2025 Ontario general election

Canadian provincial election From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

General elections were held on February 27, 2025, to elect the 124 members of the 44th Parliament of Ontario.[2] Premier Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives were re-elected to a third consecutive majority government, the first time a party has done so since 1959.[3] The PCs increased their vote share to 43%, however lost three seats compared to 2022.[4] The New Democratic Party led by Marit Stiles retained its status as the Official Opposition,[5] albeit with four fewer seats than in 2022 and while finishing a distant third in the popular vote. The Ontario Liberal Party finished second in the popular vote but won just fourteen seats, remaining in third place in terms of seat count since 2018, although this five-seat increase was enough for the Liberals to regain official party status in the legislature for the first time since 2018. Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie however failed to win her seat in Mississauga East—Cooksville, losing to the PC candidate.

Quick facts 124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 63 seats needed for a majority, Turnout ...
2025 Ontario general election
← 2022
February 27, 2025
Next →
124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout45.40% (Increase1.34 pp)[1]
  First party Second party
 
Leader Doug Ford Marit Stiles
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since March 10, 2018 February 4, 2023
Leader's seat Etobicoke North Davenport
Last election 83 seats, 40.83% 31 seats, 23.74%
Seats before 79 28
Seats won 80 27
Seat change Increase1 Decrease1
Popular vote 2,158,452 931,796
Percentage 42.97% 18.55%
Swing Increase2.14pp Decrease5.19pp
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Bonnie Crombie Mike Schreiner
Party Liberal Green
Leader since December 2, 2023 November 15, 2009
Leader's seat Ran in Mississauga East—Cooksville (lost) Guelph
Last election 8 seats, 23.85% 1 seat, 5.96%
Seats before 9 2
Seats won 14 2
Seat change Increase5 Steady
Popular vote 1,504,688 242,822
Percentage 29.95% 4.83%
Swing Increase6.10pp Decrease1.13pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding.
Composition of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario after the election
Premier before election

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative

 Premier after election

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative

Close

The Greens held their two seats, including leader Mike Schreiner, although suffering a slight drop in popularity. Incumbent independent MPP Bobbi Ann Brady held her seat in Haldimand-Norfolk, winning the second-largest margin in the province.[6]

Background

Under the Ontario Elections Act, general elections must be held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election.[7] As the previous election was held on June 2, 2022, this election was anticipated to be held on June 4, 2026. However, it had been speculated since early 2024 that Premier Doug Ford would call a snap election to take advantage of a lead in the polls and fundraising, as well as a desire to hold the election before the next federal election, which, at that time, the federal Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre was considered extremely likely to win.[8][9] This speculation was fueled in May 2024, when Ford refused to commit to the June 2026 date when asked by reporters at multiple press conferences for confirmation.[10][11][12][8]

On January 23, 2025, multiple news outlets reported that Ford would visit Edith Dumont, the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario, on January 29 to ask for the 43rd Provincial Parliament to be dissolved, triggering an election to be held on February 27.[13][14][15] This speculation was confirmed by Ford at a press conference on January 24.[16] On January 28, he met with Dumont; the Provincial Parliament was formally dissolved, with a writ of election issued the next day.[17][2][18] The election cost approximately $189 million.[19][20]

Electoral districts

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015[21] increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016,[22] recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124.[23][24] This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.[25]

With the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, Ontario was allotted 1 additional seat in the House of Commons. On August 1, 2024, Premier Ford announced that Ontario would break with recent tradition and not adopt the federal electoral boundary changes for the next provincial election.[26] As Northern Ontario lost a seat in the federal process, further adjustments would have been needed to maintain their extra provincial representation, which would have resulted in an extra additional riding.[27]

Timeline

2022

2023

2025

  • January 28: The lieutenant governor dissolves the Legislature.
  • January 29: Writs of election are issued, officially starting the campaign.
  • February 13: Nominations close.
  • February 14: First leaders' debate, organized by Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities.[36]
  • February 17: Second leaders' debate, organized by Broadcast Consortium.
  • February 27: Election day.

Seat changes

More information Party, Gain/(loss) due to ...
43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held up to the election (2022–2025)
Party 2022 Gain/(loss) due to 2025
Resignation
as MPP		 Resignation
from caucus		 Expulsion Byelection
gain		 Byelection
hold
Progressive Conservative 83(4)(2)(1)379
New Democratic 31(2)(2)128
Liberal 8(1)119
Green 112
Independent 1236
Total124(7)––25124
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More information Seat, Before ...
Changes in seats held since June 2, 2022
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Hamilton Centre August 15, 2022 Andrea Horwath[37][38] █ New Democratic Resignation from legislature.[a 1] March 16, 2023 Sarah Jama[39] █ New Democratic
Don Valley North March 10, 2023 Vincent Ke[40] █ PC Resignation from caucus.[a 2] █ Independent
Kanata—Carleton March 24, 2023 Merrilee Fullerton[41] █ PC Resignation from legislature. July 27, 2023 Karen McCrimmon[42] █ Liberal
Algoma—Manitoulin March 31, 2023 Michael Mantha[43] █ New Democratic Expelled from caucus.[a 3] █ Independent
Scarborough—Guildwood May 10, 2023 Mitzie Hunter[44] █ Liberal Resignation from legislature.[a 4] July 27, 2023 Andrea Hazell[45] █ Liberal
Kitchener Centre July 13, 2023 Laura Mae Lindo[46][47] █ New Democratic Resignation from legislature.[a 5] November 30, 2023 Aislinn Clancy[48] █ Green
Mississauga East—Cooksville September 20, 2023 Kaleed Rasheed[49] █ PC Resignation from caucus.[a 6] █ Independent
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex September 22, 2023 Monte McNaughton[50] █ PC Resignation from legislature[a 7] May 2, 2024 Steve Pinsonneault █ PC
Hamilton Centre October 23, 2023 Sarah Jama[51] █ New Democratic Expelled from caucus.[a 8] █ Independent
Milton January 25, 2024 Parm Gill[52] █ PC Resignation from legislature.[a 9] May 2, 2024 Zee Hamid █ PC
Carleton June 28, 2024 Goldie Ghamari[53] █ PC Expelled from caucus.[a 10] █ Independent
Bay of Quinte August 16, 2024 Todd Smith[54] █ PC Resignation from legislature.[a 7] September 19, 2024 Tyler Allsopp █ PC
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  1. [1]
    to run for Mayor of Hamilton.
  2. [2]
    due to allegations that he was involved in the 2019 Canadian Parliament infiltration plot.
  3. [3]
    over workplace misconduct allegations.
  4. [4]
    to run for Mayor of Toronto.
  5. [5]
    to accept position at the University of Waterloo
  6. [6]
    after contradictory claims were made regarding a Las Vegas business trip.
  7. [7]
    to accept position in the private sector
  8. [8]
    over comments made regarding the Gaza war
  9. [9]
    to run in the next federal election
  10. [10]
    after meeting with far-right activist Tommy Robinson

By-election results

More information Riding and winning party, Turnout ...
Analysis of byelections by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 2022)
Riding and winning party Turnout Vote share for winning candidate
% Change (pp) % Change (pp)
Hamilton Centre █ New Democratic Hold 21.97 −15.97
 
 54.28 −2.98
 
Kanata—Carleton █ Liberal Gain 35.14 −16.24
 
 34.53 20.44
 
Scarborough—Guildwood █ Liberal Hold 21.84 −19.79
 
 36.55 −9.75
 
Kitchener Centre █ Green Gain 27.28 −18.94
 
 47.99 35.19
 
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex █ Progressive Conservative Hold 30.25 −17.08
 
 56.85 −1.96
 
Milton █ Progressive Conservative Hold 27.72 −14.99
 
 47.04 3.97
 
Bay of Quinte █ Progressive Conservative Hold 38.45 −7.46
 
 38.69 −10.61
 
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Candidates

See also: Candidates of the 2025 Ontario general election

Incumbents not standing for re-election

As of the candidate nomination deadline, 12 incumbent MPPs chose not to run in the 2025 Ontario election:

More information Electoral district, Incumbent at dissolution ...
Electoral district Incumbent at dissolution Date announced
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound   Rick Byers[55] September 10, 2024
Carleton   Goldie Ghamari[a 1][56] January 31, 2025
Eglinton—Lawrence   Robin Martin[57] November 1, 2024
Hamilton Mountain   Monique Taylor[58] September 9, 2024
Mississauga East—Cooksville   Kaleed Rasheed[a 1][59] October 11, 2024
Nepean   Lisa MacLeod[60] September 13, 2024
Ottawa Centre   Joel Harden[58] March 15, 2024
Parkdale—High Park   Bhutila Karpoche[58] September 29, 2024
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke   John Yakabuski[61] November 20, 2024
Sault Ste. Marie   Ross Romano[62] December 12, 2024
Wellington—Halton Hills   Ted Arnott[63] October 15, 2024
York South—Weston   Michael Ford[64] January 24, 2025
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  1. [1]
    Previously elected as Progressive Conservative

Campaign

Ford's PCs launched their campaign in Windsor, in front of the Ambassador Bridge. Stiles' NDP launched their campaign in Toronto, while Crombie's Liberals launched their campaign in Barrie. Schreiner's Greens launched their campaign with a speech in Queen's Park.[65]

Contests

More information Candidates nominated, Ridings ...
Candidate contests in the ridings
Candidates nominatedRidingsParty
PC Green NDP Lib NB Ont Ind Ltn NOTA Mod Oth Totals
311113
45555520
53030303030241113150
644444444434017954410264
724242424242413182438168
817171717171711984316136
93333333421227
Total124124124123123108444117131239768
Close

Issues

In January 2025, Ford began to state that he would need a "clear mandate" from voters to respond to the tariffs on Canadian imports to the United States threatened by the newly re-elected President Donald Trump.[66][67] A video taken on the day of the 2024 US presidential election was later released showing Ford stating that he was "100% happy" that Trump won, until Trump threatened tariffs on Canada.[68]

More information Issue ...
2025 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms
Issue PC NDP Liberal Green
Education
  • Invest an additional $830 million a year to clear the repair backlog within 10 years while keeping up with school maintenance needs.[69]
  • Create a universal School Food Program and use fresh food prepared and grown in Ontario.
  • End the practice of streaming.
  • Invest in Francophone education in French school boards and French immersion programs in the English system.
  • More school transportation funding.
  • Clearing the backlog in school repairs, supporting students with special needs, and extending OHIP to cover mental health care.[70]
Energy and Environment
  • Permanently cutting the provincial tax on gas by 5.7 cents per litre and on diesel by 5.3 cents.
  • Working with Indigenous communities to conserve 30% of natural areas by 2030.
  • End reliance on fossil fuels, invest in low-cost renewables and build climate-friendly transit options.[71]
Healthcare
  • Investing $1.8 billion more to connect everyone in Ontario to a family doctor and primary care.
  • Hiring of at least 15,000 nurses over the next three years to ensure safe staffing ratios and end the reliance on private agencies.[72]
  • Expand healthcare in Northern Ontario by hiring 350 doctors, including 200 family physicians and 150 specialists.
  • Establish a Northern Command Centre to manage capacity across the North.
  • Fast-track solutions in the first 100 days—more family health teams, shorter specialist wait times, and flexible care options.
  • Clear the path for 13,000 internationally trained doctors and increase residency spots province-wide.[73]
  • Guarantee a Family Doctor for all Ontarians by 2029.[74]
  • Two new hospitals in Huntsville and Bracebridge.
Housing
  • Create 60,000 new supportive housing units.[75]
  • Double the supply of permanently affordable homes, legalize fourplexes and increase density around transit, and provide funding for non-profit and co-op housing providers.
  • Reintroduce rent control, stopping unethical evictions.
  • Upload shelter funding to the provincial government.[76]
  • Eliminating the provincial Land Transfer Tax for first-time homebuyers, seniors downsizing, and non-profit home builders.[77]
  • Scrapping Development Charges on new middle-class housing, which can add up to $170,000 on the price of a new home, and replacing them with a Better Communities Fund to ensure that the province invests in and benefits from sustainable municipal growth.[78]
  • Introducing fair, phased-in rent control similar to Manitoba, resolving Landlord-Tenant Board disputes within two months, and establishing the Rental Emergency Support for Tenants (REST) Fund to help vulnerable renters avoid eviction during financial emergencies.[79]
  • Allowing for the construction of fourplexes and four-storey buildings as of right across the province and sixplexes in cities over 500,000, and midrise buildings of up to 6-11 storeys on transit corridors and main streets.
  • Removing development charges on homes, condos and apartment units under 2,000 square feet that are built within urban boundaries, and creating an Affordable Communities Fund to cover municipalities’ housing infrastructure costs.
  • Removing the Land Transfer Tax for first-time homebuyers.[80]
Agriculture
  • Immediately increasing funding to expand business risk management programs by $150 million annually.
  • Prioritizing Ontario-grown food by developing local procurement guidelines for public sector purchases, and establishing a fund to increase local processing capacity.
  • Creating an AgTech Innovation Fund.
  • Introducing a provincial program to pay farmers for environmental goods and services by working with organizations such as ALUS (Alternative Land Use Services).
  • Establish an Ontario Foodbelt to protect farmland.[81]
Infrastructure
  • Investing up to $15 billion more over three years to speed up key capital projects, including widening the QEW between Burlington and St. Catharines.[82]
  • Providing another $5 billion for the Building Ontario Fund, for a total of $8 billion, to invest in housing, long-term care, energy, transportation and municipal infrastructure projects.
  • Increasing the Community Sport and Recreation Fund by $300 million to help build more rinks, arenas, sports centres and other community infrastructure.
  • $56 million to upgrade and repair Highway 174 prior to it being uploaded to the province.[83]
  • $50 million to upgrade rural roads and highways outside the downtown core.
Social assistance
  • Double ODSP payments.[84]
  • Overhaul WSIB.
  • Expand workers’ health care benefits so they can receive the treatments they need, including mental health care.[85]
  • Create a Monthly Grocery Rebate
  • Forcing large retailers to publicly post when they raise prices more than two per cent in a week.
  • New watchdog to enforce competition laws and keep food prices fair.[86]
  • Double ODSP payments.[87]
Taxation
  • Cut the income tax rate for the middle-class.[88]
  • Eliminate sales tax (HST) on home heating and hydro bills.
Transportation
  • Investing more than $200 billion to build roads, highways, transit and other infrastructure projects while investing over $2.5 billion to train more than one million people for better jobs and bigger paycheques in the skilled trades.
  • Upload the upload Ottawa LRT system to the provincial government.
  • More than $50 million to design and build a new interchange at Highway 416 and Barnsdale Road.
  • $80 million to support the Kanata North Transitway.
  • Taking tolls off Highway 407 East, which runs between Brock Road in Pickering and Highway 115 in Clarington.
  • Legislation to ban use of congestion pricing on all provincial and municipal roadways.[89]
  • Upload the Ottawa LRT system to the provincial government.[90]
Tariff response
  • $10 billion in cash-flow support for Ontario employers.[91]
  • $3 billion in payroll tax and premium relief.
  • $120 million to support approximately 18,000 bars and restaurants.
  • $40 million for a new Trade-Impacted Communities Program.
  • $300 million to expand the Ontario Made Manufacturing Investment Tax Credit.
  • $600 million for the Invest Ontario Fund.
  • Create a Premier's Task Force on the Economy with business, labour and civil society.[92]
  • Invest in retraining opportunities in post-secondary and the skilled trades.
  • Removing the cap from the Risk Management Program.
  • Promote interprovincial cooperation and break down trade barriers.
  • Launch a Buy Ontario campaign to promote Ontario goods.
  • Direct Ontario government-funded agencies to procure locally.
  • Negotiate a joint federal-provincial income assistance program to support people whose livelihoods are impacted by tariffs.
  • Support Canada's national tariff response.
  • Offer a bonus to nurses and doctors who return to Canada from the U.S.
  • Remove the hidden tax on home building and introduce phased-in rent control.
  • Cut the small business tax rate in half, 3.2% to 1.6%, and increase the eligible income threshold.
  • End the Starlink contract with the provincial government.[93]
  • Immediately create a ‘tariff taskforce’ that works across party, jurisdictional and sectoral lines to defend Ontario workers, jobs and companies in trade negotiations.
  • Create an investment tax credit.
  • Create a Protect Ontario Fund for businesses disproportionately impacted by tariffs.[94]
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Party slogans

More information Party, English ...
Party English French (translation)
█ PC "Protect Ontario" Unofficial: "Protéger l'Ontario"[95]
█ New Democratic "On Your Side" "À vos côtés"[95]
█ Liberal "More For You"[96] "Plus Pour Vous"
█ Green "People Before Profits"[97]
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Endorsements

More information Type, PC ...
Endorsements received by each party
Type PC NDP Liberal Green
Media
  • Toronto Star[98] endorsed the NDP, Liberals, and Greens, and encouraged Ontarians to vote strategically to prevent a PC majority
Politicians and public figures
Unions and business associations
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Debates

More information Date, Time (EST) ...
Close

Results

More information Party, Leader ...
Elections to the 44th Parliament of Ontario (2025)[165]
Party Leader Candidates Votes Seats
# ± % Change (pp) 2022 2025 ±
Progressive Conservative Doug Ford 1242,159,060239,155Increase42.99 2.16
 
 83
80 / 124
 3Decrease
Liberal Bonnie Crombie 1231,505,093381,028Increase29.97 6.06
 
 8
14 / 124
 6Increase
New Democratic Marit Stiles 123931,016185,367Decrease18.54 -5.20
 
 31
27 / 124
 4Decrease
Green Mike Schreiner 124242,32037,686Decrease4.83 -1.13
 
 1
2 / 124
 1Increase
New Blue Jim Karahalios 10880,03347,429Decrease1.59 -1.12
 
  Independent 4153,92628,594Increase1.07 0.53
 
 1
1 / 124
 Steady
Ontario Party Derek Sloan 4426,00757,611 Decrease0.52 -1.26
 
Libertarian Mark Snow 177,6722,430Increase0.150.04
None of the Above Greg Vezina 134,7241,478Decrease0.09-0.04
Communist Drew Garvie 72,294194Increase0.050.01
Moderate Yuri Duboisky 121,857239Increase0.040.01
Centrist Mansoor Qureshi 51,6011,306Increase0.030.02
Freedom Paul McKeever 51,376727Decrease0.03-0.01
Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda John Kanary 21,3531,013Increase0.030.02
Populist Jim Torma 47091,929Decrease0.01-0.05
Northern Ontario Jacques Ouellette 3656373Increase0.01–
Ontario Alliance Joshua E. Eriksen 5623515Increase0.010.01
Progress Party Ontario Sana Ahmad 2602602Increase0.01New
Canadians' Choice Party Bahman Yazdanfar 258618Increase0.01–
Special Needs Lionel Wayne Poizner 2392102Increase0.01–
Electoral Reform Party Peter House 224260Increase––
Consensus Ontario did not campaign
Confederation of Regions
Freedom of Choice, Peace & Justice Party
People's Political Party
People's Progressive Common Front
Public Benefit Party
Total768 5,022,142 100.00%
Rejected ballots 34,7914,274Increase
Turnout 5,056,933324,457Increase 45.22%1.16Increase
Registered electors 11,183,586443,160Increase
Close

Vote and seat summaries

Ternary plots of election results
  • Ternary plot of 2022 results
    2022
  • Ternary plot of 2025 results
    2025
Electoral districts won identified by PC (blue), Liberal (red), NDP (orange), Green (green) and Independent (grey).

Synopsis of results

For more detail on candidates who ran, see Candidates of the 2025 Ontario general election.
More information Riding, Winning party ...
Results by riding - 2025 Ontario general election[165]
Riding[a 1] Winning party Votes[a 2]
2022 1st place Votes Share Margin
#		 Margin
%		 2nd place 3rd place PC Lib NDP Green NB Ont SNSA Ind Other Total
 
Ajax PCLib18,49944.96%3310.80%PCNDP18,16818,4992,884866413–––31241,142
Algoma—Manitoulin NDPPC11,26341.33%3,85414.14%NDPLib11,2633,9487,409677718––3,238–27,253
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill PCPC19,67057.19%8,02523.33%LibNDP19,67011,6451,929610540––––34,394
Barrie—Innisfil PCPC22,04854.11%11,43528.06%LibNDP22,04810,6135,4421,655814–––17440,746
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte PCPC20,07349.88%5,74114.27%LibNDP20,07314,3322,7101,637856–––63740,245
Bay of Quinte PCPC20,60644.14%5,95412.75%LibNDP20,60614,6528,7931,618518501–––46,688
Beaches—East York LibLib21,54551.17%11,88528.23%NDPPC9,00121,5459,6601,298246125–12210742,104
Brampton Centre PCPC12,77651.85%4,41917.94%LibNDP12,7768,3572,161910434––––24,638
Brampton East PCPC14,75951.77%6,24821.92%LibNDP14,7598,5113,104757–––1,376–28,507
Brampton North PCPC17,59757.52%8,32727.22%LibNDP17,5979,2702,479746499––––30,591
Brampton South PCPC15,37952.53%5,84919.98%LibNDP15,3799,5302,4139111,042––––29,275
Brampton West PCPC19,02856.58%8,09524.07%LibNDP19,02810,9331,981877554––260–33,633
Brantford—Brant PCPC24,16947.23%12,16423.77%NDPLib24,16910,36412,0052,5971,138–––89951,172
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PCPC20,15844.14%6,71314.70%LibGreen20,15813,4453,6115,693930–1,006–82945,672
Burlington PCPC24,11843.14%390.07%LibNDP24,11824,0794,4871,913727–––58255,906
Cambridge PCPC19,21043.66%4,0799.27%LibNDP19,21015,1315,0742,5192,067––––44,001
Carleton PCPC26,15849.61%5,82311.04%LibNDP26,15820,3353,763956699346–20226352,722
Chatham-Kent—Leamington PCPC22,25552.03%14,39933.66%LibNDP22,2557,8567,3331,2413,387704–––42,776
Davenport NDPNDP22,14357.07%14,16036.49%LibPC6,9377,98322,1431,184––––55638,803
Don Valley East LibLib15,46556.65%6,68124.47%PCNDP8,78415,4652,094778––––18027,301
Don Valley North PCLib13,37543.77%1,8916.19%PCInd11,48413,3751,562784346––3,005–30,556
Don Valley West LibLib18,35057.21%7,48023.32%PCNDP10,87018,3501,2681,052287––247–32,074
Dufferin—Caledon PCPC26,07252.49%13,46627.11%LibGreen26,07212,6063,1846,1571,074––38419749,674
Durham PCPC26,96750.48%11,26621.09%LibNDP26,96715,7017,6351,280666409–13063553,423
Eglinton—Lawrence PCPC19,55648.48%1670.41%LibGreen19,55619,389–1,390–––––40,335
Elgin—Middlesex—London PCPC28,72055.78%16,12231.31%LibNDP28,72012,5984,7382,9331,418610––46951,486
Essex PCPC30,79055.61%18,74333.85%NDPLib30,7908,70712,0471,282940931–20046955,366
Etobicoke Centre PCPC22,26148.10%2,9036.27%LibNDP22,26119,3582,1511,000658–––85146,279
Etobicoke—Lakeshore PCLib25,19548.52%4,1457.98%PCNDP21,05025,1953,6401,218452–––36951,924
Etobicoke North PCPC15,42659.40%8,05731.02%LibNDP15,4267,3692,067526177405–––25,970
Flamborough—Glanbrook PCPC23,79049.38%8,65517.97%LibNDP23,79015,1356,0951,9231,233––––48,176
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell PCPC24,61851.36%6,86614.32%LibNDP24,61817,7522,3841,089971800–321–47,935
Guelph GreenGreen34,23856.94%19,85233.01%PCLib14,3866,8743,49734,2381,137––––60,132
Haldimand—Norfolk IndInd33,66963.65%20,72039.17%PCLib12,9492,9182,147821392––33,669–52,896
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PCPC26,44652.03%14,77029.06%LibNDP26,44611,6766,9802,5931,221969–28765950,831
Hamilton Centre NDPNDP12,83938.36%5,70717.05%LibPC6,3317,13212,8391,642441––5,084[a 3]–33,469
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek PCPC16,40142.07%4,07810.46%LibNDP16,40112,3236,8622,049530595––22338,983
Hamilton Mountain NDPPC13,94836.16%2,0155.22%LibNDP13,94811,93310,0371,544392178–26727838,577
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas NDPNDP19,68438.87%2,9185.76%PCLib16,76611,54319,6841,747587–––31050,637
Hastings—Lennox and Addington PCPC20,24948.58%7,85118.84%LibNDP20,24912,3984,8101,3765282,318–––41,679
Humber River—Black Creek NDPNDP8,78835.33%1930.78%PCLib8,5956,8118,788402––––28024,876
Huron—Bruce PCPC24,46150.02%10,75822.00%LibNDP24,46113,7035,7392,7272,065–––20648,901
Kanata—Carleton PCLib22,81147.91%3,4587.26%PCNDP19,35322,8113,4191,199503323–––47,608
Kenora—Rainy River PCPC10,54159.93%7,23341.12%NDPLib10,5413,0723,308336333––––17,590
King—Vaughan PCPC28,52764.17%16,07436.16%LibNDP28,52712,4531,714934569256–––44,453
Kingston and the Islands LibLib33,28861.57%21,26639.33%PCNDP12,02233,2886,6631,195–565––33154,064
Kitchener Centre NDPGreen21,20051.39%11,20927.17%PCLib9,9915,8922,82121,200804398–144–41,250
Kitchener—Conestoga PCPC16,94641.54%4,91512.05%LibNDP16,94612,0317,5512,2271,152890–––40,797
Kitchener South—Hespeler PCPC17,36345.42%7,53319.71%LibNDP17,3639,8306,8413,345846––––38,225
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex PCPC25,29753.55%12,90027.31%LibNDP25,29712,3975,7751,6772,093––––47,239
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston PCPC23,39649.10%7,76916.30%LibNDP23,39615,6275,0301,595695982–328–47,653
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes PCPC25,11855.12%12,72627.93%LibNDP25,11812,3924,4891,926743561––34245,571
London—Fanshawe NDPNDP18,74947.59%5,26913.37%PCLib13,4804,88418,7491,045654––20538139,398
London North Centre NDPNDP22,58746.71%6,80414.07%PCLib15,7837,55722,5871,605512–––31248,356
London West NDPNDP26,58949.21%7,69714.24%PCLib18,8925,99126,5891,021636––15375154,033
Markham—Stouffville PCPC22,75750.64%4,1339.20%LibNDP22,75718,6242,0511,018491––––44,941
Markham—Thornhill PCPC14,28753.58%3,70713.90%LibNDP14,28710,5801,176623–––––26,666
Markham—Unionville PCPC20,11361.16%9,95530.27%LibNDP20,11310,1581,298772545––––32,886
Milton PCPC20,09147.43%2,5406.00%LibNDP20,09117,5512,4031,130866–––31642,357
Mississauga Centre PCPC16,59246.79%2,0315.73%LibNDP16,59214,5612,3101,028443––19533435,463
Mississauga East—Cooksville PCPC16,76446.43%1,2103.35%LibNDP16,76415,5541,879744429192–42811836,108
Mississauga—Erin Mills PCPC16,69444.26%230.06%LibNDP16,69416,6712,0901,080751––431–37,717
Mississauga—Lakeshore PCPC20,58647.54%1,6713.86%LibNDP20,58618,9151,9741,041549––12311343,301
Mississauga—Malton PCPC15,11750.94%3,61812.19%LibNDP15,11711,4992,000561498––––29,675
Mississauga—Streetsville PCPC19,11847.71%1,8214.54%LibNDP19,11817,2972,0121,012630––––40,069
Nepean PCLib22,68348.53%4,72110.10%PCNDP17,96222,6834,116885485385–223–46,739
Newmarket—Aurora PCPC20,26047.56%2,5375.96%LibNDP20,26017,7232,7091,088536–––28642,602
Niagara Centre NDPNDP20,40842.18%2,3354.83%PCLib18,0737,14320,4081,261857513––13048,385
Niagara Falls NDPNDP29,54954.95%10,98020.42%PCLib18,5693,39829,549837870285–263–53,771
Niagara West PCPC22,91651.13%11,82526.39%LibNDP22,91611,0917,3121,794676629––39944,817
Nickel Belt NDPNDP17,12348.37%4,49412.69%PCLib12,6293,87417,123631676–––47035,403
Nipissing PCPC17,35654.83%9,37629.62%NDPLib17,3563,9967,9801,292–496––53631,656
Northumberland—Peterborough South PCPC28,50252.11%10,79719.74%LibNDP28,50217,7055,0971,998717673–––54,692
Oakville PCPC22,75448.01%1,8483.90%LibNDP22,75420,9061,8511,235556–––9347,395
Oakville North—Burlington PCPC25,58049.70%4,5278.80%LibNDP25,58021,0532,7691,411659––––51,472
Orléans LibLib30,48254.18%10,61418.87%PCNDP19,86830,4823,3781,398636––26723356,262
Oshawa NDPNDP20,36745.87%1,9254.34%PCLib18,4423,89120,367916644––142–44,402
Ottawa Centre NDPNDP32,48355.70%18,89232.39%LibPC9,57313,59132,4831,550468321–10223258,320
Ottawa South LibLib22,32653.24%12,01128.64%PCNDP10,31522,3267,4471,206638––––41,932
Ottawa—Vanier LibLib20,72151.45%11,63628.89%PCNDP9,08520,7217,3502,083511–––52540,275
Ottawa West—Nepean NDPNDP20,08749.33%8,39020.60%PCLib11,6977,22920,087976733––––40,722
Oxford PCPC27,06155.26%15,71332.09%LibNDP27,06111,3485,3742,1821,3171,414––27448,970
Parkdale—High Park NDPNDP20,50845.35%6,56714.52%LibPC8,05813,94120,5081,968462–––28345,220
Parry Sound—Muskoka PCPC21,73146.80%2,3715.11%GreenLib21,7312,8281,32919,360785403–––46,436
Perth—Wellington PCPC21,28547.40%8,76619.52%LibNDP21,28512,5195,6663,3811,354475––22944,909
Peterborough—Kawartha PCPC22,41740.68%2,2003.99%LibNDP22,41720,2179,2901,745859581–––55,109
Pickering—Uxbridge PCPC21,97548.06%3,9038.54%LibNDP21,97518,0723,3811,300411384––20045,723
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PCPC24,29754.83%14,49332.71%LibNDP24,2979,8046,6071,1238931,587–––44,311
Richmond Hill PCPC17,06155.43%6,51521.17%LibNDP17,06110,5461,771883519––––30,780
St. Catharines NDPNDP19,68842.12%3,2666.99%PCLib16,4228,09219,6881,033807300347–5646,745
Sarnia—Lambton PCPC22,72651.32%14,01031.64%NDPLib22,7268,1348,7168401,876359–89074244,283
Sault Ste. Marie PCPC13,07143.07%1140.38%NDPLib13,0713,03612,957421564301–––30,350
Scarborough—Agincourt PCPC13,46849.39%2,0387.47%LibNDP13,46811,4301,368556249200–––27,271
Scarborough Centre PCPC13,36344.05%5241.73%LibNDP13,36312,8392,628918379–––21130,338
Scarborough—Guildwood LibLib13,81351.02%3,58913.26%PCNDP10,22413,8131,811661298––267–27,074
Scarborough North PCPC13,03152.98%4,48318.23%LibNDP13,0318,5482,554465–––––24,598
Scarborough—Rouge Park PCPC16,35749.17%2,9728.93%LibNDP16,35713,3852,360727––––44033,269
Scarborough Southwest NDPNDP14,55742.89%4,15712.25%PCLib10,4007,78614,5571,194–––––33,937
Simcoe—Grey PCPC30,57253.59%12,06521.15%LibNDP30,57218,5073,2643,1541,554––––57,051
Simcoe North PCPC24,84951.38%11,52123.82%LibNDP24,84913,3284,8133,2141,582–––57948,365
Spadina—Fort York NDPNDP20,44145.00%6,11013.45%LibPC9,13914,33120,4411,220––––29345,424
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry PCPC23,22161.57%15,96742.34%LibNDP23,2217,2544,726980818715–––37,714
Sudbury NDPNDP14,76046.74%2,5668.13%PCLib12,1943,35214,760748421––106–31,581
Thornhill PCPC22,82963.99%12,72435.66%LibNDP22,82910,1051,282768523–––17035,677
Thunder Bay—Atikokan PCPC13,72745.71%5,96119.85%NDPLib13,7277,3987,766457497–––18430,029
Thunder Bay—Superior North NDPNDP11,13740.57%1,7896.52%PCLib9,3485,84611,137437265––8233627,451
Timiskaming—Cochrane NDPNDP11,08543.96%1,5366.09%PCLib9,5492,44611,0851,359777––––25,216
Timmins PCPC9,37168.41%6,63948.47%NDPLib9,3711,1272,732248220––––13,698
Toronto Centre NDPNDP17,41544.50%3,2638.34%LibPC5,69214,15217,4151,054290––15138139,135
Toronto—Danforth NDPNDP25,60760.40%16,61039.18%LibPC6,1728,99725,6071,199424––––42,399
Toronto—St. Paul's NDPLib17,45140.87%3,8989.13%NDPPC10,82217,45113,553873–––––42,699
University—Rosedale NDPNDP17,91245.50%5,81414.77%LibPC7,82912,09817,9121,227299––––39,365
Vaughan—Woodbridge PCPC23,24365.13%13,76138.56%LibNDP23,2439,4821,479628509–––34535,686
Waterloo NDPNDP25,05550.23%11,38522.82%PCLib13,6707,83925,0551,814543477––48649,884
Wellington—Halton Hills PCPC24,63745.65%9,76318.09%LibGreen24,63714,8743,9808,4641,417398–199–53,969
Whitby PCPC24,80348.11%4,3638.46%LibNDP24,80320,4404,0971,376844––––51,560
Willowdale PCPC14,47646.29%6051.93%LibNDP14,47613,8711,705778–––22222131,273
Windsor—Tecumseh PCPC21,28548.15%7,56417.11%NDPLib21,2856,33713,721830707717––60644,203
Windsor West NDPNDP19,39252.12%4,72712.70%PCOnt14,665–19,3928685231,019––74037,207
York Centre PCPC16,41654.06%5,59318.42%LibNDP16,41610,8231,700658309–––46330,369
York—Simcoe PCPC24,70559.40%14,76435.50%LibNDP24,7059,9413,2062,006841317––57241,588
York South—Weston PCPC11,14235.22%2020.64%LibNDP11,14210,9408,101844396––213–31,636
Kiiwetinoong NDPNDP3,51262.19%2,07436.73%PCLib1,4384093,512152––––1365,647
Mushkegowuk—James Bay NDPNDP3,62645.44%90.11%PCLib3,6176213,626116–––––7,980
Close
  1. [1]
    In order given by Elections Ontario
  2. [2]
    In order of total votes received. Minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote and with no candidate winning at least 1,000 votes are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately.
  3. [3]
    The incumbent Sarah Jama was ousted as the NDP candidate. She ran as an Independent, receiving 4,977 votes and coming in at 4th place.
  = open seat
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Turnout, winning shares and swings

More information Riding and winning party, Turnout ...
Summary of riding results by turnout, vote share for winning candidate, and swing (vs 2022)[165]
Riding and winning party Turnout Vote share[a 1] Swing[a 2]
% Change (pp) % Change (pp) To Change (pp)
 
AjaxLibGain41.561.60
 
44.968.98
 
Lib-2.76
 
Algoma—ManitoulinPCGain48.936.46
 
41.335.85
 
PC-12.30
 
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond HillPCHold38.300.11
 
57.193.93
 
PC0.39
 
Barrie—InnisfilPCHold41.301.68
 
54.113.87
 
PC4.82
 
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-MedontePCHold45.90-0.84
 
49.887.77
 
PC6.76
 
Bay of QuintePCHold48.252.34
 
44.14-5.17
 
NDP-1.54
 
Beaches—East YorkLibHold49.970.39
 
51.1715.75
 
Lib13.01
 
Brampton CentrePCHold36.710.04
 
51.8510.49
 
PC14.19
 
Brampton EastPCHold34.81-1.54
 
51.777.45
 
PC13.81
 
Brampton NorthPCHold38.480.02
 
57.5212.53
 
PC5.50
 
Brampton SouthPCHold36.100.30
 
52.537.15
 
PC1.21
 
Brampton WestPCHold34.770.58
 
56.588.74
 
PC1.23
 
Brantford—BrantPCHold43.411.35
 
47.233.06
 
PC3.95
 
Bruce—Grey—Owen SoundPCHold49.972.95
 
44.14-4.42
 
Lib-6.77
 
BurlingtonPCHold53.591.96
 
43.140.59
 
Lib-6.53
 
CambridgePCHold45.822.60
 
43.666.63
 
PC8.65
 
CarletonPCHold47.10-1.69
 
49.611.47
 
Lib-5.11
 
Chatham-Kent—LeamingtonPCHold48.333.46
 
52.034.50
 
PC8.82
 
DavenportNDPHold46.182.87
 
57.070.00Lib-0.68
 
Don Valley EastLibHold40.08-2.29
 
56.6512.79
 
Lib6.40
 
Don Valley NorthLibGain38.04-2.72
 
43.776.94
 
Lib-8.38
 
Don Valley WestLibHold42.43-6.93
 
57.2113.20
 
Lib8.98
 
Dufferin—CaledonPCHold42.790.72
 
52.492.82
 
Lib-1.87
 
DurhamPCHold44.090.38
 
50.484.63
 
PC0.06
 
Eglinton—LawrencePCHold46.730.0048.486.19
 
Lib-0.46
 
Elgin—Middlesex—LondonPCHold49.324.54
 
55.784.70
 
PC6.85
 
EssexPCHold50.343.13
 
55.614.51
 
PC5.52
 
Etobicoke CentrePCHold48.11-0.43
 
48.10-0.49
 
Lib-4.13
 
Etobicoke—LakeshoreLibGain46.751.47
 
48.5212.80
 
Lib-4.87
 
Etobicoke NorthPCHold34.120.14
 
59.403.89
 
Lib-0.52
 
Flamborough—GlanbrookPCHold47.961.05
 
49.383.18
 
PC6.63
 
Glengarry—Prescott—RussellPCHold47.381.82
 
51.369.31
 
PC5.89
 
GuelphGreenHold51.121.73
 
56.942.49
 
PC-0.52
 
Haldimand—NorfolkIndHold54.195.31
 
63.6528.60
 
Ind17.31
 
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—BrockPCHold48.180.05
 
52.03-0.28
 
PC0.85
 
Hamilton CentreNDPHold42.294.36
 
38.36-18.90
 
PC-10.67
 
Hamilton East—Stoney CreekPCHold43.822.87
 
42.077.48
 
PC8.61
 
Hamilton MountainPCGain46.024.54
 
36.166.15
 
PC-12.47
 
Hamilton West—Ancaster—DundasNDPHold52.474.02
 
38.87-1.55
 
PC-0.83
 
Hastings—Lennox and AddingtonPCHold49.001.88
 
48.581.03
 
PC4.25
 
Humber River—Black CreekNDPHold34.651.50
 
35.330.84
 
NDP2.06
 
Huron—BrucePCHold54.860.70
 
50.02-1.95
 
Lib-5.63
 
Kanata—CarletonLibGain50.40-0.98
 
47.9124.49
 
PC7.05
 
Kenora—Rainy RiverPCHold47.186.97
 
59.930.35
 
PC0.73
 
King—VaughanPCHold39.890.09
 
64.176.86
 
PC3.68
 
Kingston and the IslandsLibHold49.742.90
 
61.5723.91
 
Lib21.37
 
Kitchener CentreGreenGain46.970.75
 
51.3938.59
 
PC-15.65
 
Kitchener—ConestogaPCHold51.062.18
 
41.541.51
 
PC5.94
 
Kitchener South—HespelerPCHold43.961.80
 
45.425.51
 
PC7.02
 
Lambton—Kent—MiddlesexPCHold51.033.75
 
53.55-5.25
 
PC0.68
 
Lanark—Frontenac—KingstonPCHold51.331.31
 
49.10-1.02
 
PC4.56
 
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau LakesPCHold51.252.07
 
55.12-2.57
 
Lib-5.82
 
London—FanshaweNDPHold41.274.71
 
47.590.53
 
PC-0.46
 
London North CentreNDPHold46.484.35
 
46.717.06
 
NDP2.36
 
London WestNDPHold49.971.35
 
49.214.08
 
NDP1.49
 
Markham—StouffvillePCHold43.39-1.12
 
50.642.21
 
Lib-1.88
 
Markham—ThornhillPCHold37.20-2.48
 
53.584.76
 
PC1.29
 
Markham—UnionvillePCHold35.88-3.25
 
61.164.74
 
Lib-0.24
 
MiltonPCHold41.98-0.72
 
47.434.36
 
Lib-1.34
 
Mississauga CentrePCHold38.150.01
 
46.793.19
 
Lib-2.37
 
Mississauga East—CooksvillePCHold41.451.87
 
46.435.51
 
Lib-2.86
 
Mississauga—Erin MillsPCHold41.03-0.67
 
44.262.12
 
Lib-3.36
 
Mississauga—LakeshorePCHold46.17-0.77
 
47.542.45
 
Lib-3.46
 
Mississauga—MaltonPCHold36.700.18
 
50.946.05
 
Lib-4.15
 
Mississauga—StreetsvillePCHold44.311.64
 
47.712.13
 
Lib-3.84
 
NepeanLibGain45.28-0.60
 
48.5314.07
 
Lib-7.04
 
Newmarket—AuroraPCHold43.79-0.62
 
47.562.59
 
Lib-5.06
 
Niagara CentreNDPHold48.385.01
 
42.182.48
 
NDP0.14
 
Niagara FallsNDPHold45.011.41
 
54.956.87
 
NDP0.95
 
Niagara WestPCHold54.901.73
 
51.136.20
 
PC2.20
 
Nickel BeltNDPHold50.514.99
 
48.37-2.41
 
PC-2.91
 
NipissingPCHold48.930.65
 
54.834.62
 
PC1.53
 
Northumberland—Peterborough SouthPCHold52.300.58
 
52.111.18
 
Lib-3.72
 
OakvillePCHold49.29-1.00
 
48.012.57
 
Lib-3.21
 
Oakville North—BurlingtonPCHold46.55-0.34
 
49.702.51
 
Lib-2.79
 
OrléansLibHold47.701.11
 
54.187.92
 
PC-1.33
 
OshawaNDPHold41.632.15
 
45.873.80
 
PC-0.65
 
Ottawa CentreNDPHold49.09-1.65
 
55.701.36
 
Lib-0.36
 
Ottawa SouthLibHold42.490.01
 
53.248.10
 
Lib3.00
 
Ottawa—VanierLibHold38.82-0.60
 
51.459.73
 
Lib3.84
 
Ottawa West—NepeanNDPHold45.16-2.27
 
49.3311.79
 
NDP3.11
 
OxfordPCHold48.622.17
 
55.265.25
 
PC5.23
 
Parkdale—High ParkNDPHold51.821.56
 
45.35-8.61
 
Lib-4.23
 
Parry Sound—MuskokaPCHold53.710.62
 
46.801.43
 
Green-0.53
 
Perth—WellingtonPCHold52.682.59
 
47.400.59
 
PC4.71
 
Peterborough—KawarthaPCHold52.180.72
 
40.682.10
 
Lib-3.07
 
Pickering—UxbridgePCHold45.640.35
 
48.063.63
 
Lib-5.48
 
Renfrew—Nipissing—PembrokePCHold48.952.66
 
54.83-6.29
 
PC1.09
 
Richmond HillPCHold35.56-0.58
 
55.433.19
 
Lib-1.18
 
St. CatharinesNDPHold49.883.22
 
42.122.41
 
PC-0.35
 
Sarnia—LambtonPCHold50.523.83
 
51.32-1.40
 
PC1.97
 
Sault Ste. MariePCHold49.925.43
 
43.07-3.82
 
NDP-2.69
 
Scarborough—AgincourtPCHold37.34-2.08
 
49.390.36
 
Lib-2.32
 
Scarborough CentrePCHold38.65-2.60
 
44.058.05
 
Lib-5.98
 
Scarborough—GuildwoodLibHold38.63-3.00
 
51.024.71
 
PC-3.12
 
Scarborough NorthPCHold37.00-2.26
 
52.984.67
 
Lib-2.57
 
Scarborough—Rouge ParkPCHold42.43-2.68
 
49.173.89
 
Lib-6.26
 
Scarborough SouthwestNDPHold41.73-2.61
 
42.89-4.78
 
PC-1.52
 
Simcoe—GreyPCHold44.180.66
 
53.592.41
 
Lib-5.17
 
Simcoe NorthPCHold46.11-0.13
 
51.381.58
 
PC3.89
 
Spadina—Fort YorkNDPHold41.957.60
 
45.00-1.06
 
Lib-1.80
 
Stormont—Dundas—South GlengarryPCHold42.981.34
 
61.574.07
 
Lib-0.68
 
SudburyNDPHold47.412.81
 
46.745.89
 
PC-4.82
 
ThornhillPCHold39.930.05
 
63.9910.70
 
PC0.68
 
Thunder Bay—AtikokanPCHold49.286.19
 
45.719.41
 
PC3.53
 
Thunder Bay—Superior NorthNDPHold48.915.67
 
40.576.46
 
PC-1.59
 
Timiskaming—CochraneNDPHold48.435.82
 
43.961.22
 
PC-1.32
 
TimminsPCHold41.91-1.62
 
68.413.61
 
PC4.82
 
Toronto CentreNDPHold42.592.77
 
44.500.73
 
NDP0.27
 
Toronto—DanforthNDPHold49.760.32
 
60.405.00
 
NDP0.57
 
Toronto—St. Paul'sLibGain46.91-1.17
 
40.877.20
 
Lib-3.60
 
University—RosedaleNDPHold44.451.25
 
45.507.95
 
Lib-1.69
 
Vaughan—WoodbridgePCHold42.56-1.47
 
65.1311.35
 
PC4.26
 
WaterlooNDPHold51.583.17
 
50.234.34
 
NDP0.96
 
Wellington—Halton HillsPCHold50.692.32
 
45.65-4.96
 
PC4.12
 
WhitbyPCHold46.121.24
 
48.110.73
 
PC7.44
 
WillowdalePCHold37.53-2.31
 
46.291.63
 
Lib-3.20
 
Windsor—TecumsehPCHold45.184.57
 
48.152.26
 
NDP-0.54
 
Windsor WestNDPHold38.715.09
 
52.129.93
 
PC-2.05
 
York CentrePCHold39.940.99
 
54.068.03
 
Lib-1.85
 
York—SimcoePCHold40.291.29
 
59.402.65
 
Lib-3.33
 
York South—WestonPCHold38.600.49
 
35.22-1.38
 
PC4.19
 
KiiwetinoongNDPHold27.00-3.40
 
62.194.62
 
NDP2.24
 
Mushkegowuk—James BayNDPHold41.401.99
 
45.44-1.74
 
PC-4.79
 
Close
  1. [1]
    Share won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2022.
  2. [2]
    Positive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2022; negative points to 2022's second-place party being swung to.

Changes in party vote shares

More information Riding, Green ...
Share change analysis by party and riding (2025 vs 2022)[165]
RidingGreenLiberalNDPPC
% Change (pp) % Change (pp) % Change (pp) % Change (pp)
 
Ajax2.10-1.36
 
44.968.98
 
7.01-9.68
 
44.163.47
 
Algoma—Manitoulin2.48-0.63
 
14.495.78
 
27.19-18.74
 
41.335.85
 
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill1.77-2.12
 
33.863.14
 
5.61-2.07
 
57.193.93
 
Barrie—Innisfil4.06-2.25
 
26.057.95
 
13.36-5.78
 
54.113.87
 
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte4.07-0.23
 
35.61-5.74
 
6.73-1.10
 
49.887.77
 
Bay of Quinte3.47-2.80
 
31.3812.93
 
18.83-2.09
 
44.14-5.17
 
Beaches—East York3.08-7.14
 
51.1715.75
 
22.94-10.27
 
21.382.84
 
Brampton Centre3.690.09
 
33.928.91
 
8.77-17.89
 
51.8510.49
 
Brampton East2.660.74
 
29.868.74
 
10.89-20.17
 
51.777.45
 
Brampton North2.44-0.54
 
30.301.53
 
8.10-11.71
 
57.5212.53
 
Brampton South3.11-0.48
 
32.554.73
 
8.24-10.90
 
52.537.15
 
Brampton West2.61-0.16
 
32.516.27
 
5.89-14.86
 
56.588.74
 
Brantford—Brant5.08-1.68
 
20.257.30
 
23.46-4.83
 
47.233.06
 
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound12.463.61
 
29.449.11
 
7.91-6.01
 
44.14-4.42
 
Burlington3.42-3.27
 
43.0713.65
 
8.03-9.61
 
43.140.59
 
Cambridge5.72-3.25
 
34.3913.69
 
11.53-10.66
 
43.666.63
 
Carleton1.81-3.67
 
38.5711.68
 
7.14-8.53
 
49.611.47
 
Chatham-Kent—Leamington2.90-0.47
 
18.3718.37
 
17.14-13.13
 
52.034.50
 
Davenport3.05-1.77
 
20.571.36
 
57.070.0017.883.80
 
Don Valley East2.85-1.21
 
56.6512.79
 
7.67-7.84
 
32.17-0.02
 
Don Valley North2.57-1.15
 
43.776.94
 
5.11-4.76
 
37.58-9.82
 
Don Valley West3.28-2.23
 
57.2113.20
 
3.95-5.27
 
33.89-4.76
 
Dufferin—Caledon12.39-1.74
 
25.386.56
 
6.41-4.36
 
52.492.82
 
Durham2.40-1.62
 
29.394.50
 
14.29-4.30
 
50.484.63
 
Eglinton—Lawrence3.45-0.41
 
48.077.11
 
–-9.68
 
48.486.19
 
Elgin—Middlesex—London5.701.03
 
24.477.07
 
9.20-9.00
 
55.784.70
 
Essex2.320.29
 
15.737.14
 
21.76-6.52
 
55.614.51
 
Etobicoke Centre2.16-2.33
 
41.837.78
 
4.65-3.96
 
48.10-0.49
 
Etobicoke—Lakeshore2.35-2.40
 
48.5212.80
 
7.01-10.91
 
40.543.06
 
Etobicoke North2.03-0.72
 
28.384.94
 
7.96-5.15
 
59.403.89
 
Flamborough—Glanbrook3.99-1.45
 
31.4211.01
 
12.65-10.09
 
49.383.18
 
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell2.27-1.49
 
37.03-2.46
 
4.97-3.56
 
51.369.31
 
Guelph56.942.49
 
11.43-1.86
 
5.82-2.24
 
23.923.52
 
Haldimand—Norfolk1.55-2.50
 
5.52-1.81
 
4.06-9.83
 
24.48-6.01
 
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock5.10-2.45
 
22.979.50
 
13.73-1.99
 
52.03-0.28
 
Hamilton Centre4.91-3.86
 
21.318.28
 
38.36-18.90
 
18.922.45
 
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek5.260.31
 
31.6110.54
 
17.60-9.74
 
42.077.48
 
Hamilton Mountain4.00-1.62
 
30.9315.36
 
26.02-18.79
 
36.166.15
 
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas3.45-1.92
 
22.804.62
 
38.87-1.55
 
33.110.12
 
Hastings—Lennox and Addington3.30-1.23
 
29.7511.15
 
11.54-7.47
 
48.581.03
 
Humber River—Black Creek1.62-0.25
 
27.38-3.28
 
35.330.84
 
34.554.80
 
Huron—Bruce5.581.48
 
28.029.31
 
11.74-4.64
 
50.02-1.95
 
Kanata—Carleton2.52-2.97
 
47.9124.49
 
7.18-17.06
 
40.65-2.96
 
Kenora—Rainy River1.91-1.88
 
17.466.11
 
18.81-1.11
 
59.930.35
 
King—Vaughan2.10-0.60
 
28.01-0.49
 
3.86-3.09
 
64.176.86
 
Kingston and the Islands2.21-1.07
 
61.5723.91
 
12.32-18.83
 
22.24-2.32
 
Kitchener Centre51.3938.59
 
14.28-0.44
 
6.84-33.75
 
24.22-2.45
 
Kitchener—Conestoga5.46-0.70
 
29.4911.96
 
18.51-10.36
 
41.541.51
 
Kitchener South—Hespeler8.75-2.82
 
25.729.40
 
17.90-8.54
 
45.425.51
 
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex3.55-0.43
 
26.2416.66
 
12.23-6.61
 
53.55-5.25
 
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston3.35-3.40
 
32.7917.04
 
10.56-10.14
 
49.10-1.02
 
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes4.23-1.82
 
27.199.07
 
9.85-3.72
 
55.12-2.57
 
London—Fanshawe2.65-0.85
 
12.402.03
 
47.590.53
 
34.211.45
 
London North Centre3.32-1.47
 
15.63-5.29
 
46.717.06
 
32.642.35
 
London West1.89-1.54
 
11.09-1.10
 
49.214.08
 
34.961.11
 
Markham—Stouffville2.27-1.68
 
41.445.96
 
4.56-4.90
 
50.642.21
 
Markham—Thornhill2.34-0.22
 
39.682.17
 
4.41-4.64
 
53.584.76
 
Markham—Unionville2.35-1.32
 
30.890.47
 
3.95-3.33
 
61.164.74
 
Milton2.67-1.47
 
41.442.68
 
5.67-4.03
 
47.434.36
 
Mississauga Centre2.90-0.62
 
41.064.74
 
6.51-5.77
 
46.793.19
 
Mississauga East—Cooksville2.06-1.92
 
43.085.73
 
5.20-5.63
 
46.435.51
 
Mississauga—Erin Mills2.86-1.42
 
44.206.72
 
5.54-6.60
 
44.262.12
 
Mississauga—Lakeshore2.40-2.63
 
43.686.92
 
4.56-3.94
 
47.542.45
 
Mississauga—Malton1.89-2.15
 
38.758.30
 
6.74-10.97
 
50.946.05
 
Mississauga—Streetsville2.53-0.47
 
43.177.69
 
5.02-6.97
 
47.712.13
 
Nepean1.89-1.99
 
48.5314.07
 
8.81-10.53
 
38.43-0.83
 
Newmarket—Aurora2.55-3.06
 
41.6010.13
 
6.36-6.36
 
47.562.59
 
Niagara Centre2.61-1.92
 
14.761.44
 
42.182.48
 
37.35-0.28
 
Niagara Falls1.56-1.14
 
6.32-2.10
 
54.956.87
 
34.53-1.90
 
Niagara West4.00-2.46
 
24.755.58
 
16.32-4.40
 
51.136.20
 
Nickel Belt1.78-1.21
 
10.941.05
 
48.37-2.41
 
35.675.81
 
Nipissing4.080.74
 
12.62-0.91
 
25.21-3.05
 
54.834.62
 
Northumberland—Peterborough South3.65-2.02
 
32.377.43
 
9.32-3.80
 
52.111.18
 
Oakville2.61-2.58
 
44.116.42
 
3.91-2.87
 
48.012.57
 
Oakville North—Burlington2.74-1.56
 
40.905.59
 
5.38-4.54
 
49.702.51
 
Orléans2.48-2.07
 
54.187.92
 
6.00-7.79
 
35.312.66
 
Oshawa2.06-1.96
 
8.76-0.37
 
45.873.80
 
41.531.29
 
Ottawa Centre2.66-2.21
 
23.300.72
 
55.701.36
 
16.410.69
 
Ottawa South2.88-1.78
 
53.248.10
 
17.76-5.99
 
24.601.41
 
Ottawa—Vanier5.17-2.63
 
51.459.73
 
18.25-7.68
 
22.562.39
 
Ottawa West—Nepean2.40-1.13
 
17.75-4.69
 
49.3311.79
 
28.72-6.22
 
Oxford4.46-0.28
 
23.1710.86
 
10.97-10.47
 
55.265.25
 
Parkdale—High Park4.35-1.71
 
30.838.45
 
45.35-8.61
 
17.823.12
 
Parry Sound—Muskoka41.691.07
 
6.096.09
 
2.86-4.83
 
46.801.43
 
Perth—Wellington7.531.21
 
27.8811.75
 
12.62-9.43
 
47.400.59
 
Peterborough—Kawartha3.17-0.49
 
36.696.14
 
16.86-4.52
 
40.682.10
 
Pickering—Uxbridge2.84-2.40
 
39.5210.97
 
7.39-8.64
 
48.063.63
 
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke2.53-1.12
 
22.1312.35
 
14.91-2.19
 
54.83-6.29
 
Richmond Hill2.87-0.11
 
34.262.36
 
5.75-3.35
 
55.433.19
 
St. Catharines2.21-1.88
 
17.310.68
 
42.122.41
 
35.130.70
 
Sarnia—Lambton1.90-1.25
 
18.377.92
 
19.68-3.93
 
51.32-1.40
 
Sault Ste. Marie1.39-1.12
 
10.004.01
 
42.695.39
 
43.07-3.82
 
Scarborough—Agincourt2.04-0.15
 
41.914.64
 
5.02-3.76
 
49.390.36
 
Scarborough Centre3.030.23
 
42.3211.95
 
8.66-17.56
 
44.058.05
 
Scarborough—Guildwood2.44-0.38
 
51.024.71
 
6.69-9.97
 
37.766.25
 
Scarborough North1.890.06
 
34.755.14
 
10.38-8.03
 
52.984.67
 
Scarborough—Rouge Park2.19-0.22
 
40.2312.53
 
7.09-14.83
 
49.173.89
 
Scarborough Southwest3.52-0.02
 
22.944.38
 
42.89-4.78
 
30.653.04
 
Simcoe—Grey5.53-3.44
 
32.4410.34
 
5.72-5.34
 
53.592.41
 
Simcoe North6.65-2.15
 
27.5610.11
 
9.95-7.79
 
51.381.58
 
Spadina—Fort York2.69-2.93
 
31.553.60
 
45.00-1.06
 
20.121.74
 
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry2.60-1.49
 
19.231.35
 
12.53-1.26
 
61.574.07
 
Sudbury2.37-2.66
 
10.61-8.86
 
46.745.89
 
38.619.65
 
Thornhill2.15-1.19
 
28.32-1.36
 
3.59-4.22
 
63.9910.70
 
Thunder Bay—Atikokan1.52-1.41
 
24.640.25
 
25.86-7.07
 
45.719.41
 
Thunder Bay—Superior North1.59-1.40
 
21.30-6.98
 
40.576.46
 
34.053.19
 
Timiskaming—Cochrane5.39-1.13
 
9.702.68
 
43.961.22
 
37.872.64
 
Timmins1.81-0.43
 
8.238.23
 
19.94-9.64
 
68.413.61
 
Toronto Centre2.69-2.42
 
36.16-0.55
 
44.500.73
 
14.542.39
 
Toronto—Danforth2.83-3.25
 
21.22-1.14
 
60.405.00
 
14.561.11
 
Toronto—St. Paul's2.04-3.41
 
40.877.20
 
31.74-4.51
 
25.342.95
 
University—Rosedale3.12-12.76
 
30.733.37
 
45.507.95
 
19.892.31
 
Vaughan—Woodbridge1.76-0.17
 
26.57-8.51
 
4.14-1.21
 
65.1311.35
 
Waterloo3.64-3.29
 
15.711.80
 
50.234.34
 
27.40-1.93
 
Wellington—Halton Hills15.681.54
 
27.5613.58
 
7.37-8.23
 
45.65-4.96
 
Whitby2.67-2.53
 
39.6418.92
 
7.95-14.88
 
48.110.73
 
Willowdale2.49-1.13
 
44.356.39
 
5.45-4.85
 
46.291.63
 
Windsor—Tecumseh1.88-0.72
 
14.34-0.18
 
31.041.08
 
48.152.26
 
Windsor West2.33-0.44
 
–-13.10
 
52.129.93
 
39.414.11
 
York Centre2.17-0.67
 
35.643.70
 
5.60-8.39
 
54.068.03
 
York—Simcoe4.82-2.52
 
23.906.65
 
7.71-3.44
 
59.402.65
 
York South—Weston2.670.14
 
34.5810.34
 
25.61-8.38
 
35.22-1.38
 
Kiiwetinoong2.69-0.63
 
7.241.34
 
62.194.62
 
25.46-4.47
 
Mushkegowuk—James Bay1.45-0.49
 
7.78-3.96
 
45.44-1.74
 
45.339.57
 
Close
  = did not field a candidate in 2022


Relative party strengths (measured by swing)

More information Riding, ↔ Liberal/PC ...
Party on party swings by riding (PC/Liberal/NDP, 2025 vs 2022)[165][a 1]
Riding ↔ 
Liberal/PC		 ↔ 
Liberal/NDP		 ↔ 
PC/NDP
 
Ajax-2.76
 
-9.33
 
-6.57
 
Algoma—Manitoulin0.03
 
-12.26
 
-12.30
 
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill0.39
 
-2.61
 
-3.00
 
Barrie—Innisfil-2.04
 
-6.87
 
-4.82
 
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte6.76
 
2.32
 
-4.43
 
Bay of Quinte-9.05
 
-7.51
 
1.54
 
Beaches—East York-6.46
 
-13.01
 
-6.55
 
Brampton Centre0.79
 
-13.40
 
-14.19
 
Brampton East-0.64
 
-14.45
 
-13.81
 
Brampton North5.50
 
-6.62
 
-12.12
 
Brampton South1.21
 
-7.82
 
-9.03
 
Brampton West1.23
 
-10.57
 
-11.80
 
Brantford—Brant-2.12
 
-6.06
 
-3.95
 
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound-6.77
 
-7.56
 
-0.79
 
Burlington-6.53
 
-11.63
 
-5.10
 
Cambridge-3.53
 
-12.18
 
-8.65
 
Carleton-5.11
 
-10.11
 
-5.00
 
Chatham-Kent—LeamingtonN/A[a 2]-8.82
 
Davenport1.22
 
-0.68
 
-1.90
 
Don Valley East-6.40
 
-10.32
 
-3.91
 
Don Valley North-8.38
 
-5.85
 
2.53
 
Don Valley West-8.98
 
-9.24
 
-0.26
 
Dufferin—Caledon-1.87
 
-5.46
 
-3.59
 
Durham0.06
 
-4.40
 
-4.46
 
Eglinton—Lawrence-0.46
 
N/A[a 3]
Elgin—Middlesex—London-1.19
 
-8.04
 
-6.85
 
Essex-1.32
 
-6.83
 
-5.52
 
Etobicoke Centre-4.13
 
-5.87
 
-1.74
 
Etobicoke—Lakeshore-4.87
 
-11.85
 
-6.98
 
Etobicoke North-0.52
 
-5.04
 
-4.52
 
Flamborough—Glanbrook-3.91
 
-10.55
 
-6.63
 
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell5.89
 
-0.55
 
-6.44
 
Guelph2.69
 
-0.19
 
-2.88
 
Haldimand—Norfolk-2.10
 
-4.01
 
-1.91
 
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock-4.89
 
-5.75
 
-0.85
 
Hamilton Centre-2.91
 
-13.59
 
-10.67
 
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek-1.53
 
-10.14
 
-8.61
 
Hamilton Mountain-4.60
 
-17.08
 
-12.47
 
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas-2.25
 
-3.08
 
-0.83
 
Hastings—Lennox and Addington-5.06
 
-9.31
 
-4.25
 
Humber River—Black Creek4.04
 
2.06
 
-1.98
 
Huron—Bruce-5.63
 
-6.97
 
-1.35
 
Kanata—Carleton-13.73
 
-20.78
 
-7.05
 
Kenora—Rainy River-2.88
 
-3.61
 
-0.73
 
King—Vaughan3.68
 
-1.30
 
-4.97
 
Kingston and the Islands-13.12
 
-21.37
 
-8.25
 
Kitchener Centre-1.01
 
-16.65
 
-15.65
 
Kitchener—Conestoga-5.22
 
-11.16
 
-5.94
 
Kitchener South—Hespeler-1.94
 
-8.97
 
-7.02
 
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex-10.96
 
-11.64
 
-0.68
 
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston-9.03
 
-13.59
 
-4.56
 
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes-5.82
 
-6.39
 
-0.57
 
London—Fanshawe-0.29
 
-0.75
 
-0.46
 
London North Centre3.82
 
6.18
 
2.36
 
London West1.10
 
2.59
 
1.49
 
Markham—Stouffville-1.88
 
-5.43
 
-3.55
 
Markham—Thornhill1.29
 
-3.41
 
-4.70
 
Markham—Unionville2.13
 
-1.90
 
-4.04
 
Milton0.84
 
-3.36
 
-4.20
 
Mississauga Centre-0.78
 
-5.26
 
-4.48
 
Mississauga East—Cooksville-0.11
 
-5.68
 
-5.57
 
Mississauga—Erin Mills-2.30
 
-6.66
 
-4.36
 
Mississauga—Lakeshore-2.24
 
-5.43
 
-3.20
 
Mississauga—Malton-1.12
 
-9.63
 
-8.51
 
Mississauga—Streetsville-2.78
 
-7.33
 
-4.55
 
Nepean-7.45
 
-12.30
 
-4.85
 
Newmarket—Aurora-3.77
 
-8.24
 
-4.48
 
Niagara Centre-0.86
 
0.52
 
1.38
 
Niagara Falls0.10
 
4.49
 
4.39
 
Niagara West0.31
 
-4.99
 
-5.30
 
Nickel Belt2.38
 
-1.73
 
-4.11
 
Nipissing2.77
 
-1.07
 
-3.84
 
Northumberland—Peterborough South-3.13
 
-5.62
 
-2.49
 
Oakville-1.92
 
-4.64
 
-2.72
 
Oakville North—Burlington-1.54
 
-5.07
 
-3.53
 
Orléans-2.63
 
-7.85
 
-5.23
 
Oshawa0.83
 
2.08
 
1.25
 
Ottawa Centre-0.02
 
0.32
 
0.34
 
Ottawa South-3.34
 
-7.05
 
-3.70
 
Ottawa—Vanier-3.67
 
-8.71
 
-5.03
 
Ottawa West—Nepean-0.76
 
8.24
 
9.00
 
Oxford-2.81
 
-10.67
 
-7.86
 
Parkdale—High Park-2.66
 
-8.53
 
-5.87
 
Parry Sound—MuskokaN/A[a 2]-3.13
 
Perth—Wellington-5.58
 
-10.59
 
-5.01
 
Peterborough—Kawartha-2.02
 
-5.33
 
-3.31
 
Pickering—Uxbridge-3.67
 
-9.81
 
-6.14
 
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke-9.32
 
-7.27
 
2.05
 
Richmond Hill0.41
 
-2.86
 
-3.27
 
St. Catharines0.01
 
0.87
 
0.85
 
Sarnia—Lambton-4.66
 
-5.92
 
-1.27
 
Sault Ste. Marie-3.92
 
0.69
 
4.61
 
Scarborough—Agincourt-2.14
 
-4.20
 
-2.06
 
Scarborough Centre-1.95
 
-14.76
 
-12.81
 
Scarborough—Guildwood0.77
 
-7.34
 
-8.11
 
Scarborough North-0.24
 
-6.59
 
-6.35
 
Scarborough—Rouge Park-4.32
 
-13.68
 
-9.36
 
Scarborough Southwest-0.67
 
-4.58
 
-3.91
 
Simcoe—Grey-3.97
 
-7.84
 
-3.87
 
Simcoe North-4.27
 
-8.95
 
-4.68
 
Spadina—Fort York-0.93
 
-2.33
 
-1.40
 
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry1.36
 
-1.31
 
-2.67
 
Sudbury9.25
 
7.37
 
-1.88
 
Thornhill6.03
 
-1.43
 
-7.46
 
Thunder Bay—Atikokan4.58
 
-3.66
 
-8.24
 
Thunder Bay—Superior North5.08
 
6.72
 
1.63
 
Timiskaming—Cochrane-0.02
 
-0.73
 
-0.71
 
TimminsN/A[a 2]-6.62
 
Toronto Centre1.47
 
0.64
 
-0.83
 
Toronto—Danforth1.13
 
3.07
 
1.95
 
Toronto—St. Paul's-2.13
 
-5.86
 
-3.73
 
University—Rosedale-0.53
 
2.29
 
2.82
 
Vaughan—Woodbridge9.93
 
3.65
 
-6.28
 
Waterloo-1.86
 
1.27
 
3.13
 
Wellington—Halton Hills-9.27
 
-10.91
 
-1.64
 
Whitby-9.09
 
-16.90
 
-7.81
 
Willowdale-2.38
 
-5.62
 
-3.24
 
Windsor—Tecumseh1.22
 
0.63
 
-0.59
 
Windsor WestN/A[a 4]2.91
 
York Centre2.16
 
-6.05
 
-8.21
 
York—Simcoe-2.00
 
-5.04
 
-3.04
 
York South—Weston-5.86
 
-9.36
 
-3.50
 
Kiiwetinoong-2.91
 
1.64
 
4.55
 
Mushkegowuk—James Bay6.77
 
1.11
 
-5.66
 
Close
  1. [1]
    Positive swings are for the second party of the pair; negatives are towards the first party shown.
  2. [2]
    Liberals did not field a candidate in 2022.
  3. [3]
    NDP did not field a candidate in 2025.
  4. [4]
    Liberals did not field a candidate in 2025.


More information Riding, ↔ Liberal/PC ...
Party on party swings (Ridings with significant Green presence, 2025 vs 2022)[165][a 1][a 2]
Riding ↔ 
Liberal/PC		 ↔ 
Liberal/Green		 ↔ 
PC/Green		 ↔ 
NDP/Green
 
Beaches—East York-6.46
 
-11.44
 
-4.99
 
1.57
 
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound-6.77
 
-2.75
 
4.02
 
4.81
 
Dufferin—Caledon-1.87
 
-4.15
 
-2.28
 
1.31
 
Eglinton—Lawrence-0.46
 
-3.76
 
-3.30
 
N/A
Guelph2.69
 
2.17
 
-0.52
 
2.36
 
Kitchener Centre-1.01
 
19.52
 
20.52
 
36.17
 
Kitchener South—Hespeler-1.94
 
-6.11
 
-4.17
 
2.86
 
Parry Sound—MuskokaN/A-0.18
 
2.95
 
University—Rosedale-0.53
 
-8.07
 
-7.54
 
-10.36
 
Wellington—Halton Hills-9.27
 
-6.02
 
3.25
 
4.88
 
Close
  1. [1]
    Positive swings are for the second party of the pair; negatives are towards the first party shown.
  2. [2]
    Restricted to ridings where the Greens finished in the top three, or otherwise received a share greater than 10%, in either election.
  = Greens met threshold in 2022 only
  = Greens met threshold in 2025 only

Analysis

Analytical charts

  • Strength of 1st-place finishes compared between 2025 and 2022 results
    2025 vs 2022
  • 1st-place results analyzed by winning party
    2025 (by winning party)
  • Strength of 2nd-place finishes compared between 2025 and 2022 results
    2025 vs 2022
  • 2nd-place results analyzed by party
    2025 (by party finishing second)
  • Strength of other candidate finishes aggregated, compared between 2025 and 2022 results
    2025 vs 2022
  • Other results grouped, with 3rd-place finishes identified by party
    2025
  • Marginality compared between 2025 and 2022 results
    2025 vs 2022
  • Marginal results analyzed by winning party
    2025 (by winning party)


Summary

More information Party in 1st place, Party in 2nd place ...
Party candidates in 2nd place[165]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
PCNDPLiberalGrn
Progressive Conservative 10 69 1 80
New Democratic 19 8 27
Liberal 12 2 14
Green 2 2
Independent 1 1
Total 34 12 77 1 124
Close
More information Parties, Seats ...
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results[165]
PartiesSeats
█ Progressive Conservative █ Liberal 81
█ New Democratic █ Progressive Conservative 29
█ New Democratic █ Liberal 10
█ Green █ Progressive Conservative 3
█ Independent █ Progressive Conservative 1
Total 124
Close
More information Parties, 1st ...
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[165]
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
█ Progressive Conservative 803410
█ New Democratic 2712768
█ Liberal 147732
█ Green 21410213
█ Independent 1132
█ Ontario Party 126
█ New Blue 885
█ None of the Above 3
█ Communist 2
█ Libertarian 2
█ Northern Ontario 2
█ Moderate 1
█ Progress Party Ontario 1
█ Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda 1
Close

Seats changing hands

Of the 124 seats, 13 were open because of MPPs who chose not to stand for reelection, and voters in only 9 seats changed allegiance from the previous election in 2022. Three incumbents ousted from their parties opted to stand as Independents, but none were re-elected.


More information Party, Gain from (loss to) ...
Elections to the 43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario – seats won/lost by party, 2022–2025[165]
Party 2022 Gain from (loss to) 2025
PC NDP Lib Grn
Progressive Conservative 832(5)80
New Democratic 31(2)(1)(1)27
Liberal 85114
Green 112
Independent 11
Total1245(2)4––(6)–(1)124
Close

There were 9 seats that changed allegiance in the election:


Of the 9 seats that changed hands:

  • two were open seats where the MPPs chose to retire,
  • two had already switched over in by-elections,
  • two had parties that ousted their incumbents, but still failed to hold onto the seat, and
  • three others saw their incumbents defeated.
More information Source, Party ...
Resulting composition of the 44th Legislative Assembly of Ontario[165]
SourceParty
PC NDP Lib Grn Ind Total
Seats retainedIncumbents returned6924811103
Open seats held9211
Ouster of incumbents changing affiliation11
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated34
Open seats gained112
Byelection gains held112
Ouster of incumbents standing as Independents112
Total80271421124
Close

Student Vote results

Student Vote elections are mock elections that run parallel to real elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by CIVIX Canada, in partnership with Elections Ontario. Student Vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the actual results.

More information Party, Leader ...
Summary of the 2025 Ontario Student Vote
Party Leader Seats Votes
Elected 2022 ± # % Change
Progressive Conservative Doug Ford 5117Increase 3458,18924.14%Increase 5.45
New Democratic Marit Stiles 4175Decrease 3456,57023.47%Decrease 5.09
Liberal Bonnie Crombie 2828Steady57,22823.74%Decrease 1.68
Green Mike Schreiner 34Decrease 137,48915.55%Decrease 0.44
  Independent 10Increase 15,3622.22%Increase 1.32
New Blue Jim Karahalios 00013,6435.66%Increase 0.07
Ontario Party Derek Sloan 0005,2212.17%Decrease 1.78
  Others 0007,3413.03%Decrease 2.11
Valid votes 234,807N/aN/a
Rejected ballots 7,600N/aN/a
Total votes cast 124124Steady242,407N/aN/a
Source: Student Vote Ontario 2025 Archived 2025-02-28 at the Wayback Machine
Close

Opinion polls

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.
More information Opinion polls conducted during period, Polling firm ...
Opinion polls conducted during period
Polling firm Last date
of polling		 Source PC NDP Liberal Green Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
2025 election February 27, 2025 N/a 42.97 18.55 29.95 4.83 3.70 N/a N/a N/a 13.02
Mainstreet Research February 26, 2025 [p 1] 44 17 30 6 4 ±2.7% 1270 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 14
Nanos Research February 26, 2025 [p 2] 48 15 26 6 4 ±3.9% 630 telephone (rolling)/online 22
Forum Research February 26, 2025 [p 3] 41 20 32 5 3 ±4% 1013 IVR 9
Pallas Data February 26, 2025 [p 4] 46 17 29 5 2 ±3.1% 989 IVR 17
Research Co. February 26, 2025 [p 5] 46 17 30 5 2 ±3.9% 701 online 16
Ipsos February 25, 2025 [p 6] 48 16 28 6 2 ± 3.1% 1501 Online 20
Relay Strategies February 25, 2025 [p 7] 48 16 28 8 N/a ±3% 756 (1/3) Online 20
Abacus Data February 25, 2025 [p 8] 45 16 29 5 5 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 16
Mainstreet Research February 25, 2025 [p 9] 42 18 31 5 4 ±2.5% 1516 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 11
Innovative Research February 24, 2025 [p 10] 42 18 32 6 2 ±4% 917 Online 10
Mainstreet Research February 24, 2025 [p 11] 42 19 31 5 4 ±2.6% 1414 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 11
Leger February 23, 2025 [p 12] 47 17 28 6 2 ±3.09% 1,005 Online 19
Liaison Strategies February 23, 2025 [p 13] 42 18 32 5 3 ±3.45% 805 IVR 10
Mainstreet Research February 23, 2025 [p 14] 42 19 32 4 4 ±2.7% 1335 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 10
Mainstreet Research February 22, 2025 [p 15] 43 17 30 5 4 ±2.8% 1238 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 13
Nanos Research February 22, 2025 [p 16] 44 20 29 5 3 ±3.3% 920 telephone (rolling)/online 15
Mainstreet Research February 21, 2025 [p 17] 42 17 31 6 4 ±2.8% 1245 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 11
Nanos Research February 21, 2025 [p 18] 43 19 31 6 2 ±3.3% 918 telephone (rolling)/online 12
Ipsos February 20, 2025 [p 19] 46 21 25 4 4 ± 4.2% 800 Online 21
Relay Strategies February 20, 2025 [p 20] 47 18 26 8 N/a ±3% 975 (1/3) Online 21
Nanos Research February 20, 2025 [p 21] 45 17 31 5 2 ±3.2% 931 telephone (rolling)/online 14
Mainstreet Research February 20, 2025 [p 22] 40 19 29 7 5 ±2.8% 1243 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 11
Nanos Research February 19, 2025 [p 23] 44 17 31 7 2 ±3.2% 936 telephone (rolling)/online 13
Mainstreet Research February 19, 2025 [p 24] 38 21 29 6 6 ±2.7% 1291 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 9
Relay Strategies February 18, 2025 [p 25] 47 17 27 9 N/a ±4% 822 (1/3) Online 20
Nanos Research February 18, 2025 [p 26] 46 16 30 7 2 ±3.2% 929 telephone (rolling)/online 16
Mainstreet Research February 18, 2025 [p 27] 39 21 28 5 6 ±2.7% 1281 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 11
Leger February 17, 2025 [p 28] 48 16 28 5 3 ±3.09% 1,002 Online 20
Mainstreet Research February 17, 2025 [p 29] 41 18 30 5 6 ±2.7% 1278 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 11
Probe Research February 16, 2025 [p 30] 47 17 27 8 1 2.8% 1200 Online 20
Innovative Research February 16, 2025 [p 31] 45 18 28 7 2 4% 963 Online 17
Relay Strategies February 16, 2025 [p 32] 47 20 26 8 N/a ±4% 704 (1/3) Online 21
Nanos Research February 16, 2025 [p 33] 46 18 27 7 2 ±3.3% 912 telephone (rolling)/online 19
Mainstreet Research February 16, 2025 [p 34] 41 18 31 6 5 ±2.8% 1229 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 10
Abacus Data February 15, 2025 [p 35] 41 21 28 6 3 ±2.8% 1,500 Online 13
Nanos Research February 15, 2025 [p 36] 45 18 30 5 2 ±3.3% 915 telephone (rolling)/online 15
Mainstreet Research February 15, 2025 [p 37] 43 17 30 6 3 ±2.8% 1228 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 13
Mainstreet Research February 14, 2025 [p 38] 43 19 29 6 3 2.7% 1272 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 14
Nanos Research February 13, 2025 [p 39] 44 17 31 6 2 ±3.2% 900 telephone (rolling)/online 13
Mainstreet Research February 13, 2025 [p 40] 44 17 29 6 4 ±2.7% 1294 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 15
Research Co. February 13, 2025 [p 41] 45 15 31 4 4 ±3.9% 702 online 14
Pallas Data February 12, 2025 [p 42] 44.1 18.9 27.7 4.7 4.6 ±2.1% 2,193 IVR 16.4
Nanos Research February 12, 2025 [p 43] 45 17 29 6 2 ±3.2% 938 telephone (rolling)/online 16
Mainstreet Research February 12, 2025 [p 44] 42 17 31 6 4 ±2.7% 1314 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 11
Relay Strategies February 11, 2025 [p 45] 49 19 24 9 N/a ±4% 656 (1/3) Online 25
Mainstreet Research February 11, 2025 [p 46] 41 16 32 7 4 ±2.7% 1,301 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 9
Relay Strategies February 10, 2025 [p 47] 50 19 22 9 N/a ±4% 656 (1/3) Online 28
Mainstreet Research February 10, 2025 [p 48] 40 19 30 6 4 ±2.7% 1,303 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 10
Nanos Research February 10, 2025 [p 49] 44 17 32 5 2 ±3.2% 920 telephone (rolling)/online 12
Relay Strategies February 9, 2025 [p 50] 51 18 23 8 N/a ±4% 656 (1/3) Online 28
Leger February 9, 2025 [p 51] 47 17 26 6 4[a] ±3.09% 1,004 Online 21
Liaison Strategies February 9, 2025 [p 52] 41 18 31 6 4 ±2.82% 1,201 IVR 10
Nanos Research February 9, 2025 [p 53] 44 19 31 4 2 ±3.2% 920 telephone (rolling)/online 13
Mainstreet Research February 9, 2025 [p 54] 44 18 26 7 4 ±2.7% 1,347 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 18
Nanos Research February 8, 2025 [p 55] 44 20 28 5 3 ±3.3% 913 telephone (rolling)/online 16
Mainstreet Research February 8, 2025 [p 56] 41 21 25 7 5 ±2.8% 1,187 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 16
Mainstreet Research February 7, 2025 [p 57] 39 20 28 7 5 ±2.5% 1,262 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 11
Abacus Data February 6, 2025 [p 58] 46 21 24 5 4 ±3.1% 2,000 Online 22
Mainstreet Research February 6, 2025 [p 59] 39 22 29 5 6 ±2.5% 1,236 (1/4) Smart IVR (rolling) 10
Nanos Research February 6, 2025 [p 60] 46 16 30 7 2 ±3.3% 904 telephone (rolling)/online 16
Mainstreet Research February 5, 2025 [p 61] 42 19 29 5 5 ±2.8% 1,236 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 13
Mainstreet Research February 4, 2025 [p 62] 45 16 29 5 5 ±2.9% 1,162 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 16
Mainstreet Research February 3, 2025 [p 63] 44 15 30 5 7 ±3.0% 1,080 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 14
Angus Reid February 3, 2025 [p 64] 43 21 26 5 5 ±2% 1,760 Online 17
Pallas Data February 2, 2025 [p 65] 45 21 28 5 2 ±3.1% 1,014 IVR 17
Mainstreet Research February 2, 2025 [p 66] 43 17 29 5 6 N/a 1,374 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 14
Leger February 2, 2025 [p 67] 47 17 23 8 4[b] ±3.09% 1,004 Online 24
Mainstreet Research February 1, 2025 [p 68] 42 17 29 6 5 N/a 1,124 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 13
Liaison Strategies February 1, 2025 [p 69] 43 16 31 5 5 ±2.74% 1,274 IVR 12
Mainstreet Research January 31, 2025 [p 70] 43 19 29 5 4 N/a 1,247 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 14
Innovative Research January 31, 2025 [p 71] 49 19 22 9 1 N/a 857 Online 27
Mainstreet Research January 30, 2025 [p 72] 38 20 30 6 5 ±2.4% 1,644 (1/3) Smart IVR (rolling) 8
Ipsos January 30, 2025 [p 73] 50 20 24 3 3 ± 4.2% 800 Online 26
Mainstreet Research January 29, 2025 [p 74] 38 22 29 5 6 N/a 1,460 Smart IVR 9
January 29, 2025 Election campaign begins
Innovative Research January 27, 2025 [p 75] 51 18 23 6 2 N/a 1,286 Online 28
Mainstreet Research January 26, 2025 [p 76] 36 23 29 6 6 ±3.2% 936 Smart IVR 7
Abacus Data January 26, 2025 [p 77] 47 19 24 7 3 ±3.1% 1,021 Online 23
Campaign Research January 26, 2025 [p 78] 47 18 23 7 5 N/a 1,611 Online 24
Liaison Strategies January 23, 2025 [p 79] 39 18 33 5 5 ±2.71% 1,307 IVR 6
Yorkville Strategies January 23, 2025 [p 80] 48 15 25 7 5 ±4.0% 600 Online 23
Leger January 19, 2025 [p 81] 46 19 22 7 6 ±3.08% 1,007 Online 24
Liaison Strategies January 16, 2025 [p 82] 41 19 32 5 4 ±2.83% 1,197 IVR 9
Campaign Research January 15, 2025 [p 83] 47 19 23 7 4 N/a 1,789 Online 24
Mainstreet Research January 15, 2025 [p 84] 40 21 30 5 4 ±3.2% 943 Smart IVR 10
Liaison Strategies January 9, 2025 [p 85] 40 21 30 4 5 ±2.82% 1,202 IVR 10
Abacus Data December 4, 2024 [p 86] 43 21 25 6 5 ±2.6% 1,500 Online 18
Mainstreet Research December 2, 2024 [p 87] 42 22 27 6 3 ±3.6% 742 Smart IVR 15
Abacus Data November 5, 2024 [p 88] 42 22 26 7 4 ±3.1% 998 Online 16
Pallas Data October 15, 2024 [p 89] 41.5 21.6 27.7 7.1 2.1 ±3.1% 996 IVR 13.8
Abacus Data October 10, 2024 [p 90] 44 22 24 7 4 ±3.1% 997 Online 20
Angus Reid September 18, 2024 [p 91] 40 25 23 7 4 ±3.0% 858 Online 15
Mainstreet Research September 17, 2024 [p 92] 41 18 30 5 6 ±3.5% 764 Smart IVR 11
Abacus Data August 17, 2024 [p 93] 42 21 26 8 4 ±3.057% 1,028 Online 16
Liaison Strategies August 20, 2024 [p 94] 40 21 27 6 6 ±2.71% 1,300 IVR 13
Abacus Data July 21, 2024 [p 95] 44 19 26 7 4 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 18
Liaison Strategies June 27, 2024 [p 96] 39 21 28 7 5 ±2.77% 1,245 IVR 11
Abacus Data June 25, 2024 [p 97] 41 22 25 8 4 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 16
Pallas Data June 4, 2024 [p 98] 39.4 22.6 26.5 8.3 3.2 ±2.9% 1,136 IVR 12.9
Abacus Data May 15, 2024 [p 99] 39 22 26 9 4 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 13
Abacus Data April 16, 2024 [p 100] 41 21 25 7 5 ±3.1% 995 Online 16
Liaison Strategies April 7, 2024 [p 101] 40 18 30 5 6 ±2.74% 1,280 IVR 10
Abacus Data March 21, 2024 [p 102] 41 21 27 7 5 ±2.5% 1,500 Online 14
Liaison Strategies March 9, 2024 [p 103] 39 21 29 5 6 ±2.74% 1,283 IVR 10
Angus Reid March 6, 2024 [p 104] 37 25 27 6 4 ±3.0% 777 Online 10
Abacus Data February 21, 2024 [p 105] 41 19 27 8 5 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 14
Pallas Data February 11, 2024 [p 106] 34.5 21.6 31.6 7.3 5.0 ±2.9% 1,121 IVR 2.9
Liaison Strategies February 3, 2024 [p 107][p 108] 38 22 30 5 5 ±2.8% 1,236 IVR 8
Abacus Data January 23, 2024 [p 109] 38 23 27 5 6 ±3.1% 995 Online 11
Abacus Data December 12, 2023 [p 110] 39 24 27 6 4 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 12
Mainstreet Research December 4, 2023 [p 111] 36 19 34 6 5 ±3.3% 872 Smart IVR 2
December 2, 2023 Bonnie Crombie is elected leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Abacus Data November 28, 2023 [p 112] 42 24 23 7 4 ±2.6% 1,500 Online 18
Innovative Research October 30, 2023 [p 113] 41 26 25 7 2 N/a 925 Online 15
Abacus Data October 15, 2023 [p 114] 40 24 24 7 5 ±3.7% 700 Online 16
Pallas Data September 27, 2023 [p 115][p 116] 33.4 27.4 26.7 6.7 5.8 ±3.2% 964 IVR 6
Angus Reid September 6, 2023 [p 117] 38 28 22 7 5 N/a 656 Online 10
Abacus Data September 4, 2023 [p 118] 34 26 28 7 5 ±2.2% 2,003 Online 6
Pallas Data August 29, 2023 [p 119] 37.3 25.8 26.9 5.2 4.9 ±3.2% 940 IVR 10.4
Abacus Data August 23, 2023 [p 120] 38 24 25 7 6 ±3.1% 1,040 Online 13
Abacus Data July 25, 2023 [p 121] 41 23 24 7 5 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 17
Mainstreet Research June 30, 2023 [p 122][p 123] 34.7 24.7 25.0 10.7 4.9 ±3.1% 993 Smart IVR 9.7
Abacus Data June 11, 2023 [p 124][p 125] 36 26 27 6 4 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 9
Counsel Public Affairs June 8, 2023 [p 126] 39 23 27 7 4 N/a 1,323 Online 12
Angus Reid June 3, 2023 [p 127] 36 27 25 6 6 N/a 653 Online 9
Angus Reid March 13, 2023 [p 128] 38 30 20 6 6 ±3% 861 Online 8
Abacus Data March 4, 2023 [p 129] 41 22 28 5 4[c] ±3.1% 1,000 Online 13
Mainstreet Research February 4, 2023 [p 130] 36.8 19.4 23.3 11.2 9.4 ±2.9% 1,166 Smart IVR 13.5
February 4, 2023 Marit Stiles is declared leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party
Angus Reid December 3, 2022 [p 131] 37 27 25 6 5 ±3% 1,058 Online 10
Mainstreet Research December 2, 2022 [p 132] 37.3 25.9 24.4 6.6 5.8 ±2.9% 1,162 Smart IVR 11.4
Abacus Data November 5, 2022 [p 133] 38 26 27 5 5[d] ±3.1% 1,000 Online 11
August 3, 2022 Steven Del Duca resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party; John Fraser becomes interim leader
June 28, 2022 Andrea Horwath resigns as leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party; Peter Tabuns becomes interim leader
EKOS June 20, 2022 [p 134][p 135] 37.5 23.3 19.2 9.8 10.2[e] ±2.7% 1,357 Online/Telephone 14.2
2022 election June 2, 2022 N/a 40.82 23.74 23.85 5.96 5.62 N/a N/a N/a 16.97
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Footnotes

References

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