2026 United States Senate elections
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2026 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections. In these elections, voters will elect candidates to six-year terms that begin on January 3, 2027, and expire on January 3, 2033.
November 3, 2026
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35[a] of the 100 seats in the United States Senate 51[b] seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring or lost renomination[d] No election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Senators are divided into three classes whose terms are staggered, so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 2 senators were last elected in 2020 and are up for election in 2026. With the election of John Thune as leader of the Republican Conference, this will be the first election year since 2006 in which Senate Republicans are not led by Mitch McConnell. The Senate Democratic Conference has been led by Chuck Schumer since 2017.
Special elections have been scheduled in Ohio and Florida, following the resignation of JD Vance to become Vice President and Marco Rubio's resignation to become United States Secretary of State.
Two incumbent senators—Bill Cassidy of Louisiana and John Cornyn of Texas—lost renomination in their respective primaries. The last incumbent senator to lose renomination was Richard Lugar in 2012,[e] and the last time multiple elected incumbent senators lost renomination in primaries was in 2010.[f] The last incumbent senator to place no better than third in a primary before Cassidy was Hattie Caraway in 1944.[1][g]
Partisan composition
All 33 Class 2 Senate seats and two Class 3 seats are up for election in 2026. Class 2 currently consists of 20 Republicans and 13 Democrats.[2] Democrats are defending two seats in states won by Donald Trump in 2024, in both cases by less than 3 percentage points: Michigan, where incumbent Gary Peters is not running for reelection; and Georgia, where the incumbent is Jon Ossoff. Michigan elected Democrat Elissa Slotkin to the Senate in 2024 by 0.3 percentage points. Georgia did not have a Senate election in 2024, although in the most recent Senate election, in 2022, Democrat Raphael Warnock won by three points in a runoff.[3][4]
Five incumbent Democratic senators represent states won by Kamala Harris by single-digit margins in 2024: New Hampshire's Jeanne Shaheen, Minnesota's Tina Smith, Virginia's Mark Warner, New Jersey's Cory Booker, and New Mexico's Ben Ray Luján.[3] Shaheen and Smith are not running for reelection.[5] Susan Collins's seat in Maine is the only seat being defended by a Republican in a state that Kamala Harris won in 2024.[6] Republican Thom Tillis of North Carolina is retiring[7] from the Senate in a state that Trump won by a single-digit margin in 2024.[3]
The 2026 Senate map is considered favorable to Republicans, even though Democrats are defending 13 seats and Republicans 22. Most rating groups identify two Republican-held seats as highly competitive and two others as somewhat competitive. By contrast, Democrats must flip at least four seats to win a majority while defending two highly vulnerable seats and two others viewed as somewhat vulnerable.[8][9][10] Pollsters have found Democrats' chances to flip the Senate to be improving, partially because of independent candidates in states such as Nebraska and Montana, as well as primary results in states such as Iowa and Texas.[11]
Change in composition
Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.
Before the elections
Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.
| D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
| D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
| D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
| D40 R.I. Running |
D39 Ore. Running |
D38 N.M. Running |
D37 N.J. Running |
D36 Mass. Running |
D35 Ga. Running |
D34 Del. Running |
D33 Colo. Running |
D32 |
D31 |
| D41 Va. Running |
D42 Ill. Retiring |
D43 Mich. Retiring |
D44 Minn. Retiring |
D45 N.H. Retiring |
I1 |
I2 |
R53 Wyo. Retiring |
R52 Okla. Retiring[d] |
R51 N.C. Retiring |
| Majority → | R50 Mont. Retiring | ||||||||
| R41 Ohio (sp.) Running |
R42 S.C. Running |
R43 S.D. Running |
R44 Tenn. Running |
R45 Texas Ran |
R46 W.Va. Running |
R47 Ala. Retiring |
R48 Iowa Retiring |
R49 Ky. Retiring | |
| R40 Neb. Running |
R39 Miss. Running |
R38 Maine Running |
R37 La. Ran |
R36 Kan. Running |
R35 Idaho Running |
R34 Fla. (sp.) Running |
R33 Ark. Running |
R32 Alaska Running |
R31 |
| R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
| R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
After the elections
| D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
| D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
| D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
| Fla. (sp.) TBD |
Del. TBD |
Colo. TBD |
Ark. TBD |
Alaska TBD |
Ala. TBD |
I2 | I1 | D32 | D31 |
| Ga. TBD |
Idaho TBD |
Ill. TBD |
Iowa TBD |
Kan. TBD |
Ky. TBD |
La. TBD |
Maine TBD |
Mass. TBD |
Mich. TBD |
| Majority TBD → | |||||||||
| Minn. TBD |
Ore. TBD |
Okla. TBD |
Ohio (sp.) TBD |
N.C. TBD |
N.M. TBD |
N.J. TBD |
N.H. TBD |
Neb. TBD |
Mont. TBD |
| Miss. TBD |
R.I. TBD |
S.C. TBD |
S.D. TBD |
Tenn. TBD |
Texas TBD |
Va. TBD |
W.Va. TBD |
Wyo. TBD |
R31 |
| R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
| R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
| Key |
|
|---|
Gains and holds
Retirements
As of May 2026, eleven senators—four Democrats and seven Republicans—have announced they will not seek reelection. This is the most in a single election cycle since 1996, when 13 senators did not run again.[h][13]
| State | Senator | Age at end of term |
Assumed office |
Replaced by | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Tommy Tuberville | 72 | 2021 | TBD | [14] |
| Illinois | Dick Durbin | 82 | 1997 | TBD | [15] |
| Iowa | Joni Ernst | 56 | 2015 | TBD | [16] |
| Kentucky | Mitch McConnell | 84 | 1985 | TBD | [17] |
| Michigan | Gary Peters | 68 | 2015 | TBD | [18] |
| Minnesota | Tina Smith | 2018[i] | TBD | [19] | |
| Montana | Steve Daines | 64 | 2015 | TBD | [20] |
| New Hampshire | Jeanne Shaheen | 79 | 2009 | TBD | [21] |
| North Carolina | Thom Tillis | 66 | 2015 | TBD | [22] |
| Oklahoma | Alan Armstrong | 64 | 2026[j] | TBD | [23] |
| Wyoming | Cynthia Lummis | 72 | 2021 | TBD | [24] |
Defeats
Two Republicans sought reelection but lost in the primary election.
| State | Senator | Assumed office |
Replaced by | Ref |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana | Bill Cassidy | 2015 | TBD | [25] |
| Texas | John Cornyn | 2002 | TBD | [26] |
Predictions
Multiple sites and political pundits have published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions have considered factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean, reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. The predictions typically assign ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid" or "strong": near-certain chance of victory
| Constituency | Incumbent | Ratings | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | PVI[27] | Senator | Last election[k] |
Cook June 2, 2026[28] |
IE June 25, 2026[29] |
Sabato June 11, 2026[30] |
WH June 15, 2026[31] |
Econ June 4, 2026[32][l] |
RCP May 24, 2026[33] |
| Alabama | R+15 | Tommy Tuberville (retiring) |
60.10% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Alaska | R+6 | Dan Sullivan | 53.90% R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup |
| Arkansas | R+15 | Tom Cotton | 66.53% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R |
| Colorado | D+6 | John Hickenlooper | 53.50% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D |
| Delaware | D+8 | Chris Coons | 59.44% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D |
| Florida (special) |
R+5 | Ashley Moody | Appointed (2025)[m] | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R |
| Georgia | R+1 | Jon Ossoff | 50.62% D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup |
| Idaho | R+18 | Jim Risch | 62.62% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R |
| Illinois | D+6 | Dick Durbin (retiring) |
54.93% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D |
| Iowa | R+6 | Joni Ernst (retiring) |
51.74% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup |
| Kansas | R+8 | Roger Marshall | 53.22% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Lean R | Solid R |
| Kentucky | R+15 | Mitch McConnell (retiring) |
57.76% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Louisiana | R+11 | Bill Cassidy (lost renomination) |
59.32% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Maine | D+4 | Susan Collins | 50.98% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Tossup |
| Massachusetts | D+14 | Ed Markey | 66.15% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D |
| Michigan | EVEN | Gary Peters (retiring) |
49.90% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup |
| Minnesota | D+3 | Tina Smith (retiring) |
48.74% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Mississippi | R+11 | Cindy Hyde-Smith | 54.11% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Montana | R+10 | Steve Daines (retiring) |
55.01% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R |
| Nebraska | R+10 | Pete Ricketts | 62.58% R (2024 sp.)[n] | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R |
| New Hampshire | D+2 | Jeanne Shaheen (retiring) |
56.64% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup |
| New Jersey | D+4 | Cory Booker | 57.23% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D |
| New Mexico | D+4 | Ben Ray Luján | 51.73% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D |
| North Carolina | R+1 | Thom Tillis (retiring) |
48.69% R | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Lean D (flip) |
| Ohio (special) |
R+5 | Jon Husted | Appointed (2025)[o] | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup |
| Oklahoma | R+17 | Alan S. Armstrong (retiring) |
Appointed (2026)[p] | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R |
| Oregon | D+8 | Jeff Merkley | 56.91% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D |
| Rhode Island | D+8 | Jack Reed | 66.48% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D |
| South Carolina | R+8 | Lindsey Graham | 54.44% R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Lean R | Likely R |
| South Dakota | R+15 | Mike Rounds | 65.74% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R |
| Tennessee | R+14 | Bill Hagerty | 62.20% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Texas | R+6 | John Cornyn (lost renomination) |
53.51% R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Virginia | D+3 | Mark Warner | 55.99% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D |
| West Virginia | R+21 | Shelley Moore Capito | 70.28% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R |
| Wyoming | R+23 | Cynthia Lummis (retiring) |
72.85% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R |
| Overall[q] | D/I - 47 R - 50 3 tossups | D/I - 45 R - 52 3 tossups | D/I - 47 R - 49 4 tossups | D/I - 49 R - 47 4 tossups |
D/I - 49 R - 49 2 tossups |
D/I - 45 R - 47 8 tossups | |||
Opinion polling
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Republicans | Democrats | Other/ Undecided[r] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Desk HQ[34] | January 9, 2025 – June 22, 2026 | June 24, 2026 | 39.0% | 44.2% | 16.8% | Democrats +5.2% |
| FiftyPlusOne[35] | January 9, 2025 – June 22, 2026 | June 24, 2026 | 43.5% | 49.0% | 7.5% | Democrats +5.5% |
| RealClearPolitics[36] | May 29 – June 22, 2026 | June 24, 2026 | 42.9% | 48.0% | 9.1% | Democrats +5.1% |
| Silver Bulletin[37] | January 9, 2025 – June 22, 2026 | June 24, 2026 | 41.8% | 47.9% | 10.3% | Democrats +6.1% |
| VoteHub[38] | January 9, 2025 – June 22, 2026 | June 24, 2026 | 41.5% | 46.7% | 11.8% | Democrats +5.2% |
| Race to the WH[39] | January 9, 2025 – June 22, 2026 | June 24, 2026 | 41.2% | 47.0% | 11.8% | Democrats +5.8% |
| Average | June 24, 2026 | 41.7% | 47.1% | 11.2% | Democrats +5.4% | |
Potentially competitive seats
These are seats that polling and predictions currently have listed as at least somewhat close.
Republican incumbents
Maine is one of the four Senate races expected to be the most competitive that has a Republican incumbent (Susan Collins).[40] Maine's 2026 race is regarded as competitive due to the state's blue lean, but Collins previously kept her seat during cycles favorable to Democrats nationally (2008 and 2020). Military veteran Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee in Maine.[41][42] North Carolina's race is also considered competitive, since the state has a slight right lean, and incumbent Thom Tillis, who is retiring,[22] has never won an outright majority of votes in his races.[43][44] In July 2025, former Governor Roy Cooper announced his candidacy for the open seat.[45] The same month, former RNC Chairman Michael Whatley entered the race after Tillis declined to seek reelection and was immediately endorsed by President Donald Trump.[46] Cooper overwhelmingly won the Democratic nomination in 2026 and appears to be the favorite.[47]
Incumbents in Ohio (Jon Husted) and Alaska (Dan Sullivan) are also expected to have competitive races against former U.S. senator Sherrod Brown and former U.S. representative Mary Peltola, respectively.[40] Both Brown and Peltola lost reelection in 2024. Although Louisiana is considered a safely red state, Bill Cassidy was challenged by Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming and U.S. representative Julia Letlow and lost the primary election, marking the first time an elected incumbent senator had lost their primary in any state since 2012 in Indiana.[e] After that, John Cornyn lost the Texas Senate Republican primary election to Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who is expected to have a competitive race against State Representative James Talarico. Joni Ernst, the incumbent in Iowa, is not seeking reelection.[16] The race between Republican congresswoman Ashley Hinson and Democratic state representative Josh Turek is expected to be somewhat competitive.
The incumbent in Nebraska, Pete Ricketts, could also face a competitive race against independent Dan Osborn, who ran against Republican Deb Fischer in the Class I race in 2024. Osborn was the most successful challenger of a Republican-held seat during the 2024 election cycle, losing by only six points, compared to Kamala Harris's loss by 20 points in Nebraska in the concurrent presidential election. Democrats did not contest the Class I seat in 2024 and are not expected to do so in 2026. In August 2025, the Nebraska Democratic Party endorsed Osborn.[48]
Democratic incumbents
The other Senate races expected to be the most competitive are those in Georgia and Michigan.[40] Georgia's incumbent Democratic senator (Jon Ossoff) is expected to be in a competitive race, though not as competitive as it could have been, since Republican Governor Brian Kemp declined to run for the seat.[49] Ossoff narrowly beat former Senator David Perdue in a 2021 runoff to win his first term.[50] In Michigan, senator Gary Peters has announced his retirement, setting a scramble for the state with an even PVI score.[51]
The seats in Minnesota (vacated by Tina Smith), and New Hampshire (vacated by Jeanne Shaheen) are expected to be only marginally close races—especially New Hampshire, with popular former Republican governor Chris Sununu declining to run.[30][52] Sununu's brother, former Senator John E. Sununu, announced a run for the Senate seat he lost to Shaheen in 2008.[53] Former United States Senator from Massachusetts and U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa Scott Brown has announced his candidacy. Brown was the Republican nominee in 2014, narrowly losing the general election to Shaheen.[54]
Election dates
| State | Filing deadline for major party candidates[55] |
Primary election[56] |
Primary runoff (if necessary)[56] |
General election |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | January 23, 2026 | May 19, 2026 | June 16, 2026 | November 3, 2026 |
| Alaska | June 1, 2026 | August 18, 2026 | N/A | |
| Arkansas | November 11, 2025 | March 3, 2026 | March 31, 2026 | |
| Colorado | March 18, 2026 | June 30, 2026 | N/A | |
| Delaware | July 14, 2026 | September 15, 2026 | ||
| Florida (special) | April 24, 2026 | August 18, 2026 | ||
| Georgia | March 1, 2026 | May 19, 2026 | June 16, 2026 | |
| Idaho | February 26, 2026 | May 19, 2026 | N/A | |
| Illinois | November 3, 2025 | March 17, 2026 | ||
| Iowa | March 13, 2026 | June 2, 2026 | ||
| Kansas | June 1, 2026 | August 4, 2026 | ||
| Kentucky | January 9, 2026 | May 19, 2026 | ||
| Louisiana | February 13, 2026 | May 16, 2026 | June 27, 2026 | |
| Maine | March 15, 2026 | June 9, 2026 | N/A | |
| Massachusetts | June 2, 2026 | September 1, 2026 | ||
| Michigan | April 21, 2026 | August 4, 2026 | ||
| Minnesota | June 2, 2026 | August 11, 2026 | ||
| Mississippi | December 26, 2025 | March 10, 2026 | April 7, 2026 | |
| Montana | March 4, 2026 | June 2, 2026 | N/A | |
| Nebraska | March 1, 2026 | May 12, 2026 | ||
| New Hampshire | June 12, 2026 | September 8, 2026 | ||
| New Jersey | March 23, 2026 | June 2, 2026 | ||
| New Mexico | February 3, 2026 | June 2, 2026 | ||
| North Carolina | December 19, 2025 | March 3, 2026 | May 12, 2026 | |
| Ohio (special) | February 4, 2026 | May 5, 2026 | N/A | |
| Oklahoma | April 3, 2026 | June 16, 2026 | August 25, 2026 | |
| Oregon | March 10, 2026 | May 19, 2026 | N/A | |
| Rhode Island | June 24, 2026 | September 8, 2026 | ||
| South Carolina | March 30, 2026 | June 9, 2026 | June 23, 2026 | |
| South Dakota | March 31, 2026 | June 2, 2026 | July 28, 2026 | |
| Tennessee | March 10, 2026 | August 6, 2026 | N/A | |
| Texas | December 8, 2025 | March 3, 2026 | May 26, 2026 | |
| Virginia | April 2, 2026 | August 4, 2026 | N/A | |
| West Virginia | January 31, 2026 | May 12, 2026 | ||
| Wyoming | May 29, 2026 | August 18, 2026 |
Race summary
Special elections during the preceding Congress
Special U.S. Senate elections in Florida and Ohio are scheduled for November 3, 2026. Florida voters will elect a candidate to serve the remaining two years of former Senator Marco Rubio's unexpired term;[57] Rubio resigned his seat in 2025 to become United States Secretary of State.[58] Ohio voters will elect a candidate to serve the remaining two years of former Senator JD Vance's unexpired term; Vance resigned in 2025 to become Vice President of the United States.[59]
Elections are sorted by date then state.
| Constituency | Incumbent | Status | Candidates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | PVI[27] | Senator | Party | Electoral history | ||
| Florida (Class 3) |
R+5 | Ashley Moody | Republican | 2025 (appointed) | Interim appointee running |
|
| Ohio (Class 3) |
R+5 | Jon Husted | Republican | 2025 (appointed) | Interim appointee nominated |
|
Elections leading to the next Congress
In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2027.
| Constituency | Incumbent | Results | Candidates | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | PVI[27] | Senator | Party | Electoral history | Last race | ||
| Alabama | R+15 | Tommy Tuberville | Republican | 2020 | 60.1% R | Incumbent retiring to run for governor[14] |
|
| Alaska | R+6 | Dan Sullivan | Republican | 2014 2020 |
53.9% R | Incumbent running |
|
| Arkansas | R+15 | Tom Cotton | Republican | 2014 2020 |
66.5% R | Incumbent renominated |
|
| Colorado | D+6 | John Hickenlooper | Democratic | 2020 | 53.5% D | Incumbent running |
|
| Delaware | D+8 | Chris Coons | Democratic | 2010 (special) 2014 2020 |
59.4% D | Incumbent running |
|
| Georgia | R+1 | Jon Ossoff | Democratic | 2021 | 50.6% D | Incumbent renominated |
|
| Idaho | R+18 | Jim Risch | Republican | 2008 2014 2020 |
62.6% R | Incumbent renominated | |
| Illinois | D+6 | Dick Durbin | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 |
54.9% D | Incumbent retiring[15] |
|
| Iowa | R+6 | Joni Ernst | Republican | 2014 2020 |
51.7% R | Incumbent retiring[16] |
|
| Kansas | R+8 | Roger Marshall | Republican | 2020 | 53.2% R | Incumbent running |
|
| Kentucky | R+15 | Mitch McConnell | Republican | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 |
57.8% R | Incumbent retiring[17] |
|
| Louisiana | R+11 | Bill Cassidy | Republican | 2014 2020 |
59.3% R | Incumbent lost renomination[25] |
|
| Maine | D+4 | Susan Collins | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 |
51.0% R | Incumbent renominated |
|
| Massachusetts | D+14 | Ed Markey | Democratic | 2013 (special) 2014 2020 |
66.2% D | Incumbent running |
|
| Michigan | EVEN | Gary Peters | Democratic | 2014 2020 |
49.9% D | Incumbent retiring[18] |
|
| Minnesota | D+3 | Tina Smith | DFL | 2018 (appointed) 2018 (special) 2020 |
48.7% DFL | Incumbent retiring[19] |
|
| Mississippi | R+11 | Cindy Hyde-Smith | Republican | 2018 (appointed) 2018 (special) 2020 |
54.1% R | Incumbent renominated |
|
| Montana | R+10 | Steve Daines | Republican | 2014 2020 |
55.0% R | Incumbent retiring[20] | |
| Nebraska | R+10 | Pete Ricketts | Republican | 2023 (appointed) 2024 (special) |
62.6% R | Incumbent renominated |
|
| New Hampshire | D+2 | Jeanne Shaheen | Democratic | 2008 2014 2020 |
56.6% D | Incumbent retiring[21] |
|
| New Jersey | D+4 | Cory Booker | Democratic | 2013 (special) 2014 2020 |
57.2% D | Incumbent renominated |
|
| New Mexico | D+4 | Ben Ray Luján | Democratic | 2020 | 51.7% D | Incumbent renominated |
|
| North Carolina | R+1 | Thom Tillis | Republican | 2014 2020 |
48.7% R | Incumbent retiring[22] |
|
| Oklahoma | R+17 | Alan S. Armstrong | Republican | 2026 (appointed) | None | Interim appointee ineligible to run[23] | |
| Oregon | D+8 | Jeff Merkley | Democratic | 2008 2014 2020 |
56.9% D | Incumbent renominated |
|
| Rhode Island | D+8 | Jack Reed | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 |
66.5% D | Incumbent running | |
| South Carolina | R+8 | Lindsey Graham | Republican | 2002 2008 2014 2020 |
54.4% R | Incumbent renominated |
|
| South Dakota | R+15 | Mike Rounds | Republican | 2014 2020 |
65.7% R | Incumbent renominated |
|
| Tennessee | R+14 | Bill Hagerty | Republican | 2020 | 62.2% R | Incumbent running |
|
| Texas | R+6 | John Cornyn | Republican | 2002 2008 2014 2020 |
53.5% R | Incumbent lost renomination in runoff[26] |
|
| Virginia | D+3 | Mark Warner | Democratic | 2008 2014 2020 |
56.0% D | Incumbent running |
|
| West Virginia | R+21 | Shelley Moore Capito | Republican | 2014 2020 |
70.3% R | Incumbent renominated |
|
| Wyoming | R+23 | Cynthia Lummis | Republican | 2020 | 72.9% R | Incumbent retiring[24] |
|
Alabama
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
One-term Republican Tommy Tuberville previously said he planned to seek reelection,[111] but announced on May 27, 2025, that he would instead run for governor of Alabama in 2026.[14] He was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2020 with 60.1% of the vote.
The Republican primary took place on May 19. The candidates included former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson,[112] state Attorney General Steve Marshall,[113] and U.S. Representative Barry Moore.[114] No candidate won a majority of the vote, so the top two vote-getters, Hudson and Moore, advanced to a June 16 runoff, which Moore won.[115]
No candidate won a majority in the May 19 Democratic primary, so small business owner Dakarai Larriett[116] and attorney Everett Wess[117] advanced to a June 16 runoff, which Wess won.[115]
Alaska
Two-term Republican Dan Sullivan was reelected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a third term.[118]
A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted with ranked-choice voting.
Sullivan will be joined in the primary by Republicans Dustin Darden, Gerald Heikes, Fred Grauberger, and Richard Benedict Mayers, all of whom are perennial candidates.[119] Former U.S. Forest Service employee Dan J. Sullivan ran as a Republican before being disqualified by the Alaska Division of Elections on June 16. Before he was disqualifed, some Republicans said his candidacy could confuse people who intend to vote for incumbent senator Dan Sullivan.[120]
Former Democratic U.S. Representative Mary Peltola announced her candidacy for the Senate in January 2026[121] after initially filing paperwork to run for her former House seat.[122] Other Democrats seeking election include former flight attendant Carol Hafner and LGBTQ+ activist David Leslie.[119]
Several third-party and independent candidates are also running, including Scott Kohlhaas of the Libertarian Party, Richard Grayson of the Green Party, Earl D. "Skip" Southworth of the Alaskan Party, and independents Sid Hill, Shirley Saucerman, and Robert Reece.[119]
Arkansas
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Two-term Republican Tom Cotton was reelected in 2020 with 66.5% of the vote. Cotton is running for reelection,[123] having secured the Republican nomination on March 3, 2026.
Rice farmer Hallie Shoffner secured the Democratic nomination on the same day.[124]
Colorado
One-term Democrat John Hickenlooper, elected with 53.5% of the vote in 2020, is running for reelection for a second term, and has said it will be his last term.[125][126] Hickenlooper is being challenged by progressive state Senator Julie Gonzales in the Democratic primary.[127][128]
After the Colorado Republican Assembly on April 11, 2026, state Senator Mark Baisley was selected as the presumptive Republican nominee with 46% of the vote, as no other candidates surpassed the 30% threshold.[129][130]
Delaware
Two-term Democrat Chris Coons was reelected in 2020 with 59.4% of the vote. He has filed paperwork to run for reelection.[131] Former federal employee Christopher Beardsley is also running in the Democratic primary.[132]
Former Democratic state Senator and Independent Party of Delaware nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024 Michael Katz[133][134] and U.S. Army War College instructor John Shulli[135][133] are running in the Republican primary.
Florida (special)
Three-term Republican Marco Rubio was reelected in 2022 with 57.68% of the vote. He resigned on January 20, 2025, following his confirmation as U.S. Secretary of State. Governor Ron DeSantis announced he would appoint Florida Attorney General Ashley Moody as interim senator until a 2026 special election,[136] and Moody has since declared her candidacy to serve the remainder of Rubio's term.[137]
State Representative Angie Nixon[138] and Alexander Vindman, former director for European affairs at the U.S. National Security Council, a whistleblower in the 2019 Trump–Ukraine scandal, and the twin brother of Virginia U.S. Representative Eugene Vindman, are running for the Democratic nomination.[139][140]
Georgia
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
One-term Democrat Jon Ossoff is running for a second term.[141] He was narrowly elected in a 2021 runoff with 50.6% of the vote. As the only person to submit the necessary number of signatures to appear on the primary ballot, Ossoff is the Democratic nominee.[142]
The Republican primary took place on May 19. U.S. Representative Mike Collins[143] and former University of Tennessee football coach Derek Dooley[144] advanced to a June 16 runoff, which Collins won.[145]
Idaho
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Three-term Republican Jim Risch was reelected in 2020 with 62.6% of the vote and is running for a fourth term.[146] He won the Republican nomination on May 19, defeating data engineer and 2020 Libertarian nominee for Idaho's 1st congressional district Joe Evans, entrepreneur Denny LaVe, and engineer Josh Roy.[147]
David Roth, a realtor and the 2022 U.S. Senate nominee,[148] defeated Nickolas Bonds and Brad Moore[147] in the Democratic primary on May 19.[149]
Matt Loesby, the nominee for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2024,[150] is running as a Libertarian. Former Democratic state representative Todd Achilles[151] and software developer Natalie Fleming[147] are running as independents.
Illinois
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Five-term Democrat and Senate Democratic Whip Dick Durbin was reelected in 2020 with 54.9% of the vote. On April 23, 2025, he announced he would not run for reelection.[152]
On March 17, 2026, incumbent Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton won the Democratic primary, defeating a crowded field, including U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly.[153]
Former Illinois Republican Party Chairman Don Tracy easily won the Republican primary the same day, defeating attorney Jeannie Evans and Polish American Congress PAC national director Casey Chlebek.[153]
Iowa
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| |||||||||||
Two-term Republican Joni Ernst was reelected in 2020 with 51.7% of the vote.[154] On September 2, 2025, she announced that she would not seek reelection to a third term, after being criticized for comments about reductions in Medicaid.[155]
U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson easily defeated former state Senator Jim Carlin in the June 2, 2026 Republican primary to succeed Ernst.[156]
In the Democratic primary, state Representative Josh Turek defeated state Senator Zach Wahls by a comfortable margin.[157] Both Democratic candidates cited Ernst's remarks about Medicare as a factor in their decisions to run.[citation needed]
Kansas
One-term Republican Roger Marshall was elected in 2020 with 53.2% of the vote and is running for reelection.[158]
Former Kansas state USDA Director Christy Davis,[159] former federal prosecutor Jason Hart,[160] commercial real estate developer Erik Murray,[161] attorney Anne Parelkar,[162] state senator Patrick Schmidt,[163] art gallery owner Mike Soetaertare,[162] former financial services executive Sandy Spidel Neumann,[164] and counterintelligence specialist Noah Tyler[165] are running for the Democratic nomination.
Kentucky
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Seven-term Republican and former Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell was reelected in 2020 with 57.8% of the vote. McConnell retired as leader after the 2024 elections with plans to serve out the remainder of his term.[166] On February 20, 2025, McConnell announced he would not seek reelection.[17]
On May 19, U.S. Representative Andy Barr of Kentucky's 6th congressional district[167] defeated a crowded field that included former Kentucky Attorney General and 2023 Republican gubernatorial nominee Daniel Cameron[168] for the Republican nomination.[169]
Also on May 19, former state Representative Charles Booker, the 2022 Senate nominee and a former staffer for Governor Andy Beshear, won the Democratic primary,[170] in a crowded field that included the 2020 nominee and Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath.[170][169]
Louisiana
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Two-term Republican Bill Cassidy was reelected in 2020 with 59.3% of the vote in the first round of the "Louisiana primary", and ran for reelection to a third term, but placed a distant third in the jungle primary.[171] The "Louisiana primary" has since been eliminated, and this election will use partisan primaries.[172] Party primaries will be closed to members of other parties, though voters unaffiliated with a party may vote in either.[172]
U.S. Representative Julia Letlow and state Treasurer and former U.S. representative John Fleming have advanced to the Republican runoff, defeating Cassidy in the primary.[173][174] President Donald Trump has endorsed Letlow.[175]
The Democratic primary runoff is between data scientist and political consultant Gary Crockett and sorghum farmer Jamie Davis.[176] Nonprofit executive Nick Albares placed third in the jungle primary.[177]
Maine
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins was reelected with 51% of the vote in 2020. She formally announced her reelection campaign in February 2026.[178] As the only person to submit the necessary number of signatures to appear on the primary ballot, Collins is the Republican nominee.[179]
Throughout 2025, Governor Janet Mills was seen as a potential challenger to Collins. She announced her Senate candidacy in October[180] and pledged to serve only one term if elected.[181] She suspended her campaign on April 30, 2026, due to a lack of financial resources and poor polling numbers.[182]
On June 9, Sullivan harbor master and Marine veteran Graham Platner[183] defeated former deputy secretary of the Maryland Department of the Environment David Costello[184] for the Democratic nomination with 72% of the vote.[185] Congressman Jared Golden was seen as a potential candidate but chose to retire from politics instead.[186]
Massachusetts
Two-term Democrat Ed Markey was reelected in 2020 with 66.2% of the vote, and is running for reelection to a third full term.[83][187] The longest-serving Democrat in Congress, he will be 80 on Election Day. During the 2020 Democratic primary, Markey faced multiple calls to retire due to his age.[188][189] He is being challenged in the Democratic primary by U.S. Representative Seth Moulton.[84]
2024 U.S. Senate nominee John Deaton is running for the Republican nomination.[82]
Michigan
Two-term Democrat Gary Peters was narrowly reelected in 2020 with 49.9% of the vote. On January 28, 2025, he announced that he would not seek reelection.[18]
State Senator Mallory McMorrow,[190] former Wayne County Health, Human, and Veterans Services Department Director Abdul El-Sayed,[191] and U.S. Representative Haley Stevens of the 11th congressional district[192] are all running in the Democratic primary.
As the only person to submit the necessary number of signatures to appear on the primary ballot, former US Representative for the 8th congressional district and 2024 U.S. Senate nominee Mike Rogers[193] is the presumptive Republican nominee.
Minnesota
One-term Democrat Tina Smith was reelected in 2020 with 48.7% of the vote after being appointed by Governor Mark Dayton in 2018 following Al Franken's resignation and then winning a special election that year. On February 13, 2025, she announced she would not seek a second full term in 2026.[19] Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan announced her candidacy the same day.[194] U.S. Representative Angie Craig announced her candidacy on April 29.[195]
Republicans running include sportscaster Michele Tafoya,[196] 2024 Republican U.S. Senate nominee and former professional basketball player Royce White,[197] retired U.S. Navy officer Tom Weiler,[198] and former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze.[199]
Mississippi
| |||||||||||
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One-term Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith was reelected in 2020 with 54.1% of the vote after being appointed in 2018 and winning a special election later that year. She is running for a second full term in office.[200] She defeated physician Sarah Adlakha in the Republican primary on March 10, 2026.[201]
Lowndes County District Attorney Scott Colom defeated U.S. Marine Corps veteran Albert Littell, and Priscilla Williams-Till, a cousin of Emmett Till, in the Democratic primary on March 10, 2026.[202][203][204]
Ty Pinkins, the Democratic nominee for Secretary of State in 2023 and for U.S. Senate in 2024, is running as an independent.[205]
Montana
| |||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||
Two-term Republican Steve Daines was reelected in 2020 with 55% of the vote. On March 4, 2026, Daines announced he would not seek reelection. The same day, U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme announced his candidacy and immediately won Daines's endorsement.[206]
Former state Representative Reilly Neill ran for the Democratic nomination,[207] but was defeated in the Democratic primary by former U.S. Air Force Lieutenant Colonel Alani Bankhead in a major upset.[208]
Seth Bodnar, the president of the University of Montana until January 2026, is running as an independent candidate.[209] Former U.S. Senator Jon Tester endorsed Bodnar, surprising many and angering many Democrats.[210]
Nebraska
| |||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||
Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned early in the 118th Congress to become president of the University of Florida.[211] On January 12, 2023, Governor Jim Pillen appointed former governor Pete Ricketts as senator.[212] Ricketts won the 2024 special election to complete Sasse's term, defeating college professor Preston Love Jr.,[213] and is now running for reelection to his first full term.[214]
Former labor union leader Dan Osborn, who challenged Republican Deb Fischer for Nebraska’s Class I Senate seat, has announced an independent bid.[90]
The Nebraska Democratic Party has declined to recruit a Democratic challenger to Ricketts,[215] and the party's chair has endorsed Osborn.[216] Other candidates filed for the Democratic primary, raising concern that their campaigns could split the vote and weaken Osborn's support in the general election,[217] but retired pharmacy technician Cindy Burbank won the Democratic primary and said she intends to withdraw from the general election if she sees no clear path to victory.[218]
New Hampshire
Three-term Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was reelected in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. On March 12, 2025, Shaheen announced that she would not seek reelection to a fourth term.[21]
Those running for the Democratic nomination include U.S. Representative Chris Pappas[92] and New Hampshire Democratic Party rules committee member Karishma Manzur.[91]
On June 25, former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts and former U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa Scott Brown entered the race; he won the 2014 Republican Senate primary but lost the general election to Shaheen.[54] Former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu, who lost his seat to Shaheen in 2008, is also running.[53] His brother, former Governor Chris Sununu, declined to run.[219]
New Jersey
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Two-term Democrat Cory Booker was reelected in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote and is running for reelection to a third full term.[220] As the only person to submit the necessary number of signatures to appear on the primary ballot, Booker is the Democratic nominee.[221]
On June 2, 2026, former Tabernacle Mayor Justin Murphy, a Navy veteran and attorney, won the Republican nomination[222] with 33% of the vote, defeating physician Robert Lebovics, U.S. Army combat veteran Richard Tabor, and former News 12 reporter Alex Zdan.[223]
New Mexico
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
One-term Democrat Ben Ray Luján was elected in 2020 with 51.7% of the vote. On April 23, 2025, Luján announced that he would seek a second term.[224]
Christopher Heuvel, the only Republican who filed, was disqualified from the race for failing to meet the requirements to make the ballot.[225] Former oil and gas operator Larry Marker collected the signatures needed to qualify for the nomination as a write-in.[226]
North Carolina
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Two-term Republican Thom Tillis, who was narrowly reelected in 2020 with 48.7% of the vote, announced on June 29, 2025, that he would not seek a third term after facing backlash for voting against One Big Beautiful Bill Act, prompting Donald Trump to call for a primary challenger.[22] After Tillis withdrew, Trump endorsed former Republican National Committee chair Michael Whatley,[227] who won the Republican nomination, defeating Don Brown in the March 3 primary.[228]
Lara Trump, former co-chair of the Republican National Committee and Wilmington native, was considered a potential candidate to challenge Tillis, but announced she would not run.[229]
On the Democratic side, former U.S. Representative Wiley Nickel declared his candidacy in April 2025.[230] Former Governor Roy Cooper announced his candidacy on July 28, 2025.[45] The next day, Nickel dropped out and endorsed Cooper.[231] Cooper easily won the nomination.[47]
Ohio (special)
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
One-term Republican JD Vance was elected in 2022 with 53% of the vote.[232] On January 10, 2025, he resigned from the Senate after being elected Vice President of the United States in 2024. On January 17, Governor Mike DeWine announced that then-Lieutenant Governor Jon Husted would replace Vance in the Senate.[233] Husted is running to serve the remainder of Vance's term.[234]
Former U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown, who was unseated in 2024,[235] defeated IT professional Ron Kincaid in the Democratic primary on May 5, 2026.[236]
Former Libertarian National Committee chair William Redpath is running as a Libertarian.[237] Ohio Libertarians disqualified healthcare consultant Jeffrey Kanter from the Libertarian primary after he submitted hundreds of invalid signatures with his candidate petition.[238]
Oklahoma
Incumbent Republican Markwayne Mullin won a special election in 2022 with 61.8% of the vote to complete the remainder of the term vacated by Jim Inhofe, who resigned on January 3, 2023, due to declining health and died in 2024.[239]
Mullin initially announced plans to seek his first full term in office, but on March 5, 2026, President Trump announced his nomination of Mullin for Secretary of Homeland Security; the Senate confirmed Mullin on March 23.[240] Governor Kevin Stitt appointed board member and former CEO of Williams Companies Alan Armstrong to replace Mullin in the Senate.[241] Armstrong was sworn in on March 24[242] and was required to sign an oath stating that he would not run in the 2026 election.[243][12]
U.S. Representative for Oklahoma's 1st congressional district Kevin Hern[244] won the June 16 Republican primary with 70% of the vote in a crowded field.[245]
In the June 16 Democratic primary, lawyer Jim Priest[246] and nurse N'Kiyla "Jasmine" Thomas[247] received the most votes and advanced to a runoff on August 25.[248]
Entering Wedge Media executive director Ron Meinhardt and pharmacist Curtis Stinnett are running as independents.[245][249] Sevier White, candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016, is running as a Libertarian.[245]
Oregon
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Three-term Democrat Jeff Merkley was reelected in 2020 with 56.9% of the vote. On July 20, 2025, he announced his candidacy for reelection.[250] He defeated retired electrical engineer Paul D. Wells[251] in the Democratic primary on May 19, 2026.[252]
State Senator David Brock Smith,[253] won the Republican primary that was held on May 19, 2026, defeating a crowded field of candidates, with former Linn County Republican Party chair Jo Rae Perkins[251] coming in second.[254]
Rhode Island
Five-term Democrat Jack Reed was reelected in 2020 with 66.5% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a sixth term.[255] He is being challenged in the Democratic primary by elder care worker Connor Burbridge.[256]
Former Rhode Island Republican Party official Raymond McKay is running for the Republican nomination.[257]
South Carolina
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Four-term Republican Lindsey Graham was reelected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a fifth term.[258] Graham won the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with 57% of the vote.[259]
Also on June 9, pediatrician Annie Andrews[260] won the Democratic primary with 61% of the vote.[261]
South Carolina Libertarian Party State Committee chair Kasie Whitener defeated motivational speaker Jason Brenkus in the Libertarian primary. House painter Mark Hackett is running as a member of the Constitution Party.[262]
South Dakota
| |||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||
Two-term Republican Mike Rounds, who was reelected in 2020 with 65.7% of the vote, is running for a third term.[263] Rounds easily defeated Navy veteran and businessman Justin McNeil in the primary on June 2 to became the Republican nominee.[264]
Businessman and former South Dakota state trooper Julian Beaudion is the Democratic nominee.[265]
U.S. Navy and Air Force veteran, former Northern State University political science professor, and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022 Brian Bengs has announced his candidacy as an independent.[103]
Tennessee
One-term Republican Bill Hagerty was elected in 2020 with 62.2% of the vote and is running for reelection.[266] Hagerty is the presumptive nominee, as no other Republican qualified for the primary ballot.[267]
Running for the Democratic nomination are consultant Marquita Bradshaw, former Tennessee Democratic Party Director of Party Affairs Maria Brewer, teacher Civil Miller-Watkins,[267] and professor Diana Onyejiaka.[268]
Texas
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Four-term Republican John Cornyn was reelected in 2020 with 53.5% of the vote, and ran for a fifth term in 2026.[269]
Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton ran in the Republican primary on March 3. Since neither received more than 50% of the vote, they advanced to a runoff election scheduled for May 26.[270] U.S. Representative for the 38th congressional district Wesley Hunt challenged Paxton and Cornyn, but lost the primary.[271] On May 19, both Hunt and President Trump endorsed Paxton.[272] Paxton defeated Cornyn in the runoff on May 26 by a landslide and became the Republican nominee.
State Representative James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, having defeated U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the primary.[273][274]
Virginia
Three-term Democrat Mark Warner was reelected in 2020 with 56% of the vote and is running for reelection. As the only person to submit the necessary number of signatures to appear on the primary ballot, Warner is the presumptive Democratic nominee.[108]
Seeking the Republican nomination are Certified Public Accountant Kim Farrington;[275] retired United States Army Major general Bert Mizusawa, who ran for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Virginia's 2nd congressional district in 2010;[276] and U.S. Marine Corps Reserve Colonel David Williams.[277]
Former investment banker and reality television personality Mark Moran is running as an independent, after initially declaring for the Democratic primary.[278]
West Virginia
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Two-term Republican Shelley Moore Capito was reelected in 2020 with 70.3% of the vote and is running for reelection to a third term.[279] She won the Republican primary on May 19.[280]
Former Morgantown City Councilwoman Rachel Fetty Anderson[281] won the Democratic primary on May 12, 2026.[282]
Wyoming
One-term Republican Cynthia Lummis was elected in 2020 with 72.8% of the vote and is not seeking reelection.[24] U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman and Wyoming Army National Guard veteran Jimmy Skovgard[283] are running for the Republican nomination to succeed Lummis.[284]
Former state Representative James W. Byrd and landscaper Billy Benavidez[285] are both running for the Democratic nomination.[286]
See also
Notes
- 33 Class 2 seats, as well as 2 Class 3 seats being determined in special elections
- Majority control in an evenly divided Senate is determined by the Vice President of the United States, who has the power to break tied votes in their constitutional capacity as President of the Senate; accordingly, Senate control requires 51 seats or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency.
- Both independent senators (Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and Angus King of Maine) caucus with the Democrats.
- Markwayne Mullin won a special election in 2022 to fill Jim Inhofe's Oklahoma Senate seat after Inhofe resigned for health reasons. Mullin resigned on March 23, 2026, to become United States Secretary of Homeland Security. Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt appointed Alan S. Armstrong to the seat, and he was sworn in on March 24, 2026. Oklahoma law requires appointees to affirm they will not seek a full term; Armstrong will not run for election.[12]
- Republican senator Luther Strange ran to complete the term he was appointed to in 2017 but lost the primary to Roy Moore, who narrowly lost the general election to Democratic nominee Doug Jones.
- Two elected incumbent senators lost renomination in primaries in 2010: Lisa Murkowski in Alaska and Arlen Specter in Pennsylvania. But after losing the primary, Murkowski ran a write-in campaign during the general election and won. In addition, Bob Bennett lost renomination at the state convention in Utah.
- Republican senator Maurice J. Murphy Jr. ran to complete the term he was appointed to in 1962 but placed third in the primary.[1]
- In the 2010 Senate elections, the Massachusetts special election was not included in the list and not part in the regular election cycle.
- Appointed to the seat following the resignation of Al Franken.
- Appointed to the seat following the resignation of Markwayne Mullin.
- The last elections for this group of senators were in 2020, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or death of a sitting senator, as noted.
- This forecast uses the terms "Likely" and "Very Likely" the same way the other forecasts use the terms "Lean" and "Likely". To avoid confusion, and for the purposes of equivalency, the terms "Likely" and "Very Likely" will be changed to "Lean" and "Likely". As well, "tossup" is labeled "uncertain", but for the purposes of this page it will be labeled "tossup".
- Republican Marco Rubio won with 57.68% of the vote in 2022, but resigned on January 20, 2025, after being confirmed to become Secretary of State.
- Republican Ben Sasse won with 62.74% of the vote in 2020, but resigned on January 8, 2023, to be president of the University of Florida.
- Republican Jim Inhofe won with 62.91% of the vote in 2020, but resigned at the end of the 117th United States Congress. In 2022, Markwayne Mullin won with 61.77% of the vote. He resigned in 2026 after being sworn in as United States Department of Homeland Security.
- Democratic total includes Independents who caucus with the Democrats.
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
