2020 Wisconsin Supreme Court election

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2020 Wisconsin Supreme Court election

 2019
April 7, 2020
2023 
 2011
2030 
 
Candidate Jill Karofsky Daniel Kelly
Popular vote 855,573 693,134
Percentage 55.21% 44.73%

County results
Karofsky:      50–60%      60–70%      80–90%
Kelly:      50–60%      60–70%

Justice before election

Daniel Kelly

Elected Justice

Jill Karofsky

The 2020 Wisconsin Supreme Court election was held on April 7, 2020, to elect a justice of the Wisconsin Supreme Court for a ten-year term. Dane County circuit judge Jill Karofsky defeated incumbent justice Daniel Kelly, shifting the ideology of the court toward liberals.

As more than two candidates filed to run, a nonpartisan primary was held on February 18, 2020. In the primary, university professor Edward A. Fallone was eliminated.

The general election took place during the initial surge of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, and state Republicans' controversially opposed postponing the spring elections (a move largely seen as having designs of benefitting Kelly through depressed turnout). Karofsky's sizable win was only the second instance since the 1960s in which an incumbent justice of the court was defeated. While the election was formally nonpartisan, its general election result was viewed as a win for the Democratic Party, while Kelly was a conservative backed by the Republican Party (and who had been endorsed by incumbent U.S. President Donald Trump, a Republican).

While Prosser had been re-elected to a second ten-year term in 2011, with that term expiring in 2021, the vacancy created by his resignation resulted in the election for a new full term in the seat being advanced to 2020. The Constitution of Wisconsin stipulates that early elections to full terms can be triggered by a vacancy. The constitution stipulates that it is impermissible for more than one seat to be up for election in the same year. Elections must be moved moved to an earlier year after a vacancy, but only if there is a more immediate year without a scheduled contest.[1] All supreme court elections are held during the spring elections in early April.[2] Since there were was no supreme court election scheduled in 2020, but there were elections scheduled in 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019, the vacancy moved the election to the next possible date, 2020. This allowed Prosser's successor to serve as justice for four years before they would be up for election.

After Governor Tony Evers defeated then-incumbent Governor Scott Walker in 2018, the Republican-controlled Legislature proposed a bill moving the 2020 presidential primary to February instead of being held on the same day as the spring general election in April.[3] Republicans feared the increased turnout of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary, would negatively effect incumbent Justice Daniel Kelly. The proposed bill ultimately died in committee.[4]

Appointment

Appointee

Considered but not appointed

Primary election

Candidates

Advanced

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Ed Fallone

County officials

Judicial officials

Labor unions

Newspapers and other media

Organizations

  • Black Leaders Organizing in Communities[15]
  • Voces de la Frontera[12]
  • Wisconsin Hispanic Lawyers Association[16]
  • Wisconsin Justice Initiative Action[13]
  • Wisconsin Muslim Civic Alliance[17]
Jill Karofsky

Judicial officials

State officials

Labor unions

  • IBEW Wisconsin State Conference[21]
  • Madison Teachers, Inc.[22]

Newspapers and other media

Organizations

Daniel Kelly

Federal officials

Judicial officials

Labor unions

  • Milwaukee Police Association[26]

Organizations

Forums

2020 Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Candidates
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Daniel Kelly Ed Fallone Jill Karofsky
1[32] November 19, 2019 American Constitution Society Michael Wagner WisEye P P P
2[33] January 30, 2020 Milwaukee Bar Association Steve Walters WisEye P P P
3 February 4, 2020 Grassroots North Shore Keith Schmitz YouTube N P P

Primary results

Primary results by county:
  Kelly
  •   Kelly 40–50%
  •   Kelly 50–60%
  •   Kelly 60–70%
  •   Kelly 70–80%
  Karofsky
  •   Karofsky 40–50%
  •   Karofsky 50–60%
  •   Karofsky 60–70%
2020 Wisconsin Supreme Court primary election[34]
Candidate Votes %
Daniel Kelly (incumbent) 352,876 50.04%
Jill Karofsky 261,783 37.13%
Edward A. Fallone 89,184 12.65%
Write-in 1,295 0.18%
Total votes 705,138 100.0%

General election

COVID-19 pandemic, efforts to postpone election and Republican resistance

The election took place in the state's spring elections, which also included the state's presidential primaries. The outbreak of the COVID–19 pandemic in the United States occurred in the weeks prior to the spring election. Following the outbreak, several other states had delayed their presidential primaries and extended their vote-by-mail periods, since concerns were raised by health officials, poll workers, and voters that in-person voting at this early height of the pandemic would be unsafe for vulnerable individuals.[35] There were calls for Wisconsin to act similarly, but state Republicans opposed this. It was widely believed that state Republicans' objections to postponing the primaries was to advantage Kelly in the court election; with Republicans believed to have hedged that having the election proceeded as-scheduled and without emergency accommodations would depress voter turnout (particularly among liberal-leaning and Democratic-leaning voters), and that a lower-turnout election would be to Prosser's advantage.[36][37]

Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers (a Democrat) initially signed an executive order for the spring elections to be conducting exclusively by mail-in voting. However, this order was rejected by the Republican-controlled Wisconsin Legislature.[38] In a ruling issued on April 2, U.S. District Court Judge William M. Conley refused requests to postpone the election, but extended the deadline for absentee voting to April 13 (ordering clerks not to release any election data before that date).[39][40] However, on April 6, the Supreme Court of the United States overturned Conley's decision by a 5–4 vote, meaning that all absentee ballots had to be postmarked by "election day, Tuesday, April 7" even though it was still acceptable for the ballots to be received by the clerks as late as April 13.[41][42] The Supreme Court of the United States "did not alter the provision in Conley's amended order which prohibits the reporting of results until April 13".[43] On April 4, Governor Evers called a special session of the state legislature to be held on April 6 for the purposes of having them vote to postpone the spring election. However, this special session ended within minutes of convening and without any action, thus forcing the election to go on as planned.[44] Despite having previously expressed the view that he lacked the power to postpone the elections by executive order,[45] on April 6, Evers issued an executive order which would have postponed the April 7 elections until the tentative date of June 9.[46][47] Republican leaders immediately challenged the Governor's Executive Order in the Wisconsin Supreme Court.[46] The Wisconsin Supreme Court subsequently ruled 4–2 that Evers did not have the authority to postpone the election.[48] Justice Ann Walsh Bradley, joined by Justice Rebecca Dallet, authored a dissent, attacking the majority’s decision as forcing voters into an unacceptable choice between their health and their right to vote during an unprecedented public health crisis. Justice A.W. Bradley also criticized the majority for ignoring both common sense and public health warnings, asserting that the ruling will disenfranchise voters and needlessly endanger public safety, thereby undermining democratic participation.[49]

Voting was somewhat chaotic, with people waiting in the rain for hours in some cases in masks and social distancing.[50] However, by the time the election concluded, Milwaukee Election Commissioner Neil Albrecht stated that despite some of the problems, the in-person voting ran smoothly.[51]

Campaign

During the campaign, Karofsky criticized Kelly and other members of the court's conservative majority for majority opinions that she argued gave them the appearance of being beholden to special interests. She also criticized Kelly and other conservative justices for having made comments that she characterized as unbefitting of judges.[52] Karofsky's comments prompted the conservative court majority to issue statements characterizing them as "baseless insults".[53][54][55]

Kelly was backed by the state's Republican Party, and was endorsed by Republican incumbent U.S. President Donald Trump.[56]

Post-primary endorsements

Jill Karofsky

Federal officials

Judicial officials

State officials

Labor unions

Newspapers and other media

Organizations

Daniel Kelly

County officials

  • 43 current and retired county sheriffs[68]

Organizations

  • NFIB Wisconsin PAC [69]
Declined to endorse

Newspapers and other media

Forum

2020 Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate forum (post-primary)
No. Date Host Moderator Link Candidates
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Daniel Kelly Jill Karofsky
1[71] March 12, 2020 Milwaukee Bar Association Steve Walters WisEye P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Daniel
Kelly
Jill
Karofsky
Hodas & Associates (R)[72][A] March 17–19, 2020 600 (RV) 36% 29%

Results

2020 Wisconsin Supreme Court election[73]
Candidate Votes %
Jill Karofsky 855,573 55.21%
Daniel Kelly (incumbent) 693,134 44.73%
Write-in 990 0.06%
Total votes 1,549,697 100.0%

Aftermath

Notes

References

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