from the 35th district (2023–present)[16]
- Matt Claman, state senator from district H (2023–present)[16]
- Forrest Dunbar, state senator from district J (2023–present)[16]
- Hollis French, former state senator from district J (2013–2015)[16]
- Alyse Galvin, state representative from the 14th district (2023–present) (Independent)[16]
- Elvi Gray-Jackson, state senator from district G (2019–present)[16]
- Andrew Gray, state representative from the 20th district (2023–present)[16]
- Carolyn Hall, state representative from the 16th district (2025–present)[16]
- Andrew Josephson, state representative from the 13th district (2013–present)[16]
- Donna Mears, state representative from the 21st district (2023–present)[16]
- Calvin Schrage, former minority leader of the Alaska House of Representatives (2023–2025) from the 12th district (2021–present) (Independent)[16]
- Ivy Spohnholz, former state representative from the 16th district (2016–2023)[16]
- Bill Wielechowski, state senator from district K (2007–present)[16]
- Local officials
- Austin Quinn-Davidson, former acting mayor of Anchorage (2020–2021) (Independent)[16]
Declined to endorse
- Political parties
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of July 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Nick Begich III (R) | $5,470,446 | $2,455,619 | $3,119,158 |
| Bill Hill (I) | $1,336,292 | $820,406 | $515,886 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[33] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Nick Begich III (R) |
Bill Hill (I) |
Matt Schultz (D) |
Gavin Solomon (R) |
Bronco Williams (I) |
John Williams (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schultz withdraws | |||||||||||
| The Bullfinch Group/Independent Center[34] | July 13–16, 2026 | 705 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 20% | 32% | – | – | – | 2% | – |
| Alaska Survey Research[35] | May 14–17, 2026 | 1,401 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 13% | 28% | – | – | 5% | 7% | – |
| Alaska Survey Research[36] | April 16–19, 2026 | 1,923 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 11% | 29% | 4% | 4% | 6% | – | – |
| Change Research (D)[37] | March 17–20, 2026 | 624 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 13% | 17% | – | – | 4% | – | 21%[c] |
Results
Begich
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Hill
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nick Begich III (incumbent) | 72,696 | 44.6 | |
| Independent | Bill Hill | 53,008 | 32.5 | |
| Democratic | Matt Schultz (withdrawn) | 13,149 | 8.1 | |
| Democratic | Eric Hafner | 6,175 | 3.8 | |
| Democratic | John B. Williams (withdrew) | 4,413 | 2.7 | |
| Republican | Clay Strickland (withdrew) | 3,681 | 2.3 | |
| Democratic | Yaquelin Reynoso (withdrew) | 2,928 | 1.8 | |
| Libertarian | James C. "Jim" McDermott | 1,951 | 1.2 | |
| Independent | Melanie A. Salazar | 1,181 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Eddie Goldfarb | 943 | 0.6 | |
| Independent | Lady Donna Dutchess | 715 | 0.4 | |
| Independent | Matthew "Bronco" Williams | 632 | 0.4 | |
| Independent | David Richey | 579 | 0.4 | |
| Independent | David Ambrose II | 523 | 0.3 | |
| Libertarian | John E. Foddrill Sr. | 358 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 162,932 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Campaign
After the primary, Democrat Matt Schultz—who had announced the suspension of his campaign weeks earlier—formally withdrew, as did Democrat John Williams, Republican Clay Strickland, and Democrat Yaquelin Reynoso. Schultz, Williams, Strickland, and Reynoso had placed third, fifth, sixth, and seventh in the primary, respectively. This left Libertarian candidate Jim McDermott as the fourth candidate on the general election ballot despite him having placed eighth in the primary. Williams confirmed that his decision to withdraw had come after conversations with Hill and Alaska Democratic Party representatives.[40]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Decision Desk HQ[41] | Likely R | July 14, 2026 |
| The Cook Political Report[42] | Likely R | September 26, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[43] | Likely R | October 1, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] | Likely R | October 2, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[45] | Likely R | February 3, 2026 |
| The Economist[46] | Lean R | May 6, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin[47] | Solid R | August 20, 2026 |
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Begich | Hill | |||||
| 1[48] | Aug. 27, 2026 | Alaska Oil and Gas Association | Tara Sweeney | P | P | |
Post-primary endorsements
Bill Hill (I)
- Political parties
Polling
Nick Begich III vs. Bill Hill
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Nick Begich III (R) |
Bill Hill (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO (D)[50][A] | August 3–5, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
| Data for Progress (D)[51] | July 28 – August 4, 2026 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 37% | 12%[d] | 4% |
| Tavern Research (D)[52] | May 18–27, 2026 | 452 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[53][B] | February 11–12, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 37% | – | 22% |
Hypothetical polling
Nick Begich III vs. Matt Schultz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Nick Begich III (R) |
Matt Schultz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena University[54] | June 15–29, 2026 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
| Tavern Research (D)[52] | May 18–27, 2026 | 452 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[53][B] | February 11–12, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
| Data for Progress (D)[55] | October 17–23, 2025 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 37% | 8%[e] | 7% |
Nick Begich III vs. Mary Peltola
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Nick Begich III (R) |
Mary Peltola (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[56] | February 28 – March 7, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5%[f] | 3% |
Nick Begich III vs. Generic Democrat
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[57] | July 21–27, 2025 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 13% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | First choice | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Transfer | |||
| Republican | Nick Begich III (incumbent) | ||||
| Independent | Bill Hill | ||||
| Democratic | Eric Hafner | ||||
| Libertarian | James C. "Jim" McDermott | ||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | |||||
| Inactive ballots | |||||