2022 Iowa Attorney General election
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November 8, 2022
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   Bird: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Miller: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Iowa |
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The 2022 Iowa Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Iowa. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Tom Miller, who was first elected Attorney General in 1978, ran for re-election to an eleventh overall term,[1] but was narrowly defeated by Republican nominee Brenna Bird, the county attorney for Guthrie County. Bird received 50.8% of the vote while Miller received 49.1% of the vote.
This was a rematch from 2010, when Tom Miller won by 11.1%.[2][3]
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Miller, incumbent attorney general[1]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Miller (incumbent) | 146,284 | 99.73% | |
| Write-in | 399 | 0.27% | ||
| Total votes | 146,683 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brenna Bird, Guthrie County attorney (2018–2023) and nominee for attorney general in 2010[5]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brenna Bird | 163,114 | 99.59% | |
| Write-in | 670 | 0.41% | ||
| Total votes | 163,784 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Lean D | November 3, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[7] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tom Miller (D) |
Brenna Bird (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[8] | October 31 – November 3, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 45% | 4%[b] | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[9][A] | October 26–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 44% | – | 11% |
| Selzer & Co.[10] | October 9–12, 2022 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 33% | 12%[c] | 6% |
| Cygnal (R)[11][A] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 46% | – | 12% |
| Cygnal (R)[12][A] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | 12% |
| Cygnal (R)[13][A] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brenna Bird | 611,432 | 50.82% | N/A | |
| Democratic | Tom Miller (incumbent) | 590,890 | 49.11% | −27.40% | |
| Write-in | 801 | 0.07% | -7.09% | ||
| Total votes | 1,202,322 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
By congressional district
Despite losing the state, Miller won three of four congressional districts, all of which elected Republicans.[15]
| District | Miller | Bird | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 50.53% | 49.40% | Mariannette Miller-Meeks |
| 2nd | 51.23% | 48.71% | Ashley Hinson |
| 3rd | 54.40% | 45.52% | Cindy Axne (117th Congress) |
| Zach Nunn (118th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 39.24% | 60.69% | Randy Feenstra |