2023 Valencian regional election

Registered3,730,659

1.9%

Turnout2,498,090 (67.0%)

6.7 pp

2023 Valencian regional election

← 2019

28 May 2023

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All 99 seats in the Corts Valencianes
50 seats needed for a majority

Opinion polls

Registered

3,730,659

1.9%

Turnout

2,498,090 (67.0%)

6.7 pp

	First party	Second party	Third party

Leader	Carlos Mazón	Ximo Puig	Joan Baldoví
Party	PP	PSPV–PSOE	Compromís
Leader since	3 July 2021	31 March 2012	13 February 2023
Leader's seat	Alicante	Valencia	Valencia
Last election	19 seats, 19.1%	27 seats, 24.2%	17 seats, 16.7%
Seats won	40	31	15
Seat change	21	4	2
Popular vote	881,893	708,142	357,989
Percentage	35.7%	28.7%	14.5%
Swing	16.6 pp	4.5 pp	2.2 pp

	Fourth party	Fifth party	Sixth party

Leader	Carlos Flores	Héctor Illueca	Mamen Peris
Party	Vox	Unides Podem–EUPV	CS
Leader since	22 December 2022	4 November 2022	8 February 2023
Leader's seat	Valencia	Valencia (lost)	Valencia (lost)
Last election	10 seats, 10.6%	8 seats, 8.1%	18 seats, 17.7%
Seats won	13	0	0
Seat change	3	8	18
Popular vote	310,184	88,152	37,095
Percentage	12.6%	3.6%	1.5%
Swing	2.0 pp	4.5 pp	16.2 pp

President before election

Ximo Puig
PSPV–PSOE

Elected President

Carlos Mazón
PP

A regional election was held in the Valencian Community on 28 May 2023 to elect the 11th Corts of the autonomous community. All 99 seats in the Corts were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.

The ruling "Botànic Agreement" of left-of-centre parties was re-elected in the 2019 election for a second term in office, albeit with a diminished majority of 52 to 47. Opinion polls held in the ensuing years saw a collapse of the vote for Citizens (Cs), particularly following the 2021 Madrilenian election, and its capitalization by both the People's Party (PP) and the far-right Vox party, to the point of putting at risk a new Botànic majority. The coalition government was further weakened by the resignation in June 2022 of Compromís figurehead Mónica Oltra as both cabinet member and deputy, following her being accused of negligence and concealment in an alleged case of sexual abuse of a minor under the protection of her ministry by her ex-husband. On the other hand, Ximo Puig's government was generally well-valued in opinion polls for its management of the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy and the political situation in the Valencian Community, which during this period saw the organization of the Benidorm Fest, the signing of a collaboration agreement with the Volkswagen Group for the development of a battery gigafactory in Sagunt and Ford's decision to equip its plant in Almussafes with the manufacture of electric cars.^[1]^[2]^[3]

The election saw a victory for the PP which, together with Vox, was able to command a majority of seats in the Corts. Puig's Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV) increased its vote share and seat count, but this was not enough to compensate for the loss of support of both Compromís and Unidas Podem, the latter of which failed to reach the minimum threshold. The collapse of Citizens (CS) helped fuel the PP's recovery. At 67.0%, turnout was the lowest ever for a Valencian regional election. As a result, PP's Carlos Mazón was able to get elected as new president of the Valencian Government through a coalition with Vox. This government would last until July 2024, when Vox leader Santiago Abascal forced the break up of all PP–Vox cabinets at the regional level over a national controversy regarding the distribution of unaccompanied migrant minors among the autonomous communities, after which the PP was left in minority.^[4]

Date

Under the 1982 Statute of Autonomy, the Corts Valencianes were the unicameral legislature of the Valencian Community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.^[5] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.^[6]

The term of the Corts Valencianes expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of the Valencian Government (DOGV), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication.^[7] The previous election was held on 28 April 2019, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 28 April 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the DOGV no later than 4 April 2023, setting the latest possible date for election day on 28 May 2023.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Corts Valencianes at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process.^[8] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[9]

Speculation emerged in late 2021 on possible snap elections in Andalusia and Castile and León to be held by the spring of 2022,^[10] it transpired that President Ximo Puig was evaluating the opportunity of a simultaneous early election in the Valencian Community in order to benefit from an improving economic outlook following the end of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic-induced economic recession, as well as to counteract a favorable political climate for the PP with a possible victory in Andalusia.^[11]^[12] However, Puig publicly and repeatedly rejected the idea of advancing the election date,^[13] an opinion he reiterated after the Castile and León election was called for 13 February 2022,^[14] and the Andalusian election for 19 June.^[15] On 25 December 2022, Puig confirmed that the election would be held in May 2023, together with the regularly scheduled local and regional elections.^[16]

The Corts Valencianes were officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the DOGV, setting election day for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 26 June.^[17]

Electoral system

Voting for the Corts was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence.^[18] Amendments in 2022 abolished the "begged" voting system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting.^[19] The begged vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it was in force.^[20]

The Corts Valencianes had a minimum of 99 seats, with the electoral law fixing its size at that number. All were elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, each of which was assigned an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 distributed in proportion to population (with the seat-to-population ratio in any given province not exceeding three times that of any other)—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) regionally.^[21]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Corts constituency was entitled the following seats:^[22]

Seats	Constituencies
40	Valencia
35	Alicante
24	Castellón

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.^[23]

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.^[24]^[25]

Parliamentary composition in April 2023
Groups		Parties		Legislators
Groups		Parties		Seats	Total
	Socialist Parliamentary Group		PSPV–PSOE	27	27
	People's Parliamentary Group		PP	19	19
	Commitment Parliamentary Group		Compromís	17	17
	Citizens Parliamentary Group		CS	12	12
	Vox Valencian Community Parliamentary Group		Vox	9	9
	United We Can Parliamentary Group		Podemos	6	8
	United We Can Parliamentary Group		EUPV	2	8
	Non-Inscrits		PP	5^[a]	7
	Non-Inscrits		INDEP	2^[b]	7

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.^[29] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.^[30]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Vote %	Seats	Gov.	Ref.
	PSPV–PSOE	List Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE)		Ximo Puig	Social democracy	24.2%	27		^[31] ^[32]
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Carlos Mazón	Conservatism Christian democracy	19.1%	19		^[33]
	CS	List Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS)		Mamen Peris	Liberalism	17.7%	18		^[34] ^[35]
	Compromís	List Més–Compromís (Més) Valencian People's Initiative (IdPV) Greens Equo of the Valencian Country (VerdsEquo)		Joan Baldoví	Valencianism Progressivism Green politics	16.7%	17		^[36] ^[37] ^[38]
	Vox	List Vox (Vox)		Carlos Flores	Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism	10.6%	10		^[39]
	Unides Podem–EUPV	List We Can (Podemos/Podem) United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) – Communist Party of the Valencian Country (PCPV) – The Dawn Marxist Organization (La Aurora (OM)) – Republican Left (IR)		Héctor Illueca	Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism	8.1%	8		^[40] ^[41]

Campaign

Debates

2023 Valencian regional election debates
Date	Organisers	Moderator(s)	P Present^[c] S Surrogate^[d] A Absent invitee
			PSOE	PP	CS	Comp.	Vox	UP	Audience	Ref.
									Audience	Ref.
12 May	Cadena SER	Bernardo Guzmán	P Puig	P Mazón	P Peris	P Baldoví	P Flores	P Illueca	—	^[42]
18 May	COPE–Las Provincias	Vicente Ordaz	A	P Mazón	P Peris	A	P Flores	P Illueca	—	^[43]^[44]
25 May	À Punt	Marta Ventura Mathies Muñoz	P Puig	P Mazón	P Peris	P Baldoví	P Flores	P Illueca	TBD	^[44]^[45]^[46]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 28 April 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.

Color key:

Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead

2023 regional election	28 May 2023	N/a	67.0	28.7 31	35.7 40	1.5 0	14.5 15	12.6 13	3.6 0	7.0

GAD3/RTVE–FORTA^{[p 1]}	12–27 May 2023	?	?	30.0 31/33	34.3 37/38	2.0 0	13.4 12/14	12.7 13/14	5.0 3	4.3
NC Report/La Razón^{[p 2]}	22 May 2023	?	?	27.8 28/29	34.3 37/38	–	13.5 15/16	12.5 14/15	5.3 0/5	6.5
KeyData/Público^{[p 3]}	19 May 2023	?	?	26.0 29	31.8 35	2.7 0	15.9 16	15.1 14	5.6 5	5.8
Data10/Okdiario^{[p 4]}	17–19 May 2023	1,500	?	27.9 31	32.7 35	2.3 0	13.9 13	14.4 15	5.9 5	4.8
Target Point/El Debate^{[p 5]}	15–19 May 2023	902	?	25.9 26/28	32.0 34/35	2.2 0	17.1 16/18	14.8 15/16	5.5 3/5	6.1
IMOP/El Confidencial^{[p 6]}	15–19 May 2023	1,403	?	25.5 28/29	32.8 37/38	1.2 0	18.3 18	14.1 15	4.6 0	7.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^{[p 7]}	15–18 May 2023	1,600	?	24.7 27/28	31.5 33/35	2.1 0	19.1 17	15.6 16	5.2 3/5	6.8
40dB/Prisa^{[p 8]}^{[p 9]}	12–17 May 2023	1,200	?	25.6 27/28	31.7 34/36	3.7 0	17.4 17/18	13.3 14/15	5.2 0/5	6.1
EM-Analytics/El Plural^{[p 10]}^{[p 11]}	11–17 May 2023	600	?	27.6 30	32.3 35	2.8 0	15.6 14	15.5 15	5.8 5	4.7
Sigma Dos/Las Provincias^{[p 12]}	8–16 May 2023	1,648	?	24.5 27/28	31.4 34/35	2.7 0	18.6 16/19	15.8 15/16	5.1 4/5	6.9
DYM/Henneo^{[p 13]}	10–15 May 2023	2,028	?	26.5 28/29	32.0 34/35	3.0 0	16.6 16/18	14.2 14/15	6.5 3/6	5.5
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 14]}	8–14 May 2023	?	?	25.2 27/28	31.5 35/36	3.0 0	15.8 14/16	15.4 15/16	5.9 5	6.3
Invest Group/Levante-EMV^{[p 15]}	2–11 May 2023	1,500	71.5	27.3 29/31	33.9 36	2.1 0	12.2 13/14	12.5 13/14	7.0 6/7	6.6
EM-Analytics/El Plural^{[p 16]}^{[p 17]}	4–10 May 2023	600	?	27.9 30	32.5 35	2.9 0	15.2 14	15.5 15	5.7 5	4.6
GAD3/ABC^{[p 18]}	27 Apr–8 May 2023	1,203	?	29.5 31/33	32.6 35/36	2.1 0	13.2 12/13	14.4 14/15	5.2 4/5	3.1
SocioMétrica^{[p 19]}^{[p 20]}	5 May 2023	?	?	25.3 28/30	31.6 34/36	3.2 0	15.2 15	16.0 16/17	5.7 0/5	6.3
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 21]}	2–5 May 2023	1,200	?	27.5 30	33.2 36	2.6 0	13.8 13	14.7 15	5.6 5	4.7
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es^{[p 22]}	24 Apr–4 May 2023	900	?	25.3 28/29	28.6 32/33	3.6 0	18.3 17/18	14.5 15/16	6.7 5	3.3
40dB/Prisa^{[p 23]}^{[p 24]}	28 Apr–3 May 2023	1,200	?	25.9 30/31	31.1 33/35	3.3 0	15.5 16/17	14.9 13/14	5.3 5	5.2
EM-Analytics/El Plural^{[p 25]}^{[p 26]}	26 Apr–3 May 2023	600	?	27.9 30	32.5 35	2.8 0	15.3 14	15.4 15	5.7 5	4.6
Sigma Dos/Antena 3^{[p 27]}	26 Apr 2023	?	?	27.1 28/30	31.9 36/38	3.1 0	15.9 16	14.9 13/14	5.0 4	4.8
CIS^{[p 28]}^{[p 29]}	10–26 Apr 2023	2,630	?	29.0 30/34	30.7 31/36	2.1 0	18.5 15/19	10.2 8/12	6.0 2/5	1.7
EM-Analytics/El Plural^{[p 30]}^{[p 31]}	19–25 Apr 2023	600	?	? 30	? 35	? 0	? 14	? 15	? 5	?
Sonmerca/PSPV^{[p 32]}	21 Apr 2023	1,200	?	31.5 33/36	32.5 35/37	2.0 0	14.5 13/14	10.0 9/10	6.0 5/6	1.0
EM-Analytics/El Plural^{[p 33]}^{[p 34]}	12–18 Apr 2023	600	?	26.9 29	32.2 35	2.7 0	14.5 14	15.7 16	6.7 5	5.3
Data10/Okdiario^{[p 35]}	11–14 Apr 2023	1,500	?	28.8 31	32.7 37	2.4 0	12.9 12	14.4 14	5.9 5	3.9
NC Report/La Razón^{[p 36]}	7–14 Apr 2023	?	70.1	23.6 27	33.6 37	3.4 0	15.2 15	15.1 15	6.1 5	10.0
EM-Analytics/El Plural^{[p 37]}^{[p 38]}	5–11 Apr 2023	600	?	27.0 29	31.9 34	2.5 0	14.0 13	16.4 17	7.0 6	4.9
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 39]}	3–7 Apr 2023	1,200	?	24.9 26/27	31.6 35/37	3.3 0	15.2 15	15.4 16/17	6.3 5	6.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^{[p 40]}	27 Mar–4 Apr 2023	2,349	?	25.1 25/28	31.5 32/35	2.3 0	19.2 17/20	15.0 13/16	5.5 4	6.4
EM-Analytics/El Plural^{[p 41]}^{[p 42]}	27 Mar–4 Apr 2023	600	?	26.6 28	32.4 35	2.5 0	13.8 13	16.5 17	7.1 6	5.8
KeyData/Público^{[p 43]}	15 Mar 2023	?	71.3	26.4 30	31.4 35	2.2 0	15.9 15	14.9 15	5.1 4	5.0
PP^{[p 44]}	13 Mar 2023	?	?	? 29	? 35	? 0	? 14	? 16	? 5	?
GfK/Compromís^{[p 45]}	23 Feb–7 Mar 2023	1,361	?	25.0– 26.0	31.0– 32.0	3.0– 4.0	18.0– 20.0	12.0– 14.0	4.0– 5.0	6.0
Sigma Dos/Todo Alicante^{[p 46]}	20–28 Feb 2023	1,103	?	25.6 28/29	31.9 34/36	3.1 0	15.9 14/16	16.3 15	5.6 5	6.3
Data10/Okdiario^{[p 47]}	15–17 Feb 2023	1,500	69	29.7 33	32.6 35	2.4 0	11.6 11	13.7 14	6.4 6	2.9
Target Point/El Debate^{[p 48]}	12–15 Feb 2023	1,000	?	24.2 26/27	30.9 34/35	2.3 0	17.4 16/18	16.5 15/17	6.0 5	6.7
PSPV^{[p 49]}	7 Feb 2023	?	?	? 34/37	? 34/37	? 0	? 14/16	? 10/12	? 0/6	Tie
CIS^[e]^{[p 50]}^{[p 51]}	17 Nov–2 Dec 2022	994	?	31.0 32/45	29.2 31/43	3.2 0/5	11.9 6/12	9.5 4/11	7.2 2/6	1.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^{[p 52]}	13 Nov 2022	?	?	26.4 28	29.2 31	3.1 0	15.9 17	16.2 17	6.2 6	2.8
Data10/Okdiario^{[p 53]}	2–4 Nov 2022	1,000	?	28.5 30	32.4 36	1.9 0	10.8 12	15.2 15	7.4 6	3.9
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 54]}^{[p 55]}	3–7 Oct 2022	1,200	?	26.7 29/30	29.9 33/34	2.9 0	13.9 12/13	17.4 17/18	6.7 5/6	3.2
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 56]}	3–5 Oct 2022	1,800	67.3	28.8 31	31.9 35	2.1 0	10.3 10	15.5 16	7.3 7	3.1
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 57]}	20 Sep–1 Oct 2022	1,510	?	28.3 31/32	30.2 33/35	2.9 0	15.3 14/16	11.9 13	6.1 5	1.9
PP^{[p 58]}^{[p 59]}	29 Sep 2022	?	?	27.0 28/29	32.0 33/34	3.0 0	12.0 13/14	16.0 17/18	6.0 5/6	5.0
SyM Consulting/EPDA^{[p 60]}^{[p 61]}	24 Apr–14 Sep 2022	2,447	67.3	23.9 25/26	29.4 30/32	1.3 0	17.7 17/18	14.7 15/16	9.4 9/10	5.5
PSPV^{[p 62]}^{[p 63]}	31 Jun–15 Jul 2022	706	?	31.2 34/36	25.9 32/34	2.6 0	12.8 14/16	10.6 10/12	3.8 0/5	5.3
EM-Analytics/Electomanía^{[p 64]}	26 Jun–5 Jul 2022	1,243	?	24.8 27	29.4 32	2.4 0	14.5 14	18.6 20	7.2 6	4.6
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 65]}^{[p 66]}	22–25 Jun 2022	900	?	25.0 27	31.4 35	2.7 0	11.9 10	17.9 19	7.8 8	6.4
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 67]}	22–23 Jun 2022	1,000	67.3	29.0 31	31.9 35	2.3 0	9.6 9	15.8 17	7.2 7	2.9
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 68]}	23–25 May 2022	1,800	74.0	27.7 31	27.5 29	3.2 0	14.1 14	18.7 20	5.7 5	0.2
Sigma Dos/Las Provincias^{[p 69]}	9–17 May 2022	1,200	?	27.2 29/30	26.5 27/30	5.0 4/5	16.5 15/17	15.2 16	6.4 5	0.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^{[p 70]}^{[p 71]}^{[p 72]}	14–28 Dec 2021	1,700	?	28.3 30/32	27.6 30/31	4.5 0/2	14.7 14	14.9 15/16	7.5 6/7	0.7
EM-Analytics/Electomanía^{[p 73]}	15 Dec 2021	?	?	25.0 28	28.5 32	3.0 0	16.0 15	16.3 17	7.5 7	3.5
NC Report/La Razón^{[p 74]}	2–12 Nov 2021	1,000	67.6	24.1 26/27	29.3 30/31	5.2 4	15.0 15/16	15.9 15/16	7.2 7	5.2
GAD3/Cs^{[p 75]}^{[p 76]}	15 Oct–4 Nov 2021	2,404	?	29.2 31/32	28.1 30/31	5.9 5	13.1 12/13	14.8 15	5.3 4/5	1.1
Electocracia^{[p 77]}	21–26 Oct 2021	1,000	?	25.8 27/28	28.6 31/32	3.1 0	15.9 16/17	16.5 18/19	6.6 5/6	2.8
PP^{[p 78]}	3 Oct 2021	?	?	? 27/30	? 27/30	? 0	? 14/15	? 20/21	? 7	Tie
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 79]}^{[p 80]}	28 Sep–1 Oct 2021	1,800	?	26.7 30	27.8 31	3.0 0	15.7 14	18.2 19	5.9 5	1.1
SyM Consulting/EPDA^{[p 81]}	28–30 Sep 2021	1,565	70.4	24.5 26/28	29.5 30/33	2.0 0	17.1 17	15.9 17	6.5 7/8	5.0
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 82]}^{[p 83]}	20–29 Sep 2021	750	?	31.3 36	21.6 24	3.4 0	15.4 16	12.8 13	9.2 10	9.7
Terreta Radio^{[p 84]}	14 Sep 2021	?	?	? 28	? 28	? 2	? 15	? 22	? 4	Tie
EM-Analytics/Electomanía^{[p 85]}	31 Jul 2021	?	?	27.1 30	26.9 30	3.3 0	15.9 16	15.9 16	7.8 7	0.9
SyM Consulting/EPDA^{[p 86]}	14–18 Jul 2021	1,066	71.3	24.4 26/27	26.3 28/29	5.2 3	17.0 17	15.7 15/18	8.0 7/8	1.9
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 87]}	21–30 Jun 2021	1,800	?	26.6 29	27.0 30	3.4 0	16.1 16	17.6 19	6.1 5	0.4
EM-Analytics/Electomanía^{[p 88]}	30 Apr 2021	850	?	28.1 32	25.6 30	4.5 0	16.6 16	13.5 13	8.1 8	2.5
Sigma Dos/Las Provincias^{[p 89]}	12–17 Apr 2021	1,200	?	29.7 31/33	24.9 27	6.0 5	16.4 15/17	13.6 13/14	6.3 5/6	4.8
Metroscopia/PP^{[p 90]}^{[p 91]}	8–13 Apr 2021	1,500	?	28.0 29/31	28.2 30/31	2.3 0	13.3 12/14	17.8 18/19	7.5 7/8	0.2
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 92]}	1–5 Mar 2021	1,800	?	28.4 31	22.2 23	7.0 6	15.5 15	17.6 19	6.9 5	6.2
GAD3/Cs^{[p 93]}	14–20 Oct 2020	1,002	?	31.3 33/34	24.2 25/27	11.8 12	11.2 10	12.0 12/13	6.1 5	7.1
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 94]}	1–7 Oct 2020	1,800	?	27.4 29	24.7 26	7.9 8	17.3 17	13.4 14	7.0 5	2.7
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 95]}	28 Sep–5 Oct 2020	750	?	32.7 36	19.6 21	7.5 7	14.8 15	11.1 11	9.9 9	13.1
SyM Consulting/EPDA^{[p 96]}	24–27 Sep 2020	1,706	73.2	23.6 25/26	18.4 19/20	9.5 7/8	16.8 17/18	16.8 18	11.8 10/12	5.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 97]}	31 Jul 2020	850	?	25.8 27	23.9 26	9.0 9	16.6 16	12.8 13	7.8 8	1.9
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario^{[p 98]}	17–20 Jun 2020	1,000	65.7	27.3 28	25.6 27	6.8 8	16.7 15	12.8 13	8.3 8	1.7
SyM Consulting^{[p 99]}^{[p 100]}	19–21 May 2020	1,695	72.6	24.6 25/26	23.4 25/26	12.0 11	15.1 14/15	13.9 14/16	7.4 7/8	1.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 101]}^{[p 102]}	1 Apr–15 May 2020	?	?	26.2 27	23.6 25	8.8 9	16.3 16	12.6 13	8.4 9	2.6
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	N/a	69.8	27.6 (31)	23.0 (24)	7.7 (7)	7.0 (5)	18.5 (19)	13.4 (13)	4.6
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 103]}	23 Sep–1 Oct 2019	900	?	32.6 35	21.8 22	10.0 10	16.5 18	8.7 8	7.4 6	10.8
2019 EP election	26 May 2019	N/a	62.5	33.0 (36)	22.6 (25)	14.3 (15)	8.4 (7)	7.2 (7)	9.7 (9)	10.4

2019 regional election	28 Apr 2019	N/a	73.7	24.2 27	19.1 19	17.7 18	16.7 17	10.6 10	8.1 8	5.1

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							?	N	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							?	N	Lead

2023 regional election^[f]	28 May 2023	N/a	19.3	24.1	1.0	9.8	8.5	2.4	N/a	30.6	4.8

40dB/Prisa^{[p 9]}	12–17 May 2023	1,200	19.7	21.3	3.2	13.8	12.1	4.2	14.7	5.8	1.6
40dB/Prisa^{[p 24]}	26 Apr–3 May 2023	1,200	22.5	17.9	2.8	11.8	12.5	4.1	17.1	5.4	4.6
CIS^{[p 28]}	10–26 Apr 2023	2,630	20.9	21.9	0.9	13.6	7.6	4.3	25.0	2.1	1.0
Sonmerca/PSPV^{[p 104]}^{[p 105]}	21 Apr 2023	1,200	31.3	27.7	0.9	7.5	4.7	4.3	16.2	3.3	3.6
40dB/UP^{[p 106]}	23–28 Mar 2023	1,500	19.3	17.8	–	10.9	12.6	6.8	–	–	1.5
CIS^{[p 50]}	17 Nov–2 Dec 2022	994	20.7	19.5	1.3	8.1	6.4	4.4	31.0	3.8	1.2
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 57]}	20 Sep–1 Oct 2022	1,510	16.8	13.2	0.8	7.8	4.5	2.8	43.0	7.2	3.6
November 2019 general election^[f]	10 Nov 2019	N/a	19.6	16.4	5.5	4.9	13.1	9.5	N/a	28.3	3.2
2019 EP election^[f]	26 May 2019	N/a	21.2	14.5	9.2	5.4	4.6	6.2	N/a	35.2	6.7

2019 regional election^[f]	28 Apr 2019	N/a	18.1	14.3	13.2	12.5	7.9	6.0	N/a	24.2	3.8

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Other/ None	?	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Other/ None	?	Lead
Invest Group/Levante-EMV^{[p 15]}	2–11 May 2023	1,500	24.4	28.2	1.3	9.0	8.5	4.8	23.8		3.8
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 57]}	20 Sep–1 Oct 2022	1,510	32.0	30.9	–	–	–	–	4.1	33.0	1.1
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 82]}	20–29 Sep 2021	750	25.7	14.5	2.1	11.5	9.1	5.3	3.4	28.4	11.2
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 95]}	28 Sep–5 Oct 2020	750	22.3	13.1	5.5	10.4	7.2	6.5	24.0	11.0	9.2

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Other/ None	?	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Other/ None	?	Lead
Invest Group/Levante-EMV^{[p 15]}	2–11 May 2023	1,500	32.2	38.0	0.7	3.7	4.1	1.3	20.0		5.8
Sonmerca/PSPV^{[p 107]}	21 Apr 2023	1,200	44.4	32.4	0.2	1.8	0.8	0.3	0.2	19.9	12.0

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Valencian Government.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size												Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Puig PSPV	Mazón PP	Merino CS	Peris CS	Oltra Compromís	Baldoví Compromís	Llanos Vox	Vega Vox	Flores Vox	Lima UP	Illueca UP
40dB/Prisa^{[p 9]}	12–17 May 2023	1,200	24.8	21.3	–	3.4	–	15.6	–	–	12.0	–	2.8	8.8	11.3	3.5
40dB/Prisa^{[p 24]}	26 Apr–3 May 2023	1,200	26.5	19.0	–	3.3	–	15.6	–	–	11.5	–	2.2	11.8	10.0	7.5
Sonmerca/PSPV^{[p 104]}^{[p 108]}	21 Apr 2023	1,200	39.0	19.4	–	0.7	–	9.1	–	–	2.7	–	2.5	–	26.4	19.6
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 39]}	3–7 Apr 2023	1,200	31.0	29.6	–	4.1	–	15.5	–	–	12.1	–	7.7	–	–	1.4
PSPV^{[p 109]}	16 Mar 2023	?	40.0	20.0	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	20.0
SocioMétrica/El Español^{[p 54]}	3–7 Oct 2022	1,200	30.9	28.7	–	5.4	–	14.1	14.3	–	–	6.6	–	–	–	2.2
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica^{[p 57]}	20 Sep–1 Oct 2022	1,510	46.1	15.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	38.0		30.2
SyM Consulting/EPDA^{[p 81]}	28–30 Sep 2021	1,565	25.3	27.6	3.5	–	19.2	–	–	14.4	–	4.3	–	–	5.7	2.3
SyM Consulting/EPDA^{[p 110]}	14–18 Jul 2021	1,066	25.7	25.2	3.8	–	18.8	–	–	10.4	–	9.0	–	–	7.1	0.5

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Puig PSPV	Mazón PP	Merino CS	Oltra Compromís	Vega Vox	Lima UP
SyM Consulting/EPDA^{[p 81]}	28–30 Sep 2021	1,565	42.6	35.4	0.1	5.8	4.4	0.1	–	11.6	7.2
SyM Consulting/EPDA^{[p 110]}	14–18 Jul 2021	1,066	46.7	30.3	1.5	7.1	4.4	2.6	–	7.3	16.4

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Corts Valencianes election results →
Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats

Parties and alliances		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	881,893	35.75	+16.63	40	+21
	Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE)	708,142	28.70	+4.49	31	+4
	Commitment: Més–Initiative–Greens Equo (Compromís)	357,989	14.51	−2.17	15	−2
	Vox (Vox)	310,184	12.57	+1.98	13	+3

	United We Can–United Left (Unides Podem–EUPV)	88,152	3.57	−4.53	0	−8
	Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS)	37,095	1.50	−16.20	0	−18
	Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)¹	20,836	0.84	−0.61	0	±0
	The Eco-pacifist Greens (Centro Moderado)²	4,846	0.20	−0.12	0	±0
	Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV)	4,570	0.19	±0.00	0	±0
	United Coalition (Units)	4,266	0.17	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	3,815	0.15	−0.02	0	±0
	Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero)	2,926	0.12	New	0	±0
	Decide (Decidix)	2,373	0.10	New	0	±0
	Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB)	2,090	0.08	New	0	±0
	Valencian Republic–European Valencianist Party (RV–PVE)	1,745	0.07	−0.01	0	±0
	Alliance for the Commerce and Housing (AlianzaCV)	1,689	0.07	New	0	±0
	For a Fairer World (PUM+J)	1,373	0.06	New	0	±0
	Centered in Our Land (Centrats)	1,326	0.05	New	0	±0
	Regionalist Alicantine Party–Citizen Hope (PAR–EsC)	641	0.03	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		31,035	1.26	+0.50

Total		2,466,986			99	±0

Valid votes		2,466,986	98.75	+0.17
Invalid votes		31,104	1.25	−0.17
Votes cast / turnout		2,498,090	66.96	−6.76
Abstentions		1,232,569	33.04	+6.76
Registered voters		3,730,659

Sources^[24]^[47]^[48]
Footnotes: ¹ Animalist Party with the Environment results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2019 election. ² The Eco-pacifist Greens results are compared to Forward–The Eco-pacifist Greens totals in the 2019 election.

Popular vote

PP			35.75%
PSPV–PSOE			28.70%
Compromís			14.51%
Vox			12.57%
U. Podem–EUPV			3.57%
CS			1.50%
Others			2.13%
Blank ballots			1.26%

Seats

PP			40.40%
PSPV–PSOE			31.31%
Compromís			15.15%
Vox			13.13%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PP		PSPV		Compr.		Vox

	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S
Alicante	39.3	15	29.5	11	10.2	4	12.3	5
Castellón	36.0	10	30.2	8	13.1	3	13.1	3
Valencia	33.6	15	27.9	12	17.4	8	12.6	5
Total	35.7	40	28.7	31	14.5	15	12.6	13

Sources^[47]

Aftermath

Government formation

Ballot →		13 July 2023
Investiture Nomination of Carlos Mazón (PP)
Required majority →		50 out of 99 Y
	Yes • PP (40) • Vox (13)	53 / 99
	No • PSPV (31) • Compromís (15)	46 / 99
	Abstentions	0 / 99
	Absentees	0 / 99
Sources^[24]^[49]

2025 investiture

Ballot →		27 November 2025
Investiture Nomination of Juanfran Pérez Llorca (PP)
Required majority →		50 out of 99 Y
	Yes • PP (40) • Vox (13)	53 / 99
	No • PSPV (30) • Compromís (15)	45 / 99
	Abstentions	0 / 99
	Absentees • PSPV (1)	1 / 99
Sources^[24]^[50]

v t e Elections in the Valencian Community
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Local elections	1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 2023

v t e (← 2010s) Regional elections in Spain in the 2020s (→ 2030s)
2020	July: Basque Country Galicia
2021	February: Catalonia May: Madrid
2022	February: Castile and León June: Andalusia
2023	May: Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Canary Islands Cantabria Castilla–La Mancha Ceuta Extremadura La Rioja Madrid Melilla Murcia Navarre Valencian Community
2024	February: Galicia April: Basque Country May: Catalonia
2025	December: Extremadura
2026	February: Aragon March: Castile and León May: Andalusia
By 2027	May or earlier: Asturias Cantabria Castilla–La Mancha Ceuta La Rioja Madrid Melilla Murcia June or earlier: Balearic Islands Canary Islands Navarre Valencian Community
By 2028	March or earlier: Galicia May or earlier: Basque Country June or earlier: Catalonia

2023 Valencian regional election

Date

Electoral system

Outgoing parliament

Parties and candidates

Campaign

Debates

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Voting intention estimates

Voting preferences

Victory preferences

Victory likelihood

Preferred President

Predicted President

Results

Overall

Distribution by constituency

Aftermath

Government formation

2025 investiture

Notes

References

Bibliography

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