2022 Ontario general election

Canadian provincial election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

General elections were held on June 2, 2022, to elect Members of the Provincial Parliament to serve in the 43rd Parliament of Ontario.

Quick facts 124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 63 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...
2022 Ontario general election
← 2018
June 2, 2022 (2022-06-02)
2025 →
124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout44.06% (Decrease12.61pp)[1]
  First party Second party
 
Leader Doug Ford Andrea Horwath
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since March 10, 2018 March 7, 2009
Leader's seat Etobicoke North Hamilton Centre
Last election 76 seats, 40.50% 40 seats, 33.59%
Seats before 67 38
Seats won 83 31
Seat change Increase16 Decrease7
Popular vote 1,919,905 1,116,383
Percentage 40.83% 23.74%
Swing Increase0.33pp Decrease9.85pp
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Steven Del Duca Mike Schreiner
Party Liberal Green
Leader since March 7, 2020 May 16, 2009
Leader's seat Ran in Vaughan—Woodbridge (lost) Guelph
Last election 7 seats, 19.59% 1 seats, 4.60%
Seats before 7 1
Seats won 8 1
Seat change Increase1 Steady
Popular vote 1,124,065 280,006
Percentage 23.91% 5.96%
Swing Increase4.32pp Increase1.36pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative

 Premier after election

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative

Close

The governing Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Doug Ford, were re-elected to a second majority government, winning 7 more seats than they had won in 2018. The NDP retained their status as the Official Opposition, despite losing seats and finishing third in the popular vote, while the Ontario Liberals finished 2nd in the popular vote, but only won 8 seats, a gain of one seat from 2018 but falling short of official party status. The Green Party retained the single seat they won in 2018 while the New Blue and Ontario Party failed to win a seat, both losing their lone sitting MPPs.

A total of 4,701,959 valid votes were cast in this election, as well as a smaller number of invalid ballots.[2] The election set a record for the lowest voter turnout in an Ontario provincial election, as only 44.06% of the people who were eligible voted. This broke the previous record for low turnout of 48.2% in the 2011 election.[3]

Background

As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on or before the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election.[4]

In the June 2018 Ontario general election, the Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) led by Doug Ford won a strong majority government. The New Democratic Party (NDP) led by Andrea Horwath became the Official Opposition; this was the first time since 1990 they surpassed their third-place status. The governing Liberal Party led by Premier Kathleen Wynne was decimated, winning only 7 out of the 124 seats in the legislature and being reduced to third-place status. The Green Party won its first seat in history, with leader Mike Schreiner becoming its first Member of Provincial Parliament (MPP).

Wynne resigned as leader immediately after the 2018 election and MPP John Fraser succeeded her as interim leader; he held that post until March 2020, when Wynne's former minister of transportation, Steven Del Duca, became permanent leader of the Liberal Party. Meanwhile, Horwath and Schreiner both remained leader of their parties and had no intention of resigning.

By December 2019, polling showed that the Ford government was as unpopular as the previous Wynne government.[5] However, the Progressive Conservatives experienced a surge of support during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic; a Mainstreet Research poll in June 2020 showed the PCs at 42 per cent, the Liberals at 28 per cent, and the NDP at 23 per cent.[6]

On October 5, 2020, Ontario MPPs voted unanimously in favour of a motion stating that the government will not call an election prior to the fixed election date in 2022.[7][8] Before this vote, the Legislative Assembly of Ontario could have been dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario on a motion of no confidence or if the Premier triggered a snap election (the former was extremely unlikely to work against the incumbent government with a majority).

In April 2021, the province experienced a major third wave of COVID-19 infections, and, after quickly reversing government health policies, such as opening and then abruptly closing restaurants, the government was criticized over their handling of COVID-19. This led to the PCs' support dipping, but remaining ahead of the Liberals and NDP.[9]

In late April 2022 – days before the election call – the Ford government released its budget, promising to implement it if the government was reelected. The budget recorded a deficit of $19.9 billion and promised substantial spending on infrastructure (including for their proposed Highway 413) and tax breaks for some workers and seniors.[10]

On May 3, 2022, Premier Doug Ford met with the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario to advise dissolution of the legislature and for writs of election be drawn up.[11]

Timeline

More information Party, Gain/(loss) due to ...
42nd Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held up to the election (2018-2022)
Party 2018 Gain/(loss) due to 2022
Resignation
from caucus		 Resignation
as MPP		 Expulsion Switching
allegiance		 Byelection hold
Progressive Conservative 76(2)(2)(2)(3)67
New Democratic 40(1)(1)38
Liberal 7(3)127
Green 11
New Blue N/A11
Ontario Party 011
Independent 0336
Vacant 033
Total124–(2)––2124
Close
More information Seat, Before ...
Changes in seats held (2018–2022)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Simcoe—Grey November 2, 2018 Jim Wilson[12] █ PC Resignation[a 1] █ Independent
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell November 29, 2018 Amanda Simard[13] █ PC Resignation[a 2] █ Independent
January 16, 2020 █ Independent Joined caucus[14] █ Liberal
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston February 20, 2019 Randy Hillier[15][16] █ PC Suspended[a 3] █ Independent
Ottawa—Vanier July 31, 2019 Nathalie Des Rosiers[17] █ Liberal Resignation[a 4] February 27, 2020[18] Lucille Collard █ Liberal
Orléans September 20, 2019 Marie-France Lalonde[19] █ Liberal Resignation[a 5] February 27, 2020[18] Stephen Blais █ Liberal
Cambridge July 21, 2020 Belinda Karahalios[20] █ PC Expelled[a 6] █ Independent
January 18, 2021 █ Independent Joined caucus[a 7] █ New Blue
York Centre January 15, 2021 Roman Baber[21] █ PC Expelled[a 8] █ Independent
Don Valley East August 17, 2021 Michael Coteau █ Liberal Resignation[a 9] █ Vacant
Chatham-Kent—Leamington August 19, 2021 Rick Nicholls[22] █ PC Expelled[a 10] █ Independent
December 22, 2021 █ Independent Joined caucus █ Ontario Party
Durham October 22, 2021 Lindsey Park[23] █ PC Resignation[a 11] █ Independent
Ajax February 2, 2022 Rod Phillips[24] █ PC Resignation █ Vacant
Elgin—Middlesex—London February 28, 2022 Jeff Yurek[25] █ PC Resignation █ Vacant
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek March 17, 2022 Paul Miller[26] █ New Democratic Expelled[a 12] █ Independent
Brampton North April 22, 2022 Kevin Yarde[27] █ New Democratic Resignation[a 13] █ Independent
Close
  1. [1]
    from cabinet and caucus due to allegations of sexual misconduct
  2. [2]
    from caucus after opposing the government's cuts to francophone services
  3. [3]
    later removed after alleged autism comment, and alleged lack of commitment to the caucus
  4. [4]
    accepted position at Massey College of the University of Toronto
  5. [5]
    to run in the 2019 Canadian federal election for its equivalent seat
  6. [6]
    from caucus after voting against Bill 195
  7. [7]
    co-created (alongside her husband) the New Blue Party, and officially joined soon after
  8. [8]
    from caucus for opposing COVID lockdown
  9. [9]
    to run in the 2021 Canadian federal election for its equivalent seat
  10. [10]
    from caucus due to refusal to get vaccinated against COVID-19
  11. [11]
    from caucus following party accusations that she had misrepresented her COVID-19 vaccine status.
  12. [12]
    from caucus during vetting process for re-election for having joined an Islamophobic Facebook group
  13. [13]
    from caucus after losing nomination contest to be re-elected

2018

2020

2021

2022

  • May 3: Writs of the election were drawn up, dissolving the Legislature and officially starting the campaign.[39]
  • May 10: First leaders' debate, organized by Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities.[40]
  • May 16: Second leaders' debate, organized by Broadcast Consortium.[41]
  • June 2: Election day.

Campaign period

Contests

More information Candidates nominated, Ridings ...
Candidate contests in the ridings
Candidates nominatedRidingsParty
PC NDP Green NB Lib Ont Ind NOTA Mod Ltn Pop Comm Cons Free Oth Totals
59999872145
6353535353535271124210
73030303030292859534124210
8282828282828271276556439224
914141414141414673633455126
10666666511322211360
1122222225111222
Total124124124124123121105392817161312111129897
Close


Incumbents not standing for reelection

26 MPPs chose not to campaign in the election:

More information Electoral district, Incumbent at dissolution ...
Electoral district Incumbent at dissolution
Ajax   Rod Phillips
Beaches—East York   Rima Berns-McGown[42]
Brampton North   Kevin Yarde[a 1]
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound   Bill Walker[43]
Burlington   Jane McKenna[44]
Don Valley East   Michael Coteau
Don Valley West   Kathleen Wynne[45]
Durham   Lindsey Park[a 2][46]
Elgin—Middlesex—London   Jeff Yurek
Essex   Taras Natyshak[47]
Haldimand—Norfolk   Toby Barrett[48]
Hastings—Lennox and Addington   Daryl Kramp[49]
Kingston and the Islands   Ian Arthur[50]
Kitchener South—Hespeler   Amy Fee[51]
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston   Randy Hillier[a 2][36]
Newmarket—Aurora   Christine Elliott[52]
Parry Sound—Muskoka   Norm Miller[53]
Perth—Wellington   Randy Pettapiece[54]
Scarborough Centre   Christina Mitas[55]
Simcoe—Grey   Jim Wilson[a 2][56]
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry   Jim McDonell[57]
Thornhill   Gila Martow[58]
Thunder Bay—Superior North   Michael Gravelle[59]
Toronto Centre   Suze Morrison[60]
Windsor—Tecumseh   Percy Hatfield[61]
York Centre   Roman Baber[a 2][62]
Close
  1. [1]
    Previously elected under the NDP banner
  2. [2]
    Previously elected under the PC banner

Party slogans

More information Party, English ...
Party English French (translation)
█ PC "Get It Done."[63][64] "Passer à l'action" ("Taking Action")
█ New Democratic (NDP) "Strong. Ready. Working for you."[65] "Force. Détermination. Pour vous" ("Strength. Determination. For you.")
█ Liberal "The Choice is Yours"[66] "C’est votre choix" ("It's Your Choice.")
█ Green "The Ontario You Want. The Leadership We Need."[67] "L'Ontario que vous voulez. La direction qu'il nous faut." (identical to English slogan)
█ New Blue "Strength. Stability. Liberty. Good government."[68] N/A (unofficial translation: "La force. La stabilité. La liberté. Un bon gouvernement.")
█ Ontario Party "Freedom, Family, & Faith"[69] "Liberté, Famille, et Foi" (identical to English slogan)
Close

Debates

More information Date, Time (EDT) ...
Close

Issues

Summary

The 2022 Ontario Budget, entitled Ontario's Plan to Build, served as the platform of the governing PC Party. The main five themes it emphasized were: growing the clean energy economy with minerals from the Ring of Fire, building infrastructure including Highway 413, the Bradford Bypass and expanding GO service, supporting workers by funding more skilled trades programs, raising the minimum hourly wage to $15 and allowing universities to issue three-year degrees, lowering taxes by eliminating license plate stickers, eliminating tolls and reducing housing development fees and lastly to avoid future COVID-19 lockdowns by hiring more healthcare workers..[70]

The Official Opposition NDP's campaign focused on increased funding for social programs and government services, which would be paid for through higher taxes on businesses and individuals earning over $200,000 per year. Funding would go toward reducing class sizes, raising welfare payments and disability payments, subsidies for black, indigenous and LGBTQ+ entrepreneurs, hiring more healthcare and education staff and increased wages for public servants. The NDP also proposed to expand COVID-19 vaccine mandates, implement a mixed member proportional electoral system, to close down all privately owned long-term care facilities and to stop the construction of new highway projects.

More information Issue ...
2022 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms
Issue PC[71][72] NDP[73][74][75] Liberal[76][77][78] Green[79][80][81][82][83] New Blue[84] Ontario Party[85][86]
Budget
  • Eliminate the deficit in the 2027–2028 fiscal year[87]
  • Lower the deficit to $5 billion by 2025-2026[88]
  • Present a balanced budget in the 2026-2027 fiscal year[89]
  • Lower the deficit steadily from $20 billion in 2022–23 to $6 billion in 2025-26
Business subsidies
  • Provide all mining tax revenue to northern Indigenous communities
  • Raise business taxes by an unspecified amount
  • Subsidize 2SLGBTQIA+, Black and Indigenous entrepreneurs, including the restoration of the Indigenous Culture Fund [90]
  • Fund art projects dedicated to diversity, equity and inclusion
  • Create a small business recovery grant
  • Lift the cap on the Risk Management Program
  • Provide a loan guarantee to young farmers
  • Provide another round of Tourism Recovery Program payments
  • Guarantee loans to small businesses
  • Reimburse businesses for costs up to $200 a day for workers to take up to ten paid sick days
  • Eliminate Torstar's online gambling licence (NorthStar Gaming)
COVID-19
  • Add COVID-19 vaccination to the immunization schedule for schools[91]
  • Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[92]
  • Require at least three vaccine doses for vaccine passports[93]
  • Give the Chief Medical Officer of Health the authority to override government decisions
  • Add COVID-19 vaccination to the immunization schedule for schools[91]
  • Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[94]
  • Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[95]
  • Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates
  • Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
  • Expand early treatment for COVID-19
  • Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates
  • Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
  • Outlaw the ability for the provincial government to impose lockdowns
Education
  • Invest $14 billion to build more schools[95]
  • Expand three-year college degrees[96]
  • Spend $42.5 million to expand medical education[95]
  • Cover tuition and other costs for nursing graduates who commit to work in rural and underserved areas[95]
  • End academic streaming
  • Hire 20,000 more teachers
  • Hire more custodians and school maintenance staff
  • Reduce Grade 4 to Grade 8 class sizes to 24
  • Reduce kindergarten class sizes to 26
  • Prioritize Ontario based authors and publishers in schools
  • Eliminate EQAO testing
  • Scrap mandatory online high school courses
  • Convert all OSAP loans to grants
  • Double the Rural and Northern Education Fund
  • Increase funding for special education
  • Increase the number of high school trades and shop classes[97]
  • Forgive student loan interest
  • End academic streaming
  • Spend $10 billion building and repairing schools[98]
  • Hire 10,000 more teachers[98]
  • Hire 5,000 more special education workers
  • Cap class sizes at 20 students for all grades
  • Restore Grade 13 as an option for secondary school students for a minimum of 4 years[99]
  • Eliminate EQAO tests and replace with new assessment strategy
  • Double current OSAP funding[94]
  • Continue the tuition freeze
  • Eliminate interest on provincial student loans
  • Cover tuition costs for medical and nursing students working in a rural or remote communities[94]
  • Provide free tuition for all ECE programs
  • Expand nursing schools by 7% every year[95]
  • Reduce Grade 4 to Grade 8 class sizes to 24[95]
  • Reduce kindergarten class sizes to 26[95]
  • Introduce a school lunch program[95]
  • Create a school voucher program
  • Remove Critical Race Theory from the curriculum
  • Remove gender theory from the curriculum
  • Allow the creation of charter schools
  • Make it illegal for teachers to promote partisan political positions in the classroom
  • Allow parents to opt their children out of certain school lessons
  • Require universities to maintain free speech on campus
  • Require universities to hire ideologically diverse educators
  • Lower tuition fees for degrees with high labour market demand
Elections
  • Replace the electoral system with Mixed Member Proportional
  • Reduce annual political donation limits to $1600
  • Ban protests that incite racist, homophobic, transphobic or xenophobic hate
  • Introduce ranked ballots for the next provincial election followed by an independent review[94]
  • Allow municipalities the usage of ranked ballot voting systems for elections
  • Explore potential changes such as lowering the voting age, voting on weekends and expanded advanced voting[94]
  • Create citizens assembly on electoral reform with mandate to provide binding recommendation to ensure that every vote counts
  • Allow municipalities the usage of ranked ballot voting systems for elections
  • Limit total contribution for municipal elections to $1000 for all candidates, combined
  • Reduce donation limits for provincial political parties, candidates, and constituency associations to $1000 per year
  • Restore Auditor General oversight of government advertising
  • Require a five-year gap before MPPs and government advisors can register as lobbyists
  • Eliminate subsidies to political parties
  • Establish a process for voters to recall their MPP if they fail to represent them
Energy and Environment
  • Create a new provincial park[100]
  • Subsidize the manufacturing of electric vehicles [101]
  • Create a cap-and-trade system [102]
  • Ban the sale of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035
  • Create a $10,000 tax credit for the purchase of electric vehicles
  • Ban the conversion of any agricultural land into development
  • Expand the Greenbelt
  • Plant one billion trees by 2030 [103]
  • Ban non-medical single-use plastics by 2024 [104]
  • Upgrade public school buildings to make them carbon neutral
  • Create five new provincial parks[105]
  • Ban new natural gas plants
  • Plant 100 million trees per year until 2030[106]
  • Protect 30% of Ontario's land and expand the Greenbelt
  • Ban the sale of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035[94]
  • Create a $8,000 tax credit for the purchase or lease of electric vehicles and $1,500 for respective charging equipment[107]
  • Eliminate connection fees for rooftop solar charging panels[94]
  • Restrict some single-use plastics
  • Provide grants and interest-free loans to retrofit homes and buildings[94]
  • Reduce electricity subsidies by $20 billion over 10 years
  • Eliminate gas-powered power plants
  • Oppose the building of new nuclear power plants or uranium mines[108]
  • Protect 30% of Ontario's land and double the size of the Greenbelt [109]
  • Ban the dumping of untreated waste into bodies of water
  • Fund municipal governments to upgrade sewage treatment
Healthcare
  • Build new hospitals in Niagara Falls; Windsor-Essex[110][111]
  • Build 3,000 new hospital beds in 2022-2023
  • Provide publicly funded prescriptions to low-income seniors
  • Provide publicly funded dental care to low-income seniors
  • Offer incentive payments of up to $5,000 over the next two years to nurses who stay in the job[95]
  • Repeal Bill 124
  • Establish provincial standards for home-care services and providers[95]
  • Build 30,000 mental health supportive housing spaces over ten years
  • Provide publicly funded prescriptions to all residents
  • Provide publicly funded dental care to all residents
  • Increase hospital funding[95]
  • Add additional funding to clear the surgical backlog[95]
  • Eliminate all user fees in healthcare
  • Collect race-based data on health care
  • Hire 22,000 more nurses
  • Hire 300 more physicians in Northern Ontario
  • Stop mergers of public health units
  • Provide $400 per month to informal caregivers
  • Publicly fund contraception
  • Repeal Bill 124
  • Build 3,000 new hospital beds
  • Hire 100,000 new health care workers[112]
  • Introduce a Portable Benefits Plan for those without or lacking in their employer benefits; provides drug, dental, vision, and mental health coverage[94]
  • Build 15,000 mental health supportive housing spaces
  • Fully fund clinical costs for hospices
  • Build new hospitals in Windsor, South Niagara, Markdale, Moosonee, Moose Factory Island, Innisfil, Whitby and Ottawa[94]
  • Build 60,000 mental health supportive housing spaces
  • Increase mental health funding[95]
  • Provide publicly funded prescriptions[95]
  • Provide publicly funded dental care[95]
  • Create a dedicated crisis response line for mental health
  • Cover mental health therapy through public funding
  • Work on clearing the backlog of procedures
  • Do not fire healthcare workers who refuse to participate in abortion or assisted-suicide
  • End the prohibition on private health facilities and insurance
  • Prohibit sex-change surgeries for minors
  • Require parental consent for medical treatment for children
Housing
  • Use MZOs to approve the construction of more housing supply
  • Implement rent control
  • Subsidize rent for low-income households
  • End exclusionary zoning
  • Restore in-person hearings at the Landlord and Tenant Board[113]
  • Implement rent control
  • Implement a ban on foreign buyers for at least four years[94]
  • Fund the construction of 138,000 public housing units, of which 22,000 will be dedicated to off-reserve indigenous residents
  • Ban the use of MZOs
  • Implement rent control including vacancy control
  • Fund the construction of 100,000 public housing units
  • Restore 260,000 community housing units
  • Provide portable housing benefits to 311,000 people
  • End blind bidding[95]
  • Require home inspections at the seller's expense[95]
Indigenous
  • Create an indigenous curriculum
  • Boost funding for Indigenous language education[114]
  • Support more Indigenous representation on boards
  • Clean up the English-Wabigoon River system[114]
  • Establish a provincial strategy to address the suicide crisis among Indigenous youth[114]
  • Commission a monument that recognizes the victims of the residential school system[114]
  • Establish the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation as a statutory holiday[114]
  • Strengthen fire protection[115]
  • Mandate the inclusion of residential schools into the curriculum[116]
  • Reform child welfare and protection services by ensuring Indigenous communities are served by Indigenous-led providers
  • Wortk with NCTR to identify, collect, and provide copies of all records relevant to the history and legacy of the residential school system in Ontario
  • Make the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation a statutory holiday
  • Restore funding for the Indigenous curriculum program
  • Develop a mandatory curriculum on colonialism and residential schools, treaties, and Indigenous histories and experiences
Law Enforcement
Long-term care
  • Build 30,000 long-term care beds over six years [94][117]
  • Create a standardized survey of long-term care residents[95]
  • Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[118]
  • Build 50,000 long-term care beds [94][119]
  • Hire 10,000 more PSWs
  • Raise pay for PSWs by at least $5 per hour[95]
  • Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[120]
  • Build 30,000 long-term care beds over six years; redevelop an additional 28,000 existing spaces[94][121]
  • Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[95]
Regulation
  • Raise the minimum wage to $20/h over 5 years[123][124]
  • Ban licensed sport shooters from owning handguns
  • Provide ten publicly funded sick days for all workers
  • Increase the number of jobs covered under Employment Standards and the Workplace Safety and Insurance Act[97]
  • Implement price controls on gasoline
  • Require automobile insurance businesses to charge the same premiums in all regions of Ontario
  • Ban the issuing of payday loans
  • Require the hiring of more women and racial minorities
  • Implement UNDRIP
  • Require mandatory anti-oppression and anti-bias training for all public employees and politicians
  • Subject all government programs and regulations to a gender-based analysis
  • Raise the minimum wage to $16/h and implement regional living wages[125][126]
  • Ban licensed sport shooters from owning handguns
  • Provide ten paid sick days for all workers[125][127]
  • Raise the minimum wage each year by $1, starting at $16 in 2022, with a top-up in cities where the cost of living is higher
  • Increase the number of provincially-legislated paid sick days from three to ten, and provide small businesses financial support to fund the program
  • Ban employers from requiring a sick note from a medical practitioner when an employee is ill
  • Prohibit lobbyists from being involved in political parties
  • Make it illegal to conduct fraud in internal political party votes
  • Reduce immigration levels to match housing supply levels
  • Prohibit foreigners from buying houses
  • Repeal Bill 163
Social assistance
  • Increase ODSP payments by 5%
  • Increase ODSP payments by 20%
  • Increase OW payments by 20%
  • Conduct a basic income pilot project
  • Increase ODSP payments by 20%[128]
  • Increase OW payments by 10%[116]
  • Increase Old Age Security by $1,000 per year[129]
  • Bring back the basic income pilot[94][130]
  • Increase ODSP payments by 100%[131]
Taxation
  • Remove license plate sticker requirements and their respective fees[132]
  • Reduce gasoline taxes by 5.7 cents per litre for six months starting on July 1, 2022[122]
  • Reduce fuel taxes by 5.3 cents per litre starting on July 1, 2022
  • Increase the Non-Resident Speculation Tax and extend its reach beyond the GTHA[95]
  • Extend qualification for the LIFT tax credit to $50,000[133]
  • Create an Ontario Seniors Care at Home Tax Credit[134]
  • Freeze taxes for low and middle income families[135]
  • Create a tax on housing speculation
  • Introduce an annual vacancy tax on residential property[113]
  • Maintain the Non-Resident Speculation Tax at 20%[113]
  • Raise taxes on upper income workers by an unspecified amount
  • Create a filming tax-credit
  • Extend the Staycation tax credit[97]
  • Remove the provincial sales tax from prepared meals under $20 (increase from $4)[94][136]
  • Increase the corporate tax rate by 1% on corporations with a profit above $1 billion
  • Increase the income tax rate by 2% on income over $500,000
  • Introduce a 5% tax on vacant homes for non-Canadian owners; 2% for Canadian owners[94]
  • Introduce a ‘use it or lose it’ tax on developers sitting on land ready for development
  • Create a $75 tax credit for each winter tire installed
  • Increase the eligibility for the Low-Income Individuals and Families (LIFT) tax credit from $38,000 to $50,000[137]
  • Rebate Northern municipalities 5% of the provincial mining tax
  • Suspend corporate income tax collection for small businesses for 2022 and 2023[138]
  • Add a 1% surtax onto the income taxes of the top 10% earners[95]
  • Introduce a 20% multiple homes speculation tax on third and additional properties
  • Eliminate the PST on gasoline and diesel
Transportation
  • Restore passenger rail service to Northern Ontario
  • Cancel the construction of Highway 413 and the Bradford Bypass
  • Require transit projects to make Canadian-made vehicles
  • Remove tolls on Highway 407 for commercial drivers[140]
  • Pursue penalty fees from 407 ETR for failing to meet a minimum standard of traffic in 2020 and 2021[140]
  • Designate Highways 11 and 17 as Class 1 highways
  • Four-lane Highway 69, Highway 11/17, Highway 3; the Morriston bypass
  • Move ahead with the Thunder Bay Expressway Interchange Project
  • Expand Highway 7 between Kitchener and Guelph
  • Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Kitchener-Waterloo
  • Extend the Hurontario LRT to downtown Brampton
  • Fund 50% of municipal transit costs
  • Restore the Northlander service to Northern Ontario within two years[94]
  • Cancel the construction of Highway 413
  • Reassess the proposed Bradford Bypass' environmental impact[94]
  • Reduce all transit fares in Ontario to $1 per ride[141]
  • Cut the cost for monthly passes to $40 per month[106]
  • Make public transit publicly funded for veterans
  • Widen Highway 401 at targeted bottlenecks, including from Milton to Mississauga and between Pickering and Bowmanville[94]
  • Build a new Highway 7 between Guelph and Kitchener
  • Expand Highway 3 between Windsor and Leamington
  • Complete the four-laning of Highway 69 and Highway 11/17 between Thunder Bay and Nipigon by 2025[94]
  • Build the Ontario Line Subway, Scarborough Subway Extension, Yonge North Subway Extension and Eglinton Crosstown West Extension[94]
  • Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Milton
  • Extend GO Transit trains to Bowmanville[94]
  • Cancel the construction of Highway 413
  • Cut transit fares by 50% for at least 3 months[95]
  • Fund 50% of municipal transit operating expenses[95]
  • Expand GO Transit services[95]
Unions
  • Allow contractors to unionize
  • Allow any workplace to unionize when 55% of workers endorse unionization
  • Ban strikebreakers
  • Allow students to unionize
  • Allow contractors to unionize
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Endorsements

More information Type, PC ...
Endorsements received by each party
Type PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Party
Media
  • Toronto Star[144] endorsed the NDP, Liberals, and Greens, and encouraged Ontarians to vote strategically to prevent a PC majority
Politicians and public figures
Unions and business associations
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Opinion polls

Campaign polls

Graph of polling completed during the 2022 Ontario election campaign

More information Opinion polls during campaign period, Polling firm ...
Opinion polls during campaign period
Polling firm Last date
of polling		 Source PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
Forum Research June 1, 2022 [p 1] 40.3 23.2 24.5 6.5 — — 5.5 ±3.1% 1,032 IVR 15.8
Research Co. June 1, 2022 [p 2] 39 23 26 6 3 1 1 +3.8% 659 Online 13
EKOS June 1, 2022 [p 3] 37 23.5 24.7 8.7 4.4 — 2 +2.6% 1,430 IVR 12.3
Abacus Data June 1, 2022 [p 4] 40 22 27 4 4 — 3 N/A 1,043 Online 13
Mainstreet Research June 1, 2022 [p 5] 38.9 22.8 24.2 9.4 — — 4.7 +2.2% 2,034 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 14.7
Ipsos May 31, 2022 [p 6] 41 25 24 6 — — 4 +2.2% 2,501 Telephone/Online 16
Nanos Research May 31, 2022 [p 7] 38.8 24.7 26.3 6.1 2 2.1 0.2 ±4.5% 465 Telephone/Online 12.5
Mainstreet Research May 31, 2022 [p 5] 35.4 23.9 26.2 9.2 — — 5.2 +2.1% 2,086 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.2
Leger May 30, 2022 [p 8] 40 24 25 5 3 2 1 N/A 1,334 Online 15
Innovative Research Group May 30, 2022 [p 9] 34 24 29 8 3 — 2 N/A 637 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 30, 2022 [p 5] 39.3 22.5 26.8 6.4 — — 5.1 +2.1% 2,089 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 12.5
Earnscliffe/Leger May 29, 2022 [p 10] 39 24 26 5 — — 6 N/A 1,000 Online 13
Mainstreet Research May 29, 2022 [p 5] 36.6 23.5 27.2 6.8 — — 5.8 +2.2% 1,921 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.4
Counsel May 28, 2022 [p 11] 39.6 22.5 25.1 7.1 — — 5.7 +2% 2,411 Online 14.5
Mainstreet Research May 28, 2022 [p 5] 37.3 23.2 26.3 7.1 — — 6.1 +2.3% 1,789 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 11
Mainstreet Research May 27, 2022 [p 5] 39.1 20.8 26.5 7.8 — — 5.8 +2.4% 1,694 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 12.6
Innovative Research Group May 27, 2022 [p 12] 40 21 28 9 — — 3 N/A 492 Telephone 12
Mainstreet Research May 26, 2022 [p 5] 38.3 21.6 26.9 7.6 — — 5.7 +2.4% 1,704 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 11.4
Angus Reid May 25, 2022 [p 13] 38 24 26 7 — — 5 N/A 1,331 Online 12
EKOS May 25, 2022 [p 14] 33.7 23.8 26.9 8 4.7 — 3 +3.1% 1,017 IVR 6.8
Mainstreet Research May 25, 2022 [p 5] 36 23.5 26.1 8.5 — — 5.9 +2.4% 1,622 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.9
Mainstreet Research May 24, 2022 [p 5] 35.3 23.1 27.2 8 — — 6.4 +2.4% 1,724 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.1
Leger May 23, 2022 [p 15] 38 24 26 6 3 2 1 N/A 1,324 Online 12
Innovative Research Group May 23, 2022 [p 16] 35 23 30 9 — — 4 N/A 439 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 23, 2022 [p 5] 35.4 24.2 25.2 7.8 — — 7.4 +2.4% 1,696 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.2
Nanos Research May 22, 2022 [p 17] 37.3 23.2 28 6.3 3 1.7 0.3 ±4.5% 479 Telephone/Online 9.3
Earnscliffe/Leger May 22, 2022 [p 18] 36 24 28 6 — — 6 N/A 1,000 Online 8
EKOS May 22, 2022 [p 19] 34.5 24.1 26.7 6.6 5.3 — 2.7 +3.2% 948 IVR 7.8
Mainstreet Research May 22, 2022 [p 5] 35 23.8 25.1 8.2 — — 7.9 +2.4% 1,709 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.9
Abacus Data May 21, 2022 [p 20] 36 24 28 5 — — 8 N/A 1,228 Online 8
Mainstreet Research May 21, 2022 [p 5] 34.4 25.1 26.7 7.2 — — 6.5 +2.4% 1,679 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.7
Mainstreet Research May 20, 2022 [p 5] 35.5 26.1 25.7 6.5 — — 6.3 +2.4% 1,734 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.4
Pollara May 19, 2022 [p 21] 40 21 27 8 — — 4 +2.5% 1,514 Telephone 13
Ipsos May 19, 2022 [p 22] 38 23 28 6 — — 5 +2.9% 1,501 Telephone/Online 10
Innovative Research Group May 19, 2022 [p 23] 36 26 28 8 — — 2 N/A 606 Online 8
Mainstreet Research May 19, 2022 [p 5] 36.9 24.7 26.2 5.1 — — 7.2 +2.4% 1,686 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.7
Counsel May 18, 2022 [p 24] 36.9 24.3 27.5 6.1 — — 5.3 +2.1% 2,206 Online 9.4
Mainstreet Research May 18, 2022 [p 5] 37.2 23.4 24.8 6.7 — — 7.8 +2.4% 1,720 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 12.8
Nanos Research May 17, 2022 [p 25] 36.1 19.8 29.3 7.3 4.7 1.7 1.1 ±4.5% 484 Telephone/Online 6.8
Research Co. May 17, 2022 [p 26] 34 23 29 7 3 1 2 +4% 602 Online 5
EKOS May 17, 2022 [p 19] 40.7 23.9 24.3 5.1 — — 6.1 +4% 593 IVR 16.4
Mainstreet Research May 17, 2022 [p 5] 36.8 23.1 27.2 5.6 — — 7.3 +2.4% 1,675 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.6
Innovative Research Group May 16, 2022 [p 27] 36 23 31 7 — — 4 N/A 603 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 16, 2022 [p 5] 37.9 22.8 27.7 4.9 — — 6.8 +2.4% 1,675 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.2
Earnscliffe/Leger May 15, 2022 [p 28] 37 23 28 7 — — 5 N/A 1,000 Online 9
Leger May 15, 2022 [p 29] 37 23 28 5 3 3 1 N/A 830 Online 9
Abacus Data May 15, 2022 [p 30] 35 24 28 5 — — 7 N/A 798 Online 7
Mainstreet Research May 15, 2022 [p 5] 35.5 24.8 26.8 4.4 — — 8.5 +2.3% 1,792 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.7
Mainstreet Research May 14, 2022 [p 5] 36 25.4 27.6 4.1 — — 7 +2.3% 1,764 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.4
Mainstreet Research May 13, 2022 [p 5] 36 24.4 26.8 5.2 — — 7.5 +2.3% 1,773 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research May 12, 2022 [p 5] 36.6 22.6 28.6 5.2 — — 7 +2.4% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8
Mainstreet Research May 11, 2022 [p 5] 38.8 21.1 28.1 5.4 — — 6.6 +2.4% 1,673 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.7
Mainstreet Research May 10, 2022 [p 5] 39.0 22.3 27.1 4.6 — — 7 +2.4% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 11.9
Mainstreet Research May 9, 2022 [p 5] 36.5 23.5 29 4.9 — — 6.1 +2.5% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.5
Abacus Data May 9, 2022 [p 31] 38 22 29 5 — — 7 N/A 1,208 Online 9
Innovative Research Group May 9, 2022 [p 32] 40 24 28 6 — — 3 N/A 600 Online 12
EKOS May 9, 2022 [p 33] 33.9 25.4 29.3 5.1 — — 6.3 +3.1% 1,000 IVR 4.6
Nanos Research May 8, 2022 [p 34] 35.4 23.7 30.4 4.2 3.6 1.4 1.2 ±4.4% 500 Telephone/Online 5.0
Earnscliffe/Leger May 8, 2022 [p 35] 39 24 27 6 — — 3 N/A 1,000 Online 12
Leger May 8, 2022 [p 36] 39 25 26 4 3 1 2 N/A 819 Online 13
Mainstreet Research May 8, 2022 [p 5] 37 23 30 5 — — 5 +2.5% 1,515 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7
Mainstreet Research May 7, 2022 [p 5] 36.3 24.2 30.2 4.6 — — 4.6 +2.5% 1,496 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.1
Mainstreet Research May 6, 2022 [p 5] 38.3 24.5 29.1 4 — — 4 +2.5% 1,532 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research May 5, 2022 [p 5] 37.4 25.7 28.1 4.6 — — 4.2 ±2.7% 1,335 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.3
Forum Research May 4, 2022 [p 37] 37 26 29 4 — — 4 ±3% 1,541 IVR 8
Mainstreet Research May 4, 2022 [p 5] 36.7 25.1 27.1 5.7 — — 5.3 ±2.7% 1,335 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.6
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Pre-campaign polls

More information Opinion polling before campaign period began, Polling firm ...
Opinion polling before campaign period began
Polling firm Last date
of polling		 Source PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
Nanos Research May 2, 2022 [p 38] 36.9 23.7 30.4 4.3 0.9 2.8 0.8 ±4.4% 500 Telephone/Online 6.5
Innovative Research Group May 2, 2022 [p 39] 37 24 29 7 — — 2 N/A 1,409 Online 8
Earnscliffe/Leger May 1, 2022 [p 40] 35 24 28 7 — — 6 N/A 1,001 Online 7
Ipsos May 1, 2022 [p 41] 39 25 26 6 — — 5 ±2.9% 1,501 Telephone/Online 13
Mainstreet Research April 27, 2022 [p 5] 38.1 18.1 30.4 5.1 — — 8.3 ±2.6% 1,422 IVR 7.7
Earnscliffe/Leger April 24, 2022 [p 42] 38 25 28 5 — — 5 N/A 1,000 Online 10
Abacus Data April 19, 2022 [p 43] 36 23 32 6 — — 4 ±2.1% 1,500 Online 4
Mainstreet Research April 19, 2022 [p 5] 39.6 21.2 25.4 5.6 — — 7.6 ±2.8% 1,211 IVR 14.2
Ipsos April 14, 2022 [p 44] 35 23 32 5 — — 5 ±3.5% 1,001 Online 3
Mainstreet Research April 12, 2022 [p 5] 36 24 28 5 — — 6 ±2.8% 1239 IVR 8
Mainstreet Research April 6, 2022 [p 5] 39.2 24.1 25.8 3.4 — — 7.5 ±2.7% 1,289 IVR 13.4
Mainstreet Research March 31, 2022 [p 45] 36 22 31 4 — — 7 ±2.8% 1,252 IVR 5
Leger March 28, 2022 [p 46] 39 24 25 5 5 — 3 ±3.1% 1,001 Online 14
Angus Reid March 15, 2022 [p 47] 37 29 25 4 — — 5 ±3% 1,063 Online 8
Ipsos March 15, 2022 [p 48] 38 24 28 4 — — 5 ±3.8% 850 Online 10
Mainstreet Research March 13, 2022 [p 49] 33.9 25.7 27.8 5 — — 7.6 ±3% 1,026 IVR 6.1
Leger February 27, 2022 [p 50] 39 27 27 3 2 — 2[a] ±3.1% 1,001 Online 12
Mainstreet Research January 25, 2022 [p 51] 34.6 22.4 27.3 3.5 — — 12.3 ±3% 882 IVR 7.3
Leger January 24, 2022 [p 52] 37 25 26 7 3 — 5[b] ±3.1% 1,000 Online 11
Counsel January 23, 2022 [p 53] 34.9 30.5 24.2 4.4 — — 6 ±2.1% 2,273 Online 4.4
EKOS January 17, 2022 [p 54] 34.8 26.6 26.3 4.9 — — 7.5 ±3.5% 844 IVR 8.2
Abacus Data January 12, 2022 [p 55] 37 25 28 5 — — 2.5 ±3.1% 1,210 Online 9
Angus Reid January 12, 2022 [p 56] 33 36 19 4 — — 8 N/A 909 Online 3
Innovative Research Group January 11, 2022 [p 57] 35 22 36 5 — — 2 N/A 428 Online 1
Mainstreet Research January 7, 2022 [p 58] 30.6 27.0 27.9 5.5 — — 9.0 ±2.7% 1,246 IVR 2.7
December 14, 2021Derek Sloan announced as the Leader of the Ontario Party
Leger December 13, 2021 [p 59] 38 28 25 5 2 — 3 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 10
EKOS November 25, 2021 [p 60] 32.8 23.1 28.3 5.2 — — 10.5 ±4.1% 569 IVR 4.5
Innovative Research Group November 17, 2021 [p 61] 34.8 27 32.6 3.4 — — 2.2 N/A 1,000 Online 2.2
Leger November 14, 2021 [p 62] 34 26 31 6 2 — 1 ±3.1% 1,001 Online 3
Leger October 10, 2021 [p 63] 35 25 30 5 — — 5 ±3.1% 1,003 Online 5
Angus Reid October 3, 2021 [p 64] 34 32 25 4 — — 5 N/A 910 Online 2
Angus Reid June 7, 2021 [p 65] 37 33 22 6 — — 3 ±2% 791 Online 4
Leger May 23, 2021 [p 66] 34 25 26 9 — — — ±3.1% 1,001 Online 8
Mainstreet Research May 16, 2021 [p 67] 32.7 28.2 26.9 6.3 — — 5.9 ±3% 958 IVR 4.5
Campaign Research May 8, 2021 [p 68] 36 25 28 7 — — 4 ±2% 2,009 Online 8
Innovative Research Group May 4, 2021 [p 69] 32 22 36 8 — — 2 N/A 481 Online 4
Abacus Data April 21, 2021 [p 70] 34 23 35 5 — — 2 ±3.1% 1,007 Online 1
Innovative Research Group April 20, 2021 [p 71] 30 26 35 8 — — 1 N/A 800 Online 5
Abacus Data April 14, 2021 [p 72] 34 23 34 5 — — 4 ±3.5% 817 Online 0
Innovative Research Group April 13, 2021 [p 73] 32 24 33 8 — — 2 N/A 704 Online 1
EKOS April 12, 2021 [p 74] 34.6 23.5 29.9 8.9 — — 3 ±2.8% 1,204 IVR 4.7
Campaign Research April 6, 2021 [p 75] 41 22 24 10 — — 2 ±2.3% 1,886 Online 17
Leger March 22, 2021 [p 76] 38 28 23 8 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,002 Online 10
Campaign Research March 11, 2021 [p 77] 43 25 20 9 — — 3 ±2.7% 1,344 Online 18
Mainstreet Research February 16, 2021 [p 78] 43 22 25 6 — — 4 ±3.08% 1,011 IVR 18
Campaign Research January 31, 2021 [p 79] 44 25 21 8 — — 3 ±2.6% 1,427 Online 19
Abacus Data January 12, 2021 [p 80] 34 25 29 8 — — 3 ±3.48% 793 Online 5
Mainstreet Research December 5, 2020 [p 81] 46.2 23.4 19.9 6.2 — — 4.3 ±2.94% 1,014 IVR 22.8
Campaign Research December 3, 2020 [p 82] 45 20 24 8 — — 5 ±3% 1,001 Online 21
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 [p 83] 42 28 22 5 — — 3 N/A 1,049 Online 14
Campaign Research November 2, 2020 [p 84] 48 21 23 7 — — 1 ±3% 1,118 Online 25
Abacus Data October 30, 2020 [p 85] 36 25 29 7 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 7
October 12, 2020Jim Karahalios forms the New Blue Party
Abacus Data October 12, 2020 [p 86] 36 29 26 6 — — 2 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 7
Campaign Research October 2, 2020 [p 87] 46 24 20 9 — — 2 ±3% 1,017 Online 22
Campaign Research September 3, 2020 [p 88] 48 22 24 6 — — 2 ±3% 1,129 Online 24
Angus Reid September 1, 2020 [p 89] 45 28 22 4 — — 1 ±3% 1,026 Online 17
Campaign Research August 13, 2020 [p 90] 41 23 26 8 — — 3 ±2% 2,013 Online 15
Innovative Research Group July 20, 2020 [p 91] 36 18 37 8 — — 1 N/A 974 Online 1
Campaign Research July 10, 2020 [p 92] 45 20 27 7 — — 1 ±3% 1,395 Online 18
Innovative Research Group June 23, 2020 [p 93] 31 21 39 9 — — 1 N/A 838 Online 8
Mainstreet Research June 7, 2020 [p 94] 41.8 23.0 27.7 5.5 — — 2.0 ±3% 1,068 IVR 14.1
Campaign Research June 2, 2020 [p 95] 44 22 27 6 — — 2 ±2.5% 1,512 Online 17
Innovative Research Group June 1, 2020 [p 96] 33 20 38 9 — — 0 N/A 698 Online 5
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 [p 97] 43 26 25 6 — — 1 N/A 1,061 Online 17
Abacus Data May 22, 2020 [p 98] 36 19 38 5 — — 2 ±4.1% 597 Online 2
Innovative Research Group May 5, 2020 [p 99] 34 18 39 7 — — 1 N/A 791 Online 5
EKOS March 26, 2020 [p 100] 31.5 17.9 40.4 7.1 — — 3.1 ±3.5% 774 IVR 8.9
Mainstreet Research March 20, 2020 [p 101] 33.1 23.2 33.0 6.9 — — 3.8 ±2.73% 1,017 IVR 0.1
7 March 2020Steven Del Duca is elected as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Campaign Research March 5, 2020 [p 102] 32 28 28 10 — — 2 ±2.9% 1,144 Online 4
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 [p 103] 36 31 24 8 — — 1 ±3.0% 1,051 Online 5
Campaign Research February 26, 2020 [p 104] 32 28 29 9 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,003 Online 3
Campaign Research February 9, 2020 [p 105] 30 26 30 11 — — 3 ±2.5% 1,536 Online 0
EKOS January 19, 2020 [p 106] 31.1 21.2 36.2 9.1 — — 2.3 ±3.9% 634 IVR 5.1
Pollara January 11, 2020 [p 107] 29 27 33 9 — — 2 ±2.1% 2,198 Online 4
EKOS December 10, 2019 [p 108] 29.9 24.4 32.4 9.4 — — 3.9 ±3.4% 811 IVR 2.5
Campaign Research September 9, 2019 [p 109] 32 27 28 11 — — 2 ±3.17% 957 Online 4
Corbett Communications August 16, 2019 [p 110] 30 28 30 11 — — 2 ±3.0% 1,099 Online 0
Corbett Communications July 10, 2019 [p 111] 28 26 28 15 — — 3 ±3.0% 936 Online 0
Corbett Communications June 6, 2019 [p 112] 32 27 26 13 — — 1 ±3.0% 1,555 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 22, 2019 [p 113] 22.4 24.2 39.9 11.7 — — 1.8 ±3.1% 996 IVR 15.7
Ipsos May 21, 2019 [p 114] 30 29 32 — — — 10 ±3.5% 1,000 Online 2
Corbett Communications May 3, 2019 [p 115] 35 25 27 12 — — 1 ±2.4% 1,836 Online 8
Pollara May 1, 2019 [p 116] 30 31 26 11 — — 1 ±2.5% 1,527 Online 1
Mainstreet Research March 22, 2019 [p 117] 34.4 26.6 26.0 9.4 — — 3.6 ±2.73% 1,290 IVR 7.8
Innovative Research Group January 24, 2019 [p 118] 33 23 36 7 — — 1 751 Online 3
Mainstreet Research January 17, 2019 [p 119] 41.4 27.0 22.6 7.0 — — 2.2 ±2.92% 1,127 IVR 14.4
EKOS December 3, 2018 [p 120] 34.3 26.1 28.0 9.4 — — 2.3 ±3.1% 1,025 IVR 6.3
Campaign Research November 9, 2018 [p 121] 34 25 32 7 — — 2 ±2.3% 1,830 Online 2
Mainstreet Research November 7, 2018 [p 122] 42.2 26.5 21.3 6.4 — — 3.5 ±2.79% 1,229 IVR 15.7
Innovative Research Group October 28, 2018 [p 123] 35 25 32 7 — — 1 1,628 Online 3
Abacus Data October 1, 2018 [p 124] 36 29 24 8 — — 3 1,500 Online 7
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 [p 125] 41.7 27.8 21.3 6.7 — — 2.5 ±2.27% 1,861 IVR 13.9
29 June 2018Doug Ford is sworn in as Premier of Ontario
Innovative Research Group June 21, 2018 [p 118] 37 36 19 7 — — 2 ±4.0% 607 Telephone 1
14 June 2018John Fraser becomes interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
7 June 2018Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
2018 election June 7, 2018 N/a 40.50 33.56 19.59 4.60 — 0.04 1.74 N/a 5,744,860 N/a 6.94
Polling firm Last date
of polling		 Source Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other
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Notes

Results

  • 2022 Ontario Gallagher Index
    The disproportionality of elections to the Legislative Assembly in the 2022 election was 22.59 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly due to the disparity between the vote share and seat share of the Liberals and PCs.
  • 2022-2018 turnout
    Turnout by riding contrasted, 2022 vs 2018.

Despite only posting a marginal increase in the popular vote, the Progressive Conservative Party won with an increased parliamentary majority.[171]

PC gains came primarily at the expense of the New Democratic Party, who lost significant vote share primarily to the Liberal Party. Nevertheless, the NDP maintained their role as official opposition by a large margin. Although she won her seat, Andrea Horwath resigned as leader of the NDP.[172]

Despite edging out the NDP for second place in the popular vote, the Liberals only gained one seat and failed to regain official party status. After failing to win in his own riding, Liberal leader Steven Del Duca also announced his resignation as party leader.[173]

The only two candidates outside the three largest parties to be elected were Green Party leader Mike Schreiner and independent candidate Bobbi Ann Brady, who prior to the election was the executive assistant to the retiring PC MPP in her riding.

The official results, certified by Elections Ontario, are as follows:

↓
83 31 8 1 1
Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal G I
More information Party, Votes ...
Party Votes Seats
Progressive Conservative 1,912,057
40.83%
 Increase 0.33pp
83 / 124 (67%)
New Democratic 1,111,923
23.74%
 Decrease 9.85pp
31 / 124 (25%)
Liberal 1,116,961
23.91%
 Increase 4.32pp
8 / 124 (6%)
Green 279,152
5.96%
 Increase 1.36pp
1 / 124 (0.8%)
Independent[a 1] 25,334
0.53%
 Increase 0.39pp
1 / 124 (0.8%)
Close
Popular vote
PC
 
 40.83%
Liberal
 
 23.91%
New Democratic
 
 23.74%
Green
 
 5.96%
Others
 
 5.56%
Seat summary
PC
 
 66.94%
New Democratic
 
 25.00%
Liberal
 
 6.45%
Green
 
 0.81%
Others
 
 0.81%
  1. [1]
    Bobbi Ann Brady was elected for Haldimand—Norfolk with 15,921 votes, or 0.34% of the province-wide vote.

Synopsis of results

For more detail on candidates who ran, see Candidates of the 2022 Ontario general election.
More information Riding, Winning party ...
Results by riding - 2022 Ontario general election[a 1][a 2][a 3]
Riding Winning party Turnout
[a 4][a 5]		 Votes[a 6]
2018 1st place Votes Share Margin
#		 Margin
%		 2nd place PC NDP Lib Green NB Ont Ind Other Total
 
Ajax  PC  PC 15,33640.69%1,7754.71%  Lib 39.96%15,3366,29113,5611,305625330239–37,687
Algoma—Manitoulin  NDP  NDP 11,25245.93%2,56010.45%  PC 42.47%8,69211,2522,1337641,302356––24,499
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill  PC  PC 17,34053.26%7,34022.55%  Lib 38.19%17,3402,50110,0001,268649732–6932,559
Barrie—Innisfil  PC  PC 18,22550.25%11,28331.11%  NDP 39.61%18,2256,9426,5642,2911,22076414711936,272
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte  PC  PC 16,63142.10%2960.75%  Lib 46.75%16,6313,09316,3351,6991,104638––39,500
Bay of Quinte  PC  PC 21,38149.30%12,30828.38%  NDP 45.91%21,3819,0738,0032,7191,1281,062––43,366
Beaches—East York  NDP  Lib 14,39835.42%8982.21%  NDP 49.58%7,53613,50014,3984,154441310–30940,648
Brampton Centre  NDP  PC 10,11941.36%3,59714.70%  NDP 36.67%10,1196,5226,119882821–––24,463
Brampton East  NDP  PC 12,86944.32%3,85213.27%  NDP 36.35%12,8699,0176,131557295167––29,036
Brampton North  NDP  PC 13,50944.99%4,87016.22%  Lib 38.46%13,5095,9498,639895610423––30,025
Brampton South  PC  PC 12,98045.38%5,02317.56%  Lib 35.81%12,9805,4757,9571,028974––18828,602
Brampton West  PC  PC 14,75147.84%6,66221.60%  Lib 34.19%14,7516,3988,089854511233––30,836
Brantford—Brant  PC  PC 20,73844.17%7,45515.88%  NDP 42.05%20,73813,2836,0833,1742,08964015778946,953
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound  PC  PC 20,30448.56%11,80528.23%  Lib 47.02%20,3045,8178,4993,7021,1301,68020147841,811
Burlington  PC  PC 22,34842.55%6,89613.13%  Lib 51.63%22,3489,26215,4523,5151,310633––52,520
Cambridge  PC  PC 14,59037.03%5,84514.83%  NDP 43.22%14,5908,7458,1553,5374,374–––39,401
Carleton  PC  PC 22,29548.15%9,84321.26%  Lib 48.79%22,2957,25612,4522,5371,037494–23546,306
Chatham-Kent—Leamington  PC  PC 17,52247.52%6,35917.25%  NDP 44.87%17,52211,163–1,2441,4635,478––36,870
Davenport  NDP  NDP 20,24257.06%13,42737.85%  Lib 43.30%4,99420,2426,8151,71039540021670135,473
Don Valley East  Lib  Lib 12,31343.86%3,27511.66%  PC 42.37%9,0384,35512,3131,13932329519242128,076
Don Valley North  PC  PC 15,04147.41%3,35610.58%  Lib 40.76%15,0413,13311,6851,179690–––31,728
Don Valley West  Lib  Lib 16,17744.01%1,9695.36%  PC 49.36%14,2083,39216,1772,0254211678528536,760
Dufferin—Caledon  PC  PC 22,91149.67%14,22330.86%  Lib 42.07%22,9114,9678,6786,5182,280589–18446,127
Durham  PC  PC 22,61445.85%10,33820.96%  Lib 43.71%22,6149,16812,2761,9811,898686697–49,320
Eglinton—Lawrence  PC  PC 16,60542.30%5241.33%  Lib 46.72%16,6053,80116,0811,51339326821638139,258
Elgin—Middlesex—London  PC  PC 22,36951.08%14,39632.87%  NDP 44.78%22,3697,9737,6182,0432,2381,092–45843,791
Essex  NDP  PC 24,92651.10%11,13322.82%  NDP 47.21%24,92613,7934,1869891,2933,322–27148,780
Etobicoke Centre  PC  PC 22,03548.59%6,59214.54%  Lib 48.55%22,0353,90615,4432,0361,117530–28445,351
Etobicoke—Lakeshore  PC  PC 17,97837.48%8421.76%  Lib 45.28%17,9788,59517,1362,2781,612–18618147,966
Etobicoke North  PC  PC 13,93455.51%8,05032.07%  Lib 33.98%13,9343,2905,884690391782–13225,103
Flamborough—Glanbrook  PC  PC 20,30646.20%10,31123.46%  NDP 46.91%20,3069,9958,9702,3921,492710–8643,951
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell  PC  PC 18,66142.05%1,1322.55%  Lib 45.56%18,6613,78917,5291,6701,924809––44,382
Guelph  Green  Green 29,75254.45%18,60334.05%  PC 49.39%11,1494,4027,26329,7521,619––45354,638
Haldimand—Norfolk  PC  Ind 15,92135.05%2,0704.56%  PC 48.88%13,8516,3113,3291,8411,4542,35316,02026845,427
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock  PC  PC 25,59452.31%17,90236.59%  NDP 48.14%25,5947,6926,5903,6958883,949–51848,926
Hamilton Centre  NDP  NDP 16,69057.26%11,89040.79%  PC 37.94%4,80016,6903,7992,55448345114522529,147
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek  NDP  PC 12,16634.60%2,5527.26%  NDP 40.95%12,1669,6147,4111,7406931,0522,4117935,166
Hamilton Mountain  NDP  NDP 15,25044.81%5,03914.81%  PC 41.49%10,21115,2505,3001,913770590––34,034
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas  NDP  NDP 18,19740.42%3,3457.43%  PC 48.45%14,85218,1978,1842,416904464––45,017
Hastings—Lennox and Addington  PC  PC 18,15647.55%10,89828.54%  NDP 47.12%18,1567,2587,1021,7321,1292,807––38,184
Humber River—Black Creek  NDP  NDP 7,95934.49%8833.83%  Lib 33.15%6,8657,9597,076430281357110–23,078
Huron—Bruce  PC  PC 24,36951.97%15,59433.26%  Lib 54.16%24,3697,6798,7751,9223,3844742127746,892
Kanata—Carleton  PC  PC 19,87143.61%8,82619.37%  NDP 51.38%19,87111,04510,6722,5031,085393––45,569
Kenora—Rainy River  PC  PC 9,56759.57%6,36839.65%  NDP 40.21%9,5673,1991,823608393276959816,059
Kiiwetinoong  NDP  NDP 2,74257.57%1,31627.63%  PC 30.40%1,4262,742281158156–––4,763
King—Vaughan  PC  PC 23,43957.31%11,78128.81%  Lib 39.79%23,4392,84011,6581,1041,400309–14740,897
Kingston and the Islands  NDP  Lib 18,36037.66%3,1746.51%  NDP 46.84%11,97315,18618,3601,60142982713024348,749
Kitchener Centre  NDP  NDP 15,78940.59%5,41313.91%  PC 46.21%10,37615,7895,7284,9802,029–––38,902
Kitchener—Conestoga  PC  PC 15,04540.03%4,19411.16%  NDP 48.88%15,04510,8516,5902,3152,223501–6437,589
Kitchener South—Hespeler  PC  PC 13,76839.91%4,65013.48%  NDP 42.16%13,7689,1185,6293,9931,436552––34,496
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex  PC  PC 24,93358.81%16,94639.97%  NDP 47.28%24,9337,9874,0631,6882,701727–30042,399
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston  PC  PC 22,14250.11%12,99629.41%  NDP 50.02%22,1429,1466,9622,9827531,66321332444,185
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes  PC  PC 24,65757.69%16,91139.56%  Lib 49.18%24,6575,7997,7462,583944536–47942,744
London—Fanshawe  NDP  NDP 16,12347.06%4,89914.30%  PC 36.56%11,22416,1233,5531,2001,072539–54934,260
London North Centre  NDP  NDP 17,08239.65%4,0319.36%  PC 42.13%13,05117,0829,0132,0641,200368–30743,085
London West  NDP  NDP 22,51045.13%5,62411.27%  PC 48.62%16,88622,5106,0771,7131,277521–89849,882
Markham—Stouffville  PC  PC 21,17648.43%5,66412.95%  Lib 44.51%21,1764,13715,5121,723658517––43,723
Markham—Thornhill  PC  PC 14,01148.82%3,24811.32%  Lib 39.68%14,0112,59710,763733376––21928,699
Markham—Unionville  PC  PC 19,98556.42%9,21126.00%  Lib 39.12%19,9852,57910,7741,299536249––35,422
Milton  PC  PC 16,76643.07%1,6804.32%  Lib 42.70%16,7663,77715,0861,6121,579––10738,927
Mississauga Centre  PC  PC 14,71943.60%2,4597.28%  Lib 38.14%14,7194,14812,2601,188523332–58833,758
Mississauga East—Cooksville  PC  PC 13,84040.91%1,2063.57%  Lib 39.58%13,8403,66412,6341,3451,599625–12133,828
Mississauga—Erin Mills  PC  PC 15,69342.15%1,7364.66%  Lib 41.70%15,6934,52113,9541,594978495––37,235
Mississauga—Lakeshore  PC  PC 19,34145.09%3,5738.33%  Lib 46.95%19,3413,64715,7682,1601,014501–45942,890
Mississauga—Malton  PC  PC 13,02844.89%4,19014.44%  Lib 36.51%13,0285,1408,8381,173844–––29,023
Mississauga—Streetsville  PC  PC 17,31745.58%3,83810.10%  Lib 42.67%17,3174,55413,4791,137737484–28137,989
Mushkegowuk—James Bay  NDP  NDP 3,42347.18%82911.43%  PC 39.40%2,5943,423852141222––237,255
Nepean  PC  PC 17,12339.26%2,0944.80%  Lib 45.89%17,1238,43515,0291,696964370––43,617
Newmarket—Aurora  PC  PC 18,67144.97%5,60213.49%  Lib 44.42%18,6715,28113,0692,3321,520532–11841,523
Niagara Centre  NDP  NDP 16,36039.70%8542.07%  PC 43.37%15,50616,3605,4921,8651,148837––41,208
Niagara Falls  NDP  NDP 24,20748.08%5,86511.65%  PC 43.60%18,34224,2074,2391,3561,409656–13550,344
Niagara West  PC  PC 18,77944.93%10,12124.22%  NDP 53.16%18,7798,6588,0132,7021,0982,207–33941,796
Nickel Belt  NDP  NDP 15,61150.77%6,43020.91%  PC 45.51%9,18115,6113,0429211,522470––30,747
Nipissing  PC  PC 15,39250.20%6,72721.94%  NDP 48.29%15,3928,6654,1501,025399616–41230,659
Northumberland—Peterborough South  PC  PC 26,41950.93%13,48325.99%  Lib 51.72%26,4196,80612,9362,9421,1701,598––51,871
Oakville  PC  PC 21,16245.44%3,6087.75%  Lib 50.29%21,1623,15417,5542,416764497–1,02246,569
Oakville North—Burlington  PC  PC 22,22147.18%5,59011.87%  Lib 46.89%22,2214,67316,6312,0271,097446––47,095
Orléans  Lib  Lib 23,98246.26%15,41313.61%  PC 46.59%16,9267,15023,9822,359796442–18451,839
Oshawa  NDP  NDP 17,17042.07%7471.83%  PC 39.48%16,42317,1703,7261,6411,006843––40,809
Ottawa Centre  NDP  NDP 30,31154.34%17,71531.76%  Lib 50.74%8,77330,31112,5962,718798–14044555,781
Ottawa South  Lib  Lib 18,28245.14%8,66321.39%  NDP 42.48%9,3909,61918,2821,88567538615410940,500
Ottawa—Vanier  Lib  Lib 16,13241.89%6,10615.85%  NDP 39.42%7,79810,02616,1323,019400587–71138,673
Ottawa West—Nepean  PC  NDP 15,69637.54%1,0862.60%  PC 47.42%14,61015,6969,3841,475–649––41,814
Oxford  PC  PC 22,16650.01%12,66228.57%  NDP 46.45%22,1669,5045,4572,0971,5183,579––44,321
Parkdale—High Park  NDP  NDP 23,02453.97%13,47731.59%  Lib 50.25%6,27023,0249,5472,587537349–35042,664
Parry Sound—Muskoka  PC  PC 20,21645.37%2,1144.74%  Green 53.09%20,2163,427–18,1028831,64915512644,558
Perth—Wellington  PC  PC 19,46846.80%10,29824.76%  NDP 50.09%19,4689,1706,7082,6272,457985–18241,597
Peterborough—Kawartha  PC  PC 20,20538.58%4,2078.03%  Lib 51.47%20,20511,19615,9981,9141,0881,972––52,373
Pickering—Uxbridge  PC  PC 19,20844.43%6,86315.87%  Lib 45.29%19,2086,93412,3452,2665431,790–14643,232
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke  PC  PC 24,56361.12%17,69144.02%  NDP 46.29%24,5636,8723,9281,4701,8681,162–32540,188
Richmond Hill  PC  PC 16,08852.24%6,26320.34%  Lib 36.14%16,0882,8059,825917535519–10730,796
St. Catharines  NDP  NDP 17,12839.71%2,2775.28%  PC 46.66%14,85117,1287,1751,7641,103613–50243,136
Sarnia—Lambton  PC  PC 21,18452.72%11,69529.11%  NDP 46.69%21,1849,4894,2001,2662,719351–97240,181
Sault Ste. Marie  PC  PC 12,60646.89%2,5779.59%  NDP 44.49%12,60610,0291,610675894–1,070–26,884
Scarborough—Agincourt  PC  PC 14,04049.03%3,36811.76%  Lib 39.43%14,0402,51210,672628292492––28,636
Scarborough Centre  PC  PC 11,47135.99%1,7935.63%  Lib 41.25%11,4718,3589,67889235529735246631,869
Scarborough—Guildwood  Lib  Lib 13,40546.31%4,28214.79%  PC 41.63%9,1234,82413,405818366265–14828,949
Scarborough North  PC  PC 12,64648.31%4,89618.70%  Lib 39.26%12,6464,8207,750479277105–10026,177
Scarborough—Rouge Park  PC  PC 15,98945.28%6,20517.57%  Lib 45.12%15,9897,7429,784850285523–13935,312
Scarborough Southwest  NDP  NDP 16,84247.68%7,09220.08%  PC 44.34%9,75016,8426,5561,25138332011011435,326
Simcoe—Grey  PC  PC 27,06751.18%15,38029.08%  Lib 43.52%27,0675,84911,6874,7422,1471,039–35552,886
Simcoe North  PC  PC 23,04149.80%14,83332.06%  NDP 46.24%23,0418,2088,0704,0711,4381,119–31846,265
Spadina—Fort York  NDP  NDP 15,59546.06%6,13218.11%  Lib 34.35%6,22115,5959,4631,902581––9533,857
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry  PC  PC 20,76657.50%14,30839.62%  Lib 41.63%20,7664,9826,4581,4771,538893––36,114
Sudbury  NDP  NDP 12,01340.85%3,49411.88%  PC 44.60%8,51912,0135,7271,4807243539050429,410
Thornhill  PC  PC 18,39553.28%8,14823.60%  Lib 39.88%18,3952,69810,2471,15593135136138434,522
Thunder Bay—Atikokan  NDP  PC 9,65736.31%8983.38%  NDP 43.09%9,6578,7596,486781529248–13826,598
Thunder Bay—Superior North  Lib  NDP 8,40434.12%8003.25%  PC 43.24%7,6048,4046,966738314338–27024,634
Timiskaming—Cochrane  NDP  NDP 9,73542.74%1,7117.51%  PC 42.61%8,0249,7351,6001,4851,181349–40522,779
Timmins  NDP  PC 9,35664.81%5,08535.22%  NDP 43.54%9,3564,271–323421––6614,437
Toronto Centre  NDP  NDP 15,28543.77%2,4657.06%  Lib 39.82%4,24515,28512,8201,784385––40234,921
Toronto—Danforth  NDP  NDP 22,89055.39%13,65033.03%  Lib 49.44%5,55622,8909,2402,513515232–37841,324
Toronto—St. Paul's  NDP  NDP 15,29236.26%1,0922.59%  Lib 48.07%9,44515,29214,2002,302473242–22542,179
University—Rosedale  NDP  NDP 13,96137.55%3,78910.19%  Lib 43.20%6,53513,96110,1725,904469––14037,181
Vaughan—Woodbridge  PC  PC 19,34053.78%6,72518.70%  Lib 44.03%19,3401,92712,615694802304–27635,958
Waterloo  NDP  NDP 20,61545.89%7,43916.56%  PC 48.41%13,17620,6156,2513,1101,178359–23344,922
Wellington—Halton Hills  PC  PC 25,04950.61%17,32535.00%  NDP 48.38%25,0497,7246,9207,0022,548––25049,493
Whitby  PC  PC 21,84047.37%11,31625.54%  NDP 44.88%21,84010,5249,5562,39790351916819746,104
Willowdale  PC  PC 14,10544.66%2,1156.70%  Lib 39.84%14,1053,25311,9901,14339233813223031,583
Windsor—Tecumseh  NDP  PC 17,69245.89%6,14115.93%  NDP 40.61%17,69211,5515,5981,0027861,21952417938,551
Windsor West  NDP  NDP 13,39542.19%2,1846.88%  PC 33.62%11,21113,3954,1598796301,478––31,752
York Centre  PC  PC 12,94746.03%3,96314.09%  Lib 38.94%12,9473,9358,984799411679–37328,128
York—Simcoe  PC  PC 20,78956.76%14,47039.51%  Lib 39.00%20,7894,0836,3192,6911,633698–41536,628
York South—Weston  NDP  PC 11,13836.60%7962.62%  NDP 38.11%11,13810,3427,377770345251209–30,432
Close
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected under the same party banner
  = incumbent switched allegiance after 2018 election
  = other incumbents renominated
  1. [1]
    Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  2. [2]
    Summarized from "Statistical Summary by Electoral District: 2022 Provincial General Election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  3. [3]
    Summarized from "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate: 2022 Provincial General Election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  4. [4]
    including spoilt ballots
  5. [5]
    Provincewide turnout was 44.06%
  6. [6]
    minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Comparative analysis for ridings (2022 vs 2018)

Analytical charts

Ternary plots of election results
  • Ternary plot of 2018 results
    2018
  • Ternary plot of 2022 results
    2022
Electoral districts won identified by PC (blue), Liberal (red), NDP (orange), Green (green) and Independent (grey).
  • Strength of 1st-place finishes compared between 2022 and 2018 results
    2022 vs 2018
  • 1st-place results analyzed by winning party
    2022 (by winning party)
  • Strength of 2nd-place finishes compared between 2022 and 2018 results
    2022 vs 2018
  • 2nd-place results analyzed by party
    2022 (by party finishing second)
  • Strength of other candidate finishes aggregated, compared between 2022 and 2018 results
    2022 vs 2018
  • Other results grouped, with 3rd-place finishes identified by party
    2022
  • Marginality compared between 2022 and 2018 results
    2022 vs 2018
  • Marginal results analyzed by winning party
    2022 (by winning party)

Turnout, winning shares and swings

More information Riding and winning party, Turnout ...
Summary of riding results by turnout, vote share for winning candidate, and swing (vs 2018)[a 1]
Riding and winning party Turnout Vote share[a 2] Swing[a 3]
% Change (pp) % Change (pp) To Change (pp)
 
AjaxPCHold39.96-14.67
 
40.691.65
 
PC7.96
 
Algoma—ManitoulinNDPHold42.47-10.61
 
45.93-12.63
 
PC-11.83
 
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond HillPCHold38.19-17.24
 
53.26-2.78
 
Lib-5.95
 
Barrie—InnisfilPCHold39.61-14.66
 
50.250.28
 
PC4.87
 
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-MedontePCHold46.75-10.31
 
42.10-2.64
 
PC8.87
 
Bay of QuintePCHold45.91-10.55
 
49.301.28
 
PC6.10
 
Beaches—East YorkLibGain49.58-11.58
 
35.428.41
 
Lib-11.71
 
Brampton CentrePCGain36.67-13.68
 
41.363.26
 
PC-7.48
 
Brampton EastPCGain36.35-15.32
 
44.3210.82
 
PC-13.34
 
Brampton NorthPCGain38.46-13.12
 
44.998.70
 
PC-13.22
 
Brampton SouthPCHold35.81-14.14
 
45.384.37
 
PC9.54
 
Brampton WestPCHold34.19-13.48
 
47.848.45
 
PC12.90
 
Brantford—BrantPCHold42.05-15.11
 
44.172.17
 
PC7.39
 
Bruce—Grey—Owen SoundPCHold47.02-11.37
 
48.56-6.14
 
PC2.02
 
BurlingtonPCHold51.63-11.82
 
42.552.10
 
PC6.55
 
CambridgePCHold43.22-11.96
 
37.030.06
 
PC5.18
 
CarletonPCHold48.79-13.21
 
48.15-3.18
 
PC1.82
 
Chatham-Kent—LeamingtonPCHold44.87-11.92
 
47.52-4.40
 
PC0.52
 
DavenportNDPHold43.30-12.52
 
57.06-3.20
 
Lib-1.87
 
Don Valley EastLibHold42.37-12.85
 
43.867.93
 
Lib4.41
 
Don Valley NorthPCHold40.76-13.05
 
47.412.97
 
Lib-1.47
 
Don Valley WestLibHold49.36-11.91
 
44.015.12
 
Lib2.48
 
Dufferin—CaledonPCHold42.07-14.50
 
49.67-3.42
 
PC3.08
 
DurhamPCHold43.71-16.23
 
45.85-1.14
 
PC5.97
 
Eglinton—LawrencePCHold46.72-13.39
 
42.301.92
 
Lib-0.30
 
Elgin—Middlesex—LondonPCHold44.78-14.68
 
51.08-4.38
 
PC4.74
 
EssexPCGain47.21-8.91
 
51.108.12
 
PC-13.90
 
Etobicoke CentrePCHold48.55-13.36
 
48.595.59
 
PC3.11
 
Etobicoke—LakeshorePCHold45.28-13.33
 
37.48-0.87
 
PC7.05
 
Etobicoke NorthPCHold33.98-16.60
 
55.513.02
 
PC7.64
 
Flamborough—GlanbrookPCHold46.91-13.67
 
46.202.68
 
PC7.05
 
Glengarry—Prescott—RussellPCHold45.56-9.85
 
42.051.07
 
Lib-3.39
 
GuelphGreenHold49.39-11.73
 
54.459.42
 
Green5.41
 
Haldimand—NorfolkIndGain48.88-10.32
 
35.05N/A[a 4]NDP-6.80
 
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—BrockPCHold48.14-11.52
 
52.31-4.40
 
PC3.19
 
Hamilton CentreNDPHold37.94-10.97
 
57.26-7.99
 
PC-4.40
 
Hamilton East—Stoney CreekPCGain40.95-12.11
 
34.605.78
 
PC-14.80
 
Hamilton MountainNDPHold41.49-14.68
 
44.81-9.77
 
PC-5.47
 
Hamilton West—Ancaster—DundasNDPHold48.45-13.81
 
40.42-2.76
 
PC-2.36
 
Hastings—Lennox and AddingtonPCHold47.12-11.99
 
47.55-2.71
 
PC5.36
 
Humber River—Black CreekNDPHold33.15-14.11
 
34.49-2.93
 
PC-1.20
 
Huron—BrucePCHold54.16-9.35
 
51.97-0.39
 
PC6.13
 
Kanata—CarletonPCHold51.38-10.94
 
43.610.41
 
PC2.67
 
Kenora—Rainy RiverPCHold40.21-13.91
 
59.5711.01
 
PC14.21
 
King—VaughanPCHold39.79-15.73
 
57.310.69
 
Lib-2.23
 
Kingston and the IslandsLibGain46.84-10.45
 
37.6610.14
 
Lib-9.07
 
Kitchener CentreNDPHold46.21-12.05
 
40.59-2.80
 
PC-0.90
 
Kitchener—ConestogaPCHold48.88-11.05
 
40.030.45
 
PC4.78
 
Kitchener South—HespelerPCHold42.16-13.66
 
39.911.05
 
PC5.83
 
Lambton—Kent—MiddlesexPCHold47.28-13.50
 
58.813.46
 
PC8.97
 
Lanark—Frontenac—KingstonPCHold50.02-12.00
 
50.11-1.92
 
PC3.93
 
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau LakesPCHold49.18-11.04
 
57.69-3.58
 
PC1.32
 
London—FanshaweNDPHold36.56-13.10
 
47.06-8.62
 
PC-5.80
 
London North CentreNDPHold42.13-12.82
 
39.65-7.95
 
PC-3.69
 
London WestNDPHold48.62-11.94
 
45.13-10.21
 
PC-7.51
 
Markham—StouffvillePCHold44.51-14.34
 
48.430.31
 
Lib-4.58
 
Markham—ThornhillPCHold39.68-12.53
 
48.82-1.63
 
Lib-7.37
 
Markham—UnionvillePCHold39.12-15.62
 
56.42-6.01
 
Lib-9.21
 
MiltonPCHold42.70-13.40
 
43.071.40
 
Lib-3.76
 
Mississauga CentrePCHold38.14-11.65
 
43.602.74
 
PC9.01
 
Mississauga East—CooksvillePCHold39.58-11.89
 
40.91-0.24
 
Lib-3.68
 
Mississauga—Erin MillsPCHold41.70-13.43
 
42.150.54
 
PC8.00
 
Mississauga—LakeshorePCHold46.95-12.38
 
45.092.76
 
PC0.51
 
Mississauga—MaltonPCHold36.51-11.86
 
44.895.77
 
PC10.45
 
Mississauga—StreetsvillePCHold42.67-12.86
 
45.582.05
 
PC7.95
 
NepeanPCHold45.89-12.85
 
39.26-5.87
 
PC1.66
 
Newmarket—AuroraPCHold44.42-14.56
 
44.97-2.74
 
PC4.20
 
Niagara CentreNDPHold43.37-12.76
 
39.70-4.53
 
PC-2.32
 
Niagara FallsNDPHold43.60-10.96
 
48.08-2.71
 
PC-1.78
 
Niagara WestPCHold53.16-10.11
 
44.93-7.88
 
PC0.61
 
Nickel BeltNDPHold45.51-9.91
 
50.77-12.73
 
PC-10.30
 
NipissingPCHold48.29-9.96
 
50.200.27
 
PC4.44
 
Northumberland—Peterborough SouthPCHold51.72-12.92
 
50.935.61
 
PC8.49
 
OakvillePCHold50.29-12.18
 
45.441.77
 
Lib-0.09
 
Oakville North—BurlingtonPCHold46.89-13.31
 
47.180.77
 
PC7.61
 
OrléansLibHold46.59-16.18
 
46.267.21
 
Lib4.88
 
OshawaNDPHold39.48-15.10
 
42.07-2.81
 
PC-0.66
 
Ottawa CentreNDPHold50.74-10.47
 
54.348.26
 
NDP9.23
 
Ottawa SouthLibHold42.48-14.43
 
45.145.51
 
Lib5.78
 
Ottawa—VanierLibHold39.42-12.05
 
41.71-1.15
 
Lib1.30
 
Ottawa West—NepeanNDPGain47.42-9.62
 
37.545.06
 
NDP-1.47
 
OxfordPCHold46.45-12.79
 
50.01-5.72
 
PC1.63
 
Parkdale—High ParkNDPHold50.25-12.18
 
53.97-5.44
 
PC-1.07
 
Parry Sound—MuskokaPCHold53.09-6.12
 
45.37-2.70
 
PC5.82
 
Perth—WellingtonPCHold50.09-10.25
 
46.80-3.87
 
PC2.40
 
Peterborough—KawarthaPCHold51.47-11.28
 
38.580.90
 
PC6.64
 
Pickering—UxbridgePCHold45.29-13.61
 
44.432.23
 
PC9.11
 
Renfrew—Nipissing—PembrokePCHold46.29-13.45
 
61.12-8.07
 
NDP-4.22
 
Richmond HillPCHold36.14-16.04
 
52.241.00
 
Lib-1.49
 
St. CatharinesNDPHold46.66-11.39
 
39.713.09
 
NDP1.13
 
Sarnia—LambtonPCHold46.69-14.20
 
52.72-0.02
 
PC6.86
 
Sault Ste. MariePCHold44.49-10.00
 
46.894.86
 
PC4.15
 
Scarborough—AgincourtPCHold39.43-11.92
 
49.03-1.37
 
Lib-5.18
 
Scarborough CentrePCHold41.25-11.93
 
35.99-2.46
 
PC2.34
 
Scarborough—GuildwoodLibHold41.63-11.30
 
46.3112.96
 
Lib7.29
 
Scarborough NorthPCHold39.26-11.50
 
48.31-2.74
 
PC1.62
 
Scarborough—Rouge ParkPCHold45.12-10.43
 
45.286.66
 
PC10.53
 
Scarborough SouthwestNDPHold44.34-11.69
 
47.682.02
 
NDP2.82
 
Simcoe—GreyPCHold43.52-13.56
 
51.18-4.75
 
PC3.12
 
Simcoe NorthPCHold46.24-12.64
 
49.802.89
 
PC6.59
 
Spadina—Fort YorkNDPHold34.35-19.21
 
46.06-3.56
 
Lib-3.92
 
Stormont—Dundas—South GlengarryPCHold41.63-12.47
 
57.50-4.01
 
PC1.91
 
SudburyNDPHold44.60-9.62
 
40.85-7.22
 
PC-6.48
 
ThornhillPCHold39.88-16.28
 
53.28-7.84
 
PC1.83
 
Thunder Bay—AtikokanPCGain43.09-11.65
 
36.3113.08
 
NDP4.15
 
Thunder Bay—Superior NorthNDPGain43.24-10.60
 
34.12-3.04
 
NDP-4.27
 
Timiskaming—CochraneNDPHold42.61-10.48
 
42.74-18.46
 
PC-15.63
 
TimminsPCGain43.54-4.58
 
64.8135.16
 
PC-31.50
 
Toronto CentreNDPHold39.82-14.49
 
43.77-9.89
 
Lib-9.72
 
Toronto—DanforthNDPHold49.44-12.14
 
55.39-8.85
 
PC-3.22
 
Toronto—St. Paul'sNDPHold48.07-12.64
 
36.260.30
 
NDP0.01
 
University—RosedaleNDPHold43.20-13.43
 
37.55-12.11
 
Lib-8.71
 
Vaughan—WoodbridgePCHold44.03-11.92
 
53.783.29
 
PC0.10
 
WaterlooNDPHold48.41-13.38
 
45.89-4.65
 
PC-1.29
 
Wellington—Halton HillsPCHold48.38-12.73
 
50.61-3.39
 
PC2.52
 
WhitbyPCHold44.88-15.44
 
47.371.57
 
PC7.68
 
WillowdalePCHold39.84-10.68
 
44.661.03
 
Lib-5.16
 
Windsor—TecumsehPCGain40.61-7.22
 
45.8918.85
 
PC-23.65
 
Windsor WestNDPHold33.62-9.68
 
42.19-9.94
 
PC-8.39
 
York CentrePCHold38.94-13.97
 
46.03-4.12
 
PC2.67
 
York—SimcoePCHold39.00-15.92
 
56.76-0.51
 
PC5.88
 
York South—WestonPCGain38.11-11.06
 
36.603.65
 
PC-2.87
 
KiiwetinoongNDPHold30.40-15.40
 
57.577.67
 
NDP2.49
 
Mushkegowuk—James BayNDPHold39.40-14.64
 
47.18-4.59
 
PC-5.18
 
Close
  1. [1]
    Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  2. [2]
    Share won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2018.
  3. [3]
    Positive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2018; negative points to 2018's second-place party being swung to.
  4. [4]
    did not campaign in 2018

Changes in party vote shares

More information Riding, PC ...
Share change analysis by party and riding (2022 vs 2018)
RidingPCNDPLiberalGreen
% Change (pp) % Change (pp) % Change (pp) % Change (pp)
 
Ajax40.691.65
 
16.69-14.27
 
35.9810.18
 
3.460.96
 
Algoma—Manitoulin35.4811.03
 
45.93-12.63
 
8.710.61
 
3.12-0.39
 
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill53.26-2.78
 
7.68-10.35
 
30.719.12
 
3.891.24
 
Barrie—Innisfil50.250.28
 
19.14-9.46
 
18.105.58
 
6.32-0.89
 
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte42.10-2.64
 
7.83-20.38
 
41.3527.76
 
4.30-7.42
 
Bay of Quinte49.301.28
 
20.92-10.92
 
18.453.56
 
6.272.84
 
Beaches—East York18.540.10
 
33.21-15.00
 
35.428.41
 
10.225.96
 
Brampton Centre41.363.26
 
26.66-11.71
 
25.017.68
 
3.610.47
 
Brampton East44.3210.82
 
31.05-15.87
 
21.124.49
 
1.920.56
 
Brampton North44.998.70
 
19.81-17.73
 
28.777.55
 
2.98-0.47
 
Brampton South45.384.37
 
19.14-14.70
 
27.828.92
 
3.59-0.26
 
Brampton West47.848.45
 
20.75-17.35
 
26.237.76
 
2.770.14
 
Brantford—Brant44.172.17
 
28.29-12.62
 
12.963.41
 
6.762.05
 
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound48.56-6.14
 
13.91-10.18
 
20.338.03
 
8.852.90
 
Burlington42.552.10
 
17.64-11.00
 
29.424.82
 
6.692.21
 
Cambridge37.030.06
 
22.19-10.30
 
20.70-2.55
 
8.982.71
 
Carleton48.15-3.18
 
15.67-6.83
 
26.897.45
 
5.481.53
 
Chatham-Kent—Leamington47.52-4.40
 
30.28-5.43
 
–-8.06
 
3.37-0.17
 
Davenport14.08-2.01
 
57.06-3.20
 
19.210.53
 
4.821.28
 
Don Valley East32.19-0.90
 
15.51-11.93
 
43.867.93
 
4.061.52
 
Don Valley North47.412.97
 
9.87-11.00
 
36.835.91
 
3.721.16
 
Don Valley West38.650.16
 
9.23-9.60
 
44.015.12
 
5.512.74
 
Dufferin—Caledon49.67-3.42
 
10.77-9.57
 
18.816.35
 
14.131.60
 
Durham45.85-1.14
 
18.59-13.07
 
24.898.06
 
4.020.14
 
Eglinton—Lawrence42.301.92
 
9.68-8.46
 
40.962.51
 
3.851.45
 
Elgin—Middlesex—London51.08-4.38
 
18.21-13.86
 
17.4010.09
 
4.670.82
 
Essex51.108.12
 
28.28-19.67
 
8.583.03
 
2.03-1.50
 
Etobicoke Centre48.595.59
 
8.61-9.53
 
34.05-0.63
 
4.492.15
 
Etobicoke—Lakeshore37.48-0.87
 
17.92-14.97
 
35.7311.48
 
4.751.13
 
Etobicoke North55.513.02
 
13.11-12.26
 
23.445.26
 
2.75-0.08
 
Flamborough—Glanbrook46.202.68
 
22.74-11.43
 
20.414.97
 
5.440.97
 
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell42.051.07
 
8.54-13.25
 
39.507.85
 
3.760.83
 
Guelph20.41-1.40
 
8.06-13.51
 
13.293.17
 
54.459.42
 
Haldimand—Norfolk30.49-26.61
 
13.89-13.01
 
7.33-1.87
 
4.05-0.09
 
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock52.31-4.40
 
15.72-10.78
 
13.473.57
 
7.553.09
 
Hamilton Centre16.470.80
 
57.26-7.99
 
13.032.15
 
8.763.02
 
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek34.605.78
 
27.34-23.82
 
21.078.99
 
4.950.67
 
Hamilton Mountain30.001.17
 
44.81-9.77
 
15.576.33
 
5.620.48
 
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas32.991.96
 
40.42-2.76
 
18.18-1.61
 
5.371.21
 
Hastings—Lennox and Addington47.55-2.71
 
19.01-13.43
 
18.606.96
 
4.540.21
 
Humber River—Black Creek29.75-0.54
 
34.49-2.93
 
30.662.72
 
1.860.30
 
Huron—Bruce51.97-0.39
 
16.38-12.65
 
18.714.78
 
4.100.68
 
Kanata—Carleton43.610.41
 
24.24-4.93
 
23.426.41
 
5.490.20
 
Kenora—Rainy River59.5711.01
 
19.92-17.41
 
11.350.77
 
3.790.26
 
King—Vaughan57.310.69
 
6.94-8.45
 
28.515.16
 
2.70-0.71
 
Kingston and the Islands24.56-1.52
 
31.15-8.00
 
37.6610.14
 
3.28-3.14
 
Kitchener Centre26.67-0.99
 
40.59-2.80
 
14.72-5.37
 
12.805.96
 
Kitchener—Conestoga40.030.45
 
28.87-9.11
 
17.533.49
 
6.16-0.48
 
Kitchener South—Hespeler39.911.05
 
26.43-10.62
 
16.321.41
 
11.584.05
 
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex58.813.46
 
18.84-14.48
 
9.583.35
 
3.980.69
 
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston50.11-1.92
 
20.70-9.77
 
15.765.11
 
6.751.96
 
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes57.69-3.58
 
13.57-6.22
 
18.124.76
 
6.041.25
 
London—Fanshawe32.762.98
 
47.06-8.62
 
10.372.01
 
3.50-1.01
 
London North Centre30.29-0.57
 
39.65-7.95
 
20.925.21
 
4.790.18
 
London West33.854.81
 
45.13-10.21
 
12.182.27
 
3.43-0.31
 
Markham—Stouffville48.430.31
 
9.46-10.96
 
35.489.46
 
3.94-0.06
 
Markham—Thornhill48.82-1.63
 
9.05-12.28
 
37.5013.11
 
2.550.27
 
Markham—Unionville56.42-6.01
 
7.28-9.29
 
30.4212.40
 
3.671.55
 
Milton43.071.40
 
9.70-12.54
 
38.758.92
 
4.14-0.88
 
Mississauga Centre43.602.74
 
12.29-15.27
 
36.3210.92
 
3.520.89
 
Mississauga East—Cooksville40.91-0.24
 
10.83-11.91
 
37.357.11
 
3.980.52
 
Mississauga—Erin Mills42.150.54
 
12.14-15.46
 
37.4812.11
 
4.281.53
 
Mississauga—Lakeshore45.092.76
 
8.50-9.80
 
36.761.73
 
5.042.08
 
Mississauga—Malton44.895.77
 
17.71-15.13
 
30.459.68
 
4.042.25
 
Mississauga—Streetsville45.582.05
 
11.99-13.85
 
35.489.75
 
2.990.18
 
Nepean39.26-5.87
 
19.34-9.19
 
34.4614.85
 
3.89-1.28
 
Newmarket—Aurora44.97-2.74
 
12.72-11.13
 
31.478.71
 
5.622.04
 
Niagara Centre37.630.12
 
39.70-4.53
 
13.331.50
 
4.530.84
 
Niagara Falls36.430.86
 
48.08-2.71
 
8.42-0.93
 
2.69-0.77
 
Niagara West44.93-7.88
 
20.71-9.09
 
19.178.65
 
6.460.86
 
Nickel Belt29.867.87
 
50.77-12.73
 
9.891.17
 
3.00-0.12
 
Nipissing50.200.27
 
28.26-8.61
 
13.545.61
 
3.340.51
 
Northumberland—Peterborough South50.935.61
 
13.12-11.38
 
24.940.77
 
5.671.14
 
Oakville45.441.77
 
6.77-9.80
 
37.691.95
 
5.191.70
 
Oakville North—Burlington47.180.77
 
9.92-14.46
 
35.3110.95
 
4.300.60
 
Orléans32.65-2.55
 
13.79-8.15
 
46.267.21
 
4.552.04
 
Oshawa40.24-1.49
 
42.07-2.81
 
9.131.23
 
4.020.41
 
Ottawa Centre15.73-0.31
 
54.348.26
 
22.58-10.20
 
4.871.35
 
Ottawa South23.19-6.04
 
23.75-3.44
 
45.145.51
 
4.651.57
 
Ottawa—Vanier20.16-1.21
 
25.93-3.75
 
41.71-1.15
 
7.813.73
 
Ottawa West—Nepean34.942.12
 
37.545.06
 
22.44-6.86
 
3.53-0.30
 
Oxford50.01-5.72
 
21.44-8.98
 
12.315.39
 
4.730.42
 
Parkdale—High Park14.70-3.31
 
53.97-5.44
 
22.385.38
 
6.061.40
 
Parry Sound—Muskoka45.37-2.70
 
7.69-14.34
 
–-8.64
 
40.6320.61
 
Perth—Wellington46.80-3.87
 
22.04-8.66
 
16.135.32
 
6.320.45
 
Peterborough—Kawartha38.580.90
 
21.38-12.37
 
30.555.96
 
3.650.33
 
Pickering—Uxbridge44.432.23
 
16.04-15.98
 
28.568.16
 
5.241.28
 
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke61.12-8.07
 
17.100.36
 
9.770.02
 
3.660.68
 
Richmond Hill52.241.00
 
9.11-8.16
 
31.903.99
 
2.980.10
 
St. Catharines34.430.83
 
39.713.09
 
16.63-7.90
 
4.090.37
 
Sarnia—Lambton52.72-0.02
 
23.62-13.75
 
10.456.03
 
3.15-0.50
 
Sault Ste. Marie46.894.86
 
37.30-3.43
 
5.99-3.97
 
2.51-0.74
 
Scarborough—Agincourt49.03-1.37
 
8.77-8.68
 
37.278.98
 
2.190.47
 
Scarborough Centre35.99-2.46
 
26.23-7.14
 
30.378.23
 
2.800.48
 
Scarborough—Guildwood31.51-1.62
 
16.66-10.96
 
46.3112.96
 
2.830.38
 
Scarborough North48.31-2.74
 
18.41-5.98
 
29.617.56
 
1.830.24
 
Scarborough—Rouge Park45.286.66
 
21.92-14.40
 
27.716.80
 
2.41-0.01
 
Scarborough Southwest27.60-3.62
 
47.682.02
 
18.56-0.38
 
3.540.84
 
Simcoe—Grey51.18-4.75
 
11.06-10.99
 
22.107.70
 
8.972.09
 
Simcoe North49.802.89
 
17.74-10.29
 
17.44-0.26
 
8.802.05
 
Spadina—Fort York18.37-3.41
 
46.06-3.56
 
27.954.28
 
5.621.97
 
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry57.50-4.01
 
13.80-7.83
 
17.885.51
 
4.090.42
 
Sudbury28.975.73
 
40.85-7.22
 
19.47-2.95
 
5.030.87
 
Thornhill53.28-7.84
 
7.82-11.51
 
29.6814.90
 
3.351.14
 
Thunder Bay—Atikokan36.3113.08
 
32.93-3.33
 
24.39-11.62
 
2.940.23
 
Thunder Bay—Superior North30.8712.91
 
34.12-3.04
 
28.28-11.59
 
3.000.21
 
Timiskaming—Cochrane35.2312.79
 
42.74-18.46
 
7.02-1.99
 
6.523.89
 
Timmins64.8135.16
 
29.58-27.85
 
–-8.81
 
2.240.49
 
Toronto Centre12.16-1.96
 
43.77-9.89
 
36.719.56
 
5.111.99
 
Toronto—Danforth13.44-2.41
 
55.39-8.85
 
22.368.29
 
6.081.70
 
Toronto—St. Paul's22.39-3.90
 
36.260.30
 
33.670.27
 
5.462.23
 
University—Rosedale17.58-3.53
 
37.55-12.11
 
27.365.30
 
15.8810.51
 
Vaughan—Woodbridge53.783.29
 
5.36-9.20
 
35.083.08
 
1.93-0.33
 
Waterloo29.33-2.08
 
45.89-4.65
 
13.921.75
 
6.922.09
 
Wellington—Halton Hills50.61-3.39
 
15.61-8.42
 
13.981.20
 
14.155.51
 
Whitby47.371.57
 
22.83-13.78
 
20.737.85
 
5.201.81
 
Willowdale44.661.03
 
10.30-15.49
 
37.9611.36
 
3.621.33
 
Windsor—Tecumseh45.8918.85
 
29.96-28.44
 
14.526.39
 
2.60-1.82
 
Windsor West35.316.84
 
42.19-9.94
 
13.10-1.61
 
2.77-0.81
 
York Centre46.03-4.12
 
13.99-9.45
 
31.9410.54
 
2.840.55
 
York—Simcoe56.76-0.51
 
11.15-12.28
 
17.253.66
 
7.352.52
 
York South—Weston36.603.65
 
33.98-2.09
 
24.24-3.59
 
2.53-0.01
 
Kiiwetinoong29.942.69
 
57.577.67
 
5.90-9.28
 
3.32-2.95
 
Mushkegowuk—James Bay35.755.78
 
47.18-4.59
 
11.74-2.54
 
1.940.15
 
Close

Post-election pendulum

The robustness of the margins of victory for each party can be summarized in electoral pendulums. These are not necessarily a measure of the volatility of the respective riding results. The following tables show the margins over the various 2nd-place contenders, for which one-half of the value represents the swing needed to overturn the result. Actual seat turnovers in the 2022 election are noted for reference.

  = seats that turned over in the election

Results summary by region

More information Region, Seats ...
Distribution of seats and popular vote %, by party by region (2022)
Region Seats Vote share (%) Change (pp)
PC NDP Lib Grn Ind PC NDP Lib Grn NB Ont PC NDP Lib Grn NB Ont Major swing
Central Ontario 10––––48.8614.2822.467.573.113.10+3.01-14.64+5.03+1.29+3.11+3.10  →  9.84
Eastern Ontario 7–1––48.0318.3822.524.802.872.89-2.54-8.63+5.76+0.59+2.87+2.69  →  7.15
Greater Toronto Area (905) 241–––46.9515.1830.013.742.371.22+1.15-12.29+8.10+0.75+2.37+1.22  →  10.20
Hamilton, Halton and Niagara 76–––38.6828.6022.465.152.521.67-0.29-9.11+5.23+0.85+2.52+1.67  →  7.17
Midwestern Ontario 82–1138.8423.4814.6612.655.011.80-3.33-9.90+1.74+2.84+5.01+1.61  →  7.45
Northeastern Ontario 45–––40.9033.928.2710.783.261.64+7.37-11.27-4.22+4.92+3.26+1.64  →  9.32
Northwest Ontario 22–––39.2132.0621.593.171.931.20+11.76-5.73-8.48-0.01+1.93+1.20  →  10.12
Ottawa 323––32.0827.3432.555.001.580.91-1.82-2.62+2.40+1.11+1.58+0.82  →  2.51
Southwestern Ontario 64–––44.1932.0011.833.443.763.69+4.70-13.86+2.53-0.41+3.76+3.69  →  9.28
Toronto 1294––32.2227.9431.864.851.410.84-2.55-7.14+6.53+1.52+1.41+0.84  →  6.84
Total 833181140.8323.7423.915.962.711.78+0.33-9.85+4.33+1.35+2.71+1.74  →  7.09
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Detailed results

[2]

More information Political party, Party leader ...
Election results for the 43rd Parliament of Ontario (2022)
Political party Party leader MPPs Votes
Candidates 2018 Dissol. 2022 ± # #± % ± (pp)
Progressive Conservative Doug Ford 124 76 67 83 7Increase 1,919,905 406,618Decrease 40.83% 0.64Increase
Liberal Steven Del Duca 121 7 7 8 1Increase 1,124,065 281Decrease 23.91% 4.49Increase
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 124 40 38 31 9Decrease 1,116,383 813,583Decrease 23.74% 9.60Decrease
Green Mike Schreiner 124 1 1 1 1Steady 280,006 15,487Increase 5.96% 1.39Increase
  Independents and no affiliation 40 – 6 1 1Increase 25,332 17,106Increase 0.54% 0.40Increase
New Blue Jim Karahalios 123 New 1 – – 127,462 New 2.71% New
Ontario Party Derek Sloan 105 – 1 – – 83,618 81,302Increase 1.78% 1.74Increase
None of the Above Greg Vezina 28 – – – – 6,202 9,944Decrease 0.13% 0.15Decrease
Libertarian Mark Snow 16 – – – – 5,242 37,580Decrease 0.11% 0.63Decrease
Populist Jim Torma 13 New – – – 2,638 New 0.06% New
Freedom Paul McKeever 11 – – – – 2,103 462Decrease 0.04% –
Communist Drew Garvie 12 – – – – 2,100 629Increase 0.04% 0.01Increase
Consensus Ontario Brad Harness 11 – – – – 1,651 1,031Decrease 0.04% 0.01Decrease
Moderate Yuri Duboisky 17 – – – – 1,618 581Decrease 0.03% 0.01Decrease
Canadians' Choice Party Bahman Yazdanfar 2 – – – – 568 671Decrease 0.01% 0.01Decrease
Confederation of Regions Murray Reid 3 – – – – 414 28Increase 0.01% –
People's Political Party Troy Young 3 – – – – 409 219Decrease 0.01% –
People's Progressive Common Front Raymond Samuels 3 New – – – 367 New 0.01% New
Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda Queenie Yu 3 – – – – 340 738Decrease 0.01% 0.01Decrease
Centrist Party Mansoor Qureshi 2 New – – – 295 New 0.01% New
Special Needs Lionel Poizner 2 – – – – 290 341Decrease 0.01% –
Northern Ontario Trevor Holliday 2 – – – – 283 5,629Decrease 0.01% 0.09Decrease
Public Benefit Party Kathleen Ann Sayer 2 New – – – 196 New – New
Electoral Reform Party Peter House 2 New – – – 182 New – New
Freedom of Choice, Peace & Justice Party Lilya Eklishaeva 2 New – – – 182 New – New
Ontario Alliance Joshua E. Eriksen 2 – – – – 108 694Decrease – 0.01Decrease
  Vacant 3
Total 897 124 4,701,959 1,042,901Decrease 100.00%
Rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 30,517 30,909Decrease  
Turnout 4,732,476 1,073,810Decrease  
Registered voters / turnout % 10,740,426 44.06% 12.61Decrease
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Summary analysis

More information Party in 1st place, Party in 2nd place ...
Party candidates in 2nd place[174]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
PCNDPLiberalGrn
Progressive Conservative 33 49 1 83
New Democratic 22 9 31
Liberal 4 4 8
Green 1 1
Independent 1 1
Total 28 37 58 1 124
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More information Parties, Seats ...
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results[174]
PartiesSeats
█ Progressive Conservative █ New Democratic 55
█ Progressive Conservative █ Liberal 53
█ Progressive Conservative █ Green 2
█ New Democratic █ Liberal 13
█ Independent █ Progressive Conservative 1
Total 124
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More information Parties, 1st ...
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[174]
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5thTotal
█ Progressive Conservative 832813124
█ New Democratic 3137542124
█ Liberal 858532121
█ Green 1129324121
█ Independent 123
█ New Blue 1168097
█ Ontario Party 191727
█ Confederation of Regions 11
█ Libertarian 11
█ None of the Above 11
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Most marginal 2-way and 3-way contests

More information Riding, 1st ...
Top 10 marginal 2-way contests (2022)[174]
Riding1st2nd1st vs 2nd
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte 42.10% 41.35% 0.75%
Eglinton—Lawrence 42.30% 40.96% 1.34%
Etobicoke—Lakeshore 37.48% 35.72% 1.76%
Oshawa 42.07% 40.24% 1.83%
Niagara Centre 39.70% 37.63% 2.07%
Beaches—East York 35.42% 33.21% 2.21%
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 42.05% 39.50% 2.55%
Toronto—St. Paul's 36.25% 33.66% 2.59%
Ottawa West—Nepean 37.54% 34.94% 2.60%
York South—Weston 36.60% 33.98% 2.62%
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More information Riding, 1st ...
Top 10 marginal 3-way contests (2022)[174]
Riding1st2nd3rd1st vs 3rd
Humber River—Black Creek 34.49% 30.66% 29.75% 4.74%
Thunder Bay—Superior North 34.12% 30.87% 28.28% 5.84%
Scarborough Centre 36.00% 30.37% 26.23% 9.77%
Thunder Bay—Atikokan 36.31% 32.93% 24.39% 11.92%
York South—Weston 36.60% 33.98% 24.24% 12.36%
Kingston and the Islands 37.66% 31.15% 24.56% 13.10%
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 34.60% 27.34% 21.08% 13.52%
Toronto—St. Paul's 36.25% 33.67% 22.39% 13.86%
Ottawa West—Nepean 37.54% 34.94% 22.44% 15.10%
Cambridge 37.03% 22.19% 20.70% 16.33%
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Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

More information Riding, Party ...
RidingPartyCandidatesVotesPlaced
Haldimand—Norfolk█ IndependentBobbi Ann Brady15,9211st
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek█ IndependentPaul Miller2,4114th
Sault Ste. Marie█ IndependentNaomi Sayers1,0704th
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Seats changing hands

Of the 124 seats, 26 were open because of MPPs who chose not to stand for reelection, and voters in only 14 seats changed allegiance from the previous election in 2018.


More information Party, Gain from (loss to) ...
Elections to the 43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario – seats won/lost by party, 2018–2022
Party 2018 Gain from (loss to) 2022
PC NDP Lib Grn Ind
Progressive Conservative 769(1)(1)83
New Democratic 401(9)1(2)31
Liberal 72(1)8
Green 11
Independent –11
Total1242(9)11(2)1(2)–––(1)124
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There were 14 seats that changed allegiance in the election:

Of the 14 seats that changed hands, seven were open seats where the MPPs chose to retire, and seven others saw their incumbents defeated.

More information Riding, Party ...
Open seats taken by candidates of other parties (2022)
Riding Party Candidate Incumbent retiring from the House Won by Party
Beaches—East York █ New Democratic Kate Dupuis Rima Berns-McGown Mary-Margaret McMahon █ Liberal
Brampton North █ New Democratic Sandeep Singh Kevin Yarde[a 1] Graham McGregor █ Progressive Conservative
Essex █ New Democratic Ron LeClair Taras Natyshak Anthony Leardi █ Progressive Conservative
Haldimand—Norfolk █ Progressive Conservative Ken Hewitt Toby Barrett Bobbi Ann Brady █ Independent
Kingston and the Islands █ New Democratic Mary Rita Holland Ian Arthur Ted Hsu █ Liberal
Thunder Bay—Superior North █ Liberal Shelby Ch’ng Michael Gravelle Lise Vaugeois █ New Democratic
Windsor—Tecumseh █ New Democratic Gemma Grey-Hall Percy Hatfield Andrew Dowie █ Progressive Conservative
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  1. [1]
    sat as an Independent at dissolution
More information Constituency, Party ...
Incumbent MPPs defeated (2022)
Constituency Party Name Year elected Seat held by party since Defeated by Party
Brampton Centre █ New Democratic Sara Singh 2018 2018 Charmaine Williams █ Progressive Conservative
Brampton East █ New Democratic Gurratan Singh 2018 2018 Hardeep Grewal █ Progressive Conservative
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek █ New Democratic Paul Miller[a 1] 2007 2007 Neil Lumsden █ Progressive Conservative
Ottawa West—Nepean █ Progressive Conservative Jeremy Roberts 2018 2018 Chandra Pasma █ New Democratic
Thunder Bay—Atikokan █ New Democratic Judith Monteith-Farrell 2018 2018 Kevin Holland █ Progressive Conservative
Timmins █ New Democratic Gilles Bisson 1990 1990 George Pirie █ Progressive Conservative
York South—Weston █ New Democratic Faisal Hassan 2018 2018 Michael Ford █ Progressive Conservative
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  1. [1]
    chose to stand as an Independent in the election

Three PC MPPs had changed allegiance during the course of the past Legislature, but failed to secure reelection under their new banners. The seats reverted to the PCs.

More information Constituency, Party (2018) ...
Constituency Party (2018) Party (at dissolution) Name Year elected Changed allegiance Defeated by Party
Cambridge █ Progressive Conservative █ New Blue Belinda Karahalios 2018 2020 Brian Riddell █ Progressive Conservative
Chatham-Kent—Leamington █ Progressive Conservative █ Ontario Party Rick Nicholls 2011 2021 Trevor Jones █ Progressive Conservative
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell █ Progressive Conservative █ Liberal Amanda Simard 2018 2020 Stéphane Sarrazin █ Progressive Conservative
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More information Source, Party ...
Resulting composition of the 43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario
SourceParty
PC NDP Lib Grn Ind Total
Seats retainedIncumbents returned55284188
Open seats held161219
Ouster of incumbents changing affiliation33
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated617
Open seats gained31217
Total8331811124
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Student Vote results

Student Vote elections are mock elections that run parallel to real elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by CIVIX Canada, in partnership with Elections Ontario. Student Vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the actual results.

More information Party, Leader ...
Summary of the 2022 Ontario Student Vote
Party Leader Seats Votes
Elected 2018 ± # % Change
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 7568Increase 769,70928.72%Decrease 3.63
Liberal Steven Del Duca 2810Increase 1853,26921.95%Increase 3.16
Progressive Conservative Doug Ford 1745Decrease 2855,37218.69%Decrease 8.02
Green Mike Schreiner 42Increase 238,74515.96%Increase 2.99
New Blue Jim Karahalios 00013,5635.59%New
Ontario Party Derek Sloan 0009,5753.95%New
  Others 00012,4685.14%Decrease 3.94
Valid votes 230,233N/aN/a
Rejected ballots -N/aN/a
Total votes cast 124124Steady230,233N/aN/a
Source: [175]
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References

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