2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
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The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on May 19, 2026.[1]
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November 3, 2026
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All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
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District 1
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The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky, and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2024.[2]
Republican primary
Nominee
- James Comer, incumbent U.S. representative[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Penny Arcos[4]
- David Sims, truck driver[4]
- Bob Sutherby, pastor and independent candidate for Tennessee's 7th congressional district in 2025[4]
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[5]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| James Comer (R) | $1,478,703 | $1,588,676 | $3,099,249 |
| David Sims (R) | $1,800 | $1501 | $298 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Comer (incumbent) | 77,505 | 88.1 | |
| Republican | David Sims | 5,050 | 5.7 | |
| Republican | Bob Sutherby | 2,761 | 3.1 | |
| Republican | Penny Arcos | 2,640 | 3.0 | |
| Total votes | 87,956 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- John "Drew" Williams, event organizer[8]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Drew Williams (D) | $79,747 | $68,318 | $11,387 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[7] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | February 6, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | March 7, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[12] | Safe R | September 26, 2025 |
District 2
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The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2024.[2]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. representative[13]
Eliminated in primary
- Joshua Ferguson, former constable[14]
- G. "Shay" Perry-Adelmann, former teacher, community activist and candidate for Jefferson County school board district three in 2022[4]
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[5]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Joshua Ferguson (R) | $7,078 | $7,013 | $65 |
| Brett Guthrie (R) | $4,193,324 | $2,898,393 | $1,661,176 |
| Shay Perry-Adelmann (R) | $100,500 | $1,483 | $99,117 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 65,176 | 85.4 | |
| Republican | Joshua Ferguson | 7,187 | 9.4 | |
| Republican | G. "Shay" Perry-Adelmann | 3,963 | 5.2 | |
| Total votes | 76,326 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Megan Wingfield, mechanic[16]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| William Compton (D) | $62,061 | $58,437 | $271 |
| Hank Linderman (D) | $3,800 | $23,339 | $2,023 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[15] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Megan Wingfield | 16,330 | 40.7 | |
| Democratic | Hank Linderman | 8,401 | 20.9 | |
| Democratic | David Hatfield | 8,254 | 20.6 | |
| Democratic | William Compton | 7,126 | 17.8 | |
| Total votes | 40,111 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | February 6, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | March 7, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[12] | Safe R | September 26, 2025 |
District 3
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The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2024.[2]
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Morgan McGarvey, incumbent U.S. representative[20]
Withdrew
- Jared Randall, community activist[4]
Endorsements
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Morgan McGarvey (D) | $1,448,999 | $986,553 | $1,725,862 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[24] | |||
Republican primary
Nominee
- Maria Rodriguez, cleaning contractor[4]
Eliminated in primary
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Donald Pay (R) | $2,546 | $2,254 | $291 |
| Maria Rodriguez (R) | $18,620 | $3,057 | $15,562 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[24] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Maria Rodriguez | 15,855 | 48.2 | |
| Republican | David Nichter | 6,807 | 20.7 | |
| Republican | Daniel Cobble | 5,893 | 17.9 | |
| Republican | Donald Pay | 4,313 | 13.1 | |
| Total votes | 32,868 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Filed paperwork
- Oumou Diallo, former PASTEF activist and candidate for the Senegalese National Assembly in 2024[25]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Oumou Diallo (I) | $2,493 | $1,312 | $1,180 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[24] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | February 6, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | March 7, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | June 3, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[12] | Safe D | September 26, 2025 |
District 4
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The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state, along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024.[2]
Republican primary
Thomas Massie, a libertarian Republican first elected in 2012, has frequently clashed with Donald Trump on fiscal and international issues both during and between his terms as president.[26][27] By March 2025, Trump had openly called for a primary challenge to Massie in response to his votes on the 2025 federal budget.[28] Other high-profile clashes between the two have included Massie's vote against the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, his advocacy for the release of the Epstein files, and his condemnation of U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.[29][30]
On May 11, the primary became the most expensive U.S. House primary in American history, with over $25.6 million in ad spending beating the prior record of $25.2 million from the Democratic Primary for New York's 16th congressional district in 2024.[31] By May 17, ad spending exceeded $32 million, with pro-Israel interest groups accounting for over $9 million of the spending against Massie.[32] Massie described the primary election as a "referendum on whether Israel gets to buy seats in Congress";[33] while others described it as a referendum on Trump.[34]
During the campaign, pro-Massie and pro-Gallrein PACs both used AI-generated political ads to attack each other's campaigns.[35][36] One AI-generated ad from MAGA KY (a pro-Gallrein PAC) created false imagery of Massie having a threesome with pro-Palestinian Democratic representatives Ilhan Omar and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.[37] Massie, Omar, and former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene condemned the ad, with Greene accusing the ad of violating the TAKE IT DOWN Act.[37] On May 16, a pro-Trump group announced that Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth would visit Kentucky to raise support for Gallrein. Hegseth's move was accused by critics of violating the Hatch Act, which the White House denied.[38] During the campaign, Gallrein declined to debate Massie, ignored most interview requests, and did a few public rallies.[39][40][41]
On May 19, Ed Gallrein obtained the Republican nomination, defeating incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie 54.9% to 45.1%. Massie conceded the election to Gallrein on election night, joking afterward in his concession speech that "it took a while to find Ed Gallrein in Tel Aviv."[42]
Nominee
- Ed Gallrein, farmer, retired Navy SEAL, and candidate for Kentucky's 7th Senate district in 2024[43]
Eliminated in primary
- Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. representative[28]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Daniel Cameron, former Kentucky Attorney General (2019–2024), and nominee for governor in 2023 (running for U.S. Senate)[45]
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[46]
- Pete Hegseth, U.S. secretary of defense (2025–present)[47]
U.S. senators
- Tim Sheehy, Montana (2025–present)[5]
U.S. representatives
Individuals
- Nate Morris, businessman and 2026 U.S. Senate candidate[50]
Organizations
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
- Justin Amash, former MI-03 (2011–2021)[54][55]
- Lauren Boebert, CO-04 (2021–present)[56][57]
- Warren Davidson, OH-08 (2016–present)[58][59]
- Matt Gaetz, former FL-01 (2017–2024)[54]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, former GA-14 (2021–2026)[60][61]
- Dana Rohrabacher, former CA-48 (1989–2019)[62][63]
- Victoria Spartz, IN-05 (2021–present)[64][65]
State legislators
- Savannah Maddox, HD-61 (2021–present)[66]
- Robin L. Webb, SD-18 (2009–present)[67]
- Gex Williams, SD-20 (2023–present) and SD-24 (1993–1999)[68]
Individuals
- James Fishback, investor and 2026 Florida gubernatorial candidate[32]
- Kyle Rittenhouse, gun rights advocate[69]
Organizations
Statewide officials
- Trey Grayson, former Secretary of State of Kentucky (2004–2011)[39]
- Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida (2019–present)[72]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ed Gallrein |
Thomas Massie |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Data Poll (R)[73] | May 16–18, 2026 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50%[b] | 50% | − | − |
| 44% | 43% | − | 13% | ||||
| Grayhouse (R)[74] | May 16–17, 2026 | 435 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | 44% | − | 5% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[75] | May 15–17, 2026 | 555 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50%[b] | 50% | − | − |
| 44% | 43% | − | 13% | ||||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[76] | May 15–16, 2026 | 450 (LV) | – | 49% | 42% | − | 9% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[77] | May 14–16, 2026 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49%[b] | 51% | − | − |
| 43% | 44% | − | 13% | ||||
| Neighborhood Research and Media (R)[78] | May 12–15, 2026 | 291 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 39% | 39% | − | 22% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[79] | May 12–14, 2026 | 518 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 51% | − | − |
| Quantus Insights (R)[80] | May 11–12, 2026 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53%[b] | 45% | − | 2% |
| 48% | 43% | − | 8% | ||||
| Quantus Insights (R)[81] | April 6–7, 2026 | 438 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 47% | 2%[c] | 14% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[82] | April 3–7, 2026 | 433 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 52% | – | – |
Thomas Massie vs. Niki Lee Ethington
Thomas Massie vs. "Trump-endorsed Republican"
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Thomas Massie |
Trump-endorsed Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[84][A] | June 2025 | – | – | 23% | 52% | 25% |
Results
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ed Gallrein | 57,822 | 54.9 | |
| Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 47,539 | 45.1 | |
| Total votes | 105,361 | 100.0 | ||
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ed Gallrein (R) | $3,163,892 | $2,620,239 | $543,653 |
| Dennis Jackson (R) | $2,590 | $2,590 | $0 |
| Thomas Massie (R) | $5,541,900 | $5,840,666 | $608,244 |
| Robert Wells (R) | $113,241 | $94,102 | $19,139 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[85] | |||
Debate
| Date | Host | Moderators | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant I Invited W Withdrawn A Absent N Not invited |
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| Thomas Massie | Ed Gallrein | |||
| May 4, 2026[86] | Kentucky Educational Television | Renee Shaw | P | A |
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Melissa Strange, businesswoman[87]
Eliminated in primary
- Jesse Brewer, inventory management professional[88]
Withdrawn
- Monica Dean, project manager[89]
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jesse Brewer (D) | $9,680 | $9,722 | $0 |
| Monica Dean (D) | $9,189 | $5,518 | $3,671 |
| Melissa Strange (D) | $69,085 | $56,277 | $12,808 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[85] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Melissa Strange | 30,108 | 72.4 | |
| Democratic | Jesse Brewer | 11,461 | 27.6 | |
| Total votes | 41,569 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian Party
Nominee
- Jeremy Todd, salesperson[90]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | February 6, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | March 7, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[12] | Safe R | September 26, 2025 |
District 5
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The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected unopposed in 2024.[2]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative[20]
Eliminated in primary
- Benjamin Hurley, real estate agent[91]
- Brandon Monhollon, realtor and veteran[4]
- Jerry Lee Shelton, electrician and Crab Orchard city commissioner[4]
- Kevin Smith, political strategist[92]
Declined
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[94]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Hal Rogers (R) | $747,740 | $858,906 | $860,086 |
| Kevin Smith (R) | $110,370 | $90,131 | $20,238 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[95] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 81,554 | 77.4 | |
| Republican | Kevin Smith | 12,312 | 11.7 | |
| Republican | Benjamin Hurley | 5,537 | 5.3 | |
| Republican | Brandon Monhollon | 3,458 | 3.3 | |
| Republican | Jerry Lee Shelton | 2,464 | 2.3 | |
| Total votes | 105,325 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Ned Pillersdorf, attorney, candidate for this district in 1992, and husband of former Kentucky Supreme Court justice Janet Stumbo[96]
Endorsements
Executive branch officials
- Martin O'Malley, former Social Security Administration Commissioner (2023–2024) and former governor of Maryland (2007–2015)[5]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ned Pillersdorf (D) | $115,581 | $32,060 | $83,521 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[95] | |||
Independents
Filed paperwork
- Mikel Wein, archaeologist[97]
Write-in candidates
Declared
- Billy Ray Wilson, veteran and activist[4]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | February 6, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | March 7, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[12] | Safe R | September 26, 2025 |
District 6
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The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2022.[2]
On April 22, 2025, Barr announced that he would run for U.S. Senate.[98]
Republican primary
Nominee
- Ralph Alvarado, former Tennessee Commissioner of Health (2023–2025), former Kentucky state senator (2015–2023), and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2019[99]
Eliminated in primary
- Ryan Dotson, state representative from the 73rd district[100]
- Greg Plucinski, pharmaceutical entrepreneur[101]
- Steve Shannon[4]
Withdrawn
- Adam Perez Arquette (endorsed Alvarado, remained on ballot)[102]
- Deanna Frazier Gordon, state representative from the 81st district[103] (running for re-election)[104]
Declined
- Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. representative (running for U.S. Senate)[98]
- Amanda Mays Bledsoe, state senator from the 12th district[105]
- Damon Thayer, former Majority Leader of the Kentucky Senate (2013–2025)[106] (endorsed Alvarado)[107]
Endorsements
Executive Branch Officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[108]
U.S. representatives
- Brett Guthrie, KY-02 (2009–present)[5]
- Mike Johnson, speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2023–present), LA-4 (2017–present)[109]
- Jim Jordan, OH-04 (2007–present)[5]
- Hal Rogers, KY-05 (1981–present)[5]
- Matt Van Epps, TN-07 (2025–present)[5]
State legislators
- Damon Thayer, former Majority Leader of the Kentucky Senate (2013–2025) from the 17th district (2003–2025)[107]
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- Paul Gosar, AZ-09 (2011–present)[5]
Results
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ralph Alvarado | 36,217 | 56.5 | |
| Republican | Ryan Dotson | 16,897 | 26.4 | |
| Republican | Gregory George Plucinski | 5,670 | 8.8 | |
| Republican | Steve Shannon | 3,980 | 6.2 | |
| Republican | Adam Perez Arquette | 1,332 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 64,096 | 100.0 | ||
Fundraising
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ralph Alvarado (R) | $808,804 | $256,554 | $552,250 |
| Adam Perez Arquette (R) | $4,990,948 | $1,672,032 | $1,656,948 |
| Ryan Dotson (R) | $517,084 | $221,413 | $295,671 |
| Deanna Gordon (R) | $372,174 | $101,051 | $271,123 |
| Greg Plucinski (R) | $620,019 | $389,451 | $230,568 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[111] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ralph Alvarado |
Adam Perez Arquette |
Ryan Dotson |
Greg Plucinski |
Steve Shannon |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arquette withdraws from the race | |||||||||
| 1892 Polling (R)[112][B] | May 4–7, 2026 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 38% | 1% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 35% |
| 1892 Polling (R)[112][B] | April 6–8, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 32% | 0% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 50% |
| 1892 Polling (R)[112][B] | February 10–12, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 21% | 1% | 13% | 0% | 2% | 63% |
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||
| Ralph Alvarado | Adam Perez Arquette | Ryan Dotson | Greg Plucinski | Steve Shannon | ||||||
| 1 | February 26, 2026 | Spectrum News 1 Kentucky | Mario Anderson | P | N | P | N | N | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Zach Dembo, former federal prosecutor[99]
Eliminated in primary
- Jimmy Ausbrooks, mental health counselor and perennial candidate[4]
- Harvey Carroll, real estate developer and consultant[4]
- Corey Edwards[4]
- David Kloiber, former Lexington city councilor and runner-up for mayor of Lexington in 2022[113]
- Erin Petrey, sustainability and infrastructure professional, bourbon writer and educator[114]
- Cherlynn Stevenson, former state representative from the 88th district (2019–2025)[115]
Declined
- Chad Aull, state representative from the 79th district (2023–present)[116]
- Ben Chandler, former U.S. representative (2004–2013)[117] (endorsed Dembo)[118]
- Jacqueline Coleman, Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[116] (endorsed Stevenson)[119]
Endorsements
U.S. representatives
- Ben Chandler, KY-06 (2004–2013)[118]
Local officials
Newspapers
- Lexington Herald-Leader (Democratic primary only)[120]
Organizations
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- Lois Frankel, FL-22 (2013–2017, 2023–present)[5]
Statewide officials
- Jacqueline Coleman, lieutenant governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[119]
- Paul E. Patton, former governor of Kentucky (1995–2003)[5]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Zach Dembo (D) | $552,182 | $208,900 | $343,282 |
| David Kloiber (D) | $195,955 | $51,340 | $144,614 |
| Erin Petrey (D) | $174,307 | $53,721 | $120,585 |
| Cherlynn Stevenson (D) | $453,005 | $328,062 | $125,118 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[111] | |||
Polling
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zach Dembo | 26,858 | 39.6 | |
| Democratic | Cherlynn Stevenson | 21,312 | 31.5 | |
| Democratic | Erin Petrey | 10,703 | 15.8 | |
| Democratic | David Kloiber | 3,041 | 4.5 | |
| Democratic | Corey Edwards | 2,952 | 4.4 | |
| Democratic | Harvey Carroll | 1,958 | 2.9 | |
| Democratic | Jimmy Ausbrooks | 940 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 67,764 | 100.0 | ||
Third parties
Kentucky Party
Declared
- Pete Lynch, political science lecturer[126]
Independents
Filed paperwork
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jay Bowman (I) | $3,050 | $3,231 | $19 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[111] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | February 6, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | March 7, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Likely R | June 3, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[12] | Lean R | September 26, 2025 |
Polling
Ralph Alvarado vs. Zach Dembo
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ralph Alvarado (R) |
Zach Dembo (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[129][D] | April 24–25, 2026 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 37% | 26% |
Ralph Alvarado vs. Cherlynn Stevenson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ralph Alvarado (R) |
Cherlynn Stevenson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[129][D] | April 24–25, 2026 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 36% | 27% |
Ryan Dotson vs. Zach Dembo
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ryan Dotson (R) |
Zach Dembo (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[129][D] | April 24–25, 2026 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
Ryan Dotson vs. Cherlynn Stevenson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ryan Dotson (R) |
Cherlynn Stevenson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[129][D] | April 24–25, 2026 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 36% | 27% |
Notes
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by MAGA PAC, which opposes Massie.
- Poll sponsored by Alvarado's campaign
- Poll commissioned by EMILY's List, which supports Stevenson
- Poll sponsored by Dembo's campaign