2024 Montana Secretary of State election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
November 5, 2024
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Jacobsen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Mullen: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Montana |
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The 2024 Montana Secretary of State election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the next secretary of state of Montana, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and various state and local elections, including for U.S. House and governor of Montana. Incumbent Republican secretary of state Christi Jacobsen was re-elected to a second term, defeating Democratic challenger Jesse Mullen.[1][2]
Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[3]
Candidates
Nominee
- Christi Jacobsen, incumbent secretary of state[4]
Endorsements
Christi Jacobsen
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Christi Jacobsen (incumbent) | 163,359 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 163,359 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jesse Mullen, newspaper owner[7]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jesse Mullen | 92,149 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 92,149 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Lamb, attorney and nominee for Montana's 1st congressional district in 2022[8]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 25, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Christi Jacobsen (R) |
Jesse Mullen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[10][A] | September 29 - October 1, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.34% | 48% | 31% | 9%[b] | 14% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Christi Jacobsen (incumbent) | 364,319 | 61.39% | +1.83 | |
| Democratic | Jesse Mullen | 210,651 | 35.49% | –4.95 | |
| Libertarian | John Lamb | 18,500 | 3.12% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 593,470 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County[11] | Christi Jacobsen Republican |
Jesse Mullen Democratic |
John Lamb Libertarian |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Beaverhead | 4,249 | 74.61% | 1,255 | 22.04% | 191 | 3.35% | 2,994 | 52.57% | 5,695 |
| Big Horn | 2,127 | 48.01% | 2,160 | 48.76% | 143 | 3.23% | -33 | -0.74% | 4,430 |
| Blaine | 1,467 | 48.72% | 1,435 | 47.66% | 109 | 3.62% | 32 | 1.06% | 3,011 |
| Broadwater | 3,841 | 80.91% | 763 | 16.07% | 143 | 3.01% | 3,078 | 64.84% | 4,747 |
| Carbon | 4,922 | 67.64% | 2,143 | 29.45% | 212 | 2.91% | 2,779 | 38.19% | 7,277 |
| Carter | 766 | 91.30% | 56 | 6.67% | 17 | 2.03% | 710 | 84.62% | 839 |
| Cascade | 23,533 | 63.50% | 12,377 | 33.40% | 1,148 | 3.10% | 11,156 | 30.10% | 37,058 |
| Chouteau | 1,988 | 69.00% | 832 | 28.88% | 61 | 2.12% | 1,156 | 40.12% | 2,881 |
| Custer | 4,217 | 74.05% | 1,238 | 21.74% | 240 | 4.21% | 2,979 | 52.31% | 5,695 |
| Daniels | 779 | 84.31% | 129 | 13.96% | 16 | 1.73% | 650 | 70.35% | 924 |
| Dawson | 3,586 | 79.07% | 814 | 17.95% | 135 | 2.98% | 2,772 | 61.12% | 4,535 |
| Deer Lodge | 2,302 | 47.74% | 2,382 | 49.40% | 138 | 2.86% | -80 | -1.66% | 4,822 |
| Fallon | 1,295 | 88.70% | 137 | 9.38% | 28 | 1.92% | 1,158 | 79.32% | 1,460 |
| Fergus | 5,118 | 77.19% | 1,313 | 19.80% | 199 | 3.00% | 3,805 | 57.39% | 6,630 |
| Flathead | 42,407 | 68.30% | 17,909 | 28.84% | 1,773 | 2.86% | 24,498 | 39.46% | 62,089 |
| Gallatin | 34,808 | 50.89% | 31,303 | 45.77% | 2,282 | 3.34% | 3,505 | 5.12% | 68,393 |
| Garfield | 737 | 94.61% | 29 | 3.72% | 13 | 1.67% | 708 | 90.89% | 779 |
| Glacier | 1,910 | 37.83% | 2,975 | 58.92% | 164 | 3.25% | -1,065 | -21.09% | 5,049 |
| Golden Valley | 448 | 87.16% | 56 | 10.89% | 10 | 1.95% | 392 | 76.26% | 514 |
| Granite | 1,537 | 71.82% | 548 | 25.61% | 55 | 2.57% | 989 | 46.21% | 2,140 |
| Hill | 4,048 | 60.44% | 2,395 | 35.76% | 254 | 3.79% | 1,653 | 24.68% | 6,697 |
| Jefferson | 5,744 | 69.77% | 2,231 | 27.10% | 258 | 3.13% | 3,513 | 42.67% | 8,233 |
| Judith Basin | 1,087 | 80.76% | 220 | 16.34% | 39 | 2.90% | 867 | 64.41% | 1,346 |
| Lake | 10,206 | 61.30% | 5,937 | 35.66% | 505 | 3.03% | 4,269 | 25.64% | 16,648 |
| Lewis and Clark | 23,002 | 55.20% | 17,359 | 41.66% | 1,307 | 3.14% | 5,643 | 13.54% | 41,668 |
| Liberty | 795 | 80.63% | 169 | 17.14% | 22 | 2.23% | 626 | 63.49% | 986 |
| Lincoln | 8,926 | 76.96% | 2,330 | 20.09% | 342 | 2.95% | 6,596 | 56.87% | 11,598 |
| Madison | 4,712 | 74.08% | 1,422 | 22.35% | 227 | 3.57% | 3,290 | 51.72% | 6,361 |
| McCone | 932 | 87.43% | 108 | 10.13% | 26 | 2.44% | 824 | 77.30% | 1,066 |
| Meagher | 913 | 78.77% | 201 | 17.34% | 45 | 3.88% | 712 | 61.43% | 1,159 |
| Mineral | 2,047 | 73.79% | 610 | 21.99% | 117 | 4.22% | 1,437 | 51.80% | 2,774 |
| Missoula | 29,086 | 40.64% | 40,162 | 56.11% | 2,328 | 3.25% | -11,076 | -15.47% | 71,576 |
| Musselshell | 2,576 | 86.59% | 320 | 10.76% | 79 | 2.66% | 2,256 | 75.83% | 2,975 |
| Park | 6,327 | 54.74% | 4,818 | 41.69% | 413 | 3.57% | 1,509 | 13.06% | 11,558 |
| Petroleum | 284 | 87.65% | 31 | 9.57% | 9 | 2.78% | 253 | 78.09% | 324 |
| Phillips | 1,804 | 83.13% | 323 | 14.88% | 43 | 1.98% | 1,481 | 68.25% | 2,170 |
| Pondera | 2,070 | 73.80% | 673 | 23.99% | 62 | 2.21% | 1,397 | 49.80% | 2,805 |
| Powder River | 943 | 87.31% | 110 | 10.19% | 27 | 2.50% | 833 | 77.13% | 1,080 |
| Powell | 2,454 | 75.46% | 677 | 20.82% | 121 | 3.72% | 1,777 | 54.64% | 3,252 |
| Prairie | 560 | 83.33% | 98 | 14.58% | 14 | 2.08% | 462 | 68.75% | 672 |
| Ravalli | 21,009 | 71.47% | 7,610 | 25.89% | 777 | 2.64% | 13,399 | 45.58% | 29,396 |
| Richland | 4,307 | 83.73% | 678 | 13.18% | 159 | 3.09% | 3,629 | 70.55% | 5,144 |
| Roosevelt | 1,988 | 51.76% | 1,708 | 44.47% | 145 | 3.78% | 280 | 7.29% | 3,841 |
| Rosebud | 2,470 | 67.67% | 1,068 | 29.26% | 112 | 3.07% | 1,402 | 38.41% | 3,650 |
| Sanders | 6,157 | 77.45% | 1,534 | 19.30% | 259 | 3.26% | 4,623 | 58.15% | 7,950 |
| Sheridan | 1,346 | 74.16% | 415 | 22.87% | 54 | 2.98% | 931 | 51.29% | 1,815 |
| Silver Bow | 8,578 | 48.00% | 8,658 | 48.45% | 635 | 3.55% | -80 | -0.45% | 17,871 |
| Stillwater | 4,746 | 80.84% | 943 | 16.06% | 182 | 3.10% | 3,803 | 64.78% | 5,871 |
| Sweet Grass | 1,824 | 77.85% | 446 | 19.04% | 73 | 3.12% | 1,378 | 58.81% | 2,343 |
| Teton | 2,669 | 75.61% | 776 | 21.98% | 85 | 2.41% | 1,893 | 53.63% | 3,530 |
| Toole | 1,605 | 79.81% | 344 | 17.11% | 62 | 3.08% | 1,261 | 62.71% | 2,011 |
| Treasure | 378 | 86.30% | 47 | 10.73% | 13 | 2.97% | 331 | 75.57% | 438 |
| Valley | 3,044 | 76.10% | 808 | 20.20% | 148 | 3.70% | 2,236 | 55.90% | 4,000 |
| Wheatland | 851 | 79.61% | 190 | 17.77% | 28 | 2.62% | 661 | 61.83% | 1,069 |
| Wibaux | 450 | 84.91% | 65 | 12.26% | 15 | 2.83% | 385 | 72.64% | 530 |
| Yellowstone | 52,344 | 65.35% | 25,313 | 31.60% | 2,438 | 3.04% | 27,031 | 33.75% | 80,095 |
| Totals | 364,319 | 61.39% | 210,651 | 35.49% | 18,500 | 3.12% | 153,668 | 25.89% | 593,470 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Jacobsen won both congressional districts.[12]
| District | Jacobsen | Mullen | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 57% | 40% | Ryan Zinke |
| 2nd | 66% | 31% | Matt Rosendale (118th Congress) |
| Troy Downing (119th Congress) |