Talk:2026 Iran war
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ECP protection for this talk page
Just so everyone knows, I requested temporary ECP for this talk page due to ongoing disruption. SuperPianoMan9167 (talk) 22:26, 18 June 2026 (UTC)
- Very good. Noorullah (talk) 23:06, 18 June 2026 (UTC)
- And the disruption immediately resumed as soon as the protection expired. I requested protection again. SuperPianoMan9167 (talk) 00:35, 26 June 2026 (UTC)
Iranian Victory vs Inconclusive
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Should the result of the 2026 Iran war be kept as Iranian Victory or changed to Inconclusive? Vote by writing either Keep or Change.Crampcomes (talk) 00:00, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep: Most reliable sources call it an (de facto) Iranian victory. Making it inconclusive is simply representing a POV of a minority, which doesn't follow WP:WEIGHT. And if it continues, nothing is stopping us from changing it to ongoing in the future, but for now, keep it. — Raihanur (talk) 07:25, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Weak Keep Although most analysts have declared Iranian regime's victory, hostilities may resume without a final nuclear deal. Hu741f4 (talk) 00:52, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep. Most non-governmental sources describe the war as at least de facto concluded and as an Iranian victory, given the severe concessions the US has made. Frankly I find it difficult to see "inconclusive" as anything but cope. If hostilities resume due to the lack of a nuclear deal or due to Israel violating the ceasefire or whatever else, it can be modified then. Ithinkiplaygames (talk) 01:08, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Crampcomes (talk) 00:03, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep If the peace holds, Iranian victory is accurate. This is how basically all sources describe it after all and I don't really see any way it could be considered inconclusive. Genabab (talk) 00:51, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Wikipedia typically does not make decisions via voting. SuperPianoMan9167 (talk) 00:59, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- On paper, yeah, sure. In actual practice these RFCs are ALWAYS structured !vote after !vote after !vote, where a closer (or multiple, for especially contentious debates) is expected to take stock of the most intelligent arguments presented, weigh them according to logic, and assess the consensus. BarntToust 01:56, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change President Loki (talk) 00:10, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Unless hostilities between Iran and the US resume, or the facts otherwise change, Iranian victory remains the best option at present. entropyandvodka | talk 00:24, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Shahidul Hasan Roman (talk) 00:31, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Weak Keep For now there seems to be a preponderance of sources calling it an Iranian victory. However, there is a good handful of sources that call it inconclusive. If we see growth in inconclusive sources we may want to revisit the results parameter and consider either toggling it off or changing it to "See Aftermath section" (which is permitted by the infobox documentation). Chetsford (talk) 00:34, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Much more affirm it being an Iranian victory thus far, it should remain as such. Noorullah (talk) 00:52, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Even within the political class of the United States, and from both sides of the aisle, the prevailing sentiment being reported fairly weighs the sources in this direction. Xavexgoem (talk) 01:08, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Iranian victory: I am fairly certain most analysts agree that the US conceded to most Iranian demands on top of having to pay a type of war reparation to Iran, with not much to show for. — IмSтevan talk 01:09, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep - Provided the new present situation holds. Many analysts are calling it an Iranian victory or words to that effect at this point in time, due to the contents of the MoU and the war's outcome and objectives of who achieved them and who failed. The sources veering on the inconclusive side are those who write war may reemerge as an off again, on again conflict in future, due to various misunderstandings and disputes. This is more WP:SPECULATION territory as of now. A reminder, this discussion needs to be guided by WP:RS and not any WP:IDONTLIKEIT factors. Resnjari (talk) 01:14, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep The widely agreed consensus is that Iran won. Setarip (talk) 01:34, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Theres a preponderance of sources noting it to be an Iranian victory. Zalaraz (talk) 01:40, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change — EDIT TO ADD: Removal of the parameter would probably be preferable at this time — Perhaps with a dash of WP:IAR, but the sources seem to shifting slightly towards "inconclusive" (or what we define that as for the infobox). As far as IAR, I would like to note that there are already stories about "Wikipedia asserting Iran won". This doesn't impact my opinion, I am merely opining that perhaps we should be careful how we wield Wikivoice, given the ramifications it has. Regardless and more to the point: A Google News search of "Iranian victory" gives a good overview of what I mean. I do not see a strong consensus among reports, and we should be careful as to how we apply op-eds. The excellent Newsweek article linked by @Historyguy1138 is also an excellent compilation of alleged experts who mostly seem to agree that it is a shaky unknown we are entering into. At the very least, we could do with waiting. Yes, we can always change it to "ongoing" if circumstances change, but the more responsible thing to do while wielding Wikivoice is to take care. EDIT TO ADD: We are getting into inappropriate territory for the current sourcing of an "Iranian victory." Several of the sources outright don't say that it was a victory for Iran. At least one of the sources is merely asking questions to the reader. Another source states it was a U.S./Israeli-victory, although Phyrric. Throwing mass-quantities of reporters' opinions at this is not how to solve it. EDIT TO ADD 2: Per ONUS, a "no consensus" determination on this must take us back to the state of the article pre-addition of "Iranian victory" (which shouldn't have been been added sans consensus, anyways, but I digress) — MWFwiki (talk) 01:57, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change The MOU is not conclusive. 1, It has not yet turned into a reality. 2. It is not an all-encompassing agreement that includes Iran's proxies like Lebanon and other fronts. Therefore Iran is saying one thing and doing another. 3. There are still negotiations in process. Imgeller (talk) 13:17, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep As it stands right now, the Iranian regime appears to be either in the same place or better off than it was before the conflict started. Things can change, but I am not really hearing people coming out and saying that the USA won this one. At best stalemate? It can always change, nothing is set in stone, but that is how it appears to be today. Cocoaguy (talk) 13:43, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep if war does not resume. As stated above numerous sources, analysts and the objective terms of the treaty indicate an Iranian victory. VitoxxMass (talk) 14:22, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change to Inconclusive. The US war aims were never altogether clear, so in the absence of overwhelming military victory there’s not a clear yardstick to define winning or losing on. Meanwhile losing the ayatollah and much of their military infrastructure complicates the image of a clear victory for Iran. WD45 (talk) 15:33, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change. Articles like Foreign Policy's "Iran's victory is more Pyrrhic than it looks" illustrate the need for a more nuanced label. Both sides inflicted damage on each other, the leadership of both sides are claiming victory, and both sides obtained some concessions from the other. A large number of claims in both directions are obviously politically charged and motivated, so the safer approach for now is to label it as "inconclusive" with a link to an "Aftermath" section summarizing the main arguments of commentators, as with War of Attrition. Chagropango (talk) 15:40, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- That one seems fairly similar. I agree to a Change to "inconclusive" Hal Nordmann (talk) 16:32, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- The American objective was regime change, prevent Iranian nuclearization and making Israel the singular regional power. The Iranian government remains in place, Iran will not be surrendering Nuclear enrichment and now Iran controls the Strait and will begin charging a toll, furthermore all American military forces will be withdrawing. Iran is in a far better position politically then it was prior, the US and Israel is worse off. Clearly this is a victory for Iran. KGxHeretic (talk) 16:18, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per other users A$ianeditorz (talk) 16:59, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change. Either inconclusive or stalemate, we shouldn't call it a victory until the war actually ends properly with a peace treaty and all hostilities are ceased, for now the war seems largely inconclusive, calling it a victory for Iran would maybe be too one sided. While i do agree that the Iranian government is still in place + it will likely not surrender enrichment and its tolls on Hormuz, Israel still occupies southern Lebanon, and the US/Israeli forces have not suffered any major defeat apart from it possibly having to withdraw. Both Iran and the Gulf States have suffered major economic losses, with Iran especially having suffered major human losses in addition to having its army/navy somewhat crippled at the start of the war (many commanders were killed, including its Supreme Leader, material losses are also pretty high) - human losses on US/Israel's side have been way lower, in addition to materiel losses (which one could argue was pretty significant, probably more than was expected) If we take all of these arguments into consideration, it looks more like an stalemate/middle ground than anything - both sides were heavily affected economically, lost soldiers and weaponry, and the only place where some advance was made is South Lebanon. We also have to take into consideration the fact that hostilites, yet again, are not fully over, so maybe calling the war over is a bit too soon? MySalsa22 (talk) 17:18, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yeah, it does look like both sides "lost" to a greater or lesser degree. I agree with the need for a change, probably to "inconclusive" Hal Nordmann (talk) 20:45, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- The metrics of who suffered more economic, materiel or personnel losses during the conflict aren't really material to the result, except maybe in considering if it was a pyrrhic victory. The US lost the Vietnam War despite inflicting overwhelmingly more damage and casualties than it incurred. Russia suffered around 25 million dead in WW2 against 5 million German dead. What determines the result is the political outcome.
- In the case of the Iran war, the US agreed to permanently cease hostilities and not initiate new ones, retreat from the region and lift its blockade, lift sanctions, offer a 300 billion reconstruction fund, unfreeze Iranian assets, respect Iran's sovereignty and not interfere with its internal affairs, cede control of Hormuz to Iran and Oman, and commit to a binding UNSC resolution cementing it all. In return, Iran committed to not pursue nuclear weapons, which was already state policy, and to further discuss its nuclear program down the road, which they were already doing prior to the war. The political outcome, the change, is a massive shift in Iran's favor, making the result an Iranian victory. entropyandvodka | talk 21:36, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- First off, i did not mention only materiel losses, i also counted in economic, human and political ones.
- Second, the major difference between this and Vietnam or WW2 is that neither Iran nor the US were even invaded. Germany lost WW2 because its government capitulated after being beaten and invaded. America lost the Vietnam war due to it pulling out as a result of internal tension and high losses (the war also wasn't even an US-Vietnam war, it was fought between north and south with the US supporting the south, but either way that's unrelated)
- As to the other arguments, from what I've seen, while Iran has been more favored in the deal than the US (they conceded to much less than America did), the war still "ended" (we don't even know if it really did end) in a "stalemate" of sorts, neither side actually capitulated: the memorandum which established this truce is a treaty, not a surrender, in reality its more of a negotiated truce than anything else.
- In addition, yet again, we don't even know if this is fully over or not, so it might just be too soon to establish any "winner".
- MySalsa22 (talk) MySalsa22 (talk) 21:50, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- My point was that those types of losses (economic, materiel, casualties) are essentially irrelevant, that the political changes as a result are determinative. Germany's loss of WW2 was a political change as a result of the war. I don't think we actually disagree on this, but please correct me if we do. The US goals were a collection of political changes (regime change, end of nuclear program, elimination of highly enriched uranium, end proxy support, etc), all of which it failed to achieve. Either side surrendering is also not a necessary component for identifiable victory or defeat. The US didn't surrender in Afghanistan or Vietnam, but the opposition was victorious in both cases.
- I reject the assessment of the deal as a truce or stalemate because the status quo prior to the war is very different from what's in the deal. The US capitulated under the economic pressure, and the threat of much greater economic catastrophe had the closure of Hormuz continued. A stalemate/inconclusive result would make sense if the situation after the war was essentially the same as before, but that isn't the case here (see the changes I listed above). We have several RS breaking down why.
- It's true the war may resume, but the current terms of its cessation constitute a US defeat. entropyandvodka | talk 22:46, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Well, either way id rather wait and see what comes out of all of this (both the war itself and this discussion), we will see in the following days or weeks if the truce will hold anyways and what will result from it. MySalsa22 (talk) 23:24, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Entropyandvodka The "political outcome" is it? Are we now dealing with prophecy or encyclopaedic facts? The nuclear program: "which was already state policy". Where was that "state policy" being enforced - Natanz, Parchin, Bushehr, Arak, Esfahan or Fordow? Monosig (talk) 11:15, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Entropyandvodka The "political outcome" is it? Are we now dealing with prophecy or encyclopaedic facts?
- The nuclear program: "which was already state policy". Where was that "state policy" being enforced - Natanz, Parchin, Bushehr, Arak, Esfahan or Fordow?
- May I ask what your "policy" is, as a Wikipedia editor? Monosig (talk) 11:10, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Entropyandvodka The "political outcome" is it? Are we now dealing with prophecy or encyclopaedic facts?
- The nuclear program: "which was already state policy". Where was that "state policy" being enforced - Natanz, Parchin, Bushehr, Arak, Esfahan or Fordow?
- May I ask what your "policy" is, as a Wikipedia editor? Monosig (talk) 11:11, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Entropyandvodka The "political outcome" is it? Are we now dealing with prophecy or encyclopaedic facts?
- The nuclear program: "which was already state policy". Where was that "state policy" being enforced - Natanz, Parchin, Bushehr, Arak, Esfahan or Fordow?
- May I ask what your "policy" is, as a Wikipedia editor? Monosig (talk) 11:12, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Entropyandvodka The "political outcome" is it? Are we now dealing with prophecy or encyclopaedic facts?
- The nuclear program: "which was already state policy". Where was that "state policy" being enforced - Natanz, Parchin, Bushehr, Arak, Esfahan or Fordow? Monosig (talk) 11:12, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Monosig Why have you posted the exact same thing five times? Is this some sort of technical glitch? VidanaliK (talk to me) (contributions) 04:01, 28 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change I lean towards Ceasefire or Inconclusive since what was signed was only an MOU to have further talks. Unfortunately, this war is not yet over. SupermarketCake (talk) 18:31, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change, per MOS:MILRESULT, which reads:
The infobox does not have the scope to reflect nuances, and should be restricted to “X victory” or “Inconclusive”. Where the result does not accurately fit with these restrictions use “See aftermath”.
Since reliable sources currently disagree, it should be "Inconclusive" or a link to the Aftermath section instead of saying "Iran victory" in Wikipedia's voice. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:21, 19 June 2026 (UTC)- Disagree with what, exactly? Reliable sources have already been added in the result parameter of the infobox, and they agree that Iran is victorious, don't they? — Raihanur (talk) 07:41, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Thing is, not all of them agree - quite a few say the final result is yet to be seen or otherwise inconclusive. And some of those that claim Iranian victory also note some caveats to it. Hal Nordmann (talk) 16:03, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- The ones in the infobox even disagree. If we assume the infobox sources do agree about Iranian victory and ignore that they are cited out of context, there are still sources that support inconclusive. This newsweek article that was provided above shows that experts lean Iranian victory but are not unanimous. The FP article also provided above says the following:
Who won the war? It is [...] the wrong question. Iran did not defeat the United States and Israel, nor did the Islamic Republic collapse under military pressure.
- The best option here would be using "See aftermath", but "Inconclusive" is acceptable too. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 17:03, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Disagree with what, exactly? Reliable sources have already been added in the result parameter of the infobox, and they agree that Iran is victorious, don't they? — Raihanur (talk) 07:41, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep as a multitude of sources seem to agree this is an Iranian victory. Claiming an American tactical victory just because they did a lot of damage to the Iranian military is not a sufficient reason to add it. PaulRKil (talk) 00:46, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep • Most of the sources which have been reliable said that this is indeed an Iranian victory. SchwartzMorgan (talk) 07:21, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep generally speaking, whether it be on Wikipedia, in research papers, in historical studies, etc the strategic victor is usually considered the overall victor with that largely being the only criteria. Sailingsmooth5 (talk) 09:37, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep. America has not fulfilled any strategic objectives. Iran is in a better strategic position than it was before the war, therefore it is a victory for Iran. Mxzkqklt (talk) 14:21, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change. Not only is the conflict still ongoing but the occupying regime has lost several key figures in their apparatus. Until a final settlement is reached, it should be labelled as "inconclusive". ConflictFan (talk) 17:18, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Iranian victory: per the plurality of sources. The choice made by WP:FR to say 'Advantage to Iran following the MoU' is also a good choice and maybe better, leaving room for further changes if we see that the war actually more or less finished it could be changed into Iranian victory or if the war drags on after the MoU we will be able to change it. Aristoxène (talk) 22:20, 28 June 2026 (UTC)
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- Keep. A handful of sources clearly state this, and this is manifestly evident, however an explanatory footnote would be needed here analyse the sources and show how Iran has won this war per WP:LEADCITE. 2x2x2x2x2 (talk) 02:01, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep. Reliable sources have consistently declared this an Iranian victory and the Trump administration is not a reliable source. HadesTTW (he/him • talk) 02:05, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change. Tactical victory for US given the might they blow before and after, societal disruption, nuke negotiations are not yet on paper that is the very goal of US. Decisive victory for Iran as they hold the ground and US concede things for negotiations. Absolutely inconclusive. Maoylord (talk) 02:16, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Nuke disruptions are not real, as Khomeini never intended nor tried to build a nuclear bomb ante bellum. RobotGoggles (talk) 10:18, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- There's plenty of reliable sources that he did, though. You don't enrich uranium as high as they did unless you're at least thinking of getting a nuke at some point Hal Nordmann (talk) 11:10, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Their own spies said Iran wasn't making nukes (). No other sources confirm that Iran was making nukes either. It's just WP:CRYSTALBALL. — Raihanur (talk) 12:25, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Enrichment to those levels can also be a bargaining chip in international negotiations, ie, to leverage the lifting of sanctions. Iran stated as much, and this was also the opinion of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists and other experts, which is discussed in the Background section of the article. entropyandvodka | talk 17:40, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- There's plenty of reliable sources that he did, though. You don't enrich uranium as high as they did unless you're at least thinking of getting a nuke at some point Hal Nordmann (talk) 11:10, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- I agree, this one is better those down here Mason54432 (talk) 11:49, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- He wants it to be a fair fight for them, so they will retain the ability to blow up the region. Originally the goal was total regime change and obliterating their entire missile capacity. The goal posts are always changing it seems, but right now it looks like Iran is the winner here. Cocoaguy (talk) 13:50, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Nuke disruptions are not real, as Khomeini never intended nor tried to build a nuclear bomb ante bellum. RobotGoggles (talk) 10:18, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Weak keep. The sources we have seem to be mostly opinion or opinion/analysis. A few of them say that Iran won in their own voice, while most say that Iran made out better or suggest the same without explicitly calling it an Iranian victory. Because of this, I'm not super convinced the sources have settled on an outcome yet, but I also agree with the majority here that "Iranian victory" is closer to what the sources are saying than "inconclusive". Loki (talk) 01:50, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change Such a declaration seems a little too hasty in my opinion, and I’d greatly prefer “negotiated settlement” outcome for the time being. The economic and geopolitical repercussions from this war have yet to fully materialize for all parties involved, and there are still so much behind the scenes transactions locked away from public view. For example, the power vacuums and infighting within the Islamic Republic regime could very well be far more severe then what the outside world is aware of, and that hypothetically could very well destabilize Iran in the next couple of years. Furthermore, the whole situation is still very unpredictable and volatile, and can easily flip from any unforeseeable turn of events. Those peace agreements and settlements could also be voided one way or another by next week. Overall, I personally feel it’s best wait until the fog clears the next year or two to make any victory determinations. Randomuser335S (talk)
- Note Crampcomes, there are other options under MOS:MILRESULT that are also appropriate, particularly See Analysis (the equivalent of See Aftermath for this article). Per MOS:INFOBOXPURPOSE, the infobox is a summary of key facts from the article. As things stand, there is no analysis of the Islamabad Memorandum as a result. There is nothing in the article to support what the result is. Sources reporting on the memorandum are primarily WP:NEWSORG and the use of such sources is highly qualified. They are
generally considered to be reliable for statements of fact
but not so much for opinion. One also needs to consider WP:RSBREAKING and WP:PRIMARYNEWS. Opinions expressed in sources should be attributed but what is said in the infobox is being said in a Wiki voice. Cinderella157 (talk) 02:00, 19 June 2026 (UTC) - Keep. I'm honestly surprised, but after looking at what reliable sources are saying, the answer is we should call it an Iranian victory. I came here wanting to say "this is the problem with simple infobox parameters", because nuance is lost. I expected a lot of equivocation from reliable sources, a hesitancy to call it one way or the other. So I was really surprised to see the Newsweek article report that of the 10 experts they spot to, 7 said Iran, 2 said no one, and 1 said the US. Other sources didn't hesitate to call it a victory.
But the problem Cinderella157 raises is real too - despite what the sources say, this article doesn't say that. And that's a real problem, especially since readers aren't going to see the discussion on this page. Guettarda (talk) 02:29, 19 June 2026 (UTC)- Agreed. Crampcomes (talk) 04:40, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- At the time of Cinderella157's note, I don't think the Aftermath section had yet been created, but it since has. It will likely expand in the coming days. This is an area where expert analysis will also be useful for expanding the section, though the media statements are also relevant. entropyandvodka | talk 03:20, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Agreed. Crampcomes (talk) 04:40, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change: This is a solid "Both sides claim victory." situation. We shouldn't be taking a point of view, so declaring either side a victor seems biased, particularly in this case where the appearance of neutrality is important. It's also worth mentioning that, if we could be right to declare an Iranian victory, then considering reports that the peace deal achieves the US objective of getting Iran to give up their weapons-grade uranium, the US may very well have won. Nuke (talk) 03:05, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- But why? There are no notable RS' that descrube this as an American victory, or a result where both sides can claim victory. Genabab (talk) 10:13, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Issue is, there is no definite source on what either side considers their objectives - especially as some seem to have changed them midway through. I'd still change it to "inconclusive", though Hal Nordmann (talk) 11:12, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Literally what WP:RS lists this as an american victory, in any way? 2x2x2x2x2 (talk) 13:43, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep @Crampcomes The overwhelming majority of analytics favour the Iran victory Anas Riaz (talk) 04:23, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change: Iran may claim victory, but it's geopolitical standing was damaged by the drone attacks on the other Gulf States. Not to mention Iran having to give up its enriched uranium and having to rebuild its military with such crippling economic struggles that's not guaranteed to improve. I'd say it's a Inconclusive result; especially since we have no idea whether or not it will hold. Emigdioofmiami (talk) 05:05, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep - There is a clear consensus among reliable sources that Iranian victory is the most best description of the result of this war. If we do have an aftermath section added, the minority views that it's Inconclusive or American victory can be stated in accordance with WP:DUE. However, the infobox should provide the consensus view, which is Iranian victory.--JasonMacker (talk) 05:16, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep - Per above. A clear consensus exists among sources that Iranian victory is an apt description of the result. Additionally the "problem" raised by Cinderella157 is not a problem and only meandering to avoid acknowledging the truthful outcome. MazurTutejszy (talk) 06:06, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change per Emigdioofmiami, Nuke, Randomuser335S, MWFwiki, and User:BigRed606 Newsweek shows a lot of different perspectives ranging from Iran Won, to Inconclusive, to the U.S.A. Won, moreover, the 60 Nucllur talks are not over, and according to Trump could resume the conflict. Which being that this matter is not resolved, would show me that the matter is inconclusive. https://www.newsweek.com/who-won-iran-war-10-military-experts-explain-12084896 Historyguy1138 (talk) 06:10, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Newsweek is not a reliable source. RobotGoggles (talk) 10:16, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Newsweek is conditionally reliable, per WP:NEWSWEEK. In this case, essentially reprinting the opinions of 10 different experts, it can be considered reliable. That said, 7 of the 10 experts they cited considered Iran the victor, 2 said no victor, and 1 said United States. entropyandvodka | talk 17:16, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Newsweek is not a reliable source. RobotGoggles (talk) 10:16, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep. Few (if any) of America’s stated objectives have been met. Instead, they’ve agreed to a raft of political and economic concessions, and Iran now has the right to charge passage fees in the Strait of Hormuz. I fail to understand how anyone can see this as anything other than an Iranian victory. StellaAquila (talk) 07:38, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change " Reliable sources" are different opinions and perspective and This section is taking a point of view from "Iran victory" because of partisanship. You can say "Iran claims victory". This is a clear Inconclusive or "Both sides claim victory." situation. Roman–Persian wars for example stated "Inconclusive" despite Byzantine/Roman victory in the final war between them. Mason54432 (talk) 07:39, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change. The results have been inconclusive at best. Status que ante bellum. Kalpesh Manna 2002 (talk) 08:02, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Not true. Ante bellum, there was no allowance for Iran to charge tolls for transits through Hormuz. Ante bellum, there was considerably more confidence in neighboring countries hosting American military bases. Ante bellum, there was no leader in Iran intent on building a nuclear weapons program. Ante bellum, the assessment of most of the aggressor states was that a civilian uprising would overthrow the Iranian government. All of these status quo are now moot. Further, in a defensive war, all the defending has to do to win is to not lose. Iran has won. RobotGoggles (talk) 10:15, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- What the hell even is "all the defending has to do to win is to not lose" ? So by this logic Venezuela won the US military intervention because the regime is still intact and didn't collapse due to capture of Maduro. Mason54432 (talk) 11:45, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- The thing that matters is the objective. The US didn't have the objective of changing the regime in Venezuela, nor was it a war. In the case of Iran, regime change was an objective, and they failed to achieve it. Be civil. And DON'T BLUDGEON THE PROCESS. — Raihanur (talk) 12:11, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Minus 300 billion USD. — goethean
- What the hell even is "all the defending has to do to win is to not lose" ? So by this logic Venezuela won the US military intervention because the regime is still intact and didn't collapse due to capture of Maduro. Mason54432 (talk) 11:45, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- — goethean 12:17, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Not true. Ante bellum, there was no allowance for Iran to charge tolls for transits through Hormuz. Ante bellum, there was considerably more confidence in neighboring countries hosting American military bases. Ante bellum, there was no leader in Iran intent on building a nuclear weapons program. Ante bellum, the assessment of most of the aggressor states was that a civilian uprising would overthrow the Iranian government. All of these status quo are now moot. Further, in a defensive war, all the defending has to do to win is to not lose. Iran has won. RobotGoggles (talk) 10:15, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep: most of the reliable sources support the claim that Iran has won this war especially after the signing of islamabad MoU DataCrusade1999 (talk) 04:37, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change As i have said multiple times, it is way too early to say one way or the other who won this war. The MOU signing, which is just framework for further negotiations, happened just two days ago, why are we jumping the gun? The war could resume tomorrow. We should wait until the dust has completely settled a peace deal has been signed before we talk about winners and losers. Many of the fundamental issues remain unresolved, longterm control over the strait, future of Iran’s nuclear program and their material, Iran’s missiles capabilities, issues of Iran proxies, Israel’s ongoing war in Lebanon ect. I have feeling if we go the route of jumping the gun and saying “Iran won” we will be changing it to inconclusive in the near future. I think the smart move, is to list the outcome of the War in the box as “Inconclusive” with a mention of ongoing peace talks, until we get further picture, i think this the best solution. BigRed606 (talk) 06:25, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Nothing is stopping us from changing it to Ongoing if the war continues, but currently it isn't happening. And whatever happens in the future falls under WP:CRYSTALBALL. — Raihanur (talk) 08:48, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Why not just wait, until we have peace deal, and we can determine the outcome of the, current ongoing questions, Strait of Hormuz, Iran nuclear program, Iranian missiles, Israel and Hezbollah etc. Why say “Iranian Victory, when it’s obviously premature.
- Ps, sorry for the delay of response. BigRed606 (talk) 04:53, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Nothing is stopping us from changing it to Ongoing if the war continues, but currently it isn't happening. And whatever happens in the future falls under WP:CRYSTALBALL. — Raihanur (talk) 08:48, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep At least for now. The consensus among WP:RS is that this is an Iranian victory. However, if a final Iran deal is not reached, the war could resume. Pachu Kannan (talk) 07:19, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Most of the reliable sources support the claim that Iran has won this war especially after the signing of islamabad MoU
- Sarim Wani (talk) 09:27, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep The current status of this conflict is that both sides are declaring it over and finished. If the peace holds, it is an Iranian victory. If the peace does not hold, as other commenters are suggesting, then it is a simple matter of changing "Result" to "Status". As it stands right now, it should show Result - Iranian victory. This is what the overwhelming majority of reporting has said, and we can always change it if Historians later reassess and come to a different consensus. To squabble over this seems unproductive. RobotGoggles (talk) 10:08, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- "The current status of this conflict is that both sides are declaring it over and finished." That's literally means Inconclusive or still Ceasefire or Status que ante bellum Mason54432 (talk) 11:43, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- It's not status quo ante bellum. Instead, it is Uti possidetis because Iran gained control of the Strait of Hormuz in the course of the war, and is retaining control after the war's end. JasonMacker (talk) 14:10, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Iran also forced major concessions from the United States while conceding next to nothing themselves. Their economy was in shambles from sanctions, and they were undergoing internal political turmoil. The MOU, if executed, reverses both of those pre-war conditions, strengthens their regional position, and even grants their government tacitly acknowledged legitimacy from the United States. Status quo ante 1979 would have a stronger case than status quo ante bellum. entropyandvodka | talk 16:07, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- No, because the fact the war is over has no bearing on who won. RobotGoggles (talk) 11:49, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- It's not status quo ante bellum. Instead, it is Uti possidetis because Iran gained control of the Strait of Hormuz in the course of the war, and is retaining control after the war's end. JasonMacker (talk) 14:10, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- "The current status of this conflict is that both sides are declaring it over and finished." That's literally means Inconclusive or still Ceasefire or Status que ante bellum Mason54432 (talk) 11:43, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Most of reliable sources say Iran won the war Iranian112 (talk) 10:12, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change I'd prefer to wait a few weeks before determining that the war has concluded. Ordinary Person (talk) 10:24, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per the consensus among RS that the operation failed to fully achieve any of its intended objectives. Skitash (talk) 10:55, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change The document itself says it's core purpose to facilitate further peace talks. There are subjects in the treaty which meet the goals of both sides. Personally I think it would be better to continue to use Ceasefire in the info box until a more detailed treaty comes from the Geneva peace talks facilitated by the deal. The subject being a political soccer ball currently also makes it risky to state either side has "won" based on WP:RS. Fantastic Mr. Fox 11:06, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- How would "Ceasefire" be accurate when two of the principal belligerents have agreed, in writing, to a permanent cessation of all hostilities? Should hostilities resume, then Ongoing would be best. The MOU, however, encompasses much more than a ceasefire, and several of its key points are already in action. It would be WP:OR to label it a ceasefire at present. entropyandvodka | talk 18:51, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Iranian victory because
Trump released a statement saying the purpose of the strikes was regime change
which is failed. Beshogur (talk) 11:30, 19 June 2026 (UTC)- He also posted multiple time saying "regime change has already happened" in April and May. Mason54432 (talk) 11:33, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yeah, Trump's statements aren't really a reliable source either way. Besides, the war is not over yeat Hal Nordmann (talk) 11:34, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yeah Trump's statements aren't reliable but you literally just said it's "Iranian victory because Trump released a statement saying the purpose of the strikes was regime change which is failed." You just contradicted yourself Mason54432 (talk) 11:47, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- That was not me who said it, look at the usernames. I disagree with the idea that Iran won the war. Hal Nordmann (talk) 11:51, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yeah Trump's statements aren't reliable but you literally just said it's "Iranian victory because Trump released a statement saying the purpose of the strikes was regime change which is failed." You just contradicted yourself Mason54432 (talk) 11:47, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- What's this argument? The purpose was regime change as he told, just because he told after that the regime change happened, doesn't mean it happened. Can you verify that regime change happened? There is no slightest indication that the regime change happened (eg. Fall of the Assad regime), which makes again it Iranian victory, pyrrhic or whatever, we don't that include on the infobox. Beshogur (talk) 13:03, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yeah, Trump's statements aren't really a reliable source either way. Besides, the war is not over yeat Hal Nordmann (talk) 11:34, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- He also posted multiple time saying "regime change has already happened" in April and May. Mason54432 (talk) 11:33, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Sources clearly state this. Dasomm (talk) 12:01, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per above and per the majority sources Junosangleave a message 12:10, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep I think the addition of "strategic" before would be helpful. Tactically, Israel and the United States did inflict severe damage on Iran's military defenses and leadership, as well as its nuclear infrastructure. Iran's conventional weapons capabilities were also badly degraded. However, I do think the political/strategic/ MOU outcome is clearly in Iran's favor, and none of the US's strategic goals were met other than the return of the status quo ante. Many of Iran's strategic goals (end of blockade, sanctions relief, deferment of nuclear talks, etc.) were met. I think therefore "strategic victory" is most accurate outcome. LongIslandThomist914 (talk) 12:13, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- @LongIslandThomist914 IIRC there was some report by, I think the Washington Post, that as much as 90% of Iran's missile stockpiles were operational and unaffected by the war. So I don't think a tactical victory is accurate either. Genabab (talk) 13:02, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Template:Infobox military conflict:
result – optional – this parameter may use one of two standard terms: "X victory" or "Inconclusive". The term used is for the "immediate" outcome of the "subject" conflict and should reflect what the sources say. In cases where the standard terms do not accurately describe the outcome, a link or note should be made to the section of the article where the result is discussed in detail (such as "See the Aftermath section"). Such a note can also be used in conjunction with the standard terms but should not be used to conceal an ambiguity in the "immediate" result. Do not introduce non-standard terms like "decisive", "marginal" or "tactical", or contradictory statements like "decisive tactical victory but strategic defeat". Omit this parameter altogether rather than engage in speculation about which side won or by how much.
Beshogur (talk) 13:08, 19 June 2026 (UTC) - Yes I agree Mason54432 (talk) 15:42, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Per reasons given above. Also US didn't achieved any of their declared objectives, same with Israel.Mr.User200 (talk) 14:01, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per other users as most reliable sources supporting Iranian victory. Ahammed Saad (talk) 14:07, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per above. Most sources and analysts claim the war is an Iranian victory.
- Keep A victory in this case is simply continued survival of the regime. ACasualEditor97 (talk) 18:40, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- This is a completely arbitrary standard for what constitutes victory. It can only be applied if RS say this is how victory is defined. Otherwise it's original research. Slava570 (talk) 19:06, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- CNN and the Guardian both stated that the regime's goal in this war is to survive. Meeting your strategic goal is a win, right? ACasualEditor97 (talk) 19:29, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- That's also original research. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 19:35, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- What exactly would not count as original then? The news outlet already put out a stated condition, the condition appears to be met and the active aggression activity has dropped. ACasualEditor97 (talk) 19:46, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- That's also original research. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 19:35, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- CNN and the Guardian both stated that the regime's goal in this war is to survive. Meeting your strategic goal is a win, right? ACasualEditor97 (talk) 19:29, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- This is a completely arbitrary standard for what constitutes victory. It can only be applied if RS say this is how victory is defined. Otherwise it's original research. Slava570 (talk) 19:06, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
Zabezt (talk) 16:20, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per other users and also reliable sources are cited. ArchivioItalia ✉ 16:36, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change to Inconclusive as the sources simply do not support the claim of an Iranian victory. There are three sources provided. The sources from The New York Times and The Guardian are analysis / opinion pieces. And the source from The Indian Express is rather equivocal, stating
The answer depends entirely on who is being asked. Trump has repeatedly portrayed the outcome as a decisive victory for the United States and Israel, arguing that military pressure forced Iran to negotiate and paved the way for a deal that would prevent Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. Iranian officials, meanwhile, have framed the outcome very differently. For them, the Islamic Republic’s survival despite months of bombardment amounts to a historic defeat inflicted on Washington and its allies.
The overwhelming majority of those voters supporting a Keep -- "per other users", "per above", "per others", "per reasons above" and a dozen other variations of the same -- are not policy based and make no mention of the actual content of the sources, which simply do not support the claim. If this was a definitive Iranian victory at this point, there would be hundreds of mainstream reliable and verifiable sources shouting it from the rooftops and front pages, and included in the article. Three sources sends a message that the claim of victory is not supported by the sources. Alansohn (talk) 17:39, 19 June 2026 (UTC)- There is no need to lie about the sources which are claimed. Other users have put forward a large number of sources which claim an Iranian victory, such as Chetsford. Sources which claim an inconclusive result are minimal. MazurTutejszy (talk) 18:00, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- MazurTutejszy, this shameless personal attack -- {{Tq|There is no need to lie about the sources which are claimed]] -- is further evidence of the problem here. Chetsford refers to a "preponderance of sources" but doesn't cite them. No editor has worked harder to prove my point that the claim of an "Iranian victory" doesn't hold. Alansohn (talk) 18:40, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Have you seen the "Combined section for edit requests regarding "Result"" section...? I hope you do so if you have not. Otherwise, there is no need to continue this discussion further MazurTutejszy (talk) 18:45, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- MazurTutejszy, this shameless personal attack -- {{Tq|There is no need to lie about the sources which are claimed]] -- is further evidence of the problem here. Chetsford refers to a "preponderance of sources" but doesn't cite them. No editor has worked harder to prove my point that the claim of an "Iranian victory" doesn't hold. Alansohn (talk) 18:40, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- There is no need to lie about the sources which are claimed. Other users have put forward a large number of sources which claim an Iranian victory, such as Chetsford. Sources which claim an inconclusive result are minimal. MazurTutejszy (talk) 18:00, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Comment:To all the involved editors here although not a very topic of my interest but as far as I can see it's just too soon to clearly declare one side as victorious, at most if there indeed are very enough reliable sources for Iranian victory then I think it may be added but with a nuance in my opinion. Regards, AristocrSirr 🗨️ 18:09, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change to Inconclusive and include discussion and analysis about who won in the aftermath section. AGiantPulsatingMindisaTerribleThingtoWaste (talk) 18:14, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep as per others Poyani (talk) 18:19, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep:
- 1. The Iranian regime has survived.
- 2. Their nuclear program is still under their control.
- 3. They are getting their frozen assets back.
- Meanwhile, opponents have failed to achieve any of their objectives. Everything is under Irans control. It’s a big win. — Cerium4B—Talk? • 19:20, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per sources UNLESS conflict resumes. Will require an explanatory footnote though to be tagged on to the end. Pax Brittanica (talk) 19:08, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Ceasefire, Stalemate or Inconclusive for now. I think something like the Yom Kippur War may apply here, but really its WP:TOOSOON to even say. Gaza war doesnt even have a result.
And this only has one source, which is far from sufficient for the claim.The sources are inadequate for a claim of this, which mind you I lean towards personally. But taking a step back, its too soon to be saying this. Iran has been devastated militarily and the ink on the MOU isnt even dry. There is no full formal agreement. Its just a second level ceasefire. Really should be removed immediately pending discussion. ← Metallurgist (talk) 19:10, 19 June 2026 (UTC)- There are four major publications supporting "Iranian victory" in the aftermath section, and plenty more out there if we are to start delineating the opinions of various experts and think tanks. On what do you base the claim that there is only one source? entropyandvodka | talk 19:34, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- I was about to add a correction. I had looked on mobile hours ago and it only showed the Guardian. I dont know if thats a glitch or thats how it was at the time. But looking at the sources, its still inadequate to make the claim. ← Metallurgist (talk) 19:37, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- The Aftermath section cites BBC, Foreign Policy, The Atlantic, and The Independent. Are you referring to the inline sources listed in the infobox? entropyandvodka | talk 19:39, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yes, which presumably is what we are discussing. The Aftermath section allows more nuance and both (or all three) sides to have a position. ← Metallurgist (talk) 19:41, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- The discussion applies to both. Ideally, the infobox wouldn't even have the inline citation, and the relevant material from that list of sources would be broken down and properly summarized in the body of the article, which the infobox should merely be summarizing. entropyandvodka | talk 19:50, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Side note: there were previously something like 10 sources in the list in the infobox citation. I was not aware several had been deleted since yesterday. entropyandvodka | talk 20:08, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yes, which presumably is what we are discussing. The Aftermath section allows more nuance and both (or all three) sides to have a position. ← Metallurgist (talk) 19:41, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- The Aftermath section cites BBC, Foreign Policy, The Atlantic, and The Independent. Are you referring to the inline sources listed in the infobox? entropyandvodka | talk 19:39, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- I was about to add a correction. I had looked on mobile hours ago and it only showed the Guardian. I dont know if thats a glitch or thats how it was at the time. But looking at the sources, its still inadequate to make the claim. ← Metallurgist (talk) 19:37, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- There are four major publications supporting "Iranian victory" in the aftermath section, and plenty more out there if we are to start delineating the opinions of various experts and think tanks. On what do you base the claim that there is only one source? entropyandvodka | talk 19:34, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep as Iranian victory as US failed all of its goals and forked over a giant sum of money. Jon698 (talk) 20:20, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- But do sources say it was an Iranian victory? Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:25, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yes, a significant amount do. Jon698 (talk) 20:30, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Then why don't you provide them? Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:53, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- They have already been provided in this talk page, provided you simply scroll up. MazurTutejszy (talk) 21:00, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- FP: Iran’s Victory Is More Pyrrhic Than It Looks Beshogur (talk) 21:09, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- That article does not support you. It shows nuance is needed. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 22:57, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- The Aftermath section provides several. entropyandvodka | talk 09:22, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- If that is true, WP:PROVEIT. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 17:19, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- See my comment further down listing the sources in the article body. entropyandvodka | talk 19:27, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- You just listed sources to be used "for everyone's reference" there that came from the aftermath section. That comment doesn't prove the sources in the aftermath section support you. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:52, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Perhaps you should read them. entropyandvodka | talk 23:27, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Perhaps you should read WP:BURDEN. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 23:54, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- You're misunderstanding the larger issue. I listed those sources for easy reference, as many editors were focusing on whichever sources were used in the infobox rather than the (more relevant) sources in the article body. The comment was intended as a convenient resource, not to formulate an argument (which I and others have already done elsewhere in this discussion). When I said the (then) Aftermath section provides several references relevant to the discussion, you asked for proof, and I pointed you to the references I was referring to. Moreover, when you said that the article doesn't support my position, it tells me you haven't read that part of the article, as the relevant paragraph strongly supports my position. entropyandvodka | talk 00:23, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- You pointed to a wall of citations, but failed to prove that those citations supported you. I also said nothing about the text of the section text itself, so the last part of your response twists what I actually said. Your comment down there is useful, but doesn't prove anything. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 01:07, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Again, the point of the comment was to provide a convenient list of RS the article body was using, not relitigate my arguments or others. Your last comment failed to tell me what the weather was like today, but that wasn't the point of your comment, now was it? entropyandvodka | talk 01:19, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- That's a false equivalence. Proving if sources support you is relevant to this discussion, while the weather is not. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 01:25, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- To WP:PROVEIT, explain why the sources in that comment support you. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 01:32, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Again, the point of the comment was to provide a convenient list of RS the article body was using, not relitigate my arguments or others. Your last comment failed to tell me what the weather was like today, but that wasn't the point of your comment, now was it? entropyandvodka | talk 01:19, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- You pointed to a wall of citations, but failed to prove that those citations supported you. I also said nothing about the text of the section text itself, so the last part of your response twists what I actually said. Your comment down there is useful, but doesn't prove anything. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 01:07, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- You're misunderstanding the larger issue. I listed those sources for easy reference, as many editors were focusing on whichever sources were used in the infobox rather than the (more relevant) sources in the article body. The comment was intended as a convenient resource, not to formulate an argument (which I and others have already done elsewhere in this discussion). When I said the (then) Aftermath section provides several references relevant to the discussion, you asked for proof, and I pointed you to the references I was referring to. Moreover, when you said that the article doesn't support my position, it tells me you haven't read that part of the article, as the relevant paragraph strongly supports my position. entropyandvodka | talk 00:23, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Perhaps you should read WP:BURDEN. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 23:54, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Perhaps you should read them. entropyandvodka | talk 23:27, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- You just listed sources to be used "for everyone's reference" there that came from the aftermath section. That comment doesn't prove the sources in the aftermath section support you. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:52, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- See my comment further down listing the sources in the article body. entropyandvodka | talk 19:27, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- If that is true, WP:PROVEIT. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 17:19, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- The Aftermath section provides several. entropyandvodka | talk 09:22, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- That article does not support you. It shows nuance is needed. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 22:57, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Then why don't you provide them? Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:53, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yes, a significant amount do. Jon698 (talk) 20:30, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- But do sources say it was an Iranian victory? Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:25, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- A suggestion: What do we think of writing "Islamabad Memorandum" instead? Our articles for the Nine Years' War, the Thirty Years' War, and the Eighty Years' War all refer to the diplomatic resolutions that made peace, rather than pass judgement. If further developments indicate that victory or defeat in this conflict is overwhelmingly clear enough, we can say so in time. Crampcomes? Rebestalic[leave a message....] 22:08, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Well, i think this may be a good middle ground. MySalsa22 (talk) 22:22, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- We have already received "overwhelming clarity" in regards to this conflict. The Memorandum is largely one-sided and most experts, news sites and political thinkers agree so. MazurTutejszy (talk) 23:02, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- The resolutions in all three of those articles are far less one-sided than the Memorandum. The US gains extremely little in it, compared to lets say the Peace of Münster where the Dutch gain independence but lose a lot of claims on their territory. HadesTTW (he/him • talk) 15:16, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- None of the above - there cannot be a result for a war that is still ongoing. Iff we still list a result regardless of the war being ongoing, then yes, the consensus among reliable sources is that the MoU agreed to is a victory for Iran. We're running into a problem where in this RfC the current consensus leans towards "the result was an Iranian victory," but in another thread just below this one, there seems to be overwhelming agreement for "the war never ended in the first place." Are we headed towards two mutually exclusive consensuses about the status of the war? Vanilla Wizard 💙 23:09, 19 June 2026 (UTC)
- Comment: We are in a much worse position to judge this so soon after the agreement than we will be towards the end of this RfC. The aftermath is still developing and the consequences it will have for both sides are unclear. Right now, putting a one- or two-word label on the outcome of the war in wikivoice is premature and verging on WP:CRYSTALBALL. Editors voting early should understand there will be a need to come back to this thread and reevaluate the situation in a few weeks when we have more sources to go off. ⹃Maltazarian ᚾparleyinvestigateᛅ 00:13, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- It would also be WP:CRYSTALBALL to not describe the current state of the war on the basis that it could revert to ongoing in the future. Our main concern should be accurately describing things as they are now. entropyandvodka | talk 01:35, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- You seem to be arguing that it's both ongoing and over. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 01:50, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- At the moment, it is not ongoing. entropyandvodka | talk 08:40, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Then why did you say we needed to describe "things as they are now"? Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 11:34, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Because "things as they are now" are that the war concluded with a US capitulation. entropyandvodka | talk 16:45, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- The result isn't "things as they are now". It's the things that happeed. So, why did you say we need to "describe things as they are now", which contradicts your statement that the war is "not ongoing"? Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:33, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- There is no contradiction there, and things as they are now are a result of things that have happened. You have a result now because of things that have happened in the past. entropyandvodka | talk 23:29, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- You also said we need to "describe the current state of the war" to not violate WP:CRYSTALBALL. However, if the war is done, there is no "current state of the war" to describe. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 00:07, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yes. The current state of the war is over. entropyandvodka | talk 05:13, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- No, there isn't a "current state of the war" at all if it is over. Those things contradict each other. If the war has a current state, it isn't over; if the war is over, it doesn't have a current state. It can't be both simultaneously. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 09:36, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Buddy, Marco Rubio himself literally said the war is over during testimonies a few days ago. Magapetro (talk) 10:52, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- And? Selbstporträt (talk) 04:58, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Buddy, Marco Rubio himself literally said the war is over during testimonies a few days ago. Magapetro (talk) 10:52, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- No, there isn't a "current state of the war" at all if it is over. Those things contradict each other. If the war has a current state, it isn't over; if the war is over, it doesn't have a current state. It can't be both simultaneously. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 09:36, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yes. The current state of the war is over. entropyandvodka | talk 05:13, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- You also said we need to "describe the current state of the war" to not violate WP:CRYSTALBALL. However, if the war is done, there is no "current state of the war" to describe. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 00:07, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- There is no contradiction there, and things as they are now are a result of things that have happened. You have a result now because of things that have happened in the past. entropyandvodka | talk 23:29, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- The result isn't "things as they are now". It's the things that happeed. So, why did you say we need to "describe things as they are now", which contradicts your statement that the war is "not ongoing"? Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 20:33, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Because "things as they are now" are that the war concluded with a US capitulation. entropyandvodka | talk 16:45, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Then why did you say we needed to describe "things as they are now"? Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 11:34, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- At the moment, it is not ongoing. entropyandvodka | talk 08:40, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- You seem to be arguing that it's both ongoing and over. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 01:50, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- It would also be WP:CRYSTALBALL to not describe the current state of the war on the basis that it could revert to ongoing in the future. Our main concern should be accurately describing things as they are now. entropyandvodka | talk 01:35, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Bad RfC Takes for granted that there should be a Result parameter at all, i.e that the war is conclusively over. Whether we should describe it that way should be subject to discussion—it was subject to discussion in threads that were collapsed to make way for this RfC. Also is explicitly described as a vote, but that's the lesser problem Placeholderer (talk) 03:08, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- I'll just note canvassing at Reddit's third most visited subreddit—with a pinned link to this RfC Placeholderer (talk) 13:26, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Given all the reverting to maintain a change to the infobox during ongoing discussion, please note WP:STATUSQUO:
To eliminate the risk of an edit war, do not revert away from the status quo ante bellum during a dispute discussion. Instead, add an appropriate tag indicating the text is disputed.
(emphasis original). A Result parameter should not be included pending discussion Placeholderer (talk) 14:17, 20 June 2026 (UTC)- I've restored the status quo of a "Status" parameter pending consensus to change to "Result"—which should have been attained before this RfC about which "Result" to use. "Status" parameter also obviates the need to jump to declaring winners while discussion is ongoing.
- Because this RfC is about choosing between "Result" parameters, a separate discussion will be needed to assess consensus on using "Result" at all. One such discussion is below. Placeholderer (talk) 15:48, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per other users' comments due to WP:RS. Achmad Rachmani (talk) 04:57, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep. This looks to be well sourced. - Knowledgekid87 (talk) 05:46, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Bad RfC/neither. WP:TOOSOON. The war is not over yet. It should be changed back to ongoing. TurboSuperA+[talk] 07:01, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep per others { [ ( jjj 1238 ) ] } 10:44, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Comment: Many of the sources cited above (ie. from Chetsford) shouldn't be used here.
- The Atlantic is in the Ideas column, which per RSP is an opinion piece, and per RSOPINION, opinion pieces should not be used for statements of fact.
- Andalou Agency is unreliable for politics per RSP.
- John Mearsheimer is a substack post.
- Branislav Slantchev is a post on X.
- Chris Murphy is another post on X.
- Graeme Wood is another Ideas article from The Atlantic
- Times of Israel is an opinion piece.
- ARandomName123 (talk)Ping me! 11:18, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Two of these are IR experts and one of them is a senior US politician; i don't believe whether their statements are made on Twitter or a journal makes any difference. MazurTutejszy (talk) 11:47, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- If this truly is an Iranian victory (or inconclusive or whatever), then there should be many RS's that say so. We should not need to rely on self published statements, even if they are from SMEs. Per WP:SELFPUB:
if the information in question is suitable for inclusion, someone else will likely have published it in independent, reliable sources.
ARandomName123 (talk)Ping me! 15:27, 20 June 2026 (UTC)- The Aftermath section is more relevant. Further, the result field shouldn't be separately sourced from that. Any usable and relevant sources should be summarized into the article body, or added if they are reiterating the same points. entropyandvodka | talk 16:31, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- If this truly is an Iranian victory (or inconclusive or whatever), then there should be many RS's that say so. We should not need to rely on self published statements, even if they are from SMEs. Per WP:SELFPUB:
- Keep Few people out of the most entrenched US foreign-policy blobbites view this as anything other than an Iranian victory. Brycehughes (talk) 12:36, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep None of the US stated objectives have been met and Iran has succeeded in getting more out of the war than it had going in.Pranav (talk) 13:05, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep, because an aggressor that fails to achieve any of its objectives can hardly be called a victor. Most sources argue that it is some kind of victory for Iran, which makes sense to me given that the regime is still in power and that the agreement on the table is more beneficial to them than any nuclear deal they would have reached prior to the war. However, it is important to clarify various nuances of said victory in the article itself. Turnopoems 𓋹 ✎ 13:12, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change, For starters, I share the above sentiment that many sources present here ought not to be used. Now then, given that the reasons for the war were quite literally all over the place, saying that the US failed in all of its objectives, a perspective I see expressed here, is misguided, in my view. Bare minimum, severely limiting the military power of Iran accounted for several of them, and that was accomplished for the most part. Further, just blanketly applying "Iranian Victory" ignores the nuances of this war and its effects. Sidenote: 2 of the 3 sources in the infobox do not claim an Iranian victory. The quote from the Indian Express article is quite out of context, and the article itself concludes that experts are divided, and the NYT, more so, frames a defeat for Israel, if anything. The best choice, in my opinion, is either inconclusive or (as someone else mentioned), similar to the 30-Years War page, placing the Islamabad Memorandum in the result line. Man-Man122 (talk) 15:06, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Like others, I also take issue with the RfC in the first place; given recent developments, just this morning, is the war over? Moreover, the partisan and biased natures of the sources persuade me to state that
it should be changed to inconclusive.— Javert2113 (Siarad.|¤) 15:15, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Addendum: The sources and the votes advise me now to state that this is a bad RfC and I hereby void my earlier vote. The war isn't over yet, so the answer should be Ongoing. — Javert2113 (Siarad.|¤) 21:57, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Comment - Given that this is under consideration in an ongoing RfC, the relevant section(s) of the infobox should not be changed prior to the resolution of this RfC. As it currently stands, this change to the infobox has made this RfC moot. I will be reverting that change so that a stable version of the infobox can reflect what is currently being discussed in this RfC--JasonMacker (talk) 18:03, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- @JasonMacker that's not at all reflective of WP:STATUSQUO. There's a dispute over whether or not to use a Result parameter. The fact that there's a dispute over which Result parameter would be preferred is not reason to entirely skip discussion and consensus-building around which parameter to use.
- Starting a discussion predicated on non-extant consensus around X is not a cheat code to declare there's consensus for X and we need not discuss it at all Placeholderer (talk) 18:14, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- ??? There is discussion happening right now. Unilateral nullification to render this RfC moot is, to put it lightly, frowned upon. JasonMacker (talk) 18:20, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Correct! There is currently discussion of whether or not we should describe the war as being completely over—i.e, whether we should use a Result parameter or a Status parameter in the infobox. Until that discussion is resolved, we should restore the status quo ante,. That would be the Status parameter. Placeholderer (talk) 18:24, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- And why is the discussion of whether to use a Result parameter below the RfC of which Result parameter would be better? Because the RfC was started prematurely and the preceding discussion on Result v. Status was all closed early to make room for it.
- There are layers and layers of mess here Placeholderer (talk) 18:40, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- No? There was a discussion on the talk page, which is why the Status parameter got replaced with the Result parameter, in this edit back on 18 June 2026. Then, this RfC was started in 19 June, asking what the Result parameter should state. As should be obvious from what has happened in this discussion, there are a large number of editors that support keeping it as "Iranian victory" rather than changing it to "Inconclusive". So, the status quo of this RfC was that the result parameter stated Iranian victory. The "dispute" as to whether to even use the Result parameter began after the initiation of this RfC. JasonMacker (talk) 18:40, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- The discussion you're referring to was started after this RfC, and has seen significantly less participation. Many of the editors supporting the change result of this RfC are citing similar reasons to those reflected in the other discussion. Rather than trying to invalidate an RfC with a subsequent, simultaneous discussion, editors of that discussion should participate in this RfC (and some have). entropyandvodka | talk 18:44, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- My 18:40 reply might not have come through in time x2 Placeholderer (talk) 18:46, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- (I'll note that one reason for the significant participation here is likely to do with the canvassing) Placeholderer (talk) 18:47, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Read WP:CANVASS. There is no indication within that reddit post of encouraging any edits to the article or this talk page. So, not a canvass. JasonMacker (talk) 18:57, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- This RfC is literally pinned to the top of the thread. But that's beside the point here of consensus to use Result Placeholderer (talk) 19:00, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Again, there is no indication within that reddit post of encouraging any edits to the article or this talk page. So, not a canvass. Merely linking to this RfC is not a canvass. Also, this talk page is extended-confirmed restricted anyways, so it's not like there's going to be a deluge of random redditors coming here to !vote. JasonMacker (talk) 19:26, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Per WP:CANVASS: "Canvassing is notification done with the intention of influencing the outcome of a discussion in a particular way, and is considered inappropriate." entropyandvodka | talk 19:31, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- This RfC is literally pinned to the top of the thread. But that's beside the point here of consensus to use Result Placeholderer (talk) 19:00, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Read WP:CANVASS. There is no indication within that reddit post of encouraging any edits to the article or this talk page. So, not a canvass. JasonMacker (talk) 18:57, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Correct! There is currently discussion of whether or not we should describe the war as being completely over—i.e, whether we should use a Result parameter or a Status parameter in the infobox. Until that discussion is resolved, we should restore the status quo ante,. That would be the Status parameter. Placeholderer (talk) 18:24, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- ??? There is discussion happening right now. Unilateral nullification to render this RfC moot is, to put it lightly, frowned upon. JasonMacker (talk) 18:20, 20 June 2026 (UTC)
- Comment The sources cited in the infobox are not the only RS relevant to the discussion. Some issue was taken with editors vaguely referring to RS without specifying which ones. These sources were used in the relevant portion of the article body, for everyone's reference:
- BBC
- Foreign Policy
- The Atlantic
- The Independent
- NPR
- Sydney Morning Herald
- entropyandvodka | talk 03:34, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- A few more, not currently in the article.
- Middle East Eye
- Foreign Affairs
- Asia Times
- entropyandvodka | talk 16:13, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Atlantic, The Independent, MEE, and Asia Times are opinion pieces, see WP:RSOPINION. Foreign Policy published a number of articles on the result, one of which holds a dissenting pov: . However, there does seem to be more articles that state Iran won the war (or at least that the US did not achieve its goals). ARandomName123 (talk)Ping me! 17:51, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- To be fair, not achieving the goals doesn't necessarily mean the other side won. It's possible for both sides to lose, and I feel like that's the case here as well. And let's not forget, the war is not over yet. Hal Nordmann (talk) 08:00, 25 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change and to ongoing, since the question of whether one side had won or it was inconclusive does not arise in the first place, as the conflict has never concluded to get to that point. Its a category error. The MoU is a 60-day ceasefire agreement with the intent to work out and finalize a lasting peace deal within the allotted timeframe. One major prerequisite for the MoU, as per the first paragraph, is the cessation of all hostilities in Lebanon by not only the USA and Iran, but also their respective allies. Israel refused any commitment to the Memorandum and to withdraw their forces. Instead they maintain to remain on occupied territory until all opposition infrastructure was destroyed. One of the main prerequisites to fulfill the MoU alone, never materialized. To talk of any result is premature. TheMightyGeneral (talk) 10:50, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change to inconclusive. WP:NPOV says:
Ensure that the reporting of different views on a subject adequately reflects the relative levels of support for those views.
Even if the argument for inconclusive is a minority view, it needs to be reflected in the article in proportion to the preponderance of that view in sources.
- Here are a few such sources:
- BBC
Both sides have sold the deal to their public as a win but, as our analysts here explain, neither has fully convinced them and domestic critics on both sides argue that too many concessions were made.
- Center for Strategic and International Studies
Iran lost the war but won the negotiation and won it convincingly.
- Hudson Institute
Yet the larger reality remains unchanged. Together, the U.S. and Israel shattered Iran’s integrated deterrence system, crippled its military infrastructure, halted its uranium enrichment, and degraded Hezbollah.
- AP News
“It’s too much to say that Iran has emerged a victor, but it could have been much worse,” said Farzan Sabet, an Iran expert at the Geneva Graduate Institute think tank. “I think that the real victory for Iran was … survival."
- Note: The political bent of the sources are irrelevant per WP:BIASED. What matters is that these viewpoints exist at all.
- Slava570 (talk) 12:26, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Amending my own !vote above. First Bad RFC. Once this RFC is over, we will immediately require a new RfC to determine whether to make it status ongoing or result. If we close this RFC now and open the second one, we will only need one RfC to determine the full consensus. Secondly, I would be fine with Inconclusive as per above or changing to ONGOING. Slava570 (talk) 12:04, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- "It needs to be reflected in the article in proportion to the preponderance of that view in sources." Yeah, sure. No one is denying the inclusion of the other POV, but just not in the infobox. — Raihanur (talk) 13:20, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- "Victory" would only represent a portion of the sources (the exact proportion unknown) whereas "inconclusive" would reflect a broader range of sources. All it means is that a single conclusion has not been reached. This still allows for the "victory" sources because it says victory is one of the possible conclusions (of several). Slava570 (talk) 14:26, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep. Same guy who said he did not want to waste American taxpayer money into another costly pointless war in the Middle East launched another costly pointless war in the Middle East and will now gift the Iranian regime 300 billion with the added of a nice ribbon and all sanctions lifted. Not only American defeat is obvious from simply observing reality, reliable sources are also describing it as such, and it is clear that, as time passes by and we start to be able to depend more on academic sources rather than newspaper and think tank pieces, the wind will keep blowing this way and not the opposite one.
- Something worth discussing could be whether the Iranian victory should be noted plainly as such or as a "strategic victory", given the American–Israeli military campaign itself was widely successful. Though, such clarifications are unorthodox and probably discouraged in Wikipedia. Super Ψ Dro 14:06, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Iranian victory. The Wikipedia team did the same for the 2024 Lebanon War despite ceasefire. WeAreNicePeople (talk) 14:20, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- That is a very different context. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 16:40, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep. Per core content policies like WP:WEIGHT and WP:DUE, the infobox must reflect the prevailing view among reliable sources, as opposed to elevating a minority interpretation to equal footing. That prevailing view is clear: Newsweek not only reported on the debate but explicitly affirmed that
"Wikipedia's verdict echoes what several military experts and geopolitical watchers have told Newsweek"
. This directly endorses the current listing from Newsweek that in another report surveyed ten experts who uniformly characterized the outcome as an Iranian success. The Guardian notes that Tehran secured a deal far better than any pre-war nuclear arrangement while keeping the government intact, Foreign Policy calls it a "pyrrhic victory", still a victory, not a draw. Even, as reported by the Times of Israel, 92% of Israeli respondents believe Iran won. The "inconclusive" framing is a distinct minority position, and per WP:NPOV, we do not give WP:UNDUE weight to minority views in the infobox. The finer points —how costly or incomplete that victory might be— are better handled in the main text. For the infobox, we stick to the consensus result, which reliable sources consistently describe as Iranian victory. I've only cited a few here, but they are representative of more reliable sources that reaches the same conclusion --Mhhossein talk 14:27, 22 June 2026 (UTC)- "uniformly characterized the outcome as an Iranian success"
- That's false. Selbstporträt (talk) 15:04, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Let's see how Newsweek describes the 10 experts comment see the comments:
"But Wikipedia's verdict echoes what several military experts and geopolitical watchers have told Newsweek.
here --Mhhossein talk 13:26, 23 June 2026 (UTC)- I already did, below. Search for "Here are 10 opiniators with 10 opinions". What you need is at least three reliable sources saying "consensus says it's an Iran win". Selbstporträt (talk) 14:38, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yeah, opinions - even those of experts - are just that. The fact that a selection of 10 had a majority saying Iran won doesn't make for a consensus - they could've just been (un)lucky in picking those 10 Hal Nordmann (talk) 15:55, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Selbstporträt: Which WP guideline do require having "at least three reliable sources saying 'consensus says it's an Iran win'"? Mhhossein talk 07:41, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- You're not going to sealion me right after being caught misrepresenting a source to push a point of view, kind sir. Selbstporträt (talk) 14:03, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- I already did, below. Search for "Here are 10 opiniators with 10 opinions". What you need is at least three reliable sources saying "consensus says it's an Iran win". Selbstporträt (talk) 14:38, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Let's see how Newsweek describes the 10 experts comment see the comments:
- We base our articles on reliable sources, not what 92% of Israelis think. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 10:20, 26 June 2026 (UTC)
- Question. On scientific pages, we don't go around and try to tally what scientists say. We find sources that do, and we report them. In other words, we support the claim that there's a consensus (say on vaccine efficacy or climate change) by pointing at sources that say there's a consensus. Doesn't the same apply on military pages? Selbstporträt 16:12, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Note: It should probably be noted here that this discussion was previously closed at 19:53, 20 June 2026 (Special:diff/1360327388), and reopened a day or so later following a discussion at Wikipedia:Administrators'_noticeboard#RfC_closure_review_at_Talk:2026_Iran_war. Considering the problematic RfC question, interested editors are invited to participate at Wikipedia:Administrators'_noticeboard#Proposal:_New,_three-part_RfC. ARandomName123 (talk)Ping me! 17:41, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change Iran hasn't had an overall gain; despite getting more control over the Strait of Hormuz, it also has lost a lot of its military, no longer has a conscious ruler, and has lost key allies such as Qatar and Iraq that started fighting against it. I say both sides have had gains and losses so inconclusive is probably best. VidanaliK (talk to me) (contributions) 18:52, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- We're not going to decide based on the users' personal opinions. What belongs in the infobox is largely determined by several guidelines and policies, among them WP:VERIFY and WP:DUE which is well grounded here, thanks to numerous sources supporting the Victory statement. The weight and depth of reliable sources coverage points strongly in that direction. --Mhhossein talk 13:35, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change. Way WP:TOOSOON. Just at the very beginning of the latest ceasefire. —Biosketch (talk) 22:23, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep The Iranians defended their country succesfuly, the US is now gonna need to pay them too Magapetro (talk) 23:17, 22 June 2026 (UTC)
- Neither for now The war has not ended and we should not be deciding who "won" it until it is over per WP:CRYSTAL. Simonm223 (talk) 14:07, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Neither for now per above. How many times was this war "over", over and over again. See also, Korean War. Finally, if what you actually mean is the result is the MOU, these are not the way to say that. -- Alanscottwalker (talk) 14:31, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change to continuous: it cannot be said that the war has effectively ended before we see what the negotiations will lead to . For they are negotiating now, and the purpose of it is to end the war completely.--Sakiv (talk) 14:53, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change and reevaluate in 60 days. Jon Ace T C 16:54, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change to ongoing for now. Romanov loyalist (talk) 18:28, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Neither This RfC is flawed as it is based on the premise that the war is actually over, but there still appears to be dispute between both nations over what the Islamabad Memorandum actually agreed to. The choices available both fail WP:CRYSTAL. This RfC really should have been the one closed on procedural grounds.Dfadden (talk) 20:57, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Dfadden Couldn't inconclusive fit that at least until the war restarts assuming it does? ✶Quxyz✶ (talk) 22:09, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- My decision here has been informed by the discussion over at Administrator's Noticeboard. But my objection is grounded in it being WP:TOOSOON to be discussing a result. If the war was undisputably over, then per the sources, these would lean towards support an Iran "victory" (even if only a pyrrhic one). But as it is not clear the war is over, a status parameter that reflects the conflict is ongoing or unresolved is more appropriate than a result one that impliees it has concluded with an ambiguous result. The second RfC below was attempting to address this exact issue, although it may have been opened prematurely. Dfadden (talk) 22:33, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Dfadden Couldn't inconclusive fit that at least until the war restarts assuming it does? ✶Quxyz✶ (talk) 22:09, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Remove and keep this field empty. No doubts that Iran is the beneficiary of this war so far. But the war did not really end. Therefore, making any conclusions about the "winners" would be premature. My very best wishes (talk) 01:29, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Remove. It's unclear who's the winner or loser, and there's no clear result. Both Iran and USA's governments are still standing, and neither countries are occupied in part or in whole. That would be the normal standard to tell who won or lost a war. For instance, it's very obvious who won the war between USA and Iraq in 2003. But, the Supreme Leader and many top military and political leaders in Iran were killed, plus much of their military was damaged or destroyed so it's not like they walked away with nothing. This is the sort of things historians are going to wrangle over for years and years. Now let's look at sources: 1. Indian Express is a trash tabloid taht should NEVER be used. 2. NY Times and Foreign Affairs analysis pages. Half of them are talking about how Trump politically is the loser in this. This is different than who is the military leader. And half of these sources are more current opinion pieces and analysis, and it's all ncie and good. But you can't use that for a straight forward objective "A or B won". Including "Iranian victory" is bordering on propaganda, and makes Wikipedia look outlandish and goofy. Trump is unpopular, and of course the Iranian side is going to claim victory, so it's easy for people to falsely conclude that there's some "consensus" around this. Harizotoh9 (talk) 02:35, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- "Both Iran's and the USA's governments are still standing," *sighs*. You completely missed the point that Iran's objective was never to bring down the Trump administration. A defender's primary objective is simply to defend. It has nothing to do with the status of the US government.
- Please read MOS:VICTORY and don't make the change until the discussion is closed. And assume good faith.. — Raihanur (talk) 06:26, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change It isn't like there were mass American casualties and the US outright surrendered. I know some of us here would like to frame it that way to make Trump look bad, and he does have egg on his face for sure, but "victory" is hyperbolic. Pickle Mon (talk) 23:12, 23 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change to Inconclusive. The only "consensus" I am assured of, is that after a glorious quarter-century Wikipedia is committing suicide before our very eyes, an intellectual tragedy of global proportions. Perhaps editors here, instead of relishing their "Iranian victory", in the name of intellectual integrity could perhaps check out the situation within Iran first - and compare it to that of the nations that Iran attacked: successful and prosperous Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar & Oman. The main result of this war is that for those countries, by 2027 the Straits of Hormuz will have little or no strategic importance, Iran having fired the sole projectile that it had in its Hormuz cannon. Meanwhile unrest in Iran has renewed throughout the country, the drought is horrific and unsolvable, the regime now has no air force, navy or air defenses, its proxies are decimated & proxy populations exiled, its vaunted vast nuclear project permanently shattered - and its access to the billions being dangled by the US conditional upon its good behaviour. If that is an "Iranian victory" then the success of Wikipedia's sane competitors is more critically important than ever. Monosig (talk) 01:30, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Talk pages are not a forum for political soapboxing or future predictions (WP:NOTSOAPBOX, WP:CRYSTAL). Your personal feelings about the Iranian regime or the future of Wikipedia are irrelevant to this discussion. Speculating about 2027 or venting about the collapse of Wikipedia does not help improve this article based on policy. — Raihanur (talk) 06:59, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Monosig, you're in the wrong place to engage in political propaganda. This is not a place for political propaganda (WP:NOTADVOCACY) or for expressing your own ideological views. What independent, reputable sources say is what counts. Wikipedia has reached this point by maintaining a neutral point of view. Even if we aren't always neutral in our daily lives, we must be neutral on Wikipedia. No one has the right to undermine this, and it is everyone's duty to protect it. Acratopotes (talk) 15:56, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Acratopotes That is precisely the problem. Wikipedia has been flooded by new editors on a mission (which isn't encyclopaedic excellence, as it was in "our" days), the chronically-inflated rules system is being cynically exploited and the results can be plainly seen. Who ever dreamed that Wikipedia whould have myriad competitors established solely because of what I have written in this comment? Monosig (talk) 11:23, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep: Reputable and well-known news agencies report that this resulted in an Iranian victory. Acratopotes (talk) 08:48, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep: Agree that most reliable sources attribute a victory to Iran. Those arguing the Iranian losses seem not to understand that wars do not mean a victory by destroying your enemy's country or killing their top leaders. It is extremely clear that the US intent to overthrow the Islamic republic utterly failed despite Trump's usual tough talk. Besides, we can argue too that in economic terms, the rural Americans (often MAGAts) got their pockets destroyed by the Hormuz blockade and its consequences. I think that if a war like Iraq's (which also costed so much to the US) was considered a US victory because of the successful aim of replacing Saddam, then here it was a brutally failed mission and humiliation to the US and the MAGA agenda. PS: Perhaps, if I were to support rewording, I am for watering down the Iranian victory and replace it with (it is seen in other warfare articles) something like US strategic defeat and so on. CoryGlee 16:39, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- That's original research, just like the comments you called out. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 17:47, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Cool. I do not care. You are free to disagree. By the way, Grilledcheeseisgreat this is WP:NOTAFORUM, I did not !vote to debate my position. Thanks for understanding. CoryGlee 19:16, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- I'm not treating this like a WP:FORUM. I'm treating it as a discussion. If you don't want to debate your position, don't !vote. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 19:42, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- My Keep stands, just in case. CoryGlee 19:17, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Cool. I do not care. You are free to disagree. By the way, Grilledcheeseisgreat this is WP:NOTAFORUM, I did not !vote to debate my position. Thanks for understanding. CoryGlee 19:16, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- That's original research, just like the comments you called out. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 17:47, 24 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change → ongoing until there's something more conclusive than a ceasefire. – Reidgreg (talk) 17:08, 25 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep if nothing else. But truly it should be
- Iranian victory
- Both sides claim victory
- Islamabad Memorandum
- Kennet Mattfolk (talk) 09:15, 26 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Most RS consider this an Iranian victory. EkoGraf (talk) 16:00, 26 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change, at least for now, to "Inconclusive" or "Stalemate" per MOS:MILRESULT.--Surv1v4l1st ╠Talk║Contribs╣ 21:13, 26 June 2026 (UTC)
- Please note that I have already opined "change" — just an update... clearly we need to remove the parameter or change to "ongoing/inconclusive" given recent events (read: strikes) by both Iran and the U.S. — MWFwiki (talk) 21:53, 26 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep Most WP:RS says Iran Victory; Iranian regime change failed by the US and Israel. BBC The Guardian. In a Hebrew University poll, 92% of Israelis supported that Iran won the war, primarily viewing the conflict as weakening Israel's long-term security. Middle East Eye. --QalasQalas (talk) 22:57, 26 June 2026 (UTC)
- Bad RfC. This RfC is atrocious and completely goes against WP:OR and WP:NPOV. The preponderance of reliable sources make zero judgement of whether it was an "iranian victory" or "US victory" and either say the war was inconclusive or do not judge the conclusion yet. The war isn't even over, in reality, because exchanges of fire continue on all fronts. Basically zero editors in this RfC are actually citing sources that claim it was an Iranian victory, of which there are very few, and most of which are not reliable. for every 10 reliable sources that make the claim, there are 100 more reliable sources that cover the Iran War and are making no such claim. The lack of a claim of Iranian victory by a reliable source, e.g. NYT, WaPo, WSJ, Reuters, FT, (and I'm not referring to their editorial boards or opinion writers, I mean their actual newsrooms), means that they either believe the war was inconclusive or that it is not yet over. There should simply not be a "result" section to the Infobox at all, and I am genuinely appalled by the participants in RfC straying so far away from Wikipedia policy. Bill Williams 01:49, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- This RFC would definitely benefit from a source analysis, if nothing else, showing what RS are saying about the situation (if anything at all). I pity anyone looking to take that on for something that seems to be falling apart as we speak. I also share your frustration with the framing of this RFC, which is why I've ignored it. —Locke Cole • t • c • b 02:44, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- @Bill Williams Every word written in stone. Monosig (talk) 11:27, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- I also just noticed that the OP of this RFC, Crampcomes, opened a talk page discussion below, to which I responded, asking for the infobox to show territorial changes on how Iran extended its territorial waters over the entire Strait of Hormuz. Crampcomes cited no sources for this claim, so I pointed out how it completely violates WP:OR and WP:V to add his opinion to the article with no sources. Clearly this RFC is being affected by the same lack of understanding of Wikipedia policy and POV pushing. I'm still assuming good faith, but I'm saying that for any RfC closer, please note which participants are actually following Wikipedia policy, because clearly the OP (Crampcomes) and most of the participants are not. Bill Williams 15:34, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- Totally not true. I just asked a question below and noted with source that Iran claims sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz and controls it. Crampcomes (talk) 18:20, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- Comment: Trump himself claimed multiple times that the war is over, so minor skirmishes could be aftermath of the war, just as happened with Iraq after the end of the Gulf War.Crampcomes (talk) 18:24, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- Trump is not a reliable source. It's too soon to deem the war over yet - who knows, maybe June 17 could be considered the traditional end of the war in a couple years. But for now, we should wait. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 19:40, 27 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change – as others have said, it is far WP:TOOSOON to determine who "won". Beside the fact that hositlies are still ongoing, the most appropriate "outcome" to list is either "ceasefire" or "inconclusive". As many of the "keep comments" demonstrate, that perspective is driven more by POV reason than by factual or logical support. Bravelake (talk) 01:28, 29 June 2026 (UTC)
- The war has not even ended still. Kalpesh Manna 2002 (talk) 11:38, 29 June 2026 (UTC)
- Keep for now; that's what the best available sources currently seem to be saying. It's certainly true that events are developing rapidly and the war might resume or conclusions about the outcome might shift, but if that happens (and the sources shift to reflect it) we can just update things then. --Aquillion (talk) 16:04, 29 June 2026 (UTC)
- The war has not even ended still. Kalpesh Manna 2002 (talk) 13:05, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- You've said this already. VidanaliK (talk to me) (contributions) 13:11, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yet no one listened to them. Now with the fighting resuming ,this has ought to be closed by someone with no consensus. Grilledcheeseisgreat ✉ 13:43, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- You've said this already. VidanaliK (talk to me) (contributions) 13:11, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Weak Keep for now. Maybe add “see aftermath” link. Seems like most reliable sourcing states iranian victory. User:Bluethricecreamman (Talk·Contribs) 13:19, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change: The current result goes against WP:NPOV. While Iran successfully used the Strait of Hormuz blockade to force a stalemate, they also suffered catastrophic infrastructure damage (upwards of $145B) and the decimation of top IRGC leadership. The war ended via a negotiated diplomatic compromise via the Islamabad Memorandum, not a military capitulation. Per Wikipedia infobox guidelines for inconclusive modern conflicts, the result parameter should be updated to a neutral Inconclusive to avoid original research. ArzLibnan (talk) 02:42, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Bad RFC Per previous responses, this is/was straightforwardly WP:TOOSOON. Skirmishes continue, so if anything the status should be "Ongoing". Support the above suggestion of hyperlinking Islamabad Memorandum instead of some WP:CRYSTALBALL-like factual pronouncement as well. DiodotusNicator (talk) 20:52, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Comment it's only a victory because Israeli government still affirms there is nuclear program in Iran. But in this "2026" war alone, Israeli forces played a sidekick character, because the Israel-Iran proxy conflict will remain. LIrala (talk) 21:00, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Change: I am now changing my vote from Iranian victory to inconclusive. On 30 June, Iran announced that it was unable to export any oil during the US blockade of its ports, conceding that it was a decisive American victory per https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2026/07/01/iran-couldn-t-export-single-barrel-of-oil-during-us-blockade-ghalibaf-says. Pachu Kannan (talk) 22:03, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Nowhere in your link is there any mention of a "decisive American victory" JasonMacker (talk) 22:40, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Yes, you are correct and I was wrong. But, Ghalibaf acknowledged that the Iranian regime was unable to export any oil during the US blockade of its ports. Pachu Kannan (talk) 22:47, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Nowhere in your link is there any mention of a "decisive American victory" JasonMacker (talk) 22:40, 30 June 2026 (UTC)
- Bad RfC - wrong parameter - Bizarre this managed to get so far. Just opened all of the top Iran-related stories in my google news feed. None regard the war as over. Yes, I've seen some headlines along the lines of "Trump capitulates" or "Trump lost" or whatnot. The Afghanistan and Iraq wars also had early judgments about winning and losing (especially following the "Mission Accomplished" incident). Yet it is plainly not done. There is certainly some consensus among reliable sources that the whole affair has been a quagmire for the US, that in various ways the US is worse off now than before, that it has thus far failed to achieve its objectives, etc. but, again, it's clearly not done. Doesn't mean those evaluations will change, but that it's ... not done. The rush to close the books and force a label or outcome via RfC is harmful to this project. And, to bang one of my usual drums, if some stylistic matter like squeezing something to fit into an infobox parameter harms nuanced reader comprehension of the subject, don't do it. — Rhododendrites talk \\ 13:29, 1 July 2026 (UTC)













