2020 California's 25th congressional district special election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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March 3, 2020 (first round)
May 12, 2020 (runoff) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
California's 25th congressional district | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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  Garcia: 50–60% Smith: 30–40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A special election to the United States House of Representatives for California's 25th congressional district was held March 3, 2020, the same day as the California presidential primaries. As no candidate received a majority, a runoff took place on May 12, 2020, between the top two finishers Christy Smith and Mike Garcia.[1] Garcia's win was the first time Republicans flipped a Democratic-held House seat in California since 1998.[2][3]
Katie Hill, who had been elected in 2018, had resigned on November 3, 2019[4] after reports of an inappropriate relationship with a campaign staffer and allegations of sexual relations with her congressional staff, as well as nude photos of her which were published without her consent.[5][6][7] Steve Knight, who had represented the district until 2019, ran in the primary but did not advance to the runoff.
By winning the special election, Garcia finished the remaining balance of Hill's term in the 116th Congress. A separate primary and general election on March 3, 2020, and on November 3, 2020, respectively, was held to determine the representative for the 117th Congress; Garcia narrowly defeated Smith in a rematch and again for a second full term in 2022.[8]
Buck McKeon (R) represented the district from 1993 until he retired in 2014. Steve Knight (R) then won over Tony Strickland (R) in the 2014 election and served until he was defeated by Katie Hill (D) in 2018 by 8.8 percentage points.
Hill resigned in October 2019 following a scandal in which she admitted to an "inappropriate relationship" with a campaign staffer and nude photos of her were published without her consent.[5]
On November 15, 2019, the Governor of California, Gavin Newsom, issued a proclamation declaring a special election for the 25th Congressional District on May 12, 2020, with a primary on March 3, 2020.[9]
In recent presidential elections the district narrowly voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, while Hillary Clinton (D) won the district by 7 percentage points in 2016.[10]
Candidates
California uses a primary system in which all candidates run in a single primary regardless of political party.[11] In regular congressional elections, the top two vote getters in the primary advance to a runoff election regardless of party affiliation or vote tally. However, in the special election for the balance of Hill's term, had a candidate received more than 50% of the primary vote, they would have been automatically elected and the runoff election cancelled.[12]
On October 31, 2019, at least a dozen people had filed paperwork with the FEC to run for the seat.[4] According to the certified list of candidates signed by the Secretary of State of California on January 15, 2020, six Democrats and six Republicans had filed for the special election and would appear on the ballot.[13]
Democratic candidate Christopher Smith ended his campaign shortly after participating in the January 9 debate. While stopping short of a full endorsement, he stated, "among the remaining field, the progressive candidate with the best chance of winning is Cenk Uygur."[14]
Democratic Party
Declared
- Robert Cooper III, university professor[13]
- Getro Franck Elize, patient resource worker[13]
- David Rudnick, businessman, real estate investor, political activist and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[13]
- Christy Smith, state assemblywoman[13]
- Cenk Uygur, co-founder, CEO, and host of The Young Turks; co-founder of Justice Democrats and founder of Wolf PAC[13]
- Aníbal Valdez-Ortega, attorney and community organizer[13]
Declined
- Alex Padilla, Secretary of State of California[15]
- Henry Stern, state senator[16][17]
Withdrawn
- Christopher C. Smith, documentary filmmaker[14]
Republican Party
Declared
- Mike Garcia, U.S. Navy veteran and businessman[13][18][10]
- Kenneth Jenks, U.S. Marine Corps veteran and telecommunications executive[13]
- Steve Knight, former U.S. representative[13][19]
- Courtney Lackey, businesswoman[13]
- David Lozano, attorney and business owner[13]
- Daniel R. Mercuri, business owner[13]
Declined
- Mike Cernovich, political commentator[20][10]
- Keith Mashburn, Mayor of Simi Valley[21][22]
- Rex Parris, Mayor of Lancaster[21][22]
- Tony Strickland, former state senator[21][22]
Withdrawn
- Mark Cripe, Los Angeles County deputy sheriff[23]
- Angela Underwood-Jacobs, Lancaster city councilwoman[23]
Special election
The special election and the primary election for the regular general election for California's 25th congressional district was held on March 3, 2020. The normal primary election determined which two candidates would advance to the 2020 general election, while the special election was to determine who will finish the remainder of Hill's term. No candidate in the special election received more than 50% of the vote so the top two candidates advanced to a runoff to be held on May 12, 2020.
Several candidates were on the ballot in both elections on March 3, as these elections concern two different Congresses.[24]
Debates
On December 22, 2019, Democratic candidates Christopher Smith, Aníbal Valdéz-Ortega and Cenk Uygur called on Christy Smith, Robert Cooper III and Getro Elize to attend a primary debate "to be held tentatively at College of the Canyons on Thursday, January 9, 2020".[25][26][27] The Talk of Santa Clarita, an interview podcast within the district that hosted a Democratic debate during the 2018 election and has interviewed both Christy Smith and Cenk Uygur,[28] also volunteered to host a primary debate for the Democratic candidates on January 25, 2020.[29]
Uygur stated on January 4 that all of the Democratic candidates, with the notable exception of Christy Smith, will attend a debate in Palmdale (at Transplants Brewing Company) on January 9, 2020.[30][36] Despite receiving an offer by the other candidates to change the date of the debate to better accommodate her, Christy Smith's campaign has stated that her work in the State Assembly prevents her from attending the debate, which was set to be moderated by The Talk of Santa Clarita.[37] Christy Smith's campaign was given several opportunities to debate on different dates at different venues, including future debates unrelated to the Brewing Company debate, but her campaign also declined, with no reasons given.[38]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Likely D | January 24, 2020 |
Endorsements
Federal politicians
- Elton Gallegly, former U.S. representative (CA-24)[22][40]
- Buck McKeon, former U.S. representative (CA-25)[22][40]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[22][40]
State politicians
- Pete Wilson, former U.S. senator and former governor of California[22][40]
State legislators
- Tony Strickland, former state assemblyman and state senator[22]
Local politicians
- Mel Alfarero, founder and National Chairman of Filipino American Republicans[22]
- B.J. Atkins, director of Santa Clarita Valley Water Board[22]
- Bill Ayub, Ventura County Sheriff[22]
- Glen Becerra, former Simi Valley councilman[22]
- Michael Bradbury, former Ventura County district attorney[22]
- Bob Brooks, former Ventura County Sheriff[22]
- Dr. Roy Burns, former President of Association of Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs[22]
- Dee Dee Cavanaugh, former Simi Valley councilwoman[41]
- Steve Cooley, former Los Angeles district attorney and GOP nominee for Attorney General[22]
- Bill Cooper, President of Santa Clarita Valley Water Board[22]
- Stephanie English, Los Angeles County Justice Deputy - Public Safety Legislative and Policy Advisor[22]
- Yvonne Farris, former President of the Board of Education of Ventura County[22]
- Don Henry, President of Agua Dulce Town Council[22]
- Mike Judge, Simi Valley councilman[22]
- Bob Kellar, Santa Clarita councilman[22]
- R.J. Kelly, Director of Santa Clarita Valley Water Board[22]
- Dennis Koontz, former Santa Clarita councilman[22]
- Dean Kunicki, former member of the Board of Education of Ventura County[22]
- Elaine Litster, Simi Valley councilwoman[22]
- Keith Mashburn, Mayor of Simi Valley[22]
- Gary Martin, Vice President of Santa Clarita Valley Water Board[22]
- Joe Messina, Trustee of the Williams S. Hart School Board[22]
- Bill Miranda, Santa Clarita councilman[22]
- R. Rex Parris, Mayor of Lancaster[22]
- Nancy Smith, Trustee and Retired Superintendent of Palmdale School District[22]
- Linda Storli, Trustee of the Williams S. Hart School Board[22]
- Steve Sturgeon, President of the Williams S. Hart School Board[22]
- Greg Totten, Ventura County district attorney[22]
- Barbra Williamson, former Simi Valley councilwoman[41]
Individuals
- Larry Elder, radio and television talk show host[22]
Organizations
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate and Vice President of the United States[46]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[47]
Federal politicians
- Ami Bera, U.S. representative (CA-7)[48]
- Joe Biden, former vice president of the United States
- Barbara Boxer, lobbyist and former United States Senator from California[49]
- Julia Brownley, U.S. representative (CA-26)[50] [better source needed]
- Judy Chu, U.S. representative (CA-27)[50] [better source needed]
- Dianne Feinstein, U.S. senator from California[51]
- Jimmy Gomez, U.S. representative (CA-34)[52] [better source needed]
- Mike Levin, U.S. representative (CA-49)[50] [better source needed]
- Alan Lowenthal, U.S. representative (CA-47)[48]
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States
- Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (CA-12)[53]
- Harley Rouda, U.S. representative (CA-48)[54] [better source needed]
- Brad Sherman, U.S. representative (CA-30)[50] [better source needed]
State politicians
- Gavin Newsom, Governor of California[55]
- Betty Yee, California State Controller[52] [better source needed]
State legislators
- Rebecca Bauer-Kahan, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Autumn Burke, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Sabrina Cervantes, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Ed Chau, state assemblyman[17]
- Susan Eggman, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Laura Friedman, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Jesse Gabriel, state assemblyman[54] [better source needed]
- Cristina Garcia, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Todd Gloria, state assemblyman[52] [better source needed]
- Lena Gonzalez, State Senator[56] [better source needed]
- Lorena Gonzalez, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Chris Holden, state assemblyman[52] [better source needed]
- Tasha Boerner Horvath, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Melissa Hurtado, state senator[17]
- Hannah-Beth Jackson, state senator[52] [better source needed]
- Ash Kalra, state assemblyman[56] [better source needed]
- Sydney Kamlager-Dove, state assemblywoman[56] [better source needed]
- Jacqui Irwin, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Kevin de León, former California State Senate Pro Tem[52] [better source needed]
- Connie Leyva, state senator[52] [better source needed]
- Monique Limón, state assemblywoman[56] [better source needed]
- Holly Mitchell, state senator[52] [better source needed]
- Patrick O'Donnell, state assemblyman[52]
- Cottie Petrie-Norris, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Sharon Quirk-Silva, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Anthony Rendon, Speaker of the California Assembly[52] [better source needed]
- Eloise Gomez Reyes, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Blanca Rubio, state assemblywoman[52] [better source needed]
- Henry Stern, state senator[17]
- Buffy Wicks, state assemblywoman[54] [better source needed]
Local politicians
- David Barlavi, Saugus Union School District board member[56] [better source needed]
- Joe Buscaino, Los Angeles City Councilmember[52] [better source needed]
- Brian Dennert, Rancho Simi Park Director[56] [better source needed]
- Jenny Hughes Fitzgerald, Conejo Valley Unified School District board member[56] [better source needed]
- Robert Garcia, Mayor of Long Beach, California[17]
- Lindsey Horvath, West Hollywood Mayor Pro Tempore[56] [better source needed]
- Amy Howorth, Mayor of Manhattan Beach [citation needed]
- Paul Koretz, Los Angeles City Councilmember[54] [better source needed]
- Sheila Kuehl, Los Angeles County Supervisor[52] [better source needed]
- Julie Olsen, Saugus Union School District Governing Board President[56] [better source needed]
- Jeff Prang, Los Angeles County Assessor[56] [better source needed]
- David Ryu, Los Angeles City Councilmember[52] [better source needed]
- Christopher Trunkey, Saugus Union School District board member[56] [better source needed]
- Dr. Marc Winger, former Superintendent of Newhall School District [better source needed]
Labor unions
- California Labor Federation[57]
- International Association of Fire Fighters[58]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 36[56] [better source needed]
Organizations
- Brady Campaign[59]
- California League of Conservation Voters[60]
- California Teachers Association[61]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee[62]
- EMILY's List[63]
- Equality California[64]
- Human Rights Campaign[65]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[66]
- National Women's Political Caucus[67]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[68]
- Sierra Club[69]
Individuals
- Alex Hirsch, writer, animator and voice actor[70]
Newspapers
In December 2019, Uygur stated that his campaign did not accept endorsements from outside the 25th district[72] and requested that Bernie Sanders's[73] and Ro Khanna's endorsements be retracted. However, his campaign received verbal support from the following notable individuals:
Individuals
- Ana Kasparian, host and executive producer of The Young Turks[74]
- Emma Vigeland, journalist for The Young Turks[74]
- Brianna Wu, video game developer, computer programmer, and Democratic candidate for MA-08 in 2020[74]
Withdrawn endorsements
- Ro Khanna, U.S. representative (CA-17) (retracted at Uygur's request)[10]
- Bernie Sanders, US Senator from Vermont and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[75] (retracted at Uygur's request)[73]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Christy Smith | 58,920 | 36.2% | |
| Republican | Mike Garcia | 41,365 | 25.4% | |
| Republican | Steve Knight | 27,911 | 17.1% | |
| Democratic | Cenk Uygur | 10,699 | 6.6% | |
| Democratic | Aníbal Valdez-Ortega | 7,473 | 4.6% | |
| Republican | Courtney Lackey | 3,100 | 1.9% | |
| Democratic | Robert Cooper III | 2,986 | 1.8% | |
| Republican | David Lozano | 2,775 | 1.7% | |
| Republican | Daniel Mercuri | 2,567 | 1.6% | |
| Republican | Kenneth Jenks | 2,549 | 1.6% | |
| Democratic | Getro F. Elize | 1,434 | 0.9% | |
| Democratic | F. David Rudnick | 1,100 | 0.7% | |
| Total votes | 162,879 | 100% | ||
Runoff
Since no candidate in the March 3, 2020, special election received more than 50.0% of the vote, a runoff election between the top two finishers was held on May 12, 2020.[9]
New endorsements
Federal politicians
- Steve Knight, former U.S. representative (CA-25)[77]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative (NY-21)[78]
- Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (FL-6)[79]
Newspapers
Federal politicians
- Karen Bass, U.S. representative (CA-37)[50]
Party officials
- Ryan Valencia, Ventura County Democratic Party Chair[52] [better source needed]
Individuals
- John August, writer, director, producer and novelist[80]
- Parvesh Cheena, actor[81]
- Jon Cryer, actor, comedian and director[82]
- Carol Mendelsohn, writer[83]
- Bill Prady, writer and producer[84]
- Eric Roth, writer[85]
- Joe Spano, actor[82]
- Steven Spielberg, director[82]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[86] | Tossup | April 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[87] | Likely D | April 23, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[88] | Tossup | April 23, 2020 |
| Politico[89] | Tossup | April 19, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mike Garcia (R) |
Christy Smith (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892 Polling (R)[90] | Mar 8–11, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 43% | 39% | 10% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Garcia | 95,667 | 54.9% | +9.3% | |
| Democratic | Christy Smith | 78,721 | 45.1% | −9.3% | |
| Total votes | 174,388 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
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